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The idea that nobody really knows what Brexit means is nonsense. During the referendum campaign, the remain campaign was as clear about what Brexit would mean as the leave campaign was. At the time, Remain thought that the unalloyed truth - out of the single market, out of the customs union all the rest - would scare people into voting their way. It didn’t work. As a result they switched to plan B, which has always been to muddy the waters enough that people either wouldn’t notice us failing to properly leave the EU, or else would come to believe that fully leaving the EU (aka Brexit, or, indeed, what the majority voted for) would indeed be a tragedy and a so-called “soft” Brexit (not really leaving at all) was preferable. |
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What does the Policy Paper say? The following weasel words: "8.16 In 2015, EU vessels caught 683,000 tonnes (£484 million revenue) in UK waters and UK vessels caught 111,000 tonnes (£114 million revenue) in Member States’ waters.51 Given the heavy reliance on UK waters of the EU fishing industry and the importance of EU waters to the UK, it is in both our interests to reach a mutually beneficial deal that works for the UK and the EU’s fishing communities. Following EU exit, we will want to ensure a sustainable and profitable seafood sector and deliver a cleaner, healthier and more productive marine environment." The White Paper says: "60. As an independent coastal state, the UK will have control over access to its waters from the end of the implementation period. Any decisions about giving access to UK waters for vessels from the EU, or any other coastal states will be a matter for negotiation. 61. The UK, the EU and coastal states should agree to annual negotiations on access rights and fishing opportunities for UK, EU and coastal state fleets. This could include multi-annual agreements for appropriate stocks." This means that the guvmin can negotiate our fish away as part of other concessions the guvmin wants. |
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There should be no concessions. The result was binary, leave won - so there should be no compromises, because we would not have got any had Remain won - The leave campaign have said all along that when we leave the EU, in it's entirety, we fall on WTO terms - It was not up to the Brexit campaign to enact the leave process. The point of a campaign is to win, when the leave camp won, it ceased to be a campaign after 24/6/16.
At the end of the day - May is rightly getting criticised because she previously drew all these red lines, saying Brexit means Brexit... then this Brexit White Paper is released after two years and it is a disaster, effectively making the UK worse off than it is now, while we are in the EU. Vassal State - nobody voted for that shit. |
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So the Leave campaign bears no responsibility for any of it’s campaign promises?
That really is having your cake and eating it... |
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The big campaign mistake made by Leave was not to highlight (maybe they didn't think it to be the case then) just how unreasonable the Brussels turds would be in negotiating with us. Hence some of their promises. |
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No deal would mean food shortages, drug shortages etc. It really isn't an option even if we are pretending it is. Brexit is a crazy concept, sorry but that's the truth. The people have voted for it , fair enough, but the Govt., have to ensure we keep afloat. What was the leave plan btw? |
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Where is the option where we get the excellent rich Brexit that was meant to happen? |
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The EU has tied our hands for decades and the stupid unstable thicko May, wants our hands to be still be tied with the Commons rule book with this half in, half out shambles, which is not delivering on the Democratic result. ---------- Post added at 22:59 ---------- Previous post was at 22:48 ---------- Quote:
I think Chris has covered it well in his post - none of the people in the Official Leave campaign, were in any of the top Senior jobs in Government. Boris Johnson, Michael Gove (was Justice Secretary), Chris Grayling etc... Top cabinet posts prior to June 2016. Chancellor of the Exchequer: George Osborne. (Remainer) Foreign Secretary: Philip Hammond (Remainer) Home Secretary: Theresa May (Remainer) Defence Secretary: Michael Fallon (Remainer) You tell me Hugh how those in the Leave campaign were to enact the Democratic result when their side won.... ??? |
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If we don’t fulfil our part in previously agreed treaties, why would anyone enter into new treaties with us?
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Er no, they were not in government in 2016, I did say that in that post.
They cannot quit a position they were never in just after the Brexit vote. |
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A whopping 7 of them. May day was added after we joined. It was only in the mid 1990's that the right to paid holidays was introduced. Originally at 20 including the above public holidays, and then in the early 2000s changed to 28 including public holidays. Until the Social directive of 20 days, there was no right to paid holidays other than the 8 public holidays. The Labour opposition at the time in the early 90s actually objected to its introduction although it was one of the first acts of the Tony Blair Government to introduce. So, shall be now talk about the right to be sacked if a woman was pregnant which was only abolished after we joined as well? Lots of the things we now take for granted were only introduced as a result of the EC. And why some people think it is ok to force people to work for more than 48 hours per week is beyond me. |
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Sigh - all them laws will be protected once we leave - they will not be changed, we do not need to be stuck in a corrupt institution to be protected by laws we will already have. That said - Some people WANT to work 48 hours a week, which is why they can tell their employer to waive the Working Time Directive on this issue. |
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My father worked as a toolmaker, a milkman and a bus driver in his time and always received paid holidays. By the way, you talk about people being forced to work more than 48 hours per week as if the Working Time Directive has stopped such practices. Are you aware of the number of hours per week doctors have been working since the Directive was implemented in the UK? The fact is, the partially effective Directive seeks to control how many hours you can work on a voluntary basis as well. The 'opt out' was a hard won concession to Britain, but the EU never liked that and would seek to get rid of it at every opportunity. People should be free to work however many hours they goddam liked. By preventing that, some people on low wages with big commitments and were working the number of hours they were to survive suddenly had their lucrative overtime payments reduced, which put them in an impossible position. You can try to paint this vaneer of respectability on the huge wealth of regulation the EU have created, but in the end it restricts our ability to compete and aims at exerting more and more control over how we live our lives. We simply don't need this. ---------- Post added at 09:30 ---------- Previous post was at 09:26 ---------- Quote:
There was no squirming in this interview, so I think Theresa May won that contest. ---------- Post added at 09:31 ---------- Previous post was at 09:30 ---------- Quote:
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As far as the EU is concerned, I look at our negotiations as being just one of those trade deals. It should not tie us to the EU, but it should aim at achieving smoother trading relationships than we would get without such a deal. I am looking at the progress on this very carefully because anything that smacks of drawing us back in needs to be resisted. TM says there will be no free movement, we'll be outside the jurisdiction of the EU and out of the single market and customs union, CAP, Common Fisheries Policy, etc. To me, so far so good. But there is much in the White Paper that needs clarifying and I wait to see what is negotiated before passing judgement on that. If the EU won't accept this limit on how far we are prepared to go, we need to walk away, we get WTO and Brexiteers will be happy. If she's criticised for that, at least she would be able to say that she tried, and everyone will be able to see that she did. If they do accept, then most of our existing trade with the EU will be protected and we are out of the EU, free to forge our own trade deals. By the way, there is no reason why TM needs to accept a deal that restricts our ability to trade elsewhere. For me, that is a step too far. |
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I stand by my post - we fall on WTO terms.
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It is the EU directive that has protected British workers, without it we would still be in the 90's of 7 days holiday and the rest by negotiation. You may be capable of expressing yourself, many aren't. I think you ought to take a read of the WTD. If you had you know that Doctors and other emergency services are not covered by it. Germany is one of the most regulated employment law countries in the world. It seems it is hard to go to the toilet without having to go through a works council. Their laws would send JRM into a permanent state of corma if they were to come in this country. Yet they don't seem to have any problems with competitiveness, with low wages, etc etc - and they are now allowed to work more than 35 hours per week, not 48 hours! By the way, the bit about people losing their overtime etc is rubbish. The number that it affected was actually tiny. So small in fact that at the time they could not produce any figures to show. So, show me one single EU regulation that has restricted "our ability to compete and aims at exerting more and more control over how we live our lives." |
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Ninth resignation over Theresa May's Brexit plan
https://news.sky.com/story/live-nint...-plan-11438505 |
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Or are you saying that anyone can just pitch up, promise anything with no obligation to explain how, in the complex real world, their goal can be delivered? ---------- Post added at 12:31 ---------- Previous post was at 12:30 ---------- Quote:
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Not my words but the words of Bagehot (Adrian Wooldridge ) in his column in the Economist (paywall).
https://www.economist.com/britain/20...f-conservatism https://www.theguardian.com/politics...-politics-live Quote:
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They also used to be the party of sound financial standing. They seem to be keen on losing this USP too. |
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There is a fascinating narrative developing: Mrs May is tried to sell a deal that is nothing to no-one. For the Remainers, it sells them less than they already had but at a real tangible cost to them (and others). For the Leavers, esp. those that believed the snake oil salesmen, it is not the Britain of the past they are seeking. So, who will vote Tory now? The Remainers? Some but a lot will say "What the hell, even Corbyn the clown is better than this rabble" I mean when Labour catch on that Corbyn is really a hard Brexiteer, along comes David Milliband to save the day. At least, that is what a lot of the moderate Labour supporters would hope for. The Leavers? Less so now that Mrs May has sold them out as a large number of them would see it. If UKIP resurfaces then the more extreme Leavers would desert together with those that previously voted Tory because they were supposed to be a "safe pair of hands". Add the demographic push from Leave to Remain and this leaves the Tories in a pickle and the UK with Clown Corbyn as P.M. |
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Looks like Chequers deal is completely dead btw.
I cannot see the Government agreeing even a starting position to take to the EU, there is no majority for anything in Parliament. |
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Robert Peston summed it up aptly.
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So it looks like we are heading towards WTO and no deal. I hope all those who have made Theresa May's life a misery with all their claptrap about 'soft Brexits', 'cliff edges' and the like are satisfied. Had they supported her against the hard liners instead of trying to avoid Brexit altogether in defiance of the referendum result, we would have had a proposal for the EU long ago. However, this is not the end of the world, we can make this work. Unfortunately, without any kind of deal, there will be some casualties. |
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No majority means she is caught between two sides neither of which can come to an agreement. We have no effective government. History will look upon this Parliament very badly.
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Open warfare on the Tory benches tonight.
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Who knows what will happen if no deal exists by March 2019. Will Theresa May resign? Will the Speaker refer matters back to Parliament for a vote? Totally unprecedented situation. |
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Parliament has just turned down a motion to put it back to the people. |
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The most likely option to me seems that we kick the can down the road, agree the extension period, while we work on a Canada++ or a Norway-- deal. But let's stop pretending we've been rejected time and time again from the EU because we only came up with the White Paper last week so this notion that is being created in the event we leave of the EU rejecting every proposal was turned down is pure fan-fiction. ---------- Post added at 21:25 ---------- Previous post was at 21:24 ---------- Quote:
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The way this will play out is the new leader would scrap the Chequers Agreement in its entirety and notify the EU that there will be no proposal but we are open to offers of a trade deal. In the meantime, WTO rules apply. Only then would there be an election. |
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Government survives rebellion by three votes.
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BREAKING: 10th Resignation from Government: Defence minister Guto Bebb quits government
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Meanwhile, Michael Gove attempts to rewrite history. Michael Gove: I wanted 'different feel' to Vote Leave campaign https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics...mpaign=bbcnews |
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That's why governments work best when they have a good majority. |
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Breaking: Vote Leave heavily fined and referred to Police for breaking the law. The organisation's lack of co-operation suggests it was not an honest mistake.
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https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-a7688471.html |
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what about this bit of spending ,article is written just before the referendum . Nearly £10million pounds of taxpayers’ money is to be spent sending a leaflet to every UK home warning about the dangers of a “Brexit”, prompting a Cabinet row over the use of public money. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/201...-home-warning/ |
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This is just another futile attempt to thwart the legitimate Democratic leave result by Remainers. |
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It does not invalidate the result. We are leaving the EU! |
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-44857687
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Beautiful plumage! It’s not dead, it’s just stunned - probably pining for the fjords. |
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What is extra frightening is that the leave campaign was orchestrated by a 12 year old called Darren from his bedroom :D
Scary looking youth too ! Reminds me of Adrian Mole. https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2018/07/26.png Anyway, he's been a naughty boy and Mum and Dad are going to have to fork out £20k in fines ! |
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Brexiteer MPs forced May's hands yesterday and 4 ERG Amendments were made. ---------- Post added at 13:33 ---------- Previous post was at 13:28 ---------- Quote:
Let's not the forget Remain camp spent way more and also got the government leaflet, on top of that, whether it was legal is irrelevant, it should NOT have been, tax payer money funding a campaign, that is taking the piss. All the money spent, all the scheming and blackmail being done by the Remain side and it still loses - the sentiment is clear - more Brits want to leave and not stay in a corrupt union. |
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Don't you find it scary that it's still only a few months to Brexit, and the 'Governing' party still hasn't haven't agreed with itself let alone the EU ? |
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Do you think I was happy with the pathetic government leaflet with which Tax payers money was spent advocating to Remain in the EU - that should never have been allowed ? Do you think I was happy with U.S President Barack Obama at the time, interfering and threatening people to vote remain ? No I was not - despite ALL this and the other Bullshit going on, on BOTH sides, one side clearly won - you cannot invalidate the result because you feel aggrieved your side did not win when both campaigns centered on the same rules, despite the BS claims today that Leave camp over spent - Remain camp still spent far more and got added bonuses on top of this, the government leaflet and Obama's push, to try push people to vote Remain - but people were smart enough to make up their own minds. ---------- Post added at 14:27 ---------- Previous post was at 14:16 ---------- Quote:
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he did that because idiot David Cameron asked him too and that probably made sure leave won in end parliament will not let that happen no matter what JRM wants as WTO rules mean got to be hard border with Ireland and Northern Ireland then between Spain and Gibraltar DUP will never allow hard border with Ireland and end of peace processes totally |
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Hate to disappoint but 'no deal' is not and never has been an option. May admitted as much at the weekend when asked what extra staff were being recruited or holding areas in ports had been in case of no deal - there hasn't been any. Our position becomes weaker all the time because of the Govt's indecision; the EU hold all the cards. We'll have to get a deal, but it's increasingly looking like we'll be forced into a bad one. 'No deal is better than a bad deal' was utter baloney. |
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I think the most likely scenario is that we provisionally agree to do a deal and then use the transition period to actually work out what that is. The UK isn't set up for a hard Brexit.
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European Union signs its biggest ever trade deal after striking agreement with Japan
https://news.sky.com/story/european-...japan-11439525 |
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John Major with some harsh blunt words about the Brexiteers in his party.
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It looks like parliament have voted to stay in the European Medicines Agency. Great news for continued rapid drug access and the pharmaceutical industry (big sigh of relief where I work too!)
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Thankfully - the customs amendment put forward by the Remainer MPs lost. Meaning we will not join any kind of customs union should no meaningful deal not be reached by Jan 2019.
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It will lose as it should - the democratic result of leaving the corrupt EU must be followed.
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Wouldn't have changed the result but the Tories broke pairing tonight: https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/stat...03110794186753
Jo Swinson was paired with Brandon Lewis but, after she was told that, he voted anyway. Quite a low thing to do. ---------- Post added at 21:21 ---------- Previous post was at 21:14 ---------- TBH Pairing helps out the Government a lot. Sometimes Government ministers cannot be in the chamber, especially the PM and Foreign Secretary, so no reason now Labour can't refuse to honour in those cases. So either the PM and others need to attend every vote or risk losing it. |
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A No-Confidence motion in the Government nearly came to fruition earlier nearly because of 12 Remainer Tory MPs no surprises for guessing who they were, but it took 4 Rebel Brexiteer Labour MPs to save May's skin tonight.
Those 12 Tory Remainers were prepared to bring their own government down. |
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Today is the day May has to survive. Boris will be delivering his resignation speech before PMQT.
There has been a creeping campaign going on, is this the culmination? Interesting times ahead today. |
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