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-   -   2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33663010)

Dai 09-05-2010 00:28

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
http://cgi.ebay.co.uk/ws/eBayISAPI.d...#ht_500wt_1182

Tuftus 09-05-2010 00:55

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by dainasty (Post 35017350)

roflcopter !!11one!!

Tezcatlipoca 09-05-2010 01:39

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 35017320)
If Clegg & co were that concerned about democracy they would insist that any major constitutional issue such as PR should be decided using a referendum and that any England only matters would be decided by only English MPs with a Conservative led English Parliament/administration(ie the Lib-Dems would keep out of votes on England only matters).

Well, first off, the Lib Dems do want a referendum on introducing PR!

[They also want: a written constitution, subject to final approval in a referendum; an In/Out referendum the "next time next time a British government signs up for fundamental change in the relationship between the UK and the EU"; and a referendum on joining the Euro if it is ever determined to be economically worthwhile to do so]

Also, going back to earlier mentions of PR by other people: It is important to note that there is not one single basic "PR" system, such as the "party list" system many use as an example, there are many types, with different pros & cons.

The system favoured by the Lib Dems (and by the Electoral Reform Society, and by Conservative Action for Electoral Reform...) is the Single Transferrable Vote (STV):

http://www.electoral-reform.org.uk/article.php?id=48

http://www.conservativeelectoralreform.org/STV.htm


As for England: The Lib Dems want a more Federal UK, with more decentralisation of power, & want to address the status of England during a Constitutional Convention to draw up a written constitution for the whole UK.

And also... "the Lib-Dems would keep out of votes on England only matters"???? Erm, do you not realise that there are many Lib Dem MPs in ENGLAND?! (my own MP in Cambridge being one of them... Unless Cambridge & other LD-held constituencies have been moved to another nation within the UK without me or anyone else realising? :confused:)

papa smurf 09-05-2010 09:11

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
General Election 2010: Gordon Brown 'launched telephone rant' at Nick Clegg

It was claimed Mr Brown's approach was to begin "a diatribe" and "a rant" and the source said the Labour leader was "threatening in his approach to Nick Clegg".

Mr Clegg was said to have came off the phone assured that it would be impossible to work with Brown because of his attitude towards working with other people.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/elec...ick-Clegg.html

Sirius 09-05-2010 09:25

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35017422)
General Election 2010: Gordon Brown 'launched telephone rant' at Nick Clegg

It was claimed Mr Brown's approach was to begin "a diatribe" and "a rant" and the source said the Labour leader was "threatening in his approach to Nick Clegg".

Mr Clegg was said to have came off the phone assured that it would be impossible to work with Brown because of his attitude towards working with other people.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/elec...ick-Clegg.html

Bigot gate all over again :)

papa smurf 09-05-2010 09:42

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sirius (Post 35017425)
Bigot gate all over again :)

it confirms my belief that he has no interest in any one else s opinion ,he has a one track mind that has brought the country to the brink of disaster ,and plans to carry on regardless until he is physically ejected from no 10 ,i predict a long slow recovery in a mental institution as i firmly believe he's going to blow a gasket .

Gary L 09-05-2010 10:15

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35017428)
i firmly believe he's going to blow a gasket .

That's what we're all hoping to see on the tele.

probably see the reporter outside number 10 talking about him being defeated and you hear him shouting and throwing stuff out the door onto the pavement and at the cameras :)

Sirius 09-05-2010 10:31

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35017428)
it confirms my belief that he has no interest in any one else s opinion ,he has a one track mind that has brought the country to the brink of disaster ,and plans to carry on regardless until he is physically ejected from no 10 ,i predict a long slow recovery in a mental institution as i firmly believe he's going to blow a gasket .

Would love to see the bailiffs sent in to evict him :LOL:

injuneer 09-05-2010 11:02

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Does anyone actually believe what the Telegraph or any other newspaper says?

Ignitionnet 09-05-2010 11:40

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by injuneer (Post 35017459)
Does anyone actually believe what the Telegraph or any other newspaper says?

They were citing the BBC, the story specifically states they were citing the BBC. First paragraph:

Quote:

The BBC reported the confrontation based on remarks by a "very senior Lib Dem source who is involved in the negotiations with the Conservatives".
Best to read before judging sir.

Anyone who takes what newspapers say at face value is naive, in this case they are on perfectly safe ground.

injuneer 09-05-2010 11:44

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
I still don't believe even Brown would be that stupid, if you're trying to woo supporters it would be suicidal.

Ignitionnet 09-05-2010 11:44

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Anyone have any thoughts on how this will affect things?

Forget a referendum on the Euro, we should have one on leaving the EU altogether in my opinion. Being asked to guarantee the debts of the Eurozone is totally unacceptable for the 11 EU-27 nations that don't use it and it speaks volumes for European 'democracy' that the Lisbon treaty that Brown rammed down our throats is already being misused, it's barely 6 months old.

BBC report on this.

punky 09-05-2010 11:50

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35017475)
Anyone have any thoughts on how this will affect things?

Forget a referendum on the Euro, we should have one on leaving the EU altogether in my opinion. Being asked to guarantee the debts of the Eurozone is totally unacceptable for the 11 EU-27 nations that don't use it and it speaks volumes for European 'democracy' that the Lisbon treaty that Brown rammed down our throats is already being misused, it's barely 6 months old.

Indeed.

And considering Cleg would love this and Cameron dead set against it, looks like the wheels of the coalition could fall off before its got going.

papa smurf 09-05-2010 11:52

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35017475)
Anyone have any thoughts on how this will affect things?

Forget a referendum on the Euro, we should have one on leaving the EU altogether in my opinion. Being asked to guarantee the debts of the Eurozone is totally unacceptable for the 11 EU-27 nations that don't use it and it speaks volumes for European 'democracy' that the Lisbon treaty that Brown rammed down our throats is already being misused, it's barely 6 months old.

we should send them a clear message -NO more money the eu is like a mill stone around our necks.

Ignitionnet 09-05-2010 12:04

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by punky (Post 35017476)
Indeed.

And considering Cleg would love this and Cameron dead set against it, looks like the wheels of the coalition could fall off before its got going.

Doubtful, it makes a pro-European position a lot less tenable. Above all else I think Clegg is a realist and pragmatist, his main problem will be selling pragmatism to those activists on the left of his party just as Cameron's will be about selling compromise to those on his right. A few Lib Dems are considerably closer to Cameron's policy view than some Conservatives.

Damien 09-05-2010 12:09

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35017482)
Doubtful, it makes a pro-European position a lot less tenable. Above all else I think Clegg is a realist and pragmatist, his main problem will be selling pragmatism to those activists on the left of his party just as Cameron's will be about selling compromise to those on his right. A few Lib Dems are considerably closer to Cameron's policy view than some Conservatives.

Yes, Also the Liberal Democrats would understand that they have to defer to the Tories on the majority of issues because they have far more votes and seats. As you say, while it may not suit Clegg, he is pragmatic. Not only that but he is unlikely to love bailing out EU countries, he wants to reform the EU anyway.

The Lib Dems would be happy with electoral reform, civil liberties (easy one considering both parties are close on this) and a seat or two in government.

Ignitionnet 09-05-2010 12:20

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
The Lib Dem voters I just heard on the BBC were typical of the activists:

Quote:

I didn't vote Conservative it would be totally wrong for there to be a Conservative Prime Minister and for the Lib Dems to support them.
No you didn't, but more people voted Conservative than Lib Dem so even under PR the Conservatives would be the dominant party and have the 'right' to decide the PM. Get over it and don't be asses, you've a chance to get a good part of your agenda through and make real progress, even if it's not as much as you'd wish for :(

EDIT: Likewise from the Tory point of view, they weren't given an overwhelming mandate and can either loosely govern or bite the bullet for the sake of the country, give ground, and give us a stable government sooner rather than later. At the moment what we need above all else is stability, which in my opinion only a Tory / Lib Dem coalition can give as the alternatives would be a mess.

Damien 09-05-2010 12:25

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35017494)
The Lib Dem voters I just heard on the BBC were typical of the activists:



No you didn't, but more people voted Conservative than Lib Dem so even under PR the Conservatives would be the dominant party and have the 'right' to decide the PM. Get over it and don't be asses, you've a chance to get a good part of your agenda through and make real progress, even if it's not as much as you'd wish for :(

One person is hardly indicative of the entire support. Besides I would suggest he was arguing for no alliance at all, which I admit would be a waste, rather than him suggesting the Lib Dems should control everything.

---------- Post added at 11:25 ---------- Previous post was at 11:24 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35017494)
EDIT: Likewise from the Tory point of view, they weren't given an overwhelming mandate and can either loosely govern or bite the bullet for the sake of the country, give ground, and give us a stable government sooner rather than later. At the moment what we need above all else is stability, which in my opinion only a Tory / Lib Dem coalition can give as the alternatives would be a mess.

Agreed. I would suggest a lot of Lib Dems voters went for Voting Reform and Civil Liberties, the latter already supported by the Tories. So give them for the former in return for support on the rest of the Tories policies.

Ignitionnet 09-05-2010 12:36

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35017502)
One person is hardly indicative of the entire support. Besides I would suggest he was arguing for no alliance at all, which I admit would be a waste, rather than him suggesting the Lib Dems should control everything.

Agreed, hence use of 'activists' as opposed to supporters. The concern is that these are the people who tend to shout loudest, on both sides.

speedfreak 09-05-2010 12:38

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Sorry for the dumb question, but at this moment in time, whos actually running the country? :confused:

Ignitionnet 09-05-2010 12:40

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by speedfreak (Post 35017517)
Sorry for the dumb question, but at this moment in time, whos actually running the country? :confused:

Labour as a caretaker government.

punky 09-05-2010 12:42

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by speedfreak (Post 35017517)
Sorry for the dumb question, but at this moment in time, whos actually running the country? :confused:

Brown is. He will until the Queen can install another government in his place.

Brown will be dealing with all the security issues and such that come up but he's trying to keep a low profile at the moment as he knows he lost.

SlackDad 09-05-2010 12:44

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by speedfreak (Post 35017517)
Sorry for the dumb question, but at this moment in time, whos actually running the country? :confused:

Gordon Brown is the Prime Minister and those who dispute his right to remain as PM are wrong. It's a simple fact.

He was asked to be PM by the Queen and at this moment in time is so until he resigns. Remember we don't elect a PM, we elect an MP and it is for them to decide.

---------- Post added at 11:44 ---------- Previous post was at 11:43 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by punky (Post 35017521)
Brown will be dealing with all the security issues and such that come up but he's trying to keep a low profile at the moment as he knows he lost.

And, incidentally, nobody actually won.

speedfreak 09-05-2010 12:44

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
So if some important decision needs to be made, its down to GB? Thanks as I said it might sound dumb but Im lost with whos running what at the moment

Ignitionnet 09-05-2010 12:48

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by speedfreak (Post 35017524)
So if some important decision needs to be made, its down to GB? Thanks as I said it might sound dumb but Im lost with whos running what at the moment

Correct.

Damien 09-05-2010 13:03

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Why don't Sky Interview politicians like this:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ELJh2bTK1ew

papa smurf 09-05-2010 13:11

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35017537)
Why don't Sky Interview politicians like this:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ELJh2bTK1ew

because they never give an answer to the question asked ,none of them have yes or no in there vocabulary ,and turn every question on its head :D

punky 09-05-2010 13:12

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35017537)
Why don't Sky Interview politicians like this:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ELJh2bTK1ew

Protesters and idealistic idiots like him need to be confronted. That said she were getting on my tits by the end of the interview.

SlackDad 09-05-2010 15:09

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by punky (Post 35017543)
Protesters and idealistic idiots like him need to be confronted. That said she were getting on my tits by the end of the interview.

What do you mean protesters and idealistic idiots like him need to be confronted? That's the kind of attitude that would have meant women never got the vote...

Surely this is proof if ever it was needed that Sky News has rapidly turned into Britain's version of Fox News.

Does she really think that 65% of those eligible to vote actually voted for a hung parliament? A hung parliament was the outcome of the system; not actually what people voted for... And to be really pedantic people actually voted for their MP...

---------- Post added at 14:04 ---------- Previous post was at 13:50 ----------

This is amusing:

Sack Kay Burley: Watch the BBC. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gSlt-...eature=related

---------- Post added at 14:09 ---------- Previous post was at 14:04 ----------

And a piece in, of all things, the Mail online: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/elec...ampaigner.html

punky 09-05-2010 15:10

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SlackDad (Post 35017596)
What do you mean protesters and idealistic idiots like him need to be confronted? That's the kind of attitude that would have meant women never got the vote...

Nice try. Emmeline Pankhurst et al. didn't have the vote during the Suffragette movement. He did. He isn't complaining over unjust civil rights. He (and a considerable number of others) are throwing their collective teddies in the corner because they didn't get the result they wanted.

You think the protests would have happened if the Lib Dems have won? And your comments are quite insulting to the memories of those that died (including Emily Davidson) so we can vote.

Quote:

[/COLOR]This is amusing:

Sack Kay Burley: Watch the BBC. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gSlt-...eature=related
No, its selfish. Its protesters over-inflated egos thinking that what they want to say is more important than whatever interview the viewers have tuned in for.

danielf 09-05-2010 15:19

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
hmmmm.

Quote:

A YouGov poll for The Sunday Times carried out after the election showed 62 percent of voters favored a more proportional system of voting. This was backed up by a BPIX poll for The Mail on Sunday, which found 60 percent would prefer proportional representation rather than the current system.

The Sunday Telegraph quoted an ICM poll which found 48 percent of voters favored a move to PR and 39 percent backed the current system.
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6480SY20100509

Gary L 09-05-2010 15:24

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SlackDad (Post 35017596)
Does she really think that 65% of those eligible to vote actually voted for a hung parliament? A hung parliament was the outcome of the system; not actually what people voted for... And to be really pedantic people actually voted for their MP...

It annoys me too saying that we voted for a hung parliament. especially when it wasn't even an option on the form.

Damien 09-05-2010 15:24

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by punky (Post 35017612)
Nice try. Emmeline Pankhurst et al. didn't have the vote during the Suffragette movement. He did. He isn't complaining over unjust civil rights. He (and a considerable number of others) are throwing their collective teddies in the corner because they didn't get the result they wanted.

You think the protests would have happened if the Lib Dems have won? And your comments are quite insulting to the memories of those that died (including Emily Davidson) so we can vote..

No. They wouldn't have done the protests if the Liberal Democrats had won because one of their key policies is to implement electoral reform. This was a key issue for them before the election and remains so afterwards, it is very disrespectful to portray it was "throwing their collective teddies in the corner because they didn't get the result they wanted".

The Conservatives "won" with a 36.1% of the vote. Hardly a mandate to wield absolute power, which without an elected second chamber is effectively what a majority government has in this country. The protesters are keen to get electoral reform without being insulted and ignored because got closer to the finish line than either other party.

He was not saying "let's change the system until we win", he is saying "let's change the system so because get the parliament they voted for. It is not a sporting event where the highest number win and everyone else is ignored, it's democracy and a key point of that should be that people are accurately represented in their government.

NoKnowledge 09-05-2010 15:26

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
I wonder what these 48% would say IF the Prop. Rep system was in place and went tits up and ended up like Greece.

Damien 09-05-2010 15:26

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by NoKnowledge (Post 35017619)
I wonder what these 48% would say IF the Prop. Rep system was in place went tits up and ended up like Greece.

Greece has a majority government.

NoKnowledge 09-05-2010 15:28

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
I was talking about IF there was the proportional representaion (PR)

Damien 09-05-2010 15:30

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by NoKnowledge (Post 35017622)
I was talking about IF there was the proportional representaion (PR)

Well Germany has managed a strong economy with a system of proportional representation, quite a few of the G20 have some form of collation governments. It is incorrect to suggest such systems led to weak economies.

Angua 09-05-2010 15:37

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
What I find most extraordinary about the insistence on FPTP particularly by Tory supporters is that Scotland would probably have more than one Tory MP as a result. In addition we might have more MP's who will work for their collective constituents than to line their own pockets as it would no longer be a guaranteed job for life in some areas..

danielf 09-05-2010 15:39

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Angua (Post 35017629)
What I find most extraordinary about the insistence on FPTP particularly by Tory supporters is that Scotland would probably have more than one Tory MP as a result. In addition we might have more MP's who will work for their collective constituents than to line their own pockets.

It doesn't surprise me at all. Lib Dems and Labour combined got more than 50% of the vote. The Tories would lose out under a more proportional system.

NoKnowledge 09-05-2010 15:42

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35017623)
Well Germany has managed a strong economy with a system of proportional representation, quite a few of the G20 have some form of collation governments. It is incorrect to suggest such systems led to weak economies.

But aren't the ideology of the major & minor parties that form coalitions similar where as in the UK the parties are almost worlds apart?

Damien 09-05-2010 15:46

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by NoKnowledge (Post 35017633)
But aren't the ideology of the major & minor parties that form coalitions similar where as in the UK the parties are almost worlds apart?

I would argue with the suggestion that the parties are worlds apart, I think they can be quite similar, in this country their doesn't seem to massive gulfs in ideology.

However, if it were the case that the parties are worlds apart, that is because of the current political system which requires hostility between the parties as it's winner takes all in the electoral system. If we had collation governments they would have to compromise and moderate themselves in order to work together.

punky 09-05-2010 15:48

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35017617)
No. They wouldn't have done the protests if the Liberal Democrats had won because one of their key policies is to implement electoral reform. This was a key issue for them before the election and remains so afterwards, it is very disrespectful to portray it was "throwing their collective teddies in the corner because they didn't get the result they wanted".

Yet they didn't protest before the election did they?

And Clegg's job is to assume control of the country. Do you think he would persue a policy that would keep him out of the running? He may be a liberal and part of the leftist elite but he has self-interest just like the centrists and those on the right.

Anyway, as per my previous post Clegg is the most powerful man in the country right now. Both other parties are bending over backwards trying to get Clegg on his side (well, Labour was at one point). He will massively shape the policies of the next government. I have not computed the various figures that of the dozens of systems Lib Dem supporters can dream up but i'd suggest that FPTP has been very kind to Lib Dems this time around.

If they wanted to protest about the election, why not protest Labour's constant gerrymandering?

Angua 09-05-2010 15:49

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by danielf (Post 35017630)
It doesn't surprise me at all. Lib Dems and Labour combined got more than 50% of the vote. The Tories would lose out under a more proportional system.

Under FPTP Labour need the smallest percentage of votes to get a majority, so why are the Tories so anti when it would probably favour them more (based on Euro MP's who are elected by PR).

danielf 09-05-2010 15:57

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35017635)
I would argue with the suggestion that the parties are worlds apart, I think they can be quite similar, in this country their doesn't seem to massive gulfs in ideology.

However, if it were the case that the parties are worlds apart, that is because of the current political system which requires hostility between the parties as it's winner takes all in the electoral system. If we had collation governments they would have to compromise and moderate themselves in order to work together.

It works both ways. In a two party system parties will tend to move to the center to get votes off each other. Under PR the extremes tend to get more representation. You also get more parties in parliament. Then again, the parties that actually get into government will tend to cooperate, leading to a consensus model.

---------- Post added at 14:57 ---------- Previous post was at 14:52 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Angua (Post 35017640)
Under FPTP Labour need the smallest percentage of votes to get a majority, so why are the Tories so anti when it would probably favour them more (based on Euro MP's who are elected by PR).

I don't think it would. Yes, the current system favours Labour most, but it also favours the Tories over the Lib Dems. PR would bring the Lib Dems in at the cost of Labour, but it would result in two parties on the left flank that would outnumber the Tories. Labour and Lib Dems combined got ~53% of the popular vote. The Tories ~35%. The current result would have been a nightmare for the Tories under PR.

SlackDad 09-05-2010 15:59

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by punky (Post 35017612)
Nice try. Emmeline Pankhurst et al. didn't have the vote during the Suffragette movement. He did. He isn't complaining over unjust civil rights. He (and a considerable number of others) are throwing their collective teddies in the corner because they didn't get the result they wanted.

No, they are complaining because they feel disenfranchised by the current electoral system which means that many votes are practically worthless.
No point in having the vote if it doesn't mean anything so in that sense not that far removed from not having the vote at all.

Quote:

Originally Posted by punky (Post 35017612)
You think the protests would have happened if the Lib Dems have won? And your comments are quite insulting to the memories of those that died (including Emily Davidson) so we can vote.

Can't say - but I would think not as the Lib Dems promised electoral reform.

I don't think the comments are insulting at all and I'm sure many who did die wouldn't fail to see the irony of a pointless voting system.

Your comments about confronting 'idiots' exercising their democratic right to peaceful protest is probably more insulting if you want to go down that road.



Quote:

Originally Posted by punky (Post 35017612)
No, its selfish. Its protesters over-inflated egos thinking that what they want to say is more important than whatever interview the viewers have tuned in for.

The protesters have every right to be there protesting peacefully. Are you saying they should be quiet for Sky news now or not protest against their perceived treatment by Sky News?

Angua 09-05-2010 16:08

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by danielf (Post 35017644)
It works both ways. In a two party system parties will tend to move to the center to get votes off each other. Under PR the extremes tend to get more representation. You also get more parties in parliament. Then again, the parties that actually get into government will tend to cooperate, leading to a consensus model.

---------- Post added at 14:57 ---------- Previous post was at 14:52 ----------



I don't think it would. Yes, the current system favours Labour most, but it also favours the Tories over the Lib Dems. PR would bring the Lib Dems in at the cost of Labour, but it would result in two parties on the left flank that would outnumber the Tories. Labour and Lib Dems combined got ~53% of the popular vote. The Tories ~35%. The current result would have been a nightmare for the Tories under PR.

Actually there are 40/72 Right of Centre UK MEP's (25 Tory, 13 UKIP & 2 BNP)

punky 09-05-2010 16:09

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SlackDad (Post 35017651)
No point in having the vote if it doesn't mean anything so in that sense not that far removed from not having the vote at all.

So they are protesting because the party they voted for didn't win? Going a bit full-circle here aren't we?

Quote:

Your comments about confronting 'idiots' exercising their democratic right to peaceful protest is probably more insulting if you want to go down that road.
Good. Hope they take heed. Although I doubt they'd care.

Quote:

The protesters have every right to be there protesting peacefully. Are you saying they should be quiet for Sky news now or not protest against their perceived treatment by Sky News?
Peaceful? With the racket they were making?

Still boils down to the fact they are selfish and their protest forced an interview off the air. My main gripe with protesters like these is that the only people that are affected are entirely innocent and don't give a toss about whatever the protesters are whinging about.

And no, before you say it, continuing employment of Kay Burley is not same as denying women or black people the right to vote.

Damien 09-05-2010 16:14

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

So they are protesting because the party they voted for didn't win? Going a bit full-circle here aren't we?
How many times. It's not about not winning, it's questioning the nature that there is a winner and loser instead of people being presented in the manor they voted.

SlackDad 09-05-2010 16:16

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by punky (Post 35017661)
So they are protesting because the party they voted for didn't win? Going a bit full-circle here aren't we?

No, they are protesting for electoral reform and feel that the time has finally come to fix the broken system.




Quote:

Originally Posted by punky (Post 35017661)
Peaceful? With the racket they were making?

A bit weak if you're playing semantics. Peaceful, i.e. non-violent as you know full well I suspect.

Quote:

Originally Posted by punky (Post 35017661)
Still boils down to the fact they are selfish and their protest forced an interview off the air. My main gripe with protesters like these is that the only people that are affected are entirely innocent and don't give a toss about whatever the protesters are whinging about.

Why are they selfish for forcing an interview off air? They don't have to bow down to Sky News now do they? And you know that all the viewers don't give a toss about what the protesters are whinging about, how exactly?

danielf 09-05-2010 16:17

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Angua (Post 35017658)
Actually there are 40/72 Right of Centre UK MEP's (25 Tory, 13 UKIP & 2 BNP)

Hmm, yes. Fair point. :tu:

punky 09-05-2010 16:35

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SlackDad (Post 35017673)
Why are they selfish for forcing an interview off air? They don't have to bow down to Sky News now do they? And you know that all the viewers don't give a toss about what the protesters are whinging about, how exactly?

Let me know where you live and when you're trying to watch TV. I will come round and constantly ring your doorbell and then unplug your TV. And as its a non-violent protest you'll have to respect me and my right to protest.

Damien 09-05-2010 17:19

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by punky (Post 35017686)
Let me know where you live and when you're trying to watch TV. I will come round and constantly ring your doorbell and then unplug your TV. And as its a non-violent protest you'll have to respect me and my right to protest.

Your house isn't a public area is it? ;)

SlackDad 09-05-2010 17:32

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by punky (Post 35017686)
Let me know where you live and when you're trying to watch TV. I will come round and constantly ring your doorbell and then unplug your TV. And as its a non-violent protest you'll have to respect me and my right to protest.

Hardly comparing like with like. A completely pointless analogy.

Tezcatlipoca 09-05-2010 17:58

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by punky (Post 35017638)
I have not computed the various figures that of the dozens of systems Lib Dem supporters can dream up but i'd suggest that FPTP has been very kind to Lib Dems this time around.


On a strictly proportional basis, this is roughly what the result would have been:

Tories: 234 (on 36.1% of the vote)
Labour: 188 (on 29% of the vote)
Lib Dems: 149 (on 23% of the vote)


However that is not the type of PR favoured by the Lib Dems.

The Lib Dems have not dreamed up "dozens of systems".

The Lib Dems want to see the UK use the Single Transferable Vote (STV) system. This is the same system preferred by the Electoral Reform Society, & also by Conservative Action for Electoral Reform.

More info on the system is here:

http://www.electoral-reform.org.uk/article.php?id=48

http://www.conservativeelectoralreform.org/STV.htm

---------- Post added at 16:58 ---------- Previous post was at 16:54 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35017494)
EDIT: Likewise from the Tory point of view, they weren't given an overwhelming mandate and can either loosely govern or bite the bullet for the sake of the country, give ground, and give us a stable government sooner rather than later. At the moment what we need above all else is stability, which in my opinion only a Tory / Lib Dem coalition can give as the alternatives would be a mess.

Agreed.

Derek 09-05-2010 18:06

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Matt D (Post 35017751)
The Lib Dems want to see the UK use the Single Transferable Vote (STV) system. This is the same system preferred by the Electoral Reform Society, & also by Conservative Action for Electoral Reform.

The biggest problem with that system is that by and large the public are idiots and asking them to do anything more complex than scrawl an X leads to all manner of issues.

The system was used in the last elections up here and caused over 100,000 spoiled papers (about 1 in 20 of all votes cast)

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/com...cle1756280.ece

Paul 09-05-2010 18:31

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek S (Post 35017766)
The biggest problem with that system is that by and large the public are idiots and asking them to do anything more complex than scrawl an X leads to all manner of issues.

I think this is a little unfair. Having just followed the links, Im not quite clear what STV is. I am not an idiot.

Angua 09-05-2010 18:55

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek S (Post 35017766)
The biggest problem with that system is that by and large the public are idiots and asking them to do anything more complex than scrawl an X leads to all manner of issues.

The system was used in the last elections up here and caused over 100,000 spoiled papers (about 1 in 20 of all votes cast)

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/com...cle1756280.ece

As the article states
Quote:

There is no point in blaming the e-counting machines for the breakdown in democracy. Yes, there were malfunctions on the night, but so what? We are all now alert to the empty promise of efficiency that computerising anything brings. And, yes, the ballot papers were designed for the scanners, rather than the voters, and that didn’t help. But it wasn’t the key issue.
The blame for the contemptuous treatment of the voters lies with the Scotland Office and Scottish Executive, who between them decided to defy the recommendations of the Arbuthnott Commission review of the voting system (appointed, let’s not forget, to make polling in Scotland fairer and simpler) and hold both the Scottish parliamentary elections and the local authority elections on the same day.
Hence the two ballot papers, one requiring crosses, one numbers; hence the confusion. Voters were not helped by the rules that allowed the Nationalists to put “Alex Salmond for First Minister” instead of “SNP” on every ballot paper, muddying the water between personal and party votes. Bewildering? Imagine how Scotland’s thousands of elderly and barely literate felt.
It was not the basics of STV that were at fault it was as highlighted above. In a fair and transparent system it is perfectly comprehensible. Were this not the case, Germany, Greece, Ireland and all the others would now have FPTP. It is very unfair to insult the intelligence of the voters by claiming any thing but FPTP is incomprehensible.

Chris 09-05-2010 20:42

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek S (Post 35017766)
The biggest problem with that system is that by and large the public are idiots and asking them to do anything more complex than scrawl an X leads to all manner of issues.

The system was used in the last elections up here and caused over 100,000 spoiled papers (about 1 in 20 of all votes cast)

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/com...cle1756280.ece

That link doesn't really back your point up. The specific problem in 2007 was the use of two different systems of PR, in two different elections (Holyrood and Council) both being held at the same time.

My degree-educated missus (rather more highly qualified academically than me, I should add) made a mess of it herself, getting her Xs and numbers in the wrong place.

I am willing to bet that neither council nor Scottish Parliament elections will suffer anything like the same level of spoilt papers next time round, and the reason will not be that the voting systems are changed - because they aren't being changed - but that the elections are no longer going to be held on the same day.

Tezcatlipoca 09-05-2010 20:45

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Angua (Post 35017796)
As the article states It was not the basics of STV that were at fault it was as highlighted above. In a fair and transparent system it is perfectly comprehensible. Were this not the case, Germany, Greece, Ireland and all the others would now have FPTP. It is very unfair to insult the intelligence of the voters by claiming any thing but FPTP is incomprehensible.



Indeed.

Although the method for counting in an STV election is more complicated than counting in an FPTP election, the actual voting itself is fairly simple:

http://www.electoral-reform.org.uk/d...20is%20stv.pdf

Quote:

Originally Posted by Electoral Reform leaflet on STV
How does STV work?

1 The ballot paper lists the names of the candidates from each party. Voters vote by putting a ‘1’ next to the name of their favoured candidate, a ‘2’ next to the name of their next favoured candidate and so on. They stop allocating
preferences when they cannot decide between the candidates – they do not
need to vote for them all.

(snip)

Although the counting process is more complex than with FPTP, it can be done by, or with the help of, a computer and it is a small price to pay for improving the voting power of every single elector.

Marking the candidates in preference using a "1", "2", "3" etc. seems fairly simply to me, even if it isn't as simple as a single "X".

The Republic of Ireland & other countries seem to manage with STV. We could have actually had STV & AV in the UK nearly a hundred years ago if it hadn't been blocked by the House of Lords.


Any change in the voting system would also (should also) surely be accompanied by voter education on how the new system would work: leaflets in the post, stuff on TV/newspapers/etc., clear instructions in polling stations & on ballot papers.

punky 09-05-2010 21:05

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
14 year old votes in the election: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politi...nd/8670022.stm

Quote:

A 14-year-old boy from Lancashire who voted in the general election said he did it because he "wanted to make a difference".

Alfie McKenzie, from Poulton-le-Fylde, voted for the Liberal Democrats in the Wyre and Preston North constituency, after being sent a polling card.

He was only caught when he confided in a teacher at school. His head teacher called the local council and police.

....

Alfie said he was "very serious" about politics and socialism, but decided to vote Liberal Democrat as a tactical option.

He said: "There's not a socialist candidate in our area and unfortunately even if there was it would be a wasted vote. I've looked into it and the best option for a socialist is the Liberal Democrats.

"I did want to make a difference - unfortunately I didn't."

Alfie's mum, Nadine Wiseman, said she had asked him not to vote, after he received the polling card, but she "wasn't surprised" when he did.
Not sure about his political opinions (and dressing like a Tory) but it's a shame as sounds more intelligent that BNP voters and the feckless who can't be bothered to vote.

Ignitionnet 09-05-2010 21:42

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
I'm fine with STV my only concern is how it translates to the current constituencies. It would need to be done by borough, county or a similar administrative division and would cause upset among some constituencies - there would be a number of MPs without one or constituencies that have been assigned one.

Overall not a bad idea and not actually massively different from FPTP so long as it's done that way - each of the enlarged constituencies electing directly via FPTP then across the area a 2nd MP being assigned to each of those larger constituencies based on STV results across the administrative area would ensure local accountability and if the electorate weren't happy with who they were assigned a robust process to remove them democratically would be a prerequisite as part of the reform.

As a compromise STV could even be used alongside the current system to elect a second house if election to the Commons via it were so unpalatable.

I must admit the more I think about it the more I like it. It's all kinds of democratic.

chris9991 09-05-2010 21:47

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Just after the election and the following story gets printed in The Sunday Times

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/new...cle7120750.ece

Why not last week?? ;)

Chris 09-05-2010 22:18

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35017921)
I'm fine with STV my only concern is how it translates to the current constituencies. It would need to be done by borough, county or a similar administrative division and would cause upset among some constituencies - there would be a number of MPs without one or constituencies that have been assigned one.

Overall not a bad idea and not actually massively different from FPTP so long as it's done that way - each of the enlarged constituencies electing directly via FPTP then across the area a 2nd MP being assigned to each of those larger constituencies based on STV results across the administrative area would ensure local accountability and if the electorate weren't happy with who they were assigned a robust process to remove them democratically would be a prerequisite as part of the reform.

As a compromise STV could even be used alongside the current system to elect a second house if election to the Commons via it were so unpalatable.

I must admit the more I think about it the more I like it. It's all kinds of democratic.

You seem to be thinking of the system used for Holyrood and for the Senedd in Cardiff, but that isn't STV. In the top-up list system used in Wales and Scotland, you elect a representative for a constituency by FPTP, then you clump a number of constituencies together into a region and elect representatives for that region by asking voters to choose a single party via an X. The seats in the region are allocated proportionally, also taking into account the seats already won at constituency level.

It delivers reasonably good proportionality overall, and it retains a close link between a constituency and an individual representative, but the major drawback is the use of a list of candidates drawn up by the Parties to top up at regional level. In practice, what happens is, all the constituency candidates are also on their party's regional list. So even if they don't win their constituency contest, they stand a pretty good chance of getting elected, if they are high enough up their regional list (seats being allocated to the first name on the list, and then on downwards until the allocation for that party in that region is filled).

Under this system, the likes of Jacqui Smith, Neil Hamilton and Lembit Opik are almost impossible to get rid of, no matter how personally unpopular they may have become to their local electorate, because as prominent members of their party they are always going to get a prominent place on their regional list. They lose their constituency seat, but they still get in as a regional top-up.

The only way to mitigate this is to either make the party list open - so that you don't just mark your X for a party, but for a named individual from that party - or else dispense with lists altogether and go for full-blown STV, which gives voters in a given area a list of names and a requirement to rank them in order of preference. This is the system used in local council elections in Scotland, and was a precondition of the LibDem coalition with Labour in Scotland way back when the Parliament was first founded.

Ignitionnet 09-05-2010 22:32

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
I get all that, but how does it fit into 650 constituencies? If electing 5 ministers to each constituency you'd need to reduce that to 130 constituencies so there'd need to be some allocation to individual areas in the constituency or a bit of a loss of identity of your representative.

Just a small concern.

Damien 09-05-2010 23:54

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/elect...tuency/c17.stm

The guy who came last here didn't even vote for himself!

Chris 10-05-2010 00:09

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35017958)
I get all that, but how does it fit into 650 constituencies? If electing 5 ministers to each constituency you'd need to reduce that to 130 constituencies so there'd need to be some allocation to individual areas in the constituency or a bit of a loss of identity of your representative.

Just a small concern.

It doesn't fit into 650 constituencies. The only way it works is with a smaller number of larger constituencies represented by more than one elected member. This is what has happened in Scottish councils. There are fewer wards, but 3-4 councillors per ward.

The means by which you shuffle the votes around to achieve the 'transferable' aspect of STV, and how it ultimately results in broadly proportional representation, is frighteningly complex, but if you want to know exactly how it works, you can read up on it with the PDF available here:

http://www.votescotland.com/stv/file...nVS19Apr07.pdf

You are concerned about the impact on local representation ... fair enough, but I'm not convinced that that argument trumps the obscenity of a party getting 9% of the seats from 23% of the votes, which is the position the Lib Dems are in right now. Why should so many people not have their voices adequately heard in Parliament?

danielf 10-05-2010 00:22

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35018024)

You are concerned about the impact on local representation ... fair enough, but I'm not convinced that that argument trumps the obscenity of a party getting 9% of the seats from 23% of the votes, which is the position the Lib Dems are in right now. Why should so many people not have their voices adequately heard in Parliament?

So what happened to the argument about a voting system that is more proportional resulting in weak and ineffective government? I'm not saying that you've pushed that argument, but I'm a bit surprised at the apparent support for a proportional system. Are people now convinced that consensus and co-operation is the future of UK politics?

I have to say though that I really like the idea of a system that is proportional whilst retaining local inks.

gazfan 10-05-2010 00:43

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by danielf (Post 35018028)
So what happened to the argument about a voting system that is more proportional resulting in weak and ineffective government? I'm not saying that you've pushed that argument, but I'm a bit surprised at the apparent support for a proportional system. Are people now convinced that consensus and co-operation is the future of UK politics?

I have to say though that I really like the idea of a system that is proportional whilst retaining local inks.

extrapolating that, could we have a system where electing a local candidate would enable them to vote freely, exclusive of a 'party whip' ???

Charlie_Bubble 10-05-2010 00:55

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35017623)
Well Germany has managed a strong economy with a system of proportional representation, quite a few of the G20 have some form of collation governments. It is incorrect to suggest such systems led to weak economies.

Oh dear, look what just happened in Germany:

Merkel's national coalition loses its slim majority in the upper house of parliament, the Bundesrat

danielf 10-05-2010 01:08

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Charlie_Bubble (Post 35018050)

At least they have an elected upper chamber, compared to the joke we have here. I also note that the Beeb article doesn't talk of impending doom for Germany as its weak, ineffectual Government now faces further handicaps.

nomadking 10-05-2010 01:30

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

It's only one regional election, but it matters because defeat in North Rhine Westphalia deprives Chancellor Angela Merkel of a majority in the upper house of the German parliament. And without that, she'll find it much harder to push through the national legislation she wants.
Quote:

A new coalition in NRW would jeopardise long-promised tax cuts and health system reforms at national level, as Bundesrat members are directly appointed by the state governments.
Quote:

Local councils in NRW are sinking into debt, with leading to rising kindergarten fees and the threatened closure of libraries, swimming-pools and theatres.
Quote:

But it's not just Greece. Ever since they took power nationally, Chancellor Merkel's coalition of Christian Democrats and Free Democrats haven't stopped squabbling - over everything from body scanners at airports to budget deficits. And the more they've bickered, the more unpopular they've become.
Does anything actually get done in a PR government with an elected second chamber that the majority voted for?

Xaccers 10-05-2010 01:33

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
You don't remember Germany after reunification then?

Would a BNP/Monster Raving Loony/Citizens for Undead Rights and Equality MP be a benifit to the nation or a waste of £65K a year?

Tezcatlipoca 10-05-2010 03:37

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Xaccers (Post 35018058)
Would a BNP/Monster Raving Loony/Citizens for Undead Rights and Equality MP be a benifit to the nation or a waste of £65K a year?

A waste.

But would they get in in the 1st place?

The BNP only polled 1.9% nationally, with 563,743 votes. Other fringe parties even less so.


If, however, they did get in past whatever vote threshold was set, & showed themselves to be a waste, would they get voted in the next time?

Chris 10-05-2010 10:32

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by danielf (Post 35018028)
So what happened to the argument about a voting system that is more proportional resulting in weak and ineffective government? I'm not saying that you've pushed that argument, but I'm a bit surprised at the apparent support for a proportional system. Are people now convinced that consensus and co-operation is the future of UK politics?

'Weak and ineffective government' is a self-serving argument offered by those who think that only they can provide strong and effective government. They usually follow it up by giving Italy as an example (almost as many governments as there have been years since 1945), whilst conveniently ignoring Germany, at the opposite end of the scale, which does ok for itself despite having an almost rabid obsession with federalism and consensus in its national and regional politics.

Coalitions have historically failed to last very long in the UK, but in the UK all parties know that they have a fighting chance of getting an outright majority if a coalition fails and an election is called. Hence there is no incentive to stick with it.

I have no desire to see fringe loons holding the country to ransom but the fact is, the British electorate has fragmented and opted to support a wider range of parties despite the fact that the electoral system can't deliver on their choices. In my view, there simply isn't an argument to be had any more. The electorate has already demonstrated that it is no longer interested in the two-party system.

I think Cameron is canny enough to recognise this (and to recognise that there is going to be a referendum on PR if Clegg gets into bed with Labour instead of with him) and genuinely wants to grasp the nettle and at least see if he can devise a PR system that won't excessively disadvantage his party. His problem is that there are too many old dinosaurs on his back benches who still believe it's only a matter of time before they can win outright power again, and then everything will be as it was in 1983.

Quote:

I have to say though that I really like the idea of a system that is proportional whilst retaining local inks.
Either AV+ or FPTP with a top-up list would provide the local MP link you want to retain, however in my view those systems make it too difficult to get rid of personally unpopular MPs, because they can get in on the regional list if they fail to win in a constituency. Making the regional list open (i.e. you see all the names listed for each party, and X one of them, rather than simply X-ing the party) would solve the problem, but it creates another - absolutely massive ballot papers.

NoKnowledge 10-05-2010 11:26

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
For local council elections, I prefer the alternative vote

For the general election, I prefer the closed party list.

Xaccers 10-05-2010 11:44

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Matt D (Post 35018072)
A waste.

But would they get in in the 1st place?

The BNP only polled 1.9% nationally, with 563,743 votes. Other fringe parties even less so.


If, however, they did get in past whatever vote threshold was set, & showed themselves to be a waste, would they get voted in the next time?

Several uBNP councillors have been re-elected.
They managed to get two MEPs thanks to PR, chances are, thanks to PR they'll keep their jobs.

punky 10-05-2010 11:46

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Anyone else find it a bit odd Vince Cable isn't part of the talks? He was by his side throuought the entire campaign and (appeared, at least) to be Clegg's closest and most respect confident. Much the same way as Hague was for Cameron or the Dark Lord for Brown. Yet he has no role to play in the biggest event in the Lib Dem's history for 70 years?

danielf 10-05-2010 12:00

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35018117)
'Weak and ineffective government' is a self-serving argument offered by those who think that only they can provide strong and effective government. They usually follow it up by giving Italy as an example (almost as many governments as there have been years since 1945), whilst conveniently ignoring Germany, at the opposite end of the scale, which does ok for itself despite having an almost rabid obsession with federalism and consensus in its national and regional politics.

Coalitions have historically failed to last very long in the UK, but in the UK all parties know that they have a fighting chance of getting an outright majority if a coalition fails and an election is called. Hence there is no incentive to stick with it.

Thanks for that. I couldn't have put it better myself. Having lived under PR for most of my life I never understood the weak government argument myself. In fact, I find the idea of one party holding absolute power to push through legislation that the electorate was never consulted on quite scary. Coalition governments ensure that there is a proper cross-party debate on such issues, which is a good thing in my opinion.

Quote:

I have no desire to see fringe loons holding the country to ransom but the fact is, the British electorate has fragmented and opted to support a wider range of parties despite the fact that the electoral system can't deliver on their choices. In my view, there simply isn't an argument to be had any more. The electorate has already demonstrated that it is no longer interested in the two-party system.

I think Cameron is canny enough to recognise this (and to recognise that there is going to be a referendum on PR if Clegg gets into bed with Labour instead of with him) and genuinely wants to grasp the nettle and at least see if he can devise a PR system that won't excessively disadvantage his party. His problem is that there are too many old dinosaurs on his back benches who still believe it's only a matter of time before they can win outright power again, and then everything will be as it was in 1983.
It'll be interesting to see what happens. Personally I'm not holding my breath (yet), but I find the idea that you are positive about it promising.

Quote:

Either AV+ or FPTP with a top-up list would provide the local MP link you want to retain, however in my view those systems make it too difficult to get rid of personally unpopular MPs, because they can get in on the regional list if they fail to win in a constituency. Making the regional list open (i.e. you see all the names listed for each party, and X one of them, rather than simply X-ing the party) would solve the problem, but it creates another - absolutely massive ballot papers.
I don't think massive ballot papers are a problem. I've voted on A1 size ballot papers. It's only a problem if you've got very short arms. :)

It'll be interesting to see what (if anything) will change. As said, I really like the idea of having a proportional system with local links and the ability to get rid of unpopular people. Best of both worlds if you ask me.

Stuart 10-05-2010 12:19

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by danielf (Post 35018149)
Thanks for that. I couldn't have put it better myself. Having lived under PR for most of my life I never understood the weak government argument myself. In fact, I find the idea of one party holding absolute power to push through legislation that the electorate was never consulted on quite scary. Coalition governments ensure that there is a proper cross-party debate on such issues, which is a good thing in my opinion.

Indeed, I've never lived under PR, but I have lived through a situation where thanks to our current system, we were by a party who had effectively unchallenged control despite most of the southern half of the country not voting for them. As such they could get through a lot of their bills with little or no resistance.

Chris 10-05-2010 12:30

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Xaccers (Post 35018140)
Several uBNP councillors have been re-elected.
They managed to get two MEPs thanks to PR, chances are, thanks to PR they'll keep their jobs.

No, they managed to get two MEPs because sufficient people voted for them. This is what we call 'democracy'. I'm disturbed by the implication that you think it acceptable to choose an electoral system that is designed to lock out people you disagree with.

injuneer 10-05-2010 12:47

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by punky (Post 35018142)
Anyone else find it a bit odd Vince Cable isn't part of the talks? He was by his side throuought the entire campaign and (appeared, at least) to be Clegg's closest and most respect confident. Much the same way as Hague was for Cameron or the Dark Lord for Brown. Yet he has no role to play in the biggest event in the Lib Dem's history for 70 years?

Probably because their financial policies are poles apart. The Torys said they wouldn't compromise on financial policy.

SlackDad 10-05-2010 12:53

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Regardless of my preferred outcome I can't help but think that Brown/Cable/Darling steering the country through the economic crisis would be the best team.

I wonder whether they can just agree that there will be a cross-party group to deal with the economic crisis aside from party politics/factions as they keep saying, in the national interest, and then leave this out of the negotiations over who forms the next government.

Xaccers 10-05-2010 13:04

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35018164)
No, they managed to get two MEPs because sufficient people voted for them. This is what we call 'democracy'. I'm disturbed by the implication that you think it acceptable to choose an electoral system that is designed to lock out people you disagree with.

I'm disturbed that you think it's acceptable to choose an electoral system that is designed to produce NOC, compromise, fractured government, and wasteful positions.

Germany and Italy are wheeled out as examples as good and bad, while ignoring Germany's near bankruptcy through botched reunification which still sees the East being vastly behind the West, and the serious weakening to Merkel's government through the coalition she was forced into several times.
I could of course list many more countries where PR produces weak and ineffective governments, but you already know about them, but are choosing to ignore them.

punky 10-05-2010 13:18

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
I can't see Lib-Lab coalition being feasible. They still wouldn't have the seats they need without having to get SNP, PC and other parties in to push them over 326 seats?

If a 2 party coalition is difficult, a 4,5, 6 party coalition has to be worse, especially when people have different nationalistic interests.

danielf 10-05-2010 13:31

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Xaccers (Post 35018178)
I'm disturbed that you think it's acceptable to choose an electoral system that is designed to produce NOC, compromise, fractured government, and wasteful positions.

Germany and Italy are wheeled out as examples as good and bad, while ignoring Germany's near bankruptcy through botched reunification which still sees the East being vastly behind the West, and the serious weakening to Merkel's government through the coalition she was forced into several times.
I could of course list many more countries where PR produces weak and ineffective governments, but you already know about them, but are choosing to ignore them.

Good grief what a load of nonsense. PR is not 'designed to produce NOC, compromise, fractured government, and wasteful positions'. Why on earth would anyone want to 'design' a system with those attributes? PR is designed for government to reflect the opinions of the electorate. That it result in weak and ineffective governments is just baseless rhetoric. The example of German reunification is completely irrelevant. How on earth is the fact that this process was 'botched' down to PR, and what evidence do you have that this process would have been done better under another system?

Oh, and I'm very interested in this long list of weak governments that you will probably fail to provide.

Will21st 10-05-2010 13:36

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Xaccers (Post 35018178)
I'm disturbed that you think it's acceptable to choose an electoral system that is designed to produce NOC, compromise, fractured government, and wasteful positions.

Germany and Italy are wheeled out as examples as good and bad, while ignoring Germany's near bankruptcy through botched reunification which still sees the East being vastly behind the West, and the serious weakening to Merkel's government through the coalition she was forced into several times.
I could of course list many more countries where PR produces weak and ineffective governments, but you already know about them, but are choosing to ignore them.

Near bankruptcy?Not really....

also,the East is behind the West in some parts,most of Eastern Germany however is thoroughly modernised,and in many instances in better shape than the West!
And yes,PR may cripple the country,Germany seems to be constantly squabbling about one thing or the other.

Flyboy 10-05-2010 14:08

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35018010)
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/elect...tuency/c17.stm

The guy who came last here didn't even vote for himself!

I think that sort of thing normally happens when a candidate withdraws from the ballot, but they have missed the deadline for the printers. So their votes are not counted, but they are still listed. This is where an STV system would be of use. If someone was to put their choice as the withdrawn candidate, their second option would get the vote.

---------- Post added at 13:08 ---------- Previous post was at 13:04 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35018164)
No, they managed to get two MEPs because sufficient people voted for them. This is what we call 'democracy'. I'm disturbed by the implication that you think it acceptable to choose an electoral system that is designed to lock out people you disagree with.

Or was it that not enough people voted at all? Being as their current excuse is that too many people voted this time around.

Xaccers 10-05-2010 14:09

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by danielf (Post 35018183)
Oh, and I'm very interested in this long list of weak governments that you will probably fail to provide.

As I said, you already know about them but are choosing to ignore them in which case, no point me listing them is there, or if you really don't know about them, then you should do a bit more research into the consequences of PR.

Flyboy 10-05-2010 14:10

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Xaccers (Post 35018197)
As I said, you already know about them but are choosing to ignore them, or if you don't know about them, then you should do a bit more research into the consequences of PR.

Perhaps, but can you not just humour those of us who are too old and may have forgotten? ;)

danielf 10-05-2010 14:23

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Xaccers (Post 35018197)
As I said, you already know about them but are choosing to ignore them in which case, no point me listing them is there, or if you really don't know about them, then you should do a bit more research into the consequences of PR.

FFS. Have you taken a course in obfuscation, misdirection, and deliberately no answering a question put to you?

Thanks, I don't have to do any research into the consequences of PR. I've lived and voted in a PR system for most of my life, so I know the consequences first hand. It's not perfect, but it's a *lot* better than the system here where nearly a quarter of the electorate see their vote get them 9% of the seats in the commons.

I'm quite happy to debate it, but unfortunately you only seem intent on coming out with pointless rhetoric that you don't can't (or are unwilling to) back up with any kind of fact or reasoned argument.

Xaccers 10-05-2010 14:28

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by danielf (Post 35018204)
FFS. Have you taken a course in obfuscation, misdirection, and deliberately no answering a question put to you?

Thanks, I don't have to do any research into the consequences of PR. I've lived and voted in a PR system for most of my life, so I know the consequences first hand. It's not perfect, but it's a *lot* better than the system here where nearly a quarter of the electorate see their vote get them 9% of the seats in the commons.

I'm quite happy to debate it, but unfortunately you only seem intent on coming out with pointless rhetoric that you don't can't (or are unwilling to) back up with any kind of fact or reasoned argument.

So because you've had the experience in one country, you don't think you should do a bit of your own research into the effects in other nations?

I can do that too, I've lived in a FPTP system all my voting life and seen it produce strong governments.
I've also seen first hand PR countries and the ineffectiveness of them.

Damien 10-05-2010 14:31

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Xaccers (Post 35018206)
So because you've had the experience in one country, you don't think you should do a bit of your own research into the effects in other nations?

He has shown other countries where it has worked such as Germany, Chris came up with a well reasoned argument as well. He asked you to provide the list of countries where it hasn't worked.

Angua 10-05-2010 15:17

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Some form of PR actually produces a MORE stable government than the see-saw politics of single party administrations. I can remember the nightmare of the 70's with each new government immediately undoing everything the previous one did. It is only since the 80's that we have had long term administrations, which given this last election looks set to become a rarity again. At least with consensus politics the extremes are evened out.

Xaccers 10-05-2010 15:38

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Angua (Post 35018222)
At least with consensus politics the extremes are evened out.

*cough* Israel *cough*
The religious right are able to blackmail the other parties into doing anything they want.

Angua 10-05-2010 15:45

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Xaccers (Post 35018232)
*cough* Israel *cough*
The religious right are able to blackmail the other parties into doing anything they want.

Could you honestly see this country doing the same. :dozey:

NoKnowledge 10-05-2010 15:57

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Conservatives/Liberal Democrats agree a "outline" of a deal to form the new government.

Sirius 10-05-2010 16:14

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by NoKnowledge (Post 35018241)
Conservatives/Liberal Democrats agree a "outline" of a deal to form the new government.

Good if there is an agreement and it goes ahead then the next action will be to get the bailiffs in and remove that squatter out of No 10

Xaccers 10-05-2010 16:15

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Angua (Post 35018234)
Could you honestly see this country doing the same. :dozey:

Sorry, thought you were talking generally with that last comment.

---------- Post added at 15:15 ---------- Previous post was at 15:15 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sirius (Post 35018249)
Good now get the bailiffs in and remove that squatter from no 10

Didn't the Heliograph send a removal van down there at the weekend? :D

injuneer 10-05-2010 16:40

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
I see the Fabian society reckon that a Conlib deal could be an 'electoral gift" to Labour at a second election.

http://www.fabians.org.uk/general-ne...ur-says-report

Sirius 10-05-2010 17:00

Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Xaccers (Post 35018250)

Didn't the Heliograph send a removal van down there at the weekend? :D

Would have loved to have seen the look on Browns face :LOL:


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