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Sephiroth 20-02-2024 19:34

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36170624)
Eh?

Are you trying to say that Danes think like Italians, and the Spanish think like Germans, and the Portuguese think like the Irish?

Really?


Paul 20-02-2024 19:55

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36170618)
I though we left the EU to improve the NHS. :confused:

We left becasue more people voted to leave than remain.
I seriously doubt they all had the same reason for doing so.

1andrew1 20-02-2024 22:29

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36170627)
We left becasue more people voted to leave than remain.
I seriously doubt they all had the same reason for doing so.

Spot on! I was being sarcastic in response to this
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36170615)
... and the EU Parliament is gagging for the ability to trump national parliaments. It's why we left the EU.

Of course, jonbxx was able to correct this statement.

Hugh 20-02-2024 22:46

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36170625)
Really?


You said

Quote:

We look like them but don't think like them
implying there was "our way of thinking" and a homogeneous "their way of thinking".

And as for "we look like them", your subtext is fairly obvious…

Sephiroth 21-02-2024 09:54

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36170632)
You said



implying there was "our way of thinking" and a homogeneous "their way of thinking".

And as for "we look like them", your subtext is fairly obvious…

Whatever. A normal person would understand exactly what I said without this "subtext" nonsense.

1andrew1 21-02-2024 18:34

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Bad news for British exporters to Canada. And bad news for Badenoch's reputation.
Quote:

Canada contradicts Kemi Badenoch's claim post-Brexit trade talks are 'ongoing'

Canada said no trade talks are in progress - despite Business Secretary Kemi Badenoch "explicitly" telling MPs discussions "have not broken down".

Asked in the Commons on 29 January how she plans to "avoid a UK tariff war", Ms Badenoch said she wanted to "state explicitly that talks have not broken down".

The business secretary said the two sides "have an ongoing rules-of-origin discussion" in relation to the car tariffs and "we are also having multiple discussions with Canada on cheese".

But this has been disputed by Canada in a letter to the Commons Business Committee dated 16 February.

Mr Goodale wrote that he is "disappointed with the unilateral pause in these negotiations".

A time-limited agreement had also allowed the UK to continue to sell cars without high import taxes, but given the negotiations have paused this is now in doubt, with the terms due to expire at the end of March.

He added: "As far as I'm aware, since the UK announced its pause on January 25, there have been neither negotiations nor technical discussions with respect to any of the outstanding issues - including British access to Canada's Tariff Rate Quotas for cheese and the approaching expiry of cumulation provisions respecting Rules of Origin."

Liam Byrne, chair of the Business Committee, is now demanding Ms Badenoch correct the record.
https://news.sky.com/story/canada-co...dian%20farmers.

pip08456 08-03-2024 16:17

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
1 Attachment(s)
No comment, after all it is the Express.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...8&d=1709911137

Sephiroth 08-03-2024 18:45

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
That's Badenoch out of the running for next leader.

Don't get me wrong, I like Brexit for all the reasons I've previously given. I just want a competent government who can develop the nation in the way Badenoch pretends is happening.

1andrew1 08-03-2024 19:13

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36171698)
That's Badenoch out of the running for next leader.

Don't get me wrong, I like Brexit for all the reasons I've previously given. I just want a competent government who can develop the nation in the way Badenoch pretends is happening.

Badenoch has form and her endorsement of anything is never a good thing.

This B'rexpress front page certainly had me lol-ing so a good way to end the week. Thank you, Pip. :D

You can't put lipstick on a pig whether you're May, Farage, BoJo, Truss, Sunak or even Starmer. The decline in productivity, exchange rate, recession and record high taxation speak louder than Mad Bad. ;)

ianch99 08-03-2024 20:05

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36171703)
Badenoch has form and her endorsement of anything is never a good thing.

This B'rexpress front page certainly had me lol-ing so a good way to end the week. Thank you, Pip. :D

You can't put lipstick on a pig whether you're May, Farage, BoJo, Truss, Sunak or even Starmer. The decline in productivity, exchange rate, recession and record high taxation speak louder than Mad Bad. ;)

I guess it is the cult members go to "news" source.

BTW, I have these wonderful soverinty beans I can sell you? :)

pip08456 08-03-2024 23:03

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36171703)
Badenoch has form and her endorsement of anything is never a good thing.

This B'rexpress front page certainly had me lol-ing so a good way to end the week. Thank you, Pip. :D

You can't put lipstick on a pig whether you're May, Farage, BoJo, Truss, Sunak or even Starmer. The decline in productivity, exchange rate, recession and record high taxation speak louder than Mad Bad. ;)

You're welcome Andrew. Here's something else for you, posted by A.F. Neil.

Quote:

The FT reports: Sterling is the only major developed world currency to strengthen against the dollar this year, driven by a stronger than expected UK economy and growing hopes of imminent US interest rate cuts.

1andrew1 08-03-2024 23:58

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36171704)
I guess it is the cult members go to "news" source.

BTW, I have these wonderful soverinty beans I can sell you? :)

A Twitter comment on it made me laugh as much as the article itself. :D
Quote:

"There will never be a bigger liar in politics than Boris Johnson"

Kemi Badenoch: "Hold my pork pie"
https://twitter.com/MrDarcyDog/statu...64196825035105

Sephiroth 09-03-2024 11:15

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Won’t be too long before Pork Pies get banned along with the humble Bacon Sandwich.

On another tack, the EU isn’t doing too well. The German powerhouse is crumbling - lots of strikes and Germany can no longer underwrite the Euro. Good job we left that lot.

Hugh 09-03-2024 11:44

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36171735)
Won’t be too long before Pork Pies get banned along with the humble Bacon Sandwich.

On another tack, the EU isn’t doing too well. The German powerhouse is crumbling - lots of strikes and Germany can no longer underwrite the Euro. Good job we left that lot.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...9&d=1709981030

mrmistoffelees 09-03-2024 13:02

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
:D :D :D :D

1andrew1 13-03-2024 00:37

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Bears and honey.
Quote:

Exchange chief says Brexit has made investing in the UK harder

Intercontinental’s Jeffrey Sprecher was early backer of EU split but now says London has lost value as a trading centre

Brexit has made it hard to invest in the UK, according to the head of the company behind the New York Stock Exchange — a one-time backer of the UK’s split from the EU.

Jeffrey Sprecher, founder and chief executive of Intercontinental Exchange, said the UK had lost value as a trading centre since leaving the single market, and uncertainty around some post-Brexit regulations had made it difficult to invest in British businesses.

“They still seem to be getting their arms around ‘what does a post-Brexit UK look like from a regulatory standpoint’,” he said on Tuesday. “So it’s hard to make investment decisions for us in either London or continental Europe.”

Sprecher is the latest senior international executive to say that the UK has lost its appeal to investors since voting to leave the EU in 2016. One of the world’s biggest infrastructure investors said in October that Brexit was contributing to the UK’s lack of attractive investment opportunities.

He added that Brexit had “complicated” things for the UK, which had historically been a global trading centre. “There was this international move to seeing London as an access point to Europe,” Sprecher said, adding that he now saw the UK as a “foreign country”, and that investments in the US were easier to make.
https://www.ft.com/content/f027f3ec-...4-89c4ba13879f

1andrew1 25-03-2024 23:03

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Tractors descend on Parliament over 'betrayal' of British farmers in post-Brexit trade deals

Save British Farming claims imported food is falling short of UK standards and farmers are being undercut by their counterparts in the EU who are still receiving subsidies.

Save British Farming claims imported food is falling short of UK standards and farmers are being undercut by their counterparts in the EU who are still receiving subsidies.
https://news.sky.com/story/tractors-...deals-13101822

1andrew1 27-03-2024 22:06

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Remember the good old days when we had an EU-inherited trade deal with Canada? This is no 1st April joke.
Quote:

UK car exports to Canada face 6% tariffs within days as trade dispute deepens

Allies in stand-off on how much EU content can be in vehicles as post-Brexit deal runs out

British car exports to Canada are facing tariffs of more than 6 per cent within days, as a deadlocked trade dispute between the two allies descended into further acrimony on Wednesday.

British government officials said Kemi Badenoch, UK trade secretary, felt like she was banging her head “against a brick wall” as the tariff cliff-edge of April 1 approached.

Tensions escalated last month when Canada denied Badenoch’s claim that trade talks were continuing, even though she had unilaterally suspended them on January 25.

The resulting stand-off means that on April 1 a post-Brexit trade arrangement with Canada will expire, leaving some British car exports facing a 6.1 per cent tariff if they contain significant EU content.
https://www.ft.com/content/51f6afd3-...1-354e089d3081

1andrew1 17-06-2024 20:01

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Sad to see some electors faith in politicians wiped out due to broken Brexit promises. Non-participation in elections weakens democracy.

Quote:

Why do fishermen feel disillusioned after Brexit?

Fishermen in Devon and Cornwall said they had lost trust in politicians after Brexit "I don’t think it matters who I vote for - they're all lying," said fisherman Dave Toy.

He said it was not what he voted for and as a result he did not see any point in voting in the general election. Dave Toy said he did not see a point in voting in the general election

Fishermen said they had wanted Brexit to deliver an increase in fish stock, but instead had got more paperwork. They cited the introduction of a mandatory catch app to record catches before they are landed, new vessel monitoring systems, inspections and the requirement of medical certificates, which was later removed for existing fishermen.

Fisherman Graham Nicholas said life post-Brexit had been difficult. He said he was angry with the Conservatives but he did not believe any of the major parties would provide the help needed by the industry. "We were stitched up by the Conservatives [but] I don't think Labour would have done any better for us," he said. "The main two parties I haven't got any time for at all."

Fish exporter Ian Perkes, in Brixham, Devon, said he voted for Brexit but was not told of the changes it would involve. He said his business had suffered due to the extra costs incurred by paperwork needed to export fish to the EU. Speaking of the Leave campaign's pledges, he said: "Well we’ve obviously realised now that they didn’t have a clue.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c066r811z7ro

Pierre 17-06-2024 21:42

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36177332)
Sad to see some electors faith in politicians wiped out due to broken Brexit promises. Non-participation in elections weakens democracy.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c066r811z7ro

Hmmm

Quote:

Fishermen said they had wanted Brexit to deliver an increase in fish stock, but instead had got more paperwork. They cited the introduction of a mandatory catch app to record catches before they are landed
An app, an app that just replaces logs. They’ve always had to record their catch. To move it from paper to an app, is nothing to do with Brexit, it would’ve happened anyway.

Quote:

new vessel monitoring systems,
The only “new” system I am aware of is iVMS for the U12m inshore boats. All the larger boats have had VMS and AIS for a decade. Again nothing to with Brexit, if we were still in the EU iVMS would have been rolled out.

Quote:

inspections
A Bit vague, but I’m sure they were inspected before

Quote:

and the requirement of medical certificates, which was later removed for existing fishermen.
A measure introduced and then removed.

The issue here is, the fisherman thought Brexit would = increased quota, and it didn’t. The other stuff is nothing to do with Brexit.

1andrew1 17-06-2024 21:56

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36177334)
Hmmm

An app, an app that just replaces logs. They’ve always had to record their catch. To move it from paper to an app, is nothing to do with Brexit, it would’ve happened anyway.

The only “new” system I am aware of is iVMS for the U12m inshore boats. All the larger boats have had VMS and AIS for a decade. Again nothing to with Brexit, if we were still in the EU iVMS would have been rolled out.

A Bit vague, but I’m sure they were inspected before

A measure introduced and then removed.

The issue here is, the fisherman thought Brexit would = increased quota,
and it didn’t. The other stuff is nothing to do with Brexit.

A good point on quotas not being increased.

Exporting to Europe has certainly resulted in more paperwork.

I don't know the detail of their other claims but doubt they would make them up.

TheDaddy 18-06-2024 14:51

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36177337)
A good point on quotas not being increased.

Exporting to Europe has certainly resulted in more paperwork.

I don't know the detail of their other claims but doubt they would make them up.

No of course you don't know the detail of their other claims because you're not a Cornish fisherman anymore than Pierre is but if brexit taught us anything it's we're sick of experts and know better than them, besides we keep being told everyone knew what they voted for do it's hard to have much sympathy for them

Ms NTL 25-06-2024 16:09

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
New York Museum of modern art. Exbibit


BREXIT

TheDaddy 25-06-2024 16:30

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ms NTL (Post 36177791)
New York Museum of modern art. Exbibit


BREXIT

I thought it'd be a steaming turd but that'll do, not even got any fish in it :(

Chris 25-06-2024 16:34

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ms NTL (Post 36177791)
New York Museum of modern art. Exbibit


BREXIT

Clever how they collected stuff you can only get if you’re in the EU oh hang on a minute …

1andrew1 03-12-2024 17:17

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Let's hope Sir Steir can get a better deal for us here. It would, um, land well with farmers. ;)
Quote:

Brexit deals £3bn blow to UK food exports as Starmer urged to strike deal with Brussels

British food sales to the EU have fallen by almost a fifth since the end of the Brexit transition period, a new report shows

British food sales to the EU have fallen by almost a fifth since Brexit, a new report shows, with campaigners calling on Sir Keir Starmer to urgently cut red tape holding back exporters.

New requirements for physical, documentary and ID checks have complicated food trade between the UK and Europe, leading to a 16.3 per cent drop each year in food exports to the EU, the Centre for Inclusive Trade Policy (CITP) found.

The drop-off has meant a £3bn hit to food exports on average in each of the three years since the end of the Brexit transition period, the report found...

The report piles pressure on Sir Keir ahead of further talks with EU leaders early next year and the renewal of the Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA) underpinning UK-EU relations later in 2025.

But the PM has drawn strict red lines around a return to the single market, customs union or the EU itself.

Liz Webster, founder of the Save British Farming campaign, told The Independent that British farmers are “desperate to be set free” of the red tape “gumming up trade with our biggest market”.

“Brexit has delivered all pain with no gain for exporters and importers,” she added.

But Ms Webster said the report shows the difficulty of a “have-your-cake-and-eat-it Brexit”, with the illusive concept of sovereignty and major trade deals not marrying with the rules of the EU single market.

She said: “It is abundantly clear that the easier and vastly more popular alternative to complex and difficult SPS negotiations necessitates Keir Starmer dropping his unpopular red lines on Brexit and embracing the journey back into the single market and customs union.

“It’s way past time to admit that Brexit is a failed experiment.”
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-b2657424.html

TheDaddy 03-12-2024 19:57

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36187067)
Let's hope Sir Steir can get a better deal for us here. It would, um, land well with farmers. ;)


https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-b2657424.html

Piss off Liz, regulations were slashed on day one, it's what we voted for and it was the easiest deal in history because we held all the cards

Pierre 03-12-2024 19:59

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

It’s way past time to admit that Brexit is a failed experiment
Brexit is not an experiment. It was a simple directive by a majority of the U.K. population.

Government’s job is make it work to the best of our interests, not all preferable outcomes will be possible.

Hugh 03-12-2024 20:31

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
1 Attachment(s)
A "majority of the U.K. population" would have been 23,250,001*, not 17,410,742…

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1733254176

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Resu...hip_referendum

*voting population of the U.K.

papa smurf 03-12-2024 20:46

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
i see the pain of losing is still strong

Paul 03-12-2024 21:24

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36187087)
A "majority of the U.K. population" would have been 23,250,001*, not 17,410,742…

The majority who voted, as you well know. :rolleyes:

jfman 03-12-2024 22:34

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36187086)
Brexit is not an experiment. It was a simple directive by a majority of the U.K. population.

Government’s job is make it work to the best of our interests, not all preferable outcomes will be possible.

Unless of course a government is elected with a mandate otherwise.

Hom3r 03-12-2024 22:40

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36187087)
A "majority of the U.K. population" would have been 23,250,001*, not 17,410,742…



https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Resu...hip_referendum

*voting population of the U.K.


Well no one will know what the 13,000,000 odd would have voted for.


They have ZERO complaints as they didn't bother to vote.

Hugh 04-12-2024 00:17

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36187089)
The majority who voted, as you well know. :rolleyes:

Not what he said/typed…

I can only respond to what people post, not what others think they may have meant to post (as I’m not telepathic).

I even mitigated it by only including the voting population, not the actual population.

Paul 04-12-2024 02:07

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36187098)
I can only respond to what people post, not what others think they may have meant to post (as I’m not telepathic).

Since I dont believe you're that stupid, I know full well that you knew exactly what was meant, as I'm quite sure did everyone else.

papa smurf 04-12-2024 09:03

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 36187091)
Well no one will know what the 13,000,000 odd would have voted for.


They have ZERO complaints as they didn't bother to vote.

you have to be in it to win it

ianch99 04-12-2024 10:57

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 36187091)
Well no one will know what the 13,000,000 odd would have voted for.


They have ZERO complaints as they didn't bother to vote.

But we do know how people think today:

In hindsight, do you think Britain was right or wrong to vote to leave the European Union?

The EU transition period ended on Dec 31st 2020. Since then, do you think Brexit has gone well or badly?

Large majority of people think it has gone badly and we were wrong to leave.

The good thing about democracies is that they can change their minds. The evidence is compelling (£40 billion loss per year, etc.) and with the upcoming Trump Presidency, the UK will need to choose which bloc it should be aligning with. The answer is clear ...

Chris 04-12-2024 11:19

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

with the upcoming Trump Presidency, the UK will need to choose which bloc it should be aligning with. The answer is clear ...
This is a false dichotomy.

As an independent trading nation we are free to align wherever is in our interests and there’s no reason why we should be forced to pick one trading zone over another.

Pointing to Trump as a reason not to pursue good trading relations with the USA is also to fundamentally misunderstand the deep strategic and cultural ties between the UK and the USA that are on an entirely different level than anything a president who will be on the scene for no more than the next 4 years can undo.

Pierre 04-12-2024 13:42

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36187090)
Unless of course a government is elected with a mandate otherwise.

of course, we live in a democracy

---------- Post added at 12:42 ---------- Previous post was at 12:41 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36187098)
Not what he said/typed…

I can only respond to what people post, not what others think they may have meant to post (as I’m not telepathic).

I even mitigated it by only including the voting population, not the actual population.

You think I meant Under 5's? or something?

papa smurf 04-12-2024 14:04

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36187118)
of course, we live in a democracy

---------- Post added at 12:42 ---------- Previous post was at 12:41 ----------



You think I meant Under 5's? or something?

Age or iQ?

just asking for a friend

ianch99 04-12-2024 14:10

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36187112)
This is a false dichotomy.

As an independent trading nation we are free to align wherever is in our interests and there’s no reason why we should be forced to pick one trading zone over another.

Pointing to Trump as a reason not to pursue good trading relations with the USA is also to fundamentally misunderstand the deep strategic and cultural ties between the UK and the USA that are on an entirely different level than anything a president who will be on the scene for no more than the next 4 years can undo.

I disagree. Being a small nation when compared to these trading blocs, we need to ensure our strategic and economic interests are aligned with the trading partner that best meets our needs and best fits our values.

A trade deal with a US on a Trump trajectory that diverges from the need to trade efficiently with the EU requires a clear choice of alignment.

Chris 04-12-2024 14:18

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36187122)
I disagree. Being a small nation when compared to these trading blocs, we need to ensure our strategic and economic interests are aligned with the trading partner that best meets our needs and best fits our values.

A trade deal with a US on a Trump trajectory that diverges from the need to trade efficiently with the EU requires a clear choice of alignment.

Can you illustrate why you believe these two things are fundamentally incompatible?

ianch99 04-12-2024 16:34

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36187123)
Can you illustrate why you believe these two things are fundamentally incompatible?

One example is if a US trade mandates changes in food standards e.g. hormone-treated beef, etc. then these could compromise our food exports to the EU.

To my mind if you seek to harmonise regulatory alignment with the EU to reduce the ongoing costs of Brexit then you would find it very difficult to make changes due to US trade demands and still square the circle.

Chris 04-12-2024 16:50

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36187125)
One example is if a US trade mandates changes in food standards e.g. hormone-treated beef, etc. then these could compromise our food exports to the EU.

No - your assumptions are based on a mindset that’s still within the EU, and we are not. When we were in, then we were obliged to harmonise regulations such that they affected every business whether it was an exporter or not. But we are not in the EU any more. When you sign a trade deal with another country or bloc external to your own, you do so either on the basis of mutual recognition of standards, or else you accept that goods exported to that bloc must meet their standards. You do not, however, have to align your non-exported goods and services with that bloc. So it is entirely possible to sign trade deals in parallel with both the USA and the EU, even for exactly the same goods and services. It is then up to exporters to decide who to sell to.

Quote:

To my mind if you seek to harmonise regulatory alignment with the EU to reduce the ongoing costs of Brexit then you would find it very difficult to make changes due to US trade demands and still square the circle.
And this is why your assumptions are faulty - you’re not thinking in terms of trade deals, you’re thinking in terms of realignment in such a way as to make the UK a semi-detached member of the single market, along some variation of thr EEA model perhaps.

Pierre 04-12-2024 16:55

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36187125)
One example is if a US trade mandates changes in food standards e.g. hormone-treated beef, etc. then these could compromise our food exports to the EU.

To my mind if you seek to harmonise regulatory alignment with the EU to reduce the ongoing costs of Brexit then you would find it very difficult to make changes due to US trade demands and still square the circle.

It's unlikely the US would demand we only sell hormone treated beef, they may demand we buy it though.

in any event let's take that argument at face value.

Do you think it is beyond the capability of our farmers to produce beef for both markets?

And it may be that the US market for hormone-treated beef eclipses the EU market, so we may not care if it compromised our EU exports.

Many positions can be held.

Markets decide.

TheDaddy 04-12-2024 17:14

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36187126)
No - your assumptions are based on a mindset that’s still within the EU, and we are not. When we were in, then we were obliged to harmonise regulations such that they affected every business whether it was an exporter or not. But we are not in the EU any more. When you sign a trade deal with another country or bloc external to your own, you do so either on the basis of mutual recognition of standards, or else you accept that goods exported to that bloc must meet their standards. You do not, however, have to align your non-exported goods and services with that bloc. So it is entirely possible to sign trade deals in parallel with both the USA and the EU, even for exactly the same goods and services. It is then up to exporters to decide who to sell to.



And this is why your assumptions are faulty - you’re not thinking in terms of trade deals, you’re thinking in terms of realignment in such a way as to make the UK a semi-detached member of the single market, along some variation of thr EEA model perhaps.


It's true, we don't have to follow their regulations, that's why our bottle caps aren't tethered to the bottle like their's...

papa smurf 04-12-2024 17:15

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre;36187127[B
]It's unlikely the US would demand we only sell hormone treated beef, they may demand we buy it though.
[/B]
in any event let's take that argument at face value.

Do you think it is beyond the capability of our farmers to produce beef for both markets?

And it may be that the US market for hormone-treated beef eclipses the EU market, so we may not care if it compromised our EU exports.

Many positions can be held.

Markets decide.



if it was in the shops and labled as hormone treated and cheap i think many would be interested in buying it ,it's not as if we live off beef, it's a luxury for many.

Chris 04-12-2024 17:34

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36187129)
It's true, we don't have to follow their regulations, that's why our bottle caps aren't tethered to the bottle like their's...

In many cases ours aren’t, because we’re not in the EU, and the directive that banned them from 3 July 2024 in all EU member states doesn’t apply here - rather neatly making my point, thank you ;)

Of course many manufacturers will use the EU approved caps anyway out of simple efficiency, but because we’re not in the EU, if there is sufficient customer resistance to them, they’re free not to.

I happen to think in this case they’re a pretty good idea.

ianch99 04-12-2024 18:17

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36187126)
No - your assumptions are based on a mindset that’s still within the EU, and we are not. When we were in, then we were obliged to harmonise regulations such that they affected every business whether it was an exporter or not. But we are not in the EU any more. When you sign a trade deal with another country or bloc external to your own, you do so either on the basis of mutual recognition of standards, or else you accept that goods exported to that bloc must meet their standards. You do not, however, have to align your non-exported goods and services with that bloc. So it is entirely possible to sign trade deals in parallel with both the USA and the EU, even for exactly the same goods and services. It is then up to exporters to decide who to sell to.



And this is why your assumptions are faulty - you’re not thinking in terms of trade deals, you’re thinking in terms of realignment in such a way as to make the UK a semi-detached member of the single market, along some variation of thr EEA model perhaps.

I think that your assumptions are faulty - based on a mindset derived from dogma. You assume that our current position is permanent. It is not, it depends on the needs of the economy and the desires of the electorate in future elections.

Chris 04-12-2024 18:34

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36187138)
I think that your assumptions are faulty - based on a mindset derived from dogma. You assume that our current position is permanent. It is not, it depends on the needs of the economy and the desires of the electorate in future elections.

Now you’re sidestepping the question.

Whether or not there’s a move to rejoin the EU in future, that is not in view now. All that is on the table for the next 5-10 years is the question of improved trading relations with the EU and the US. Given that we are not going to rejoin the EU during this parliament (or the next - convince me otherwise) then the question is, what form of trade deal could we make with either EU or the US that would necessarily involve us pivoting away from one of them?

The only form of trade deal that would necessitate that would be a wholly self-defeating regulatory alignment that committed us to adopting regulations on domestic production even on goods that were not for export, and/or restricted us from importing into our market goods that would be banned in another. And the only way that state of affairs could possibly come about would be if we were looking to sign up for some version of association with the EEA that most likely dropped us back in a customs union with the EU.

Sorry but you still haven’t come close to defending your assertion that we have a choice to make, per your earlier statement that a “trade deal with a US on a Trump trajectory that diverges from the need to trade efficiently with the EU requires a clear choice of alignment.”

No trade deal requires such a choice to be made - only negotiations for membership of the EEA would cause that. And it is not necessary to join the EEA in order to work out a sensible trading arrangement with the EU. Which is just as well, because that’s clearly not on the table.

ianch99 04-12-2024 23:27

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36187139)
Now you’re sidestepping the question.

Whether or not there’s a move to rejoin the EU in future, that is not in view now. All that is on the table for the next 5-10 years is the question of improved trading relations with the EU and the US. Given that we are not going to rejoin the EU during this parliament (or the next - convince me otherwise) then the question is, what form of trade deal could we make with either EU or the US that would necessarily involve us pivoting away from one of them?

The only form of trade deal that would necessitate that would be a wholly self-defeating regulatory alignment that committed us to adopting regulations on domestic production even on goods that were not for export, and/or restricted us from importing into our market goods that would be banned in another. And the only way that state of affairs could possibly come about would be if we were looking to sign up for some version of association with the EEA that most likely dropped us back in a customs union with the EU.

Sorry but you still haven’t come close to defending your assertion that we have a choice to make, per your earlier statement that a “trade deal with a US on a Trump trajectory that diverges from the need to trade efficiently with the EU requires a clear choice of alignment.”

No trade deal requires such a choice to be made - only negotiations for membership of the EEA would cause that. And it is not necessary to join the EEA in order to work out a sensible trading arrangement with the EU. Which is just as well, because that’s clearly not on the table.

If the UK wants to mitigate the GDP impact of Brexit, it needs to harmonise, to the best it can, the trade alignment with the EU. Doing this will preclude certain concessions that may be asked by a new US trade deal e.g. food standards. To pretend a ¨cake and eat approach" is possible is disingenuous. Here's a Trump aide saying the same thing:

Britain should align with US on trade rather than pursue EU, says Trump aide

You are also ignoring the facts .. the reality where, as time passes, people who wanting Brexit (for what ever reason) move on and are replaced by those who were disenfranchised in 2016 and have desires to align with the EU (and not the US).

The polling slowly moves away from the promised sunlit uplands and towards pragmatic reality. The promises have not been delivered but the harm has. People will start to ask why are we poorer and, after the trauma of 2016 fades, will demand a return to normality?

Dogma does not drive change in the end .. reality & pragmatism does. As the saying goes: ¨Its the economy, stupid¨*

*https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/It%27s_the_economy,_stupid#:~:text=%22The%20econom y%2C%20stupid%22%20is,Bush

Chris 04-12-2024 23:43

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36187160)
If the UK wants to mitigate the GDP impact of Brexit, it needs to harmonise, to the best it can, the trade alignment with the EU. Doing this will preclude certain concessions that may be asked by a new US trade deal e.g. food standards. To pretend a ¨cake and eat approach" is possible is disingenuous. Here's a Trump aide saying the same thing:

Britain should align with US on trade rather than pursue EU, says Trump aide

You are also ignoring the facts .. the reality where, as time passes, people who wanting Brexit (for what ever reason) move on and are replaced by those who were disenfranchised in 2016 and have desires to align with the EU (and not the US).

The polling slowly moves away from the promised sunlit uplands and towards pragmatic reality. The promises have not been delivered but the harm has. People will start to ask why are we poorer and, after the trauma of 2016 fades, will demand a return to normality?

Dogma does not drive change in the end .. reality & pragmatism does. As the saying goes: ¨Its the economy, stupid¨*

*https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/It%27s_the_economy,_stupid#:~:text=%22The%20econom y%2C%20stupid%22%20is,Bush

Endlessly repeating the same flawed argument doesn’t improve it. ;)

You still haven’t demonstrated why the UK would have to adopt regulations affecting domestic production and consumption in order to forge a better trade treaty with the EU. The only form of trade deal that would impose some or all of the EU rule book on British producers making goods that aren’t destined for the EU, or British consumers buying goods made anywhere except the EU, would be an EEA/customs union type agreement. And that isn’t a trade deal, it’s membership of an EU-adjacent supranational organisation that isn’t on the table. And such membership wouldn’t just preclude trade deals with the US, it would kill all of them, for the same reasons we weren’t able to make deals with anyone else in the world while we were in the EU.

Whether people have changed their minds about Brexit is neither here nor there at this point. Keir Starmer has already called it, correctly in my view. When pursuing trade deals, it is not necessary to make an either-or choice between the US and the EU. Those that do so are, typically, confusing the US with Donald Trump. Trump may be awful, but he isn’t America, and he won’t be around after 2028, assuming he even lasts that long.

Mick 05-12-2024 02:55

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36187160)
If the UK wants to mitigate the GDP impact of Brexit, it needs to harmonise, to the best it can, the trade alignment with the EU. Doing this will preclude certain concessions that may be asked by a new US trade deal e.g. food standards. To pretend a ¨cake and eat approach" is possible is disingenuous. Here's a Trump aide saying the same thing:

Britain should align with US on trade rather than pursue EU, says Trump aide

You are also ignoring the facts .. the reality where, as time passes, people who wanting Brexit (for what ever reason) move on and are replaced by those who were disenfranchised in 2016 and have desires to align with the EU (and not the US).

The polling slowly moves away from the promised sunlit uplands and towards pragmatic reality. The promises have not been delivered but the harm has. People will start to ask why are we poorer and, after the trauma of 2016 fades, will demand a return to normality?

Dogma does not drive change in the end .. reality & pragmatism does. As the saying goes: ¨Its the economy, stupid¨*

*https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/It%27s_the_economy,_stupid#:~:text=%22The%20econom y%2C%20stupid%22%20is,Bush

Dream on, I still want to remain outside of the corrupted EU & I’m not poorer, speak for yourself.

Itshim 09-12-2024 20:36

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36187172)
Dream on, I still want to remain outside of the corrupted EU & I’m not poorer, speak for yourself.

Have to agree being outside it has done me no harm , saying that had no problem with common market. It's the likes of Hungary * telling the UK what it can or cannot do. Perhaps via its courts etc. Don't forget UK would have no hope of rejoining with joining the euro, in my view :p: * or any other European country can be placed here.:dozey:

1andrew1 09-12-2024 23:46

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Won't be easy for Sir Kier.

Quote:

EU will demand early fish deal in UK reset talks

Requirement among red lines drawn up by Brussels ahead of 2025 negotiations

Brussels is drawing up tough red lines for its coming ‘reset’ negotiations with the UK — including demanding an early deal on fishing rights and repeating the “no cherry-picking” mantra — according to internal discussion documents.

UK ministers, including chancellor Rachel Reeves who will travel to Brussels on Monday, have said they are seeking a “very ambitious” reset of the UK’s security and trading arrangements with the EU when talks begin next year.

However a 19-page working paper setting out EU interests observed there were “limited” economic gains on offer as a result of the UK’s own red lines ruling out rejoining the EU’s single market or customs union, or accepting free movement of people.

“A significant further reduction of trade frictions with a close trading partner, such as the United Kingdom, would be in the interest of the European Union. This, however, would require a different model for co-operation,” it said.

The document circulated to EU members, and seen by the Financial Times, summarised the findings of several weeks of internal EU Commission seminars to discuss policy positions towards the UK on issues such as fishing rights, youth mobility, energy co-operation and trading arrangements.

The paper, prepared by Hungary as it holds the rotating presidency of the bloc, reiterated the “no cherry-picking” principles the European Commission set out in 2017 for dealing with the UK, and said they will remain “core guidance” in the upcoming talks.

It also warns that the UK must agree to a rapid deal on fish — as well as the full implementation of the existing EU-UK agreement including the Windsor framework on post-Brexit trading arrangements for Northern Ireland — if it wants deeper co-operation in other areas.
https://www.ft.com/content/327d7bd9-...a-68fe89b1c105

Pierre 10-12-2024 11:41

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36187402)
Won't be easy for Sir Kier.


........ or accepting free movement of people............

I'd happily throw that on the negotiating table in return for a proper crack down on small boats.


I'd welcome any Poles back with open arms, rather than a boat load of jihadi islamists.

Chris 10-12-2024 12:50

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36187402)

‘No cherry-picking’ insists the EU, as it attempts to pick the cherry that is UK territorial waters and exclusive economic zone. Yet any trade deal is cherry picking by its very definition, as it attempts to give each side something it really wants while avoiding stuff it really doesn’t.

The europhiliac parts of our news media are, I see, still gleefully reporting what the EU wants and demands and expects as if they’re going to be the only ones around the table when it comes time to negotiate. That item is so tilted towards the assumption that the almighty EU must get what it wants it might as well have been written by the greatest Europhile of the lot, Katya Adler of the BBC. Gosh, I almost miss her breathless dispatches from Brussels, for the sheer artistry of her regime apologetics.

The UK is not going to join the EEA, it is not going to rejoin the customs union and it is not going to submit to free movement. Even discussing any one of those things would be politically explosive and would dominate the debate all the way to the Great Labour Wipeout of 2029. They might find some way of oiling the wheels and improving the deal but until the EU stops trying to use the UK as a way of threatening any other member state that might think about leaving, and starts thinking in terms of making a decent, workable trade deal with an important third party, nothing very much is going to change.

Escapee 10-12-2024 13:31

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36187417)
‘No cherry-picking’ insists the EU,

Cherry picking is OK when the UK is the destination of those who claim to be fleeing war torn zones.

jfman 10-12-2024 13:37

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
At some point - and it won’t be 2029 - someone will credibly float rejoining. The question then is whether it hits a critical mass to become politically palatable by the later end of the 2030s by which time the last referendum will have been almost 25 years earlier.

None of this tinkering round the edges is going to provide a palatable outcome for anyone in the interim.

Leaving was very much a niche political position only 10 years before the referendum. So things can move (relatively) fast.

Hugh 10-12-2024 13:49

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Escapee (Post 36187420)
Cherry picking is OK when the UK is the destination of those who claim to be fleeing war torn zones.

Not sure what the relevance of that comment is, as the refugees/asylum seekers aren’t EU citizens…

1andrew1 10-12-2024 14:34

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36187421)
At some point - and it won’t be 2029 - someone will credibly float rejoining. The question then is whether it hits a critical mass to become politically palatable by the later end of the 2030s by which time the last referendum will have been almost 25 years earlier.

None of this tinkering round the edges is going to provide a palatable outcome for anyone in the interim.

Leaving was very much a niche political position only 10 years before the referendum. So things can move (relatively) fast.

I agree. Whilst polling still favours rejoining the EU last time I saw the polls, it's too divisive an issue for any mainstream party to advocate for at the next election.

jfman 10-12-2024 18:07

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36187427)
I agree. Whilst polling still favours rejoining the EU last time I saw the polls, it's too divisive an issue for any mainstream party to advocate for at the next election.

Eventually the population will tire of discussing how we “reset” our relationship with the EU - as we speak those conversations are now almost 8 years old. So we either end up out under terms the EU permit or in.

Pierre 10-12-2024 20:16

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36187421)
At some point - and it won’t be 2029 - someone will credibly float rejoining. The question then is whether it hits a critical mass to become politically palatable by the later end of the 2030s by which time the last referendum will have been almost 25 years earlier.

None of this tinkering round the edges is going to provide a palatable outcome for anyone in the interim.

Leaving was very much a niche political position only 10 years before the referendum. So things can move (relatively) fast.

Who knows what the EU, or the wider Geo-political landscape, will look like in the late 2030’s

1andrew1 10-12-2024 20:50

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36187457)
Who knows what the EU, or the wider Geo-political landscape, will look like in the late 2030’s

Despite the predictions on here of countries like the Netherlands and Ireland leaving, the EU has proved pretty resilient. I don't see its membership changing much over the next ten years, maybe a couple of small additions. As for the geopolitical landscape, that's somewhat harder to tie down than a trade deal with the US.

papa smurf 10-12-2024 20:53

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36187458)
Despite the predictions on here of countries like the Netherlands and Ireland leaving, the EU has proved pretty resilient. I don't see its membership changing much over the next ten years, maybe a couple of small additions. As for the geopolitical landscape, that's somewhat harder to tie down than a trade deal with the US.

you didn't see the UK leaving but we did:)

1andrew1 10-12-2024 21:03

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36187460)
you didn't see the UK leaving but we did:)

It was even Stevens. Not sure who 'we' is but if there's royalty in the house, mine's a pint! :D

papa smurf 10-12-2024 21:07

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36187461)
It was even Stevens. Not sure who 'we' is but if there's royalty in the house, mine's a pint! :D

We British

Pierre 10-12-2024 21:19

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36187458)
Despite the predictions on here of countries like the Netherlands and Ireland leaving, the EU has proved pretty resilient. I don't see its membership changing much over the next ten years, maybe a couple of small additions. As for the geopolitical landscape, that's somewhat harder to tie down than a trade deal with the US.

Maybe no change, or little change, in membership. I was thinking more about who call the tune. Germany and France in decline, Eastern European countries getting stronger, refuting mass migration and the issues that brings.

Who knows what it will all look like?

papa smurf 10-12-2024 21:25

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36187466)
Maybe no change, or little change, in membership. I was thinking more about who call the tune. Germany and France in decline, Eastern European countries getting stronger, refuting mass migration and the issues that brings.

Who knows what it will all look like?

A bureaucratic nightmare like it is now

ianch99 11-12-2024 23:48

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36187427)
I agree. Whilst polling still favours rejoining the EU last time I saw the polls, it's too divisive an issue for any mainstream party to advocate for at the next election.

I'd agree with this thinking. The demographics make rejoining inevitable - see: https://yorkshirebylines.co.uk/news/...hics-of-rejoin.

jfman 12-12-2024 07:32

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Reminds me of the Disco Stu sketch in The Simpsons.

Quote:

Did you know that disco record sales were up 400% for the year ending 1976, if these trends continue...AY!

Itshim 12-12-2024 08:31

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36187467)
A bureaucratic nightmare like it is now

So true:D

papa smurf 12-12-2024 08:39

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
I think the EU is still accepting Klingons if any of you want to live there

1andrew1 12-12-2024 12:36

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36187467)
A bureaucratic nightmare like it is now

I fear your dislike for our country's European allies may blind you to the facts. The UK is the 77th least bureaucratic country in the World, well behind many EU countries like Ireland, Spain, Netherlands, Belgium, Italy and France.
https://www.usnews.com/news/best-cou...oogle_vignette

papa smurf 12-12-2024 13:01

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36187576)
I fear your dislike for our country's European allies may blind you to the facts. The UK is the 77th least bureaucratic country in the World, well behind many EU countries like Ireland, Spain, Netherlands, Belgium, Italy and France.
https://www.usnews.com/news/best-cou...oogle_vignette

1 i was referring to the EU as a bureaucratic nightmare
2 i have no dislike of Europeans the mother of my children is half Italian and moved here from Denmark just before i met her

Itshim 12-12-2024 16:01

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36187576)
I fear your dislike for our country's European allies may blind you to the facts. The UK is the 77th least bureaucratic country in the World, well behind many EU countries like Ireland, Spain, Netherlands, Belgium, Italy and France.
https://www.usnews.com/news/best-cou...oogle_vignette

Surely you are just confirming that the EU is a bureaucratic nightmare:D

papa smurf 12-12-2024 16:10

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Itshim (Post 36187592)
Surely you are just confirming that the EU is a bureaucratic nightmare:D

proving remain didn't know what they where voting for

Hugh 12-12-2024 17:43

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36187594)
proving remain didn't know what they where voting for

Oh, the irony…

1andrew1 12-12-2024 19:20

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Itshim (Post 36187592)
Surely you are just confirming that the EU is a bureaucratic nightmare:D

Not sure you've understood the rankings. We're only 77th best. Most EU countries are far less bureaucratic than us. That includes Spain, Portugal, France, Italy, etc.

---------- Post added at 18:20 ---------- Previous post was at 18:17 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36187603)
Oh, the irony…

One born every minute, bless 'em. :batty:

Itshim 12-12-2024 20:11

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36187610)
Not sure you've understood the rankings. We're only 77th best. Most EU countries are far less bureaucratic than us. That includes Spain, Portugal, France, Italy, etc.

---------- Post added at 18:20 ---------- Previous post was at 18:17 ----------


One born every minute, bless 'em. :batty:

Misread the quote , must be good being so god like:dozey: still I am quite happy with all my lights on and the heating at a constant 22 c 24 hrs a day so I take batty over sad any time. :shocked:

Russ 14-12-2024 18:05

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
In other news the amazing new CPTPP trade deal is about to begin. Can’t wait for this bro meet or exceed the deal we had the EU:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-b2664101.html

ianch99 17-12-2024 12:03

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Russ (Post 36187700)
In other news the amazing new CPTPP trade deal is about to begin. Can’t wait for this bro meet or exceed the deal we had the EU:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-b2664101.html

Have you noticed how all the old Vote Leave gang have gone oh so quiet on how well our new "Global Britain" trade deals have done :)

What is very funny is that even Chatham House, a think tank funded by the UK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office, says:

https://www.chathamhouse.org/2023/03...ptpp-strategic

Quote:

But the economic benefit of joining is minimal and does not compensate for the cost of leaving the European Union (EU).

According to the UK government’s own projections, the estimated long-run increase in its GDP from joining CPTPP is 0.08 per cent. Moreover, the UK already has bilateral free trade agreements (FTAs) with nine of the eleven current CPTPP members, which limits potential economic effects.

Russ 17-12-2024 12:15

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Welcome to Bullshitting Boris’ Golden Age for Britain.

papa smurf 17-12-2024 12:32

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
This'll cheer you poor little darlings up
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jg3sEE18WsE

Kursk 17-12-2024 19:05

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Russ (Post 36187820)
Welcome to Bullshitting Boris’ Golden Age for Britain.

Aw Russ, Boris is yesterday, the Cons are yesterday, the EU is yesterday.
All our troubles are so far away.
Now that Labour are here to stay....

....you're not gonna bang the old "it was them mammy; it's all their fault :bigcry:" for the next 5 years are you?

Strewth.
:xmas:

Russ 17-12-2024 19:12

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Not at all. I blame whoever put us in this position, sorry it wasn’t Labour. Do keep up.

Kursk 17-12-2024 19:14

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Russ (Post 36187843)
Not at all. I blame whoever put us in this position, sorry it wasn’t Labour. Do keep up.

Hahaaaaaaar! It gives me great pleasure to see you paraphrasing me. Cut deep did it Russ? :D

Russ 17-12-2024 19:21

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Not really, I said it to you several months ago to which you replied. Impressed that I live in your head rent free

papa smurf 17-12-2024 19:30

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
I love a good bromance it's so heart-warming:hugs:

Paul 17-12-2024 19:37

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
:zzz:

1andrew1 18-12-2024 15:52

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Revealed: Brexit has reduced UK exports by £27bn, new report claims

A damning report has revealed that British exports have been hit with a £27 billion loss as a result of Brexit.

The paper by the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) has found that Boris Johnson’s Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA) has reduced total goods exports from the UK by an estimated £27bn (or 6.4 per cent) in 2022 – due to a 13.2 per cent fall in the value of goods exported to the EU.

It comes as the government prepares to open talks in the new year for a Brexit deal reset with the EU but is being pressed to make significant compromises on allowing the European Court of Justice to have jurisdiction in the UK and allowing free movement for young people.

The CEP, based at the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), uses data from more than 100,000 firms to estimate the gap between the actual value of exports under the TCA and what would have been expected had the UK remained in the EU.

It finds that 14 per cent of firms (around 16,400 firms) that had previously exported to the EU stopped doing so after the TCA came into force in January 2021.

The report claims that among firms that continued exporting to the EU, the TCA reduced the average value of EU exports by 30 per cent for the smallest fifth of firms (with six or fewer employees) and by 15 percent for the middle fifth (between 17 and 40 employees).
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/othe...d=BingNewsSerp

Chris 18-12-2024 16:27

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
1 Attachment(s)
Or, for a slightly more balanced piece of work that isn’t an obvious lobbying position ahead of next year’s UK-EU negotiations, here’s a piece from the House of Commons Library charting the UK’s total EU and non-EU exports, adjusted for inflation.

https://researchbriefings.files.parl...1/CBP-7851.pdf

It includes this useful cautionary note on pages 10-11:

Quote:

UK goods exports to the EU have not recovered to pre-Brexit levels. Goods exports to the EU exceeded £170 billion in 2017, 2018 and 2019 but have not done so in any calendar year since and were £153 billion in 2023 (see table below).

It is worth noting that UK exports of goods to the EU were growing quite slowly
before Brexit and the pandemic, being only 9% higher in 2019 than 2010 in
real terms.

Goods exports to non-EU countries also remain below pre-Brexit levels. These
exceeded £180 billion in 2017, 2018 and 2019 but have been below £170 billion
in every calendar year since then. They were £162 billion in 2023.
Graph from page 10:

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1734535555

It’s quite clear that the UK’s export fortunes to the EU and elsewhere, while not moving in lockstep, generally go hand in hand. Almost as if things other than Brexit affect it all. Funny that.

ianch99 18-12-2024 18:49

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Useful report from the OBR on the subject: https://obr.uk/box/the-latest-eviden...t-on-uk-trade/

Quote:

Comparing our recent overall trade performance with other advanced economies suggests that the UK saw a similar collapse in exports as other countries at the start of the pandemic but has since missed out on much of the recovery in global trade.d UK and aggregate advanced economy goods export volumes fell by around 20 per cent during the initial wave of the pandemic in 2020. But by the fourth quarter of 2021 total advanced economy trade volumes had rebounded to 3 per cent above their pre-pandemic levels while UK exports remain around 12 per cent below (Chart I, left panel). The UK therefore appears to have become a less trade intensive economy, with trade as a share of GDP falling 12 per cent since 2019, two and a half times more than in any other G7 country (Chart I, right panel).
https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2024/12/2.jpg

As always, a case of damage limitation with no sunlit uplands.

papa smurf 18-12-2024 19:34

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36187873)
Or, for a slightly more balanced piece of work that isn’t an obvious lobbying position ahead of next year’s UK-EU negotiations, here’s a piece from the House of Commons Library charting the UK’s total EU and non-EU exports, adjusted for inflation.

https://researchbriefings.files.parl...1/CBP-7851.pdf

It includes this useful cautionary note on pages 10-11:



Graph from page 10:

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1734535555

It’s quite clear that the UK’s export fortunes to the EU and elsewhere, while not moving in lockstep, generally go hand in hand. Almost as if things other than Brexit affect it all. Funny that.


:tu:

1andrew1 18-12-2024 21:03

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36187879)
Useful report from the OBR on the subject: https://obr.uk/box/the-latest-eviden...t-on-uk-trade/

https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2024/12/2.jpg

As always, a case of damage limitation with no sunlit uplands.

:tu:

Pierre 19-12-2024 09:31

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36187891)
:tu:

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...&postcount=377

Hugh 29-12-2024 14:55

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Pretty sure the Telegraph is just trolling it’s readers now…

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...-relationship/

Quote:

Poppy Coburn
It’s time to become the 51st state of the US


"The Briton... should cheerfully acquiesce in the decree of Destiny, and stand in betimes with the conquering American.” So said William Thomas Stead, the prominent Victorian newspaperman and strident reformer.

Stead looked at Britain’s colonial apotheosis with apprehension, understanding that the growth of new great powers meant “we can never again be the first”. As his countrymen grew fat and complacent on the spoils of imperial decadence, Stead saw clearly that the only avoidance of incipient decline would come by uniting our fortunes with those who had passed us in the great race.

He was not alone in believing that Britain’s future lay with the destiny of its most talented child. Anglo-Unionism attracted a wide cast of characters at the turn of the 19th century, from Lord Salisbury to Woodrow Wilson. Their motivations were not so alien to our own, fearing the trajectory of Britain without its imperial appendages, the opportunities and dangers of new communications technology, and the future of war. Too different from Europe to form any lasting alliance and too small to seriously consider autarky, “little Britain” would surely be doomed to irrelevance.

This feared future has since come to be. Governing the world is, for us, yesterday’s dream. Our territorial squabbles no longer define the course of history, but rather provide an opportunity for our leaders to provide yet more pointless concessions to foreign states.

The divergence between our two nations will only become more obvious as Britain flounders under Starmerism while America faces a rebirth under Trump’s Make America Great Again agenda. In short, we’d be lucky to be granted a deal like Trump’s (semi-) humorous offer to absorb Canada into the American Union as the 51st state.

Besides, if any Anglosphere nation should merge with the US, it should surely be Britain. Conservatives will cringe at the prospect of accession, but an equal say would improve on our current situation. “America Brain” is not a new online affliction (the committed Anglo-Unionist Arthur Balfour obviously didn’t have an X account) but rather a recognition that America is too important to ignore.

Those who would claim to be our elites hardly lack enthusiasm for this more perfect union. All that has changed is our relative status. The farce of the special relationship is kept alive more out of the good-natured humour of American diplomats than any recognition of equal alliance. Our country has been quietly placed in over the past half century, sold bit by bit to America first under the “foreign direct investment” frenzy of Thatcher and latterly the pitiful machinations of Rachel Reeves. Our physical and digital infrastructure is overwhelmingly US owned – even the farm equipment soon to be punishingly taxed under the Budget’s IHT changes is likely to have been owned and loaned by an American firm.

The steady process of economic transfer from provincial England to the American metropole has accelerated in recent years, with the US now seeing the UK as a (services) offshoring paradise akin to India. They take advantage of our perilously low wage growth to skim off the top talent in law, finance and technology.

It’s a terrible deal. We’re lucky, then, to live under the beneficent eye of Trump, a fine negotiator and a man who has done more than any president in living memory to heal the wounds left by George III. It was Trump who sought to end the attacks on our ancient English liberties through our illegitimate “hate speech” laws. We need not wholly abandon our monarchical system: Trump has proved adept at holding court at Mar-a-Lago, and unlike our own King has no shortage of quivering supplicants pledging allegiance.

Time is not on our side. As the Eurozone crumbles and American protectionism ramps up, our flimsy state will be crushed like an ant between two great elephants. To see Britain lose itself within America would surely be a tragedy of world-historic proportions. But the alternative – to sink complacently into powerlessness, spurred on by politicians who can hardly define what “nationhood” even means – doesn’t bear thinking about. The politics of self-interest is clearly beyond our miserable band of modern leaders.

Why not jump on to the America First bandwagon and throw in our lot with the winning side? If nothing else, we might get better fast food out of it.

Russ 29-12-2024 15:04

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
I would rather shit in my hands and clap than become part of yankland

Chris 29-12-2024 15:37

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36188361)
Pretty sure the Telegraph is just trolling it’s readers now…

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...-relationship/

Clickbait, obvs. Once you price that in, this could have been an interesting and slightly lighthearted piece of fluff of the sort papers fill their pages with at times of year when not a lot is happening, but this is just dreary, negative dross. It’s entirely possible to make an entertaining (if ultimately futile) argument for accession based on common history, legal principles and values. It’s just a pity the Telegraph newsroom is such a dull, pessimistic, contrarian place that such a feat was apparently beyond them.

Itshim 29-12-2024 18:15

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
So much better to be levelled down to a 4th rate , socialist, sewage infested, backwater.


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