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jfman 12-07-2021 18:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Heaven forbid.

Sephiroth 12-07-2021 18:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
Boris's mouth cashes cheques his brain shouldn't have written.

mrmistoffelees 12-07-2021 18:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36086080)
Boris's mouth cashes cheques his brain shouldn't have written.

He’s perfidious 😉

Sephiroth 12-07-2021 18:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36086081)
He’s perfidious 😉

Again, that's my boy!

Hom3r 14-07-2021 14:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Well my sister messages me yesterday to say that her hubby got a call to say his isolation has ended.


So I have now arranged to go to Walton-on-the-Naze on Monday with her kids.

ThunderPants73 14-07-2021 20:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36086064)
Chris Witty put a slide up today that showed c. 38,000 cases in hospital when the positive rate was last where it is now. By contrast, the current hospitalisation is less than 10% of previous.

To my mind, the NHS will not be overwhelmed.


Probably because so many died before. The country is being thinned down to the strongest and fittest.

Sephiroth 14-07-2021 20:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThunderPants73 (Post 36086266)
Probably because so many died before. The country is being thinned down to the strongest and fittest.

Well, is it? Most people didn't catch it because they stayed at home, wore masks etc.

nomadking 14-07-2021 21:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThunderPants73 (Post 36086266)
Probably because so many died before. The country is being thinned down to the strongest and fittest.

Spanish Flu affected the strongest and the fittest. There is always the possibility of a Covid variant popping up, that acts in the same manner.
Link
Quote:

The hospital, in Stockton-on-Tees, currently has 22 Covid patients, five of whom are in intensive care. That is a lot less than the peak in January - but the number has increased sharply from just six in a single week.
The average ages are lower than during the first two waves, and at least two of the seriously ill patients are in their 30s and unvaccinated.

pip08456 14-07-2021 21:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36086269)
Spanish Flu affected the strongest and the fittest. There is always the possibility of a Covid variant popping up, that acts in the same manner.
Link

So they don't know how many are unvaccinated just that it is at least 2. Good reporting as usual by BBC.

nomadking 14-07-2021 22:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36086272)
So they don't know how many are unvaccinated just that it is at least 2. Good reporting as usual by BBC.

That's just one hospital.
At least 2 were unvaccinated AND in their 30s. Plus "average ages are lower than during the first two waves". If the more seriously ill are the ones in intensive care, that makes it 2 out of 5 being under 30.

Maggy 14-07-2021 22:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-51768274

Quote:

More than 46 million people in the UK have now had their first dose of a coronavirus vaccine.

Mr K 15-07-2021 08:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy (Post 36086276)

Vaccination rates are slowing significantly though. The vulnerable over 50s were enthusiastic, the young less so.

Some of my wife's colleagues who refused the vaccine gone down with it. Will they have learnt their lesson that any side effects from a vaccine, pale into insignificance to the risks of covid? Maybe, but they are a bit thick...

Sephiroth 15-07-2021 12:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
someone can do a calculation of how many unvaccinated 18 - 30 year olds there are as a percentage of adult population.

That can then be assessed against the infection count since Mid-May. Maybe we’re approaching a herd immunity threshold among that group. We’ll know when the infection rate drops.



OLD BOY 15-07-2021 14:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36086307)
someone can do a calculation of how many unvaccinated 18 - 30 year olds there are as a percentage of adult population.

That can then be assessed against the infection count since Mid-May. Maybe we’re approaching a herd immunity threshold among that group. We’ll know when the infection rate drops.



That’s what the government will be hoping, but there is no sign yet that it is dropping, contrary to what appeared to be the case as reported by a certain newspaper about a week ago.

Carth 15-07-2021 14:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
If, as is being reported by some media & experts, you can catch it twice (or more) how can we reach herd immunity?

Paul 15-07-2021 15:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36086325)
If, as is being reported by some media & experts, you can catch it twice (or more) how can we reach herd immunity?

You will always get some cases of double infection.

I had German measles twice, something that would never normally happen.

spiderplant 15-07-2021 15:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36086325)
If, as is being reported by some media & experts, you can catch it twice (or more) how can we reach herd immunity?

Some people catch it twice, but you can still reach herd immunity providing that most people don't.

Also it appears that many who have caught it twice had two different variants. Just as vaccines created for the original variant are less effective against Delta etc, presumably so is natural immunity.

TheDaddy 15-07-2021 15:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36086325)
If, as is being reported by some media & experts, you can catch it twice (or more) how can we reach herd immunity?

Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36086330)
Some people catch it twice, but you can still reach herd immunity providing that most people don't.

Also it appears that many who have caught it twice had two different variants. Just as vaccines created for the original variant are less effective against Delta etc, presumably so is natural immunity.

Vaccination doesn't equal immunity, does it?

Sephiroth 15-07-2021 16:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36086334)
Vaccination doesn't equal immunity, does it?

But it does reduce hospitalisation, meaning that it becomes like a flu experience and a somewhat normal risk.

Carth 15-07-2021 16:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36086336)
But it does reduce hospitalisation, meaning that it becomes like a flu experience and a somewhat normal risk.

until it mutates again . . because it's always out there ;)

Sephiroth 15-07-2021 16:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36086337)
until it mutates again . . because it's always out there ;)

Yeah - but flu does that too. Every year and it attacks the same body part. Booster jabs.

OLD BOY 15-07-2021 16:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36086334)
Vaccination doesn't equal immunity, does it?

You could say the same about flu.

1andrew1 15-07-2021 16:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Taking of which, and apologies for those who are less comfortable with uncertainty.
Quote:

Medics fear surge in winter viruses alongside Covid

A surge in flu and other respiratory viruses could put pressure on people's health and the NHS this winter, warns a report by leading medics.

They say testing for flu, Covid and a respiratory virus common in children and the elderly - called RSV - may help doctors treat cases more quickly.

The Academy of Medical Sciences report calls for people with any symptoms to isolate and stay at home.

This will help protect against all respiratory viruses this winter.

The report, by 29 leading experts and requested by the government, says there is great uncertainty about what the next few months will hold across the UK, but it urges policymakers to prepare for a challenging winter.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-57837192

Sephiroth 15-07-2021 17:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
That report tells us nothing that we haven't known for decades. That they come out with this Project Fear guff is ridiculous.

Quote:

They say testing for flu, Covid and a respiratory virus common in children and the elderly - called RSV - may help doctors treat cases more quickly.
Doctors don't treat flu unless you've gone pneumonic or have converted to bacterial infection. You get flu, feel rotten, stay at home, sleep it off, pick your nose & flick your bogeys. Big deal.


Carth 15-07-2021 17:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Man flu is awful, I've sometimes had to lay all day on the sofa, TV remote in one hand and large glass of Brandy in the other.

Sephiroth 15-07-2021 17:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36086348)
Man flu is awful, I've sometimes had to lay all day on the sofa, TV remote in one hand and large glass of Brandy in the other.

What the heck is "Man Flu"? Is it a flu that women can't catch from a man? Of course not. Most flus are awful.

I get flu very, very rarely - and it is awful. It's honeyed Swedish whisky for me when I get even close to flu symptoms!

OLD BOY 15-07-2021 17:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36086348)
Man flu is awful, I've sometimes had to lay all day on the sofa, TV remote in one hand and large glass of Brandy in the other.

‘Man flu’ is a heavy cold and a brilliant excuse for a few days off!

1andrew1 15-07-2021 18:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Interesting Tweet from epidemiologist and mathematician Adam Kucharski at the London School of Tropical Medicine:

Quote:

Still see 70% quoted as level of vaccination required for 'herd immunity'.

Important to note it's now likely to be much higher. The standard (albeit rough) calculation for herd immunity threshold is (1/E) x (1-1/R) where E is vaccine effectiveness in reducing transmission.

In scenario where R is 6 (plausible for Delta in susceptible populations without any restrictions), and vaccination reduces infection/infectiousness such that onwards transmission reduced by 85%, above calc suggests would need to vaccinate (1-1/6)/0.85 = 98% of population.

If transmission reduction is less than this (which is likely the case for some vaccines against Delta), or R higher, then herd immunity wouldn't be achievable through current vaccines alone. This leads to three possibilities:

If herd immunity through vaccination alone not possible, need to either:
A) keep some control measures in place indefinitely,
B) prepare for exit wave as measures relaxed

We explored these ideas more in our (pre-Delta) paper earlier this year, with https://eurosurveillance.org/content....26.20.2100428 5/5
https://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski

TheDaddy 15-07-2021 18:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36086350)
What the heck is "Man Flu"? Is it a flu that women can't catch from a man? Of course not. Most flus are awful.

I get flu very, very rarely - and it is awful. It's honeyed Swedish whisky for me when I get even close to flu symptoms!

Man flu is the worst you can get, it's often fatal unless you get complete peace and rest, you've clearly never had it or you'd already know this, women can't catch it you are correct and that's why they're often required to care for the man, fetching things from the kitchen, plumping pillows regularly and not nagging, that type of thing. Work of any kind is obviously a no no and if you have to phone in yourself I advise arching your back when making the call and saying hello in a very weak tone

papa smurf 15-07-2021 18:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36086356)
Man flu is the worst you can get, it's often fatal unless you get complete peace and rest, you've clearly never had it or you'd already know this, women can't catch it you are correct and that's why they're often required to care for the man, fetching things from the kitchen, plumping pillows regularly and not nagging, that type of thing. Work of any kind is obviously a no no and if you have to phone in yourself I advise arching your back when making the call and saying hello in a very weak tone

And if you get long man flu heaven help you.

Sephiroth 15-07-2021 18:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36086355)
Interesting Tweet from epidemiologist and mathematician Adam Kucharski at the London School of Tropical Medicine:


https://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski

Hmmm. Using that formula and accepting the 85% efficacy hypothesis, we get the following herd immunity threshold (H) against different R numbers.
___________________________________
E=0.85
R H
1.5 39%
2.0 59%
3.0 78%
4.0 88%
5.0 94%
6.0 98%


E=0.90
R H
1.5 37%
2.0 56%
3.0 74%
4.0 83%
5.0 89%
6.0 93%
___________________________________

As I recall, at the peak of the pandemic, R never rose higher than 3. Maybe someone knows different.

Project Fear again aptly noticed by Andrew.



Pierre 15-07-2021 18:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
I’m currently in the Lake District and I can confidently say……….no one cares anymore.

Sephiroth 15-07-2021 19:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36086365)
I’m currently in the Lake District and I can confidently say……….no one cares anymore.

I'm currently in Wokingham and ditto.

Carth 15-07-2021 19:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36086365)
I’m currently in the Lake District and I can confidently say……….no one cares anymore.

North Yorks coast was almost the same a few weeks ago . . otherwise my suntan 'shadow' would have been much worse :D

Enjoy the break Pierre :tu:

spiderplant 15-07-2021 21:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36086363)
As I recall, at the peak of the pandemic, R never rose higher than 3. Maybe someone knows different.

R0 of the original WuFlu (which never really impacted the UK) was between 2.4 and 2.6.
R0 of the Italian skiing variant was 3.
R0 of Delta is between 5 and 8.

Welcome to evolution!

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-57431420

Hugh 15-07-2021 21:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36086348)
Man flu is awful, I've sometimes had to lay all day on the sofa, TV remote in one hand and large glass of Brandy in the other.

Utter tosh!

Cognac, obvs… :D

---------- Post added at 21:41 ---------- Previous post was at 21:39 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36086366)
I'm currently in Wokingham and ditto.

I thought you’d moved to Anti-Wokeingham… ;)

TheDaddy 15-07-2021 22:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36086379)
R0 of the original WuFlu (which never really impacted the UK) was between 2.4 and 2.6.
R0 of the Italian skiing variant was 3.
R0 of Delta is between 5 and 8.

Welcome to evolution!

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-57431420

Generally viruses are like watching evolution in action anyway

1andrew1 15-07-2021 22:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36086363)


As I recall, at the peak of the pandemic, R never rose higher than 3. Maybe someone knows different.

Project Fear again aptly noticed by Andrew.

Per spiderplant's post below, like many things, it's looking less and less like Project Fear.

Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36086379)
R0 of the original WuFlu (which never really impacted the UK) was between 2.4 and 2.6.
R0 of the Italian skiing variant was 3.
R0 of Delta is between 5 and 8.

Welcome to evolution!

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-57431420


pip08456 15-07-2021 22:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36086363)
Hmmm. Using that formula and accepting the 85% efficacy hypothesis, we get the following herd immunity threshold (H) against different R numbers.
___________________________________
E=0.85
R H
1.5 39%
2.0 59%
3.0 78%
4.0 88%
5.0 94%
6.0 98%


E=0.90
R H
1.5 37%
2.0 56%
3.0 74%
4.0 83%
5.0 89%
6.0 93%
___________________________________

As I recall, at the peak of the pandemic, R never rose higher than 3. Maybe someone knows different.

Project Fear again aptly noticed by Andrew.



Someone's math is wrong somewhere (not your's Seph)

Quote:

“If you have a virus with an R0 of 6 or 7, then the herd immunity point is somewhere in the region of 85%”, explained Martin Hibberd, Professor of Emerging Infectious Diseases at London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/l...328-3/fulltext

jfman 15-07-2021 22:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36086365)
I’m currently in the Lake District and I can confidently say……….no one cares anymore.

Proof if ever needed state intervention is the only viable method of managing the dubious living with the virus.

Pierre 15-07-2021 23:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36086406)
Proof if ever needed state intervention is the only viable method of managing the dubious living with the virus.

I’m just trying to work out which dystopian future jfman would like to live in. Is it this one?

https://youtu.be/raleKODYeg0

Or this one

https://youtu.be/eHgqfVQWv7s

Or maybe just wait for the apes to take over ………

TheDaddy 16-07-2021 02:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36086407)

Or maybe just wait for the apes to take over ………

To late, there's already one in charge

GrimUpNorth 16-07-2021 10:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Last Friday there were 21 in patients with Covid at Pinderfields Hospital in Wakefield. Today there are 45.

jfman 16-07-2021 10:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36086407)
I’m just trying to work out which dystopian future jfman would like to live in. Is it this one?

https://youtu.be/raleKODYeg0

Or this one

https://youtu.be/eHgqfVQWv7s

Or maybe just wait for the apes to take over ………

Always more of a Blade Runner fan.

papa smurf 16-07-2021 11:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36086436)
Always more of a Blade Runner fan.

Is that set in a cupboard under someone's stairs;)

---------- Post added at 11:34 ---------- Previous post was at 10:54 ----------

Just had an automated message from my gp surgery, basically if you're ill don't come in, the nhs isn't broke it's closed :(

Carth 16-07-2021 11:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
You need to advertise for a ships doctor Papa

Free board & lodging, goes 50/50 with food & drink, must be able to use oars in case of emergency ;)

Sephiroth 16-07-2021 12:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
What about the kinky boots?

Carth 16-07-2021 12:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36086442)
What about the kinky boots?

Papa can wear what he likes, it's his boat :D

Maggy 16-07-2021 12:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Sigh! Back on topic.

Maggy 17-07-2021 09:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-57869880

Quote:

Fully jabbed travellers returning to England and Wales from France will still have to quarantine from Monday.

From 19 July, adults who have been double jabbed in the UK arriving from amber list countries will not need to isolate for 10 days.

But the government said the easing would not apply to France due to "persistent" cases of the Beta variant, first identified in South Africa.

There are concerns vaccines may not work as well against the Beta variant.
Sigh! Frankly I think confusion is all we can look forward to for months. It would be nice if everyone was singing from the same song sheet.I am going nowhere for some time.

nomadking 17-07-2021 10:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy (Post 36086555)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-57869880



Sigh! Frankly I think confusion is all we can look forward to for months. It would be nice if everyone was singing from the same song sheet.I am going nowhere for some time.

Better still that people didn't go around spreading the virus, with the media encouraging them.
How many more times does it need pointing out, that if people behaved responsibly then the likelihood is that all variants of covid would've largely died out by now.

papa smurf 17-07-2021 12:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Here we go again


Beta variant in France major threat to UK with 'mounting evidence it EVADES vaccine'


Dust down the cupboard under the stairs


https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/14...n-edmunds-sage

Mythica 17-07-2021 12:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy (Post 36086555)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-57869880



Sigh! Frankly I think confusion is all we can look forward to for months. It would be nice if everyone was singing from the same song sheet.I am going nowhere for some time.

It's not really confusion, it's the unknown. In a perfect world you are correct, problem is, we don't live in a perfect world, so it's not as simple. I wouldn't say it's confusing though.

jfman 17-07-2021 12:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36086569)
Here we go again


Beta variant in France major threat to UK with 'mounting evidence it EVADES vaccine'


Dust down the cupboard under the stairs


https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/14...n-edmunds-sage

Has to be lies - no known variants evade vaccines allegedly. Beta (South Africa) has been around for yonks.

It’s Edmunds though. Is there a video so we can see him looking shifty?

Mick 17-07-2021 13:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
BREAKING: Health Secretary, Sajid Javid has tested positive for Covid-19.

https://news.sky.com/story/health-se...ptoms-12357736

jfman 17-07-2021 14:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
Seems counter intuitive to promote the vaccine at the same time.

Here I am with symptomatic covid after two vaccinations. It didn’t protect me, and won’t stop me transmitting it to loved ones. But please get it.

pip08456 17-07-2021 15:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36086573)
Seems counter intuitive to promote the vaccine at the same time.

Here I am with symptomatic covid after two vaccinations. It didn’t protect me, and won’t stop me transmitting it to loved ones. But please get it.

No-one has ever said the vaccines stop you from getting it as you well know.

jfman 17-07-2021 15:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36086575)
No-one has ever said the vaccines stop you from getting it as you well know.

I’m sure I recall (and I’m sure you can too) figures getting banded around at 90% efficacy and higher against infection. Saj is either really unlucky or the figures aren’t holding up against delta. With Vallance releasing a paper giving a scenario of 20 million infections in the coming months I wonder which it is...

Hugh 17-07-2021 15:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36086572)
BREAKING: Health Secretary, Sajid Javid has tested positive for Covid-19.

https://news.sky.com/story/health-se...ptoms-12357736

From that article
Quote:

He is understood to have held a meeting with the Prime Minister yesterday, raising the possibility that Boris Johnson will be self-isolating on so-called ‘freedom day’ on Monday.
Possibility?

Shouldn’t he be self-isolating now? My (just under) 2 year old grand-son had to self-isolate for the last 10 days because one of his nursery teachers tested positive.

https://www.gov.uk/government/public...ith-the-person

jfman 17-07-2021 15:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Johnson will get the “pilot” of daily testing and as long as you test negative you can go about your day, just like Kate at Wimbledon.

On a technicality until Saj is PCR confirmed they wont contact trace. Would be hilarious if Johnson caught it, having had Covid and presumably fully vaccinated.

Chris 17-07-2021 17:29

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36086578)
I’m sure I recall (and I’m sure you can too) figures getting banded around at 90% efficacy and higher against infection. Saj is either really unlucky or the figures aren’t holding up against delta. With Vallance releasing a paper giving a scenario of 20 million infections in the coming months I wonder which it is...

I’m sure everyone on here is by now fully aware of your fondness for wilfully conflating data collected during earlier waves caused by original and Kent variant covid, with later waves and Indian covid. Against original/Kent there’s good data that the present vaccine stops it in its tracks. Against India the evidence is that it stops hospitalisation and death at the same sort of rate but does not necessarily prevent infection or transmission.

No matter how hard you try to insinuate, this isn’t evidence of a deep state conspiracy. It’s simply evolution in action, and we can be thankful that while modified vaccines are prepared, the present ones still perform adequately well.

jfman 17-07-2021 17:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36086587)
I’m sure everyone on here is by now fully aware of your fondness for wilfully conflating data collected during earlier waves caused by original and Kent variant covid, with later waves and Indian covid. Against original/Kent there’s good data that the present vaccine stops it in its tracks. Against India the evidence is that it stops hospitalisation and death at the same sort of rate but does not necessarily prevent infection or transmission.

No matter how hard you try to insinuate, this isn’t evidence of a deep state conspiracy. It’s simply evolution in action, and we can be thankful that while modified vaccines are prepared, the present ones still perform adequately well.

I’m not conflating anything. It’s a fact.

Adequate is quite a step down from overwhelming success but at least it shows you aren’t totally indoctrinated.

nomadking 17-07-2021 17:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36086578)
I’m sure I recall (and I’m sure you can too) figures getting banded around at 90% efficacy and higher against infection. Saj is either really unlucky or the figures aren’t holding up against delta. With Vallance releasing a paper giving a scenario of 20 million infections in the coming months I wonder which it is...

Vaccines never ever stop you from getting infected. The main issues are whether that person gets to the transmissible stage and whether they suffer any symptoms. All depends on how able and ready the person's immune system is, to respond to the reinfection.
Prior to, and after my two jabs, I tried to make extra sure my immune system was going to be in fairly good shape in order to gain as much future protection as possible. If people's immune system isn't in too good a shape when they get any jab, then the immune system is less likely to develop the desired protection.

jfman 17-07-2021 18:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36086593)
Vaccines never ever stop you from getting infected. The main issues are whether that person gets to the transmissible stage and whether they suffer any symptoms. All depends on how able and ready the person's immune system is, to respond to the reinfection.
Prior to, and after my two jabs, I tried to make extra sure my immune system was going to be in fairly good shape in order to gain as much future protection as possible. If people's immune system isn't in too good a shape when they get any jab, then the immune system is less likely to develop the desired protection.

Vaccines when announced all trumpeted efficacy against infection. Don’t get me wrong AstraZeneca offered about six different figures between 70 and 95, but they were all against infection.

Paul 17-07-2021 18:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
They should take France off the amber list then.

Its like, "this is the rule .... except when it isnt" :rolleyes:

jfman 17-07-2021 18:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36086605)
They should take France off the amber list then.

Its like, "this is the rule .... except when it isnt" :rolleyes:

They’re putting France on the list before they put us on the list. It allows them to continue the charade of success.

RichardCoulter 17-07-2021 18:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Sajid Javid now has the virus and has had two jabs according to the BBC evening news.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc...k-57874744.amp

Mad Max 17-07-2021 20:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
We're all doomed I'll tell ya, all doomed....:o:

Mr K 17-07-2021 21:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36086610)
Sajid Javid now has the virus and has had two jabs according to the BBC evening news.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc...k-57874744.amp

Getting Covid is a rights of passage to being in Boris's Cabinet of Millionaires. Ignore the rules as they only apply to the plebs, if only someone had told the virus...

Chris 17-07-2021 21:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36086590)
I’m not conflating anything. It’s a fact.

Adequate is quite a step down from overwhelming success but at least it shows you aren’t totally indoctrinated.

Actually, given that we are still less than 2 years into a global pandemic caused by a novel virus, the fact that we have a vaccine manifestly capable of reducing the vast majority of cases to something no more serious than a bad cold *is* an overwhelming success. The hard correlation between infections and hospitalisation and death has been broken, even in cases of the Indian/Delta variant that is around twice as infectious as the original Wuhan strain from which the vaccine was developed. In the face of this, to regard the global vaccination effort as anything less than overwhelmingly successful is perverse.

jfman 17-07-2021 21:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36086635)
Actually, given that we are still less than 2 years into a global pandemic caused by a novel virus, the fact that we have a vaccine manifestly capable of reducing the vast majority of cases to something no more serious than a bad cold *is* an overwhelming success. The hard correlation between infections and hospitalisation and death has been broken, even in cases of the Indian/Delta variant that is around twice as infectious as the original Wuhan strain from which the vaccine was developed. In the face of this, to regard the global vaccination effort as anything less than overwhelmingly successful is perverse.

You should get a job with Public Health England the way you conflate the global vaccination effort with ours as if they are one and the same, and having the same outcomes.

I’d hold the bus on the “mission accomplished” banner for the royal yacht just yet while tens of thousands more die and hundreds of thousands get hospitalised later this year.

Chris 17-07-2021 23:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Actually I was thinking in terms of the development and manufacture of the vaccine moreso than the getting of it into arms. The UK’s leading role here continues to be impressive and will in the long run pay dividends all over the world, as the Oxford-Astra vaccine is, as predicted here by several of us, becoming the workhorse of the world. I fully understand that your irrational hatred of the British State makes these facts terribly hard for you to swallow.

jfman 17-07-2021 23:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36086669)
Actually I was thinking in terms of the development and manufacture of the vaccine moreso than the getting of it into arms. The UK’s leading role here continues to be impressive and will in the long run pay dividends all over the world, as the Oxford-Astra vaccine is, as predicted here by several of us, becoming the workhorse of the world. I fully understand that your irrational hatred of the British State makes these facts terribly hard for you to swallow.

Haha. The workhorse of the world - such to the extent our Chief Scientific Adviser is modelling 20 million infections?

As I’ve always said the proof will be in the pudding. It’s not even clear this will get us out of the pandemic, however some of you would stamp a Union Flag on a placebo and cheer it on, such is the extent of being blinded by British nationalism.

Mick 17-07-2021 23:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36086671)
Haha. The workhorse of the world - such to the extent our Chief Scientific Adviser is modelling 20 million infections?

As I’ve always said the proof will be in the pudding. It’s not even clear this will get us out of the pandemic, however some of you would stamp a Union Flag on a placebo and cheer it on, such is the extent of being blinded by British nationalism.

Coming from the guy championing Scottish Nationalism, most of the time. :rolleyes:

Also, watch your tone. :nono:

Carth 17-07-2021 23:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Our Chief Scientific Adviser could model next years lingerie accessories for petite women for all I care . . . he may have to fiddle his figure to make them fit though :D

jfman 18-07-2021 00:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36086674)
Coming from the guy championing Scottish Nationalism, most of the time. :rolleyes:

Also, watch your tone. :nono:

I don’t champion Scottish nationalism, I just don’t buy into the British colonial trope that nobody could possibly, ever, anywhere survive and be successful without England.

The Irish Republic now has twice the GDP per capita of the UK.

noel43 18-07-2021 08:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36086582)
Johnson will get the “pilot” of daily testing and as long as you test negative you can go about your day, just like Kate at Wimbledon.

On a technicality until Saj is PCR confirmed they wont contact trace. Would be hilarious if Johnson caught it, having had Covid and presumably fully vaccinated.

So one rule for them one for us.

Damien 18-07-2021 08:29

Re: Coronavirus
 
Seems like a bit of a contradiction of their own messaging.

They said just the other week that the requirement to self-isolate will not end until August even whilst businesses are worried about everyone getting pinged by the app and having no staff.

Of course when they face such inconvenience themselves then that's a different matter.

The amount of contempt politicians have for people is always amazing.

Chris 18-07-2021 09:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36086677)
The Irish Republic now has twice the GDP per capita of the UK.

Not difficult to achieve when you use aggressive tax policy to attract the world’s biggest companies to place their offices in your territory. It’s amazing how many Apple products are ‘sold’ by the Irish. Oddly enough their standard of living and likelihood of going bankrupt in a financial crash don’t seem commensurate.

Fortunately the developed world seems to be coming to its collective senses on this sort of thing. So I guess within a few years we’re going to see whether the Celtic Tiger was made of paper all along.

Mick 18-07-2021 11:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
BREAKING: Prime Minister, Boris Johnson and Chancellor, Rishi Sunak will now Self Isolate after earlier declaring that they will not.

Carth 18-07-2021 11:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36086697)
BREAKING: Prime Minister, Boris Johnson and Chancellor, Rishi Sunak will now Self Isolate after earlier declaring that they will not.

Damn, that's another huge decorating bill then ;)

Sephiroth 18-07-2021 12:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36086677)
I don’t champion Scottish nationalism, I just don’t buy into the British colonial trope that nobody could possibly, ever, anywhere survive and be successful without England.

The Irish Republic now has twice the GDP per capita of the UK.

The Irish people won’t take home even half of that. The per capita stat paints a false picture. The UK people take home a much higher proportion of GDP.

mrmistoffelees 18-07-2021 12:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36086699)
Damn, that's another huge decorating bill then ;)

Whilst I love bashing Boris as much as the next person :erm: this isn’t as much of a story as has been sensationalised by the media, there’s about twenty public sector orgs and private companies involved in this trial that Boris & Rishi found themselves on.

It does however present itself as another spectacular gaffe/uturn.

peanut 18-07-2021 12:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
BoJo is now actually piloting the new 'Back-Track and Trace'.

Carth 18-07-2021 13:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36086711)
Whilst I love bashing Boris as much as the next person :erm: this isn’t as much of a story as has been sensationalised by the media, there’s about twenty public sector orgs and private companies involved in this trial that Boris & Rishi found themselves on.

It does however present itself as another spectacular gaffe/uturn.

Quite agree with the sensationalism, but we should be used to that from the media by now.

As for a gaffe/U-turn . . . maybe Bojo and Rishi have decided that the trial (involving around twenty public sector orgs and private companies) isn't as good as was first made out to be ;) :p:

1andrew1 18-07-2021 18:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36086711)
Whilst I love bashing Boris as much as the next person :erm: this isn’t as much of a story as has been sensationalised by the media, there’s about twenty public sector orgs and private companies involved in this trial that Boris & Rishi found themselves on.

It does however present itself as another spectacular gaffe/uturn.

That's what BoJo would like you to think- the BBC is reporting that organisstions cited have not taken part. Whatever the truth of the matter, BoJo looks to have been poorly advised

nomadking 18-07-2021 18:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Any nonsense about people who are meant to to be immune, either from vaccination or previous actual infection, being reinfected, misses the fact that they must have come in close contact with somebody who is able to transmit it.

If 1m people are or might be infected, that means over 100,000 infected people out there, still able to transmit it. With lockdowns and people sticking to the rules, that just not be possible.

1andrew1 18-07-2021 18:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by peanut (Post 36086712)
BoJo is now actually piloting the new 'Back-Track and Trace'.

:D

RichardCoulter 18-07-2021 19:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36086687)
Not difficult to achieve when you use aggressive tax policy to attract the world’s biggest companies to place their offices in your territory. It’s amazing how many Apple products are ‘sold’ by the Irish. Oddly enough their standard of living and likelihood of going bankrupt in a financial crash don’t seem commensurate.

Fortunately the developed world seems to be coming to its collective senses on this sort of thing. So I guess within a few years we’re going to see whether the Celtic Tiger was made of paper all along.

Does the EU not prevent member States from undercutting other members to increase their own tax take? :confused:

---------- Post added at 19:46 ---------- Previous post was at 19:44 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36086711)
Whilst I love bashing Boris as much as the next person :erm: this isn’t as much of a story as has been sensationalised by the media, there’s about twenty public sector orgs and private companies involved in this trial that Boris & Rishi found themselves on.

It does however present itself as another spectacular gaffe/uturn.

And it was just pure chance that they both happened to be picked for this trial.....

I think even Johnson has realised that this one rule for us and another for everyone else attitude would annoy the public.

mrmistoffelees 18-07-2021 20:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36086738)
Does the EU not prevent member States from undercutting other members to increase their own tax take? :confused:

---------- Post added at 19:46 ---------- Previous post was at 19:44 ----------



And it was just pure chance that they both happened to be picked for this trial.....

I think even Johnson has realised that this one rule for us and another for everyone else attitude would annoy the public.

The decision making today imho is nowhere near as bad the decision making that’s going to lead to an all out s***show starting in approx 3.5hrs

joglynne 18-07-2021 20:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
How other countries are coping with coronavirus as lockdowns ease and cases rise
https://www.manchestereveningnews.co...downs-21045658

Mad Max 19-07-2021 00:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Project fear.

mrmistoffelees 19-07-2021 07:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36086767)
Project fear.

How is it 'Project Fear' where's your evidence to support this ?

This isn't 'Freedom Day' we're not 'free' until we can control this pandemic at a local, national & global level. Our actions from today have the potential to cause significant suffering to others. Our actions should be considered & thoughtful. Unlike the government's.

1andrew1 19-07-2021 08:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36086767)
Project fear.

:tu: Delta Variant likes this comment

mrmistoffelees 19-07-2021 08:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36086773)
:tu: Delta Variant likes this comment

:D:D:D:D:D:D

papa smurf 19-07-2021 11:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Just been for my first maskless shop, i could feel the eyes on my back as everyone else was masked up.

Mr K 19-07-2021 11:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36086782)
Just been for my first maskless shop, i could feel the eyes on my back as everyone else was masked up.

They were probably thinking what a selfish so and so that cares only for himself...

daveeb 19-07-2021 11:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36086782)
Just been for my first maskless shop, i could feel the eyes on my back as everyone else was masked up.

Yes there's always one. :erm:
My local hospital is full of people, who thought it was all over and taking beds from people who need other urgent treatments.

papa smurf 19-07-2021 11:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36086784)
They were probably thinking what a selfish so and so that cares only for himself...

As long as that's all, I won't lose any sleep over it.

Pierre 19-07-2021 11:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36086782)
Just been for my first maskless shop, i could feel the eyes on my back as everyone else was masked up.

As long as the shop did not have it's own mask policy, which is basically the governments way of extending restrictions through the private sector... then all power to you.

---------- Post added at 11:30 ---------- Previous post was at 11:30 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36086784)
They were probably thinking what a selfish so and so that cares only for himself...

No, I'm sure they were thinking Law abiding citizen. Unless they have all been brain-washed by the state.


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