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We leave EU on 29th March 2019 That's the default Statute. There is absolutely no House procedure that can overcome statute. Statute is overturned by statute. |
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If Corbyn backs Brexit, he faces electoral catastrophe is also important in a number of ways. Firstly it has a large sample size and secondly the results are well beyond sampling errors. It clearly show that Corbyn's pathetic attempt to get Labour over the Brexit line in the face of overwhelming internal opposition will lead to his and Labour's electoral demise. It also shows that people have changed their positions since 2016: Quote:
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You may wish to risk this potential harm on the country but Parliament is not as gung ho as you. They need to consider the jobs & prosperity of the country and many, if not the majority, conclude that a No Deal is not in the best interests of the country. This is their job after all ... |
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*No Deal *Mays Deal *Remain would effectively split the 'leaving' votes while leaving the Remain votes as they were. It would have to be Binary . . but since there won't be one it's just hot air ;) |
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The example you provide also splits the historic remain vote as I'm sure that some previous remain-voters would now vote for her deal and not remain. |
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At the risk of going blue in the face.
A referendum bill cannot pass Parliament without Government assistance. There is not time. There will not be another referendum unless it is government policy. It is not government policy, therefore it won’t happen. We’re leaving in March, either with May’s deal or no deal. |
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Governments can move quickly if need be. How long does it physically need to pass such legislation? A day? We're in uncharted territory here so nothing can be ruled out. ---------- Post added 07-01-2019 at 00:17 ---------- Previous post was 06-01-2019 at 23:55 ---------- Quote:
But all pretty hypothetical to me as I think a second referendum unlikely. |
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Her language acknowledges that when Parliament reconvenes, some arch-remainers May try to insert an amendment in the vote on the deal to make it contingent on a second referendum. Have no doubt, this argument is going to come up, and May is setting out her position in advance.
However, regardless of anything Parliament decides, there is not time to actually pass a referendum bill before we leave anyway. All they risk is forcing us to hold a referendum having already left with no deal. This has been her strategy for some weeks now - run the clock down. It’s her deal or no deal. We’re leaving in March. Article 50 will not be rescinded before we leave. |
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Good to see some MPs sticking up for the manufacturing sector.
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Im sure there is no self interest there at all :erm:
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With Article 50 it is thought that the EU will allow an extension if they feel there is proper reason for one, I.e not to just have longer negotiations.
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Over 200 cowards then that can’t see that if the UK plays a tough hand and that we’re prepared to walk away, we can fight for a much better deal. But oh no, they want to show weakness.
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We made the decision to leave the EU, we do not get to dictate the terms of how we exit. It's very simple. |
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Article 50 is extended New referendum to follow |
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However, since we're now speculating wildly, rather that than the civil war how about the one that occurs when the economy crashes, house prices crash, food shortage, thousands/hundreds of thousands/millions lose their jobs. The whole Brexit conundrum is due to the closeness of the vote. And realistically now we know the options that are available to us surely another vote is whats required. Democracy does not usurp democracy. |
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Be honest it will just be ratty comments in forums, and the Torygraph. People don't 'do' anything any longer. The Brexit Brigade would need Help the Aged as allies in a 'War' anyway..... ;) |
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Sorry, but that is not a true democracy to me that people fought hard and died for. It is irrelevant that the referendum in 2016 was not binding, however it was one of the largest democratic processes this country has ever undertaken, and over a million more people voted to leave than Remain. All the claptrap about job losses, people losing their houses is just fear mongering rubbish, 90% of the growth in world trade will be OUTSIDE of the EU. We do not need to be in a corrupted EU to do trade deals with less than 10% of the Worlds trade. Democracy decided that we leave, so leave we must. |
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Nobody fought and died for this shambles.
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It's only shambolic because there is no Brexiteer leading the way, this is on the Remainer MPs and civil servants trying to thwart/sabotage the leaving process. |
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No one is thwarting or sabotaging the process intentionally. Its just a total shambles and no-one can negotiate a decent deal.
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Brexit should have been a series of referenda following the vote to leave about the type of Brexit - that way there’d a be a clear message to Parliament about the will of the people and a mandate to negotiate with the EU on that basis. |
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It's completely relevant that the referendum is non binding because we can if we choose just ignore the entire thing (we wont obviously) My response regarding job losses house price collapse etc was as my post stated a wild hypothesis in response to someone else's claims regarding civil war. However it's nice to know we can ignore all the forecasting and prediction models because you claim it's rubbish. If you can provide any predictions or modelling to show that there would be an upturn in the economy then place them here and let's see them. I wonder how long it would take to strike these trade deals with countries outside of the EU and what happens in between the ending of the transition phase to implementation of new trade deals HINT it's a damn site longer than two years. Finally 'Democracy decided that we leave, so leave we must.' Wrong, that's just your opinion not fact. Democracy means we can if we wish take as many goes as we like. The original referendum was badly flawed, we should again having a far better idea of the options repeat the process and lets see if turkeys still vote for Christmas. |
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It now comes down to if Mrs. May is prepared to move forwards with a no deal scenario. Which she won't she doesn't have the power within in her own party and cross the board MP's are prepared to stand up to her. I'll put money on an extension and referendum |
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We leave on 29th March 2019. |
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I don’t gamble, for any reason or cause. It ruins lives. |
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My Mr's worked at ladbrokes for 12 years i went in once to pick up the front door key,that's the only time i've ever been close to the gambling set. |
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https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...9&d=1546871150 |
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https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2019/01/1.png |
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*Carths 1st attempt at a 'no deal' Brexit doomsday scenario* Food Shortages: People will be starving to death because they are unable to buy the expensive exotic foods that they have become accustomed to. Fortunately a great many will survive because egg n chips, sausage n mash, pie n peas and even cheese on toast will be available. Job Losses: I'm afraid this will not come to pass. Due to 1/6 of the nation starving to death (see above) there will be plenty of jobs to go round . . we may even have to beg for foreign workers. Housing Shortages: There will be an initial drop in the amount of homes available due to the very rich among us instantly buying as many houses as they can in order to make a quick buck. However, after two months we should see plenty of homes becoming once more empty and affordable . . . due to it being the rich that are the 1/6th in the first paragraph. NHS Crisis: This will be averted quite easily by people living a much healthier lifestyle. When motor cars and fuel are no longer being imported, push bikes will be the choice of transport for many. The demise of the large supermarket chains (due to no imports) will also lead to people eating healthier . . and many will not bother with the Macdonalds 'drive through' if they're on a pushbike. Medicinal drugs won't be an issue as the entrepreneurs in their new 5 bed homes will be growing cannabis and flood the market with this powerful painkiller. Crime: Expect to see a massive reduction in crime because the police can concentrate on criminals instead of targeting motorists . . except for the occasional case of being caught '2 up' on a pushbike. Cannabis growers will be given 'exemption from prosecution' status, as they're the ones keeping the NHS afloat. Holidays and Leisure: Caravan makers and Butlins will see a resurgence in fortunes |
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Seems about par for the course...
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That sounds quite good actually. Previous generations always had something to regulate population growth. World war, famine, Spanish flu, beubonic plague, etc.
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I'm a coffee drinker . . perhaps I'll need to find a substitute . . alcoholic preferably :D
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Well thats my trust in the government fully restored, I mean.. what could possibly go wrong |
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It is at this time that the UK imports most of its fresh food from other countries. Let's hope nothing around the start of April will hinder any food imports.. |
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So, If Teresa May's deal is rejected. (which looks likely) And the below is true 'Many of us have been clear that parliament will not allow a no-deal situation to unfold, and with less than 12 weeks to go until 29 March it is time for parliament to show our opposition to a no-deal exit' Where does that put the country at apart from the inevitable impasse. I can only think that this goes back to my earlier comment about an extension to Article 50 |
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Go back, read my post again, and this time put in the part you conveniently ignored Actually I'll post the preceding part for you \However, since we're now speculating wildly' You claim it's rubbish too? Try reading things properly it's enlightening ;) |
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If the 2nd ref comes back with a decisive result like 60-40 then jobs a good un. They can get back to the day job and tell the people it’s what they wanted. |
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a decisive result like 60-40 . . . yep I'd go for 'leave' winning with that margin too :D
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I have absolutely no problem with leaving the EU if the people choose even by the original margin. What I have an issue is that people made a decision without having the facts in front of them. Dr to family: We would like to remove the patients treatment. It's causing discomfort to the patient and it's costing a large amount of money. Patients family: Well, what happens if we do remove it? Dr: Well, we won't really know until after we remove it, there's a chance it could be OK with other medication, but we just don't know Patients family: OK, well it could be OK so lets try it. Fast forward two years... Dr: Well, since we agreed all this, studies have shown that there will be short - mid term discomfort with a real chance of significant pain and the patient may not recover fully. But since this is what you asked for we're going to carry on. Patients family: Ummmmmm Dr: We can try and see if the existing medication will work better, but the manufactures say that this is all it will do and no new treatments are available Patients family: Ummmmmm, Could we think about it again ? Hospital security guard: No..., no you can't, you can either have the existing medication or nothing at all |
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ROFL :LOL: :LOL: :LOL:
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the choice was about as simple as you could possibly get. If you wanted to complicate matters with statistical analysis of how good or bad each choice was, you should have said so before the vote, not after it :p: |
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I know, complicating matter with facts? Outrageous :) |
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The irony is had the leave campaign had any kind of awareness they should have pushed for a second referendum on the terms of leaving immediately in July/August 2016.
A clear and indisputable public mandate for our politicians to follow, and over two years in which to work towards it. |
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p.s. think you might need to extend/restart/cancel that countdown clock of yours ! |
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Nearly there don't panic have a nice cup of tea :) |
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It will be the same as before - division and mis information from both camps just like the first.... |
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Surely in fighting and dying for freedom that includes the freedom to change their minds.
Being stuck to an ideologically driven and economically damaging because at one point in time and in the absence of facts a decision was made once sounds like exactly the kind of fascism we fought against. The Nazis won an election in 1933, after all. |
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There is no evidence of anyone changing their minds, polls do not cut it I am afraid. |
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Or are you wanting to dictate to people that they can't change their mind? |
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There is no pre-requisite to establishing anything, nothing needs to be established, people already decided in 2016!!!! :dozey: You're the one wanting people to have changed their minds because YOU don't like the result of the first - we had a vote, only one vote is necessary, we do not keep having the same bloody vote again and again. People chose to leave the EU, so leave the EU we must. |
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That's fine, so we go back to what I said above.
Being stuck to an ideologically driven and economically damaging because at one point in time and in the absence of facts a decision was made once sounds like exactly the kind of fascism we fought against. |
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I'm sure the UK could make one reasonably quickly to secure the continued benefit of their tea industry. Possibly the same with India perhaps to a lesser extent. It's amazing how remainers keep going on about the EU being the better trading block without considering how much the UK currently imports from outside of the EU and did so before membership. Tea is a classic example of that ( we are the "nation of tea drinkers"). I may have to stockpile coffee though, but beer's always an alternative. https://www.statista.com/chart/13062...tea-come-from/ |
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If leaving the EU was economically a good idea the Conservatives would have an agreed position - however they don’t. Politicians have a survival instinct where they don’t want to lose elections and they know the damage will leave them all fighting for their political lives.
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Hope everyone's enjoying The Uncivil War on Channel 4 right now.
In the meantime, the pro-Brexit Daily Telegraph has an interesting exclusive that will dismay leavers. Quote:
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Nope don't feel dismayed - Clock is still ticking down..... ;) |
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I just wish people would not refer to it as a deal, it is not, never has and never will be. The sticking point is the backstop agreement. Unless the EU give assurances on it being a fixed term then there is no chance of passing in Parliament. The EU have been consistant on if the withdrawal agreement is not accepted the there will be no talks on a DEAL! |
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If Theresa May rules something out I’d head down to the bookies and stick my mortgage on it.
As sure fire as shorting the pound on the 23rd June 2016 after 10pm using privately commissioned exit poll data. |
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The clock may need some new batteries. ;) |
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What strikes me as strange was Farage conceding defeat in the knowledge that his private polls said leave would win. |
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Soros |
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Will add this though. https://www.investopedia.com/ask/ans...of-england.asp There are links to others too at the bottom of that page. For those who don't wish to view the page the title is "How did George Soros break the Bank of England?" and remainers are gioing on about Farage??? |
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A straw man. |
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