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Chris 29-08-2018 10:28

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
I think a lot of people haven’t realised that yet. Parliament gave authorisation for the government to trigger Art.50, which is a time-limited process with a pre-determined default conclusion, i.e. the member state leaves the EU. That is the process and the outcome Parliament has agreed to already. If there is no proposed deal with the EU then there is nothing more for it to vote on. ‘No deal’ is far likelier than many think.

Damien 29-08-2018 11:39

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
I think the most likely outcome is 'no deal' but there will be a 'transition period' where we're effectively in the EU while talks continue.

pip08456 29-08-2018 12:06

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35961619)
I think a lot of people haven’t realised that yet. Parliament gave authorisation for the government to trigger Art.50, which is a time-limited process with a pre-determined default conclusion, i.e. the member state leaves the EU. That is the process and the outcome Parliament has agreed to already. If there is no proposed deal with the EU then there is nothing more for it to vote on. ‘No deal’ is far likelier than many think.

I did mention this almost a week ago even quoting the MP who tabled the amendment but it went straight over their heads.
Ostriches come to mind.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...postcount=1011

I also think Damien is correct.

Damien 29-08-2018 16:55

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Good News Everyone!


https://www.ft.com/content/f75ad220-...1-e5de165fa619

Quote:

Sterling shot higher on Wednesday after the EU’s chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier indicated that he was close to offering the UK a deal.

“We are prepared to offer a partnership with Britain such as has never been with any other third country,” Mr Barnier was quoted by Reuters as saying.

Sephiroth 29-08-2018 18:00

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Someone is bound to call it a poison chalice. Can’t be good news till we know what the offer is.

Damien 29-08-2018 18:09

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
50% off macarons for 12 months and a free Pilsner for everyone over 18.

Sephiroth 29-08-2018 18:14

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
I would prefer 80% off Macron, 60% off Merkel, 100% off Juncker, 500% off Selmayr and zero tariff on sour pickled cucumbers.

Damien 29-08-2018 18:44

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Obviously we need to play hardball and negotiate an on-going discount for the European beers. I know some Brexiters will come in here and say we can get new beers from America but personally I prefer alcohol in mine so that's no good.

Chris 29-08-2018 18:51

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35961637)
I did mention this almost a week ago even quoting the MP who tabled the amendment but it went straight over their heads.
Ostriches come to mind.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...postcount=1011

I also think Damien is correct.

Indeed you did, though I was thinking more of people in general, than CF commenters particularly. I also think Damien is right, or at least I did until he also posted the comments Barnier has just made.

No Deal poses a massive risk to the EU precisely because there is no way for the EU’s allies in our own Parliament to stop it. Parliament ends up getting its “meaningful say” on whatever is eventually agreed, about 2 years after we have left the EU. Seeing as the continuity remainers are now barely concealing the fact that their aim, by any available means, is to stop Brexit happening at all, holding a vote after we’ve already left is no use. They might vote down the deal and that might bring down the government, but it isn’t going to result in a new referendum on staying in. The horse will have bolted.

In order to precipitate a crisis, there must be a deal to be voted on before next March. Barnier is well aware of this. That ultimately is what still makes Some Sort of Deal more likely than No Deal.

Sephiroth 29-08-2018 18:53

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
So May has been wilier than for credit given.

1andrew1 02-09-2018 15:46

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Theresa May could be defeated in Parliament by David Davis's promise to vote against her proposals
Quote:

The UK’s former Brexit secretary David Davis has promised to vote against Theresa May’s Brexit proposal, raising the prospect that the prime minister could be defeated in parliament later this year.

Mr Davis told the BBC on Sunday that the so-called Chequers proposal, over which he resigned in July, was “almost worse than being in” the EU. He later went even further, saying the plan was “worse than the [UK’s] existing deal”.
https://www.ft.com/content/4a169c68-...4-6f049d06439c

pip08456 02-09-2018 17:17

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
So who would expect Davis to vote for a deal he resigned over?

Brexit news must be slow ATM.

It's noticeable that the remainers on this thread have been quiet for days since it was pointed out to them that Parliament don't get to vote on a no deal scenario.

Hom3r 02-09-2018 18:37

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35961699)
Obviously we need to play hardball and negotiate an on-going discount for the European beers. I know some Brexiters will come in here and say we can get new beers from America but personally I prefer alcohol in mine so that's no good.


US beer has been linked to Gnat urine, only weaker.

Their so called whiskey is just as bad.

We don't need Euro beers as we have enough small batch beer makers in the UK and you should find one you like.

Sephiroth 02-09-2018 18:46

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Please recommend me a dry beer like Asahi or Peroni so that I can support your position.

Mr K 02-09-2018 19:59

Re: Brexit Discussion (Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35962101)
Please recommend me a dry beer like Asahi or Peroni so that I can support your position.

Morrison's own brand premium strength lager. Can't go wrong ;)


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