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I suppose that might be the future for us though! The EU will inevitably take some hit from Brexit, but it also knows we will too and it can hold out longer. We could hit real supply side problems within days of Brexit. That gives them leverage. |
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I genuinely think it would have been easier if everyone had acknowledged that the Irish border was a genuine issue, did not come up with daft red lines and we spent more than the four days a year that David Davis did on negotiations! We came up with a whole bunch of red lines, ignored the Irish border hoping it would either go away and magically hoped everything would sort itself out. But let's not pretend that trade deals are a simple matter of cut and pasting UK in place of EU. As Simon Jacks, the BBC's Business Editor notes, "For products to enjoy preferential terms under a trade deal, there is a requirement for them to be predominantly made of components from that country. In the trade deal the EU has with South Korea, 55% of the car components must be from the EU. If the same test was applied to the UK as a stand-alone country, none of the cars manufactured here would pass a test requiring 55% of components to come from the UK." That's not Project Fear. It's reality. |
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We’re not negotiating a FTA, we’re trying to negotiate a Withdrawl agreement. A FTA should be very easy as we’re already aligned regulatory wise. Which is also why a backstop should not be needed and is obviously for some other reason. ---------- Post added at 20:36 ---------- Previous post was at 20:34 ---------- Quote:
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It's only the Members for the 17th Century, the DUP, who want to see otherwise. Polling in Great Britain considers it a price worth paying for an orderly Brexit. |
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One myth about Theresa May's deal that needs dispelling.
We can never be trapped in a permanent customs union. As a sovereign nation we can always quit any kind of arrangement by resorting to the Vienna convention on international treaties. |
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Better to sort it out, or not, now. |
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Northern Ireland already has different laws - e.g. abortion as stated above.
It could easily retain it's own identity, the Queen and alignment to the UK over the vast vast majority of areas. Which most of them would probably vote for given the choice. This farce is only going to push a united Ireland closer. Without bringing up who is likely to die off sooner rather than later, the birth rate is higher in nationalist voting communities than the unionist communities. Brexit is truly an exceptional act of British Nationalism removing the objectivity of normally rational people over a huge number of issues. |
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https://youtu.be/bzVHjg3AqIQ https://youtu.be/PDBjsFAyiwA Enjoy! |
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I’m part of a relationship, not a slave to it. |
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Fish!
Considering the £600bn trade between Britain and the EU (and the rebate!), there’s a lot of emphasis on something in the we net loss in small hundreds of millions once you factor in what we fish in EU waters. I can’t help but think it’s purely emotive. “It’s our fish”. Just as they say in Scotland “it’s oor oil”. |
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Unusual development.
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The Customs Union agreement with Turkey is basically a long list of EU directives, rules, and regulations that Turkey has to apply. Quote:
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The backstop, once entered, would apply until both sides agreed to end it. At a time when the EU had everything to gain from withholding agreement until it had extracted maximum concessions in trade negotiations, such a position would be intolerable. |
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The pro-backstop argument is that it'll be easy to get out of because it's not ideal for the EU either. The anti-backstop argument is, I guess, that the EU's ability to stop us leaving gives them additional leverage. |
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Oh dear, this Government can't even bribe someone properly:
Nissan was offered secret state aid to cope with Brexit, minister concedes Quote:
The Tory party is a long way from the One Nation Conservatism of its roots. It has become a grubby shadow of its former self. |
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https://twitter.com/faisalislam/stat...18256933273600
The United States might be taking 'Ireland's side' over the backstop: Quote:
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Far from sanity this is an admission we aren’t prepared and are willing to have no control over our borders for a period. |
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The devastating future for Welsh manufacturing predicted by a Brexit economist - and why he said it was a good thing Quote:
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IRISH EYES AREN'T SMILING Bullying EU bosses threaten to cut off Ireland if it doesn’t put up hard border after Brexit
Top euro MPs said protecting the bloc's Single Market - which Britain will leave after Brexit - will be more important than keeping the peace in Northern Ireland if the UK quits without an agreement Senior German MEP Elmar Brok said if Ireland failed to police the frontier "we would have to set up a customs border with Ireland". https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/brexit...-after-brexit/ |
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This isn’t a problem of Europe or Ireland created. Britain wants to exit the Single Market and Customs Union. That creates a border between Britain and the EU. Not policing it is not a serious option. Would we tolerate illegal migration over it? |
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Therefore this situation, that didn’t exist before now, does so because of Britain. It’s impossible to not have a border. As much as the Empire types would love to see it in the Channel between the EU mainland and the islands of Ireland and Great Britain it’s not going to happen, and infringes on Irish sovereignty of all things! ---------- Post added at 18:06 ---------- Previous post was at 18:03 ---------- Quote:
A migrant from the EU can enter the island of Ireland legally anywhere in the Republic. They can walk across the non-exitant border into the occupied six counties. Presumably we don’t intend to put more stingent controls on travel from Northern Ireland to Great Britain? |
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If they came from another country they are far more likely to be stopped by immigration. Was there a time when either the ROI or NI weren't in the EU and the other was? Ireland joined on 1/1/73, not sure of the exact date we joined in 1973. If so, what did we do then? Perhaps it didn't matter if we had a hard border anyway in 1973. AFAIK it was the Good Friday Agreement that led to it being removed the last time; i've only ever crossed it after the the GFA was in place. |
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Everyone calm down and stop taking pot-shots at each other.
This is closed for a bit to let everyone take a time out. Remember you're talking to actual people who you might well get on with if it wasn't for the anonymising nature of the internet. https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2019/02/2.png ---------- Post added at 22:15 ---------- Previous post was at 20:32 ---------- Open again |
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Footage finds Corbyn knocking the EU https://www.theredroar.com/2019/02/e...rthed-footage/
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There are rumours going round that May is to call a general election soon. It's crossed my mind that she might think that a hard border is the only way forward to resolve the situation. Obviously, the DUP would not be happy about this and would withdraw their support for the Government. Without their support she would lose her working majority and, particularly as her authority keeps being questioned, she possibly thinks that calling a GE will either end up with her receiving a larger majority to govern or she will lose and let someone else deal eith this. I know that she said she wouldn't take the Tories into the next GE, but she has form for saying one thing and doing the opposite and may think that it's now got to the point of 'do or die'. |
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"Wonders what What a Special place in hell looks like for Brexiteers" - Donald Tusk.
What an absolute disgusting prick, up yours Mr Tusk and take your cancerous and corrupted empire with you, clown. :2up: - my vote to leave the corrupted EU, just got extra solidified!!! |
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He did say those who promoted Brexit without a plan. Not Brexiters generally.
Although I suspect he is smart enough to know how it would be spun and decided he wanted that reaction. |
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He is a corrupted fool and total prick. Totally glad I crossed my box to leave that absolutely disgusting rotting empire AKA the EU!!! |
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What a total utter moron EUCO President is. Yet as usual, the Remainers come to the rescue and defense of the disgusting and undemocratic EU empire, while they mock us so openly. |
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-47143135 |
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"Wonders what a special place in hell looks like for Brexiteers who promoted Brexit without a plan."
If you are a Brexiteer, you promote Brexit. We have a plan - it's called leaving the cancerous and corrupted EU in it's entirety!!! |
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Impossible to have a Brexit plan when anything you could come up with depends on what the EU allows us to do.
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I thought it might be worth popping in after Donald Tusks words today (what is it about Donalds eh?) I don't know if anyone has been watching Inside Europe: Ten Years of Turmoil on BBC2 over the last couple of weeks which has been fascinating BTW. Donald Tusk certainly comes across as blunt in that program so what he said today was not altogether surprising.
There seems to be a collective losing of rags on Twitter about what was said but if there's a plan, it looks like people are getting angry vicariously |
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As for Tusk he's just showing off to his new best mate. |
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https://dominiccummings.com/2015/06/...nd-referendum/ Written in 2015 by Dominic Cummings, the brains behind the Leave campaign. He quite clearly articulates why the Leave campaign cannot have a plan in order to win the vote: Quote:
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:clap: ;) |
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He has every right to make a judgment if the crass incompetence of the UK authorities affects the lives and prosperity of the citizens he represents. I am afraid bad decisions have consequences that need to be owned by the people who are responsible. We are all in this reality that this shambles has led us to. You are proud of it, fine but don't patronise the rest of us who said this was going to happen. |
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It was a binary vote - the outcome could only be either leave or remain. The government pledged in materials published prior to the vote that it would implement the outcome. The only body that can possibly be held accountable for not planning at all for both of the possible outcomes of the vote called by HMG is HMG, specifically the government led by David Cameron until 2016.
---------- Post added at 19:37 ---------- Previous post was at 19:21 ---------- ... and if you’re suggesting Tusk was aiming his comments at the “authorities” you’re giving his words a spin he did not - he aimed his comments at Brexiteers, not May’s government or the civil service. |
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As much as I might be sarcastic about it I can accept the Leave campaign did not need to provide a detailed plan upon winning the vote. However the people promoting that campaign and especially those who were senior politicians did make statements about the benefits of Leaving. They will be partly responsible if those outcomes fail to materialise. History might vindicate them in the time and we'll look back in 5, 10, 20 years from now as having made the right decision or we might not.
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.. but they didn't .. deliberately so. |
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It would've been impossible to have a plan without already agreeing it with the EU, and the EU would never agree a plan until after the referendum.
The problem with any other sort of question in the referendum was clearly demonstrated in recent House of Commons votes. People on completely opposite viewpoints would vote yes or no. One side would vote "no" because it went too far, and the opposing side would vote "no" because it didn't go far enough. The resultant "verdict" didn't actually demonstrate anything. The EU has some idea of what we are looking for, because of the pre-referendum EU reform talks. |
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Was this incompetence by the DExEU in wasting taxpayers money? |
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:D:D:D |
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Also "trust the likes of you " .. don't make it personal, chill out .. |
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His remarks were most unwise. |
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I am sure the first one isn't true as that would be catastrophically negligent. The second is the most likely. No comment on the third... |
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---------- Post added at 11:59 ---------- Previous post was at 11:54 ---------- Just a reminder from the one of the Leaders of the official Leave campaign why Donald Tusk is angry: https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2019/02/5.jpg |
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-47152349 |
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