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Re: Israel v Iran conflict
So let me get this straight....
This morning, Trump says unconditional surrender or else. Then Russia steps in and tells the US to back off or else. Trump then says er maybe, maybe not get involved... Like he thought he's master of the universe and whatever he says goes. Basically like playing poker, but as soon as he get called. He folds... That or he's complying with his leader.... |
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That would be: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle...an-2025-06-18/ Quote:
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I honestly do not think Trump knows what he'll do next. He is riding the wave of interest and getting off on the idea that he is a strongman. It's a question of whether his ego is better served by going to war with Iran, getting 'a deal' or just backing off altogether if he thinks the blowback will be too much.
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Trump is dancing around shouting "I'm being unpredictable". I just don't know if he is trying to buy time or is genuinely indecisive.
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Snigger. |
Re: Israel v Iran conflict
Well Israel is unlikely to win a sustained military exchange with Iran without western involvement, so if he doesn't back then up Israel will have to back down.
*This does not account for espionage. |
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Either there is revolution in Iran or tel Aviv will get chipped away. |
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Population is not relevant when the exchange that has been taking place is missiles. The relevant metrics are technology, industrial capacity and capable allies willing to sell you what you can’t produce domestically. Exactly how do you envisage Iran ‘chipping away’ at Israel? Iran itself had hoped to do so via Hamas and Hezbollah, not via some long march through northern Iraq and Syria. Did you notice that wasn’t quite working out for them? |
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I envision this https://youtu.be/p4Me9G3hPTE?
Population density is very relevant. But I'm not going to get into a long debate. We will see soon enough. |
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Population size (which you clearly meant in your earlier post) is not the same thing as population density. And in any case, the entire population of Israel would have to be at ground zero for one of those missiles to wipe them out. Iran’s missiles don’t have anccurate targeting capabilities. They are little more than terror weapons. They cause spectacular but highly localised destruction of whatever they happen to land on. Of the 400 or so launched, about 10-15% have got through, and killed a couple of dozen people. The 1967 ‘six day war’ killed 776 soldiers and civilians. |
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