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Damien 27-10-2020 08:59

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Yup, one week today. This campaign has seemed a lot less dramatic presumably because COVID has dominated the world instead.

jfman 27-10-2020 09:01

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36055074)
Yup, one week today. This campaign has seemed a lot less dramatic presumably because COVID has dominated the world instead.

Indeed. I suspect, even disregarding his inept Covid response, being unable to control the narrative has impacted the Trump campaign.

His populist bullshit has been drowned out.

figgyburn 27-10-2020 09:26

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
I really hope Biden wins by a landslide so there is no way trump can cry"fix".Purely to stop the carnage that would follow on the streets of america if trump gets four more years.

What a choice;Sleepy Joe who will struggle to last a term or the most unsuitable/unintelligible person ever to grace(disgrace) the white house.

America deserves better than these two choices(or does it?)

1andrew1 27-10-2020 09:44

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36055075)
Indeed. I suspect, even disregarding his inept Covid response, being unable to control the narrative has impacted the Trump campaign.

His populist bullshit has been drowned out.

Agreed. It's also a bit harder for him to talk about some of the policies he had last time:
- "Lock her up" Sensibly not pursued
- Build the wall - not happened
- Large infrastructure projects - not happened
- Bring back manufacturing jobs to the rust belt - not happened
- Kill Obamacare dead - not happened

As an impartial observer, it's only fair to point out that the Obama jobs boom continued under Trump's leadership but his handling of Covid (Or Covid itself depending on your viewpoint) put an end to that. And he's set the agenda for relations with China and negotiated a peace settlement between Israel and the UAE. But I don't think the latter will hold much interest for his core support.

Mr K 27-10-2020 09:53

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36055074)
Yup, one week today. This campaign has seemed a lot less dramatic presumably because COVID has dominated the world instead.

What they should be obsessing about is climate change, a far bigger threat to the World than the virus. However folks and politicians can't see further than today.

Given Donald's views on the matter this election matters to us all. It may already be too late, but its last chance saloon for Planet Earth.

papa smurf 27-10-2020 09:55

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36055081)
Agreed. It's also a bit harder for him to talk about some of the policies he had last time:
- "Lock her up" Sensibly not pursued
- Build the wall - not happened
- Large infrastructure projects - not happened
- Bring back manufacturing jobs to the rust belt - not happened
- Kill Obamacare dead - not happened

As an impartial observer, it's only fair to point out that the Obama jobs boom continued under Trump's leadership but his handling of Covid (Or Covid itself depending on your viewpoint) put an end to that. And he's set the agenda for relations with China and negotiated a peace settlement between Israel and the UAE. But I don't think the latter will hold much interest for his core support.


:rofl::rofl::rofl:

---------- Post added at 09:55 ---------- Previous post was at 09:54 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36055082)
What they should be obsessing about is climate change, a far bigger threat to the World than the virus. However folks and politicians can't see further than today.

Given Donald's views on the matter this election matters to us all. It may already be too late, but its last chance saloon for Planet Earth.

And today it's cold :dozey:

Mr K 27-10-2020 10:11

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36055083)

And today it's cold :dozey:

Point proved ! How is your ever eroding coastline doing?

papa smurf 27-10-2020 10:17

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36055087)
Point proved ! How is your ever eroding coastline doing?

It's concrete mate

Mick 27-10-2020 10:19

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36055066)
The good news is I don't have to wait very long to find out. :)

The problem with your inept analysis, yes you have been totally incorrect when it came to Brexit, saying initially it will be reversed or cancelled, it was quite amusing to see your smugness eradicate and you squirm when you admitted your side had lost its fight.

The problem here, you’re writing off Trump like others did in 2016, the chances in the polls that Clinton would become President... echo right up to today’s forecast and people like you, could be making the same pathetic mistake.

Trump, may lose and become a one term president, but he’s made the history books, and he has reshaped the Judiciary system for decades with his picks for Federal Judges and Supreme Court Justices, the last one confirmed right on Crooked Hillary’s birthday, yesterday, what a gift. :rofl:

1andrew1 27-10-2020 10:29

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
My suggestion to any Trump fan here is prepare for Trump to lose and if by any miracle he doesn't then you'll be super happy. Pretending he has a good chance of winning may lead to serious disappointment.

jfman 27-10-2020 10:29

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36055090)
The problem with your inept analysis, yes you have been totally incorrect when it came to Brexit, saying initially it will be reversed or cancelled, it was quite amusing to see your smugness eradicate and you squirm when you admitted your side had lost its fight.

I did believe the Establishment would try to reverse it - I think you'll agree three years of obstacles would qualify as this. Brexit had to clearly win another referendum or clear mandate at a GE. That happened.

The observational analysis was quite good on reflection.

Quote:

The problem here, you’re writing off Trump like others did in 2016, the chances in the polls that Clinton would become President... echo right up to today’s forecast and people like you, could be making the same pathetic mistake.

Trump, may lose and become a one term president, but he’s made the history books, and he has reshaped the Judiciary system for decades with his picks for Federal Judges and Supreme Court Justices, the last one confirmed right on Crooked Hillary’s birthday, yesterday, what a gift. :rofl:
I am writing off Trump - you are correct.

Damien 27-10-2020 10:32

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36055090)
The problem here, you’re writing off Trump like others did in 2016, the chances in the polls that Clinton would become President... echo right up to today’s forecast and people like you, could be making the same pathetic mistake.

FYI the forecast is no longer the same as it was with Clinton as at this point she had started to drop. In terms of popular vote Biden has been much further ahead of where Clinton was and in terms of Battleground states he is a bit further ahead.

Obviously, after what happened in 2016 nobody wants to call it though.

Mr K 27-10-2020 10:32

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36055090)

Trump, may lose and become a one term president, but he’s made the history books, and he has reshaped the Judiciary system for decades with his picks for Federal Judges and Supreme Court Justices, the last one confirmed right on Crooked Hillary’s birthday, yesterday, what a gift. :rofl:

Surely its 'crooked' to make Court appointments based on politics. Thankfully President Joe is going to review the whole system ;)
BTW 'Trump may lose' ? Fake news. Done lose faith Mick, he's a shoe in :)

papa smurf 27-10-2020 10:38

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36055097)
Surely its 'crooked' to make Court appointments based on politics.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36055097)
Thankfully President Joe is going to review the whole system ;)
BTW 'Trump may lose' ? Fake news. Done lose faith Mick, he's a shoe in :)

It's only the court that has to be neutral,not those nominating judges.

Hugh 27-10-2020 12:57

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36055055)
Suspect there will be plenty of wibbling to get out of Grand Jury indictments at Trump Towers. I wonder if the Don will end up dining out at President Putin’s expense in Moscow along with Edward Snowden.

Here’s a thought - what if Trump resigns between the election and January. Does Pence step up to the plate and pardon the Don? Removes the issue of him pardoning himself.

Presidential Pardons only count for Federal offences, and don’t count for charges/convictions brought by States.

Hugh 27-10-2020 13:05

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
1 Attachment(s)
https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1603803653

That’s not how it works....

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...104896513.html

Quote:

In response to the President's claim that we "must have final total" election results *on* Election Day, here's a #thread on how and why presidential elections *actually* work under state and federal law — and why, in fact, we've *never* had final results *on* Election Day.

Let's start at the beginning. A U.S. presidential election is actually 51 *different* elections (50 states + DC), in which each jurisdiction votes for presidential *electors.* It's the *electors* who vote for President — and they don't meet until *41 days* after the election:

Why 41 days? To give states time to finish counting. Although Election Day is fixed by law, Congress has allowed states to set their own rules about when they count ballots — including whether and to what extent to allow mail-in ballots, and by when those ballots must arrive.

And even for in-person ballots, it's usually not possible for states to *finish* counting *on* Election Day, especially since many state's laws don't allow *any* counting of ballots until all of the polls have closed (which happens sometime on the evening of Election Day).

Plus, if it's *really* close, states generally provide for automatic (and, in some cases, requested) *recounts* (like Florida in 2000), which have to take place before final results can be certified.

That's why *no* state requires certification of results *on* Election Day.

Indeed, only *one* state (Delaware, of course) has a certification deadline that's less than one week after Election Day.

Every other state waits at least a week — and some *require* waiting far longer — to officially certify their election results.

Federal law not only recognizes this variation; it *encourages* it.

Under the "safe harbor" provision of the Electoral Count Act of 1887, a state's results will be deemed conclusive so long as they are certified within *five weeks* of Election Day:

On election night, what we hear are *projections* that the media makes based upon evolving vote tallies and exit polls.

And when those projections give one candidate a majority in the Electoral College, those media groups "call" the election. But *NONE* of that is "official."

papa smurf 27-10-2020 13:16

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Nigel Farage insists with '100% certainty' Donald Trump will win US election next week


"It's all a replay of what we saw back in 2016.

"I say 100 percent of those that go out to vote on November 3, Donald Trump will win a majority in the electoral college.

"I say that 100 percent.

"What I don't know is the extent to which this early mail-in voting is being used and potentially abused.


https://www.express.co.uk/news/polit...2020-latest-VN

Mick 27-10-2020 13:17

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36055097)
Surely its 'crooked' to make Court appointments based on politics. Thankfully President Joe is going to review the whole system ;)
BTW 'Trump may lose' ? Fake news. Done lose faith Mick, he's a shoe in :)

It’s not crooked, by 2016, Obama was a lame duck president, he had no Senate so when he made his court pick, the Republican controlled Senate, blocked his pick. They cited that it was an election year. Fast forward to now, Republicans have fast tracked Trump’s pick, hypocritically. That said, they did right thing. The way the pathetic Democrats treated Justice Kavanaugh with his confirmation, with fake allegations trying to discredit him to keep seat open. Democrats also changed the 60 vote confirmation requirement, when they controlled the Senate in 2013. Paving the way to allow the Republicans last night to confirm Amy Coney Barrett, on 52 votes to 48. The Democrats reap what they sow.

Democrats get all they deserve, if they pack the Supreme Court should they gain the Senate this year, at every other election, Republicans could regain power and make changes how they see fit and it’s just an endless cycle of power grabs by each side.

Damien 27-10-2020 16:37

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36055122)
Democrats also changed the 60 vote confirmation requirement, when they controlled the Senate in 2013. Paving the way to allow the Republicans last night to confirm Amy Coney Barrett, on 52 votes to 48. The Democrats reap what they sow.

Wasn't the 60 vote thing about the filibuster? I.E You only needed 51 votes to confirm but 60 votes to override any attempt to filibuster so short of either party getting above 60 the other party could just hold up the entire process.

They need rid of the filibuster anyway, it's a stupid system.

Mick 27-10-2020 17:24

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36055148)
Wasn't the 60 vote thing about the filibuster? I.E You only needed 51 votes to confirm but 60 votes to override any attempt to filibuster so short of either party getting above 60 the other party could just hold up the entire process.

They need rid of the filibuster anyway, it's a stupid system.

Kinda...

This Time article best explains it:

Quote:

In 2013, Reid invoked the “nuclear option,” a historic move that changed a long-standing Senate rule, dropping the number of votes needed to overcome a filibuster from 60 to a simple majority for executive appointments and most judicial nominations — a decision he justified because of trouble getting through court confirmations in the latter half of the Obama Administration.

At the time, then-Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and many other Republicans warned Reid that he would regret implementing the nuclear option.
https://time.com/5324365/harry-reid-...supreme-court/

Damien 27-10-2020 17:38

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Yeah. The filibuster is another mechanism of American politics I don't understand. It should just be removed. The Democrats doing in 2013 may have backfired but then they shouldn't be allowed to filibuster this nominee all the way until the election anyway, plus nothing would stop the Republicans from getting rid of it either. If the Senate is Republican then thems the breaks.

America seems to love these arbitrary ways they have to block elected politicians from doing stuff. Same with the fact any law congress does actually pass can be litigated all the way to the Supreme Court who themselves seem to be able to do their own little bit of legislating from the bench based on the political learnings of lifetime appointments. The timing of when these justices die can impact the nation for decades to come.

I do like the American system for sheer drama and the mechanisms of how the Government works make for interesting scenarios but I am becoming more convinced it's a bizarre way to run a country. I may not like the recent results of our elections but at the system allows things to happen.

downquark1 27-10-2020 17:43

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
If you think that is bad. Watch this https://youtu.be/dDYFiq1l5Dg

Mick 27-10-2020 17:52

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Joe Biden calls his VP Pick Sen. Kamala Harris’ husband, Doug Emhoff, “Kamala’s wife” oops:

https://twitter.com/SteveGuest/statu...74534921981952

papa smurf 27-10-2020 18:01

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36055166)
Joe Biden calls his VP Pick Sen. Kamala Harris’ husband, Doug Emhoff, “Kamala’s wife” oops:

https://twitter.com/SteveGuest/statu...74534921981952

Has she always been a chick https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LDn9D7E7i7Q

Hugh 28-10-2020 22:24

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
1 Attachment(s)
Hope Nigel us going to self-isolate for 14 days when he gets back from the Trump rally in Phoenix, Arizona.

1andrew1 28-10-2020 22:45

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36055365)
Hope Nigel us going to self-isolate for 14 days when he gets back from the Trump rally in Phoenix, Arizona.

Hmm, I thought he'd have had a better position than just being in the audience.
He now seems to be focusing on his financial tips newsletter. https://www.mirror.co.uk/money/nigel...-plan-22912149

Hugh 28-10-2020 23:29

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36055366)
Hmm, I thought he'd have had a better position than just being in the audience.
He now seems to be focusing on his financial tips newsletter. https://www.mirror.co.uk/money/nigel...-plan-22912149

He’s with Senators, so probably VIP - not a lot of masks/social distancing on display, though...

Mr K 29-10-2020 07:35

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36055365)
Hope Nigel us going to self-isolate for 14 days when he gets back from the Trump rally in Phoenix, Arizona.

Surely if your names Nigel and your surname rhymes with Garage the rules state you have to self isolate, for 14 years ?

He"ll probably retire to the continent soon like most high profile Brexiteers. Trump will join him, buying Portugal and turning it in to a mega golf course.

papa smurf 29-10-2020 08:14

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36055365)
Hope Nigel us going to self-isolate for 14 days when he gets back from the Trump rally in Phoenix, Arizona.

Hope he makes a better job of it than Tony Blair
https://metro.co.uk/2020/10/18/tony-...trip-13440361/

denphone 29-10-2020 08:34

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
This is the FT's latest US election polling figures with less than one week to go before US election day on November 3.

https://ig.ft.com/us-election-2020/

1andrew1 29-10-2020 08:41

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36055381)
Hope he makes a better job of it than Tony Blair
https://metro.co.uk/2020/10/18/tony-...trip-13440361/

Appreciate it's a bit lengthy, but having read the article in your link, both seem exempt from self-isolation. One rule for the establishment elites like Farage and Blair, another rule for us plebs. ;)
Quote:

‘He was told to follow the guidance on international conferences which he did; the US Government had cleared the visit because it was for the diplomatic conference at the White House. ‘We believe he followed all UK and US government guidelines as advised. ‘Mr Blair was tested for Covid before departing the UK, on arrival at the White House, when he returned to the UK and has been tested several times since.’

The spokeswoman said all Covid-19 tests had been negative, adding that Mr Blair did not attend any other meetings during his trip. Government guidance states that diplomats and representatives at international conferences are granted ‘privileges and immunities’, meaning they are not required to self-isolate if their work is confirmed as essential.

A Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO) spokeswoman said: ‘The FCDO provides travel exemptions to diplomats travelling on business relating to the interests of the UK, representatives of international organisations, and their families and dependents.
Read more: https://metro.co.uk/2020/10/18/tony-...1/?ito=cbshare

papa smurf 29-10-2020 09:08

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36055385)
Appreciate it's a bit lengthy, but having read the article in your link, both seem exempt from self-isolation. One rule for the establishment elites like Farage and Blair, another rule for us plebs. ;)


Read more: https://metro.co.uk/2020/10/18/tony-...1/?ito=cbshare

Words just fail me- i hope the virus knows about this exemption.

Damien 30-10-2020 17:26

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
This is very scary: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...lection-night/

Pennsylvania has a lot of postal votes and there could be a large discrepancy between votes on the day and the postal votes counted afterwards. So on the night, Trump could be ahead and if this is the deciding state then there is going to be an almighty argument about how long they can count postal votes before shutting it down and declaring a winner. The Supreme Court upheld a decision giving them three days to count them but that can be appealed.

So if Trump is ahead the Republicans could go right to the Supreme Court - which is right leaning - to try and get them to shut down the count ASAP.

Again at the moment, the current evidence is the court will allow votes postmarked before election day to be counted. That's what other states do with postal votes and what we do in the U.K. Flordia usually takes time to fully finish their vote do a few others.

Mr K 31-10-2020 10:49

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
This is allegedly the 'World's Greatest Democracy' yet they make it incredibly difficult and bureaucratic to vote and try disuade certain sections of society from voting.
Then they struggle to counts any votes that do get cast
and will do anything to avoid counting votes where they don't want them counted. Then it ends up in court that have been politically stuffed with the Govs own supporters.
Sounds like the World's biggest Dictatorship.

Sephiroth 31-10-2020 11:55

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36055683)
This is allegedly the 'World's Greatest Democracy' yet they make it incredibly difficult and bureaucratic to vote and try disuade certain sections of society from voting.
Then they struggle to counts any votes that do get cast
and will do anything to avoid counting votes where they don't want them counted. Then it ends up in court that have been politically stuffed with the Govs own supporters.
Sounds like the World's biggest Dictatorship.

You're right, on this occasion.


Pierre 31-10-2020 12:25

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Worlds greatest democracy in the same way their baseball champions are “world” champions

papa smurf 31-10-2020 12:50

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36055688)
Worlds greatest democracy in the same way their baseball champions are “world” champions

Don't forget boxing

Mick 31-10-2020 14:26

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
U.S Department of Justice official have announced there is an active criminal FBI investigation open on Hunter Biden, son of U.S Presidential Democrat Candidate, Joe Biden, probing money laundering.

Quote:

A witness interviewed by the FBI as part of a year-long criminal investigation into the overseas business dealings of Hunter Biden said this week that the bureau's agents focused their questions, in part, on the work that the son of the Democratic presidential nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, performed for a Ukrainian company while his father was handling Ukraine policy for the Obama administration.

In an exclusive interview with Sinclair on Thursday, Tony Bobulinski, a former business partner of Hunter Biden, said he was interviewed for some five hours, by up to six FBI agents at a time, at a bureau office in Washington on October 23. The federal agents, Bobulinski said, listed him as a "material witness" in an ongoing investigation, told him they will require additional questioning, and extracted the data from three cell phones that he made available.

Bobulinski has said the devices contain emails, corporate documents, WhatsApp chats and other digital evidence of his tenure as an executive at SinoHawk, a venture co-founded by Hunter Biden to do business with the Chinese energy giant, CEFC. But Bobulinski's account of his FBI interview suggests the bureau is also pursuing investigative leads that extend beyond sinoHawk's China venture to include Hunter Biden's work in Ukraine.

Mykola Zlochevsky is the founder of the Ukrainian energy firm Burisma, identified in a recent Senate Homeland Security Committee report entitled "Hunter Biden, Burisma, and Corruption," as a natural gas company that paid the younger Biden approximately $83,000 a month to sit on its board while the elder Biden oversaw U.S. foreign policy toward Ukraine. The impeachment proceedings against President Trump in late 2019 and early this year focused on his requests that the Ukrainian government announce investigations in Hunter Biden's work for Burisma.
https://wjla.com/news/nation-world/w...raine-dealings

Pierre 31-10-2020 15:52

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36055710)
U.S Department of Justice official have announced there is an active criminal FBI investigation open on Hunter Biden, son of U.S Presidential Democrat Candidate, Joe Biden, probing money laundering.



https://wjla.com/news/nation-world/w...raine-dealings

Too late to affect the election, unless if Biden wins and as a sitting president is found guilty of some wrong doing with his sons business dealings.

In any event to late to help Trump.

As much as I would love to see everyone lose their minds if he won again, I feel he’s up against too much this time.

Sephiroth 31-10-2020 16:40

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
I'm gonna LMFAO whatever the result. The USA is one weird society.

With God on their side, of course.


TheDaddy 31-10-2020 16:52

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36055718)
I'm gonna LMFAO whatever the result. The USA is one weird society.

With God on their side, of course.


I like the way God is on all their sides, that should stop them and make them think for a moment, if it did they'd probably find all their lives suddenly became a bit easier. For our sakes I'm hoping for donny does it again but I don't he's what's best for Americans or the World though.

Mick 31-10-2020 17:13

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
White House Press Secretary says Trump has took lead in Arizona according to Realclearpolitics poll. Up by 0.6.

---------- Post added at 17:13 ---------- Previous post was at 17:04 ----------

Federal appeals court says MN (Minnesota) cannot count ballots after Election night. A Potential win for Trump.

Mr K 31-10-2020 17:16

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36055724)
White House Press Secretary says Trump has took lead in Arizona according to Realclearpolitics poll. Up by 0.6.

---------- Post added at 17:13 ---------- Previous post was at 17:04 ----------

Federal appeals court says MN (Minnesota) cannot count ballots after Election night. A Potential win for Trump.

So you don't think peoples votes should be counted? :confused:

Hugh 31-10-2020 17:20

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36055724)
White House Press Secretary says Trump has took lead in Arizona according to Realclearpolitics poll. Up by 0.6.

---------- Post added at 17:13 ---------- Previous post was at 17:04 ----------

Federal appeals court says MN (Minnesota) cannot count ballots after Election night. A Potential win for Trump.

I thought they just had to keep them separate - haven’t seen a ruling on not counting them.

https://patch.com/minnesota/southwes...il-ballot-case
Quote:

Minnesota Secretary of State Steve Simon announced Friday that his office will not appeal the decision handed down by federal court this week. An Eighth Circuit panel ruled Thursday evening that election officials must "segregate" Minnesota ballots received after Election Day.

The decision is a victory for local GOP groups, who sought to challenge Minnesota's extended Nov. 10 absentee ballot deadline.
Quote:

"In consultation with the Minnesota Attorney General's Office, we have decided not to seek a stay of the 8th Circuit decision at the US Supreme Court. We disagree with the court's decision, and there may be cause for litigation later. While Minnesota will comply with the 8th Circuit's ruling to segregate the ballots received after November 3, we need to emphasize that there is no court ruling yet saying those ballots are invalid. We absolutely reserve the right to make every argument after Election Day that protects voters. For now, our focus is to make sure that every Minnesota voter knows to cast their ballot by 8 p.m. on November 3, and that every ballot legally cast is counted."

Mick 31-10-2020 17:23

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36055727)
So you don't think peoples votes should be counted? :confused:

Firstly, it's not my judgement. But thanks for promoting me to Federal Judge.

Secondly - Do we normally count ballots received after an election event, say days after?

America has had ample time to cast it's vote especially by mail - there is potential to cheat after 8PM on Election night, by keep counting ballots after the cut off time, there has to be "closure" to the election, otherwise the result cannot be determined for weeks if ballots keep on coming in, days after the election has ended.

---------- Post added at 17:23 ---------- Previous post was at 17:22 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36055728)
I thought they just had to keep them separate - haven’t seen a ruling on not counting them.

https://patch.com/minnesota/southwes...il-ballot-case

If they have to keep them separate, then they are not being counted towards the official tally. ;)

Mr K 31-10-2020 17:23

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

New @Stanford study estimates that 18 Trump rallies have led to 30,000 COVID cases and 700 deaths
https://mobile.twitter.com/carlquint...3%2Fframe.html

Well thats a few less votes he's got..

Mick 31-10-2020 17:27

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36055732)
https://mobile.twitter.com/carlquint...3%2Fframe.html

Well thats a few less votes he's got..

"Estimates", so in other words they don't fecking know either way. :rolleyes:

Damien 31-10-2020 17:38

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
The ballot thing isn't too bad as its votes arriving after election day. They can still count ones they've received before. So long as everyone whose voted before or on the day gets counted them I am fine with that.

Most states were saying they would still count votes so long as it was postmarked by election day, i.e they sent it before, and there are some challenges about that.

pip08456 31-10-2020 17:49

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36055724)
White House Press Secretary says Trump has took lead in Arizona according to Realclearpolitics poll. Up by 0.6.

---------- Post added at 17:13 ---------- Previous post was at 17:04 ----------

Federal appeals court says MN (Minnesota) cannot count ballots after Election night. A Potential win for Trump.

That is not what it said. Only posted ballots recieved after election night must be separated.

Quote:

A three-judge panel of the 8th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals said Thursday that Minnesota's absentee ballots that come in after Election Day should be separated from the rest of the ballots, in case a future order makes those votes invalid.

Link

Hugh 31-10-2020 18:04

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36055730)
Firstly, it's not my judgement. But thanks for promoting me to Federal Judge.

Secondly - Do we normally count ballots received after an election event, say days after?

America has had ample time to cast it's vote especially by mail - there is potential to cheat after 8PM on Election night, by keep counting ballots after the cut off time, there has to be "closure" to the election, otherwise the result cannot be determined for weeks if ballots keep on coming in, days after the election has ended.

---------- Post added at 17:23 ---------- Previous post was at 17:22 ----------



If they have to keep them separate, then they are not being counted towards the official tally. ;)

https://www.mprnews.org/story/2020/1...t-be-separated
Quote:

A three-judge panel of the 8th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals said Thursday that Minnesota's absentee ballots that come in after Election Day should be separated from the rest of the ballots, in case a future order makes those votes invalid.

The ruling doesn't block Minnesota's seven-day extension for counting absentee ballots — but it does order a lower court to issue a ruling that would keep the late arriving ballots separate so they can be “removed from vote totals in the event a final order is entered” that finds them unlawful.

Mick 31-10-2020 18:20

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36055753)

Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456
That is not what it said. Only posted ballots recieved after election night must be separated.

And so in essence they will not still be counted towards the "official tally", the "official tally", is when all counting has ended including any order to permanently discard them, if they have been told to keep them separated after election night, then the "official tally" isn't final. I am still correct in my original statement and I stand by what I said as I always do, you never learn Hugh. :rolleyes:

Mr K 31-10-2020 18:22

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36055762)
And so in essence they will not still be counted towards the "official tally", the "official tally", is when all counting has ended including any order to permanently discard them, if they have been told to keep them separated after election night, then the "official tally" isn't final. I am still correct in my original statement and I stand by what I said as I always do, you never learn Hugh. :rolleyes:

Never mind Mick, Hugh will admit you're always right someday i'm sure ;)

Sephiroth 31-10-2020 18:26

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36055720)
I like the way God is on all their sides, that should stop them and make them think for a moment, if it did they'd probably find all their lives suddenly became a bit easier. For our sakes I'm hoping for donny does it again but I don't he's what's best for Americans or the World though.

Well put.

Mick 31-10-2020 18:38

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36055763)
Never mind Mick, Hugh will admit you're always right someday i'm sure ;)

Hugh can admit to whatever he likes, just like I can agree or disagree on whatever I like. If ballots have been told keep separated, then they are not part of the final official tally. The clue in the word is "separate".

jfman 31-10-2020 18:43

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Anyone staying up to watch the results?

Mick 31-10-2020 18:52

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36055782)
Anyone staying up to watch the results?

:wavey:

Though I think if it is close, then we won't know results by morning.

jfman 31-10-2020 18:54

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36055789)
:wavey:

Though I think if it is close, then we won't know results by morning.

I’ll probably give it til 4/5am but yes it could go on a while if close.

pip08456 31-10-2020 18:55

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36055762)
And so in essence they will not still be counted towards the "official tally", the "official tally", is when all counting has ended including any order to permanently discard them, if they have been told to keep them separated after election night, then the "official tally" isn't final. I am still correct in my original statement and I stand by what I said as I always do, you never learn Hugh. :rolleyes:

Until and if a final order is issued finding them unlawful they will be included in the "official tally".

It makes this statement incorrect.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36055724)
Federal appeals court says MN (Minnesota) cannot count ballots after Election night. A Potential win for Trump.


Mick 31-10-2020 19:00

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36055791)
Until and if a final order is issued finding them unlawful they will be included in the "official tally".

It makes this statement incorrect.

"If" another clue -

It does not, they are still to be "separate."

we can argue this as much as you like, but I stand by what I said. Let's just agree to disagree and move on. :)

Mad Max 31-10-2020 19:54

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36055790)
I’ll probably give it til 4/5am but yes it could go on a while if close.

Do you have no work to go to? ;)

Damien 31-10-2020 19:58

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36055782)
Anyone staying up to watch the results?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36055789)
:wavey:

Though I think if it is close, then we won't know results by morning.

Same :wavey:

But unless it's anything other that a blowout (Biden winning Flordia, Trump clearly killing it in all the swing states as what happened last time) then we won't know even in the morning. The sheer amount of postal votes will take time to count hence the 'blue/red shift' worries where a state switches candidate in the days following.

Here is a good breakdown of when states will report and the assumption on if a blue or red shift is more likely: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...esults-timing/

So the networks might call some states if a candidate is far enough ahead that they think the remaining postal votes either won't make up a difference or are only likely to increase the leading candidates lead.

So if Biden were winning in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin but then also won Florida which will likely be called on the night/morning then they might call it but otherwise it might take days.

Mick 31-10-2020 21:19

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Former U.S President Barack Obama was at a campaign event in Flint, Michigan today when he had to resort to calling his former VP. Sleepy Joe, three times, missing his initial intro to the podium.

https://twitter.com/FrancisBrennan/s...13557448609792

1andrew1 01-11-2020 12:05

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Whose call do you think Biden will return first when he's President?*
a) Boris Johnson
b) Angela Merkel
c) Xi Jinping
d) Justin Trudeau
d) Another leader not listed

* Prediction based on Fox News showing Biden ahead by 8%

jfman 01-11-2020 12:21

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
President of the Ukraine? :D

1andrew1 01-11-2020 13:16

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36055857)
President of the Ukraine? :D

:D:D:D

Damien 01-11-2020 16:04

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Predictions then?

I think Biden will win but it is closer in the swing states so who knows?

My big fear at the moment is legal battles over ballots not yet counted on Tuesday night.

denphone 01-11-2020 16:09

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36055867)
Predictions then?

I think Biden will win but it is closer in the swing states so who knows?

My big fear at the moment is legal battles over ballots not yet counted on Tuesday night.

All the clever money is on Biden as l expect him to win quite comfortably.

Mr K 01-11-2020 17:43

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36055867)
Predictions then?

I think Biden will win but it is closer in the swing states so who knows?

My big fear at the moment is legal battles over ballots not yet counted on Tuesday night.

Given up predicting elections and referendums. I make the mistake of thinking the best of people and crediting them with too much intelligence ;)

If Trump is re-elected the American people will be confirmed as the dumbest on Earth. Wouldn't be so bad if it just affected them.

jfman 01-11-2020 22:55

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
https://twitter.com/dailycaller/stat...907005962?s=21

One for Mick.

Jimmy-J 02-11-2020 01:37

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Trump will be re-elected for sure.

Paul 02-11-2020 05:50

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Biden will win ... Just *







(* I'm usually wrong on election guesses...)

Mick 02-11-2020 13:24

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
BREAKING: U.S President Donald Trump set to win US presidency by electoral college landslide Sunday Express Poll finds.

Quote:

DONALD TRUMP is on course to win four more years in the White House with a one point lead in the popular win, the final Democracy Institute poll for the Sunday Express has found.

The last Democracy Institute/Sunday Express poll gave the US President a two point lead and landed just after he went into hospital with coronavirus.

Significantly, the President has, according to the latest findings, maintained a four point lead of 49 percent to 45 percent in the key swing states including Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

It means he is on course to easily win the electoral college by 326 to 212 votes against his Democrat rival in a result which would shock the world even more than his astonishing defeat of Hilary Clinton in 2016.

The Democracy Institute/Sunday Express poll has throughout the campaign been one of the few to predict a Trump victory since March.

This is because unlike other polls it only looks at people identifying as likely voters instead of just registered to vote and it has tried to identify the shy Trump vote.

According to this latest poll almost eight in ten (79 percent) of Trump supporters would not admit it to friends and family compared to 21 percent of Biden supporters.


With the race hotting up in the final days allegations that Mr Biden and his family are corrupt surrounding claims about his son Hunter’s business dealings with China and the Ukraine using family connections appear to have had cut through.

There was controversy when social media platforms including Twitter apparently attempted to filter out the stories surrounding Hunter Biden published by the New York Post.

But the row has, according to the poll, only helped to put the issue in the public consciousness more.

Asked who they thought was telling the truth about the Biden family allegations 57 percent chose businessman and former Biden associate Tony Bobulinski who has levelled accusations against the former vice President.

Meanwhile, 52 percent agreed that Mr Biden is “a corrupt politician” with 21 percent saying they are less likely to vote for him and 75 percent saying it makes no difference.

Asked if the allegations made him a national security risk, 54 percent agreed that it did.
https://www.express.co.uk/news/world...n-swing-states

Damien 02-11-2020 13:31

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Different from the other polls certainly, not long to find out now.

jfman 02-11-2020 13:43

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Unsure of their methodology in finding "shy Trump voters" among "likely voters". If they were shy surely they'd be claiming they are unlikely to vote?

Hugh 02-11-2020 14:12

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36055919)
Different from the other polls certainly, not long to find out now.

Does appear to be an outlier compared to other polls.

Mick 02-11-2020 15:17

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36055921)
Unsure of their methodology in finding "shy Trump voters" among "likely voters". If they were shy surely they'd be claiming they are unlikely to vote?

Not really - The difference is obvious, those not willing to tell anyone who they'd vote for, including people close to them, would vote Trump, does not make them a non-voter.

---------- Post added at 15:17 ---------- Previous post was at 15:15 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36055889)

Already seen it, it's beyond parody that they (The Democrats) have allowed this to continue on, gaffe after gaffe and stupid senile mistakes from Biden.

jfman 02-11-2020 15:51

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
I know what the difference is I just don't understand how their methodology better finds the "shy Trump voter" than any other.

If I was reluctant to tell a pollster I'll vote Trump I'd probably say I'm probably not going to vote or undecided. I don't know how they extract me from those figures.

Hom3r 02-11-2020 16:19

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Because 2020 can't give us anymore nightmares, I feel it can and give Trump another 4 years.

1andrew1 02-11-2020 17:25

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
No need for all this fakery when there's doubtless genuine videos out there.
Quote:

Manipulated video of Biden mixing up states was shared 1.1m times before being removed.

A doctored video purporting to show Joe Biden addressing a rally and forgetting which state he was in was viewed more than 1.1m times on social media before it was removed from Twitter.

“Hello Minnesota,” the Democratic candidate says as he bounds on to a stage where signs saying “Tampa, Florida” and “Text FL to 30330” are prominently placed.
The footage was clipped from a campaign stop last Friday in St Paul, Minnesota. The signs, however, were fake, added by digital manipulation, according to an Associated Press fact check that debunked the story.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world...rtan-ntp-feeds

---------- Post added at 17:25 ---------- Previous post was at 17:12 ----------

This is concerning.

Quote:

Trump supporter caravan blocks people from voting in California

https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world...tan-ntp-feedsA huge caravan of supporters of President Donald Trump reportedly blocked the road to a voting centre in Temecula, California, on Sunday afternoon, prompting would-be voters to call the police.

The supporters paraded for 60 miles through Riverside County on Sunday afternoon before gathering at the city’s sports park.

However, the crowd and their vehicles also ended up obstructing the access to the site, which included a voting centre, according to the LA Times, leading some voters to complain to the authorities that the behaviour amounted to intimidation.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world...rtan-ntp-feeds

papa smurf 02-11-2020 18:20

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
nothing wrong with joe

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yAHoul4IYMY


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nzBdBj5QWyY

Mick 02-11-2020 18:34

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36055939)
No need for all this fakery when there's doubtless genuine videos out there.

https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world...rtan-ntp-feeds

You cannot fake ALL his gaffes Andrew so no, they are not fake.

Sleepy Joe has said many many things that make no sense, like when he said he was running for Senate, when he was actually running for President, he said he joined the Senate 180 years ago and when he said only last week that we cannot have another 4 years of George. It's elder abuse letting this man run, with all his dementia like symptoms.

Mad Max 02-11-2020 18:41

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Joe Biden's mind is like a web browser. 19 tabs are open. 17 are frozen and he has no idea where the music is coming from.


:D

Mick 02-11-2020 19:06

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Latest from Trump's campaign manager who has tweeted a series of tweets in the last hour:

Quote:

President Trump is ahead of where he was in 2016, by a very key measure.

It’s the measure that actually matters. Votes cast, and votes left to be cast.

You’ve been seeing reports of Democrats being nervous, and well, they should be.

--

Let’s start in Ohio, where Joe Biden is wasting a few hours today.

Weeks ago the partisan makeup of the electorate was D +10, today it’s D +0.6.

Going into E Day in 2016, the gap was D +2.5.

Pres. Trump has a projected Election Day votes cast margin of over 400k net votes.

--

Pres. Trump rallied in North Carolina this morning.

Democrats jumped out to a D +32 advantage during AB only voting. Today it’s D +5.8.

Going into Election Day in 2016, the gap was D +9.7.

Pres. Trump has a projected Election Day votes cast margin of over 400k net votes.

--

Pres. Trump and Biden are then heading to Pennsylvania.

Dems have banked A TON of high propensity voters. We have millions of voters left.

Pres. Trump’s E Day margin needs to be significant and we project an Election Day votes cast margin of over a million for Pres. Trump.

--

Don Jr. is in AZ today to etch the state into our win column.

Weeks ago the makeup of the electorate was D +11.9, today it’s D +1.2. Reminder: going into E Day in 2016, the gap was D +2.5.

Pres. Trump has a projected Election Day votes cast margin of over 150k net votes.

--

What about Florida?

Democrats jumped out to a D +18.8 advantage during AB-only voting. Today it’s D +1.

Going into Election Day in 2016, the gap was D +1.4.

President Trump has a projected Election Day votes cast margin of over 500k net votes.

https://twitter.com/BillStepien/stat...29137734397954

jfman 02-11-2020 19:08

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Election Day votes cast margin is certainly a curious way to phrase it.

pip08456 02-11-2020 19:15

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Whoever wins there's going to be riots.

Quote:

The White House is taking no chances for Election Day as crews will begin constructing a ‘non-scalable’ fence to secure the Executive Mansion, the Ellipse, and Lafayette Square, it has been reported...

...Cities across the nation have boarded up shops, storefronts, office buildings, restaurants, hotels, and other properties in anticipation of possible violence related to Tuesday’s presidential election.

Link

Chris 02-11-2020 19:18

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36055966)
Election Day votes cast margin is certainly a curious way to phrase it.

Because there’s a ton of research that suggests the substantial amount of postal votes are putting Biden ahead. For a variety of reasons democrats are more likely to post their votes and republicans are more likely to vote in person on the day. The wording is carefully constructed so as to focus on the very specific metrics that favour Trump, whereas the overall picture certainly doesn’t.

Mick 02-11-2020 20:44

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Pennsylvania bakery's election-themed 'cookie poll' is now showing clear front-runner.

https://www.foxnews.com/food-drink/p...ner-owner-says

Quote:

The official tally isn’t in just yet, but one candidate can safely claim victory in a Pennsylvania bakery’s cookie poll.

Lochel’s, a family-owned bakery located in the town of Hatboro, tells Fox News that the shop’s Trump-themed cookies are “vastly” outselling its Biden-themed cookies by a margin of almost 6 to 1, with some customers driving from neighboring states in order to get their hands on the treats.

“We had one guy drive twice from Staten Island for them,” said bakery owner Kathleen Lochel.

What’s more, Kathleen had previously touted that the informal “cookie poll” — which she’s held for the past four election cycles — has accurately predicted the outcome of the last three elections.

“We plan on tallying them up tomorrow night, to do our final tally,” she told Fox News on Monday morning of the bakery’s “cookie poll,” which kicked off around two months back. “But right now, Donald Trump is still in the lead… we’ve sold about 28,000 [Trump] cookies to 5,000 [of Biden’s].

“By the end of today’s sales, knowing the orders we have, [Trump cookie sales] should probably approach 29,000.”

Paul 02-11-2020 20:55

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
So more people want to bite Trumps head off ........... :erm:

Damien 02-11-2020 22:41

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Could also just be one very gluttonous Trump supporter as well....

1andrew1 02-11-2020 23:03

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Think it's less of an outlier than that Daily Express poll. ;)

papa smurf 03-11-2020 08:57

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Vote George.

Hugh 03-11-2020 09:57

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36055995)
Could also just be one very gluttonous Trump supporter as well....

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...7&d=1604397413

heero_yuy 03-11-2020 10:03

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Quote from The Hill: But a handful of contrarian pollsters believe Trump’s support is underrepresented and that election analysts could be headed for another embarrassing miss on Election Day.

The battles have spilled on to social media, where some well-known political analysts have dismissed polls that show Trump leading Biden.

The Trafalgar Group, which was the only nonpartisan outlet in 2016 to find Trump leading in Michigan and Pennsylvania on Election Day, shows Trump with small leads in both states, which would be keys to another Trump win in the Electoral College. Nearly every other pollster shows Biden with a comfortable lead.

Trafalgar’s Robert Cahaly says there is a hidden Trump vote that is not being accounted for in polls that show Biden on a glide path to the White House.

“There are more [shy Trump voters] than last time and it’s not even a contest,” Cahaly said, adding that it’s “quite possible” that the polling industry is headed for a catastrophic miss in 2020.
This pollster called it correctly last time.

Damien 03-11-2020 10:29

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
With Pennslyvania unlikely to declare tonight looks like Flordia might let us know if it's going to be close or if Biden is going to win.

Mr K 03-11-2020 10:35

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
https://mobile.twitter.com/Walldo/st...07046331883521
Trump introduces rapper 'Little Pump' as 'Little Pimp' :D

Either he's got dementia ( there's a lot of it about) or he's a very nasty person. Probably both.

peanut 03-11-2020 11:35

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
The fact that is this is the closest contest in years speaks volumes. It's either a vote for dementia or the demented. Either way there's no winners this time around.

Damien 03-11-2020 13:43

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by peanut (Post 36056025)
The fact that is this is the closest contest in years speaks volumes. It's either a vote for dementia or the demented. Either way there's no winners this time around.

So far it's not the closest contest in years.

It's one of the least contested elections in years. More so than 2016. 2012 was closed. 2004 was close. This not so much.

Doesn't mean it won't turn out to be close if the polls are wrong.

Damien 03-11-2020 17:10

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Well, voting is well underway.

papa smurf 03-11-2020 17:29

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Interesting video on biden

https://www.850wftl.com/video-weekend-at-bidens/




opinion piece on election outcome

https://nypost.com/2020/11/02/if-bid...ckly-drop-him/

Mick 03-11-2020 20:45

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
There really is no excuse now....

https://twitter.com/Breaking911/stat...25227487100928

Joe Biden introduces his granddaughter by saying, "This is my son, Beau Biden." ... "This is my granddaughter, Natalie. No wait, no wait. We got the wrong one..."

His son Beau Biden has been dead 5 years...


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