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jfman 06-07-2021 13:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Kids can spread Covid amongst themselves and their parents can still go to work. This will go well I am certain of it.

It’s almost as if there’s more money for hedge funds to make while the economy flounders in the next lockdown. What did Mogg’s mob say? Once in a generation opportunity? Now twice in two years.

Pierre 06-07-2021 14:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085425)
Kids can spread Covid amongst themselves and their parents can still go to work. This will go well I am certain of it.

It will, because their parents are vaccinated and the people they work with are vaccinated.

jfman 06-07-2021 14:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085437)
It will, because their parents are vaccinated and the people they work with are vaccinated.

Yes, the vaccinated will catch Covid in significant numbers and self isolate.

For businesses forced to close as a result of inevitable Covid outbreaks do you support financial support schemes for them and their workers? I didn’t catch you or OB responding to my question the last time so apologies if I missed it. After all we do want the economy to recover, don’t we?

mrmistoffelees 06-07-2021 14:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085437)
It will, because their parents are vaccinated and the people they work with are vaccinated.

Doesn't completely prevent the transmission of the virus, won't stop all serious illness or death due to Covid. As per my earlier post, we have now modelling data to suggest what will happen once the band aid has been ripped off the wound.

Every serious hospitalization or death is someone's loved one

I kind of agree with what you're saying in this instance, but I think you're being incredibly blase in the way you're saying it. Almost sociopathic.

Carth 06-07-2021 15:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085439)
Yes, the vaccinated will catch Covid in significant numbers and self isolate.

For businesses forced to close as a result of inevitable Covid outbreaks do you support financial support schemes for them and their workers? I didn’t catch you or OB responding to my question the last time so apologies if I missed it. After all we do want the economy to recover, don’t we?

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36085440)
Doesn't completely prevent the transmission of the virus, won't stop all serious illness or death due to Covid. As per my earlier post, we have now modelling data to suggest what will happen once the band aid has been ripped off the wound.

Every serious hospitalization or death is someone's loved one

I kind of agree with what you're saying in this instance, but I think you're being incredibly blase in the way you're saying it. Almost sociopathic.

You're both on the road to constant lock down . . one hopes you don't run out of fuel and end up thumbing a lift :D

jfman 06-07-2021 15:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Britain is on the road to lock down. I'm trying to tell everyone how to avoid it.

There's no magic return to 2019.

mrmistoffelees 06-07-2021 15:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36085446)
You're both on the road to constant lock down . . one hopes you don't run out of fuel and end up thumbing a lift :D

Not at all, I recognise that we're through the most dangerous part of the pandemic (so far) and that we need to now get the country going.

The difference being i think we should act with a degree more caution than we are doing. Boris last night to me acted like it's all or nothing when it's not a binary choice.

Pierre 06-07-2021 16:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085439)
Yes, the vaccinated will catch Covid in significant numbers and self isolate.

For businesses forced to close as a result of inevitable Covid outbreaks do you support financial support schemes for them and their workers?

Why will there be covid outbreaks, if the vast, vast majority of people are vaccinated and stay vaccinated?

---------- Post added at 16:10 ---------- Previous post was at 16:09 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36085440)
Doesn't completely prevent the transmission of the virus, won't stop all serious illness or death due to Covid. As per my earlier post, we have now modelling data to suggest what will happen once the band aid has been ripped off the wound.

Every serious hospitalization or death is someone's loved one

I kind of agree with what you're saying in this instance, but I think you're being incredibly blase in the way you're saying it. Almost sociopathic.

As already answered it is less than 10% of an already small number.

---------- Post added at 16:12 ---------- Previous post was at 16:10 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085448)
Britain is on the road to lock down. I'm trying to tell everyone how to avoid it.
.

If that doesn't work out you can always hold a sign for a "golf sale"

OLD BOY 06-07-2021 16:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085454)
Why will there be covid outbreaks, if the vast, vast majority of people are vaccinated and stay vaccinated?

---------- Post added at 16:10 ---------- Previous post was at 16:09 ----------



As already answered it is less than 10% of an already small number.

You’ll never stop the argument, Pierre. I don’t know whether they seriously do take this stance or are just spoiling for an argument. Even the government’s scientific advisors recognise that the benefits of ending the restrictions now outweigh the disbenefits, and that it is better to do it now rather than in the autumn.

I wonder why these same people are not campaigning to have men and women with red flags walking ahead of every car on the road, given the number of accidents causing death or serious injury each year on the roads.

In the UK, the number stands at 26,610 killed or seriously injured. I don’t hear those same people bleating on about that. We tolerate it because we need to get about and live our lives.

I can only think that the lockdown enthusiasts are on furlough or otherwise lead very boring lives.

pip08456 06-07-2021 16:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085448)
Britain is on the road to lock down. I'm trying to tell everyone how to avoid it.

There's no magic return to 2019.

I think you are really referring to Scotland, not Britain. Little Jimmy Crankie is doing such a wonderful job.

Quote:

According to the latest ONS infection survey figures, Scotland is believed to have the highest Covid rate in the UK, with estimated levels in the Scottish population 73% higher than in England, triple those in Wales and more than four times higher than those in Northern Ireland.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-57712737

Hugh 06-07-2021 16:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085454)
Why will there be covid outbreaks, if the vast, vast majority of people are vaccinated and stay vaccinated?

---------- Post added at 16:10 ---------- Previous post was at 16:09 ----------



As already answered it is less than 10% of an already small number.

---------- Post added at 16:12 ---------- Previous post was at 16:10 ----------



If that doesn't work out you can always hold a sign for a "golf sale"

660,000 is not a small number…

And the 1% referred to infection fatality rate, not infection fatality & hospitalisation rate…

jfman 06-07-2021 17:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085454)
Why will there be covid outbreaks, if the vast, vast majority of people are vaccinated and stay vaccinated?

They get infected. Infected leading to varying outcomes including death.

All that’s happened is we have nudged the dial on these numbers. However as Hugh points out across the entire population that can still be a considerable number.

However in fairness you didn’t believe the original figures were enough to merit restrictions or lockdowns therefore it’s improbable that you’d reach a different, evidence based, conclusion this time.

---------- Post added at 16:58 ---------- Previous post was at 16:57 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36085461)
I think you are really referring to Scotland, not Britain. Little Jimmy Crankie is doing such a wonderful job.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-57712737

Exponential growth means they’ll catch up soon enough without mitigations.

---------- Post added at 17:01 ---------- Previous post was at 16:58 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36085459)
You’ll never stop the argument, Pierre. I don’t know whether they seriously do take this stance or are just spoiling for an argument. Even the government’s scientific advisors recognise that the benefits of ending the restrictions now outweigh the disbenefits, and that it is better to do it now rather than in the autumn.

I wonder why these same people are not campaigning to have men and women with red flags walking ahead of every car on the road, given the number of accidents causing death or serious injury each year on the roads.

In the UK, the number stands at 26,610 killed or seriously injured. I don’t hear those same people bleating on about that. We tolerate it because we need to get about and live our lives.

I can only think that the lockdown enthusiasts are on furlough or otherwise lead very boring lives.

Coming from the man who has offered the worst input consistently throughout the pandemic. You must be really bored to go out your way to come back with wholly inaccurate and speculative retorts so frequently. It’s ironic you accuse others of “spoiling for an argument” when nobody - anywhere in the thread - is advocating a lockdown.

What I’m assuring you is that it’s absolutely inevitable without any other mitigations in place to prevent the spread of the virus. As it always has been.

Pierre 06-07-2021 17:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36085462)
660,000 is not a small number…

And the 1% referred to infection fatality rate, not infection fatality & hospitalisation rate…

1% is a small number.

0.19% of total population have died from Covid in total

0.25% die from cancer every year (and that will increase on this year as cancer sufferers have been sacrificed due to Covid)

of the "known" infections 4.93 million 128K have died, that's a mortality rate of 2.6% (and that's a bottom end estimate as there will have been millions infected and not tested. You could probably half that easily and more.)

367K get cancer every year and 166K die. that's a mortality rate of 45%.

I know what I would be scared of getting.

No matter what way you try to carve it up. COVID still is a relatively mild infection, that still mainly affected the elderly and those with co-morbidities and kills a very small % of those it infects, and now with Vaccines offering 90%, and other anti-viral and anti-inflammatory treatments that are available the chances of very serious illness and death is low, in fact they're at rates as low as the "flu" yes, I said it again.

jfman 06-07-2021 17:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085471)
I know what I would be scared of getting.

You put this one best yourself when you described your privileged position, Pierre. You’ve been unaffected by restrictions.

Fortunate indeed, but as the restrictions are to protect people from “at risk” situations then it’s clear they aren’t designed to protect people like you. While it’s perfectly rational for you to have concern for medical conditions that aren’t contagious (e.g. cancer) not everyone is in that situation. It’s also a bad way to manage public health at a population level.

Pierre 06-07-2021 17:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085464)
They get infected. Infected leading to varying outcomes including death.

Also including "not death" & "not getting ill" & "getting slightly ill" & "getting seriously ill" and several other states in between before, in a fully vaccinated population, you get to the very small number of people that may die, which in great scheme of things probably wouldn't even make the UK mortality top 20.

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulat...auses-of-death

It certainly didn't make the top 10 in England & Wales last month.

Quote:

Of the 35,401 deaths registered in May 2021 in England, 0.9% (333 deaths) were due to COVID-19. Including all deaths involving COVID-19 increases the percentage to 1.4% of all deaths (479 deaths) in England in May 2021.

In Wales, 0.6% of the 2,416 deaths registered in May 2021 were due to COVID-19 (15 deaths). Including all deaths involving COVID-19 increases the percentage to 0.9% of all deaths (21 deaths) in Wales.

In England and Wales, deaths due to COVID-19 continue to decrease (64.6% decrease in England, 57.1% decrease in Wales compared to April 2021).

Damien 06-07-2021 17:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
The hospitalisation rate is starting to looking concerning. 38% in a week. That's from a low number but we can't afford for it to increase at that rate at all.

If you look at the official dashboard it's starting to show a steep incline: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare

Pierre 06-07-2021 17:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085472)
but as the restrictions are to protect people from “at risk” situations then it’s clear they aren’t designed to protect people like you.

In a fully vaccinated population, what and where are the "at risk" situations?

jfman 06-07-2021 17:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085475)
In a fully vaccinated population, what and where are the "at risk" situations?

Which fully vaccinated population is this you are hypothesising about?

It’s not here, that’s for sure. I take it you still don’t want mask wearing until then? No? Vaccinating teenagers? No?

Red herring alert.

Pierre 06-07-2021 18:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36085474)
The hospitalisation rate is starting to looking concerning. 38% in a week. That's from a low number but we can't afford for it to increase at that rate at all.

If you look at the official dashboard it's starting to show a steep incline: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare

400 per day on any given week day anything between 50,000 and 60,000 people are admitted to hospital. So at that rate it accounts for 0.7% of admissions.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-45783005

---------- Post added at 18:02 ---------- Previous post was at 17:57 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085476)
Which fully vaccinated population is this you are hypothesising about?

It’s not here, that’s for sure. I take it you still don’t want mask wearing until then? No? Vaccinating teenagers? No?

Red herring alert.

Not counting children as they rarely get seriously ill and will probably been infected and already have antibodies.

As mentioned a few posts ago. 45M have had one jab 86% of the population 34M have had 2 jabs 64% of the population. + the millions that have been infected and recovered and have antibodies.

The nation will be pretty much done in a month or two. Then the booster program starts.

jfman 06-07-2021 18:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085477)
400 per day on any given week day anything between 50,000 and 60,000 people are admitted to hospital. So at that rate it accounts for 0.7% of admissions.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-45783005

Double 400 every 9 days and see where you are in 170 days.

Even if just for entertainment value.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...postcount=6293

---------- Post added at 18:07 ---------- Previous post was at 18:03 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085477)
Not counting children

So not a fully vaccinated population then.

Quote:

The nation will be pretty much done in a month or two.
No masks for a couple of months then?

Quote:

Then the booster program starts.
Odd given you portray vaccination as success in such a binary fashion that you think the booster programme has any relevance at all. It’s almost as if you’re making it up as you go along as long as it suits a predetermined position you’ve held for 17 months.

pip08456 06-07-2021 18:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085479)
Double 400 every 9 days and see where you are in 170 days.

Even if just for entertainment value.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...postcount=6293

---------- Post added at 18:07 ---------- Previous post was at 18:03 ----------



So not a fully vaccinated population then.



No masks for a couple of months then?



Odd given you portray vaccination as success in such a binary fashion that you think the booster programme has any relevance at all. It’s almost as if you’re making it up as you go along as long as it suits a predetermined position you’ve held for 17 months.

We can never have a fully vaccinated country or world. There will also be those who cannot be vaccinated due to health reasons or those who refuse to be. As regards children there is still a risk/benefit study ongoing, until that is completed it would be wrong to offer vaccines to children.

jfman 06-07-2021 18:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36085483)
We can never have a fully vaccinated country or world. There will also be those who cannot be vaccinated due to health reasons or those who refuse to be. As regards children there is still a risk/benefit study ongoing, until that is completed it would be wrong to offer vaccines to children.

The MHRA have concluded the Pfizer vaccine is safe and effective for 12-15 year olds. The JCVI are playing politics with the decision.

https://www.gov.uk/government/news/t...o-15-year-olds

Quote:

Dr June Raine, MHRA Chief Executive said:
“We have carefully reviewed clinical trial data in children aged 12 to 15 years and have concluded that the Pfizer/BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine is safe and effective in this age group and that the benefits of this vaccine outweigh any risk.
As I noted earlier Pierre’s use of “fully vaccinated” was a red herring. However the clear benefits at an individual and a population level of vaccine maximisation are clear.

Otherwise we just go round and round.

Pierre 06-07-2021 19:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085479)
Double 400 every 9 days and see where you are in 170 days.

Even if just for entertainment value.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...postcount=6293[COLOR="Silver"]

about 104 million?

Quote:

So not a fully vaccinated population then.
full vaccinated adult population - there’s no evidence kids need to be vaccinated, unless they have other complications.

Quote:

No masks for a couple of months then?
no masks from July 19th, I can’t wait.

Quote:

Odd given you portray vaccination as success in such a binary fashion that you think the booster programme has any relevance at all.
is it not a success?

Carth 06-07-2021 19:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36085483)
We can never have a fully vaccinated country or world. There will also be those who cannot be vaccinated due to health reasons or those who refuse to be. As regards children there is still a risk/benefit study ongoing, until that is completed it would be wrong to offer vaccines to children.

Pretty much what I said a few pages ago, which means it will always be here and, as such, will 'allegedly'* mutate into a much more dangerous variant and probably eventually kill us all ;)


*by experts and a few on here

Pierre 06-07-2021 19:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085485)
However the clear benefits at an individual and a population level of vaccine maximisation are clear.

Otherwise we just go round and round.

Your ability for double talk is truly breathtaking.

So you agree the vaccination programme is working and a success, and the vaccines are working as they should.

Therefore I can only think you have other reasons for not wanting to open up fully.

jfman 06-07-2021 19:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
I’m not here to answer for your contradictions Pierre. On one hand people being vaccinated is absolute - they are no longer at risk, on the other you are talking up the booster programme that would be unnecessary if your first statement held true.

Fundamentally you’ve misrepresented the risks from outset because of your ideological position against state intervention. And you will continue to do so for months to come.

A mere day after the UK recorded its highest case numbers you were presenting Covid as state scaremongering.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...postcount=2722

Quote:

Probably not, as that wouldn’t make it look as bad as it does, and we need to keep the country at peak fear.

At least this new variant seems to rippping through the population at a pace, vaccination + infection at this speed and we’ll all be done by spring!
60,000 cases the day before. Within 3 weeks we were averaging 1200 deaths a day (over 7 days).

If you didn’t believe the situation or risks were credible then why should anyone believe you are weighing up the evidence in a genuine or sincere manner now?

---------- Post added at 19:14 ---------- Previous post was at 19:10 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085488)
Your ability for double talk is truly breathtaking.

So you agree the vaccination programme is working and a success, and the vaccines are working as they should.

Therefore I can only think you have other reasons for not wanting to open up fully.

A vaccine can simultaneously be of benefit and not completely eliminate risk. At a population level that aggregate benefit rises the more people are vaccinated. I’m not sure how many times you have to be told this.

I can only think you have other reasons for wanting to open up fully regardless (including removing the use of masks) of evident risks. A position you’ve held consistently.

I’ve been clear the risk of too much, too soon, is always lockdown. And we know how much you love those.

Pierre 06-07-2021 19:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085489)
I’m not here to answer for your contradictions Pierre. On one hand people being vaccinated is absolute - they are no longer at risk, on the other you are talking up the booster programme that would be unnecessary if your first statement held true.

given the vaccines are working, but we don’t have any real world data of how long the protection lasts a booster program contingency seems very sensible, unless like you, you are a lover of lockdowns.

Quote:

Fundamentally you’ve misrepresented the risks from outset because of your ideological position against state intervention. And you will continue to do so for months to come.
I’ve told you, you can’t misrepresent facts only misinterpret them. The are, have been, and always will be low…..for the vast majority of the population, even more so now with vaccines and other treatment.

Quote:

A mere day after the UK recorded its highest case numbers you were presenting Covid as state scaremongering.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...postcount=2722

60,000 cases the day before. Within 3 weeks we were averaging 1200 cases a day (over 7 days).
and by April (Spring) cases were right down again so, yeah I was pretty much correct.

Quote:

If you didn’t believe the situation or risks were credible then why should anyone believe you are weighing up the evidence in a genuine or sincere manner now?
I’m not asking them to, but l’m being objective, which you certainly aren’t.

---------- Post added at 19:28 ---------- Previous post was at 19:22 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085489)
A vaccine can simultaneously be of benefit and not completely eliminate risk.

Who said anything about “Completely Eliminating” risk. No one ever on the globe about anything ever, has ever suggested such a thing. That in the realm of insanity.

Quote:

At a population level that aggregate benefit rises the more people are vaccinated. I’m not sure how many times you have to be told this.
I’m pretty sure that’s what I have been posting these last few pages? In fact it’s been me telling this to you.

Quote:

I can only think you have other reasons for wanting to open up fully regardless (including removing the use of masks) of evident risks. A position you’ve held consistently.
Just a small thing called a free society.

Quote:

I’ve been clear the risk of too much, too soon, is always lockdown. And we know how much you love those.
Your love of staying in them is clear, is it a fear of freedom or a love of furlough that drives you?

jfman 06-07-2021 19:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085491)
given the vaccines are working, but we don’t have any real world data of how long the protection lasts a booster program contingency seems very sensible, unless like you, you are a lover of lockdowns.

It’s your misguided belief that “all is well” that leads to lockdowns.

Quote:

I’ve told you, you can’t misrepresent facts only misinterpret them. The are, have been, and always will be low…..for the vast majority of the population, even more so now with vaccines and other treatment.
You’ve told me, and been consistently incorrect.

Quote:

and by April (Spring) cases were right down again so, yeah I was pretty much correct.
Thanks to the emergency brake of lockdown. Not divine intervention or chance.

Quote:

I’m not asking them to, but l’m being objective, which you certainly aren’t.
I’m not quite sure gleefully cheering as variants put tens of thousands to their deaths is objective Pierre to be honest.

Quote:

Who said anything about “Completely Eliminating” risk. No one ever on the globe about anything ever, has ever suggested such a thing. That in the realm of insanity.
Again you’re presenting the situation is binary when it is not.

Quote:

I’m pretty sure that’s what I have been posting these last few pages? In fact it’s been me telling this to you.

Just a small thing called a free society.
Alas we are back to you viewing the situation as ideological, regardless of the evidence in front of you.

Quote:

Your love of staying in them is clear, is it a fear of freedom or a love of furlough that drives you?
Telling you that you are wrong offers no insight into my thoughts on lockdown. Neither does their inevitability. However they are inevitable with poor judgement and implementation of other mitigations.

I’d say it’s objective to consider things other than from my personal preference.

As opposed to being unaffected by restrictions, self-proclaimed privileged and deciding everyone else should take risks because I’m bored and ideologically driven. Death isn’t exciting for the dead.

pip08456 06-07-2021 19:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
I see jfman has had his bots busy on twitter.:D:D:D

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...0&d=1625596725

jfman 06-07-2021 20:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36085494)
I see jfman has had his bots busy on twitter.:D:D:D

Haha Christmas is a bit far. :D

Distancing I get there’s an economic argument around. Masks less so.

1andrew1 06-07-2021 20:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085496)
Haha Christmas is a bit far. :D

Distancing I get there’s an economic argument around. Masks less so.

FT makes the point that it's fair enough to end mask-wearing in pubs as people have the choice to enter such premises. But they often don't have the choice on public transport hence a reason for mask-wearing to continue on public transport.

1andrew1 07-07-2021 00:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Business warns of England work chaos from delay to ending self-isolation

Business and health chiefs warned on Tuesday that England faces weeks of workplace chaos, with around 2m people a week at risk of contracting Covid-19 or being asked to self-isolate.

Health secretary Sajid Javid admitted there could be a record 100,000 new Covid cases a day if most remaining restrictions are lifted on July 19 as planned. The projected number of daily cases would far exceed the 61,240 new daily cases when the virus peaked on January 1.

But recent data show that a ratio of two people are asked to isolate for 10 days per original case, suggesting that if 700,000 a week were infected a further 1.4m could be asked to self-isolate.
https://www.ft.com/content/ac78e148-...b-efbc4f8d852a

tweetiepooh 07-07-2021 09:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Sorry this is paywalled - it was free on Apple news yesterday on my iPhone but I only skimmed it.



https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics...down-ever-end/


Maybe someone with access can get the more salient quotes out.

heero_yuy 07-07-2021 10:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Not paywalled for me but that may be my script blocker kicking in. From your link:

Quote:

But a depressing truth looms over Britain: many people do not seem to want restrictions to end. Millions have become attached to the gilded trappings of lockdown, from furlough to flexi-home working. With our every movement micromanaged by one metre signage and one-way arrows, our instincts for independent self-direction have shrivelled. And after nearly 18 months of relentless – and irresponsible – anti-Covid messaging, terror of the virus is still everywhere.

In this context, a nasty culture war is brewing, a modern twist on the old feud between positive and negative liberty. In one camp are the freedom lovers who hope that we can “learn to live with the virus” and roll back the Covid state. In the other camp are those who believe that the Prime Minister’s new emphasis on the individual is dangerous; that he should be seeking to “liberate” society from risk and provide the ultimate “freedom” of living without the coronavirus by aiming for a Zero Covid utopia instead.

Hugh 07-07-2021 10:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
No emotive words/statements there, then...

gilded trappings of lockdown, every movement micromanaged, independent self-direction shrivelled, irresponsible anti-Covid messaging, culture war, freedom lovers, etc.

Who wrote this - Lozza Fox?

jfman 07-07-2021 10:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
The average person sits somewhere in the middle - they want restrictions to ease but not at all costs. The Telegraph making the observation is - without irony - stoking the culture war. Presenting the reality as binary “freedom” versus “terror”. Misrepresenting restrictions as “lockdown”.

However it’s a tried and tested strategy to divide people into two uncompromising camps, allowing Government incompetence to go unchecked. People blame other people for the impact on health (the covid deniers) and the economy (the rationally risk averse who spend less against a backdrop of a public health crisis).

Sephiroth 07-07-2021 10:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 36085524)
Not paywalled for me but that may be my script blocker kicking in. From your link:

More from the DT article:

Quote:

With hard times ahead, Johnson must stay resolute that this is the end of the Covid emergency, and the start of the Covid recovery. In particular, No 10 must hold its nerve against the Zero Covid campaign, which is organising against it. Scientists have already started to brief against the Government, branding the new Health Secretary Sajid Javid as “frightening”. and accusing ministers of “building ‘variant’ factories” in the population.

As deaths remain low, they seem keen to shift their emphasis from scary graphs to warnings about mysterious long-term complications. Long Covid – a risk acknowledged by Chris Whitty in yesterday’s press conference – looks set to shift from a marginal story to a major talking point. Epidemiologists are taking to the airwaves with various stomach-churning scenarios – that Covid could turn out to be like mumps, with rare but life-threatening risks for children; that the infected may become more susceptible to diseases further down the line (as it proved with Parkinson’s among survivors of the Spanish flu).

pip08456 07-07-2021 10:29

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36085527)
No emotive words/statements there, then...

gilded trappings of lockdown, every movement micromanaged, independent self-direction shrivelled, irresponsible anti-Covid messaging, culture war, freedom lovers, etc.

Who wrote this - Lozza Fox?

Sherelle Jacobs

jfman 07-07-2021 10:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36085530)
More from the DT article:


At least they’ve picked their side in the culture war.

It’s like reading Toby Young last summer.

jonbxx 07-07-2021 10:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Reading those excerpts of that Telegraph article, you could swap COVID with Brexit very easily...

Get COVID done!
It's all project fear!

I just hope that we don't regret things a few months down the line. Viruses don't really care about bullish optimism

Pierre 07-07-2021 10:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 36085524)
Not paywalled for me but that may be my script blocker kicking in. From your link:

I think author has pretty much nailed it.

Hom3r 07-07-2021 11:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085528)
The average person sits somewhere in the middle - they want restrictions to ease, but not at all costs.


Well some covidiots on my town's FB page have said the threw their mask away early in the year, and fully expect to travel without restrictions even though they have refused to take the vaccine, as they just say Covid-19 is just flu.


They also said stopping them is discrimination

1andrew1 07-07-2021 11:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
An interesting PMQs ahead!

Quote:

COVID-19: PM heading for showdown with MPs amid predictions millions of Britons could get coronavirus this summer

Tory MPs and business leaders have reacted furiously after the health secretary said children and fully vaccinated adults will have to follow current self-isolation rules until 16 August.

Boris Johnson is heading for a COVID showdown with MPs amid a backlash over a six-week wait for the ending of self-isolation rules.

Conservative MPs and business leaders have reacted furiously after Health Secretary Sajid Javid said children and fully vaccinated adults will have to follow current self-isolation rules until 16 August.

This means they will have to stay at home for 10 days if they come into close contact with someone who has tested positive for coronavirus.
https://news.sky.com/story/covid-19-...ummer-12350497

jfman 07-07-2021 11:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085535)
I think author has pretty much nailed it.

Funnily enough her track record is even worse than yours.

Covid is nowhere near as dangerous as our pathological obsession with abolishing risk. 5 November 2020

Where is the Conservative fight back against a statist Covid dystopia. 29 October 2020

Viral second wave fear will send us into another lockdown . 23 July 2020

We risk going over a cliff chasing second wave red herrings. 2 July 2020

Britain has fallen down the rabbit hole of second wave hysteria. 25 June 2020

---------- Post added at 11:50 ---------- Previous post was at 11:49 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36085539)

It’d require Starmer to develop a spine unfortunately.

Pierre 07-07-2021 12:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085540)
Funnily enough her track record is even worse than yours.

I know it can be hard for anyone to live up to my standards.

1andrew1 07-07-2021 12:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085540)
It’d require Starmer to develop a spine unfortunately.

Calling the Delta variant the Johnson variant is a good start! ;)
Quote:

Sir Keir Starmer calls the Delta variant of #COVID19 the 'Johnson variant' and calls the government's approach to lifting lockdown restrictions 'reckless'
https://twitter.com/SkyNews/status/1412732153234923522

pip08456 07-07-2021 12:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085496)
Haha Christmas is a bit far. :D

Distancing I get there’s an economic argument around. Masks less so.

Quote:

all mitigating measures that have been taken in Denmark to prevent a second wave had no tangible effect on the spread of Covid-19. Those measures included a universal mask mandate.
https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m4586/rr-6

jfman 07-07-2021 13:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36085546)

Quote:

The study did not evaluate whether people with masks are less likely to infect someone else. However, given that we now know that surgical masks have limited filtering capacity, we must derive that it is very unlikely that surgical masks provide a substantial protection from an infectious wearer.
A guess then with an unclear definition of “substantial”.

Nobody is presenting masks as a silver bullet. But it’s a tool to be utilised along with everything else if we have a serious intention of keeping the economy open.

I mean the alternative isn’t the best:

Quote:

The message from the science of epidemiology is clear: isolation is the only scientifically-sound measure that we have to prevent a SARS-CoV-2 infection now. Whether or not imposing isolation to populations through lockdowns is a political decision that has to take many factors into account, but the distinction between evidence-based and non evidence-based measures is unequivocal.

Taf 07-07-2021 13:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Around nine in 10 adults in the UK are estimated to have Covid antibodies, new figures suggest.

The Office for National Statistics said that in England, 89.8 per cent of the adult population would be likely to have tested positive for antibodies against coronavirus in the week beginning 14 June – suggesting they had the infection in the past or have been vaccinated. That was an increase from 79.6 per cent a month ago.

The figure stretched from 84.7 per cent in Scotland (up month on month from 71.8 per cent) to 91.8 per cent in Wales (up from 82.1 per cent). In Northern Ireland, it is estimated that 87.2 per cent of the adult population would have tested positive for antibodies, up from 80.0 per cent.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/h...-b1879643.html

Hugh 07-07-2021 13:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 36085548)
Quote:

Around nine in 10 adults in the UK are estimated to have Covid antibodies, new figures suggest.

The Office for National Statistics said that in England, 89.8 per cent of the adult population would be likely to have tested positive for antibodies against coronavirus in the week beginning 14 June – suggesting they had the infection in the past or have been vaccinated. That was an increase from 79.6 per cent a month ago.

The figure stretched from 84.7 per cent in Scotland (up month on month from 71.8 per cent) to 91.8 per cent in Wales (up from 82.1 per cent). In Northern Ireland, it is estimated that 87.2 per cent of the adult population would have tested positive for antibodies, up from 80.0 per cent.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/h...-b1879643.html

https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/corona...d-coronavirus/
Quote:

What an antibody test can tell you

An antibody test can tell you if it's likely you've had COVID-19 before.

But it does not work for everyone, as some people who've had the virus do not have antibodies.

An antibody test does not tell you:

- if you're immune to COVID-19
- If you can or cannot spread the virus to other people

How an antibody test works

An antibody test checks for antibodies in your blood.

Your body makes antibodies when you get an infection. They help fight the infection.

If you have COVID-19 antibodies in your blood, it's likely you've had the virus before.

It's not known if having antibodies stops you getting the virus again.

heero_yuy 07-07-2021 14:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Quote from The Sun: Fed-up Brits are deleting the Covid tracing app in their droves amid warnings millions will be pinged within weeks - despite the vaccine rollout.

Ministers are facing massive fury after they announced double jabbed Brits will have to wait until August 16 to escape draconian self isolation rules.

As infection rates soar, up to 3.5 million Brits are expected to be stuck in self isolation by early August if infection rates hit 100,000 per day as ministers predict.

Despairing business chiefs say the overzealous app - which tells around three people to self isolate for a single Covid case - is forcing entire restaurants to close.

Kate Nicholls, chief executive of UK Hospitality, said the ultra-strict rules are devastating businesses already hammered by rolling lockdowns.

She saids: “Around a third of our staff are self isolating at any one time at the moment because they have been pinged.

“The app is pinging more and more people, and that number is going to go up in the coming weeks.

“The economy is going to grind to a halt.

“It is overzealous and people are just starting to delete it. My timeline is full of people saying they have turned it off because their sister’s wedding is coming up and they don't want to miss it.”

Many restaurant and bar workers have already deleted the app or turned off the bluetooth to stop it working so they do not get pinged, which could mean days of missed work and vital income.

Iain Duncan Smith told The Sun: "What will happen now is as people walk into the pub, they will delete the app.
My phone doesn't do the app so I have no need to delete it.:cool:

My local records my name and landline number in their own trace system. As a rule I try to sit outside.

Pierre 07-07-2021 14:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085547)
A guess then with an unclear definition of “substantial”.

Nobody is presenting masks as a silver bullet. But it’s a tool to be utilised along with everything else if we have a serious intention of keeping the economy open.

It's a non-argument. If you want to wear a mask, wear a mask. Wear a Hazmat suit if you want.

---------- Post added at 14:35 ---------- Previous post was at 14:33 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 36085551)
My phone doesn't do the app so I have no need to delete it.:cool:

My local records my name and landline number in their own trace system. As a rule I try to sit outside.

I've never had the T&T app, whenever I've gone anywhere they just point at the Q-code and I just flash my phone at it.

pip08456 07-07-2021 14:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 36085551)
My phone doesn't do the app so I have no need to delete it.:cool:

My local records my name and landline number in their own trace system. As a rule I try to sit outside.

Since the app has been available I have it but only use it if the pub requires it. Then I turn on mobile data, bluetooth and location on my way to the pub scan the Q code on entry and turn them all off when I sit down.

Sephiroth 07-07-2021 14:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085553)
<SNIP>

I've never had the T&T app, whenever I've gone anywhere they just point at the Q-code and I just flash my phone at it.

Many places now demand to see the green tick.

jfman 07-07-2021 15:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085553)
It's a non-argument. If you want to wear a mask, wear a mask. Wear a Hazmat suit if you want.

One individual wearing a mask has negligible effect on anything.

It’s only through a collective endeavour it has any meaningful impact. I know, I can just imagine the sick in the back of your throat at that idea.

---------- Post added at 15:01 ---------- Previous post was at 15:00 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 36085551)
My phone doesn't do the app so I have no need to delete it.:cool:

My local records my name and landline number in their own trace system. As a rule I try to sit outside.

Fed up Brits can get fed up in the next lockdown.

Pierre 07-07-2021 15:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085559)
It’s only through a collective endeavour

Governmental diktat?

OLD BOY 07-07-2021 16:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Maybe people who are paranoid about others not wearing a mask should wear two masks. :D

1andrew1 07-07-2021 16:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Speaking to someone in the events industry and their organisation is a bit annoyed. They wanted BoJo to hang on a bit longer so that they had more certainty for the return of their in-person Winter events.

Now it feels all uncertain again and exhibitors are now rowing back on their earlier enthusiasm after yesterday's news.

Hugh 07-07-2021 18:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36085567)
Maybe people who are paranoid about others not wearing a mask should wear two masks. :D

Perhaps people who don’t seem to understand that masks mainly help prevent those already infected infecting others aren’t in the best position to be making "helpful" comments ?

Wearing a mask is mainly to help others, rather than yourself - is that why you have difficulty with it? ;)

From a study of studies earlier this year, from the National Academy of Sciences (USA).

Quote:

We have seen that the efficacy of public mask wearing is largely supported by epidemiological and ecological data, as well as models. This could be due to masks filtering virus from an infected wearer, or protecting the wearer from infectious people around them, or both
Quote:

Conclusion

Our review of the literature offers evidence in favor of widespread mask use as source control to reduce community transmission: Nonmedical masks use materials that obstruct particles of the necessary size; people are most infectious in the initial period postinfection, where it is common to have few or no symptoms (45, 46, 141); nonmedical masks have been effective in reducing transmission of respiratory viruses; and places and time periods where mask usage is required or widespread have shown substantially lower community transmission.

The available evidence suggests that near-universal adoption of nonmedical masks when out in public, in combination with complementary public health measures, could successfully reduce Re
to below 1, thereby reducing community spread if such measures are sustained. Economic analysis suggests that mask wearing mandates could add 1 trillion dollars to the US GDP (32, 34).

Models suggest that public mask wearing is most effective at reducing spread of the virus when compliance is high (39). We recommend that mask use requirements are implemented by governments, or, when governments do not, by organizations that provide public-facing services.

Pierre 07-07-2021 19:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36085580)
Perhaps people who don’t seem to understand that masks mainly help prevent those already infected infecting others aren’t in the best position to be making "helpful" comments ?

But if you’re vaccinated:

A) you’re unlikely to get seriously ill

B) your ability to transmit the virus is cut by half after one dose

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-56904993

So if your argument is that 90%+ overwhelming majority of the population should wear masks for a tiny % of people that can’t or won’t be vaccinated.

Well that’s a pretty warped stance to take.

RichardCoulter 07-07-2021 19:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Get set to have to pay for your lateral flow tests:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...JgscJEQc8cy2q0

Anyone know how much they cost?

Maggy 07-07-2021 19:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085583)
But if you’re vaccinated:

A) you’re unlikely to get seriously ill

B) your ability to transmit the virus is cut by half after one dose

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-56904993

So if your argument is that 90%+ overwhelming majority of the population should wear masks for a tiny % of people that can’t or won’t be vaccinated.

Well that’s a pretty warped stance to take.

Can't means vulnerable and that's whom I aim to protect.

Hugh 07-07-2021 21:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085583)
But if you’re vaccinated:

A) you’re unlikely to get seriously ill

B) your ability to transmit the virus is cut by half after one dose

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-56904993

So if your argument is that 90%+ overwhelming majority of the population should wear masks for a tiny % of people that can’t or won’t be vaccinated.

Well that’s a pretty warped stance to take.

Once again, you take a binary approach - all or nothing…

In the U.K. population, half have had only one dose - that half have an over 50% chance of catching Covid (51%-62%, according to your link); and the link isn’t about the Delta Variant, which is much more infectious.

So if your argument that over 50% of the U.K. population should risk a higher than average chance of getting Covid

"Well that’s a pretty warped stance to take"…

pip08456 07-07-2021 22:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36085590)
Once again, you take a binary approach - all or nothing…

In the U.K. population, half have had only one dose - that half have an over 50% chance of catching Covid (51%-62%, according to your link); and the link isn’t about the Delta Variant, which is much more infectious.

So if your argument that over 50% of the U.K. population should risk a higher than average chance of getting Covid

"Well that’s a pretty warped stance to take"…

The population of the UK is 66.65 million. 45.5 have recieved at least one dose.

Pierre 07-07-2021 22:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36085590)
Once again, you take a binary approach - all or nothing…

In the U.K. population, half have had only one dose - that half have an over 50% chance of catching Covid (51%-62%, according to your link); and the link isn’t about the Delta Variant, which is much more infectious.

So if your argument that over 50% of the U.K. population should risk a higher than average chance of getting Covid

"Well that’s a pretty warped stance to take"…

The youth of this country have paid a high a price to protect the elderly.

It’s perverse really.

jfman 08-07-2021 01:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085599)
The youth of this country have paid a high a price to protect the elderly.

It’s perverse really.

Haha yes it is. If only we could make it up to them and reduce their risk some way.

---------- Post added at 01:26 ---------- Previous post was at 01:25 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36085594)
The population of the UK is 66.65 million. 45.5 have recieved at least one dose.

And the AstraZeneca ones they might well have not bothered.

Paul 08-07-2021 03:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 36085551)
My phone doesn't do the app so I have no need to delete it.:cool:

My phone doesnt do any apps, or even have internet (or wifi) at all.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36085558)
Many places now demand to see the green tick.

They can "demand" all they want, you can guess my reply ;)

pip08456 08-07-2021 18:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
Hey jfman, have you had your bots at work again?:D

Some Britons crave permanent pandemic lockdown

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...6&d=1625764303

https://www.economist.com/britain/20...demic-lockdown

OLD BOY 08-07-2021 19:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Seems like the 100,000 infections per day forecast was way off beam. The rate of increase of infections has slowed for six days in a row.

Should we panic at the thought that things may return to normal soon? :p:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...h-day-row.html

TheDaddy 08-07-2021 20:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36085690)
Seems like the 100,000 infections per day forecast was way off beam. The rate of increase of infections has slowed for six days in a row.

Should we panic at the thought that things may return to normal soon? :p:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...h-day-row.html

You see the letter in The Lancet from scientists and health experts calling the governments early lifting of restrictions dangerous and unethical with the potential to create a generation afflicted with chronic health problems and disabilities? Still what do they know

Carth 08-07-2021 20:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
I think the opening of a fast food outlet on every street corner has already created a generation afflicted with chronic health problems and disabilities.

Still, what do I know ;)

Pierre 08-07-2021 20:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36085695)
You see the letter in The Lancet from scientists and health experts calling the governments early lifting of restrictions dangerous and unethical with the potential to create a generation afflicted with chronic health problems and disabilities? Still what do they know

Yep, they’ve been flawless so far.

Mr K 08-07-2021 20:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085700)
Yep, they’ve been flawless so far.

Scientists can only advise, unfortunately its been politicians making the decisions. Not to prepare for a predicted pandemic, not to invest in PPE, not to invest in the NHS, ignore their own advice and get covid themselves and expect everyone to follow the rules that they don't. Scientists aren't to blame for the UK having the highest death toll in Europe.

Pierre 08-07-2021 20:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36085701)
Scientists can only advise

Yes, they can give bad advice.

pip08456 08-07-2021 20:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36085701)
Scientists can only advise, unfortunately its been politicians making the decisions. Not to prepare for a predicted pandemic, not to invest in PPE, not to invest in the NHS, ignore their own advice and get covid themselves and expect everyone to follow the rules that they don't. Scientists aren't to blame for the UK having the highest death toll in Europe.

Show your source.

spiderplant 08-07-2021 21:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36085690)
Seems like the 100,000 infections per day forecast was way off beam. The rate of increase of infections has slowed for six days in a row.

Did you see the behaviour in the pubs last night? I predict Covid's coming home.

RichardCoulter 08-07-2021 22:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36085708)
Did you see the behaviour in the pubs last night? I predict Covid's coming home.

Definitely. I think that Johnson wants to let everyone do as they please (whilst telling them to behave responsibiy) as he knows that everyone is sick of it and many are doing as they please anyway, whilst wanting to look good.

Then, when it all gets out of hand, he will say that we have no choice but to go back into lockdown again and will blame the public for their reckless behaviour.

A bit of herd immunity too for good measure.

TheDaddy 08-07-2021 22:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085700)
Yep, they’ve been flawless so far.

Well they created a vaccine and rolled it out flawlessly so much so bozo is happy to take the credit, speaking of that berk remind me who scrapped the Cabinet Pandemic Committee six months before the pandemic started. When it comes to advice I'll listen to the experts and you can take your chances with what ever mood bozo is in

Pierre 08-07-2021 22:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36085715)
Well they created a vaccine and rolled it out flawlessly

Well they created it, they didn’t roll it out, but I agree on the success. Given the success and the demonstrable evidence that the link between positive cases and deaths has been broken, I sssume you support lifting all restrictions on July 19th?

pip08456 08-07-2021 22:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085718)
Well they created it, they didn’t roll it out, but I agree on the success. Given the success and the demonstrable evidence that the link between positive cases and deaths has been broken, I sssume you support lifting all restrictions on July 19th?

There's a new variant on the way. I'm sure jfman has something to do with it.:D

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...7&d=1625780958

TheDaddy 08-07-2021 23:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085718)
Well they created it, they didn’t roll it out, but I agree on the success. Given the success and the demonstrable evidence that the link between positive cases and deaths has been broken, I sssume you support lifting all restrictions on July 19th?

Who rolled it out, bozo and his chums or the NHS, the only thing they've got right this whole time is staying out the way and letting the experts get on with it and when they have done they're back to interfering and potentially messing it up once more

Pierre 08-07-2021 23:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36085722)
Who rolled it out

Not scientists

jonbxx 09-07-2021 09:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085723)
Not scientists

The Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation says hi. From their terms of reference;
Quote:

“To advise UK health departments on immunisations for the prevention of infections and/or disease following due consideration of the evidence on the burden of disease, on vaccine safety and efficacy and on the impact and cost effectiveness of immunisation strategies. To consider and identify factors for the successful and effective implementation of immunisation strategies. To identify important knowledge gaps relating to immunisations or immunisation programmes where further research and/or surveillance should be considered.”

tweetiepooh 09-07-2021 10:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
A bit simplistic but if something cock's up it's Boris' fault, if it works it's in spite of Boris.
(Of course from the Boris POV - if it works it because of him, if not he tried but someone else is to blame!) (For Boris you could likely put in any head, politician, boss etc).


Scientists look at the science, economists at the economy and business owners at their company going down the toilet. Individuals look at the empty seat at the table and care much less about the big picture.

jonbxx 09-07-2021 11:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tweetiepooh (Post 36085740)
A bit simplistic but if something cock's up it's Boris' fault, if it works it's in spite of Boris.
(Of course from the Boris POV - if it works it because of him, if not he tried but someone else is to blame!) (For Boris you could likely put in any head, politician, boss etc).


Scientists look at the science, economists at the economy and business owners at their company going down the toilet. Individuals look at the empty seat at the table and care much less about the big picture.

Absolutely right! It annoys me when people have a go at various public health scientists when they they comment on public health, their specialist subject. The economy is not relevant to their subject on the whole. From a public health perspective, the best option for the near future would be a continued lockdown and no one dying of COVID. Economically, having everything open would be the best plan.

Therefore a balance has to be met - how many deaths are an acceptable cost for improved economic activity? That's what we have the Prime Minister for - to make that judgement

OLD BOY 09-07-2021 18:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36085695)
You see the letter in The Lancet from scientists and health experts calling the governments early lifting of restrictions dangerous and unethical with the potential to create a generation afflicted with chronic health problems and disabilities? Still what do they know

Er...vaccinations..

---------- Post added at 18:19 ---------- Previous post was at 18:06 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36085701)
Scientists can only advise, unfortunately its been politicians making the decisions. Not to prepare for a predicted pandemic, not to invest in PPE, not to invest in the NHS, ignore their own advice and get covid themselves and expect everyone to follow the rules that they don't. Scientists aren't to blame for the UK having the highest death toll in Europe.

If you think it would have been better under Labour, you are in cloud cuckoo land.

The predicted pandemic was forecast in the middle of a period of austerity, when making provision for something that might just happen in the future would not have been a priority; failure to invest in PPE was down to NHS procurement, which the government took over when it bècame clear what a pig's ear they had made of it; there was no failure to invest in the NHS (Labour is on record as stating that the amount of extra money put in by the coalition government was 'reckless' in a period of recession); and the scientists themselves were in a muddle about what to do in those early days, even suggesting that allowing the virus to pass through the healthy population was the way forward. Yes, herd immunity!

As for the highest death toll in Europe, I see that other European countries are fast catching up, even though they don't record COVID deaths as thoroughly as we do.

When the final review is concluded, some of you critics will be taken aback when you see that many of your criticisms come to nought.

---------- Post added at 18:37 ---------- Previous post was at 18:19 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36085610)
And the AstraZeneca ones they might well have not bothered.

Link? No, of course not. :rolleyes:

---------- Post added at 18:39 ---------- Previous post was at 18:37 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36085695)
You see the letter in The Lancet from scientists and health experts calling the governments early lifting of restrictions dangerous and unethical with the potential to create a generation afflicted with chronic health problems and disabilities? Still what do they know

Not much more than we do, it seems. They all contradict each other.

---------- Post added at 18:40 ---------- Previous post was at 18:39 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36085708)
Did you see the behaviour in the pubs last night? I predict Covid's coming home.

Unless they were all double vaccinated, of course.

pip08456 09-07-2021 18:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36085767)
Er...vaccinations..

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If you think it would have been better under Labour, you are in cloud cuckoo land.

The predicted pandemic was forecast in the middle of a period of austerity, when making provision for something that might just happen in the future would not have been a priority; failure to invest in PPE was down to NHS procurement, which the government took over when it bècame clear what a pig's ear they had made of it; there was no failure to invest in the NHS (Labour is on record as stating that the amount of extra money put in by the coalition government was 'reckless' in a period of recession); and the scientists themselves were in a muddle about what to do in those early days, even suggesting that allowing the virus to pass through the healthy population was the way forward. Yes, herd immunity!

As for the highest death toll in Europe, I see that other European countries are fast catching up, even though they don't record COVID deaths as thoroughly as we do.

When the final review is concluded, some of you critics will be taken aback when you see that many of your criticisms come to nought.

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Link? No, of course not. :rolleyes:

---------- Post added at 18:39 ---------- Previous post was at 18:37 ----------



Not much more than we do, it seems. They all contradict each other.

---------- Post added at 18:40 ---------- Previous post was at 18:39 ----------



Unless they were all double vaccinated, of course.

Only if you take the raw total. Deaths per 1m population we're not the highest.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...8&d=1625852568

OLD BOY 09-07-2021 19:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36085715)
Well they created a vaccine and rolled it out flawlessly so much so bozo is happy to take the credit, speaking of that berk remind me who scrapped the Cabinet Pandemic Committee six months before the pandemic started. When it comes to advice I'll listen to the experts and you can take your chances with what ever mood bozo is in

Of course the PM is happy to take the credit. You’re happy for him to take the blame for everything that went ‘wrong’ in your book!

The foresight he showed in signing up early to AZ was a master stroke and it has put us ahead of the rest of the world. I’m not surprised that you would rather ignore that rather obvious fact.

TheDaddy 09-07-2021 19:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36085778)
Of course the PM is happy to take the credit. You’re happy for him to take the blame for everything that went ‘wrong’ in your book!

The foresight he showed in signing up early to AZ was a master stroke and it has put us ahead of the rest of the world. I’m not surprised that you would rather ignore that rather obvious

Went wrong, nice way to dismiss tens of thousands of lost lives and I think your ignoring rather more than me to focus on that

Quote:

Typical bad attitude from you. I’m glad you’re not my Daddy.
You and me both, I'd be about 110 years old

Pierre 09-07-2021 20:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36085733)
The Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation says hi. From their terms of reference;

Point to the bit that explains how they rolled it out.

nomadking 09-07-2021 21:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085583)
But if you’re vaccinated:

A) you’re unlikely to get seriously ill

B) your ability to transmit the virus is cut by half after one dose

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-56904993

So if your argument is that 90%+ overwhelming majority of the population should wear masks for a tiny % of people that can’t or won’t be vaccinated.

Well that’s a pretty warped stance to take.

Quote:

Those given a first dose of either the Pfizer or AstraZeneca vaccines - and who became infected three weeks later - were between 38% and 49% less likely to pass the virus on than unvaccinated people, PHE found.
The problem with chance is that the more often you "throw the dice", the more likely an event is going to happen. The more times you throw a pair of dice, the more likely it is a double six is going to be thrown.
Up to date info
Quote:

The UK is experiencing a marked increase in new Covid infections, say experts from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).


Latest data from swab tests in the community suggests one in every 160 people has the virus.


That is up from one in every 250 in the previous week. For England, it is the highest level since mid February.
The more infectious Delta variant now accounts for 99% of cases, according to Public Health England.
...
England's coronavirus R number has risen slightly to between 1.2 and 1.5, which means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 12 and 15 other people.




---------- Post added at 21:31 ---------- Previous post was at 21:27 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36085715)
Well they created a vaccine and rolled it out flawlessly so much so bozo is happy to take the credit, speaking of that berk remind me who scrapped the Cabinet Pandemic Committee six months before the pandemic started. When it comes to advice I'll listen to the experts and you can take your chances with what ever mood bozo is in

Pandemic planning was never a constant never ending thing. It was just updated from time to time. There wasn't a constant stream of new info requiring it to be constantly amended.:rolleyes:

---------- Post added at 21:40 ---------- Previous post was at 21:31 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36085701)
Scientists can only advise, unfortunately its been politicians making the decisions. Not to prepare for a predicted pandemic, not to invest in PPE, not to invest in the NHS, ignore their own advice and get covid themselves and expect everyone to follow the rules that they don't. Scientists aren't to blame for the UK having the highest death toll in Europe.

Scientists, including the WHO, were against the general use of face masks.
Scientists also gave the ok for large scale sporting events to go ahead.


Which countries didn't have a shortage of PPE? The UK had an estimated £60m of stock in preparation for a pandemic. In 2019, the UK was independently judged to be 2nd best prepared in the world for a pandemic.

jonbxx 12-07-2021 10:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085788)
Point to the bit that explains how they rolled it out.

Sorry for the late reply. The JCVI advise the NHS on who should receive the vaccinations and when. See this nice explainer - https://publichealthmatters.blog.gov...d-19-vaccines/

Pierre 12-07-2021 13:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36085956)
Sorry for the late reply. The JCVI advise the NHS on who should receive the vaccinations and when. See this nice explainer - https://publichealthmatters.blog.gov...d-19-vaccines/

Don’t see anything there on the logistics of supply, distribution and implementation of the vaccine programme i.e. rolling it out. From factory to arm.

1andrew1 12-07-2021 15:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
PM holding 5pm briefing today about 19th July changes.

jonbxx 12-07-2021 15:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36085991)
Don’t see anything there on the logistics of supply, distribution and implementation of the vaccine programme i.e. rolling it out. From factory to arm.

Ah, OK. My view on what a vaccine rollout would start from the decisions on who should get it and when, through to jabs in arms and logging that information and ongoing pharmacovigilance. If you're talking about the logistics, then yes, I doubt many scientists delivered vaccines, they bookend the process and manufacture the vaccines.

Mick 12-07-2021 15:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
BREAKING: UK Government confirms that restrictions will be lifted on July 19th.

https://news.sky.com/story/covid-19-...firms-12354394

RichardCoulter 12-07-2021 17:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
They have acknowledged that this will cause cases to rise, but will the NHS not be overwhelmed? This was the whole point of these measures in the first place.

Even though we now have vaccines, there will still be many who become hospitalised.

Sephiroth 12-07-2021 17:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36086062)
They have acknowledged that this will cause cases to rise, but will the NHS not be overwhelmed? This was the whole point of these measures in the first place.

Even though we now have vaccines, there will still be many who become hospitalised.

Chris Witty put a slide up today that showed c. 38,000 cases in hospital when the positive rate was last where it is now. By contrast, the current hospitalisation is less than 10% of previous.

To my mind, the NHS will not be overwhelmed.


RichardCoulter 12-07-2021 17:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36086064)
Chris Witty put a slide up today that showed c. 38,000 cases in hospital when the positive rate was last where it is now. By contrast, the current hospitalisation is less than 10% of previous.

To my mind, the NHS will not be overwhelmed.


Thanks.

Hugh 12-07-2021 18:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Boris Johnson:
Quote:

February 21: "we are embarking on a cautious but irreversible approach."

July 12: "I hope that the roadmap is irreversible, we've always said that we *hope* that the roadmap will be irreversible"
Sajid Javid

Quote:

June 28: "It's going to be irreversible, there's no going back."

July 12: "there is still uncertainty... if the risk matrix changes, for example with variants of concern, we will not hesitate to take the appropriate action."
Irreversible
Quote:

not possible to change; impossible to return to a previous condition
It’s almost as if they know something, but don’t want to tell us… :erm:


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