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pip08456 27-02-2019 14:29

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 35984625)
Some of us thankfully are not on our uppers, there's a significant increase in those that are however.

You mean those that can't go out and buy the latest iPhone?

mrmistoffelees 27-02-2019 14:56

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35984628)
You mean those that can't go out and buy the latest iPhone?

No i mean those that can't afford to pay their rent or feed there families without reliance on 3rd party assistance be they in work or not.

papa smurf 27-02-2019 15:05

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35984612)
Well, no one could ever accuse you of seeing both sides of the argument...;)

There's no point entering into a argument if your intending to see that the other side has a counter argument.
when i argue it's because i'm right and the other side is wrong;)

mrmistoffelees 27-02-2019 15:18

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35984632)
There's no point entering into a argument if your intending to see that the other side has a counter argument.
when i argue it's because i'm right and the other side is wrong;)

Then by definition, you're not arguing. Just displaying arrogance and/or ignorance by refusing to contemplate that the other side may have a valid point.

papa smurf 27-02-2019 15:38

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 35984633)
Then by definition, you're not arguing. Just displaying arrogance and/or ignorance by refusing to contemplate that the other side may have a valid point.

Your confusing argument with a debate or a negotiation,the sole purpose of an argument is to win [ask your mr's ] ;)

mrmistoffelees 27-02-2019 15:43

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35984635)
Your confusing argument with a debate or a negotiation,the sole purpose of an argument is to win [ask your mr's ] ;)

Whilst the point may be to win, you don't achieve it by steamrollering your opponent with a refusal to listen to their point.

quite agree with you on the Mrs though... :D

OLD BOY 27-02-2019 15:52

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 35984607)
Here's something interesting...

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-47379308


I particularly like the following

It repeated analysis suggesting a no-deal scenario could leave the UK economy 6.3% to 9% smaller after 15 years, compared to what it would have been

'It said the worst-hit areas economically in a no-deal scenario would be Wales (-8.1%), Scotland (-8.0%), Northern Ireland (-9.1%) and the north east (-10.5%).'

In the North East it would appear that Turkeys do indeed vote for Christmas.

Now, as adults, can anyone on the remain side provide any research from the opposite perspective?

No, because it's impossible. The forecasts are based on known implications of leaving, but these need to be mitigated by the opportunities open to business and how industry will react to their liberation from restrictive EU regulations. No-one can know that in advance and that's why the forecasts are so negative.

However, experience shows that less regulation stimulates business.

Hugh 27-02-2019 20:57

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35984638)
No, because it's impossible. The forecasts are based on known implications of leaving, but these need to be mitigated by the opportunities open to business and how industry will react to their liberation from restrictive EU regulations. No-one can know that in advance and that's why the forecasts are so negative.

However, experience shows that less regulation stimulates business

Less regulation also caused the 2008 Financial Crisis...[COLOR="Silver"]

---------- Post added at 19:57 ---------- Previous post was at 18:18 ----------

Guaranteeing May’s promise to hold a vote on extending article 50

Yvette Cooper's amendment has been approved by MPs.

Ayes: 502

Noes: 20

Majority: 482

OLD BOY 28-02-2019 08:13

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35984662)
Less regulation also caused the 2008 Financial Crisis...[COLOR="Silver"]

---------- Post added at 19:57 ---------- Previous post was at 18:18 ----------

Guaranteeing May’s promise to hold a vote on extending article 50

Yvette Cooper's amendment has been approved by MPs.

Ayes: 502

Noes: 20

Majority: 482

On your first point, yes, that didn't help, but the issue is not to over-regulate. No-one is suggesting a free for all.

On the second, there will be no need to extend Article 50 if MPs sign up to the deal on offer. Nobody has a sensible alternative apart from 'no deal', which virtually no-one except the ERG wants, so with a written legal guarantee on the backstop, it should get through this time. At bloody last.

1andrew1 28-02-2019 08:27

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35984638)
However, experience shows that less regulation stimulates business.

Brexit brings with it more red tape, not less.

Hugh 28-02-2019 08:28

Re: Brexit
 
Could you give some examples of these "restrictive EU regulations", please, which business can be liberated from, and the perceived benefits to consumers?

Angua 28-02-2019 09:21

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35984704)
Could you give some examples of these "restrictive EU regulations", please, which business can be liberated from, and the perceived benefits to consumers?

When the EU manages with something like 49,000 bureaucrats compared to 332,800 in Englands Civil Service (does not include Scotland, Wales or NI). I wonder which has more bureaucracy?

Carth 28-02-2019 10:16

Re: Brexit
 
So . . are we leaving, half leaving, or staying in? :shrug:

And why do I get the feeling I've been led up a blind alley, kicked in the head and had my wallet stolen :erm:

Mick 28-02-2019 11:15

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Angua (Post 35984706)
When the EU manages with something like 49,000 bureaucrats compared to 332,800 in Englands Civil Service (does not include Scotland, Wales or NI). I wonder which has more bureaucracy?

Simple. The EU. :rolleyes:

OLD BOY 28-02-2019 11:20

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35984703)
Brexit brings with it more red tape, not less.

The whole world isn't just Europe, Andrew. And if the EU makes things difficult, it will be difficult for their exporters too. It will just encourage British industry to trade more with other countries to avoid the EU nonsense.

1andrew1 28-02-2019 12:10

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35984724)
The whole world isn't just Europe, Andrew. And if the EU makes things difficult, it will be difficult for their exporters too. It will just encourage British industry to trade more with other countries to avoid the EU nonsense.

I've never said the world is just Europe.
I'm talking about when we're out of the EU.

OLD BOY 28-02-2019 13:33

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35984731)
I've never said the world is just Europe.
I'm talking about when we're out of the EU.

But that seems to have been your mindset, as if departure from the EU will bring the sky crashing in.

The world beyond Europe is where most of the economic growth will come from.

RichardCoulter 28-02-2019 14:01

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35984545)
Please point out where I said that you had stated that "all immigrants commit crime"?

Not helpful...

You didn't. I was simply making my position clear for posterity.

---------- Post added at 13:01 ---------- Previous post was at 12:55 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35984541)
I guess that there will be
- An Article 50 extension
- Then a second referendum. I don't agree with it and the choice of options will be controversial but I'm struggling to see how you end the deadlock whilst avoiding a nonsensical no-deal which would condemn the ruling party to a political abyss at the next election and many after.
At what stage will Theresa May step down is another intriguing question?

---------- Post added at 19:23 ---------- Previous post was at 19:19 ----------

We should all appreciate that there's wrong-uns in all nationalities and that freedom of movement does not prevent our dealing with criminal behaviour.

Indeed there is, but my point is that freedom of movement allows criminals to come here in in the first place. If they weren't simply waved through, criminals wouldn't be here to commit crimes in the UK(assuming that we carry out any necessary border checks). Ending freedom of movement would improve the quality and allow us to adjust the quantity of immigrants.

Hugh 28-02-2019 14:14

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 35984736)
You didn't. I was simply making my position clear for posterity.

---------- Post added at 13:01 ---------- Previous post was at 12:55 ----------



Indeed there is, but my point is that freedom of movement allows criminals to come here in in the first place. If they weren't simply waved through, criminals wouldn't be here to commit crimes in the UK(assuming that we carry out any necessary border checks). Ending freedom of movement would improve the quality and allow us to adjust the quantity of immigrants.

Thank you for replying to a point I didn’t make - much appreciated...

For posterity, I would like to point out that I have no intention of stealing either Meghan or Kate from the Princes Harry and William... ;)

How will ending Freedom of Movement affect the rising number of non-EU migrants coming into the U.K.?
Quote:

Net migration to the UK from countries outside the European Union has hit its highest level for 15 years, the Office for National Statistics says.

Figures show 261,000 more non-EU citizens came to the UK than left in the year ending September 2018 - the highest since 2004.

OLD BOY 28-02-2019 14:30

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35984741)
Thank you for replying to a point I didn’t make - much appreciated...

For posterity, I would like to point out that I have no intention of stealing either Meghan or Kate from the Princes Harry and William... ;)

How will ending Freedom of Movement affect the rising number of non-EU migrants coming into the U.K.?

The new immigration policy will be designed to let in the foreign bodies we need and keep out those who would simply steal our jobs or come here to bum around and cause trouble.

We only need people from abroad who can fill our skills gaps and the jobs the Brits don't want or who can demonstrably support themselves. Students would also be welcome while they were in college or university on limited stay visas. We need to consider under what circumstances people with family links to UK citizens can be allowed into the country as well.

Mr K 28-02-2019 14:36

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35984742)
The new immigration policy will be designed to let in the foreign bodies we need and keep out those who would simply steal our jobs or come here to bum around and cause trouble.

We only need people from abroad who can fill our skills gaps and the jobs the Brits don't want or who can demonstrably support themselves. Students would also be welcome while they were in college or university on limited stay visas. We need to consider under what circumstances people with family links to UK citizens can be allowed into the country as well.

Shame we can't export our own nationals that can't be bothered to do jobs, bum around and cause trouble.... They are more of an issue.

TheDaddy 28-02-2019 14:40

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35984741)
Thank you for replying to a point I didn’t make - much appreciated...

For posterity, I would like to point out that I have no intention of stealing either Meghan or Kate from the Princes Harry and William... ;)

How will ending Freedom of Movement affect the rising number of non-EU migrants coming into the U.K.?

I bet the ponces sorry prince's will be very relieved to hear that Hugh

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35984742)
The new immigration policy will be designed to let in the foreign bodies we need and keep out those who would simply steal our jobs or come here to bum around and cause trouble.

We only need people from abroad who can fill our skills gaps and the jobs the Brits don't want or who can demonstrably support themselves. Students would also be welcome while they were in college or university on limited stay visas. We need to consider under what circumstances people with family links to UK citizens can be allowed into the country as well.

Student visas are the biggest scam going, in fact I'd go as far as saying they'll be the next big immigration scandal exposed, hopefully anyway...

1andrew1 28-02-2019 14:59

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35984734)
But that seems to have been your mindset, as if departure from the EU will bring the sky crashing in.

The world beyond Europe is where most of the economic growth will come from.

You seem to be conflating increased bureaucracy from leaving the EU with country growth rates.

RichardCoulter 28-02-2019 15:49

Re: Brexit
 
The fact that some of our own commit crime and abuse the benefits system is irrelevant; we don't want to be forced by the EU to accept those of a similar ilk.

---------- Post added at 14:49 ---------- Previous post was at 14:44 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35984741)
Thank you for replying to a point I didn’t make - much appreciated...

For posterity, I would like to point out that I have no intention of stealing either Meghan or Kate from the Princes Harry and William... ;)

How will ending Freedom of Movement affect the rising number of non-EU migrants coming into the U.K.?

I didn't.

The quality and quality of non EU immigrants needs to be carefully controlled too. As automation gathers pace, we need to be thinking of ways to reduce the population when the need arises.

denphone 28-02-2019 16:18

Re: Brexit
 
Tory Minister quits over Brexit delay vote.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-47405261

Quote:

Mr Eustice is a longstanding Brexiteer, who stood as a UKIP MEP candidate before joining the Conservatives.

Mr Eustice, MP for Camborne and Redruth in Cornwall, said he was resigning with "tremendous sadness".

Angua 28-02-2019 18:19

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 35984752)
The fact that some of our own commit crime and abuse the benefits system is irrelevant; we don't want to be forced by the EU to accept those of a similar ilk.

---------- Post added at 14:49 ---------- Previous post was at 14:44 ----------



I didn't.

The quality and quality of non EU immigrants needs to be carefully controlled too. As automation gathers pace, we need to be thinking of ways to reduce the population when the need arises.

If the government actually used the rules there are in place and bothered to check when EU people entered the country, those without means of supporting themselves after 3 months could be sent back home.

But oh no, the UK does not bother to check when someone enters the country and then leaves our own benefit rules wide open to being taken advantage of.

So this is purely a UK problem in not following rules they could.

Oddly the number of immigrants to the UK has not changed, just fewer from the EU.

mrmistoffelees 28-02-2019 19:40

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Angua (Post 35984758)
If the government actually used the rules there are in place and bothered to check when EU people entered the country, those without means of supporting themselves after 3 months could be sent back home.

But oh no, the UK does not bother to check when someone enters the country and then leaves our own benefit rules wide open to being taken advantage of.

So this is purely a UK problem in not following rules they could.

Oddly the number of immigrants to the UK has not changed, just fewer from the EU.


Today they announced that net migration from outside of the EU had actually increased

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47400679

---------- Post added at 18:40 ---------- Previous post was at 18:33 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35984742)
The new immigration policy will be designed to let in the foreign bodies we need and keep out those who would simply steal our jobs or come here to bum around and cause trouble.

We only need people from abroad who can fill our skills gaps and the jobs the Brits don't want or who can demonstrably support themselves. Students would also be welcome while they were in college or university on limited stay visas. We need to consider under what circumstances people with family links to UK citizens can be allowed into the country as well.


Hmmmm, now, i wonder where in the world this attitude towards migration has been played out before, and how it lead to those people being treated........ Singapore is one country that instinctively springs to mind with it's treatment of migrant Bangladeshi workers. Can you name another?

Migration is not about creating a class system, it's about mutual integration,acceptance & tolerance.

OLD BOY 28-02-2019 19:50

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35984743)
Shame we can't export our own nationals that can't be bothered to do jobs, bum around and cause trouble.... They are more of an issue.

They are all an issue, Mr K. But we really don't need the low lifes from other countries bumping up the numbers.

---------- Post added at 18:42 ---------- Previous post was at 18:41 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35984747)
I bet the ponces sorry prince's will be very relieved to hear that Hugh



Student visas are the biggest scam going, in fact I'd go as far as saying they'll be the next big immigration scandal exposed, hopefully anyway...

It just needs the appropriate checks and balances to sort this out.

---------- Post added at 18:50 ---------- Previous post was at 18:42 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 35984763)
Today they announced that net migration from outside of the EU had actually increased

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47400679

---------- Post added at 18:40 ---------- Previous post was at 18:33 ----------




Hmmmm, now, i wonder where in the world this attitude towards migration has been played out before, and how it lead to those people being treated........ Singapore is one country that instinctively springs to mind with it's treatment of migrant Bangladeshi workers. Can you name another?

Migration is not about creating a class system, it's about mutual integration,acceptance & tolerance.

What 'treatment'? I don't see anyone on the forum saying migrants should be mistreated!

What attitude are you talking about? What is wrong with only allowing people in who have the skills we need? This is a small and crowded country. We need to have sensible policies in place that recognise and address that.

mrmistoffelees 28-02-2019 19:59

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35984766)
They are all an issue, Mr K. But we really don't need the low lifes from other countries bumping up the numbers.

---------- Post added at 18:42 ---------- Previous post was at 18:41 ----------



It just needs the appropriate checks and balances to sort this out.

---------- Post added at 18:50 ---------- Previous post was at 18:42 ----------


What 'treatment'? I don't see anyone on the forum saying migrants should be mistreated!

What attitude are you talking about? What is wrong with only allowing people in who have the skills we need? This is a small and crowded country. We need to have sensible policies in place that recognise and address that.

and the jobs the Brits don't want

A direct quote from your post, and when the above is allowed to fester in a society those who are doing the jobs that other nations don't want end up mistreated.

I have seen this first hand in multiple countries. Singapore, China and Australia to name three.

How would you propose that the UK ensures that this doesn't happen?

1andrew1 28-02-2019 20:26

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35984704)
Could you give some examples of these "restrictive EU regulations", please, which business can be liberated from, and the perceived benefits to consumers?

You're on fire, Hugh! Yesterday you posted a question which the respondent could not answer and you've done the same today.

Carth 28-02-2019 20:29

Re: Brexit
 
and the jobs the Brits don't want

Well if I was unemployed I can tell you a job I wouldn't want, and that's one of those 16 hours a week 'agency' type jobs

denphone 28-02-2019 20:38

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35984783)
and the jobs the Brits don't want

Well if I was unemployed I can tell you a job I wouldn't want, and that's one of those 16 hours a week 'agency' type jobs

Which are very widespread in today's laissez-faire economy but offers zero security to workers.

TheDaddy 28-02-2019 20:55

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35984782)
You're on fire, Hugh! Yesterday you posted a question which the respondent could not answer and you've done the same today.

There are no questions brexit answers, ask them what we'll be selling the world the day after we leave that we aren't now and they can't tell you, they'll tell you we'll be free to make our own laws, ask them which laws they don't like and they can't tell you, they'll tell you instead we'll be back in control of the borders and then the figures are published saying immigration from non EU countries is greater, so they'll say well we'll have freedom, to do what exactly, exactly what will I be free to do the day after we leave that I wasn't before, except live or work in the EU of course, perhaps it's free to be noticeably poorer so when that's pointed out they'll tell you instead it's about a feeling that questions or experts just can't answer, well in that case I have a question for them, what happens when brexit isn't the answer, when it doesn't solve the way millions have been left behind or the misery millions more endured through austerity

mrmistoffelees 28-02-2019 20:55

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35984783)
and the jobs the Brits don't want

Well if I was unemployed I can tell you a job I wouldn't want, and that's one of those 16 hours a week 'agency' type jobs

But it's OK for a migrant to do it? and whilst they are doing that you would be doing what? waiting ever hopefully?

Carth 28-02-2019 21:46

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 35984791)
But it's OK for a migrant to do it? and whilst they are doing that you would be doing what? waiting ever hopefully?


No not at all, stop picking holes where there are none. These zero hour contracts should be outlawed IMO

TheDaddy 28-02-2019 22:34

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35984797)
No not at all, stop picking holes where there are none. These zero hour contracts should be outlawed IMO

I love the way they say it suits most people on them, I bet most people don't know their on them and it doesn't suit anyone that does it as their main job

OLD BOY 01-03-2019 08:36

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 35984773)
and the jobs the Brits don't want

A direct quote from your post, and when the above is allowed to fester in a society those who are doing the jobs that other nations don't want end up mistreated.

I have seen this first hand in multiple countries. Singapore, China and Australia to name three.

How would you propose that the UK ensures that this doesn't happen?

What are you on about? Yes, there are jobs that the Brits tend not to want to do, such as fruit picking. We must not create an immigration policy that does not take into account the need for employers to employ people from overseas where it is impossible to recruit people from within the UK. That stands to reason, doesn't it? All I am saying is that we don't want to let people in who are going to steal the jobs that our own people with the appropriate skills are willing and able to do - that simply drives down wages and creates unemployment.

I don't see that constituting mistreatment. There are separate laws to cover that, anyway.

---------- Post added at 07:25 ---------- Previous post was at 07:18 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35984704)
Could you give some examples of these "restrictive EU regulations", please, which business can be liberated from, and the perceived benefits to consumers?

The Acquired Rights Directive (the basis for our TUPE Regulations)
The Working Time Directive
The General Data Protection Regulations...

To name but three. All of these regulations take a sledgehammer to crack a nut. The basic principlefor each might have merit, but then they have so much bureaucracy and jargonistic language around them that the whole thing becomes a drag.

Most employers do not understand legislation from the EU and need an army of lawyers to interpret it. UK law can be an ass, but it was never like this.

---------- Post added at 07:27 ---------- Previous post was at 07:25 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35984782)
You're on fire, Hugh! Yesterday you posted a question which the respondent could not answer and you've done the same today.

No, he's not, and I've just answered it. Sometimes it can be tiresome having to explain the obvious, that's all.

---------- Post added at 07:30 ---------- Previous post was at 07:27 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35984783)
and the jobs the Brits don't want

Well if I was unemployed I can tell you a job I wouldn't want, and that's one of those 16 hours a week 'agency' type jobs

Well, given that we have close to full employment in this country and only a small proportion of them are zero hours contracts, you wouldn't have to accept such employment.

---------- Post added at 07:33 ---------- Previous post was at 07:30 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 35984791)
But it's OK for a migrant to do it? and whilst they are doing that you would be doing what? waiting ever hopefully?

Yes it is, and they want to do it what's more. What's your solution? Who do you think should be doing these jobs?

If you are going to keep criticising like this, you need to come up with alternative solutions. But you don't...

---------- Post added at 07:36 ---------- Previous post was at 07:33 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35984797)
No not at all, stop picking holes where there are none. These zero hour contracts should be outlawed IMO



I disagree with you there. However, some employers have been abusing this, which is why we need to ensure that unfair practices are outlawed.

Zero hours contracts (which we used to call 'casual employment) can be useful to both employer and employee as they provide flexibility. However, they are not suitable for those who want stable hours and a stable income.

jonbxx 01-03-2019 12:29

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35984783)
and the jobs the Brits don't want

Well if I was unemployed I can tell you a job I wouldn't want, and that's one of those 16 hours a week 'agency' type jobs

It's time to retell a story here. One of the managers in the company I work in is Hungarian and her younger 18 year old brother came over to stay. He wanted to come to the UK mainly to improve his English and see a bit of the world.

While he was here, he worked in various minimum wage jobs - barman, labourer in a building site, washing up in a restaurant kitchen etc. Lots of casual work basically. A couple of times, he went 'sod this' to a job and left and got another job within a couple of days. His opinion of young brits being unemployed wasn't high! He couldn't understand how you could be out of work when there are so many jobs out there.

Carth 01-03-2019 12:35

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35984838)
It's time to retell a story here. One of the managers in the company I work in is Hungarian and her younger 18 year old brother came over to stay. He wanted to come to the UK mainly to improve his English and see a bit of the world.

While he was here, he worked in various minimum wage jobs - barman, labourer in a building site, washing up in a restaurant kitchen etc. Lots of casual work basically. A couple of times, he went 'sod this' to a job and left and got another job within a couple of days. His opinion of young brits being unemployed wasn't high! He couldn't understand how you could be out of work when there are so many jobs out there.

Got any similar stories about middle aged married men with families and a mortgage?

Sephiroth 01-03-2019 12:47

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35984811)
<SNIP>

Zero hours contracts (which we used to call 'casual employment) can be useful to both employer and employee as they provide flexibility. However, they are not suitable for those who want stable hours and a stable income.

Bingo. If the term "zero hours contract" would always be substituted with the term "causal labour contracts" there would be little furore.

jonbxx 01-03-2019 12:49

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35984840)
Got any similar stories about middle aged married men with families and a mortgage?

Nope, that's why I stated young unemployment which has a rate of around 24% for age 16-17 and 10% for 18-24. Middle age men (35-49) is down at 2.4%. No mention of families and mortgages in the data I looked at I am afraid

Source - https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentand...da05sa/current

mrmistoffelees 01-03-2019 13:09

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35984811)
What are you on about? Yes, there are jobs that the Brits tend not to want to do, such as fruit picking. We must not create an immigration policy that does not take into account the need for employers to employ people from overseas where it is impossible to recruit people from within the UK. That stands to reason, doesn't it? All I am saying is that we don't want to let people in who are going to steal the jobs that our own people with the appropriate skills are willing and able to do - that simply drives down wages and creates unemployment.

I don't see that constituting mistreatment. There are separate laws to cover that, anyway.

---------- Post added at 07:25 ---------- Previous post was at 07:18 ----------



The Acquired Rights Directive (the basis for our TUPE Regulations)
The Working Time Directive
The General Data Protection Regulations...

To name but three. All of these regulations take a sledgehammer to crack a nut. The basic principlefor each might have merit, but then they have so much bureaucracy and jargonistic language around them that the whole thing becomes a drag.

Most employers do not understand legislation from the EU and need an army of lawyers to interpret it. UK law can be an ass, but it was never like this.

---------- Post added at 07:27 ---------- Previous post was at 07:25 ----------



No, he's not, and I've just answered it. Sometimes it can be tiresome having to explain the obvious, that's all.

---------- Post added at 07:30 ---------- Previous post was at 07:27 ----------



Well, given that we have close to full employment in this country and only a small proportion of them are zero hours contracts, you wouldn't have to accept such employment.

---------- Post added at 07:33 ---------- Previous post was at 07:30 ----------



Yes it is, and they want to do it what's more. What's your solution? Who do you think should be doing these jobs?

If you are going to keep criticising like this, you need to come up with alternative solutions. But you don't...

---------- Post added at 07:36 ---------- Previous post was at 07:33 ----------

[/B]

I disagree with you there. However, some employers have been abusing this, which is why we need to ensure that unfair practices are outlawed.

Zero hours contracts (which we used to call 'casual employment) can be useful to both employer and employee as they provide flexibility. However, they are not suitable for those who want stable hours and a stable income.

If you're unemployed, and there's a role such as picking fruit. then unless there's a medical or other valid reason for not taking the position then you should take and do the the job. That is simple.

There are some genuine reasons for people who can't do roles such as fruit or vegetable picking, yhere are also some people with no work ethic or aptitude for hard work. These people should not get to decide what type of job they want.


By saying that unemployed British people can reject a job because they don't want it but saying it's acceptable for a migrant to do it. you are creating a two tier system. People will be treat differently because of this. I have seen it many times before.

Regarding your comment on there are suitable laws to cover mistreatment, they also have them in Singapore, China & Australia but that doesn't stop the inherent racism towards migrant workers



From the Belfast Telegraph;

February 9 2018

Britain’s horticulture farms suffered a 12.5% shortfall in seasonal workers in 2017 as numbers coming from continental Europe fell, it has been revealed.

The first full year following the Brexit referendum was the first time since the National Farmers Union began compiling figures in 2014 that growers were unable to recruit sufficient workers.

Opponents of Brexit said the figures proved that the Government’s position on EU withdrawal had resulted in fruit and vegetables being left to rot for lack of workers to pick them.

The NFU’s labour survey for December 2017 showed a shortfall of 15.6% in the number of seasonal workers in the horticultural sector that month, bringing the average over the course of the year to 12.5%.

The worst month was September, when growers reported a 29.3% shortage at a time when many crops are being harvested.

Over the course of the year, some 30,585 out of 34,962 seasonal vacancies were filled.
bpanews_74641ecf-aa87-4bea-942c-f669c75d0bc5_embedded297543
Recruitment of seasonal workers in UK horticulture farms. (National Farmers Union labour survey, December 2017)

Almost 67% of seasonal workers were from Romania and Bulgaria, with 32% from eight other EU countries in eastern and central Europe.

Fewer than 1% of the seasonal workers carrying out jobs such as fruit-picking were UK nationals – 169 individuals in the survey.

NFU deputy president Minette Batters said: “It is clear that solutions are still needed to ensure that farmers and growers have access to sufficient numbers of workers for both forthcoming seasons and post-Brexit.

“Access to both seasonal and permanent workers is crucial across all farming sectors and they are incredibly important to ensuring farmers can continue producing food to feed the nation.

“The NFU’s survey of labour providers shows that the availability of workers continues to tighten and I would urge Government to find a solution for the whole industry that ensures it has access to the people it needs.”

Green MP Caroline Lucas, a leading supporter of the Open Britain campaign for close ties with the EU, said: “The Government’s zealotry on Brexit and immigration is leading to a crisis in the British fruit industry.

“Fruit and veg is literally being left to rot in the fields because workers from the EU are increasingly unwilling to work here thanks to Brexit.”

The “minuscule” proportion of seasonal farm workers being recruited in the UK showed that it was “wishful thinking” to believe that local employees could fill the gap left by absent EU nationals, she said.

But according to you were in a position for British people for somehow to be above the role of fruit and veg picking?

I'm quite looking forward to watching people who have no work ethic crying after being in a field picking carrots for one hour....

Finally, exactly what jobs are migrant workers taking from the British?

'Sorry Dave with your GCSEs the reason you can't be a hospital porter isn't because you can't be bothered to get up on time or attend work trials, or even answer the phone to the DWP is because some migrant came over here and dared to work hard, showed willing and aptitude'

Carth 01-03-2019 16:46

Re: Brexit
 
lots of 'summer' type jobs used to be done by students . . where are they now? :D

ianch99 01-03-2019 16:52

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35982725)
Or you could just ditch the pursuit of facts and cling to the narrative that the stupid Tories wanted to give money to people who couldn’t do the job they needed done in an emergency.

Still clinging to this narrative :)

https://www.theguardian.com/politics...ase-eurotunnel

Quote:

The government has settled a high court case over the Brexit ferry fiasco after reaching an agreement worth up to £33m with Eurotunnel, which was suing it after the award of a contract to a company with no ships.

Eurotunnel argued that the government had breached public procurement rules by not putting any of the contracts out to tender.

It is believed that one of the factors leading to the settlement was the prospect of the background to the contract becoming public.

On Monday, Grayling was accused of trying to conduct large parts of the trial in private, against the principle of open justice, the high court heard.

The judge ordered Grayling to return to court by close of business Thursday with justification for keeping up to 10,000 documents relating to the contracts private.

It is believed the contract was settled out of court yesterday afternoon and all files now remain sealed and unavailable for press or public scrutiny.

Last month, the Department for Transport’s permanent secretary was forced to admit it had verbal assurances rather than a written guarantee of secure financial backing before handing a £13.8m contract to a ferry company with no ships.

Hugh 01-03-2019 18:05

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35984846)
Bingo. If the term "zero hours contract" would always be substituted with the term "causal labour contracts" there would be little furore.

But the challenge with some zero hour contracts is that you have to be available at very short notice, and get binned if you're not (especially in bar and restaurants).

TheDaddy 01-03-2019 23:17

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35984811)


The Acquired Rights Directive (the basis for our TUPE Regulations)
The Working Time Directive
The General Data Protection Regulations...

To name but three. All of these regulations take a sledgehammer to crack a nut. The basic principlefor each might have merit, but then they have so much bureaucracy and jargonistic language around them that the whole thing becomes a drag.

No, he's not, and I've just answered it. Sometimes it can be tiresome having to explain the obvious, that's all.[
, and they want to do it what's more. What's your solution? Who do you think should be doing these jobs?

I'm pretty sure I've opted out of the working time directive and signed paperwork to confirm it, I realise it's tiresome but are you certain you're right about the other two?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35984846)
Bingo. If the term "zero hours contract" would always be substituted with the term "causal labour contracts" there would be little furore.

I'm on a zero hours contract, have been with the same employer 11 years, do 63 hours a week and work to a Rota,.the contract won't stand up in court or tribunal should it ever come to that and there are plenty more like me in the same company on the same but we're all on them never the less

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 35984849)
If you're unemployed, and there's a role such as picking fruit. then unless there's a medical or other valid reason for not taking the position then you should take and do the the job. That is simple.

There are some genuine reasons for people who can't do roles such as fruit or vegetable picking, yhere are also some people with no work ethic or aptitude for hard work. These people should not get to decide what type of job they want. '

Or perhaps they don't live I the country, I'd suggest that's s reason not to take a temporary job rather than a lack of aptitude or work ethic, it's to simplistic to blame lazy young people and rhetoric I'm not keen on at all

---------- Post added at 22:17 ---------- Previous post was at 22:15 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35984896)
But the challenge with some zero hour contracts is that you have to be available at very short notice, and get binned if you're not (especially in bar and restaurants).

And the real challenge is when you shouldn't be on them at all

OLD BOY 01-03-2019 23:28

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35984882)
lots of 'summer' type jobs used to be done by students . . where are they now? :D

On drugs, presumably. Do you have a better explanation?

Sadly, but true.

---------- Post added at 22:28 ---------- Previous post was at 22:25 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35984896)
But the challenge with some zero hour contracts is that you have to be available at very short notice, and get binned if you're not (especially in bar and restaurants).

No. That is an example of where it is not working properly. The whole idea of casual contracts is that they are flexible, both from tne perspective of employer and employee.

pip08456 01-03-2019 23:45

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35984939)


I'm on a zero hours contract, have been with the same employer 11 years, do 63 hours a week and work to a Rota,.the contract won't stand up in court or tribunal should it ever come to that and there are plenty more like me in the same company on the same but we're all on them never the less



You have no rights at all, but if you are happy what the hell.

---------- Post added at 22:45 ---------- Previous post was at 22:42 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35984944)
No. That is an example of where it is not working properly. The whole idea of casual contracts is that they are flexible, both from tne perspective of employer and employee.

That may be the case but it happens. It is not a casual contract and should not be referred to as such.

Historically casual workers never had contracts.

TheDaddy 01-03-2019 23:55

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35984947)
You have no rights at all, but if you are happy what the hell.

Really, acas and unite are wrong then :shocked: I'll let them know they've advised me incorrectly as they seem to think, wrongly as it turns out, if I was working to the same Rota week in week out I wasn't on a zero hour contract despite the title given to it, you know in much the same way as if I never signed it but adhered to the terms of it would mean I accepted it.

---------- Post added at 22:55 ---------- Previous post was at 22:54 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35984884)
Still clinging to this narrative :)

https://www.theguardian.com/politics...ase-eurotunnel

Wasn't that clown on the news the other day saying not one penny would be paid out :mad:

pip08456 02-03-2019 00:54

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35984951)
Really, acas and unite are wrong then :shocked: I'll let them know they've advised me incorrectly as they seem to think, wrongly as it turns out, if I was working to the same Rota week in week out I wasn't on a zero hour contract despite the title given to it, you know in much the same way as if I never signed it but adhered to the terms of it would mean I accepted it.:

Then by default you are not on a zero hour contract but may have started on one. Check with you HR Dept.

You are the one who is saying you are on one not me.

Make up your mind, find out and post back if you want.

TheDaddy 02-03-2019 08:18

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35984954)
Then by default you are not on a zero hour contract but may have started on one. Check with you HR Dept.

You are the one who is saying you are on one not me.

Make up your mind, find out and post back if you want.

It says in it it's a zero hours contract, all of the dozens of others workers contracts do to but six of us have specific rotas where the hours don't change ever, therefore according to unite we aren't working to the terms of a zero hours contract, I am quite interested in opinions on it though tbh. Oh i started on a guaranteed 60 hour a week contract to all those years ago.

mrmistoffelees 02-03-2019 09:50

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35984939)
I'm pretty sure I've opted out of the working time directive and signed paperwork to confirm it, I realise it's tiresome but are you certain you're right about the other two?



I'm on a zero hours contract, have been with the same employer 11 years, do 63 hours a week and work to a Rota,.the contract won't stand up in court or tribunal should it ever come to that and there are plenty more like me in the same company on the same but we're all on them never the less



Or perhaps they don't live I the country, I'd suggest that's s reason not to take a temporary job rather than a lack of aptitude or work ethic, it's to simplistic to blame lazy young people and rhetoric I'm not keen on at all

---------- Post added at 22:17 ---------- Previous post was at 22:15 ----------



And the real challenge is when you shouldn't be on them at all

I quite clearly said there are valid reasons for not doing so, not living in the countryside isn’t one of them as from what I can gather the majority of workers are biased in from nearby towns or cities.

Nobody should turn down employment based solely on the fact they don’t want to do it. I’d hazard a guess that most of us have done crap jobs in our lives that we had rather not done but we did them because it was required.

There’s a significant amount of people who think they’re owed a living in this country and they’re going to need to step and do their part in areas such as unskilled manual labour and other areas such as the nhs because as you can see from my example in the post above we’re already short in certain areas and it’s likely to get worse

Hugh 02-03-2019 10:01

Re: Brexit
 
Today’s Times editorial

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/t...b1cb66bf062141
Quote:

Yesterday’s publication of the US trade negotiating guidelines for a deal bears out Sir Ivan’s warning.

The guidelines make clear that one of its chief objectives will be to secure access for American agricultural products to British markets and to eliminate “practices that unfairly decrease US market access opportunities or distort agricultural markets to the detriment of the US”. That is a clear warning that the United States will insist on Britain agreeing to the import of chlorine-washed chicken and genetically modified crops, prohibited at present under EU rules.

The guidelines also want a mechanism to enable the American administration “to take appropriate action if the UK negotiates a free trade agreement with a non-market country”. This could make it impossible for Britain to agree a trade deal with China, for example. It wants access to Britain’s government procurement markets while maintaining federal “buy America” programmes and ruling out British access to US state procurement markets.

This was one of the issues that sank trade negotiations between the EU and Washington in 2015. The guidelines even appear to want a say over British economic policies to ensure that we don’t manipulate sterling to gain an unfair competitive advantage.
Quote:

There have been other recent reminders of the difficulties that Britain will face. So far the government has been able to roll over only six out of 33 EU trade deals to ensure continuity in the event of a no-deal Brexit and admitted last week that the EU-Japan deal won’t be rolled over in time.

Japan is stalling because it expects to secure better terms than it extracted from the EU. Meanwhile, the UK’s efforts to get agreement for its independent tariff schedules at the World Trade Organisation are being held up by 19 countries, including our allies Australia, New Zealand and Canada. They are unhappy with the agricultural quotas they have been offered under a provisional deal.
Quote:

The general rule of thumb in trade negotiations is that big, rich countries, such as America, China and Japan, extract more favourable terms when dealing with smaller nations. No one wants to be pessimistic about future trade deals, but it is wise to be realistic.
This is not “Project Fear", this is the reality 4 weeks before we leave the EU.

Mr K 02-03-2019 10:10

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35984966)
Today’s Times editorial

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/t...b1cb66bf062141

This is not “Project Fear", this is the reality 4 weeks before we leave the EU.

Facts won't make any difference Hugh. Brexit is a religious cult, pain and suffering are welcome.

TheDaddy 02-03-2019 11:02

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 35984964)
I quite clearly said there are valid reasons for not doing so, not living in the countryside isn’t one of them as from what I can gather the majority of workers are biased in from nearby towns or cities.

Nobody should turn down employment based solely on the fact they don’t want to do it. I’d hazard a guess that most of us have done crap jobs in our lives that we had rather not done but we did them because it was required.

There’s a significant amount of people who think they’re owed a living in this country and they’re going to need to step and do their part in areas such as unskilled manual labour and other areas such as the nhs because as you can see from my example in the post above we’re already short in certain areas and it’s likely to get worse

For some people on here it's not a valid reason at all and we have pretty much full employment, in fact it's better than if it were at 100% apparently according to experts

---------- Post added at 10:02 ---------- Previous post was at 09:59 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35984966)
Today’s Times editorial

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/t...b1cb66bf062141





This is not “Project Fear", this is the reality 4 weeks before we leave the EU.

Hmm that doesn't sound like a great deal for us, great for them but not us, at least we'll be free, well free ish looking at that deal

mrmistoffelees 02-03-2019 11:08

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35984966)
Today’s Times editorial

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/t...b1cb66bf062141





This is not “Project Fear", this is the reality 4 weeks before we leave the EU.


Ah but as we’re negotiating as a nation of 66 million as opposed to a block of 500 million we are of course going to get a great deal said no one with any sort of acumen, ever.

Sephiroth 02-03-2019 11:41

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 35984975)
Ah but as we’re negotiating as a nation of 66 million as opposed to a block of 500 million we are of course going to get a great deal said no one with any sort of acumen, ever.

When we leave the EU, it won’t be a 500 million bloc any more. Also in economic terms, our 66 million has the buying power of at least 120 million (I haven’t done the actual analysis) of the poorer EU nations.

What we need is decent negotiators.


jfman 02-03-2019 11:51

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35984977)
When we leave the EU, it won’t be a 500 million bloc any more. Also in economic terms, our 66 million has the buying power of at least 120 million (I haven’t done the actual analysis) of the poorer EU nations.

What we need is decent negotiators.


Surely that means the remainder of the EU totals 380m with buying power equal to or greater than us? Obviously that figure includes us, 314m without.

Decent negotiators? We can’t even negotiate a few hundred million pounds worth of fishing rights without the ideology getting in the way.

1andrew1 02-03-2019 12:04

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35984966)
Today’s Times editorial

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/t...b1cb66bf062141

This is not “Project Fear", this is the reality 4 weeks before we leave the EU.

We survived the Black Death. We can survive this. ;)

---------- Post added at 11:00 ---------- Previous post was at 10:52 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35984977)
What we need is decent negotiators.

Not sure it's an attractive role. Any negotiator we employed would get blamed for our not getting a cake-and-eat it deal as the clock and bargaining chips are not in our favour.
Or maybe the Brexiter MPs should step up and negotiate instead? But I think we've all seen what happens when Brexit MPs try and negotiate things. The latest example being Chris Grayling.
Quote:

THE SUN SAYS Government needs to clear out the incompetent ministers like Chris Grayling who cost taxpayers BILLIONS
It is staggering to discover how Tory ministers have been wasting millions and there seems to be no consequences for their incompetence
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/854411...hilip-hammond/

---------- Post added at 11:04 ---------- Previous post was at 11:00 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35984977)
When we leave the EU, it won’t be a 500 million bloc any more. Also in economic terms, our 66 million has the buying power of at least 120 million (I haven’t done the actual analysis) of the poorer EU nations.

GDP is important and that's an issue that some seem to forget, along with the proximity of the countries we are hoping to do trade deals with; the closer the better. But Not sure how the GDP argument helps in our current struggles to negotiate trade deals with the US (population 326m).

papa smurf 02-03-2019 12:05

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35984979)
We survived the Black Death. We can survive this. ;)

---------- Post added at 11:00 ---------- Previous post was at 10:52 ----------


Not sure it's an attractive role. Any negotiator we employed would get blamed for our not getting a cake-and-eat it deal as the clock and bargaining chips are not in our favour.
Or maybe the Brexiter MPs should step up and negotiate instead? But I think we've all seen what happens when Brexit MPs try and negotiate things. The latest example being Chris Grayling.

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/854411...hilip-hammond/



That's the ticket,stiff upper lip and all that, if we don't leave i'm going to have to open a shop to offload all this canned food :)

Sephiroth 02-03-2019 12:09

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35984978)
Surely that means the remainder of the EU totals 380m with buying power equal to or greater than us? Obviously that figure includes us, 314m without.

Decent negotiators? We can’t even negotiate a few hundred million pounds worth of fishing rights without the ideology getting in the way.

My point is that some people are exaggerating the economic strength of the EU when set against ours. Disingenuousness in this debate is polarising and unhelpful.

314m is a come down from 500m.


Mr K 02-03-2019 12:12

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35984985)
My point is that some people are exaggerating the economic strength of the EU when set against ours. Disingenuousness in this debate is polarising and unhelpful.

314m is a come down from 500m.



Still five times the size of us even if we use your calculation. Brexit has never made any economic sense. It's a romantic, xenophobic dream, which has turned into a nightmare.

jfman 02-03-2019 12:30

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35984985)
My point is that some people are exaggerating the economic strength of the EU when set against ours. Disingenuousness in this debate is polarising and unhelpful.

314m is a come down from 500m.


There’s no need to exaggerate the economic strength of the EU. Various economic models have it as the largest or second largest economy in the world (alongside the USA and China depending on what measure you like).

The idea that the UK will have a strong relative negotiating position simply doesn’t represent reality in any meaningful way.

All economies have areas of relative wealth and poverty to some degree. Writing off 120m of the population of the EU on that basis is disingenuous.

Angua 02-03-2019 12:57

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35984987)
There’s no need to exaggerate the economic strength of the EU. Various economic models have it as the largest or second largest economy in the world (alongside the USA and China depending on what measure you like).

The idea that the UK will have a strong relative negotiating position simply doesn’t represent reality in any meaningful way.

All economies have areas of relative wealth and poverty to some degree. Writing off 120m of the population of the EU on that basis is disingenuous.

Particularly as one of the EU's goals is to bring peoples standard of living up, rather than run a system on a large portion of the population remaining in significant poverty.

Carth 02-03-2019 13:06

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35984966)
Today’s Times editorial

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/t...b1cb66bf062141


This is not “Project Fear", this is the reality 4 weeks before we leave the EU.


Does this mean that the good old US of A gains another 'state'? Do we have to fly the American flag? Will I have to contribute to the building of 'the wall'?

So many questions about the possibility of becoming American :rolleyes:

Hugh 02-03-2019 17:58

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35984985)
My point is that some people are exaggerating the economic strength of the EU when set against ours. Disingenuousness in this debate is polarising and unhelpful.

314m is a come down from 500m.


UK GDP in 2017 2,622 billion US dollars.
EU GDP in 2017 15,300 billion US dollars

EU GDP without UK GDP 12,678 billion US dollars

Nearly five times the UK GDP - I would say that gives them a lot more negotiating power...

heero_yuy 02-03-2019 18:07

Re: Brexit
 
£40 billion hole in their budget gives us a pretty effective stick.

1andrew1 02-03-2019 18:10

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35985001)
£40 billion hole in their budget gives us a pretty effective stick.

Hmm, if that's a pretty effective stick, I'd shudder to see what an ineffective one would give us. :D

Sephiroth 02-03-2019 18:26

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35984999)
UK GDP in 2017 2,622 billion US dollars.
EU GDP in 2017 15,300 billion US dollars

EU GDP without UK GDP 12,678 billion US dollars

Nearly five times the UK GDP - I would say that gives them a lot more negotiating power...

…. of which German GDP was 3,677 billion USD and which, incidentally, is pretty much in proportion to their respective populations.



Hugh 02-03-2019 19:17

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35985005)
…. of which German GDP was 3,677 billion USD and which, incidentally, is pretty much in proportion to their respective populations.



Relevance to the original point you raised? - which was
Quote:

some people are exaggerating the economic strength of the EU when set against ours.
They negotiate as a bloc with 5 times the GDP of the UK, which gives them more negotiating power.

jfman 02-03-2019 19:18

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35985005)
…. of which German GDP was 3,677 billion USD and which, incidentally, is pretty much in proportion to their respective populations.



Which in many respects isn’t considered when it comes to negotiating a trade deal with the EU. Do you want access to bigger markets or smaller ones? Do the bigger markets hold more of the aces in negotiations? Almost always yes.

Does a Japanese car manufacturer care if the buyer is in Berlin or Bratislava? Probably not.

The Common Fisheries Policy is going to look quite cheap compared to the concessions the US will demand.

Hugh 02-03-2019 19:19

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35985001)
£40 billion hole in their budget gives us a pretty effective stick.

Since the net cost of the EU budget is £9 billion, not sure how that equates to a £40 billion hole in their budget?

heero_yuy 02-03-2019 19:25

Re: Brexit
 
Because they'll still be getting that over two years and won't be giving us anything back. May's already surrendered that. Sold out!

Hugh 02-03-2019 19:30

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35985013)
Because they'll still be getting that over two years and won't be giving us anything back. May's already surrendered that. Sold out!

If we don’t pay, we will have abrogated our agreed treaty - why would any other country trust us to honour future treaty agreements with them?

1andrew1 02-03-2019 20:05

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35985013)
May's already surrendered that. Sold out!

That's what happens when a weaker body negotiates with a stronger one. We need to be realistic and accept that it will be the way of future trade deals when we are dealing with stronger countries and blocs. It's time to put away the "they need us more than we need them" reality and be businesslike and realistic.

Carth 02-03-2019 20:45

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35985014)
If we don’t pay, we will have abrogated our agreed treaty

What happens if we don't pay . . will they kick us out? :D :D :D

Mr K 02-03-2019 20:58

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35985023)
What happens if we don't pay . . will they kick us out? :D :D :D

They'd sue us and win, and no other country would do any sort of deal with us.

denphone 02-03-2019 21:06

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35985026)
They'd sue us and win, and no other country would do any sort of deal with us.

Bad debtors soon get a bad reputation...

1andrew1 03-03-2019 01:51

Re: Brexit
 
Another nail in the coffin for 29/3.
Quote:

Theresa May will have to delay Brexit even if she gets her exit plan through parliament this month, Michel Barnier has said.
The EU’s chief negotiator said there was now not enough time for the European Union to ratify the withdrawal agreement, even if MPs back the plan in a vote expected to be held on 12 March.
In a joint interview with several European newspapers, Mr Barnier also said the EU was willing to provide further assurances that the backstop will be temporary.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-a8804381.html

Carth 03-03-2019 03:37

Re: Brexit
 
"Theresa May will have to delay Brexit even if she gets her exit plan through parliament this month, Michel Barnier has said."

No she doesn't, all she has to do is say "ok I've had enough of the crap you're throwing around, it's no deal, end of"

. . but she won't because she's a remainer

1andrew1 03-03-2019 09:10

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35985036)
"Theresa May will have to delay Brexit even if she gets her exit plan through parliament this month, Michel Barnier has said."

No she doesn't, all she has to do is say "ok I've had enough of the crap you're throwing around, it's no deal, end of"

. . but she won't because she's a remainer

She's a born-again Brexiter whose red lines were devised by the unelected Nick Timothy. We're insufficiently prepared for no deal so that's not an option we can use.

Sephiroth 03-03-2019 10:26

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35985041)
She's a born-again Brexiter whose red lines were devised by the unelected Nick Timothy. We're insufficiently prepared for no deal so that's not an option we can use.

Not disagreeing, but point out the irony of the unelected Juncker/Barnier etc calling the EU negotiating shots and demanding full European integration.


1andrew1 03-03-2019 11:33

Re: Brexit
 
Sometimes you can only view what's really going on by being removed from it.
Quote:

The country's National Health Service, once a source of national pride, is in permanent crisis mode, with tens of thousands of positions unfilled. And even if the official number of unemployed people is sinking, the number of "working poor" is constantly growing.
By contrast, there seem to be unlimited resources for Brexit. Hundreds of millions of pounds have been spent on the project. Hundreds of millions more are in the pipeline. Britain's departure from the EU has paralyzed almost the entire government apparatus. Just two weeks ago, a call went out to about 4,000 government workers to abandon their daily responsibilities in order to concentrate on the preparations for Brexit. Five ministries were left searching for additional workers -- including the ministries responsible for social care and labor. It's a paradox: While the country walks in place on Brexit, the very same problems that were responsible for Brexit in the first place are worsening by the day.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/...a-1249990.html

jfman 03-03-2019 11:36

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35985051)
Sometimes you can only view what's really going on by being removed from it.

http://www.spiegel.de/international/...a-1249990.html

But we aren’t out yet! Once we are it’ll be money and unicorns for everyone. £39bn to share out to the top 1% and trickle down economics does the rest.

1andrew1 03-03-2019 11:45

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35985053)
But we aren’t out yet! Once we are it’ll be money and unicorns for everyone. £39bn to share out to the top 1% and trickle down economics does the rest.

The government's looking at this to get the bill over the line:

Quote:

May pledges funds for Labour towns to win Brexit support
Theresa May will this week set out details of a fund worth hundreds of millions of pounds for Britain’s “left behind” towns as the prime minister tries to win Labour support for her Brexit deal.
Details of the fund, expected to be worth some £1.6bn, are part of a government push to win support for Mrs May’s revised Brexit deal, to be put to MPs for “a meaningful vote” before March 12.
https://www.ft.com/content/7370e794-...f-30761f19a974

Carth 03-03-2019 11:49

Re: Brexit
 
Promises Promises Promises . . . all Government promises have been kept over the past 100 years (or more) . . honestly, trust me, you know I'm good for it :rolleyes:

denphone 03-03-2019 11:56

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35985056)
Promises Promises Promises . . . all Government promises have been kept over the past 100 years (or more) . . honestly, trust me, you know I'm good for it :rolleyes:

Most promises are not worth the paper they are written on end of...

1andrew1 03-03-2019 11:56

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35985056)
Promises Promises Promises . . . all Government promises have been kept over the past 100 years (or more) . . honestly, trust me, you know I'm good for it :rolleyes:

Theresa May needs to convince enough Labour MPs to vote for her deal and the job's done. This promise is not aimed at you, your vote has been won, it's aimed at some Labour MPs.

Carth 03-03-2019 12:03

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35985058)
Theresa May needs to convince enough Labour MPs to vote for her deal and the job's done. This promise is not aimed at you, your vote has been won, it's aimed at some Labour MPs.

I know it's not aimed at me, it's aimed at a bunch of MP's . . . who will probably jump for joy at the promise of a free ice cream if they roll over and wag their tails

Hugh 03-03-2019 12:14

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35985043)
Not disagreeing, but point out the irony of the unelected Juncker/Barnier etc calling the EU negotiating shots and demanding full European integration.


They are the front people for the negotiations - all they negotiate still has to be agreed by the governments of the 27 countries.

Sounds fairly democratic to me...

heero_yuy 03-03-2019 12:32

Re: Brexit
 
It would be ironic if the EU deliver a no deal Brexit in spite of the Westminster elite. All the shenanigans and wasted years. :rolleyes:

papa smurf 03-03-2019 12:35

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35985064)
They are the front people for the negotiations - all they negotiate still has to be agreed by the governments of the 27 countries.

Sounds fairly democratic to me...

Sounds like you both have different standards ;)

Maggy 03-03-2019 12:41

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35985064)
They are the front people for the negotiations - all they negotiate still has to be agreed by the governments of the 27 countries.

Sounds fairly democratic to me...

:tu:

1andrew1 03-03-2019 13:31

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35985069)
Sounds like you both have different standards ;)

Hugh has high standards. ;)

I also think we've seen what happens when elected representatives negotiate things.
Quote:

Chris Grayling 'must be sacked by Monday' over £33m Brexit no-deal contract row payout
https://news.sky.com/story/chris-gra...ayout-11652180

denphone 03-03-2019 14:11

Re: Brexit
 
Chris Grayling takes the biscuit for sheer incompetence when it comes to gaffes by a cabinet minister.

1andrew1 03-03-2019 14:23

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35985080)
Chris Grayling takes the biscuit for sheer incompetence when it comes to gaffes by a cabinet minister.

If he was in charge of Brexit negotiations, we'd have probably joined the Euro and given up our rebate! :D

RichardCoulter 03-03-2019 15:07

Re: Brexit
 
I think it would have been better for us to have used professional negotiators rather than politicians.

Companies use them all the time to get the best desl for themselves, yet we are using untrained people for something as important as this.

jfman 03-03-2019 15:14

Re: Brexit
 
I think it’d have been better if we’d a clear idea of what our negotiating objectives were from the start. Single market, customs union, Canada, Norway all got mentions along the way.

Theresa May has negotiated something, and crashing out on WTO terms was never considered likely prior to about six months ago when the penny dropped the EU had a coherent position and we didn’t.

Sephiroth 03-03-2019 15:47

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35985064)
They are the front people for the negotiations - all they negotiate still has to be agreed by the governments of the 27 countries.

Sounds fairly democratic to me...





So does delivering the Referendum result.

papa smurf 03-03-2019 15:58

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35985091)
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So does delivering the Referendum result.

That's the wrong type of democracy for some.


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