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-   -   Brexit (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33707507)

Damien 27-03-2019 22:16

Re: Brexit (New).
 
10 Tories voted to revoke Article 50! Revoke! Mental.

---------- Post added at 22:12 ---------- Previous post was at 22:10 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35988918)
The paper ballots were supposed to stop people looking over their shoulders in the lobbies and voting tactically. If they were actually still all sitting there with their papers poring over the options and trying to second guess each other then that’s actually worse in my view. We are at a point of national crisis, Parliament had the chance to draw a line under it, but instead they decided to play political games. Disgraceful.

Well yeah but that is absolutely what they did and what we expected them to do. The concept of voting again next week with the most popular options remaining was already priced into the decision making.

IMO The shock is how well the most radical options did. I thought people would naturally drift to Common Market 2.0/Norway as the middle ground but instead they went off to the extremes of 2nd Referendum. Revoke did better than May's deal!

---------- Post added at 22:16 ---------- Previous post was at 22:12 ----------

DUP abstained on Customs Union but theoretically I think they would support it in the end. The votes are there if the Government wrote it into the political declaration.

Dave42 27-03-2019 22:17

Re: Brexit (New).
 
one thing is certain no way will they let there be a no deal Brexit

Clarke’s UK’s wide Customs Union and the Confimatory public vote both got more votes that Mays deal

Damien 27-03-2019 22:25

Re: Brexit (New).
 
I'll never understand why the ERG didn't go for May's Deal, especially the 2nd time when it was clear what was happening. I don't know what they thought would happen but after the deal failed they were reportedly cheering and humming the Great Escape.

pip08456 27-03-2019 22:39

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35988906)
They're still counting the indicative votes. The expectation is no majority for any option but they want/hope for clear leaders to eliminate some and vote again next week.

Every indicitave vote was defeated.

Gavin78 27-03-2019 22:42

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Makes me laugh how they take a chunk out of May but couldn't even pull a deal off themselves.

jfman 27-03-2019 22:49

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35988866)
What if the people can't make a decision?

What margin of victory would be seen as acceptable.

What if it was

17,000,001 Remain

and

17,000,000 Leave

Do we Remain, all's fair, accept the result and bugger off.

and vice versa, Leave vote confirmed beyond question?

This is why a second referendum would be an absolute disaster. It has be sorted out now.

You are making the assumption the result will be close. A slim risk, but one worth taking.

Maggy 27-03-2019 22:55

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Stockpiling it is then..

1andrew1 27-03-2019 23:27

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35988924)
I'll never understand why the ERG didn't go for May's Deal, especially the 2nd time when it was clear what was happening. I don't know what they thought would happen but after the deal failed they were reportedly cheering and humming the Great Escape.

I think they just ended up wanting to defeat May's deal and hoped she would step down if she lost, with a more hardline Brexiter replacing her.

I suspect that the Withdrawal Agreement could end up a lot more representative of the country as a whole than the more narrow ERG take on Brexit.

If only Theresa May had done this at the start, she wouldn't have put herself, business and the country through lots of unnecessary stress.

---------- Post added at 23:27 ---------- Previous post was at 23:16 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gavin78 (Post 35988926)
Makes me laugh how they take a chunk out of May but couldn't even pull a deal off themselves.

May's be trying for years. They've only had a few days.

jfman 27-03-2019 23:31

Re: Brexit (New).
 
In her defence she’s came back with the best deal. The other options are no deal or some measure of BRINO.

nomadking 28-03-2019 01:04

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35988931)
In her defence she’s came back with the best deal. The other options are no deal or some measure of BRINO.

So what is your definition of BRINO(Brexit in name only), that isn't in the withdrawal agreement?

jfman 28-03-2019 07:14

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 35988933)
So what is your definition of BRINO(Brexit in name only), that isn't in the withdrawal agreement?

The WA is part one of a two step process. The next part shaping the future relationship which could be BRINO but could not.

Commitments to the single market and the customs union are already binding the final outcome to be BRINO.

Chris 28-03-2019 07:52

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35988920)

Well yeah but that is absolutely what they did and what we expected them to do. The concept of voting again next week with the most popular options remaining was already priced into the decision making.

That’s a risky strategy, if that’s what they were doing. MV3 (probably) comes next. Further indicative votes are hoped for on Monday but are not presently timetabled.

jonbxx 28-03-2019 08:49

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Nice breakdown of how parties voted last night here - https://twitter.com/MShepheard/statu...86640050053120

papa smurf 28-03-2019 09:06

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy J (Post 35988928)
Stockpiling it is then..

5 months ahead of you on that ;)

denphone 28-03-2019 09:09

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35988946)
5 months ahead of you on that ;)

You will be able to open a shop in a minute.;)

papa smurf 28-03-2019 09:13

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35988947)
You will be able to open a shop in a minute.;)

I'm war ready at my end :tu:

nomadking 28-03-2019 09:21

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35988935)
The WA is part one of a two step process. The next part shaping the future relationship which could be BRINO but could not.

Commitments to the single market and the customs union are already binding the final outcome to be BRINO.

The WA is effectively BRINO, and that is the ONLY deal that she has come up with. So the current "deal" IS BRINO.

In it there's an awful lot of this sort of thing, "unless so authorised by the Union".

Then there is the bit about the backstop:-
Quote:

2(1). The provisions of this Protocol shall apply unless and until they are
superseded, in whole or in part, by a subsequent agreement.
And that involves the UK being forced to remain in a customs union. Why would the EU agree to anything, when they get so much by not agreeing to anything? Especially as the attempted coup by the Remain side hasn't finished yet. What idiot allowed the "unless and until" bit, when that is possibly the biggest factor in the WA not being agreed.

OLD BOY 28-03-2019 09:50

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 35988949)
The WA is effectively BRINO, and that is the ONLY deal that she has come up with. So the current "deal" IS BRINO.

In it there's an awful lot of this sort of thing, "unless so authorised by the Union".

Then there is the bit about the backstop:-
And that involves the UK being forced to remain in a customs union. Why would the EU agree to anything, when they get so much by not agreeing to anything? Especially as the attempted coup by the Remain side hasn't finished yet. What idiot allowed the "unless and until" bit, when that is possibly the biggest factor in the WA not being agreed.

The thing that gets me is how you can have a protocol that you cannot ever unilaterally terminate in a temporary agreement! The backstop should end when the withdrawal agreement ends unless there is a separate agreement to the contrary.

Only the EU could come up with something so perverse. I'm not even so sure it could be enforced once the withdrawal agreement expires- once ended, where is the legal authority for the backstop?

1andrew1 28-03-2019 09:55

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35988951)
The thing that gets me is how you can have a protocol that you cannot ever unilaterally terminate in a temporary agreement! The backstop should end when the withdrawal agreement ends unless there is a separate agreement to the contrary.

Only the EU could come up with something so perverse. I'm not even so sure it could be enforced once the withdrawal agreement expires- once ended, where is the legal authority for the backstop?

A backstop can't be temporary or it wouldn't be a backstop.

ianch99 28-03-2019 10:07

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35988825)
What is a hard Brexiteer?

I am sick of these unjustly qualifying terms being used. There is no such thing. You want to Remain, you are not a hard Remainer. A person who wants to leave is not a hard leaver.

Here you go. A Hard Brexiter is one who supports a Hard Brexit - FullFact definition:

What is hard Brexit?

---------- Post added at 10:07 ---------- Previous post was at 10:06 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35988818)
I’m not here to defend Mogg or anyone in particular. As it happens I think Mogg is being a little revisionist of his own position. I’m just trying to ensure the discussion is a little closer to the totality of what people have said, rather than obsessing over selective one-liners that validate our existing viewpoints.

Acquis communautaire isn’t just fancy French for the sake of it. It is one of the key principles of the European Union and its existence is the reason for one of the main principled objections to UK membership. The Acquis is the body of EU law, but it is also the principle that once an area of national competence has become part of the body of EU law, it remains there permanently, and EU membership mandates full compliance with it.

As a third party, the UK can form treaties with the EU (or any other state, or supra-national institution) that allow cooperation on issues where it is in the mutual interest of the UK and whoever else. That means we may operate in line with the Acquis in some things, but crucially because we are not members of the EU we are not bound by all of it.

Dude, I know what the words mean. It is just no one in the country is using them ...

Mick 28-03-2019 11:25

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35988956)
Here you go. A Hard Brexiter is one who supports a Hard Brexit - FullFact definition:

Here you go nothing - No such thing as a Hard Brexit.

You want to leave the EU you are not a Hard Brexiteer - you are just a Brexiteer.

End of discussion. :rolleyes:

jfman 28-03-2019 11:34

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35988951)
The thing that gets me is how you can have a protocol that you cannot ever unilaterally terminate in a temporary agreement! The backstop should end when the withdrawal agreement ends unless there is a separate agreement to the contrary.

Only the EU could come up with something so perverse. I'm not even so sure it could be enforced once the withdrawal agreement expires- once ended, where is the legal authority for the backstop?

We agreed to it.

---------- Post added at 11:34 ---------- Previous post was at 11:32 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35988963)
Here you go nothing - No such thing as a Hard Brexit.

You want to leave the EU you are not a Hard Brexiteer - you are just a Brexiteer.

End of discussion. :rolleyes:

Can you advise on terminology to use to create a distinction between those that favour leaving under the May deal with those who want no deal? And who favour a customs union. It’s three different things they Brexiteers can’t even agree upon.

nomadking 28-03-2019 11:46

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35988964)
We agreed to it.
---------- Post added at 11:34 ---------- Previous post was at 11:32 ----------

Can you advise on terminology to use to create a distinction between those that favour leaving under the May deal with those who want no deal? And who favour a customs union. It’s three different things they Brexiteers can’t even agree upon.

Who is this "we".


Perhaps the Remain supporters should set out what a customs union truly entails, if they're going keep going on about it.

1andrew1 28-03-2019 11:47

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 35988966)
Who is this "we".

The United Kingdom.

jfman 28-03-2019 12:03

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 35988966)
Who is this "we".

Perhaps the Remain supporters should set out what a customs union truly entails, if they're going keep going on about it.

We, the United Kingdom as represented by our Government led by Theresa May exercising Royal prerogative in respect of negotiating international treaties.

I didn’t lose my rights because I disagreed with the minority or the population who voted for Brexit.

Damien 28-03-2019 12:06

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Government wants to bring back MV3 tomorrow. Do MPs grow up and accept this is what it is?

Chris 28-03-2019 12:20

Re: Brexit (New).
 
1 Attachment(s)
Here’s some interesting data for those inclined to swallow Chukka’s spin that there is movement towards a referendum or a customs union. The voting breakdown shows the extent to which last nights indicative votes split along party lines and really don’t betray movement at all.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1553775635

papa smurf 28-03-2019 12:24

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35988970)
Here’s some interesting data for those inclined to swallow Chukka’s spin that there is movement towards a referendum or a customs union. The voting breakdown shows the extent to which last nights indicative votes split along party lines and really don’t betray movement at all.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1553775635

I think the No no no no no no no no no's have it ;)

Dave42 28-03-2019 12:28

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35988969)
Government wants to bring back MV3 tomorrow. Do MPs grow up and accept this is what it is?

if it does it will be defeated again that's if speaker allows it

papa smurf 28-03-2019 12:30

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 35988972)
if it does it will be defeated again that's if speaker allows it

Better get stockpiling then before all the pot noodles and garlic have gone.

Dave42 28-03-2019 12:32

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35988973)
Better get stockpiling then before all the pot noodles and garlic have gone.

better get ready for a long extension ;)

1andrew1 28-03-2019 12:32

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35988969)
Government wants to bring back MV3 tomorrow. Do MPs grow up and accept this is what it is?

Talk of decoupling the Withdrawal Agreement from the Political Declaration.
Quote:

Labour’s Ben Bradshaw asks if what Leadsom has announced for tomorrow is meaningful vote three. And he says separating the withdrawal agreement from the political declaration would be “intolerable” and “potentially illegal”. He says that would involve asking MPs to vote on a blind Brexit.
Leadsom sidesteps the questions, and in her reply she just talks about the importance of honouring the referendum.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...-politics-live

Pierre 28-03-2019 12:34

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35988929)
May's be trying for years. They've only had a few days.

they've been talking about all these options for the same amount of time.

1andrew1 28-03-2019 12:37

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35988970)
Here’s some interesting data for those inclined to swallow Chukka’s spin that there is movement towards a referendum or a customs union. The voting breakdown shows the extent to which last nights indicative votes split along party lines and really don’t betray movement at all.

There may well be movement to a referendum or customs union but that data does not prove or disprove that theory. We would need another couple of years' data to do that. One vote is not a trend.

---------- Post added at 12:37 ---------- Previous post was at 12:36 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35988976)
they've been talking about all these options for the same amount of time.

They've only had the chance to vote now.

denphone 28-03-2019 13:15

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Government confirms tomorrow's vote ended to ensure UK can still delay Brexit until 22 May.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics...-politics-live

jfman 28-03-2019 13:19

Re: Brexit (New).
 
A delay of a delay. Remainers just have to push past 22 May then we are into 9 month extension teritory. From there a referendum is inevitable.

Dave42 28-03-2019 13:25

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Sky News

Verified account

@SkyNews
14m
14 minutes ago


More
The Brexit debate tomorrow will *not* be the third meaningful vote, Sky sources say.

Our correspondent @KateEMcCann explains the speculation.

More analysis here: http://po.st/dEPnq9

Pierre 28-03-2019 13:29

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35988982)
A delay of a delay. Remainers just have to push past 22 May then we are into 9 month extension teritory. From there a referendum is inevitable.

Will only get past April 12th, if the EU27 (all of them) agree to it, and on the radio this morning a Belgian MEP advised that is not in anyway a given.

jfman 28-03-2019 15:19

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35988984)
Will only get past April 12th, if the EU27 (all of them) agree to it, and on the radio this morning a Belgian MEP advised that is not in anyway a given.

Nor was March 29th. They’re as complicit in this game as our own MPs. They facilitate the pretence that something else is happening than what is obvious to me. We aren’t leaving unless leave wins a 2nd referendum.

Carth 28-03-2019 15:25

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Seems to me that the EU are so scared that we may possibly leave with no deal, they're willing to keep extending the default date . . .


. . . if only that worked for tax returns eh :D

denphone 28-03-2019 15:26

Re: Brexit (New).
 
There is diddly squat chance of a 2nd referendum...

1andrew1 28-03-2019 15:48

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35988986)
Seems to me that the EU are so scared that we may possibly leave with no deal, they're willing to keep extending the default date . . .


. . . if only that worked for tax returns eh :D

The more it's extended, the less likely it is to happen. ;)

---------- Post added at 15:48 ---------- Previous post was at 15:47 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35988987)
There is diddly squat chance of a 2nd referendum...

Trouble is - you can say that about all the options and one of them has to happen eventually. Or maybe not!

Carth 28-03-2019 16:19

Re: Brexit (New).
 
I've been musing on the future, and think a hung parliament would be the choice of many

https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/i...0wNk_RSyvXV4fT

Hugh 28-03-2019 16:20

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Indy
Quote:

Michael Gove has emerged as the bookmakers’ favourite to replace Theresa May as prime minister.

Mr Gove, the environment secretary, has seen his odds cut to as short as 3/1, according to Betfred.

Betfair put his odds at 4/1 and William Hill put them at 7/2.

It comes after Ms May said she would resign if her twice-defeated Brexit deal passes its third attempt.

Mr Gove was followed by Boris Johnson as second favourite at 4/1.

The former foreign secretary came in ahead of the current foreign secretary, Jeremy Hunt, and home secretary Sajid Javid, both at 10/1.

It comes as a poll found Mr Gove was seen as good prime minister material by 30 per cent of Tory backers, while 45 per cent disagreed, according to an Ipsos MORI survey.

He was overtaken by Mr Johnson, Mr Hunt and Mr Javid, who received approval ratings of 32 per cent.

Work and pensions secretary Amber Rudd was just behind on 31 per cent
It’s like Game of Thrones, but they’re all Joffrey...

denphone 28-03-2019 16:22

Re: Brexit (New).
 
l wonder how many followers Brutus has...

papa smurf 28-03-2019 16:38

Re: Brexit (New).
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35988990)
I've been musing on the future, and think a hung parliament would be the choice of many

[img]Download Failed (1)[/img]

Hanging's too good for them

but this

denphone 28-03-2019 16:55

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35988991)
Indy

It’s like Game of Thrones, but they’re all Joffrey...

Here is some Sky Data polling just to muddy the waters.

https://interactive.news.sky.com/MAY...ABS_280319.pdf

https://news.sky.com/story/sky-data-...ments-11677361

Pierre 28-03-2019 18:20

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35988985)
Nor was March 29th. They’re as complicit in this game as our own MPs. They facilitate the pretence that something else is happening than what is obvious to me. We aren’t leaving unless leave wins a 2nd referendum.

I wouldn’t bet against that being the case.

---------- Post added at 18:20 ---------- Previous post was at 18:17 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35988987)
There is diddly squat chance of a 2nd referendum...

I disagree, if April 12th and May 22nd come and go, and if we end up in a long extension then I would put a 2nd referendum as an almost certainty.

Gavin78 28-03-2019 19:02

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35988996)
I wouldn’t bet against that being the case.

---------- Post added at 18:20 ---------- Previous post was at 18:17 ----------



I disagree, if April 12th and May 22nd come and go, and if we end up in a long extension then I would put a 2nd referendum as an almost certainty.

I will still vote leave as well...

nodrogd 28-03-2019 19:32

Re: Brexit (New).
 
If May 22 comes & goes we will also have to elect MEPs. That’s going to be interesting. If the number of UKIP/Brexit Party MEPs goes up as a result, those wanting a second referendum are going to get very nervous. Not to mention what possible chaos a larger majority of these MEPs will cause in Brussels.

jfman 28-03-2019 20:35

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nodrogd (Post 35989000)
If May 22 comes & goes we will also have to elect MEPs. That’s going to be interesting. If the number of UKIP/Brexit Party MEPs goes up as a result, those wanting a second referendum are going to get very nervous. Not to mention what possible chaos a larger majority of these MEPs will cause in Brussels.

The People’s Vote campaign will be out in force encouraging a pro-EU vote. I think after so many signatures and the march few consider the anti-EU vote to be stronger than the pro-EU vote. You are correct, it’ll be interesting, and the final nail in the coffin of Brexit. 77 people walking down the coast will not sway it.

1andrew1 28-03-2019 21:27

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nodrogd (Post 35989000)
If May 22 comes & goes we will also have to elect MEPs. That’s going to be interesting. If the number of UKIP/Brexit Party MEPs goes up as a result, those wanting a second referendum are going to get very nervous. Not to mention what possible chaos a larger majority of these MEPs will cause in Brussels.

The Brexit Party and also a UKip Party could end up splitting the leave vote and reducing their MEP numbers.

Mr K 28-03-2019 22:00

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Seems the main Brexiteers (Johnson/Mogg) are now more interested in the Tory leadership than Brexit....
Shallow predictable people...
Respect to those Brexiteers that have stuck to their principles, even if I disagree with them.

Damien 28-03-2019 22:07

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Mogg isn't interested in the leadership, rumour is he is running Johnson's campaign.

1andrew1 28-03-2019 22:07

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35989006)
Seems the main Brexiteers (Johnson/Mogg) are now more interested in the Tory leadership than Brexit....
Shallow predictable people...
Respect to those Brexiteers that have stuck to their principles, even if I disagree with them.

In fairness to BoJo, he's been consistent - Brexit has always been about him increasing his chance of becoming PM.

Pierre 28-03-2019 22:18

Re: Brexit (New).
 
https://www.facebook.com/16018652267...923441?sfns=mo

The EU isn’t as unified as it makes out, ok this is one is a MEP in the Parliament not a leader in the Council.

But as this whole sorry mess goes further South, you can expect more of this as other states face up to the impact of buggering about with this.

nomadking 28-03-2019 22:21

Re: Brexit (New).
 
People keep blaming the Brexit side. Let's suppose for the sake of argument that they are. They've only in the past few weeks had any opportunity to block anything, so who has been blocking things for the past 2 years?

jfman 28-03-2019 22:35

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 35989011)
People keep blaming the Brexit side. Let's suppose for the sake of argument that they are. They've only in the past few weeks had any opportunity to block anything, so who has been blocking things for the past 2 years?

The Conservative Party?

---------- Post added at 22:35 ---------- Previous post was at 22:24 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35989007)
Mogg isn't interested in the leadership, rumour is he is running Johnson's campaign.

Is Mogg not a Roman Catholic? That’s a constitutional crisis in waiting.

Pierre 28-03-2019 22:41

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35989012)
The Conservative Party?

---------- Post added at 22:35 ---------- Previous post was at 22:24 ----------



Is Mogg not a Roman Catholic? That’s a constitutional crisis in waiting.

You’re right, he should have kept it hidden like Blair did.

Damien 28-03-2019 22:55

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35989009)
https://www.facebook.com/16018652267...923441?sfns=mo

The EU isn’t as unified as it makes out, ok this is one is a MEP in the Parliament not a leader in the Council.

But as this whole sorry mess goes further South, you can expect more of this as other states face up to the impact of buggering about with this.

The EU just wants it cover with but not to be the one who pushes the button on no deal.

nomadking 28-03-2019 22:56

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35989014)
You’re right, he should have kept it hidden like Blair did.

Nothing as such to hide. There is a tendency for those in what they consider to be "master" religions, that spouses that are not of that "master" religion have to convert. He only became a Catholic because Catholic Cherie insisted on it.

Damien 28-03-2019 22:58

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 35989011)
People keep blaming the Brexit side. Let's suppose for the sake of argument that they are. They've only in the past few weeks had any opportunity to block anything, so who has been blocking things for the past 2 years?

Well the first few months were lost to a General Election and the paralysed aftermath. It then just took time. Remember the full plan was formed at Chequers in July of last year. May had an agreement with the EU in late November.

nomadking 28-03-2019 22:59

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35989015)
The EU just wants it cover with but not to be the one who pushes the button on no deal.

Not sure that the EU wants a "no deal" as it also hurts them. As usual the EU(ie Germany and France) want it on their terms.

jfman 28-03-2019 23:02

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 35989018)
Not sure that the EU wants a "no deal" as it also hurts them. As usual the EU(ie Germany and France) want it on their terms.

Trading bloc wants positive outcome from negotiations shock.

The EU don’t want a no deal, but they’re certainly more prepared than we are.

N.B. “We” in this context means Great Britain and it’s territory on the island of Ireland.

Damien 28-03-2019 23:04

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 35989018)
Not sure that the EU wants a "no deal" as it also hurts them. As usual the EU(ie Germany and France) want it on their terms.

They don't want a no deal but they've accepted the possibility. Unless they really are the greatest bluffers in history then they were prepared to accept no deal over reopening the withdraw agreement.

But they don't want to be blamed for it either for their own domestic reasons. They would much rather we accept the deal but if we don't they don't want their own voters blaming them for it.

jfman 28-03-2019 23:28

Re: Brexit (New).
 
http://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2...0190718_en.pdf

A truly historic piece of legislation passed in no time at all. In addition the exception is 12th April based on a set of circumstances prescribed in regulations. The default is now 22nd May. Parliament will not get to vote on that extension.

We do not leave the European Union tomorrow in statute.

1andrew1 28-03-2019 23:35

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35989024)
http://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2...0190718_en.pdf

A truly historic piece of legislation passed in no time at all. In addition the exception is 12th April based on a set of circumstances prescribed in regulations. The default is now 22nd May. Parliament will not get to vote on that extension.

Remember when you were told that it would take weeks to pass such legislation. :D

nodrogd 28-03-2019 23:49

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35989004)
The Brexit Party and also a UKip Party could end up splitting the leave vote and reducing their MEP numbers.

I will put money on they won't field candidates for both in the same constituencies. There may also be quite a few disgruntled BREXIT voters who will abandon mainstream parties who they now see as unwilling to agree on what they voted for.

Mick 28-03-2019 23:59

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35989025)
Remember when you were told that it would take weeks to pass such legislation. :D

Remember when I told members to not to be so antagonistic?

It’s not a whole piece of legislation that has changed though is it, just exit day and done so by the Executive of the day.

So don’t take the piss if you wish to continue contributing in this topic. :dozey:

Maggy 29-03-2019 00:01

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Well it will be interesting come the next GE just who gets culled and who stays.

jfman 29-03-2019 00:06

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Even myself I had missed that the date was amendable by statutory instrument under the affirmative procedure.

It requires a 90 minute debate I think and can’t be delayed or amended once laid by the Government. It’s a straightforward yes or no. With 400 MPs against a no deal Brexit, it’s essentially a vote of no confidence away from being laid by a minister that commands the confidence of the house to do so. As long as they get the ball rolling before at the start of May (which will ironically be the end of May).

1andrew1 29-03-2019 00:26

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Two interesting pieces show how the odds were stacked against the UK as the EU imposed its terms on how the negotiations were structured.

Former Greek finance minister. Says Theresa May should have not accepted a two-phase negotiation.
https://www.ft.com/video/01aef2cb-81...b-85a0c9559097

Sir Ivan Rogers who resigned as the UK’s ambassador to the EU in 2017. Talks of how the UK created in December 2017 and how the EU maximised its position throughout 2017. Says a year from now, the risk is nothing happens. Withdrawal terms are the easy bit. The hardest bit is the trade agreement.
https://www.theguardian.com/news/aud...erms-of-brexit

denphone 29-03-2019 04:44

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy J (Post 35989029)
Well it will be interesting come the next GE just who gets culled and who stays.

l predict it will be a bloodbath..

Carth 29-03-2019 06:48

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35989003)
The People’s Vote campaign will be out in force encouraging a pro-EU vote. I think after so many signatures and the march few consider the anti-EU vote to be stronger than the pro-EU vote. You are correct, it’ll be interesting, and the final nail in the coffin of Brexit. 77 people walking down the coast will not sway it.

I like that, I like it a lot :D

It's probably that sort of condescending attitude that kicked it all off to start with . .

#neverlearndothey

:rolleyes:

papa smurf 29-03-2019 07:56

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35989037)
I like that, I like it a lot :D

It's probably that sort of condescending attitude that kicked it all off to start with . .

#neverlearndothey

:rolleyes:

The legendary superiority of the losers :tu:

papa smurf 29-03-2019 08:18

Re: Brexit (New).
 
1 Attachment(s)
looks like another fraught day in parliament

denphone 29-03-2019 08:30

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35989041)
looks like another fraught day in parliament

l had a chuckle at that when l saw it earlier.:D:D

Maggy 29-03-2019 08:41

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35989035)
l predict it will be a bloodbath..

No I just think that a fair number will be shown the exit by a fed up electorate.

---------- Post added at 08:41 ---------- Previous post was at 08:41 ----------

BTW it might be an idea to consider phrasing in regards to MPs and retribution. Jo Cox should be a reminder of what happens when rhetoric get a little too strong.

denphone 29-03-2019 08:46

Re: Brexit (New).
 
l never meant it in that way Maggy but l will phrase it another way in future.

peanut 29-03-2019 09:04

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35989047)
l never meant it in that way Maggy but l will phrase it another way in future.

Is this what this place has come to. Some people should get a grip.

jfman 29-03-2019 09:23

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35989039)
The legendary superiority of the losers :tu:

I’m saying what I think will happen, not what I want to happen.

From the politicians perspective it’s hard to tell 17 million people they are wrong without some air of superiority.

Carth 29-03-2019 09:27

Re: Brexit (New).
 
It's the 'apology age' innit, the next stage of evolution :D

Doff your cap to the guy mugging the pensioner outside the bank
Smile and politely wave at those who cut you up in traffic
Don't use words like 'bugger' on internet forums & social media

. . . oh darn it, I failed ;)

jonbxx 29-03-2019 09:44

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35989009)
https://www.facebook.com/16018652267...923441?sfns=mo

The EU isn’t as unified as it makes out, ok this is one is a MEP in the Parliament not a leader in the Council.

But as this whole sorry mess goes further South, you can expect more of this as other states face up to the impact of buggering about with this.

Alice Weidel is not an MEP and that speech was not in the EU Parliament. She is leader of AfD and that speech is in the Bundestag. AfD are a particularly unpleasant group of individuals but luckily in the minority in the Bundestag.

TheDaddy 29-03-2019 10:32

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35989039)
The legendary superiority of the losers :tu:

How's being a winner working out for ya, could be the new brexit slogan, we're all losers now

papa smurf 29-03-2019 10:57

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35989055)
How's being a winner working out for ya, could be the new brexit slogan, we're all losers now

Financially i'm doing well out of it , thanks for asking.

ianch99 29-03-2019 11:07

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35989057)
Financially i'm doing well out of it , thanks for asking.

Now this would be the best Brexit slogan ever! Thank you for this.

Everytime you see Mogg and Johnson in the press, on the TV, etc. just put this line under their picture :)

1andrew1 29-03-2019 11:11

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35989039)
The legendary superiority of the losers :tu:

Sadly, we all became losers when we yielded to the EU and ERG by invoking Article 50 without a plan.

---------- Post added at 11:11 ---------- Previous post was at 11:11 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35989058)
Now this would be the best Brexit slogan ever! Thank you for this.

Everytime you see Mogg and Johnson in the press, on the TV, etc. just put this line under their picture :)

Nail on t'head!

papa smurf 29-03-2019 11:20

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35989058)
Now this would be the best Brexit slogan ever! Thank you for this.

Everytime you see Mogg and Johnson in the press, on the TV, etc. just put this line under their picture :)

I've sold out of EU flags and remain t shirts, got i love brexit mugs going cheap ;)

Mr K 29-03-2019 11:54

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Meanwhile nobody in the Canary Islands cares, no mention in the news. Quite rightly more concerned about climate change....

Nice front page from the Standard.
https://mobile.twitter.com/George_Os...290368/photo/1

denphone 29-03-2019 12:01

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35989062)
Meanwhile nobody in the Canary Islands cares, no mention in the news. Quite rightly more concerned about climate change....

Nice front page from the Standard.
https://mobile.twitter.com/George_Os...290368/photo/1

Well George has got a few scores to settle with his old pals Mr K.;)

Maggy 29-03-2019 12:06

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35989047)
l never meant it in that way Maggy but l will phrase it another way in future.

I meant everyone in that suggestion..it's just a reminder for all.

TheDaddy 29-03-2019 12:09

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35989059)
Sadly, we all became losers when we yielded to the EU and ERG by invoking Article 50 without a plan!

But that's not their fault, apparently no pressure was exerted to trigger article 50 without a plan, leave campaigned to have a plan before triggering and despite all the crappy articles he bored us with demanding it's triggering asap Daniel Hannan is now saying the exact opposite, that he never said that at all, we really do get the politicians we deserve as every time they get away with it

Pierre 29-03-2019 12:50

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35989067)
But that's not their fault, apparently no pressure was exerted to trigger article 50 without a plan, leave campaigned to have a plan before triggering and despite all the crappy articles he bored us with demanding it's triggering asap Daniel Hannan is now saying the exact opposite, that he never said that at all, we really do get the politicians we deserve as every time they get away with it

You mean like this guy did?

https://labourlist.org/2016/06/corby...e-invoked-now/

jfman 29-03-2019 13:26

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35989069)

If the opposition tells the Government to do something it’s up to the government to work out of its a trap or not.

TheDaddy 29-03-2019 13:40

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35989069)

Unless Corbyn has denied doing that recently in an attempt negate any responsibility then no not like that guy, you carry on playing party politics though and letting them get away with it

Dave42 29-03-2019 14:27

Re: Brexit (New).
 
MPs voting on withdrawal agreement

denphone 29-03-2019 14:37

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 35989077)
MPs voting on withdrawal agreement

l still think She will lose as the DUP won't support her plus some others who are bitterly against the WA.

mrmistoffelees 29-03-2019 14:37

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Think it's going to be very very tight...

1andrew1 29-03-2019 14:38

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35989067)
But that's not their fault, apparently no pressure was exerted to trigger article 50 without a plan, leave campaigned to have a plan before triggering and despite all the crappy articles he bored us with demanding it's triggering asap Daniel Hannan is now saying the exact opposite, that he never said that at all, we really do get the politicians we deserve as every time they get away with it

So we agreed to invoke Article 50 in a rush, agreed a financial settlement with the EU. Then in the trade agreement, what do we actually have left to negotiate with? The Withdrawal Agreement weakens our position and the EU knows it.

Dave42 29-03-2019 14:39

Re: Brexit (New).
 
Theo Usherwood

Verified account

@theousherwood
4m
4 minutes ago


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