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Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
EU and USA trade deal in negotiations
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The original idea of leaving the EU single market and CU and re-establishing a new relationship via a FTA should have been a simple thing to arrange. Simple because all the rules, regulations and standards the EU require goods and services to meet, we already adhere to. But the EU want to make sure that Brexit is not a success, they want to ensure we are shackled to their courts and institutions and most importantly they want to ensure that we still pay into their budgets. Which is why they are playing the political game they are. For the record, I voted remain not because of any love of the EU but because, pragmatically, I knew that we would end up still shackled to the EU, I new we'd end up accepting their Rules and Regs and paying into their budget, but not being at the table as a member. So what was the point in leaving? And it looks I have been proven right. Personally, I would walk away. It would be an economic shock, we don't know how bad.. or good. But we would recover, and I bet an FTA would be sorted out very quickly when lots of European suppliers realised that their products just got a whole more expensive to one of their biggest markets, who could now go elsewhere for cheaper alternatives. The EU are not strong. Trump just wacked on a load of high tariffs, threatened a trade war and what did they do? Well they tried to retaliate by putting tariffs on Harleys etc but then Trump just threatened putting tariffs on all EU cars and within a week or two Junkers was over there saying they'll scrap tariffs on a lots of goods. Quote:
You can say what you want about Trump, but he has a backbone and doesn't care who he upsets, but he got the result he wanted. I would have thought we buy as many French, Spanish, Italian and especially German cars than the USA does..................... I wish our leaders had any backbone |
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Good news for no deal fans where we simply fall back to WTO schedules - we have submitted our proposed tarifff schedule to the WTO a couple of days ago. https://www.wto.org/english/news_e/n..._24jul18_e.htm
If there are no objections in three months, they will be accepted. If there are, negotiations will start between member countries |
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EU has rejected May’s idea anyway. I guess it now depends if the Government want a FTA or attempt to delay the article 50 deadline to continue to try and get a bespoke one.
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and see you avoided the question what be only country in world with 0 trade deals |
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Saw a lot of unhappy punters queuing outside the Chunnel yesterday (for weather reasons). The Great British public had better get used to that, and it won't be weather related, however it's what they wanted !
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That’s just typical fear mongering bullshit at it’s finest Mr K. People can still sail or fly, to Europe destinations, or go elsewhere in the world, there are far better places than Europe. They won’t suddenly stop Brits going there, that’s economic suicide for them.
It’s totally expected that Remainers that have never accepted the referendum result, will step up their scaremongering strategies, with bollocks about the need to stockpile food and medicine and demonstrate false narratives that are purely designed to cause panic. Anybody would wonder how the hell we managed back prior to joining the bloc back in the 70s. We did just fine, then we made a catastrophic decision to join the union that has handicapped us as well as fleece us, for over 40 years, no bloody more! |
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The issue with the channel will be how all these structures work. I imagine we'll be able to go into Europe without a visa, I am not sure how customs checks will work or how the flight area works. We can get agreements for all of this but you're on the one advocating we don't do a deal. Quote:
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Finally the Brits have a chance to stand up to these EU imbeciles and say no bloody more, we want out, that's how it should be if we had a strong PM. As Inventor and Entrepreneur Sir James Dyson has said - Us leaving the EU, would hurt them more than it would hurt us. |
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I didn't say you didn't say there were not decent places to go in Europe. I said there are amazing places to go. It's not a 'factual analysis' to say there are better places to go, it's a subjective opinion. People like different things. Quote:
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Opps! fixed
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You never learn. You are now suspended until further notice. |
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Originally Posted by Damien It's the EU that's being bloody difficult as always, demanding concessions all the time - they are a corrupt set of unelected old morons, who totally disgust me. I no longer want to be a EU Citizen, I absolutely detest everything about the EU and what it has become and what it wants to become. But somewhat valid nevertheless! Certainly reflecting or partially reflecting a considerable body of opinion in this thread. ---------- Post added at 17:08 ---------- Previous post was at 17:07 ---------- It's not yet raining here in Rutland. It's all Juncker's fault! |
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End result, total over reaction on my part and where I am wrong, I am not ashamed to admit it. I obviously removed the suspension when I was advised it wasn't what you had intended. |
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According to Channel 5, we import 70% of the medicines that we need.
Senior civil servants are warning that, if we leave with a no deal Brexit, hospitals will run out of drugs within two weeks. True? Scaremongering? |
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We managed in the 70's... we can and will manage again if people really truly believe that Britain can do things without the EU like we did 40 years to prior to ever joining the Union, sure let's do a deal but we do not want to be shackled to the EU and they tell us what we can and cannot do still, problem is there is saboteurs at every corner who want Brexit to fail, to prove and say, "I told you so.", it is so wrong and sad, a country should be able to thrive and strive on it's own without the meddling of a corrupt union, aka the EU. |
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As for the corrupt EU, I still don't recall any major corruption. Are you looking to that uncorrupted pair of gangsters Trump/Putin for trade? |
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how many Eu countries can afford to lose trade with the UK . This is a bit like those airbuses that are going to fly without wings . |
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I really hope that there won't be a shortage of drugs, I rely on a lot of medication to keep me going, as do many others.
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I don't think it will happen because I don't with the UK or the EU will let no-deal happen and instead have some sort of fudge that keeps all the EU stuff in place as part of the 'transition period' while talks continue. People need to talk about what's actually happening though. No one has said the EU will stop selling us stuff. |
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You should know your history.............Because it was just a trading block at the time. The was no political slant sold to us. |
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Pierre is right and we were right to join the EEC. I do recall, however, that Heath did it more or less on his own, though with a Parliamentary vote. Note that the Common Market became the EEC, then the EC and now the EU (since around 1993).
Talk about scope creep! ---------- Post added at 10:29 ---------- Previous post was at 10:24 ---------- Another thing is bothering me now. Not only was the 52/48 thing finely sort of balanced, but with the Japan FTA and perhaps a decent chance of a US FTA, the objective economic balance is moving. If we can maintain our never closer union position (goes to the sovereignty backstop) then I can see a Remain vote if a second referendum occurred. |
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no deal is the worst thing that can happen |
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this rag is even petitioning for "a peoples vote" why? because in the referendum the wrong people won . i wouldn't wipe my backside on it if was desperate . |
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The worst part of it is that the EU are behaving nastily towards us. Why would we want to be in their club given they've shown their true colours?
The Remainers on this thread have answered the above question. Although the Remainers haven't conceded that the EU is behaving nastily, they know it but feel that protection of our economy is more important than getting away from an EU that treats us so badly. The EU logically says that it is we who decided to leave, so it is up to us to come up with relationship proposals that suit the EU. Nothing we propose that they perceive as being to our advantage will ever suit the EU. Then we have a useless guvmin that couldn't get to grips with this day 1 reality. Fox and co had convinced themselves that a trade agreement with the EU would be a doddle; they'd called the EU names for years but never took steps in power to forestall the eventuality we are now facing. As March approaches, appraisals of the type made above will grow in frequency and assertiveness and public unrest will grow. A bubble then has to burst. First it is likely to be the Conservative Party although that can be avoided by a change of leader. Second, public unrest could be assuaged by a second referendum which I'm now certain will lead to a Remain decision by a larger than 52/48 ratio. As I've said before, I don't mind remaining in the EU provided that we are not bound by "ever closer union" and we can use our picador sticks on them to get France's protective mantle lifted; to get Germany's illegal 8% surplus reduced to 3%; stay out of the Euro. But as I'm not allowed to call the Brussels lot "turds" I can only lament as to how we got to this stage and how let down we are by the Guvmin. |
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Incidentally, we have already been in discussions with other countries to secure trade deals after we leave the EU. I should also remind you that we don't need trade deals in order to trade. |
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If one member of the EMA approves a drug, it is approved across the whole EU. It’s a nice system that works well for the industry and the consumer. The big question is tha will we accept EMA approved drugs post Brexit? What about new drugs? A large number of bio.ogicals are made in Ireland and approved by the Irish regulatory bodies. Do we trust the going forward? If yes, what happens if something goes wrong, who is liable? What if there is a disagreement on the regulatory approaches? If no, we may need to approve all EMA approved drugs to MHRA standards going forward. It’s a tough one! Do we trust a foreign drug agency to protect the health of British patients. In a WTO situation, if we accept EMA standards, we may need to accept any third party standards. Regulated industries are terrified about this at present. See also aviation as an example... |
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There are so many people, it seems, that appear to have forgotten that we did have a (very successful) history before the EU! ---------- Post added at 19:09 ---------- Previous post was at 19:07 ---------- Quote:
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@OLD_BOY
You were rather convinced that the Chequers Plan would fly. At least that's my interpretation of your words when replying to Remainers (and others) who were trashing it. Now that the EU has trashed the key component (Customs) what is your next forecast as to what will happen? |
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I didn’t believe that, either! Did you? ---------- Post added at 19:21 ---------- Previous post was at 19:18 ---------- Quote:
Either scenario is OK by me. |
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Now it seems you are optimistic that the EU will sort of come to its senses and allow us to administer their customs duty collection. Is that your position? |
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As for the Millennium Bug if we hadn't of made preparations and anticipated the problem we would have been in trouble. But we made the necessary adjustments. We've made no preparations for No Deal because this Government is useless and unable to do much because of it's weak position. ('strong and stable' LMAO ! ) |
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Will drugs produced to EMA standards be acceptable in the UK? Will drugs produced to UK standards be acceptable in EMA governed countries Will the UK contribute to international drug bodies such as the International Committee for Harmonisation How will raw materials quality be governed? How will raw material manufacturers in the UK be inspected before shipment to other countries? These questions and others need an answer and soon so plans can be made. Of course this and other industries existed before we joined the EU but the industry has changed beyond all recognition. The best selling drug in the 70s was Valium. It’s now Etanercept, an incredibly complicated product to manufacture. |
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If people don't have the stomach for this when what will happen when it comes to the US who will certainly attempt to leverage the size of their economy to exact the most concessions from us possible? Do we just pack up and go home then too? |
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Hence the likely upcoming fudge.
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If you think the obstacles looming out of the mist are illusory then prove it. Explain why we will not have delays at the border. explain why we will not suffer financially, etc. Repeating "we will be fine, have faith" with no proof or worked examples is just hot air. Remember, large numbers of Leaves voters were promised they would be better off and voted on the basis of this. ---------- Post added at 11:59 ---------- Previous post was at 11:49 ---------- Here's interesting analysis of the recent question on impact of WTO rules on Fact checking Sir Michael Rawlins statements in relation to Insulin and #Brexit. Should we be worried? It aims to be objective on the issue, no tabloid headlines just an adult perspective. Quote:
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Or the 60s |
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I can remember an issue from several years ago, where UK regulations for UHT milk were stricter than in France. We were forced to accept French UHT milk which didn't meet our own internal regulations which our producers had to meet. UHT milk may not be much of an issue, but it does demonstrate the issue. |
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Yeah we can accept whatever we want. There is nothing stopping us importing stuff other than our own laws. Going out is a different question.
With medication I suspect we'll conform to the EU regulations for a long while anyway because I can't see why we wouldn't. |
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:gpoint:
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BREAKING: Number 10: No plans to call in the army if Britain leaves EU without a deal.
Just goes to show the stories like the one this weekend of the army being on standby, are from Remainers launching Project Fear 2.1 with fiction in combination with the Fake News Media. ---------- Post added at 13:41 ---------- Previous post was at 13:20 ---------- https://s.faketrumptweet.com/jk89ezu4_wwn8dm_nvv5d3.png :rofl: |
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That was due to a report in project fears biggest promoter, The Sunday Times.
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Looks like everyone is at the Project Fear Fake News game, even the Remain loving Daily Express :)
Army ready for BREXIT NO DEAL: Troops to deliver food and medicine – blueprints REVEAL Must be untrue if the Express says it ... |
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Also the Army are on standby for things a lot. When there is flooding the army comes in and when G4S couldn't handle security for the Olympics then the army covered. In the end it's costs nothing and if the ports end up being gridlocked then everyone here would be blaming May for not having a plan-B. I am miffed at the people who not only want no deal but don't want us to make any preparations for it. Quote:
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The major concern regarding drug shortages is holdups at the import stage, especially for cold chain drugs such as vaccines and other biologicals, hence the article from Sir Michael Rawlins, head of the MHRA- https://www.pharmaceutical-journal.c...irstPass=false |
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After all, that's what their reports are. |
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Anything in and coming from the EU, is supposed to meet EU regulations. That is supposed to be one of the EUs concerns. That the UK could produce or export something to the EU that doesn't meet their regulations, unless the EU restricts and checks the items. |
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Hence I expect there to be a fudge. Damien agrees with me!
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Meanwhile, a Sky survey has some bad news for Theresa May with just 10% of the British public thinking the Government is doing a good job on Brexit. Quote:
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If we leave the EU without a deal (aka "clean break", "hard Brexit") then we trade on WTO terms and have to treat every WTO member the same hence talk of delays. |
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Bit more information here for those wishing to grow their understanding of how Dover might be impacted. This comes from impact reports from the local (Conservative) authorities there.
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:D13 miles thats a normal day on the M25, thanks to lane hogers on idiots holding their phones.
Project fear yet again.:rolleyes: |
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It also assumes trade deals have not already been brokered elsewhere and just awaiting Brexit to be signed. |
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It seems to me that we (Guvmin) have pursued a special deal policy (aka cherry picking) when all we really need is a Canada deal which they have offered. Take that and get on with it.
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