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Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
This is all going to get ugly soon the recriminations will start on all sides and complicate matters further then they already are. As for the chaos that was polling stations ours were ok but having spoken to a friend in leicester he has also said there was complere disorganisation at his and he said others had said the same so what the hell is going on this shouldn't be happening in the UK in this day and age.
Personally i think we will all be back at the polling stations sooner rather then later because i don't think there is anyone that is going to hand over completely what the lib dems want unless GB caves completely to cling to power. |
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In that case, the Labour Party is a party made up of Union Reps........ You really are Baron Mandelson of Foy's (ooh, a Baron - isn't that a bit "elitist"?) voice on CF, aren't you - spinning and twisting in the wind. |
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Well Plaid Cymru, who Labour would probably need for a coalition as Lib Dems alone won't be enough, have a fairly simple demand - 300mln more for Wales. Northern Irish parties also want public sector spending protected and Labour will need their support too as the Lib Dems and PC wouldn't be enough.
Am I the only one who would find it distasteful if Labour were so desperate to stay in power they'd basically bribe regional parties with money they don't have in the current economy? It's bad enough that the current constituencies are inaccurate, especially in Scotland which has a hugely disproportionate number of seats relative to its' population, to the point where if Labour and the Tories' share of the vote had been reversed Labour would have a comfortably majority and indeed the Tories had a better result than Labour did last time around. |
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Despite having many times said he'd do the right thing and listen to/reflect the wishes of the people you can bet Brown is going to hang onto power by his fingertips for as long as he can. One thing that's clear from this election is that the people don't want Brown but so arrogant is this man that there's precious little chance of him listening to that sentiment.
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Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
The system certainly needs changing. STV is the fairest way to do it. I voted LibDem, but the system, as we all know, discriminates against them.
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Well there you go, first shot goes to the Lib Dems and Tories to try and come and together.
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In at least 54 constituencies they've won with FPTP. All they have to do is increase their popularity in other areas above the other parties and they'll win the seats. It's not the FPTP fault they aren't good enough to do that. |
Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
This has got to be the most hilarious excuse for losing a vote, ever:
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Does the libdem constitution prevent them standing in more than 325 constituencies? ---------- Post added at 14:16 ---------- Previous post was at 14:11 ---------- Quote:
Ergo, Etonians generally are at the high end of the academic scale. You appear to be under the misconception that having intelligent, qualified people running the country is a bad thing. |
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Toffs in government will look after toffs first, them the small 'uneducated' man last.
By uneducatated I mean those who never attended "Oxford, Cambridge, Eaton etc" |
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You seem to be under the incorrect impression that all tory supporters and party members went to public school, live in stately homes and talk like Boris Johnson. Sorry to explode your myth. Also growing up in Liverpool during the riots, living on the breadline during the Thatcher era doesn't mean that I should be pre-disposed to to vote Labour. |
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http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/news/ar...0&in_page_id=2 |
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As I said, all they have to do is be more popular in more constituencies. What would you say to adjusting the borders so each constituency had the same population? In local council news, the uBNP have lost 3 council seats. |
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Do you consider yourself uneducated? |
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Guess it's time to look at how the Conservative government will effect me.
Ah well get your coat Gordon your times come. |
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Loving the attempts at class warfare from the usual suspects in this thread :)
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See my previous comments regarding vomit coloured turds with red rosettes. |
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I voted Labour as I don't have what's classed as the normal trapping of Mr Avg eg, car, mortgage, kids, business, highly paid etc etc. I can say I'm better off now than I was 5-6 years ago so why should I rock the boat so to speak.
I haven't spoken much in these political threads as my ignorance would shine through quite clearly. And from what I've seen, there's too much 'superiority' over those that don't take that amount of interest in politics. It sounds like anyone with a difference of opinion (eg non Tory) gets slated and ridiculed here. There's nothing wrong with being ignorant when it comes to politics, as those that know it all basically means they are just that bit too boring for my own liking. From what I can gather, the Tory's thought they'd win clearly, and they haven't. Labour did well considering, they ain't out yet which means something I suppose. Lib Dems, well, I'd have thought they'd have done a bit better. Apart from that, I don't care enough from here on in as I've done my bit and there's nothing else I can do. |
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does this mean david cameron is the new pm?
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http://news.bbc.co.uk is your friend. |
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The Tory "offer" was a joke! They did not promise a single thing, a inquiry into reform? We have had that already. Cameron seems to think that the sole purpose of the Lib Dems is too prop his party up. That's not what I voted for. The Tories have not got a majority, they need to conceed something.
I hope the Lib Dems reject him and force them to govern as a minority governent. Real half-arsed display of leadership there, he clearly doesn't have enough authority in his party to offer anything |
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If what people say about FPTP was actually true, landslides like in 97 wouldn't be possible, but they are. It's why the predictions based on poll swings (not the exit polls) were wrong, you cannot apply a national % swing because it is not the nation voting as a whole, but 650 individual elections. |
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At least it was genuine as opposed to Labour's newly discovered interest in electoral reform. Labour are quite simply desperate to stay in power. The Lib Dems (unofficially) seem to disagree with you, a source describing it as interesting and worth considering, not to mention that Cameron has never ruled out a PR referendum and the devil is in the detail and the negotiation. To give the Lib Dems everything straight away would be bad negotiation and the kind of desperation that Labour are reeking of right now. It seemed to me to be a measured opening gambit in a weekend of negotiation, nothing more. http://order-order.com/2010/05/07/th...tion-part-iii/ is interesting and a very nice thought actually, if it can take the best bits out of both parties :) |
Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
How predictable we all are certain partys didn't win therefore it's "blame the system" rather then accept your party whichever one didn't do enough to win torys made the biggest mistake here this election was there for the taking but i wasn't convinced enough by their campaign i thought it was a little too positive and needed a little more of the passion of attack.
But on the plus side as i voted tory i am now a toff :p: despite the fact i live in a housing association owned house am on state benefits didn't go to private school damn i did well out of this election. As for the nauseating horse trading that is to come i can see this going either way for the lib dems they may get some of what they want though no where near all or anywhere near all of it or the public may view them as blackmailing the country while they attempt to get what they want risky game methinks for mr clegg. Personally i would just prefer to go back to the polls for a run off but won't happen so guess were all going to have to get used to huge amounts of insincere liking between people idealogically opposed while they try and come up with something to keep\gain power not very gratifying to see for any of us. |
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Otherwise there is no incentive for the Liberal Democrats to partner with the Tories. If they get nothing then why vote with the Tories. They are under no obligation too. Quote:
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Liberal Democrates. 23% = 57 seats Labour 29% = 258 seats. That is not a fair system. At all. |
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I did see some offers there - mention of changes in taxation to follow the Lib Dem's ideas more closely, changing priorities in some policy areas to more closely match those of the Lib Dems, it certainly wasn't 'nothing' and what wasn't said is every bit as informative as what was said. Fear not, it was a negotiating position not the final offer. Quote:
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LibDems 23% spread across fewer constituencies = 57 seats. Seems easy to understand to me. If the LibDems were better at it they'd get more votes across the nation. Interesting how despite the landslide against them in 97, the Tories didn't whinge about the voting system. To quote Russ, the LDs need to "man up" and do better with the voting public. |
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If electoral reform was the massive issue many would like us to believe rather then a topic to get excited about when it comes time to negotiate a coalition why didn't more people vote for the lib dems and labour the two partys that made a big point of it. Fact is at a time like this when this country has so many other real problems to deal with and get sorted out electoral reform is an indulgence that we simply cannot afford. Sure those who are passionate about it will claim it is a big issue but the rest of the public i think are more bothered by the other multiple more pressing issues and want them dealt with for all our futures.
Also havn't labour done a lot of tinkering with boudaries and stuff that has made it very hard for anyone to unseat them hence this election in the last thirteen years might be wrong but i am sure i have heard on the tele someone saying they had set things up to benefit them more then any other party. |
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Anyway I am not saying it wasn't "easy to understand", I am saying that only 7% more people voted Labour yet the seat distribution is unevenly favors them. It may be fine if you voted for the winner, but it's pretty demoralizing if your voted for the Liberal Democrats and your vote just never bloody matters.- Quote:
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Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
My biggest concern about all of this is, after hearing Alex Salmond talking about the 'mighty hand' he and PC have been dealt, is that if Tories and Lib Dems can't come to some kind of arrangement Labour will happily sell a large part of England down the river in order to remain in power and keep the public money flowing to their heartlands.
The idea, given cuts are inevitable, of Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland either seeing no spending cuts or even spending increases while England picks up the tab is totally distasteful but is certainly something that I wouldn't put past Labour at all. |
Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
News just in from Sky:
William Hague has told Sky News that Nick Clegg and David Cameron have spoken on the phone... last half hour. |
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Hmm, didn't someone recently say they lost out because more voters from a different party turned out, now, who was that? Personally, I'd prefer the Tory idea of equal population constituencies and keep FPTP. Why should people be forced to vote for candidates they don't want? Incidently, for the prior 3 elections, the Tories haven't won, yet I, and them, are not calling for PR. |
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Changing the voting system would mean that more of the electorate gets represented. |
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Didn't realise Tories weren't allowed to talk to Sky News. John Major has been happily talking with the BBC if it helps with balance, he just wasn't privvy to the above information so couldn't discuss it at the time. |
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Maybe the Queen has done the same? |
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My only major concern over PR is that I kinda like being able to vote for my MP rather than having to vote purely on national issues. Having an MP assigned to my constituency based on other people's votes isn't a great thought.
They have to be careful. I would be more interested in balancing the constituencies properly for now, along with some other reforms to make things somewhat fairer overall. Going pure PR doesn't appeal though. A hybrid FPTP / PR would be ideal though I've no idea how that'd work :D |
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If it meant that much to you to have a Lib Dem MP you could always move to a Lib Dem area. |
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Also, under PR you tend to have more parties, thus further increasing the choice. ---------- Post added at 17:45 ---------- Previous post was at 17:42 ---------- Quote:
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Such a system is actually what is proposed by the Liberal Democrats, you vote for your MP and list the candidates in order, if no one gets above 50% the candidate with the fewest votes has their voters choices moved onto their 2nd choice until a candidate does have 50%. |
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I don't find the idea of losing some of the locality of the FPTP system good. While on one side one could say that the Lib Dems would receive far more seats the fact would be that a majority of the people in a majority of those seats did not vote for the MP they will receive as a result of PR. Great for the Lib Dems nationally, not so great locally especially in areas where strongly Tory or Labour seats find themselves with a Lib Dem MP who may not represent their views locally. It's swings and roundabouts, it's all well and good jumping up and down saying that the Lib Dems didn't get as many MPs as their share of the vote suggests but there is a local flip side of denying the majority, potentially vast majority of people in some ridings the representative they voted for. |
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The current would have worked when their was a greater focus on your MP rather than the party. Now a lot of people, most people, do vote for parties and their policies and as a result the safe seat issue is a problem. When your Tory MP get's twice as many votes as any other candidate then honestly why vote? |
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And you say this is an improvement? |
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We could vote Lib Dem and end up with a BNP MP - you want to tell a constituency that they just inherited the first BNP MP? I suspect you'd need to replace constituencies with administrative areas similar to County / Borough Council boundaries. Don't think PR of any kind is really compatible with current constituencies. |
Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
Exit Poll
Conservatives 305 Labour 255 Liberal Democrats 61 Others 29 649/650 seats (Thirsk & Malton delayed due to death) Conservatives 306 Labour 258 Liberal Democrats 57 Others 28 |
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Hang on, I think I've got it, there might be more Lib Dem MPs and that's why it's so good, right? The odd uBNP MP here and there is a price worth paying to give a minority party more of a say. Or at least that seems to be the logic behind it (well ok, a more accurate one would be "Waaaaaaaaah! I wanna run the country but people don't like me enough. It's not fair, I'm going to stamp my feet and cry") |
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This system does that but all in one go. You don't have to provide runners up, you can just vote for one person and decide you don't want your vote to go to anyone else in the event your candidate doesn't get in. The effect is that over 50% of the population should be slightly happier with their MP, even if it wasn't their first choice. So that 35% of the area hasn't chosen the mp for the entire 100% of the constituency for example. |
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With some form of PR chances are there would be more than 1 Conservative MP in Scotland. |
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It's not good because their are more Lib Dem MP's, it's good because the make up of Parliament is more representative of the electorate. I have shown the disparity between the popular vote and the make-up of Parliament and at the last election Labour wielded a large majority, a lot of power, with a 38% mandate. A lot of people find that a joke. I understand the worry that without any one party having a large majority they may form a weak government beset by arguing and indecision but a look across the world with the numerical countries with collation governments shows they do ok (Germany as an example). Quote:
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Sadly we can't all have our vote count for something regardless of the system used. I can imagine your frustration not voting Tory and being in a very strong Tory seat but that's how it's turned out. It could be a very, very interesting bit of progress with what the Tories and Lib Dems come up with if they do go down this route though. I agree the current system doesn't work, but it may have by accident gotten something right this time around, albeit in a round about way :) ---------- Post added at 18:10 ---------- Previous post was at 18:09 ---------- Quote:
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Favourite party has 2 candidates. One is good, one is not worth voting for in your opinion. So the choice is, either vote for the one you don't want, or don't vote for a second choice and don't get the candidate you do want elected. That is not an improvement. We need the best people in the commons, not the most representative of the diversity of the nation. For instance, would you really say that a Monster Raving Loony or CURE MP would be of benefit to the running of the nation? |
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I suspect they'll suck it up, get as much as they can out of it, and run with it for a while in the hope of establishing something of a record and improving their standing in a future election. If the Lib Dems just stamp their feet and demand PR it is potentially harmful to them if there's another election in the near future as it opens up a huge angle of attack - the Tories can say that they were ready to co-operate for the good of the country but Lib Dem's 'selfish' demands for electoral reform delayed progress and pushed the country back to the polls. The aims can stay but a healthy dose of pragmatism, especially in the context of previous comments from Nick Clegg and his reputation as an 'honourable politician'. The electorate seems to respond well to the parties working together. I've seen some comments from a Labour MP in Glasgow South regarding the disdain for the idea of Nick Clegg dictating to the Labour party that Gordon Brown has to go - for my money though that's exactly what would have to happen. For the Lib Dems to support Gordon Brown would be political suicide, to support Labour and several others without Brown is merely rather distasteful. |
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By the way the current system doesn't elect the best people, it's elects the party who is most popular but disproportionately represents to the popular vote because of the nature of winner takes all in each seat. If it were about the person then we would see far more independents in the house of commons. ---------- Post added at 18:25 ---------- Previous post was at 18:20 ---------- Here is the Wiki article on STV: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Single_transferable_vote There are others forms as as AV+. |
Re: 2010 General Election: The Cable Forum Exit Poll
Find out how much your vote is really worth here: http://www.voterpower.org.uk/. If you're unlucky enough not to live in a marginal you may be surprised.
In the 2005 election more than half of all voters voted against their winning MP. The reason people favour FPTP system is that it ensures the powerful stay in power. What we can say is that the 2010 election will be the last of the FPTP system and I for one am thankful for that. |
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i'd like to ask how many people decided not to vote conservative after the lies labour told about losing the tax credits system, i've spokern to loads of people in my area and they quite a few said they didn't vote conservative due to the tax credits (being cut :()
of course it wasn't true unless you earn't 45k or above, but that didn't stop labour spouting rubbish and frightening the public just interested to see how much this affected different areas |
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And for the record, I didn't vote Conservative because I'm old enough to remember Thatcher and just in case by some strange anomaly that isn't enough, the Tories will only ever put the needs of the privileged first. |
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[rant]
Why oh why are people moaning about not having enough time to vote. It 15 hours for godsake, its never been a problem before (that I know of), and if your too lazy or stupid to get there on time, perhaps you shouldn't have a vote in the first place. [/rant] I'm sorry but I don't mean to offend, but only a small number have a genuine problem with these hours, and thats why there is a postal vote. |
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