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Cruella Braverman is going off on one about these figures.
If only we knew who was in charge of the Home Office when this happened… |
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By then, the EU might have imploded. |
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But at least we are not under Brussels' control. The immigration issue is a failure of government policy. |
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What we’re seeing here is failure of government policy. You might call, it corrupt that a cheap labour for profit mechanism (as we have seen) applies, but it is not government policy. You might think that government is corrupt because they have been lobbied for this; but there is no such evidence. Far more likely is that the government just let it go on a mistaken premise that cheap labour in a high employment economy is good. Had we remained in the EU, that would have been the same situation as in Eastern European workers. |
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Unless you have not noticed, nothing is working anymore, public services are in deep never ending crisis, the NHS, social care and community primary services are incredibly hard to access, etc, etc, etc. You can have your sovereignty but it does not make this a better country for the vast majority of its population. |
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Your question speaks to the competence (or otherwise) of those who have held re-patriated powers for the past 3 years (give or take), which is an interesting, but quite different, party political discussion. |
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But your anti-Brexit rant is the same old whingeing rubbish that remaining would not have avoided. ---------- Post added at 12:09 ---------- Previous post was at 12:05 ---------- Quote:
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That’s a "NO”, then… |
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Can we take some orders from Belgium ASAP? Our banks are leaking information to USA and EU.
https://news.bloombergtax.com/daily-...americans-data |
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Where is the evidence of UK banks breaching these customer rights? |
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The merit or not of said gain can only be valued when you look at the entire journey. History will judge that there is no advantageous gain, quite the opposite. ---------- Post added at 15:03 ---------- Previous post was at 15:01 ---------- Quote:
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Santander leaked the info. Try to create a fake account with Santander with a USA birthday address. They will report it to IRS. |
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Right? |
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And last week the National Institute of Economic and Social Research published an updated estimate of the Brexit hit, which it said “Our estimates indicate that the negative impact of Brexit gradually escalates, reaching some 5-6 per cent of GDP or about £2,300 per capita by 2035. The reduction in real incomes resulting from the fall in the UK terms of trade associated with changes in trading relations with the European Union and the fall in productivity are the largest contributors to the estimated reduction in real GDP, with each accounting for over 2.5 percentage points." And Tesla and BYD ruled out investing in new car plants in the UK due to Brexit. We've been fortunate that existing manufacturers have reinvested but the possibility of future divergence is acting as an investment constraint. |
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Is that 'massive'? The referenced article said (and you didn't) that the impact on consumers was 0.6%.
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Covid & Ukraine have completely eclipsed the economic effects of Brexit. |
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As to your expected comment that British companies were made 'less competitive' by the 11%, I don't see that. I think you mean that imported goods cost them more than before for the reasons given by the professor. At worst, the profits of British business might have taken a hit, but the consumer appears not to have felt that. In other words, competitiveness held retail prices down. British business will find ways of increasing profit and that was always going to be the case. We are a sovereign country now. The squabbling between EU countries will continue and we surely wouldn't want to be part of that any more. |
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Consumers and share prices have all felt it. There's no magic trick to increase profitability in a globally competitive market. Nothing wrong with robust discussions in forums and between countries. It's what keeps us all so young on Cable Forum. :) |
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None of that makes it a bad thing in the round to have left the EU and be free of diktat from Brussels (a topic you and your Remainer cohort can't counter). The 'magic trick' to increase productivity is innovation leading to sales growth. For that to succeed, we need an investment friendly government rather than the shitshow on current offer. |
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Nope. Thanks. I told him to do so. |
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https://www.theguardian.com/politics...latest-updates
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There is a principle involved with the boats. The people coming here are refugees from France, interested either on what they can get/take here, or on committing crimes. In principle, they must be stopped. A competent government could have done that. ---------- Post added at 09:56 ---------- Previous post was at 09:43 ---------- Quote:
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If something can be made cheaper in another country ignores the fact someone, or a company, making it here pays income tax and other taxes. The people involved spend money in our towns and communities. |
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Interesting interview with the new Home Secretary in the Times today - he seems more interested in process and results than in headlines.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/9...ec87667577eaaa On a related note, he seems to have "joined up" thinking, rather than just dog-whistling - for instance, Braverman’s proposal to raise the required job salary level for potential immigrants to £40 would have detrimentally affected the Social Care and Health sectors, and her proposal to limit University Visas would have impacted U.K. students, as Overseas students fees subsidise U.K. students (as their £9,250 fees do not, on average, cover the cost of their tuition). |
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A very interesting article by Kuenssberg explaining the political dilemma of immigration, blending various opinions given in this forum. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-67530919 Quote:
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Indeed - Reduced food self-sufficiency - tick - Everyone on average worse off by £2k+ pa - tick - Inability to return unlawful migrants to France - tick - Decreased productivity - tick - Lowest economic growth in Europe except Germany - tick But in fairness, we do have Polish-printed blue passports so it's not all bad! |
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https://www.theguardian.com/politics...ought-obr-says |
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Just been reading about tory run, brexit supporting Cornwell, they received 1 billion in funding from the EU from the year 2000 and was going to receive 350 million more after 2020, instead they've got 18 million quid and the beaches are covered in shit, good job they knew what they were voting for...
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Just in case you were all under some disillusionment, we’re not going back in.
Such wasted energy bitching like little spoilt bitches. Carry on…..by all means, if you like whinging and bitching and moaning while achieving nothing apart from whinging, bitching and moaning ……crack on. |
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Are you sure that the £18 million is not a different fund rather than the SPF (Shared Prosperity Fund) that the UK government is funding since leaving the EU? Another usual Remoaner whinge from you. |
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https://www.cornwall.gov.uk/council-...funding-award/ Another usual ad-hominem attack from you - rather than rebut, you insult… |
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That little outburst is just getting off my chest…because I’m bored of it, and it is also accurate. “Remainers” which is a poor term, Anti-UK is much better and more accurate. All they do is bitch and moan, 7 yrs down the line, thank god I’m not married to one… maaaate…. ---------- Post added at 23:21 ---------- Previous post was at 23:17 ---------- Quote:
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If people don't like Remainers and Leavers being challenged over previous statements they have made v how things turned out, then they should probably not follow this thread.
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Why did you bother saying that, Andrew? Surely you knew it could be picked to pieces. Things haven’t turned out yet in terms of Brexit outcomes. Covid has intervened (and that was a fair old vaccine ding-dong). But things are beginning to evolve satisfactorily. The Nissan investment for electric cars in Sunderland is an important example. We have a free trade deal with the EU and it hasn’t stopped Nissan exporting cars to Europe. I’ve always said that the transition takes time and British business needs (and is) to get into gear. But the Remainers are indeed Remoaners - every opportunity is taken to bitch about leaving that wretched hegemonistic EU, pulling together also sorts of checklists containing irrelevant facts, especially Andrew’s Quote:
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Replace the phrase "remoaner whinge" (or similar) with the term "objective reality" to clarify understanding. :) ---------- Post added at 11:06 ---------- Previous post was at 10:55 ---------- Quote:
What is more sinister is the move to referring to people who call out the lies and damage done in 2016 as "Anti-UK". The irony here is, of course, the decision in 2016 was anti-UK i.e. against the country's short, medium and long term interests. Once you start invoking the nationalist trope, you are leaving your UKIP camp and well on the way to EDL and beyond. |
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Your ‘i.e.’ does not excuse the crassness of your remark. How can a democratic vote in the UK be ‘anti-UK’? It is certainly anti-EU. None of you Remoaners has been able to provide a realistic list damage to the UK caused by Brexit. Also, please tell me whether the EU aim of pulling sovereignty into Brussels (ever growing Union) has your full-hearted approval? That’s what we voted against. People want a better life and business wants to maintain profit. The two go hand in hand and only needs a non-shitshow government to make faster progress on this front. |
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Sometimes people (the 37%) get it wrong. They listen to the lies and enough people are fooled. It happens .. |
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Should we just watch these people continue with their maligned policies and say nothing? Just watch the excrement pumped into the sea & rivers and stay silent? Should we just watch them erode our freedoms and enjoy the race to the bottom? |
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However, what we have achieved is indeed a constitutional change, not a simple legislative one, and it will take time, perhaps considerable time, for the opportunities afforded to be taken full advantage of. Complaints about each individual perceived disadvantage, lacking as they do the deep perspective of time required to fully evaluate a constitutional change, just become white noise after a while. |
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Andrew's list, for example, was reduced to just one piece of damage due to Brexit. You've not produced a valid multiple list either - by 'list' I mean detriment that really matters to everybody. Plus you have called the referendum decision 'anti-UK', which is perverse - but I note you haven't come back on that point. ---------- Post added at 14:34 ---------- Previous post was at 14:32 ---------- Quote:
'Excrement pumped into the sea' - really? Down to Brexit? |
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But I could have said that last year, the year before that and the year before that. Everything else is just variations on a theme until there is a realistic chance this might change. So I don't come on this thread that much other than a cursory glance once in a while and I suggested that Pierre do the same. You don't enter a discussion to declare your disinterest in it (other than me doing it right now obviously). |
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I'm not bored at all. It's fun!
My Leave vote was a marginal decision. What did it was France and the sneaky way they got the WTD changed from veto-able to a H&S issue. True our opt-out mechanism had the same result as no WTD for those who did not want the imposition. But France wields unfair power within the EU and if you couple this with ever closer union, I knew what my vote had to be. Then to see certain Remoaners on here bleating wildly about how Brexit is a disaster for the UK inspires me to fight back. |
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- Reduced food self-sufficiency -I believe Rees-Mogg has acknowledged this. - Everyone on average worse off by £2k+ pa - tick - see the report I cited. - Inability to return unlawful migrants to France - I think you've acknowledged this point. - Decreased productivity - see the report I cited of 2.5% reduction in Brexit. Previously cited but here Replacement of existing models at Nissan is welcome news but should be a given. Where are the new factories? Tesla and BYD have ruled the UK out due to Brexit. https://www.just-auto.com/news/brexi...plant-reports/ https://www.reuters.com/article/us-t...idUKKBN1XN1HW/ As Ian notes, Covid and Ukraine aren't just UK problem but I acknowledge that they will have impacted countries differently. |
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The serious point is the successful project to change macro economic & societal direction of the country using lies & misinformation, delivered by an undemocratic 37% of the electorate. No country's destiny should be changed so significantly on such a woeful majority. A supermajority was essential here. Here's some bedtime reading since you are unware of any harmful effects of Brexit: Economic effects of Brexit Quote:
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The pre-Brexit dip was inevitable because of uncertainty. Now that the FTA is in force, things are operating with certainty and British business will recover the economy. It has to, so it will. As I have already said, the economy is not what it's all about. Not having our independence taken away Brussels is right up there. It just needs a competent government. |
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Akin to 'needs must'. |
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Or to quote it in full
"Needs must when the devil drives…" |
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You are both being very silly.
As I’ve already said, the baseline was reset by Covid. Had we remained in the EU, we would be no better off economically than we are now. There is no mutual ‘pull’ there - they’re all looking after themselves. Germany is in the deep doldrums, France remains totally up itself, Holland and Italy are in political turmoil, Poland seems to be doing well, etc. Because people want to better themselves (=need) and business must make profit to survive (=must), so it will. This has happened before and requires the government to create an investment friendly business regime - which they haven’t properly done. Had we remained in the EU, we would have had the same stupid government, no independence of action but maybe fewer boat people. |
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That difficult bit is more red tape further denting the UK's Brexit-induced declining productivity. |
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You know that Brexit has caused a reduction in productivity? I've previously referenced the relevant reports. Tesla and BYD are not red herrings. We had a chance of winning their factories if we were in the EU. We have zero chance being out of the EU per those companies. |
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Another part of Brexit is set to be completed.
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Spain might be ready to sign something. But is the UK? And what are the terms?
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A snowflake whinger loses his court case in a victory for free speech. I wonder if the Daily Mirror's sister publication the Br'Express will cover this?
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"Some form" is a tad vague but we'll definitely have a closer relationship in the coming years.
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I've no serious objections to "some form of joining the EU", but I seriously object to "re-joining". What we left was a bad egg.
The "some form" would need to be: 1. Retention of national veto (their Parliament wants to abolish this). 2. No possibility of federalisation (ever-closer union). |
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https://x.com/pritipatel/status/1730...Fx9lsEXWlOa1jg
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What has never been explained to me by any Leaver, least of all Farage, Tice and Johnson is what a No Deal Brexit would look like in terms of the NI border, the GFA and what international free trade deals we would have to replace the loss in EU trade we would have if we were to be on WTO trade tariffs. I picked up from Farage and Rees-Mogg that they thought the EU would be so desperate for trade with us they would be clamouring to do a free-trade deal with us asap and that we would be able to call the shots. Moggy explained after the vote that we might not see the full Brexit benefit for 50 years after an initial rough ride. I wish he had said that before the vote. As it turned out, May then Johnson did deals that pleased nobody. Johnson won an election on the basis of getting Brexit done and then proceeded to do a hard Brexit deal, with the UK as a third country, in an all out attempt to be rid of EU rules we had helped make in better days. The EU, contrary to Leave expectations, played hard ball. It turns out, based on the existing trade set up with the EU and other economies that we stand to lose 5% GDP annually over the next 15 years. This doesn't take into account the delayed introduction of full trade regulations that are now due in the spring. Neither does it take into account possible trade deals with the USA and India, although these are unlikely to replace even 1% of trade we have already lost with the EU. It also turns out that universally Johnson's deal is thought to be a bit of a dog's breakfast. Farage hates it as do farmers, fishermen and the owners of SME's across the land. So, help me guys, what does a proper Brexit look like? How would a good Brexit turn out in 5 years, 10 years, 20 years or Moggy's 50 years? |
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We’re out, stay out……for at least a generation, say 30yrs.
Then assess, where we are. |
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To answer Roughie's question: Brexit is defined for me as gaining sovereignty so as not to be governed by a foreign entity. Then, an investment friendly government can help industry to build prosperity. Definition is very simple; execution needs competence. ---------- Post added at 09:04 ---------- Previous post was at 09:02 ---------- Quote:
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