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-   -   Russia has invaded Ukraine (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33710768)

Carth 04-03-2022 17:13

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaymoss (Post 36115593)
Truth and the BBC is a bit of a stretch at the best of times though

Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36115613)
I know that some people feel this way, but I know who i'd trust more out of the two.

eh? :confused:

That, to me, reads that you've chosen between the truth or the BBC . . .

:shrug:

Chris 04-03-2022 17:27

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36115621)
eh? :confused:

That, to me, reads that you've chosen between the truth or the BBC . . .

:shrug:

In context I suspect he's choosing between Russia and the BBC.

RichardCoulter 04-03-2022 18:08

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36115623)
In context I suspect he's choosing between Russia and the BBC.

Yep.

Mick 04-03-2022 18:31

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
BREAKING: Reuters reporting that Russia Communications Regulator has, in Russia, blocked access to Facebook.

Very Precise Notions. is your friend.

RichardCoulter 04-03-2022 18:41

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36115619)
I think, quite rightly, a discussion on the degree of influence of the Russian money given to the Conservative Party, the fast tracking of oligarchs into our government and the dark money behind the past election campaigns needs to wait until a later date.

I will say, however, that the Conservative Party will have a lot of explaining to do to the country when this does become a primary subject of discussion, which it will.

True, all hands need to be on deck to deal with the current situation. I only hope that there is no undue Putin influence in our Government. I wouldn't think that there is as, even those who may have been bought, have now seen this individual for what he is.

There have also been allegations that Russia interfered with our (and other) elections and the EU referendum in order to stir up trouble and cause division in the West.

If true, he certainty succeeded in his aims. However, invading Ukrainia appears to have undone all this. I have friends right across the political spectrum, from all walks of life, faiths, races etc.

Without exception, every one of them has condemned this invasion and want to do whatever they can do to help. Long held feuds, political differences, business rivalries, prejudices etc have all been tossed to one side in favour of unity over this issue.

It's the same in the wider world too, former MP Gyles Brandreth said this morning that we effectively "rejoined the EU again for a day" after we were invited to partake in discussions with them in how to deal with this.

Could anyone have ever imagined that happening, even a fortnight ago?

Attacking nuclear power plants and a hospital (where children with cancer will die if moved to be evacuated) shows the depths that this wicked and depraved dictator will go to achieve his aims.

The best thing will be for his own to topple him from power or assassinate him. It's been an uncomfortable realisation for me today having to accept that I no longer believe that all God given life is precious.

---------- Post added at 18:41 ---------- Previous post was at 18:34 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36115633)
BREAKING: Reuters reporting that Russia Communications Regulator has blocked access to Facebook.

Very Precise Notions. is your friend.

They did the same thing to the BBC news site earlier (see post #696).

As I said in that post, I fear that the use of a VPN could be traced and ultimately cost people their freedom/lives.

I'm hoping that someone who knows more about such things can advise us.

Jaymoss 04-03-2022 18:45

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36115634)
True, all hands need to be on deck to deal with the current situation. I only hope that there is no undue Putin influence in our Government. I wouldn't think that there is as, even those who may have been bought, have now seen this individual for what he is.

There have also been allegations that Russia interfered with our (and other) elections and the EU referendum in order to stir up trouble and cause division in the West.

If true, he certainty succeeded in his aims. However, invading Ukrainia appears to have undone all this. I have friends right across the political spectrum, from all walks of life, faiths, races etc.

Without exception, every one of them has condemned this invasion and want to do whatever they can do to help. Long held feuds, political differences, business rivalries, prejudices etc have all been tossed to one side in favour of unity over this issue.

It's the same in the wider world too, former MP Gyles Brandreth said this morning that we effectively "rejoined the EU again for a day" after we were invited to partake in discussions with them in how to deal with this.

Could anyone have ever imagined that happening, even a fortnight ago?

Attacking nuclear power plants and a hospital (where children with cancer will die if moved to be evacuated) shows the depths that this wicked and depraved dictator will go to achieve his aims.

The best thing will be for his own to topple him from power or assassinate him. It's been an uncomfortable realisation for me today having to accept that I no longer believe that all God given life is precious.

---------- Post added at 18:41 ---------- Previous post was at 18:34 ----------



They did the same thing to the BBC news site earlier (see post #696).

As I said in that post, I fear that the use of a VPN could be traced and ultimately cost people their freedom/lives.

I'm hoping that someone who knows more about such things can advise us.


I think they got more to worry about than checking individual's internet connection. Seeing someone is using a VPN is relatively easy but then tracing where you went is a far bit more complicated and to do that for everyone....

Mad Max 04-03-2022 19:48

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Four NATO warships have docked on the banks of the River Tay in Dundee after arriving from Norway in the early hours of Friday morning, I actually saw one of them being guided in by a couple of tug boats early this afternoon.

Hugh 04-03-2022 19:52

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaymoss (Post 36115637)
I think they got more to worry about than checking individual's internet connection. Seeing someone is using a VPN is relatively easy but then tracing where you went is a far bit more complicated and to do that for everyone....

It would be automated, not manual…

Jaymoss 04-03-2022 19:55

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36115645)
It would be automated, not manual…

detecting a VPN usage surely but tracing all the nodes?

RichardCoulter 04-03-2022 20:27

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36115645)
It would be automated, not manual…

Could this be done en masse?

---------- Post added at 20:24 ---------- Previous post was at 20:22 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaymoss (Post 36115646)
detecting a VPN usage surely but tracing all the nodes?

Maybe they will simply forbid people from using a VPN, so that might not matter??

---------- Post added at 20:27 ---------- Previous post was at 20:24 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36115643)
Four NATO warships have docked on the banks of the River Tay in Dundee after arriving from Norway in the early hours of Friday morning, I actually saw one of them being guided in by a couple of tug boats early this afternoon.

Is this sort of thing routine, or could NATO be making preparations for being called upon?

Mad Max 04-03-2022 20:43

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Is this sort of thing routine, or could NATO be making preparations for being called upon?
I'm not so sure, Richard, but maybe Hugh can enlighten us with his thoughts.;)

Carth 04-03-2022 20:53

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36115643)
Four NATO warships have docked on the banks of the River Tay in Dundee after arriving from Norway in the early hours of Friday morning, I actually saw one of them being guided in by a couple of tug boats early this afternoon.


:scratch: Were any of them minelayers? :devsmoke: :D

Mad Max 04-03-2022 21:10

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36115660)
:scratch: Were any of them minelayers? :devsmoke: :D

Can't reveal that mate, signed the Official Secrets Act. :D

Hugh 04-03-2022 21:55

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36115660)
:scratch: Were any of them minelayers? :devsmoke: :D

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36115664)
Can't reveal that mate, signed the Official Secrets Act. :D

If they were in public view, and filmed by STV, pretty sure you confirming that they were two frigates and two replenishment ships wouldn’t be a breach… ;)

https://news.stv.tv/north/two-nato-w...ion-of-ukraine

Carth 04-03-2022 22:02

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36115670)
If they were in public view, and filmed by STV, pretty sure you confirming that they were two frigates and two replenishment ships wouldn’t be a breach… ;)

https://news.stv.tv/north/two-nato-w...ion-of-ukraine

I think he was going to say 'frigate' but thought the swear filter might get him :D

1andrew1 04-03-2022 22:23

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36115671)
I think he was going to say 'frigate' but thought the swear filter might get him :D

:D

Mick 05-03-2022 00:43

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
1 Attachment(s)
Russia total losses since start of invasion up to March 4th.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1646440880

Mr K 05-03-2022 08:50

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36115678)
Russia total losses since start of invasion up to March 4th.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1646440880

Trouble is they have a lot more of all of those and a cornered mad man at the helm.

1andrew1 05-03-2022 10:42

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36115683)
Trouble is they have a lot more of all of those and a cornered mad man at the helm.

As well as their own, they can count on Belarus to chip in too. Plus they have a fully-functioning economy back home whilst Ukraine's basic resources of food, energy, health, communications and sanitation are all worsening by the day.
Only real hope is Putin being deposed which seems unlikely at present.

Mick 05-03-2022 11:33

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
1 Attachment(s)
Latest UK Intel:

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1646479957

Mick 05-03-2022 15:28

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
BREAKING: President Putin has declared that Western Sanctions imposed on Russia are akin to a declaration of war, he has also stated that any country which imposes a no fly zone over Ukraine, that Russia will be at war with that country.

---------- Post added at 15:28 ---------- Previous post was at 15:27 ----------

President Zelenskyy of Ukraine, is due to have a video call with the entire U.S Senate later today.

Mick 05-03-2022 22:43

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
BREAKING: Visa and MasterCard have announced they have suspended operations in Russia. - AFP News Agency.

Hugh 05-03-2022 23:00

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36115739)
BREAKING: Visa and MasterCard have announced they have suspended operations in Russia. - AFP News Agency.

Beat me to it - I saw it on TASS.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...93&d=164652115

Quote:

Visa is working to stop transactions in Russia, the company said in a press release.

Paul 05-03-2022 23:44

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36115707)
BREAKING: President Putin has declared that Western Sanctions imposed on Russia are akin to a declaration of war, he has also stated that any country which imposes a no fly zone over Ukraine, that Russia will be at war with that country.

He already knows that "no fly" isnt going to happen, he's a few days too late on that.
He seems to be getting pretty desperate to go to war with [most of] the rest of the world though.

Carth 06-03-2022 02:18

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36115744)
He already knows that "no fly" isnt going to happen, he's a few days too late on that.
He seems to be getting pretty desperate to go to war with [most of] the rest of the world though.

It does look like he's searching for an excuse to go the whole hog doesn't it . . .
maybe that's his plan* - put the fear of God (whichever you subscribe to) into everyone and hope they back down :shrug:



* or possibly he's gone 110% loopy and doesn't care :shocked:

TheDaddy 06-03-2022 03:01

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Anyone seen the Russian soldiers trapped in the lift? The Ukranians switched the power off and trapped them, they're really not sending their best are they, you'd have thought one of them would have had the sense to suggest taking the stairs

Mick 06-03-2022 07:22

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
BREAKING: The U.S. is working with Poland on the possibility of Poland providing fighter jets to Ukraine in return for American F-16 jet fighters, U.S. officials said on March 5.

The deal would require White House approval and congressional action, U.S. officials said- Wall Street Journal.

---------- Post added at 07:20 ---------- Previous post was at 07:17 ----------

Russia has warned the West about providing Ukraine military hardware and that it must stop.

They’re saying this coz they’re getting their arses handed to them on a platter.

---------- Post added at 07:22 ---------- Previous post was at 07:20 ----------

China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi said the “evolution” of the situation in Ukraine is “something China does not want to see” in a phone call with US Secretary of State Blinken on March 5, according to a statement from the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs published by CNN.

China's foreign minister also called on the U.S., NATO, and the EU to “pay attention to the negative impact of NATO’s continuous eastward expansion on Russia’s security." - CNN

RichardCoulter 06-03-2022 08:43

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
By 'evolution' of the situation in Ukrania, does he mean that China doesn't like the general way its getting out of hand or the fact that Ukrania is fighting back so well against Russia?

1andrew1 06-03-2022 09:01

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36115756)
By 'evolution' of the situation in Ukrania, does he mean that China doesn't like the general way its getting out of hand or the fact that Ukrania is fighting back so well against Russia?

Wants to keep access to Russia's gas supplies so Putin's called in a favour. Doesn't want more support given to Ukraine ie aircraft, missiles, drones, etc.
(Think you mean Ukraine not Ukrania.)

Carth 06-03-2022 09:39

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
hmm . . so we have 'The West' warning Russia about invading Ukraine, Russia warning the West about supplying military hardware to Ukraine, and now China telling the USA that they don't like how things are going,

Looks very much like the essential ingredients are in the pot. Allow to simmer slowly with occasional stirring, slowly bring to the boil and add a touch of N. Korea for added flavour.

Serve while hot :erm:

Jaymoss 06-03-2022 09:57

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
China has got used to being wealthy. I am sure a desolate Earth is not what they want

Carth 06-03-2022 10:35

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaymoss (Post 36115759)
China has got used to being wealthy. I am sure a desolate Earth is not what they want

I'm sure economic sanctions against Russia will be doing the Chinese economy the world of good too :rolleyes:

RichardCoulter 06-03-2022 10:36

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36115757)
Wants to keep access to Russia's gas supplies so Putin's called in a favour. Doesn't want more support given to Ukraine ie aircraft, missiles, drones, etc.
(Think you mean Ukraine not Ukrania.)

Thanks for explaining.

Yes, Ukraine, not sure where I got Ukrania from, I have a friend who is half Ukranian, so perhaps I assumed his father was from 'Ukrania' :confused:

Also, been told that 'The Ukraine' is what the Russians call it as a territory and that locals prefer it to be simply called 'Ukraine'.

Jaymoss 06-03-2022 10:45

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36115764)
I'm sure economic sanctions against Russia will be doing the Chinese economy the world of good too :rolleyes:

Not enough to want a desolate Earth where wealth is meaningless

1andrew1 06-03-2022 10:54

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Interesting thread here from Phillips O'Brien (Professor of Strategic Studies, University St Andrews, Author: How the War was Won, and Second Most Powerful Man in the World. Editor in Chief, War in History).

The thread is on the logistics of war - why we are almost certainly overestimating the amount of strength the Russian Army has on hand, and the amount they can actually get to Ukraine.

It's worth reading the whole thread and its links. Some points:

  • Russian Army is likely a victim of dictators' armies - investment is in flashy weapons but not the necesary, less glamorous infrastructure they need.
  • The 40-mile convoy with some of Russia's best tech on it is a disaster as much of it is marooned (out of fuel, dead batteries, stuck in the mud due to poor tyre maintenance.)
  • Rations have not been kept up to scratch, with soldiers given food seven years out of date. Some have even run out of food and resorted to looting.
  • The Ukranians know these weaknesses, and have successfully attacked Russian convoys.
  • To win the war, Ukraine needs to attack every Russian truck they can see, particularly fuel trucks.

Mick 06-03-2022 11:46

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
1 Attachment(s)
Latest UK Intel:

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1646567156

Mick 06-03-2022 11:50

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Zelensky says that Ukraine is in possession of maps and records, obtained from those captured.

“They are planning to bomb Odesa.” - Kyiv Independent.

Jaymoss 06-03-2022 12:54

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36115772)
Zelensky says that Ukraine is in possession of maps and records, obtained from those captured.

“They are planning to bomb Odesa.” - Kyiv Independent.

Bomb with what though? Hopefully orthodox munitions. Very open statement that one

Mick 06-03-2022 13:51

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Kremlin: “Military operation going to plan and to schedule.”

Jaymoss 06-03-2022 20:41

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2022/03/2.jpg

Alleged Darwin Award winning image of Russian Paras taking a lift to the top of a building. The caretakers turned off the power. If this is true then it is hardly a surprise the Russians are struggling

Mick 06-03-2022 20:58

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
BREAKING: Netflix suspends its services in Russia.

Hugh 06-03-2022 22:22

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
https://t.co/bL0l8vcC53

Quote:

Moody's cuts Russia rating to Ca on rise in default risk

LONDON, March 6 (Reuters) - Moody's cut Russia's credit rating to Ca on Sunday, the second-lowest rung of its ratings ladder, citing central bank capital controls that are likely to restrict payments on the country's foreign debt and lead to default.

Moody's said its decision to cut Russia's rating was "driven by severe concerns around Russia's willingness and ability to pay its debt obligations".

TheDaddy 06-03-2022 22:34

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36115751)
Anyone seen the Russian soldiers trapped in the lift? The Ukranians switched the power off and trapped them, they're really not sending their best are they, you'd have thought one of them would have had the sense to suggest taking the stairs

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaymoss (Post 36115790)
https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2022/03/2.jpg

Alleged Darwin Award winning image of Russian Paras taking a lift to the top of a building. The caretakers turned off the power. If this is true then it is hardly a surprise the Russians are struggling

I reckon the one on the far right did suggest the stairs, anyone know if they got out, did they blow the doors off :idea: :shocking:

RichardCoulter 06-03-2022 22:48

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
As per the BBC news earlier, Russia has today switched off the BBC World Service TV channel.

Someone's snitched on us for taking off Russia Today ;)

Mick 07-03-2022 01:08

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Hacking group Anonymous interrupts Russian state TV programs with footage of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine and an anti-war message.

It claims to have accessed TV channels “Russia 24”, “Channel 1”, “Moscow 24”, & streaming services Wink and Ivi. - Kyiv Independent

RichardCoulter 07-03-2022 01:25

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
A major Internet backbone provider, Cogent Communications, has ceased providing services to Russia yesterday (Sunday). They say that it won't disconnect people from the internet, but it will be a lot slower.

Unconfirmed report that Russia is to imminently disconnect itself from the internet anyway.

[Admin Insert:- State your source or link to these news updates.]

Maggy 07-03-2022 08:50

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
I think we should post only verifiable links and trustworthy sources.There's too much fake claims on the internet so please make sure to check your sources.

Mick 07-03-2022 10:43

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Maggy - Posting a link is not always necessary or possible. In either case. Just add the source like I have been doing. I only get my updates from verifiable news outlets and journalists with bonafide media credentials.

Mick 07-03-2022 10:48

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
1 Attachment(s)
Latest UK Intel:

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1646650074

ianch99 07-03-2022 11:00

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Mick, you have your finger on the pulse of things more than most: do you think Moldova is Putin's next target? And if so, what could be the implications?

RichardCoulter 07-03-2022 12:31

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36115802)
A major Internet backbone provider, Cogent Communications, has ceased providing services to Russia yesterday (Sunday). They say that it won't disconnect people from the internet, but it will be a lot slower.

Unconfirmed report that Russia is to imminently disconnect itself from the internet anyway.

[Admin Insert:- State your source or link to these news updates.]

Due to a technical issue, I couldn't/can't post the link. Could someone kindly do it for me please? There's lots of media reports, though how trustworthy they are, I don't know.

The 'Russia to imminently cut itself off from the internet' claim is marked as unverified, as this was a verbal claim from a contributor to a discussion on the BBC World Service.
---------- Post added at 12:31 ---------- Previous post was at 12:25 ----------

Last night, Channel 4 showed the first three episodes from a series that the current Ukraine President was in where he played a comedy part as...the Ukraine President! It had English subtitles.

In the current circumstances, i'm not sure whether I think this was appropriate or not.

pip08456 07-03-2022 12:43

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36115819)
Due to a technical issue, I couldn't/can't post the link. Could someone kindly do it for me please? There's lots of media reports, though how trustworthy they are, I don't know.

The 'Russia to imminently cut itself off from the internet' claim is marked as unverified, as this was a verbal claim from a contributor to a discussion on the BBC World Service.
---------- Post added at 12:31 ---------- Previous post was at 12:25 ----------

Last night, Channel 4 showed the first three episodes from a series that the current Ukraine President was in where he played a comedy part as...the Ukraine President! It had English subtitles.

In the current circumstances, i'm not sure whether I think this was appropriate or not.

Perhaps this one?

https://www.protocol.com/bulletins/c...ussia-internet

Quote:

Cogent Communications, a U.S.-based internet service provider, will reportedly begin cutting off services to Russian clients.

David Schaeffer, Cogent's CEO, told The Washington Post that the company wanted to prevent the Russian government from using its network for cyberattacks and spreading propaganda, but doesn't want to cut off normal Russian citizens...

..."Cogent is not otherwise restricting or blocking traffic originating from or destined for Russia," the company said in a statement. "Cogent continues to provide services to Ukraine."

BenMcr 07-03-2022 12:45

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36115819)
Last night, Channel 4 showed the first three episodes from a series that the current Ukraine President was in where he played a comedy part as...the Ukraine President! It had English subtitles.

In the current circumstances, i'm not sure whether I think this was appropriate or not.

The show partly contributed to him becoming the actual president, and any international rights payments will go towards supporting those in Ukraine who made it.

Maggy 07-03-2022 13:04

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36115810)
Maggy - Posting a link is not always necessary or possible. In either case. Just add the source like I have been doing. I only get my updates from verifiable news outlets and journalists with bonafide media credentials.

I'm just urging people to make sure that what they are reporting is actual truth.FB and other social media don't always check contributions.Just because it's on the internet doesn't make it actual fact.

RichardCoulter 07-03-2022 13:06

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36115821)

Thank you. They say it's being done to help to frustrate the efforts of Russia, but it will also hinder everyday Russians from accessing our news or organising anti war groups etc.

---------- Post added at 13:06 ---------- Previous post was at 13:05 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by BenMcr (Post 36115822)
The show partly contributed to him becoming the actual president, and any international rights payments will go towards supporting those in Ukraine who made it.

Good point.

pip08456 07-03-2022 13:10

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36115825)
Thank you. They say it's being done to help to frustrate the efforts of Russia, but it will also hinder everyday Russians from accessing our news or organising anti war groups etc.[COLOR="Silver"]

No it won't Richard. Read the article.

Mick 07-03-2022 13:18

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36115814)
Mick, you have your finger on the pulse of things more than most: do you think Moldova is Putin's next target? And if so, what could be the implications?

I don’t think it was a coincidence that U.S Secretary of State, Antony Blinken was in Moldova yesterday. Last week they, along with Georgia, officially applied to join the EU. Like Ukraine, there are pro-Russian factions in these countries, but the countries application to join the EU, gives a clear message to Putin, where their political allegiances align.

Any ex-Soviet State is a Putin target right now. But Moscow is failing in its main objectives in Ukraine, its losing the information war. You only have to look at the blackout of outside news getting in to Russia. Facebook and Twitter completely censored, if Russia was meant to be winning this, it’d be glad to show the worlds news in Russia, right now, that’s not happening because Russia is being frustrated at the fierce Ukraine resistance and its embarrassed.

For all intent and purposes, the West, NATO may not physically get involved in this. But every west spy agency has their hand in this helping Ukraine, advising them, and they’re winning by defeating Russian logistics, destroying their fuel tank vehicles with just Molotov cocktails. Russia is also losing experienced savvy fighter pilots, think I’ve seen 45 planes have been shot down since start of invasion.

Russian morale is very low. Their soldiers (conscripts) surrendering relatively easily, there is footage of them crying for their mothers. The Russians are poorly equipped, vs high Ukrainian fighters morale, using high tech military gear given to them from us and other European nations and the U.S, their soldiers fighting on home soil, with a population behind them. As long as we can keep supplying them with resources, they got this.

Putin has to now know this invasion was a grave error and his presidency is now in endgame. Yeah, who cares he’s been spitting feathers and coming out with all kinds of vitriol about sanctions are akin to declaration of war.

The risk is and some are saying, Putin could still well order a nuclear strike in Ukraine, albeit a smaller scale one, this would then ultimately initiate a massive world wide condemnation, probably forcing rest of us in to war, can any of us realistically see us still standing by while a murderous madman is dropping nukes over Ukraine?

We also need to keep an eye on what Russia is doing with the Ukrainian seized nuclear plant.

Mick 07-03-2022 14:20

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
1 Attachment(s)
Map Intel of latest Russian advance or lack of:

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1646662737

Paul 07-03-2022 14:23

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36115792)
BREAKING: Netflix suspends its services in Russia.

Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36115802)
A major Internet backbone provider, Cogent Communications, has ceased providing services to Russia yesterday (Sunday).

I really dont see how things like this are helpful.

The people in charge are not going to care, all its doing is affecting the lives of ordinary Russians, who have no say in this war at all.

In the case of the Internet, its cutting out a major source of "real" news, rather than "Russian" news.

It likely makes Putin feel even more right about the "evil west" having it out for Russia, and more desperate to win.

RichardCoulter 07-03-2022 14:28

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36115828)
I don’t think it was a coincidence that U.S Secretary of State, Antony Blinken was in Moldova yesterday. Last week they, along with Georgia, officially applied to join the EU. Like Ukraine, there are pro-Russian factions in these countries, but the countries application to join the EU, gives a clear message to Putin, where their political allegiances align.

Any ex-Soviet State is a Putin target right now. But Moscow is failing in its main objectives in Ukraine, its losing the information war. You only have to look at the blackout of outside news getting in to Russia. Facebook and Twitter completely censored, if Russia was meant to be winning this, it’d be glad to show the worlds news in Russia, right now, that’s not happening because Russia is being frustrated at the fierce Ukraine resistance and its embarrassed.

For all intent and purposes, the West, NATO may not physically get involved in this. But every west spy agency has their hand in this helping Ukraine, advising them, and they’re winning by defeating Russian logistics, destroying their fuel tank vehicles with just Molotov cocktails. Russia is also losing experienced savvy fighter pilots, think I’ve seen 45 planes have been shot down since start of invasion.

Russian morale is very low. Their soldiers (conscripts) surrendering relatively easily, there is footage of them crying for their mothers. The Russians are poorly equipped, vs high Ukrainian fighters morale, using high tech military gear given to them from us and other European nations and the U.S, their soldiers fighting on home soil, with a population behind them. As long as we can keep supplying them with resources, they got this.

Putin has to now know this invasion was a grave error and his presidency is now in endgame. Yeah, who cares he’s been spitting feathers and coming out with all kinds of vitriol about sanctions are akin to declaration of war.

The risk is and some are saying, Putin could still well order a nuclear strike in Ukraine, albeit a smaller scale one, this would then ultimately initiate a massive world wide condemnation, probably forcing rest of us in to war, can any of us realistically see us still standing by while a murderous madman is dropping nukes over Ukraine?

We also need to keep an eye on what Russia is doing with the Ukrainian seized nuclear plant.

Spor on, though I think that applying to join the EU is mainly symbolic at this stage as it could take years, even if they're accepted.

Hom3r 07-03-2022 14:39

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy (Post 36115824)
I'm just urging people to make sure that what they are reporting is actual truth.FB and other social media don't always check contributions.Just because it's on the internet doesn't make it actual fact.


Unfortunately, in a war it's not always possible.


Look at the Ukrainian soldiers on that Island that told a Russian warship "Too xxxx themselves" and reported dead.


Now it appears they are alive.


Even the BBC report events and say unvarified.

pip08456 07-03-2022 14:43

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
The Kremlin has set out their terms.

Quote:

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told Reuters that Russia had told Ukraine it was ready to halt its military action "in a moment" if Kyiv met its conditions.

The demands include:

Ceasing all military action
A change to the constitution to enshrine neutrality
Acknowledgement of Crimea as Russian territory
Recognition of Luhansk and Donetsk as independent

It is the most explicit Russian statement so far of the terms it wants to impose on Ukraine to halt what it calls its "special military operation".
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-ne...nato-invasion/

Also this.

This war will be a total failure, Russian whistleblower says.

Quote:

Vladimir Putin's war in Ukraine will be a 'total failure' comparable to the collapse of Nazi Germany, a report by a so-called FSB analyst has claimed.

The over 2,000-word report added that Russia's forces have 'no options to victory, only defeat' as they continue to meet strong Ukrainian resistance, that experts believe has surprised many in Moscow including the president himself.

It said that the number of Russians killed in Ukraine could already be over 10,000 - a figure similar to that reported by Kyiv officials - and far more than the 498 dead soldiers officially acknowledged by the Kremlin.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...st-claims.html

GrimUpNorth 07-03-2022 15:48

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36115837)
The Kremlin has set out their terms.



https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-ne...nato-invasion/

Also this.

This war will be a total failure, Russian whistleblower says.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...st-claims.html

So to use a phrase the Americans like, Russia is looking for an off ramp, it's also a phrase I heard a couple of times this morning on Bloomberg as the 'experts' were discussing what Russia would do next.

pip08456 07-03-2022 16:03

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
1 Attachment(s)
Got to love the German Embassy in South Africa.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...9&d=1646668895

Pierre 07-03-2022 16:35

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36115837)
The Kremlin has set out their terms.



https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-ne...nato-invasion/

Also this.

This war will be a total failure, Russian whistleblower says.




https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...st-claims.html

TBH, those terms don't seem too onerous.

1andrew1 07-03-2022 16:51

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36115845)
TBH, those terms don't seem too onerous.

I think the "Ceasing all military action" is the trickiest one. What does this mean? The rest could presumably be overturned in future referendums.

Mick 07-03-2022 16:52

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36115845)
TBH, those terms don't seem too onerous.

Are you joking?

So Ukraine just let’s Putin think he’s won, Putin can’t be seen to lose and he’s lost this war, sure he’s got a massive nuclear arsenal but that’s no good to him, when it involves Armageddon. So he’s now got to save face and he has to walk away with some kind of win to stay in power.

papa smurf 07-03-2022 16:54

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36115845)
TBH, those terms don't seem too onerous.

I wouldn't accept them.

pip08456 07-03-2022 17:23

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36115850)
I wouldn't accept them.

I don't think Ukraine will either. Perhaps a counter would be to allow Russia to lease the Crimea naval base.

Mick 07-03-2022 17:38

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
1 Attachment(s)
Latest UK Intel:

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1646674686

ianch99 07-03-2022 17:54

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36115828)
I don’t think it was a coincidence that U.S Secretary of State, Antony Blinken was in Moldova yesterday. Last week they, along with Georgia, officially applied to join the EU. Like Ukraine, there are pro-Russian factions in these countries, but the countries application to join the EU, gives a clear message to Putin, where their political allegiances align.

Any ex-Soviet State is a Putin target right now. But Moscow is failing in its main objectives in Ukraine, its losing the information war. You only have to look at the blackout of outside news getting in to Russia. Facebook and Twitter completely censored, if Russia was meant to be winning this, it’d be glad to show the worlds news in Russia, right now, that’s not happening because Russia is being frustrated at the fierce Ukraine resistance and its embarrassed.

For all intent and purposes, the West, NATO may not physically get involved in this. But every west spy agency has their hand in this helping Ukraine, advising them, and they’re winning by defeating Russian logistics, destroying their fuel tank vehicles with just Molotov cocktails. Russia is also losing experienced savvy fighter pilots, think I’ve seen 45 planes have been shot down since start of invasion.

Russian morale is very low. Their soldiers (conscripts) surrendering relatively easily, there is footage of them crying for their mothers. The Russians are poorly equipped, vs high Ukrainian fighters morale, using high tech military gear given to them from us and other European nations and the U.S, their soldiers fighting on home soil, with a population behind them. As long as we can keep supplying them with resources, they got this.

Putin has to now know this invasion was a grave error and his presidency is now in endgame. Yeah, who cares he’s been spitting feathers and coming out with all kinds of vitriol about sanctions are akin to declaration of war.

The risk is and some are saying, Putin could still well order a nuclear strike in Ukraine, albeit a smaller scale one, this would then ultimately initiate a massive world wide condemnation, probably forcing rest of us in to war, can any of us realistically see us still standing by while a murderous madman is dropping nukes over Ukraine?

We also need to keep an eye on what Russia is doing with the Ukrainian seized nuclear plant.

Really interesting, thanks. I guess key to the next few days/weeks is the number of assets Ukraine have still in play and the weaponry they can employ. The ingress & distribution of current tech handheld anti-air & armour will really be a key factor.

Hugh 07-03-2022 17:57

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
1 Attachment(s)
https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1646675783

So, the goal of Russia starting a war in Ukraine was to stop any war starting in Ukraine…

Sounds legit and trustworthy…

Mick 07-03-2022 18:17

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36115856)
https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1646675783

So, the goal of Russia starting a war in Ukraine was to stop any war starting in Ukraine…

Sounds legit and trustworthy…

Careful Hugh, any sign you disbelieve them and it’s 15 years in their prisons if you were to spin their story any other way.

pip08456 07-03-2022 18:30

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
So how's the info war going?

Quote:

While Russian President Vladimir Putin is raining bombs on Ukrainian cities, his top propagandists are most concerned about getting bombarded with text messages, and losing the information war to Ukraine.

On Thursday’s episode of The Evening With Vladimir Soloviev, state TV propagandist Vladimir Soloviev complained that he and editor-in-chief of RT Margarita Simonyan are being terrorized by unknown individuals, receiving endless calls and texts about Russia’s military activities in Ukraine. He griped: “Margarita and I can show our telephones to demonstrate that we’re getting a thousand calls and texts per hour.”...

...Popular state TV pundit Karen Shakhnazarov conceded on Friday that, “It seems to me that we’re losing the information war. Our info-operation wasn’t thoroughly prepared, unlike the Ukrainian side—and whoever is standing behind them.” He, too, complained about getting trolled with strange phone calls. “By the way, I got a call from Zelensky. Well, at least it was his voice on my phone. Either a recording or somebody impersonating him. Other people are getting those too,” he said. “They’re well prepared, with hundreds of thousands or millions of templates for things that are being disseminated.”

Appearing on Soloviev’s show on Thursday, Alexander Khinshtein, head of the State Duma’s information committee, said, “This is a blatant, overt information war that is being waged for hearts and minds, to make people not only abroad, but within Russia to believe in these horrors and to experience fear, panic and hatred, to start a psychological war over here.” He went on to describe “unprecedented” cyber attacks against Russia’s “infrastructure and its government websites,” claiming that they are “two to three times more impactful than any prior cyberattacks Russia experienced.”
https://www.thedailybeast.com/vladim...ine?ref=scroll

It's worth reading the full article.

Mick 07-03-2022 18:35

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Germany rejects proposed European embargo on Russian oil imports.

Scholz said he's “preferring to focus on ‘sustainable’ pressure on Moscow that would not impose too heavy a burden on Germans.” - Kyiv Independent.

Chris 07-03-2022 18:43

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36115859)
Germany rejects proposed European embargo on Russian oil imports.

Scholz said he's “preferring to focus on ‘sustainable’ pressure on Moscow that would not impose too heavy a burden on Germans.” - Kyiv Independent.

A retired US Treasury Secretary on PM this evening described an oil embargo as the “last bullet” for use if all else fails, because it would be difficult and it would take time to arrange in any way remotely sustainable. But he believed it had to remain on the table because in the long run this is a fight Putin simply can’t be allowed to win.

Mick 07-03-2022 18:48

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
1 Attachment(s)
https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1646678836

1andrew1 07-03-2022 18:51

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36115862)
A retired US Treasury Secretary on PM this evening described an oil embargo as the “last bullet” for use if all else fails, because it would be difficult and it would take time to arrange in any way remotely sustainable. But he believed it had to remain on the table because in the long run this is a fight Putin simply can’t be allowed to win.

FT reported yesterday that US was speaking to Venezuela about it supplying oil to the US in place of Russia. Venezuela is facing sanctions from the US so isn't supplying oil at present.

Mick 07-03-2022 19:04

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
BREAKING: JUST IN: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will give a “historic address” to MPs on Tuesday evening by video link - Commons Speaker Sir Lindsay Hoyle.

---------- Post added at 19:02 ---------- Previous post was at 18:53 ----------

From the official Russian Embassy in UK, Twitter account: Ambassador #Kelin: posted in last 30 minutes: “The Embassy is currently operating in a hostile environment. This has an impact on the logistics and the security of the diplomatic mission. We are receiving threats.”

---------- Post added at 19:04 ---------- Previous post was at 19:02 ----------

Third round of Ukraine-Russia talks ends with no results.

The parties agreed to change the logistics of humanitarian corridors, according to Mykhailo Podoliak, advisor to Zelensky’s administration. However, “there are no results that will significantly improve the situation.” - Kyiv Independent.

Damien 07-03-2022 19:21

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36115867)
From the official Russian Embassy in UK, Twitter account: Ambassador #Kelin: posted in last 30 minutes: “The Embassy is currently operating in a hostile environment. This has an impact on the logistics and the security of the diplomatic mission. We are receiving threats.”

World's smallest violin plays. Imagine having to operate in a hostile environment!

They should feel ashamed every waking minute of their lives and I hope their dreams are horrid.



Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36115849)
Are you joking?

So Ukraine just let’s Putin think he’s won, Putin can’t be seen to lose and he’s lost this war, sure he’s got a massive nuclear arsenal but that’s no good to him, when it involves Armageddon. So he’s now got to save face and he has to walk away with some kind of win to stay in power.

Exactly, he is trying to find a way out. He can't be allowed to have this invasion pay off with more land and force a sovereign state to adopt his foreign policy. It's up to Ukraine who they ally with.

Mick 07-03-2022 19:27

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
1 Attachment(s)
NOTE: I have to say I would not always link to or show offensive language… but I can make an exception….

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1646681210

Mick 07-03-2022 19:37

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Reuters: NEW: The U.S may ban Russian oil imports without Europe.

The U.S. is willing to ban Russian oil imports into the country without the participation of its European allies, according to the sources cited by Reuters.

---------- Post added at 19:37 ---------- Previous post was at 19:35 ----------

Senior Pentagon official: Nearly 100% of Russia’s combat power already in Ukraine.

According to a U.S. defense official cited by CNN, Russia has already launched more than 625 missiles against Ukraine. He also said that Ukraine has enough surface-to-air weapons for protection. - Kyiv Independent.

Pierre 07-03-2022 20:10

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36115849)
Are you joking?

He already has Crimea
The two other provinces he already had, in regards that Ukraine wasn’t in charge of them and he was funding rebels.
If he agrees to immediately withdraw then no further military action is required, anyway.

The only actual demand that is required onerous is the change in the constitution that effectively bars them from joining the EU and NATO.

I think to end it, that is a price worth paying as there are ways around it going forward.

Quote:

So Ukraine just let’s Putin think he’s won, Putin can’t be seen to lose and he’s lost this war, sure he’s got a massive nuclear arsenal but that’s no good to him, when it involves Armageddon. So he’s now got to save face and he has to walk away with some kind of win to stay in power.
That is absolutely the case.

---------- Post added at 20:10 ---------- Previous post was at 20:09 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36115850)
I wouldn't accept them.

They may not have a choice

---------- Post added at 20:10 ---------- Previous post was at 20:10 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36115852)
I don't think Ukraine will either. Perhaps a counter would be to allow Russia to lease the Crimea naval base.

Why would Russia lease it when it’s been in their possession for 8 yrs?

Hugh 07-03-2022 20:13

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
If he gets away with this, Moldova will be next, then Ukraine again, then he’ll try one of the ex-Sov Republics that in NATO (Latvia, Lithuania, etc.) - he’ll keep pushing, because that’s what bullies do…

He’s previously stated he intends to get all the ex-Sov Republics (and more) into a “Great Russian Empire" - he won’t stop until he’s stopped.

Pierre 07-03-2022 20:14

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36115870)
Exactly, he is trying to find a way out. He can't be allowed to have this invasion pay off with more land and force a sovereign state to adopt his foreign policy. It's up to Ukraine who they ally with.

You have to give him a way out, or this continues.

Jaymoss 07-03-2022 20:15

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36115884)
If he gets away with this, Moldova will be next, then Ukraine again, then he’ll try one of the ex-Sov Republics that in NATO (Latvia, Lithuania, etc.) - he’ll keep pushing, because that’s what bullies do…

He’s previously stated he intends to get all the ex-Sov Republics (and more) into a “Great Russian Empire" - he won’t stop until he’s stopped.

But it could slow hm down and get him out and about long enough for a joint intelligence operation to put a bullet in his head

GrimUpNorth 07-03-2022 20:15

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
I think it'll be no deal. They were saying on CNN today (don't have a link and may not be accurate) they were getting word that in places Ukraine was pushing back especially where Russia has pushed forward leaving the remaining troops a bit thin on the ground.

Pierre 07-03-2022 20:19

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36115884)
If he gets away with this, Moldova will be next, then Ukraine again, then he’ll try one of the ex-Sov Republics that in NATO (Latvia, Lithuania, etc.) - he’ll keep pushing, because that’s what bullies do…

He’s previously stated he intends to get all the ex-Sov Republics (and more) into a “Great Russian Empire" - he won’t stop until he’s stopped.

He won’t surrender, so this continues unless he’s replaced or a negotiated settlement is conducted.

1andrew1 07-03-2022 20:23

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36115870)
Exactly, he is trying to find a way out. He can't be allowed to have this invasion pay off with more land and force a sovereign state to adopt his foreign policy. It's up to Ukraine who they ally with.

I doubt they would trust Putin's Russia. Ukraine gave up nuclear weapons for the promise that their borders would be intact and this promise was not honoured.

Pierre 07-03-2022 20:25

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36115889)
this promise was not honoured.

By the US, U.K. and Russia

1andrew1 07-03-2022 20:39

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36115890)
By the US, U.K. and Russia

Just the last country on the list. The UK and US have not violated Ukraine's territory.

And Gorbachev is on record as being happy for Poland etc to join NATO in case you're eluding to that particular myth espoused by Putin and his friends.

Hugh 07-03-2022 21:04

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaymoss (Post 36115886)
But it could slow hm down and get him out and about long enough for a joint intelligence operation to put a bullet in his head

Real life isn’t a Tom Clancy book…

---------- Post added at 21:04 ---------- Previous post was at 21:02 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36115893)
Just the last country on the list. The UK and US have not violated Ukraine's territory.

And Gorbachev is on record as being happy for Poland etc to join NATO in case you're eluding to that particular myth espoused by Putin and his friends.

As was posted in this thread on the 24th February
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36114518)
Refutation of the common misconception (mentioned by Vlad in his "justification of invasion" speech) that NATO would not expand Eastward.

Quote:

The topic of ‘NATO expansion’ was not discussed at all, and it wasn’t brought up in those years. … Another issue we brought up was discussed: making sure that NATO’s military structures would not advance and that additional armed forces would not be deployed on the territory of the then-GDR after German reunification. Baker’s statement was made in that context… Everything that could have been and needed to be done to solidify that political obligation was done. And fulfilled.”

“The agreement on a final settlement with Germany said that no new military structures would be created in the eastern part of the country; no additional troops would be deployed; no weapons of mass destruction would be placed there. It has been obeyed all these years.”
This statement is from someone who was there, and instrumental in the treaty negotiations - Mikhail Sergeyevich Gorbachev...

https://www.brookings.edu/blog/up-fr...achev-says-no/

This article is from over 7 years ago, so history is not being "rewritten" to justify current events (unlike with Putin's speeches).


Damien 07-03-2022 21:04

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36115885)
You have to give him a way out, or this continues.

This isn't giving him a way out, it's giving him a huge victory. One of the conditions will almost certainly be that sanctions are removed as well. So he would have won a compliant government in Ukraine, Crimea officially recognised as Russian and two new puppet 'independent' states. Huge success for Putin and a reward for his aggression.

It has to stop. We can't keep making concessions to his violence and bullying. It has ramifications beyond Ukraine to all of Europe. He'll just do it again and once again it'll be 'Well, you need to give him something'. We need him to lose and be seen to lose. Even if he gets the above via violence at least the sanctions will damage Russia's economy to the point it cost too much and not only does it make him think twice about another invasion but Russia won't have the economic ability to wage another war.

Pierre 07-03-2022 21:05

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36115893)
Just the last country on the list. The UK and US have not violated Ukraine's territory.

But they promised it’s security……….

Hugh 07-03-2022 21:07

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36115899)
But they promised it’s security……….

That was not the statement you answered…

Quote:

the promise that their borders would be intact and this promise was not honoured.
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36115890)
By the US, U.K. and Russia


BenMcr 07-03-2022 21:09

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36115899)
But they promised it’s security……….

Which of the following have the US and UK broken?

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buda...ity_Assurances

Quote:

According to the memorandum,[22] Russia, the US and the UK confirmed their recognition of Belarus, Kazakhstan and Ukraine becoming parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons and effectively abandoning their nuclear arsenal to Russia and that they agreed to the following:

Respect Belarusian, Kazakh and Ukrainian independence and sovereignty in the existing borders.[23]
Refrain from the threat or the use of force against Belarus, Kazakhstan or Ukraine.
Refrain from using economic pressure on Belarus, Kazakhstan or Ukraine to influence their politics.
Seek immediate Security Council action to provide assistance to Belarus, Kazakhstan or Ukraine if they "should become a victim of an act of aggression or an object of a threat of aggression in which nuclear weapons are used".
Refrain from the use of nuclear arms against Belarus, Kazakhstan or Ukraine.
Consult with one another if questions arise regarding those commitments.[19][24]

pip08456 07-03-2022 21:17

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36115888)
He won’t surrender, so this continues unless he’s replaced or a negotiated settlement is conducted.

Or the Russian army could be defeated.

Quote:

The Ukrainian Defence officials announced on Monday that Ukrainian forces had successfully re-taken the eastern city of Chuhuiv after Russian troops captured it. The General Staff said the defending forces had seized the city from the Russians and inflicted heavy losses on Putin's men in both personnel and equipment, killing two high-ranking Russian commanders. Meanwhile, the governor of Ukraine's Mykolayiv region says Ukrainian forces have now retaken the regional airport from Russian forces. As fighting enters its 12th day, Ukraine's military now estimates that 11,000 Russian soldiers have been killed in fighting along with the loss of 1,000 armoured vehicles, 290 tanks, 68 helicopters, 46 planes and dozens of other piece of hardware. Independent observers give lower totals, but Franz-Stefan Gady - of the International Institute for Strategic Studies - said the situation is never-the-less "slowly becoming unsustainable for Russia".
https://www.express.co.uk/news/world...dymyr-zelensky

Pierre 07-03-2022 21:19

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36115898)
This isn't giving him a way out, it's giving him a huge victory. One of the conditions will almost certainly be that sanctions are removed as well.

This is a negotiation between Ukraine and Russia, not Russia and the rest of the world.

Putin has now made Russia a pariah state, no other country is compelled to promise Russia anything.

Quote:

So he would have won a compliant government in Ukraine
Not compliant as in Belarus compliant, but just one that doesn’t join NATO or the EU.


Quote:

Crimea officially recognised as Russian and two new puppet 'independent' states. Huge success for Putin and a reward for his aggression.
He already has them.

Quote:

We can't keep making concessions to his violence and bullying.
We’re not the ones being killed.



Quote:

It has ramifications beyond Ukraine to all of Europe.
None NATO countries maybe

Quote:

He'll just do it again and once again it'll be 'Well, you need to give him something'.
maybe p, maybe not.

Quote:

We need him to lose and be seen to lose.
That will be totally unacceptable to him. Do you really want to back him into a corner so far……and gamble on what he may or may not do?

Quote:

Even if he gets the above via violence at least the sanctions will damage Russia's economy to the point it cost too much and not only does it make him think twice about another invasion but Russia won't have the economic ability to wage another war.
I think Russia has proven how weak they actually are, I think if this is resolved in this negotiation Putin goes away. They don’t have the military muscle they think they have, he gets off without looking weak and retires with his millions.

Mick 07-03-2022 21:36

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
A senior Pentagon official said Monday that 500 more American troops will be deployed to Europe

The official added that Putin had moved nearly all of his pre-staged troops -- estimated to be over 150,000 -- into Ukraine - AFP News Agency.

Pierre 07-03-2022 21:42

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36115900)
That was not the statement you answered…

It’s a side issue, yes, and maybe the wording of the Budapest memorandum gives the U.K. and US a way out. Ukraine has not been directly threatened “with” nuclear weapons but they have been directly attacked by a “nuclear” power…..so it comes down to interpretation, but you have to admit …..since 2014. We’ve hung Ukraine out to dry.

Our failure to act then has facilitated this. If we’d have been as united as we are now with sanctions etc, then this probably wouldn’t have got to this.


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