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-   -   Eurozone will collapse... (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33678876)

Osem 29-01-2012 17:42

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
The man from Athens, he say 'NO'....


Quote:

Greece has rejected outright German proposals for the EU to hold power over its budget.

Culture Minister Pavlos Yeroulanos told the BBC it would be "impossible" for Greece to cede control of its tax and spending powers.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-16780448

Osem 29-01-2012 22:40

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
... and it's all the fault of the Germans with a bit of help from the French and Gordon Brown:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-16761087

Quote:

Who is to blame for starting the current crisis in the eurozone? Greece? Italy? The real answer may lie further north.

It was not the behaviour of the eurozone's southern members that first plunged the single currency into crisis.

There was, from the beginning, a way for the EU to police the economies of member states by following the rules that had been laid down for the single currency in the Maastricht Treaty.

It was called the Stability and Growth Pact, and it was not Italy or Greece that torpedoed it - it was Germany.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-16761087

nomadking 29-01-2012 23:34

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
And that forced Greece to go on a spending spree and pay certain groups ridiculous amounts in wages.:rolleyes:

Alan Fry 30-01-2012 09:54

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
There will be a United States of Europe at this rate, but the UK is unlikely to be part of it!

gba93 30-01-2012 10:54

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35371933)
There will be a United States of Europe at this rate, but the UK is unlikely to be part of it!

Damien/Hugh ------- any observations on this current turn of events :rolleyes:

denphone 30-01-2012 10:55

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35371933)
There will be a United States of Europe at this rate, but the UK is unlikely to be part of it!

And thats the way l want it.

Osem 30-01-2012 11:18

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 35371808)
And that forced Greece to go on a spending spree and pay certain groups ridiculous amounts in wages.:rolleyes:

No, it set a climate in which excesses would be 'overlooked' for political ends perhaps. Nobody forced all those in the UK who jumped on the property remortgaging and credit bandwagon but they did it and it was clearly politically expedient at the time to do nothing about it.

Hugh 30-01-2012 11:35

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by gba93 (Post 35371955)
Damien/Hugh ------- any observations on this current turn of events :rolleyes:

Yes.

The Greeks keep saying "we're going to fix it" - after a couple of recursions of this behaviour, without actually fixing it, the German's made a proposal (imho, quite reasonably - the Greeks want the money with the responsibility of having to do anything, or fix anything).

It's still not the same as invasion, however you make like to spin it. :dozey:

Alan Fry 30-01-2012 11:45

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Left wing parties on the rise in Greece

http://www.businessweek.com/news/201...oll-shows.html

Dai 30-01-2012 11:57

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35371983)
It's still not the same as invasion, however you make like to spin it.

Indeed it's not. There is always a faint hope that local rebels could fight off an armed invasion. With this sort of financially-driven takeover the result is virtually the same but there is no target to fight.

gba93 30-01-2012 12:02

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by DaiNasty (Post 35372006)
Indeed it's not. There is always a faint hope that local rebels could fight off an armed invasion. With this sort of financially-driven takeover the result is virtually the same but there is no target to fight.

Exactly :clap::clap::clap:

Osem 30-01-2012 12:31

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Whether it's true or not doesn't really matter does it? (Who knows, other than the German government what their ulitmate goal for the EU is and how far they'll go to achieve what they may well deem the only way for Germany and the rest of the EU to continue to survive and eventually prosper?). It's how Greeks (and others on the receiving end) see it and react that matters. Even overlooking 20thC history, I predict plenty of unhappy and impoverished people will perceive the realities of German economic control very negatively and react accordingly. That doesn't bode well for any of us either economically or for a politically stable Europe and as the stakes get higher the more uncertainty about what happens next there is.

Alan Fry 30-01-2012 13:27

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35372044)
Whether it's true or not doesn't really matter does it? (Who knows, other than the German government what their ulitmate goal for the EU is and how far they'll go to achieve what they may well deem the only way for Germany and the rest of the EU to continue to survive and eventually prosper?). It's how Greeks (and others on the receiving end) see it and react that matters. Even overlooking 20thC history, I predict plenty of unhappy and impoverished people will perceive the realities of German economic control very negatively and react accordingly. That doesn't bode well for any of us either economically or for a politically stable Europe and as the stakes get higher the more uncertainty about what happens next there is.

I do not think they want a Greater Germany, two world wars have stopped that and they paid hugely for that, what they want is a financially and politically stable Europe, even if it means they end up controlling it!

gba93 30-01-2012 13:53

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35372075)
I do not think they want a Greater Germany, two world wars have stopped that and they paid hugely for that, what they want is a financially and politically stable Europe, even if it means they end up controlling it!

Whether they (the German people want) a Greater Germany that's what they'll get if they (the German Government) gets it's way and the EU (controlled in the most part by Germany) runs the economies of most of the European countries to a lesser or greater extent.

Alan Fry 30-01-2012 14:07

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by gba93 (Post 35372110)
Whether they (the German people want) a Greater Germany that's what they'll get if they (the German Government) gets it's way and the EU (controlled in the most part by Germany) runs the economies of most of the European countries to a lesser or greater extent.

I would agree with you on that!

Sirius 30-01-2012 14:09

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 35371808)
And that forced Greece to go on a spending spree and pay certain groups ridiculous amounts in wages.:rolleyes:

Hang on we had a Government that DID exactly the same ruddy thing.

Alan Fry 30-01-2012 14:10

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sirius (Post 35372133)
Hang on we had a Government that DID exactly the same ruddy thing.

But we are financially secure, for now...

Sirius 30-01-2012 14:16

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35371957)
And thats the way l want it.

:clap:

---------- Post added at 13:11 ---------- Previous post was at 13:10 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35372134)
But we are financially secure, for now...

For now. But what would of happened if we had been part of the ruddy Euro or some usoe

---------- Post added at 13:16 ---------- Previous post was at 13:11 ----------

We need a debt fairy to right of ALL the debt so we can start a fresh :LOL:

Alan Fry 30-01-2012 14:18

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sirius (Post 35372135)
:clap:

---------- Post added at 13:11 ---------- Previous post was at 13:10 ----------



For now. What would of happened if we had been part of the ruddy Euro or some usoe

---------- Post added at 13:16 ---------- Previous post was at 13:11 ----------

We need a debt fairy to right of ALL the debt so we can start a fresh :LOL:

Even if we were part of the Euro, we would not go bust, but we will lose our AAA credit rating and give money to bailout other Eurozone members!

Sirius 30-01-2012 14:19

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35372141)
Even if we were part of the Euro, we would not go bust, but we will lose our AAA credit rating and give money to bailout other Eurozone members!


Not as long as i have a hole in my bottom. Our money should be for our country. Additionally we should stop giving money to other countries for the next 5 years and spend that money here on OUR people and OUR country.

Europe and GERMANY can have its USOE but i and most of the people of this country dont want any part of it. I take it your not covering history at University

If the EU at kept to its original plan of a common market this would be less of a problem.

Alan Fry 30-01-2012 14:27

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sirius (Post 35372143)
Not as long as i have a hole in my bottom. Our money should be for our country. Additionally we should stop giving money to other countries for the next 5 years and spend that money here on OUR people and OUR country.

Europe and GERMANY can have its USOE but i and most of the people of this country dont want any part of it. I take it your not covering history at University

If the EU at kept to its original plan of a common market this would be less of a problem.

I am not suggesting of we joined the Euro as of now!

If we do not join the United States of Europe, they we should look at other trade agreements as well!

Sirius 30-01-2012 14:34

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35372150)
I am not suggesting of we joined the Euro as of now!

Good

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35372150)
If we do not join the United States of Europe, they we should look at other trade agreements as well!

Have we not already got that as part of the common market ??

Alan Fry 30-01-2012 14:47

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sirius (Post 35372157)
Good



Have we not already got that as part of the common market ??

I meant outside the EU, like the Commonwealth!

Sirius 30-01-2012 14:49

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35372163)
I meant outside the EU, like the Commonwealth!

I have no issue with that.

Hugh 30-01-2012 14:56

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35372163)
I meant outside the EU, like the Commonwealth!

Do you mean like these ones we have, or are negotiating with (bilaterally, not as part of the EU), such as Singapore, USA, Canada, Mexico, Free Trade Area of the Americas (34 countries), Bangladesh, China, India, Japan, Australia, South Korea, Malaysia, Taiwan, amongst others?

Alan Fry 30-01-2012 15:00

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35372171)
Do you mean like these ones we have, or are negotiating with (bilaterally, not as part of the EU), such as Singapore, USA, Canada, Mexico, Free Trade Area of the Americas (34 countries), Bangladesh, China, India, Japan, Australia, South Korea, Malaysia, Taiwan, amongst others?

Yes, a sort of Commonwealth Free Trade Area

Sirius 30-01-2012 15:09

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35372171)
Do you mean like these ones we have, or are negotiating with (bilaterally, not as part of the EU), such as Singapore, USA, Canada, Mexico, Free Trade Area of the Americas (34 countries), Bangladesh, China, India, Japan, Australia, South Korea, Malaysia, Taiwan, amongst others?

I was just searching for that info. Thanks Hugh :tu:

So in fact we already trade with most of the world and don't need any fancy USOE or need to be IN the euro

Osem 30-01-2012 22:19

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-16803157

Quote:

Twenty-five of the EU's 27 member states have agreed to join a fiscal treaty to enforce budget discipline.

The Czech Republic and the UK refused to sign up. The UK's position was already well known, while the Czechs cited "ratification reasons".

Sirius 30-01-2012 22:57

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35372362)

So does this mean the Germans get to parachute in there fiscal control people to those who do not play the EU game as per this

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-16773974

Maggy 31-01-2012 00:43

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sirius (Post 35372390)
So does this mean the Germans get to parachute in there fiscal control people to those who do not play the EU game as per this

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-16773974

I suspect that may give some to pause for thought because that would really considered a direct attack on sovereignty of nations.Cue for even more riots.

Alan Fry 31-01-2012 09:36

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35372362)

This means that we are are even closer to a United States of Europe, but whenever we join it is a another matter...

denphone 31-01-2012 09:55

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35372512)
This means that we are are even closer to a United States of Europe, but whenever we join it is a another matter...

There is no chance of us joining it.:td:

Alan Fry 31-01-2012 09:57

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35372528)
There is no chance of us joining it.:td:

It either the United States of Europe or the United States of America we would end up joining

denphone 31-01-2012 09:59

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35372530)
It either the United States of Europe or the United States of America we would end up joining

No we are the good old British Isles and most people want it to stay that way.

Alan Fry 31-01-2012 10:04

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35372531)
No we are the good old British Isles and most people want it to stay that way.

Well whatever we do, we are ultimately controlled from China

gba93 31-01-2012 11:14

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35372533)
Well whatever we do, we are ultimately controlled from China

History tells us that, despite who is theoretically ruling these islands, we are never "controlled" - just ask the Romans

Alan Fry 31-01-2012 11:18

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by gba93 (Post 35372577)
History tells us that, despite who is theoretically ruling these islands, we are never "controlled" - just ask the Romans

You are right, Britain is a hard place to invade, just ask the Germans, Romans and French!

denphone 31-01-2012 11:26

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by gba93 (Post 35372577)
History tells us that, despite who is theoretically ruling these islands, we are never "controlled" - just ask the Romans

Exactly and you know your British history very well as well.

Hugh 31-01-2012 13:36

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35372580)
You are right, Britain is a hard place to invade, just ask the Germans, Romans and French!

You may get a different answer if you ask the Normans, the Saxons, and the Vikings - and the Romans managed it for nearly 400 years.....;)

gba93 31-01-2012 13:40

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35372704)
You may get a different answer if you ask the Normans, the Saxons, and the Vikings - and the Romans managed it for nearly 400 years.....;)

But they had a hell of a hard time, lost a lot of men (not always Roman admittedly), couldn't conquer some parts (Scotland for instance) and finally left down-beat and sodden (due to our lovely weather)

Alan Fry 31-01-2012 13:40

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35372704)
You may get a different answer if you ask the Normans, the Saxons, and the Vikings - and the Romans managed it for nearly 400 years.....;)

The Romans left and the Normans, the Saxons, and the Vikings became "British"

Osem 12-02-2012 21:19

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

How 'magic' made Greek debt disappear before it joined the euro
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-16834815

Quote:

Greece is at the heart of the ongoing eurozone crisis, but is past sleight of hand by Greek statisticians to blame for the country's current financial meltdown?

"We used to call him the magician, because he could make everything disappear.

"He made inflation disappear. And then he made the deficit disappear," recalls Greek economist Miranda Xafa.
'Magic' made all the more 'realistic' because it was what the Eurocrats wanted to see/hear....

The banks are certainly culpable in large part for the mess we're in but what about the politicians whose singleminded fixation with a European superstate led them to overlook what was staring them in the face because it was expedient to do so?

Stuart 12-02-2012 22:54

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Well, on the News Quiz on Radio 4, they suggested that maybe Harry Redknapp's dog should be advising Greece.

Osem 13-02-2012 10:12

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Stuart (Post 35380871)
Well, on the News Quiz on Radio 4, they suggested that maybe Harry Redknapp's dog should be advising Greece.

Nah it'll be far too busy auditing the European Commission's financial accounts...

http://www.civitas.org.uk/wordpress/...secutive-year/

Osem 15-02-2012 10:38

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

The Greek people have been pushed to the limit by austerity measures demanded by the EU and IMF, the country's public order minister says.

Christos Papoutsis said Greece had made "superhuman" efforts to comply, and the people "can't take any more".

Eurozone chiefs cancelled a meeting with Greek officials earlier, demanding further cuts and reassurances.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-17037267

This isn't looking good. There's a whole lot of serious resentment building up in Greece and something is going to give. :erm:

Alan Fry 17-02-2012 11:43

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35382170)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-17037267

This isn't looking good. There's a whole lot of serious resentment building up in Greece and something is going to give. :erm:

The eurozone should offer the Bailout without Greece having to make cuts, just to (maybe) pay the money back!

---------- Post added at 10:43 ---------- Previous post was at 10:42 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35382175)
IMO the best thing for Greece would be to leave the Euro and devalue it's own currancy. The EU politicians will never consent to that and will find some shabby way to string out the final agonising collapse of their vanity project, the nature of which will depend upon the German position: Are the people of the Rhineland really prepared stump up their hard earned cash so that southern Europe can carry on their Spanish practices or will they change government?

Though we'll get some collateral damge from this at least we're not actually iinside the building that's on fire.

They will end up electing the Communist Party of Greece into power!

Chris 17-02-2012 14:00

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35382170)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-17037267

This isn't looking good. There's a whole lot of serious resentment building up in Greece and something is going to give. :erm:

Word amongst the talking heads is that a number of EZ countries, led by Germany, have now decided that Greece is a basket case and has to leave the Euro. The ever-tougher demands being placed on Greece are not supposed to be met; they are designed to force the issue.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/f...catharsis.html

Osem 17-02-2012 14:45

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35383408)
Word amongst the talking heads is that a number of EZ countries, led by Germany, have now decided that Greece is a basket case and has to leave the Euro. The ever-tougher demands being placed on Greece are not supposed to be met; they are designed to force the issue.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/f...catharsis.html

I can quite believe that. It's a pity these people weren't a tad more diligent when they allowed Greece to join the Euro in the first place.

Alan Fry 17-02-2012 20:30

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35383440)
They are a democracy, at least last time I looked, they can elect any party they see fit.



(From Chris' link)

The Communist Party of Greece is the only major party no to be a part of the poltical alliance that runs the nation!

Dai 17-02-2012 23:29

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35383447)
I can quite believe that. It's a pity these people weren't a tad more diligent when they allowed Greece to join the Euro in the first place.

Au contraire. I believe that the Euro elite knew exactly what they were doing.
Greece is the weak link which will be the first practice run at demolishing a democracy and putting EU placemen in the key positions.

The rest come later..

Osem 17-02-2012 23:37

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by DaiNasty (Post 35383702)
Au contraire. I believe that the Euro elite knew exactly what they were doing.
Greece is the weak link which will be the first practice run at demolishing a democracy and putting EU placemen in the key positions.

The rest come later..

You may well be right but that doesn't alter the fact that it's a pity for all of us that Greece was allowed into the Euro in the first place. I too believe the Eurocrats turned turned a blind eye to the financial realities of the Greek economy because it suited their purpose to do so.

jamiefrost 18-02-2012 00:04

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Allowing Greece and other weaker economies to enter the euro has helped Germany's continued growth. On its own Germany's would not have grown as much, I don't believe their exports would be anywhere near as strong.

j

AndyCambs 18-02-2012 06:23

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Someone in the Metro paper this week wrote that if Germany had paid the reparations debt after the war to Greece, then it wouldn't be in the position it was now.

I'm not sure it's possible to leave the Euro without all the others leaving too. If you had Euros and your country was going to devalue it's currency, then you'd move your money into a safer and better return account - somewhere in the EuroZone - so more money leaves Greece and it's worse off.

Alan Fry 18-02-2012 15:25

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
What Germany should do is drop the Austerity requirement and just give the bailout anyway, just tell Greece to try to pay the money back in the long term!

Hugh 18-02-2012 15:36

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
They tried that a couple of times before - didn't seem to work.....

Quote:

It (Greece) was given 110bn euros of bailout loans in May 2010 to help it get through the crisis - and then in July 2011, it was earmarked to receive another 109bn euros.

But that still was not considered enough.

And so, in October 2011, the eurozone got banks to agree to a 50% "haircut" on their Greek holdings, alongside an enhanced 130bn-euro bailout.

Since then, the economic situation in Greece has deteriorated further and the deal now on the table involves an even bigger debt write-off than previously consented to by the banks.

Alan Fry 18-02-2012 15:41

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35383951)
They tried that a couple of times before - didn't seem to work.....

Since Day 1 they EU has said Greece will get a bailout only if they adopt austerity measures, well I say the EU should give the money with the need for Greece to adopt austerity measures, just to pay the money back in the long run!

Hugh 18-02-2012 15:43

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Do you actually read anything?

The EU gave Greece 110 billion euros of bailout loans in May 2010, and they didn't adopt any austerity measures then.

Alan Fry 18-02-2012 15:47

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35383959)
Do you actually read anything?

The EU gave Greece 110 billion euros of bailout loans in May 2010, and they didn't adopt any austerity measures then.

Yes, but they were forced to cut the budget deficit too fast, They need to invest into the economy at the same time as reciving the bailout, the biggest thing they need to is grow their econmony!

Alan Fry 18-02-2012 15:52

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35383971)
He just expects Greece to be given huge wedges of cash forever without doing something about retiring at 50, paying 14 months wages for 12 months work, not collecting taxes from the rich (funny stance that considering his abhorrance of the "rich") and all the other Spanish practices.:rolleyes:

What I want to do is for Greece to crack down on Tax Evation, but I feel that we shuod not force any other measures for the sake of the world economy!

Chris 18-02-2012 15:53

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35383971)
He just expects Greece to be given huge wedges of cash forever without doing something about retiring at 50, paying 14 months wages for 12 months work, not collecting taxes from the rich (funny stance that considering his abhorrance of the "rich") and all the other Spanish practices.:rolleyes:

Well naturally, it's the same old socialist fantasy, except in this version of it the never-ending money tree is a country called Germany.

Alan Fry 18-02-2012 15:54

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35383975)
Well naturally, it's the same old socialist fantasy, except in this version of it the never-ending money tree is a country called Germany.

What I am doing is demanding a worldwide radical reform to Capitalism and Democracy and a crackdown on the rich!!! :mad:

Chris 18-02-2012 16:07

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Yet you are demanding that Greece be given a pile of money *without* reforming.

Alan Fry 18-02-2012 16:13

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35383993)
Yet you are demanding that Greece be given a pile of money *without* reforming.

They should reform, not in favour of the rich (which is what they are doing right now), but for the rest of us (which is what I am suggesting)!

denphone 21-02-2012 07:36

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2...e-bailout-deal

Quote:

Eurozone reaches deal on second Greece bailout after all-night talks

Eurozone finance ministers approve rescue package deal worth €130bn after 14 hours of negotiations in Brussels

Alan Fry 21-02-2012 09:57

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35385401)

The question is that will it be ever put into practise?

richard1960 21-02-2012 10:12

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Greece in my view would be much better off leaving the Eurozone the austerity measures are killing the country instead it has taken another pile of cash and will crush its people even more whilst the elite live the Euro dream that the man in the street pays for very sad indeed.:(

chris9991 21-02-2012 10:22

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
I found the book Boomerang by Michael Lewis quite interesting (http://www.amazon.co.uk/Boomerang-Me.../dp/1846144841)

It has a chapter on various European countries and their story of how they found themeselves in trouble. The chapter on Greece is interesting and shows why there needs to be reforms. Essentially no one in Greece was paying any taxes and they were borrowing more and more money, in part, thanks to Goldman Sachs.

Chris 21-02-2012 10:36

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Whatever the problem, the EU's solution is always spend, spend, spend ...

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/da...to-spend-more/

The video clip on that page is well worth watching in full.

---------- Post added at 09:36 ---------- Previous post was at 09:22 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35385401)

Have a look at this report into the agreement. You could be forgiven for thinking the Grauniad and Torygraph hacks were attending different events.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/f...or-Greece.html

By the Tele's reckoning, this is not just the nick-of-time solution that the Graun would have you believe it is. Greece has been forced to accept the permanent and significant presence of Euro-Gauleiters in the heart of its finance ministry. It has also been forced to create a ring-fenced bank account that will never contain less than three months' debt repayments.

The power to decide how and where to raise and to spend money is the fundamental benchmark of sovereignty. The EU is no longer gnawing at the edges of national sovereignty by mucking around with common agricultural, fisheries or even foreign policies, it has rammed a stake through the heart of the Greek state by installing itself in that country's economic policy too.

Of course, let's not forget that the current Greek government has agreed to this and bears responsibility for it too. The Greek people certainly won't forget when the elections come round in April and the parliament is stuffed with fringe lunatics from the hard left and the hard right who have promised to chuck the whole austerity thing in the Agaean.

richard1960 21-02-2012 10:39

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35385447)
Whatever the problem, the EU's solution is always spend, spend, spend ...

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/da...to-spend-more/

The video clip on that page is well worth watching in full.

Ah Daniel Hannan do not always agree with him but have heard him on LBC radio several times being interviewed and on this i tend to agree.

The Eurozone countries are artificially being held together in a money system that does not suit their economy and the people are suffering, the single currency is not a good idea for some countries and they should be allowed to leave rather then have this imposed on them.

Alan Fry 21-02-2012 11:04

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by richard1960 (Post 35385444)
Greece in my view would be much better off leaving the Eurozone the austerity measures are killing the country instead it has taken another pile of cash and will crush its people even more whilst the elite live the Euro dream that the man in the street pays for very sad indeed.:(

Or they should get better terms with the bailout!

---------- Post added at 10:03 ---------- Previous post was at 10:01 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35385447)
Whatever the problem, the EU's solution is always spend, spend, spend ...

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/da...to-spend-more/

The video clip on that page is well worth watching in full.

---------- Post added at 09:36 ---------- Previous post was at 09:22 ----------



Have a look at this report into the agreement. You could be forgiven for thinking the Grauniad and Torygraph hacks were attending different events.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/f...or-Greece.html

By the Tele's reckoning, this is not just the nick-of-time solution that the Graun would have you believe it is. Greece has been forced to accept the permanent and significant presence of Euro-Gauleiters in the heart of its finance ministry. It has also been forced to create a ring-fenced bank account that will never contain less than three months' debt repayments.

The power to decide how and where to raise and to spend money is the fundamental benchmark of sovereignty. The EU is no longer gnawing at the edges of national sovereignty by mucking around with common agricultural, fisheries or even foreign policies, it has rammed a stake through the heart of the Greek state by installing itself in that country's economic policy too.

Of course, let's not forget that the current Greek government has agreed to this and bears responsibility for it too. The Greek people certainly won't forget when the elections come round in April and the parliament is stuffed with fringe lunatics from the hard left and the hard right who have promised to chuck the whole austerity thing in the Agaean.

The Emergence of the "Peoples Republic of Greece" has taken another big step!

---------- Post added at 10:04 ---------- Previous post was at 10:03 ----------

I think that after The Eurozone crisis dies down (many years later), Europe (maybe the world) will be a changed place and not for the better...

Osem 21-02-2012 20:31

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
I've heard a few commentators saying that this deal has as much to do with saving Sarkozy's job than anything else and I tend to agree. The Eurocrats in Chief just can't seem to accept that this thing cannot work in its current form and they're chucking yet more money at it in order to save face. The Greeks are in between a rock and a hard place but I tend to think the shorter term extreme pain of default would be better than the slow and painful torture they're going to suffer at the hands of the German/French led troika.

Osem 22-02-2012 11:41

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Greece is braced for large protests against further budget cuts, following a 130bn-euro (£110bn; $170bn) bailout deal aimed at avoiding bankruptcy.

There are fears of more violence during the rallies called by trade unions as the public mood hardens, a BBC correspondent in Athens says.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-17123199

I wonder if the political and other strings attached to this financial 'assistance' are alerting the leaders of certain other member states to the notion that, if the going gets tough, they and their people could be expendable too.

Dai 22-02-2012 21:09

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35385867)
The Eurocrats in Chief just can't seem to accept that this thing cannot work in its current form and they're chucking yet more money at it in order to save face.

Another significant factor is the indecent amount of money that they personally collect while their snouts are in the EU trough.
If the EU falls apart they might lose all those lovely expenses perks, fat pensions and corporate sweeteners.

Alan Fry 23-02-2012 10:31

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35386083)
Just kicking the can further down the road. Greece will never be in a position to make good on the deals "thrashed out" AKA cobbled together to save face. It cannot borrow money nor devalue its currancy to stimulate growth which are the only two realistic ways out unless Germany chooses to give them the money with no payback required.

I can't see the German electorate standing for that.

Meanwhile we're not out of it either:



Source

If the German electorate want to prevent a recession in their own nation, give the bailout without a payback!

---------- Post added at 09:31 ---------- Previous post was at 09:30 ----------

Watch this Newsnight episode about Grecce

http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode...ht_17_02_2012/

Hugh 27-02-2012 20:04

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35386720)
If the German electorate want to prevent a recession in their own nation, give the bailout without a payback!

---------- Post added at 09:31 ---------- Previous post was at 09:30 ----------

Watch this Newsnight episode about Grecce

http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode...ht_17_02_2012/

Perhaps they need to wait a few years until the newly planted copses of money trees are fully grown....:rolleyes:

Osem 27-02-2012 22:05

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35389449)
Perhaps they need to wait a few years until the newly planted copses of money trees are fully grown....:rolleyes:

No doubt they'll qualify for EU subsidies on those and the numbers planted will mushroom miraculously overnight.....

---------- Post added at 21:05 ---------- Previous post was at 21:04 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35389389)
You vill pay ze taxes or else.

Reuters source

Yes, I can see the Greeks just loving that idea....

Osem 28-02-2012 18:59

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35390089)
Source

Could be interesting as they thought the Irish were going to put this through on the nod.

Perhaps they don't fancy being next in line for the German 'medicine'....

Osem 28-02-2012 20:54

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35390149)
I thought that the Irish had applied a stitch in time and managed to avoid getting into the Greek position.

I wonder how many times they'll be asked this time before they get it right.

They've borrowed themselves some time for sure (and of course the UK taxpayer has stumped up too via large bilateral loans) but sooner or later the Germans, who're calling the shots, will start wanting to dictate financial policy elsewhere in the Eurozone and countries like Ireland, Portugal, Spain and Italy are in line for their very own variation on the Greek treatment I reckon. That'll be the quid pro quo...

Sometimes people need a little help to make the 'right' decisions so, yes, it might require the question to be asked more than once. :)

Derek 28-02-2012 22:33

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
I wonder how many times the EU will make them run this referendum until they give the 'right' result. :rolleyes:

Osem 28-02-2012 23:02

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek (Post 35390281)
I wonder how many times the EU will make them run this referendum until they give the 'right' result. :rolleyes:

"You vill say yes!...."

Alan Fry 01-03-2012 09:51

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35390089)
Source

Could be interesting as they thought the Irish were going to put this through on the nod.

They will have no choice, if they vote no, then they will be given the vote again (othewise the Eurozone will collapse!)

---------- Post added at 08:51 ---------- Previous post was at 08:49 ----------

All this will result in the political map of Europe being changed, whether it is for the better or worse, well that is another matter!

denphone 02-03-2012 12:15

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-17230760

Quote:

All but two of the EU's 27 leaders have signed a new treaty to enforce budget discipline within the bloc.

The "fiscal compact" aims to prevent the 17 eurozone states running up huge debts like those which sparked the Greek, Irish and Portuguese bailouts.

To take effect, the pact must be ratified by 12 eurozone states.

UK Prime Minister David Cameron, who with the Czechs refused to sign, said his proposals for cutting red tape and promoting business had been ignored.

But the newly re-appointed President of the European Council, Herman Van Rompuy, said British calls to boost the EU economy were being taken seriously and he had sought to re-draft the summit's conclusions accordingly
Well we shall see.

martyh 02-03-2012 12:26

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35391567)

I thought that all erozone states had to agree for it to be ratified ,i thought that was point of cameron using his veto ,or did the goal posts get shifted to allow a minimum of 12 states ?

Alan Fry 02-03-2012 12:54

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35391567)

We are now a step closer to a United States of Europe!

When (and how) will it happen, well we will wait and see!

Hugh 02-03-2012 13:45

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
In your dreams, Alan....

denphone 02-03-2012 14:05

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35391596)
We are now a step closer to a United States of Europe!

When (and how) will it happen, well we will wait and see!

You obviously had another vivid dream last night and perhaps you will have another one tonight.:D

Alan Fry 02-03-2012 14:15

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35391649)
You obviously had another vivid dream last night and perhaps you will have another one tonight.:D

But this deal means that the financial affairs of the Eurozone states are now run by the EU (i.e. Germany)

Hugh 02-03-2012 18:23

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Alan, re your signature
Quote:

Remember, Next time there is an election, vote the Green Party and maybe Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition
you do realise it is illegal to vote more than once in an election? ;)

denphone 02-03-2012 18:35

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
He must have a alter ego.:)

Derek 02-03-2012 19:52

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35391794)
Alan, re your signatureyou do realise it is illegal to vote more than once in an election? ;)

Unless you are of a certain background in a marginal labour seat in which case you can happily create up to 50 people per one bedroom flat to give postal votes to, errr allegedly. :erm:

Alan Fry 02-03-2012 23:15

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35391794)
Alan, re your signatureyou do realise it is illegal to vote more than once in an election? ;)

I meant it is a good idea to vote for one of those parties depending in the election

Hugh 02-03-2012 23:17

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
You may wish to substitute "or" for "and", then.....

Sirius 03-03-2012 10:54

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35391927)
You may wish to substitute "or" for "and", then.....

Would he understand what you have just posted

Sirius 03-03-2012 12:50

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35392054)
Only if you substitute "!" for "." :D

:LOL:

Osem 03-04-2012 11:30

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Spain's jobless level hits record 4.75 million
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-17594684

Quote:

The number of Spanish jobseekers rose for the eighth month in a row in March to hit a record 4.75 million.

The Labour Ministry said the number of people filing for unemployment benefits rose by 38,769 with the services sector seeing the most jobs lost.

The jobless rate in Spain stood at 23.6% in February, according to EU figures released on Monday.

The situation is even worse for young Spaniards as youth unemployment is running at 50%.
These are eyewatering numbers. :shocked:

ntluser 03-04-2012 13:04

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35408923)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-17594684



These are eyewatering numbers. :shocked:

Wonder if Spain is using the same UK employment companies as those scandalously highlighted in Panorama's Apprenticeship scandal programme?

Truth be told the only government that seems to be getting unemployment figures down is the United States.

Our government has no idea what to do so they engage these ripoff companies to do the job for them.

Osem 16-04-2012 14:16

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
The cost of borrowing for Spain has jumped above 6%, raising again the prospect of a bailout.

The yield on Spain's 10-year bonds reached 6.1%, ahead of auctions of debt on Tuesday and Thursday that could be increasingly expensive for Spain.

Investors have been worried by data showing Spain's banks are entirely dependent on emergency ECB loans....

....The yield suggests that if Spain wanted to borrow for 10 years today, it would pay more than 6%.

In comparison, the yield on 10-year bonds from Germany, the eurozone's strongest economy, is 1.73%.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-17725771

How long can this go on I wonder.

ntluser 16-04-2012 15:32

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35414503)
The cost of borrowing for Spain has jumped above 6%, raising again the prospect of a bailout.

The yield on Spain's 10-year bonds reached 6.1%, ahead of auctions of debt on Tuesday and Thursday that could be increasingly expensive for Spain.

Investors have been worried by data showing Spain's banks are entirely dependent on emergency ECB loans....

....The yield suggests that if Spain wanted to borrow for 10 years today, it would pay more than 6%.

In comparison, the yield on 10-year bonds from Germany, the eurozone's strongest economy, is 1.73%.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-17725771

How long can this go on I wonder.

Just shows, Osem, that the EU has not solved the Euro problem; they have merely delayed it.No doubt, we will revisit the Euro crisis situation again in the not so distant future.

Governments really need to get their costs down and that won't happen as long as the leaders hang onto their large salaries while everybody else suffers.

The EU is far too expensive to run and the money could be better spent developing the national infrastructures and getting people back to work.

Unfortunately, our leaders don't know how to do that, but they still want a big salary for failing.

Hugh 16-04-2012 15:48

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
FYI, the yield from UK Government 10 year bonds is just above 2%.

Ignitionnet 16-04-2012 16:53

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35414558)
FYI, the yield from UK Government 10 year bonds is just above 2%.

Of course what it would be if the BoE hadn't bought the bulk of the issue with created money is a different story.

Since 2008 the government has borrowed over 500bln, the BoE have bought over 60% of it. The government is borrowing from itself, that and that we have our own currency are the only reason the bond yields are low, on the basic economics they should be through the roof given 47% of GDP goes on public spending, more than Sweden or Norway, whlie we only raise about 37% of GDP from taxation.

We may have a higher budget deficit than Portugal, Italy, Greece, Spain or Ireland for this year. I struggle to see what we're doing to earn such a low yield beyond it indicating the desperation of the money markets. That S+P had the nerve to affirm the UK's AAA rating giving Osborne isn't only going to miss his own deficit targets but Alistair Darling's is farcical.


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