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mrmistoffelees 20-07-2021 19:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36087057)
No, because it’s the law.

Trust me, if the average motorist was not compelled to allow pedestrians to cross at a Zebra crossing due them having the right of way or forced to via a red light, most wouldn’t.

It is not a legal requirement to stop at a pedestrian crossing

Pierre 20-07-2021 19:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36087051)
There’s no legal requirement to stop at a pedestrian crossing

I think you’ll find if the pedestrian has started to cross, there is.

Of course we’re talking Zebra crossings. Obviously if it’s managed by lights of course you are.

---------- Post added at 19:13 ---------- Previous post was at 19:12 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36087058)
It is not a legal requirement to stop at a pedestrian crossing

See above.

TheDaddy 20-07-2021 19:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36087057)
No, because it’s the law.

Trust me, if the average motorist was not compelled to allow pedestrians to cross at a Zebra crossing due them having the right of way or forced to via a red light, most wouldn’t.

Are you compelled to, thought it was give way to pedestrians on the crossing? We've taken it upon ourselves to stop for those waiting

mrmistoffelees 20-07-2021 19:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36087059)
I think you’ll find if the pedestrian has started to cross, there is.

Of course we’re talking Zebra crossings. Obviously if it’s managed by lights of course you are.

---------- Post added at 19:13 ---------- Previous post was at 19:12 ----------



See above.


Apologies, yes you must stop if someone has set foot onto a zebra crossing but not if they’re approaching/waiting

Pierre 20-07-2021 19:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36087062)
Apologies, yes you must stop if someone has set foot onto a zebra crossing but not if they’re approaching/waiting

Correct.

But it’s a brave, or stupid, motorist that doesn’t anticipate a pedestrian stood waiting on a crossing may cross as you’re approaching so best to let them, if safe to do so.

papa smurf 20-07-2021 19:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36087056)
Bit extreme, just run the ones not wearing a mask over :)

why would they be wearing a mask to cross the road

Carth 20-07-2021 19:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36087064)
why would they be wearing a mask to cross the road

Probably they're chickens that are sick of hearing the joke? :D

TheDaddy 20-07-2021 19:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36087064)
why would they be wearing a mask to cross the road

Why would most people be wearing one driving?

papa smurf 20-07-2021 19:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36087066)
Why would most people be wearing one driving?

I do see lots of people wearing masks while driving alone and i wonder why.

Mr K 20-07-2021 19:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36087068)
I do see lots of people wearing masks while driving alone and i wonder why.

Not really affecting you though is it? They might be in and out of people's houses.
I see lots having chats on the phone/texting whilst driving and wonder why? Wearing a mask is unlikely to kill me, them on the phone might.

TheDaddy 20-07-2021 19:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36087068)
I do see lots of people wearing masks while driving alone and i wonder why.

Yeah they probably shouldn't be allowed on the road if they're caught doing that to often or be near sharp objects

Hom3r 21-07-2021 09:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
My 17-year-old nephew has been offered a jab (He's 18 on Halloween) and falls in the new bracket.


He will get it. His 20-year-old sister has had her first jab.

Maggy 21-07-2021 10:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36087070)
Yeah they probably shouldn't be allowed on the road if they're caught doing that to often or be near sharp objects

How about sticking to the topic?

jonbxx 21-07-2021 10:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
I took my daughter in to London yesterday for a hospital appointment and it was interesting travelling on the tube. Probably around 70% of people were wearing masks but we also saw people not wearing a mask on the platform and putting one on when getting on the train and others wearing a mask on the platform and taking it off when getting on the train (bear in mind that most of our journey was above ground) There was a scramble for masks when two TFL employees got on our train at Finchley Road!

My daughter and I wore masks BTW - conditions of travel and all that...

Thank heavens for air condition on the subsurface line trains though. Wouldn't have liked wearing a mask on the Circle Line for example.

Elsewhere, things were close to 100% at the hospital, both staff and patients

papa smurf 21-07-2021 10:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Just been for my second maskless shop and it's about 50/50 for wearing /not wearing.

Chris 21-07-2021 11:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36087110)
Just been for my second maskless shop and it's about 50/50 for wearing /not wearing.

Based on some of my recent trips into supermarkets, I’m going to guess that most of those not wearing masks now, weren’t wearing them last month.

papa smurf 21-07-2021 11:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36087111)
Based on some of my recent trips into supermarkets, I’m going to guess that most of those not wearing masks now, weren’t wearing them last month.

It's been very good here for mask wearing [when it was a requirement] give it a few days and mask wearing will probably be a thing of the past for the majority.

I should also say that hardly anyone has followed the rules on gatherings and meeting up indoors around here.

GrimUpNorth 21-07-2021 15:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36087112)
It's been very good here for mask wearing [when it was a requirement] give it a few days and mask wearing will probably be a thing of the past for the majority.

I should also say that hardly anyone has followed the rules on gatherings and meeting up indoors around here.

I wouldn't say that was anything to be particularly proud of.

papa smurf 21-07-2021 16:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by GrimUpNorth (Post 36087128)
I wouldn't say that was anything to be particularly proud of.

I don't know that they were proud of it, i just observed that they did their own thing.

OLD BOY 21-07-2021 20:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Many people I know have interpreted the rules to suit themselves and I think you’ll find it’s the same up and down the country.

The control freaks must be fuming.

Sephiroth 21-07-2021 20:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36087039)
Here's some week on week data to mull over.

46,558 cases in the UK. +9,898
96 deaths in the UK. +46
745 patients admitted to hospital in the UK. +181
4,567 patients in hospital in the UK. +1,836
611 patients on ventilation in the UK. +194

What are we suppose to mull?

When the number of weekly cases was last as high as today's, number of Covid patients on hospital was 10x higher.

So, what's your point?


mrmistoffelees 21-07-2021 20:20

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36087154)
What are we suppose to mull?

When the number of weekly cases was last as high as today's, number of Covid patients on hospital was 10x higher.

So, what's your point?


The point, my perfidious little radge packet ;) is that if those rates continue in that manner (unchecked) the nhs may well be at breaking point and we will be in lockdown again by early-mid September

Sephiroth 21-07-2021 20:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36087155)
The point, my perfidious little radge packet ;) is that if those rates continue in that manner (unchecked) the nhs may well be at breaking point and we will be in lockdown again by early-mid September

re you sure about that? What is the in/out rate at hospitals?
Do you think that by end-September the number of Covid patients in hospital will be at the 40,000 level it was earlier in the Pandemic?

Btw, and making myself a hostage to fortune, what is "perfidious" about me?


mrmistoffelees 22-07-2021 09:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36087158)
re you sure about that? What is the in/out rate at hospitals?
Do you think that by end-September the number of Covid patients in hospital will be at the 40,000 level it was earlier in the Pandemic?

Btw, and making myself a hostage to fortune, what is "perfidious" about me?



I dont know numbers, but i don't believe you can reasonably expect the frontline NHS to keep operating at the level they have for the past eighteen months. it's not sustainable.


re your second question. nothing at all, just joshing :)

noel43 22-07-2021 09:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36087110)
Just been for my second maskless shop and it's about 50/50 for wearing /not wearing.

Just been to my local butchers masks still required every one seemed happy to comply.

nomadking 22-07-2021 10:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
What people seem to conveniently forget about all this whining about being "pinged", is that a set of circumstances has occurred.
IE C(who may not have caught it) will have been pinged because of sufficient contact with B, who has the virus but may not reach the stage of being able to transmit it to C and others, who in turn has had sufficient contact with A, who not only has the virus, but has transmitted it to B.
Even if B & C don't suffer any effects and can't transmit it, A is still an ACTIVE threat, and may have transmitted it to many others, who in turn also may be an ACTIVE threat.
As long as people are being pinged, there is somebody else out there in the chain, with the virus and able and "willing" to transmit it to others.
B & C may possibly be "safe" to not have to self-isolate, but the indications are that there a large number of A's out there who are not "safe".
It's not the harmless situation it's being made out to be by the media.:mad:

mrmistoffelees 22-07-2021 10:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
given the above,

Are we not getting to a point where we (the government) needs to make a decision as to what is less damaging to the economy, reintroduction of some restrictions (I wont say lockdown) or allowing 'pingdemic' to continue?

tweetiepooh 22-07-2021 10:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
The blog in the ZOE app stats a change in the data collection to account for increase in percentage vaccinates, use of LFT positives etc. My reading of this would be an increase in the numbers reporting infection.


I think that if other figures have also had adjustments comparative figures may be a tad difficult. Good sources will try to adjust or provide mechanisms to compare datasets. I'm guessing media outlets will simply show figures to get the best headlines.


I've not been shopping since 19th but I'll have a mask with me and while I loathe the thing I will likely use it if requested by store policy. (And don't forget to keep saying thank you to all those working in "these" jobs, I always try to say thank you to the cleaners and others like them doing the less glamorous tasks as well as the more obvious "front line" people.)

Pierre 22-07-2021 11:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
The bottom line is, the evidence of the effectiveness of masks is flimsy and always has been.

heero_yuy 22-07-2021 11:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36087216)
The bottom line is, the evidence of the effectiveness of masks is flimsy and always has been.

Mainly because the type of mask available to the public does not stop all particles from leaving or entering the individual. Only a full medical grade mask can do that.

Anyway the rule, when it existed, only said cover the face. Anything would do from a mask or scarf to a bandana. Some people only wore a transparent visor that had zero effectiveness.

tweetiepooh 22-07-2021 11:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
Almost any covering will have some effect even if really small including the visors.

Carth 22-07-2021 11:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 36087217)
Mainly because the type of mask available to the public does not stop all particles from leaving or entering the individual. Only a full medical grade mask can do that.

Anyway the rule, when it existed, only said cover the face. Anything would do from a mask or scarf to a bandana. Some people only wore a transparent visor that had zero effectiveness.

You mean like one of these?

https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2021/07/3.jpg

The sort of thing that's quite probably used extensively in most UK factories

Pierre 22-07-2021 12:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 36087217)
Mainly because the type of mask available to the public does not stop all particles from leaving or entering the individual. Only a full medical grade mask can do that.

Anyway the rule, when it existed, only said cover the face. Anything would do from a mask or scarf to a bandana. Some people only wore a transparent visor that had zero effectiveness.

Indeed, a surgical PPE grade mask, worn in very enclosed spaces does offer a decent level of protection something like 79-90% if I recall. Which is why in hospital nurses wear a face mask “and” a visor.

Cheapo masks, Cloth masks, scarves, bandanna, and such like aren’t worth the effort in reality.

Sephiroth 22-07-2021 12:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36087196)
I dont know numbers, but i don't believe you can reasonably expect the frontline NHS to keep operating at the level they have for the past eighteen months. it's not sustainable.


re your second question. nothing at all, just joshing :)

Thing is, though, the hospitalisation rate is a fraction compared withe the past 18 months.

mrmistoffelees 22-07-2021 13:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36087231)
Thing is, though, the hospitalisation rate is a fraction compared withe the past 18 months.

Projections put them at the same levels as 1st lockdown if current rate of growth continues unchecked. (Sky News this morning)

Still pingdemic will get us first ;)

Carth 22-07-2021 13:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
"current rate of growth"

A interesting turn of phrase, especially when used alongside "projections"

What's the current infection figure . . 50,000 ish daily?

Let's go with 2% of those being hospitalised . . that's 1000 daily into hospital, of which probably 2% (20 people) may need an ICU bed.

Now if we move that figure along by 30 days, we have 600 people in an ICU bed, 60 days gives us 1200 people, and 90 days gives us 1800 Covid patients requiring an ICU bed . . . which is less than 1 patient per UK hospital.

Yes yes, I know that's not how it works . . . but it's how statistics work ;)

Hom3r 22-07-2021 13:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tweetiepooh (Post 36087218)
Almost any covering will have some effect even if really small including the visors.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36087220)
You mean like one of these?

https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2021/07/3.jpg

The sort of thing that's quite probably used extensively in most UK factories


those clear masks off ZERO protection

Hugh 22-07-2021 14:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36087216)
The bottom line is, the evidence of the effectiveness of masks is flimsy and always has been.

In combination with other measures, the science shows masks reduce infection.

https://science.sciencemag.org/content/372/6549/1439
Quote:

Face masks effectively limit the probability of SARS-CoV-2 transmission
https://www.ucsf.edu/news/2020/06/41...-masks-prevent
Quote:

Still Confused About Masks? Here’s the Science Behind How Face Masks Prevent Coronavirus

There are several strands of evidence supporting the efficacy of masks.

One category of evidence comes from laboratory studies of respiratory droplets and the ability of various masks to block them. An experiment using high-speed video found that hundreds of droplets ranging from 20 to 500 micrometers were generated when saying a simple phrase, but that nearly all these droplets were blocked when the mouth was covered by a damp washcloth. Another study of people who had influenza or the common cold found that wearing a surgical mask significantly reduced the amount of these respiratory viruses emitted in droplets and aerosols.

But the strongest evidence in favor of masks come from studies of real-world scenarios. “The most important thing are the epidemiologic data,” said Rutherford. Because it would be unethical to assign people to not wear a mask during a pandemic, the epidemiological evidence has come from so-called “experiments of nature.”

A recent study published in Health Affairs, for example, compared the COVID-19 growth rate before and after mask mandates in 15 states and the District of Columbia. It found that mask mandates led to a slowdown in daily COVID-19 growth rate, which became more apparent over time. The first five days after a mandate, the daily growth rate slowed by 0.9 percentage-points compared to the five days prior to the mandate; at three weeks, the daily growth rate had slowed by 2 percentage-points.
https://www.pnas.org/content/118/4/e2014564118
Quote:

Conclusion

Our review of the literature offers evidence in favor of widespread mask use as source control to reduce community transmission: Nonmedical masks use materials that obstruct particles of the necessary size; people are most infectious in the initial period postinfection, where it is common to have few or no symptoms (45, 46, 141); nonmedical masks have been effective in reducing transmission of respiratory viruses; and places and time periods where mask usage is required or widespread have shown substantially lower community transmission.

The available evidence suggests that near-universal adoption of nonmedical masks when out in public, in combination with complementary public health measures, could successfully reduce R to below 1, thereby reducing community spread if such measures are sustained.

spiderplant 22-07-2021 14:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 36087237)
those clear masks off ZERO protection

Viruses can enter the body via the eyes - that's where a visor comes in useful.

Carth 22-07-2021 14:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36087243)
Viruses can enter the body via the eyes - that's where a visor comes in useful.

The eyes are really bad for virus control . . . they see one unsubstantiated post on Twitter and suddenly it's all over Facebook etc :D

Pierre 22-07-2021 15:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36087241)

As per my subsequent post, proper surgical grade, masks do. Others don’t. And how many people are wearing proper surgical grade masks? Not many.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...-covid-spread/

jonbxx 22-07-2021 17:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36087251)
As per my subsequent post, proper surgical grade, masks do. Others don’t. And how many people are wearing proper surgical grade masks? Not many.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...-covid-spread/

I will await Colin Axons paper being published in a journal such as Science or PNAS here this the ones Hugh posted...

He rightly says that virus particles are much smaller than the gaps in masks but no one is claiming that masks will stop naked virus particles, not even hardcore surgical masks. Cloth masks are designed to catch liquid droplets.

In the end what is the price of being wrong? If masks do nothing to protect yourself or others, then the price of wearing a mask over not wearing one is a slightly sweaty face. If masks do protect the wearer or others, then the price of not wearing one is the further spread of COVID.

TheDaddy 22-07-2021 17:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36087258)
I will await Colin Axons paper being published in a journal such as Science or PNAS here this the ones Hugh posted...

He rightly says that virus particles are much smaller than the gaps in masks but no one is claiming that masks will stop naked virus particles, not even hardcore surgical masks. Cloth masks are designed to catch liquid droplets.

In the end what is the price of being wrong? If masks do nothing to protect yourself or others, then the price of wearing a mask over not wearing one is a slightly sweaty face. If masks do protect the wearer or others, then the price of not wearing one is the further spread of COVID.

virus particles might be smaller but what they're mainly in isn't, tiny droplets of saliva etc

jonbxx 22-07-2021 20:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36087263)
virus particles might be smaller but what they're mainly in isn't, tiny droplets of saliva etc

Absolutely, spit, snot etc is where it’s at. Droplets vs. aerosol vs airborne transmission s important here.

TheDaddy 22-07-2021 22:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36087280)
Absolutely, spit, snot etc is where it’s at. Droplets vs. aerosol vs airborne transmission s important here.

Sadly not according to some it isn't, I don't know what agenda the anti maskers are working to either tbh, the discredited disinformation that's still bring spouted :spin:

Hugh 23-07-2021 09:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36087291)
Sadly not according to some it isn't, I don't know what agenda the anti maskers are working to either tbh, the discredited disinformation that's still bring spouted :spin:

Antima, and the Anti-Vaxxers, Antiva... ;)

papa smurf 23-07-2021 09:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
just been to the shop, only 1 mask wearer ,even the staff are mask free.
they are discussing whether to have a mask on hour in shops on the Jeremy vine show, they are suggesting 7am-8am.

Hugh 23-07-2021 11:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Just in John Lewis - about 95+% wearing masks (including staff).

Hom3r 23-07-2021 17:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Popped into my local Sainsbury's, they had a sign saying, although masks are no longer required, please wear them to protect others.


But most people were putting them on as they approached.

Pierre 23-07-2021 19:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Are we just going to get hourly mask updates on this thread now?

Mr K 23-07-2021 20:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36087334)
Are we just going to get hourly mask updates on this thread now?

Sounds like a plan as it's as about as exciting as anything else on CF ;)

Carth 24-07-2021 10:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36087334)
Are we just going to get hourly mask updates on this thread now?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36087338)
Sounds like a plan as it's as about as exciting as anything else on CF ;)

Looks like another slow news day for Covid-19, a quick browse of the media sites shows a rehash of stuff we already know, with a 'very slight' drop in cases.

Pingdemic is still with us, but that will drop off shortly when more people have deleted the app.

Long Covid seems to be getting more mentions, maybe that's going to be the new story to go with?

Scientists etc are looking at a new variant found in the UK (16 cases) but that's been pushed far behind the Olympics, storm warnings, and quarantine exemptions. No information yet on how infectious or dangerous it is compared to others.

papa smurf 24-07-2021 11:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36087342)
Looks like another slow news day for Covid-19, a quick browse of the media sites shows a rehash of stuff we already know, with a 'very slight' drop in cases.

Pingdemic is still with us, but that will drop off shortly when more people have deleted the app.

Long Covid seems to be getting more mentions, maybe that's going to be the new story to go with?

Scientists etc are looking at a new variant found in the UK (16 cases) but that's been pushed far behind the Olympics, storm warnings, and quarantine exemptions. No information yet on how infectious or dangerous it is compared to others.

Looks like the pingdemic is causing more problems than the virus.

spiderplant 24-07-2021 11:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36087342)
Pingdemic is still with us, but that will drop off shortly when more people have deleted the app.

Did you miss this story about more people downloading it? It's almost as if some people fancy 10 days off work in the middle of summer ;)

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/23/uk-c...ads-spike.html

Carth 24-07-2021 11:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36087345)
Did you miss this story about more people downloading it? It's almost as if some people fancy 10 days off work in the middle of summer ;)

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/23/uk-c...ads-spike.html

I wonder how many downloaded the app so they could easily "register" when visiting pubs/restaurants etc, and then turned it off? ;)

Have to agree some may use it as a chance of 10 days paid leave, especially those working in crap conditions on minimum wage, I however have no need of such subterfuge ;)

OLD BOY 24-07-2021 12:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
With the number of infections now decreasing (since the peak of 15 July), hopefully things are now starting to ease. Fingers crossed. The virus seems to be running out of people with no immunity to infect. Herd immunity is almost at hand. And if that’s the case, the worries some have tried to give us all about an autumn wave will be put to rest.

I don’t believe that vaccine passports for domestic purposes will be required in the end. Foreign travel is a different matter due to the dangers variants pose to us.

Hugh 24-07-2021 13:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36087347)
With the number of infections now decreasing (since the peak of 15 July), hopefully things are now starting to ease. Fingers crossed. The virus seems to be running out of people with no immunity to infect. Herd immunity is almost at hand. And if that’s the case, the worries some have tried to give us all about an autumn wave will be put to rest.

I don’t believe that vaccine passports for domestic purposes will be required in the end. Foreign travel is a different matter due to the dangers variants pose to us.

Here’s hoping that’s true.

However, the peak was on the 17th July, and in July alone, we’ve had two previous 2 day reductions in infections*, so probably sensible to wait for a longer trend before making predictions…

https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases

https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/deta..._date_reported

*Cases by dates reported - 10th/11th July were lower than 9th July, and 18th/19th July were lower than 17th then it went upwards again, then dipped for the following three days

heero_yuy 24-07-2021 13:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Quote from The Sun:
Coronavirus could be spread through FARTING, government ministers have claimed.

Some officials have privately pointed to evidence that the virus can be spread through omitting bodily gasses in confined spaces like bathrooms.

One minister told The Telegraph that they read "credible-looking stuff on it" from other countries around the world.

They claimed there had been evidence of a "genomical-linked tracing connection between two individuals from a [toilet] cubicle in Australia".

Also, there have been some "well-documented cases of diseases spreading through waste pipes during lockdowns in Hong Kong when the U-bend had dried out".

However, government scientists have not confirmed the claim.
So now you know what to do with that second mask. :D

Telegraph link left in for those who have access.

OLD BOY 24-07-2021 13:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36087348)
Here’s hoping that’s true.

However, the peak was on the 17th July, and in July alone, we’ve had two previous 2 day reductions in infections*, so probably sensible to wait for a longer trend before making predictions…

https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases

https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/deta..._date_reported

*Cases by dates reported - 10th/11th July were lower than 9th July, and 18th/19th July were lower than 17th then it went upwards again, then dipped for the following three days

According to this, the peak was 15 July, Hugh.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...oint-expected/

[EXTRACT]

Yet there are early signs that Britain has already peaked – and has done so at a far lower point than anyone expected. On July 15, the country recorded 60,676 cases, and infections have been largely falling ever since.

jfman 24-07-2021 15:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
It’ll be interesting to see if that’s reflected in the ONS surveys which will remove the variation in the number of tests being carried out.

It’s funny how the “but we are testing more” brigade as a result of increases never say “but we are testing less” in response to decreases.

Carth 24-07-2021 15:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Are we testing less?

If the rumoured plans go ahead, many people could well be testing daily . . or at least twice a week in some cases. Then we'll see some figures :D

jfman 24-07-2021 15:20

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36087353)
Are we testing less?

If the rumoured plans go ahead, many people could well be testing daily . . or at least twice a week in some cases. Then we'll see some figures :D

The 7 day average on the gov.uk dashboard is going downwards.

Hugh 24-07-2021 15:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36087350)
According to this, the peak was 15 July, Hugh.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...oint-expected/

[EXTRACT]

Yet there are early signs that Britain has already peaked – and has done so at a far lower point than anyone expected. On July 15, the country recorded 60,676 cases, and infections have been largely falling ever since.

The difference is the Telegraph is reporting the Cases by specimen date peak on the dates the specimens were tested, and everyone else (I believe) is reporting the Cases by date reported peak date.

Anyway, another link to today's Telegraph.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-h...-cases-deaths/
Quote:

Data over the next fortnight will be crucial to identify whether the UK has turned a corner in the coronavirus pandemic - or if the last three days of falling cases are a "false peak".

Prof Adam Kucharski, an epidemiologist and mathematician at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, told BBC Radio Four that figures from the last few days represent an "early sign" that transmission rates may be falling across the UK.

Cases have dropped in Scotland, for instance, since schools closed earlier this month - while warm weather and summer holidays are likely reducing transmission in England.

But he cautioned that it is too soon to identify whether this is a lasting trend, warning that "we've seen false peaks before". The next week or so will be critical, Prof Kucharski said, and could see a post-lockdown surge.

"Of course that change on Monday, that big reopening, has not yet shown up in the data. So I think the next week or two is going to be crucial to know if this is genuinely a slowdown of a potential peak, or if we've got more transmission to come."

joglynne 24-07-2021 16:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
1) Schools are now on summer break and I assume that the children will no longer be regularly tested thus reducing positive test results from that large cohort.

2) How many people will continue testing if Free Lateral Flow tests are stopped from September reducing number of those voluntarily testing and being found to be asymptomatic. Which would mean only those who have symptomatic Covid 19 would have cause to voluntarily confirm their infection by applying to use a PCR test.

Even those who use the lateral flow tests may not be reporting their reults as ...
Quote:

A recent damning report on the NHS Test and Trace system from the National Audit Office found that just 96 million (14%) of the 691 million lateral flow device test kits distributed had been registered as used.

“If you actually take out the numbers of tests which we know are, if you’d like, in transit or in store that figure rises to 20%,” Harries said. “But surveys suggest that more than 40% of people are using the tests.”
Maybe I am missing something obvious but it seems to me that we can't place any real significance to the positive case numbers we are seeing.

Carth 24-07-2021 17:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by joglynne (Post 36087357)
Maybe I am missing something obvious but it seems to me that we can't place any real significance to the positive case numbers we are seeing.

Agreed, especially when the Govt. site has this on the 'testing' page:

Quote:

This is a count of test results and may include multiple tests for an individual person.
Still, it makes good copy ;)

OLD BOY 24-07-2021 19:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
It does. I have major reservations about the way transmission rates are being compiled, to be honest.

It’s the same with number of deaths. We have been very ‘generous’ with the number of deaths due to Covid. If Covid is detected on admission to hospital, if they die the record records it as a Covid death, even if they died of something else. Deaths due to Covid in care homes and in the community are recorded too, but other countries are not recording the same. Some only record hospital deaths.

Because we all calculate numbers in different ways, it is absolutely pointless to compare country by country, and yet even professional people who should know better do this.

We really are our own worst enemy sometimes.

Sephiroth 24-07-2021 20:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Exactamundo, OB.

jfman 24-07-2021 20:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36087362)
It does. I have major reservations about the way transmission rates are being compiled, to be honest.

It’s the same with number of deaths. We have been very ‘generous’ with the number of deaths due to Covid. If Covid is detected on admission to hospital, if they die the record records it as a Covid death, even if they died of something else. Deaths due to Covid in care homes and in the community are recorded too, but other countries are not recording the same. Some only record hospital deaths.

Because we all calculate numbers in different ways, it is absolutely pointless to compare country by country, and yet even professional people who should know better do this.

We really are our own worst enemy sometimes.

Yawn. We did this tedious nonsense last year.

Who is trying to exaggerate the pandemic? To what end?

The Conservative Party? Honestly?

pip08456 24-07-2021 20:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36087365)
Yawn. We did this tedious nonsense last year.

Who is trying to exaggerate the pandemic? To what end?

The Conservative Party?
Honestly?

Oh, I'm not sure.

Quote:

Some UK Government ministers have privately expressed concerns that coronavirus could be spread through farting, it is claimed.

They have pointed to evidence that suggests Covid-19 could be spread when an infected person breaks wind in a confined space such as a toilet.

Tests have revealed that the virus can be present in faecal matter, though the science on whether flatulence could spread Covid is not definitive.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world...AMwlmV?ocid=st

Sephiroth 24-07-2021 21:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Are old farts contagious then?

Carth 24-07-2021 21:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36087367)
Are old farts contagious then?

Not really . . . but we are quite adept at pi$$ing people off :D

papa smurf 24-07-2021 21:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36087367)
Are old farts contagious then?

mine could kill a skunk at 400 yards

Sephiroth 24-07-2021 21:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36087369)
mine could kill a skunk at 400 yards

That would take care of a thing or two. Won't even need Covid.

Hugh 24-07-2021 23:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1627165407

Pierre 25-07-2021 09:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
The government has just used the new travel RAG list


Amber

Amber +


Amber ++

Amber Ultra

I can’t believe it’s not Amber

Double secret Amber.

That should clear up any confusion.

papa smurf 25-07-2021 10:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36087376)
The government has just used the new travel RAG list


Amber

Amber +


Amber ++

Amber Ultra

I can’t believe it’s not Amber

Double secret Amber.

That should clear up any confusion.

It's a bit amberbiguous :dig:

OLD BOY 25-07-2021 10:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36087365)
Yawn. We did this tedious nonsense last year.

Who is trying to exaggerate the pandemic? To what end?

The Conservative Party? Honestly?

One day, you'll actually answer the point being made instead of making derogatory, often unrelated comments on every post you want to argue with.

If you had an answer to the issues I raised, no doubt you would have explained them.

Maggy 25-07-2021 10:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Come on people.This is not a chat thread and the subject is a serious one.Stick to the topic or leave.

OLD BOY 25-07-2021 13:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Daniel Hannon in today’s Telegraph has summed up the position I take on lockdowns, vaccinations and face masks. It’s common sense to me.


‘…of the three lockdowns we’ve had, the one that made the most sense was the second, designed to slow the infection rate while vaccines were rolled out. It cannot be repeated too often that the various prohibitions do not, in themselves, save lives; they simply push the peak into the future. A lockdown must have a purpose, an end point. So, too, must every other form of restriction, from facemasks to pings.’


The trouble is, I think, that some have been scared witless over this pandemic, not without good reason, but are finding it hard to climb down from that high level of fear and agitation.

Hugh 25-07-2021 13:29

Re: Coronavirus
 
You agreeing with a Lockdown Sceptic in the Telegraph?

<shocked face>

:eeek:

OLD BOY 25-07-2021 13:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36087398)
You agreeing with a Lockdown Sceptic in the Telegraph?

<shocked face>

:eeek:

It makes perfect sense. Lockdowns only delay, they do not prevent.

If the waves of infection once lockdowns end don’t prove that, what does?

Australia thought they were being very clever by having lockdowns with relatively few infections, but they are now finding out that unless they get their acts together with their vaccination programmes, those infections will just keep coming back and with their current policy they are subjecting their citizens to a lifetime of lockdowns. The country is becoming like a massive prison.

The riots in Sydney indicate that people are getting sick and tired of this nonsense.

1andrew1 26-07-2021 09:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36087399)
It makes perfect sense. Lockdowns only delay, they do not prevent.

If the waves of infection once lockdowns end don’t prove that, what does?

Australia thought they were being very clever by having lockdowns with relatively few infections, but they are now finding out that unless they get their acts together with their vaccination programmes, those infections will just keep coming back and with their current policy they are subjecting their citizens to a lifetime of lockdowns. The country is becoming like a massive prison.

The riots in Sydney indicate that people are getting sick and tired of this nonsense.

India disproved your theory. The virus mutated into a more contagious variant and people became re-infected.

Mick 26-07-2021 09:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36087445)
India disproved your theory. The virus mutated into a more contagious variant and people became re-infected.

There is a very big difference, Australia vs India and that is obvious, transmissibility became rampant in India and I’d say it’s colossal population had something to do with it.

1andrew1 26-07-2021 09:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
I do agree that Australia should have got its vaccination plan together as it can't cut itself off forever.

pip08456 26-07-2021 10:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36087445)
India disproved your theory. The virus mutated into a more contagious variant and people became re-infected.

No it doesn't, the Delta variant could just as easily have mutated into a less contagious variant.

Quote:

When viruses infect you, they attach to your cells, get inside them, and make copies of their RNA, which helps them spread. If there’s a copying mistake, the RNA gets changed. Scientists call those changes mutations.

These changes happen randomly and by accident. It’s a normal part of what happens to viruses as they multiply and spread.

Because the changes are random, they may make little to no difference in a person’s health. Other times, they may cause disease. For example, one reason you need a flu shot every year is because influenza viruses change from year to year. This year’s flu virus probably isn’t exactly the same one that circulated last year.

If a virus has a random change that makes it easier to infect people and it spreads, that variant will become more common.

The bottom line is that all viruses, including coronaviruses, can change over time.
https://www.webmd.com/lung/coronavirus-strains#1

Hugh 26-07-2021 10:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
But it didn’t….

We’re not concerned about the less harmful mutations.

Carth 26-07-2021 10:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36087448)
I do agree that Australia should have got its vaccination plan together as it can't cut itself off forever.

Sorry, but that post gave me a vision of 5000 'flying doctors' all merrily buzzing about in their Piper Cubs :D

Hugh 26-07-2021 10:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36087399)
It makes perfect sense. Lockdowns only delay, they do not prevent.

If the waves of infection once lockdowns end don’t prove that, what does?

Australia thought they were being very clever by having lockdowns with relatively few infections, but they are now finding out that unless they get their acts together with their vaccination programmes, those infections will just keep coming back and with their current policy they are subjecting their citizens to a lifetime of lockdowns. The country is becoming like a massive prison.

The riots in Sydney indicate that people are getting sick and tired of this nonsense.

But you have consistently, and persistently, been against lockdowns in the UK because of this "logic".

But in reality, because we locked down, we delayed the infections enough to get working vaccines, which have avoided/prevented greater numbers of deaths, infections, and hospitalisations in the UK.

pip08456 26-07-2021 10:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36087454)
But it didn’t….

We’re not concerned about the less harmful mutations.

And what were the odds on that? Get a life FFS.

mrmistoffelees 26-07-2021 10:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36087457)
But you have consistently, and persistently, been against lockdowns in the UK because of this "logic".

But in reality, because we locked down, we delayed the infections enough to get working vaccines, which have avoided/prevented greater numbers of deaths, infections, and hospitalisations in the UK.

Don't, this gives credence to OB's theory that the quantity of people infected would remain the same, only the time period over which they became infected would change. Which, is of course, utter gibberish.

jonbxx 26-07-2021 10:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
This article on the BBC website caught my eye - Covid vaccines: Why a giant plastic bag shortage is slowing the rollout. This is a huge deal right now in the pharmaceutical industry

1andrew1 26-07-2021 10:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36087462)
Don't, this gives credence to OB's theory that the quantity of people infected would remain the same, only the time period over which they became infected would change. Which, is of course, utter gibberish.

Old Boy's theory only works if vaccines don't help prevent transmission.

Carth 26-07-2021 10:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36087464)
Old Boy's theory only works if vaccines don't help prevent transmission.

Funnily enough . . . they don't in this case

Chris 26-07-2021 10:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
The word “Theory” is doing some heavy lifting here.

BenMcr 26-07-2021 10:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36087464)
Old Boy's theory only works if vaccines don't help prevent transmission.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36087465)
Funnily enough . . . they don't in this case

They reduce but don't completely stop it

https://www.gov.uk/government/news/o...-by-up-to-half

Quote:

A new study by Public Health England (PHE) has shown that one dose of the COVID-19 vaccine reduces household transmission by up to half.

mrmistoffelees 26-07-2021 10:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36087465)
Funnily enough . . . they don't in this case

You sure about that?

Carth 26-07-2021 10:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36087468)
You sure about that?

I'm pretty sure yes, otherwise anybody that's been 'double jabbed' would be free to go about their life without the risk of catching it again and spreading it to others . . . can they?

mrmistoffelees 26-07-2021 10:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36087469)
I'm pretty sure yes, otherwise anybody that's been 'double jabbed' would be free to go about their life without the risk of catching it again and spreading it to others . . . can they?

To my understanding, it's a percentage of people who have been fully vaccinated that are still able to catch and transmit, not all.

Carth 26-07-2021 11:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36087470)
To my understanding, it's a percentage of people who have been fully vaccinated that are still able to catch and transmit, not all.

You sure about that?

mrmistoffelees 26-07-2021 11:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36087471)
You sure about that?

Based on reading & listening, pretty sure. Happy to be corrected should someone have the evidence to the contrary however.


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