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1andrew1 12-09-2020 19:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Some good but not unexpected news - Oxford trial has resumed ;)
https://news.sky.com/story/coronavir...fects-12069919

jfman 13-09-2020 00:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
We should pay young people who catch Coronavirus a reward for doing so. Herd immunity, after all...

1andrew1 13-09-2020 00:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36049802)
We should pay young people who catch Coronavirus a reward for doing so. Herd immunity, after all...

:D:D:D

Maggy 13-09-2020 09:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36049802)
We should pay young people who catch Coronavirus a reward for doing so. Herd immunity, after all...

Yes and watch them take it home to granny,aunty and everyone vulnerable at home. You be a guinea pig if you like. Keep me out of it.

jfman 13-09-2020 10:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
It wasn’t a serious suggestion. We all, or almost all, know herd immunity is a bad idea and doesn’t protect the economy.

Carth 13-09-2020 10:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36049802)
We should pay young people who catch Coronavirus a reward for doing so. Herd immunity, after all...

Boo not fair . . . unless they also pay us older folk a nice bonus for not catching it. :PP: ;)

jfman 13-09-2020 10:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36049816)
Boo not fair . . . unless they also pay us older folk a nice bonus for not catching it. :PP: ;)

Claw back 25% for everyone they infect over 40, fining them 25% of the value if they infect 5 people. Fair? :D

Carth 13-09-2020 10:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36049817)
Claw back 25% for everyone they infect over 40, fining them 25% of the value if they infect 5 people. Fair? :D

Deal . . if I don't put my own bins out :D

Sephiroth 13-09-2020 11:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36049815)
It wasn’t a serious suggestion. We all, or almost all, know herd immunity is a bad idea and doesn’t protect the economy.

Perhaps use less sarcasm, jfman. I know you can, unlike one or two others.


There's an interesting debate brewing about whether or not we are turning into a "Stasi state".

https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/uk/lord-s...herings-fines/

In the discussion, it was pointed out that Sweden with no lock down and Spain (et al) with stringent lockdown was better off in statistics terms than Spain.

The discussion held out the prospect of Covid Marshals peering through windows to check on how many people they could see! Only half-ridiculous in the wider picture.

Pierre 13-09-2020 11:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36049815)
It wasn’t a serious suggestion. We all, or almost all, know herd immunity is a bad idea and doesn’t protect the economy.

Well according to this scientist, and former chief advisor, we already had 30-50% herd immunity, and there is no second wave coming.

Other opinions are available but he doesn’t come across as some quack that the likes of Fox News would usually wheel in.

https://youtu.be/Su0wMysBYPM

jfman 13-09-2020 11:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36049824)
Well according to this scientist, and former chief advisor, we already had 30-50% herd immunity, and there is no second wave coming.

Other opinions are available but he doesn’t come across as some quack that the likes of Fox News would usually wheel in.

https://youtu.be/Su0wMysBYPM

Yet he's in direct contradiction of the current Chief Medical Officer and Chief Scientific Advisor to the UK Government who view it as a serious risk without mitigation.

The proof will be in the pudding I suppose, not long til we find out. Cases rising and it's not simply due to testing rising according to Whitty. Maybe it's just a blip. Hopefully.

Other countries are in a second wave and Israel is into a second lockdown. Why will it be different for us?

pip08456 13-09-2020 12:29

Re: Coronavirus
 
Oxford Uni Professor of Evidence Based Medicine ⁦@carlheneghan recommends watching this video.


jfman 13-09-2020 12:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36049835)
Oxford Uni Professor of Evidence Based Medicine ⁦@carlheneghan recommends watching this video.


Started watching, got bored. Let me guess open everything back up and we will be fine because someone manipulated a couple of graphs and selectively compared sets of data that aren't directly comparable with each other?

Carth 13-09-2020 12:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Fer gawds sake, don't open the can of worms that is "manipulated graphs and selectively compared sets of data"

People will be accusing the media of bias next :D

Mad Max 13-09-2020 13:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36049839)
Fer gawds sake, don't open the can of worms that is "manipulated graphs and selectively compared sets of data"

People will be accusing the media of bias next :D


:D:D

Taf 13-09-2020 13:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Masks to be a legal requirement to enter shops and indoor public areas in Wales as of tomorrow. The Labour-led Welsh assembly has been dragging its feet over this for several weeks.

And, as expected, local forums are filled to the brim with anti-maskers spouting the crazy conspiracy theories they have accepted as fact from "internet sources".

Forum moderators are stripping their posts and banning those that repost after warnings, but they just push another of their ilk to post the same idiocy.

Hugh 13-09-2020 14:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36049822)
Perhaps use less sarcasm, jfman. I know you can, unlike one or two others.


There's an interesting debate brewing about whether or not we are turning into a "Stasi state".

https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/uk/lord-s...herings-fines/

In the discussion, it was pointed out that Sweden with no lock down and Spain (et al) with stringent lockdown was better off in statistics terms than Spain.

The discussion held out the prospect of Covid Marshals peering through windows to check on how many people they could see! Only half-ridiculous in the wider picture.

that’s hyperbolics, up there with "subjugation" and "enslavement" (not things you’ve said, but others have).

I lived in West Berlin for 3 years at the height of the Cold War, and saw what a "Stasi state" was - use of terms like this in the article just use emotive hyperbolic statements to inflame passion and cause anger, thus making rational debate about real issues difficult.

Sephiroth 13-09-2020 15:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36049854)
that’s hyperbolics, up there with "subjugation" and "enslavement" (not things you’ve said, but others have).

I lived in West Berlin for 3 years at the height of the Cold War, and saw what a "Stasi state" was - use of terms like this in the article just use emotive hyperbolic statements to inflame passion and cause anger, thus making rational debate about real issues difficult.

Yes I agree it’s hyperbole. But it frames a scene succinctly. With the brains on this forum, I don’t see that framing as inflaming passion, etc.

nomadking 13-09-2020 15:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
All the restrictions should be considered the same as if there was a severe storm going on. People cover themselves up in cold or bad weather, so what is the real problem? People find themselves locked in by bad weather, eg "Beast from the East" of 2018, so again what is the real difference? It may be lasting long, but that is all. The longer people flaunt the restrictions, the longer the whole thing will go on for.

Kushan 13-09-2020 19:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Has anyone linked this discussion point yet? I think it's rather interesting: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-h...y-researchers/

Quote:

Face masks may be inadvertently giving people Covid-19 immunity and making them get less sick from the virus, academics have suggested in one of the most respected medical journals in the world.

The commentary, published in the New England Journal of Medicine, advances the unproven but promising theory that universal face mask wearing might be helping to reduce the severity of the virus and ensuring that a greater proportion of new infections are asymptomatic.
TL;DR - Wearing a mask and having others around you wear masks seems to be granting people immunity to the virus by minimising exposure to it.

Completely unproven at this point, of course, but yet another good reason to wear a mask.

OLD BOY 13-09-2020 19:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36049825)
Yet he's in direct contradiction of the current Chief Medical Officer and Chief Scientific Advisor to the UK Government who view it as a serious risk without mitigation.

The proof will be in the pudding I suppose, not long til we find out. Cases rising and it's not simply due to testing rising according to Whitty. Maybe it's just a blip. Hopefully.

Other countries are in a second wave and Israel is into a second lockdown. Why will it be different for us?

Because we locked down later I guess and got it over and done with in one.

---------- Post added at 19:25 ---------- Previous post was at 19:19 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36049864)
All the restrictions should be considered the same as if there was a severe storm going on. People cover themselves up in cold or bad weather, so what is the real problem? People find themselves locked in by bad weather, eg "Beast from the East" of 2018, so again what is the real difference?

It may be lasting long, but that is all. The longer people flaunt the restrictions, the longer the whole thing will go on for.

The difference is that the 'Beast from the East' didn't last for months.

Lockdowns are extremely damaging in so many ways, so it is sensible of the PM to rule out another one.

jfman 13-09-2020 19:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36049897)
Because we locked down later I guess and got it over and done with in one.

There is absolutely no evidence for this, it is simply your latest line grasping at the straw that the virus will simply go away. None of the serology testing indicate that antibodies are more prevalent in the UK population than Spain, Italy or France. The Government advice is that we are 2-4 weeks behind Spain/France etc and that steps are required to prevent the situation becoming desperate.

Quote:

The difference is that the 'Beast from the East' didn't last for months.

Lockdowns are extremely damaging in so many ways, so it is sensible of the PM to rule out another one.
Yet he hasn't ruled out another one - he's spending £100bn on his operation moonshot to desperately avoid one.

OLD BOY 13-09-2020 19:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36049901)
There is absolutely no evidence for this, it is simply your latest line grasping at the straw that the virus will simply go away. None of the serology testing indicate that antibodies are more prevalent in the UK population than Spain, Italy or France. The Government advice is that we are 2-4 weeks behind Spain/France etc and that steps are required to prevent the situation becoming desperate.

I have already pointed out that there is a school of thought that our late lockdown could have resulted in the peak of the virus being relatively unaffected by that lockdown.

Interesting that evidence that is out there you ignore if it doesn't suit your agenda. The experience of Sweden, with its minimal emergency measures, is particularly interesting in this regard.

nomadking 13-09-2020 19:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kushan (Post 36049896)
Has anyone linked this discussion point yet? I think it's rather interesting: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-h...y-researchers/

TL;DR - Wearing a mask and having others around you wear masks seems to be granting people immunity to the virus by minimising exposure to it.

Completely unproven at this point, of course, but yet another good reason to wear a mask.

But if a mask worn by an infected person, protects others, then that won't happen, ie the infected person has to NOT be wearing a mask for this alleged effect to take place. Then you also have spreading by contact.

jfman 13-09-2020 19:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36049903)
I have already pointed out that there is a school of thought that our late lockdown could have resulted in the peak of the virus being relatively unaffected by that lockdown.

Interesting that evidence that is out there you ignore if it doesn't suit your agenda. The experience of Sweden, with its minimal emergency measures, is particularly interesting in this regard.

A 'school of thought' - in other words idle speculation. You can continue to bury your head in the sand all you please, but when we follow France and Italy into the 10,000 infections a day category and it inevitably overspills into the at risk age groups you can't say you weren't warned.

Is that Sweden where they closed the high schools and everyone that can work from home is working from home? Sweden that is also taking a hit on GDP? All the data points towards people adhering in some respect to scientific recommendations. Behaviour that your average "I know better than scientists" Brit moron would be incapable of doing voluntarily.

You're once again living in a fantasy world based on selective use of information. The good news is it's impossible for us to go down the Sweden route without overwhelming the NHS, hundreds of thousands of deaths, and people will not stand for it.

The capitalist wet dream of normal isn't ever coming back.

Paul 13-09-2020 20:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kushan (Post 36049896)
TL;DR - Wearing a mask and having others around you wear masks seems to be granting people immunity to the virus by minimising exposure to it.

Exactly how does not being exposed to something grant you immunity from it :confused:

Hugh 13-09-2020 20:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36049903)
Ihave already pointed out that there is a school of thought that our late lockdown could have resulted in the peak of the virus being relatively unaffected by that lockdown.

Interesting that evidence that is out there you ignore if it doesn't suit your agenda. The experience of Sweden, with its minimal emergency measures, is particularly interesting in this regard.

Repeatedly, without evidence...

jfman 13-09-2020 20:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36049907)
Repeatedly, without evidence...

Blind optimism.

Damien 13-09-2020 20:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36049906)
Exactly how does not being exposed to something grant you immunity from it :confused:

The mask still can expose you to the virus but under the theory they're talking about here the mask exposes you to a smaller viral load thus making the infection you subsequently catch less aggressive. Having the infection at all then grants you immunity.

1andrew1 13-09-2020 20:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36049903)
I have already pointed out that there is a school of thought that our late lockdown could have resulted in the peak of the virus being relatively unaffected by that lockdown.

You've not backed this up with any evidence, Old Boy. We were able to find one maths professor in Bristol who had modelled this but he was subsequently discredited.

I'm no fan of lockdowns due to the negative economic and social impact they have. But given the situation in UK hospitals, which presumably Sweden didn't have, we had no choice.

Pierre 13-09-2020 20:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36049901)
None of the serology testing indicate that antibodies are more prevalent in the UK population than Spain, Italy or France.

Anti-bodies are not the only metric, if you listened to the interview with the doctor that I posted, he put forward that a large % of the population would already have T-cell immunity.

So if anti-body test come in negative doesn’t mean you haven’t already had and combatted the virus.

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/2018...-help-protect/

jfman 13-09-2020 20:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36049919)
Anti-bodies are not the only metric, if you listened to the interview with the doctor that I posted, he put forward that a large % of the population would already have T-cell immunity.

So if anti-body test come in negative doesn’t mean you haven’t already had and combatted the virus.

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/2018...-help-protect/

There's no solid evidence for this, merely optimistic speculation. A few of you do have a lot of immediate buy-in to anything that tells you what you want to hear - that the virus isn't serious/will go away by itself/we can go back to normal with little/no restrictions.

Hundreds are now testing positive every day in the 'at risk' age groups. Hospitalisations are creeping up. Test, trace, isolate is falling apart at the seams and the Government are preparing for telling 4.6 million people (customers?) to shield for an almost indefinite period of time.

Paul 13-09-2020 23:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Thank you Mr Doom & Gloom, you must be a real blast at parties. :erm:

Kushan 13-09-2020 23:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36049904)
But if a mask worn by an infected person, protects others, then that won't happen, ie the infected person has to NOT be wearing a mask for this alleged effect to take place. Then you also have spreading by contact.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36049906)
Exactly how does not being exposed to something grant you immunity from it :confused:

Unless they're surgical masks, masks don't prevent or filter 100% of the mucus from your breathing from spreading, it just cuts it down quite a bit. Likewise if you're wearing one. The idea is that a tiny portion of the virus might still make its way into your system and your body will be able to fight it off before it takes hold (Asymptomatic) - and thus you've got the antibodies. It also suggests that even if you do develop symptons, the'll be much lesser than if you'd had a lot more exposure.

I mean it makes sense really. It might also explain why numbers were so high in the beginning and have dropped considerably. It would also explain why hospitalisation/death rates haven't gone up as much as recent infection rates.

But still, it's completely unproven at this point. Science, innit.

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36049903)
I have already pointed out that there is a school of thought that our late lockdown could have resulted in the peak of the virus being relatively unaffected by that lockdown.

So this late lockdown results in both the peak being unaffected, but also prevents a second lockdown? So...did it have an effect or not?

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36049903)
Interesting that evidence that is out there you ignore if it doesn't suit your agenda.

You're peddling this one, you could just cite one source instead of gesturing broadly towards sweden.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36049939)
Thank you Mr Doom & Gloom, you must be a real blast at parties. :erm:

Hey, the virus doesn't give a hoot if you're an optimist or a pessimist.

nomadking 14-09-2020 00:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36049925)
There's no solid evidence for this, merely optimistic speculation. A few of you do have a lot of immediate buy-in to anything that tells you what you want to hear - that the virus isn't serious/will go away by itself/we can go back to normal with little/no restrictions.

Hundreds are now testing positive every day in the 'at risk' age groups. Hospitalisations are creeping up. Test, trace, isolate is falling apart at the seams and the Government are preparing for telling 4.6 million people (customers?) to shield for an almost indefinite period of time.

The way the immune system works is that antibodies disappear after a few months, so no antibodies doesn't meant you're not immune. It would be wasteful of the immune system to be constantly churning out antibodies for every single thing you've come across in your lifetime without the antigen(virus etc) being present.
Differences between Primary and Secondary Immune Response

Quote:

The primary immune response occurs when an antigen comes in contact to the immune system for the first time. During this time the immune system has to learn to recognize antigen and how to make antibody against it and eventually produce memory lymphocytes.
The secondary immune response occurs when the second time (3rd, 4th, etc.) the person is exposed to the same antigen. At this point immunological memory has been established and the immune system can start making antibodies immediately.
Link
Quote:

  • Declining phase
Antibody levels slowly decrease, due to existing plasma cells dying off, with no new plasma cells generated to replace them. The immunogen has probably been eliminated from the body, so no further antibody production is needed

Secondary Immune Response

For second and subsequent encounters with similar antigens, secondary (anamnestic) immune responses occur. Here, the lag phase is shorter, and high and steady levels of antibodies are generated within a few days. This is due to antigen-specific memory T and B cells, originally produced during the primary response.
Due to the rapidness of the secondary immune response, the antigen can be eliminated from the body fairly soon after it has entered, and before it causes disease. The antibodies produced remain in circulation longer to ensure the infection has disappeared.


denphone 14-09-2020 05:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36049939)
Thank you Mr Doom & Gloom, you must be a real blast at parties. :erm:

It does take all sorts to make this forum.;)

jfman 14-09-2020 05:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
If there was cause for optimism I’d share it. :D

denphone 14-09-2020 06:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36049956)
If there was cause for optimism I’d share it. :D

Given the latest numbers and one country now offically in its second lockdown you might well be right.

Pierre 14-09-2020 07:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36049925)
There's no solid evidence for this, merely optimistic speculation.

You really need to read things before making statements on evidence that doesn’t fit your narrative.

T-cell immunity is a well researched and published scientific fact, and although more research needs to be done on the levels of immunity to COVID 19, as it is new, the has been lots of research done with other novel Corona-viruses such as SARS and MERS

In relation to COVID article states

Quote:

I think the good news is that most people who’ve been infected – from those who are hospitalised through to those who are asymptomatic – seem to have decent levels of T cell immunity. It’s also a very widely targeted immunity, meaning that an array of different proteins made by the virus become targets for T cells.
doesn’t read as idle speculation to me.

Sephiroth 14-09-2020 08:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
On the question of re-infection, the missing link in understanding what's actually happening is as follows:

The articles I've read do not state whether or not the re-infected person developed symptoms and became ill. I can certainly imagine a person becoming re-infected, testing positive, but the immune system having dealt with the infection.

Anyone know the situation there?


OLD BOY 14-09-2020 08:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36049907)
Repeatedly, without evidence...

You were sent the press item. I incorrectly stated that it was a scientific calculation, but actually it was a mathematical calculation.

I guess it's only 'evidence' if it says what you want it to say.

Maggy 14-09-2020 08:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
On social media I tend not to read the comments. Here I have to and it's remarkably similar to social media..;)

OLD BOY 14-09-2020 09:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36049905)
A 'school of thought' - in other words idle speculation. You can continue to bury your head in the sand all you please, but when we follow France and Italy into the 10,000 infections a day category and it inevitably overspills into the at risk age groups you can't say you weren't warned.

Is that Sweden where they closed the high schools and everyone that can work from home is working from home? Sweden that is also taking a hit on GDP? All the data points towards people adhering in some respect to scientific recommendations. Behaviour that your average "I know better than scientists" Brit moron would be incapable of doing voluntarily.

You're once again living in a fantasy world based on selective use of information. The good news is it's impossible for us to go down the Sweden route without overwhelming the NHS, hundreds of thousands of deaths, and people will not stand for it.

The capitalist wet dream of normal isn't ever coming back.

It is not 'wild speculation'. What is wild speculation is believing that you can lock everyone down forever.

If you really believe in this nonsense view, jfman, it is pointless continuing this debate with you.

---------- Post added at 09:06 ---------- Previous post was at 09:01 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36049918)
You've not backed this up with any evidence, Old Boy. We were able to find one maths professor in Bristol who had modelled this but he was subsequently discredited.

I'm no fan of lockdowns due to the negative economic and social impact they have. But given the situation in UK hospitals, which presumably Sweden didn't have, we had no choice.

I read that an alternative opinion was expressed, not that he was discredited. The fact is that despite coming from 'experts' it is all speculation at this point. It's a new virus, so what else can it be?

jonbxx 14-09-2020 09:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36049960)
You really need to read things before making statements on evidence that doesn’t fit your narrative.

T-cell immunity is a well researched and published scientific fact, and although more research needs to be done on the levels of immunity to COVID 19, as it is new, the has been lots of research done with other novel Corona-viruses such as SARS and MERS

In relation to COVID article states

doesn’t read as idle speculation to me.

Yeah, this harks back to a paper I mentioned a while back where researchers in Singapore looked at T-cell responses to people who had COVID, has SARS 17 years ago or had neither. All COVID exposed patients had responses which isn't surprising. However, all SARS exposed patients showed some level of responses.

Most interestingly is that 19 out of 37 unexposed individuals also showed a response.

The only caveats are that the sample sizes are small and geographically localised in Singapore. Also, there is no further study of T-cell responses and clinical outcomes but all in all, things look hopeful...

EDIT - here's the paper for lovers of immunology and enjoy flow cytometry... - https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2550-z

Damien 14-09-2020 09:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36049961)
On the question of re-infection, the missing link in understanding what's actually happening is as follows:

The articles I've read do not state whether or not the re-infected person developed symptoms and became ill. I can certainly imagine a person becoming re-infected, testing positive, but the immune system having dealt with the infection.

Anyone know the situation there?


From what I read these are cases where an infection did take hold and they had symptoms. However, the symptoms where reportedly a lot milder and the infection dealt with faster, i.e although they were reinfected the immune system still managed to deal with it quicker.

I don't fully understand it but I think the immune system can do two things: stop an infection before it even takes, fight it after it does.

The other thing though is sometimes having had an infection or even having had a vaccine you can randomly simply not develop antibodies against it. It's not common but it does happen.

denphone 14-09-2020 09:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy (Post 36049965)
On social media I tend not to read the comments. Here I have to and it's remarkably similar to social media..;)

Amazing when some say they have no interest in social media.;)

jfman 14-09-2020 09:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36049960)
You really need to read things before making statements on evidence that doesn’t fit your narrative.

T-cell immunity is a well researched and published scientific fact, and although more research needs to be done on the levels of immunity to COVID 19, as it is new, the has been lots of research done with other novel Corona-viruses such as SARS and MERS

In relation to COVID article states

doesn’t read as idle speculation to me.

It’s speculation to assume that we are far down the road to “herd immunity” on the basis of this, in particular why the UK would benefit from it but not however Spain, Italy, France or other countries embarking on their second wave.

Wishful thinking in my book.

---------- Post added at 09:17 ---------- Previous post was at 09:14 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36049966)
It is not 'wild speculation'. What is wild speculation is believing that you can lock everyone down forever.

If you really believe in this nonsense view, jfman, it is pointless continuing this debate with you.

---------- Post added at 09:06 ---------- Previous post was at 09:01 ----------



I read that an alternative opinion was expressed, not that he was discredited. The fact is that despite coming from 'experts' it is all speculation at this point. It's a new virus, so what else can it be?

It’s wild speculation. And nobody, anywhere, has suggested locking everyone down forever. Misrepresenting my posts is second only to your skill in not evidencing your own.

I do agree however that there’s little value in continuing a debate with you on the topic if you persist in following wishful thinking above science. The virus doesn’t care for your politics, your stiff upper lip or English exceptionalism. We’re playing by the same rules as everyone else - all that’s happening is some are skewing the narrative, undermining science, people are less adherent to rules and this situation goes on for longer - hitting health and the economy. I don’t mind one of those being hit because it’s in dire need of rebalancing anyway, and the virus presents a once in as generation opportunity - but I do care about the health angle.

OLD BOY 14-09-2020 09:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36049972)
It’s speculation to assume that we are far down the road to “herd immunity” on the basis of this, in particular why the UK would benefit from it but not however Spain, Italy, France or other countries embarking on their second wave.

Wishful thinking in my book.

---------- Post added at 09:17 ---------- Previous post was at 09:14 ----------



It’s wild speculation. And nobody, anywhere, has suggested locking everyone down forever. Misrepresenting my posts is second only to your skill in not evidencing your own.

I do agree however that there’s little value in continuing a debate with you on the topic if you persist in following wishful thinking above science. The virus doesn’t care for your politics, your stiff upper lip or English exceptionalism. We’re playing by the same rules as everyone else.

You are speculating yourself, and you are also, as ever, stretching what other people say to suit your strange views of what is happening.

Let's get one thing clear. I am certainly not saying there won't be a second wave. I have merely said that if it is true that if the late lockdown resulted in our reaching the same peak of the virus that we would have reached anyway, we may avoid a second wave anywhere near as extreme as the first one. That makes sense.

However, equally, it may not be so, and in fact although there was no lockdown with the 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic, there was still a devastating second wave.

I have been consistent in saying that this virus is going nowhere, and if we have not yet reached herd immunity, it will be back, lockdowns or no lockdowns.

Your solution is to lock us all up and hide ourselves away. For years! What kind of nonsense is that? If you want to lock yourself up, be my guest!

[EDIT]
Oh, so now you are not saying that we should lock down until a vaccine is found! I'm glad we've sorted that out.

So, what is your solution to this problem, jfman? If you are not going for the herd immunity solution and you are not going for a long lockdown, then what are you saying?

Hugh 14-09-2020 09:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36049964)
You were sent the press item. I incorrectly stated that it was a scientific calculation, but actually it was a mathematical calculation.

I guess it's only 'evidence' if it says what you want it to say.

Not from you...

Peer-reviewed papers are "evidence", which this is not - it’s one Prof of Stats views, not backed up by any other papers/research.

From the Bristol Uni web-page

Quote:

Read the paper (not yet peer reviewed) at: https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.02090
I guess it's 'evidence' if it says what you want it to say...

OLD BOY 14-09-2020 09:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36049976)
Not from you...

Peer-reviewed papers are "evidence", which this is not - it’s one Prof of Stats views, not backed up by any other papers/research.

From the Bristol Uni web-page



I guess it's 'evidence' if it says what you want it to say...

I think you are stretching it, Hugh. Ok, it's a theory, but it is still evidence to support what I was saying.

True, the two articles that were produced did not come from me because someone beat me to it, but it was the second of those articles I was referring to in my original post.

jfman 14-09-2020 10:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36049975)
You are speculating yourself, and you are also, as ever, stretching what other people say to suit your strange views of what is happening.

Let's get one thing clear. I am certainly not saying there won't be a second wave. I have merely said that if it is true that if the late lockdown resulted in our reaching the same peak of the virus that we would have reached anyway, we may avoid a second wave anywhere near as extreme as the first one. That makes sense.

However, equally, it may not be so, and in fact although there was no lockdown with the 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic, there was still a devastating second wave.

I have been consistent in saying that this virus is going nowhere, and if we have not yet reached herd immunity, it will be back, lockdowns or no lockdowns.

Your solution is to lock us all up and hide ourselves away. For years! What kind of nonsense is that? If you want to lock yourself up, be my guest!

[EDIT]
Oh, so now you are not saying that we should lock down until a vaccine is found! I'm glad we've sorted that out.

So, what is your solution to this problem, jfman? If you are not going for the herd immunity solution and you are not going for a long lockdown, then what are you saying?

Again you are misrepresenting my post - nowhere did I say 'until a vaccine is found'.

I think we've fundamentally got to the heart of the problem - you simply read what you want and ignore context, fact and reality to suit your agenda to fully reopen the economy regardless of the impact on human life.

If I trawled the internet seeking to find spurious evidence I could find 'evidence' for almost anything. It doesn't make those positions reality no matter how much you wish them to be. The response to the virus has to be grounded in science and reality.

Good luck in the second wave Old Boy. I hope the stock exchange doesn't fall too much.

---------- Post added at 10:05 ---------- Previous post was at 10:04 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36049979)
I think you are stretching it, Hugh. Ok, it's a theory, but it is still evidence to support what I was saying.

True, the two articles that were produced did not come from me because someone beat me to it, but it was the second of those articles I was referring to in my original post.

Not peer reviewed evidence. Magnificent. Wait there while I go around shaking hands with everyone I meet. :D

Chris 14-09-2020 10:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36049976)
Not from you...

Peer-reviewed papers are "evidence", which this is not - it’s one Prof of Stats views, not backed up by any other papers/research.

From the Bristol Uni web-page



I guess it's 'evidence' if it says what you want it to say...

To be fair, there is a continuum of credibility between red-top conspiracy wailing and a peer reviewed paper, and an academic paper placed on a pre-press server like Arxiv is nearer the latter end of that continuum than the former. Random nut jobs don't get access to such services, and the fact that it's there means it is worth consideration. "one Prof of Stats' views" is unduly dismissive.

OLD BOY 14-09-2020 10:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36049986)
Again you are misrepresenting my post - nowhere did I say 'until a vaccine is found'.

I think we've fundamentally got to the heart of the problem - you simply read what you want and ignore context, fact and reality to suit your agenda to fully reopen the economy regardless of the impact on human life.

If I trawled the internet seeking to find spurious evidence I could find 'evidence' for almost anything. It doesn't make those positions reality no matter how much you wish them to be. The response to the virus has to be grounded in science and reality.

Good luck in the second wave Old Boy. I hope the stock exchange doesn't fall too much

Oh, really? I'm sure you did, jfman, but I'm not trawling through this whole thread to prove you wrong on that.

So why don't we start over. What are you actually suggesting the government should do that it's not already doing?

Popcorn's at the ready...

---------- Post added at 10:19 ---------- Previous post was at 10:17 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36049986)

Not peer reviewed evidence. Magnificent. Wait there while I go around shaking hands with everyone I meet. :D

I did not claim it was peer reviewed, and the fact that it wasn't doesn't mean that the theory was without merit.

Kushan 14-09-2020 10:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
The way I see it, there's two schools of thought on where we "are" with the spread of the virus.

If one is right and we're over the worst, then additionl lockdowns/restrictions will cause some loss to the economy.

If the other is right and we don't put measures in place, it'll cause loss of life.

I'll take the opinion that life is more valuable than money any day of the week and err on the side of caution every single time.

nomadking 14-09-2020 10:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Via the "Search this Thread" option.
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36046669)
We didn’t try hard enough for three months evidently. And we tied our hands behind our backs during herd immunity week with exponential growth in cases.

I look forward to further absurd propositions that fundamentally ignore the prime human instinct which is to survive and for their loved ones to survive.

There’s no normal without elimination or a vaccine and there never will be.

Middle class video conferencing users drive the hospitality sector. :)

---------- Post added at 17:32 ---------- Previous post was at 17:25 ----------



That’s because Oxford are essentially an arm of the British state. If there’s ever a story needed to deflect from Government scandal they will gratefully oblige.


Hugh 14-09-2020 10:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36049992)
To be fair, there is a continuum of credibility between red-top conspiracy wailing and a peer reviewed paper, and an academic paper placed on a pre-press server like Arxiv is nearer the latter end of that continuum than the former. Random nut jobs don't get access to such services, and the fact that it's there means it is worth consideration. "one Prof of Stats' views" is unduly dismissive.

I'm not being dismissive, I'm trying to give it appropriate weight (as opposed to peer-reviewed papers).

However, I don't think people (and by people, I mean the red-tops that reported on the paper), actually read the summary fully - it states

Quote:

the distribution of times from disease onset to death for fatal cases, to infer the time course of fatal infections from the subsequent death data.
Quote:

Using the distribution of times from disease onset to death, it is possible to extend the model to infer the time course of fatal infections required to produce the later deaths.
The paper is only discussing infections that lead to deaths, not all infections - as treatment(s) improved and the NHS learned how to cope with the severe effects of the virus, deaths lessened (not overal infection rates).

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...9&d=1600076990

jfman 14-09-2020 10:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36050000)
Via the "Search this Thread" option.

'No normal', is of course not in lockdown forever as Old Boy portrays.

tweetiepooh 14-09-2020 10:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Interesting that when the trial of vaccine was paused it was "front page news" but the resumption was much less trumpeted. And the pause was just normal process for the situation.

Archery GB has said that with social distancing we can continue to shoot. We are only outdoor at the moment so enjoying the good weather, not so much fun when it's colder and wet and darker earlier - likely to get pneumonia and all the hassles from that.

I don't like masks at all but will wear in shops etc more to get in but also to help others around me some of whom need protection but many just helps them feel safe. It's more a pain that some of the shops I want to visit only allow visits by appointment.

jfman 14-09-2020 10:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36049993)
Oh, really? I'm sure you did, jfman, but I'm not trawling through this whole thread to prove you wrong on that.

So why don't we start over. What are you actually suggesting the government should do that it's not already doing?

Popcorn's at the ready...

Use the search function. :)

Quote:

I did not claim it was peer reviewed, and the fact that it wasn't doesn't mean that the theory was without merit.
It doesn't mean it has any genuine scientific merit until it has been.

If you were right we would ease restrictions and numbers wouldn't rise. That's not the reality on the ground and now we've Government threatening a second lockdown unless people adhere to the new restrictions.

nomadking 14-09-2020 10:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36050004)
'No normal', is of course not in lockdown forever as Old Boy portrays.

Yes it does, seeing as you criticised the timing of the lockdown, indicating that you consider it should've been done earlier.
Then again there's post #5071.
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36046382)
It’s not about individual risk - for New Zealand getting it back to zero means businesses open, no distancing, sports stadiums full.

Accepting community transmission means none of these things are long term, realistically viable. The measures you have to introduce to keep it “manageable” are a sizeable part of the way to lockdown and you have no option but to commit to them until there’s a vaccine.

People will say “ah, but tourism”. It’s to that argument what the German cars line is re EU trade. A sizeable irrelevance. Getting the rest of the economy going normally outweighs tourism.


Hugh 14-09-2020 10:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36049975)
You are speculating yourself, and you are also, as ever, stretching what other people say to suit your strange views of what is happening.

Let's get one thing clear. I am certainly not saying there won't be a second wave. I have merely said that if it is true that if the late lockdown resulted in our reaching the same peak of the virus that we would have reached anyway, we may avoid a second wave anywhere near as extreme as the first one. That makes sense.

However, equally, it may not be so, and in fact although there was no lockdown with the 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic, there was still a devastating second wave.

I have been consistent in saying that this virus is going nowhere, and if we have not yet reached herd immunity, it will be back, lockdowns or no lockdowns.

Your solution is to lock us all up and hide ourselves away. For years! What kind of nonsense is that? If you want to lock yourself up, be my guest!

[EDIT]
Oh, so now you are not saying that we should lock down until a vaccine is found! I'm glad we've sorted that out.

So, what is your solution to this problem, jfman? If you are not going for the herd immunity solution and you are not going for a long lockdown, then what are you saying?

https://www.nationalgeographic.com/h...c-coronavirus/
Quote:

(In Philadelphia) Flu cases continued to mount until finally, on October 3, schools, churches, theaters, and public gathering spaces were shut down.
Quote:

Shortly after health measures were put in place in Philadelphia, a case popped up in St. Louis. Two days later, the city shut down most public gatherings and quarantined victims in their homes.
Quote:

Of course, getting citizens to comply with such orders is another story: In 1918, a San Francisco health officer shot three people when one refused to wear a mandatory face mask. In Arizona, police handed out $10 fines for those caught without the protective gear. But eventually, the most drastic and sweeping measures paid off. After implementing a multitude of strict closures and controls on public gatherings, St. Louis, San Francisco, Milwaukee, and Kansas City responded fastest and most effectively: Interventions there were credited with cutting transmission rates by 30 to 50 percent. New York City, which reacted earliest to the crisis with mandatory quarantines and staggered business hours, experienced the lowest death rate on the Eastern seaboard.
Quote:

In 2007, a study in the Journal of the American Medial Association analyzed health data from the U.S. census that experienced the 1918 pandemic, and charted the death rates of 43 U.S. cities. That same year, two studies published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences sought to understand how responses influenced the disease’s spread in different cities. By comparing fatality rates, timing, and public health interventions, they found death rates were around 50 percent lower in cities that implemented preventative measures early on, versus those that did so late or not at all. The most effective efforts had simultaneously closed schools, churches, and theaters, and banned public gatherings. This would allow time for vaccine development (though a flu vaccine was not used until the 1940s) and lessened the strain on health care systems.

The studies reached another important conclusion: That relaxing intervention measures too early could cause an otherwise stabilized city to relapse. St. Louis, for example, was so emboldened by its low death rate that the city lifted restrictions on public gatherings less than two months after the outbreak began. A rash of new cases soon followed. Of the cities that kept interventions in place, none experienced a second wave of high death rates.

jfman 14-09-2020 11:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36050008)
Yes it does, seeing as you criticised the timing of the lockdown, indicating that you consider it should've been done earlier.
Then again there's post #5071.

Again this isn't a full lockdown. I know you're penchant for pedantry is a staple of the forum, however this is clearly not Old Boy's claim.

1andrew1 14-09-2020 11:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
A concerning situation especially with the rise in the R-rate and students starting at university.
Quote:

Government testing laboratories across the UK are facing a backlog of nearly 200,000 Covid-19 tests and are having to send some samples abroad to help reduce the stress on the system, amid growing concern about the lack of a robust test and trace programme.

There was a backlog of 185,000 tests on Friday, according to Department of Health and Social Care documents leaked to The Sunday Times, with some tests being sent to Italy and Germany for processing.

“The technology is there, the testing is there, they’re just not using it,” said Kelly Klifa, co-founder of Testing For All, a not-for-profit company making affordable Covid-19 tests. “Testing centres do have tests, so the bottleneck is the laboratories themselves — tests are being routed to the wrong locations.”

Early in the pandemic, Boris Johnson promised he would deliver a “world-beating” testing strategy, but this arm of the government’s coronavirus response has proved to be one of the most controversial.
https://www.ft.com/content/45a559bd-...5-ac962ba49375

nomadking 14-09-2020 11:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36050012)
Again this isn't a full lockdown. I know you're penchant for pedantry is a staple of the forum, however this is clearly not Old Boy's claim.

"Sizeable part of the way" is pretty close to a "full" of anything.
From your post #4638

Quote:

Plan A should have been aiming to eradicate the virus. Plan B a vaccine.

At no stage have I ever suggested locking everyone up forever. As ever, Old Boy, you present the straw man argument.

You continue to be under the flawed logic that no lockdown = economy working as normal. 100% wrong. While I advocated a longer, stronger lockdown, protecting incomes and businesses along the way to get everyone out the other side in much the same position as before.

You however present the incoherent economics of austerity to save us. People lost their jobs. People spend less. More people lose their jobs. More people spend less. Cycle continues. For years.

It's not my fault your ideology makes you incapable of bold thinking, of 'entrepreneurial spirit' I think you call it.

When all is said and done a coherent strategy of eradicating the virus through isolating everyone as much as possible, for as long as possible, while protecting incomes will be proven to be better for public health and the economy.
So how is a "stronger lockdown", not more than a "full lockdown"?:confused:

jfman 14-09-2020 11:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
This is a completely seperate point from what Old Boy has made so I refuse to get bogged down in it as you steer the conversation away from the pertinent points at hand. We’re staring down the barrel off a second lockdown and you’re arguing points I made months ago.

The second point relates to getting numbers to, or close to, zero pursuing an elimination strategy. It should not be read as suggesting lockdown until a vaccine.

Nowhere will you find me advocating a lockdown until a vaccine as Old Boy claimed.

Kushan 14-09-2020 12:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
So, this is now affecting me personally.

My son has develpoed a cough. Hopefully nothing serious but I'm having to keep him off of school. NHS told us to get him tested.

There are no tests available. None.

We're in Liverpool, we've been directed to a test centre in Doncaster. The Doncaster test centre has no tests available until September 26th.

What a shambles.

downquark1 14-09-2020 12:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kushan (Post 36050030)
So, this is now affecting me personally.

My son has develpoed a cough. Hopefully nothing serious but I'm having to keep him off of school. NHS told us to get him tested.

There are no tests available. None.

We're in Liverpool, we've been directed to a test centre in Doncaster. The Doncaster test centre has no tests available until September 26th.

What a shambles.

I think it told me that over the weekend but suddenly worked on Monday. Try again

Damien 14-09-2020 12:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Also can you order a home test or are those all taken?

Kushan 14-09-2020 14:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36050032)
I think it told me that over the weekend but suddenly worked on Monday. Try again

Just going to keep trying. The school is trying to get him a test as well.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36050034)
Also can you order a home test or are those all taken?

All taken, it seems. Have tried every avenue we can think of.

Luckily aside from a bit of a cough, he's not bothered, but doesn't bode well given he's been back at school for a whole 6 days.

A couple of people at the school have remarked that this always happens when the kids go back, they always get ill and classrooms are a nightmare for sickness - which I agree with, but my worry is that this just goes to show that if COVID does hit a school, it'll run right through it.

joglynne 14-09-2020 14:29

Re: Coronavirus
 
I wonder if people's inability to get a test could be linked to this report in The Guardian yesterday. Not much point in giving tests if they can't get processed?

Quote:

snippet... The government’s coronavirus testing programme is dealing with a backlog of 185,000 swabs, with tests being sent to Italy and Germany as local labs are overwhelmed.

Not even a week after the government was forced to apologise for continuing delays to Covid testing, the Department of Health and Social Care insisted on Sunday that the capacity of the NHS test-and-trace system was the highest it had ever been but there was a “significant” demand for tests......

On Saturday, exasperated parents in England complained of a test-and-trace system still in “shambles”, with some struggling to secure testing slots for their children who have developed symptoms since returning to school.

Although the head of NHS test and trace apologised on Tuesday to people in England who have either been unable to secure a coronavirus test or been told to go to drive-through centres hundreds of miles away, many people trying get a test this week were met with an error message telling them to try again and warning them not to call the helplines.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...re-overwhelmed

Damien 14-09-2020 17:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
And it's getting worse: https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/uk/corona...d-19-symptoms/

Quote:

There are currently no coronavirus tests available for people with symptoms in any of the top ten Covid-19 hotspots in England, it can be revealed.

joglynne 14-09-2020 18:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Monday 14 September 2020, 3:36pm

Quote:

Matt Hancock attempted to restrict coronavirus tests in Scotland, Nicola Sturgeon says
https://www.itv.com/news/2020-09-14/...-sturgeon-says

Kushan 14-09-2020 19:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Someone should be sacked over this whole ordeal.

Paul 14-09-2020 19:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kushan (Post 36050100)
Someone should be sacked over this whole ordeal.

Are yes, the age old answer to everything, because that always solves the problem :dozey:

OLD BOY 14-09-2020 19:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kushan (Post 36050045)
Just going to keep trying. The school is trying to get him a test as well.



All taken, it seems. Have tried every avenue we can think of.

Luckily aside from a bit of a cough, he's not bothered, but doesn't bode well given he's been back at school for a whole 6 days.

A couple of people at the school have remarked that this always happens when the kids go back, they always get ill and classrooms are a nightmare for sickness - which I agree with, but my worry is that this just goes to show that if COVID does hit a school, it'll run right through it.

Just keep him away from the grannies. Hopefully you will all be ok.

---------- Post added at 19:13 ---------- Previous post was at 19:11 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kushan (Post 36050100)
Someone should be sacked over this whole ordeal.

Frustrating as it is, these things take time to set up. With luck we will have a good system in place within a few weeks, but sadly too late for you guys.

Damien 14-09-2020 19:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
If anyone gets fired it'll be some lacky anyway.

---------- Post added at 19:15 ---------- Previous post was at 19:15 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36050107)
Frustrating as it is, these things take time to set up. With luck we will have a good system in place within a few weeks, but sadly too late for you guys.

Yes if only there was some sort of clue that we might need this.

Kushan 14-09-2020 19:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Thanks, OLD BOY. Relatively sure it's just a regular cough, no other symptoms but we'll just wait and see.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36050103)
Are yes, the age old answer to everything, because that always solves the problem :dozey:

I think in a situation where testing is so fundementally important to save lives, not having enough provisions for it more than 6 months since Lockdown began is inexcusable. Someone somewhere has made a colossal error, possibly a series of errors from a series of people and it should definitely be investigated.

Track & Trace doesn't work if you can't test people.

Paul 14-09-2020 19:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Ah yes, I forgot you have subscribed to the paranoia.

The very small minority who get really ill will end up in hospital, where they can be treated properly, and as part of that, it will be verified if its down to CV19.

The vast majority of people will get a few symptoms, perhaps feel a little ill, and shake it off.
In fact, your own previous posts were telling us how we are all likely getting immune to it without even knowing.

Its amazing how many members of this forum would manage to do so much better, after the fact of course.

Damien 14-09-2020 19:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36050120)
Its amazing how many members of this forum would manage to do so much better, after the fact of course.

We're not employed to do better nor are we responsible for it. They are.

OLD BOY 14-09-2020 19:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kushan (Post 36050113)
Thanks, OLD BOY. Relatively sure it's just a regular cough, no other symptoms but we'll just wait and see.



I think in a situation where testing is so fundementally important to save lives, not having enough provisions for it more than 6 months since Lockdown began is inexcusable. Someone somewhere has made a colossal error, possibly a series of errors from a series of people and it should definitely be investigated.

Track & Trace doesn't work if you can't test people.

Not really. You may recall that there were issues about the accuracy of the tests. This is not as straight forward as some would have us believe.

joglynne 14-09-2020 19:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
As far as I can see the Government has been increasing the capacity for processing tests ever since the pandemic started. There were not enough NHS labs in existance and, IMHO, it would not have been possible to build all the new facilities the NHS would have needed in the time given so going to the private sector was the only way possible. Emergency plannig could never be expected to be able to cope with such an unprecidented demand either at NHS or in the private sector

Can't find a singe neat link covering the increases of Laboritory capacity but here are just a few.

https://www.england.nhs.uk/2020/03/n...-testing-labs/

https://www.rcpath.org/uploads/asset...9-Testing-NHS-

Laboratories.pdfhttps://www.medicaldevice-network.com/comment/lighthouse-labs-uk-covid-19-testing/

OLD BOY 14-09-2020 19:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36050124)
We're not employed to do better nor are we responsible for it. They are.

That's what makes it so easy for you to criticise, Damien.

Have you got sacked everytime someone who knows not very much decides to criticise your work?

Mad Max 14-09-2020 19:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
If the selfish brigade who have absolutely no symptoms stop taking up valuable testing, designed for people who really do have symptoms, then maybe, just maybe, more places would become available for those in need of a test.

denphone 14-09-2020 19:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36050103)
Are yes, the age old answer to everything, because that always solves the problem :dozey:

Repeated incompetence would get you the sack in any other job.

Damien 14-09-2020 19:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36050131)
That's what makes it so easy for you to criticise, Damien.

Have you got sacked everytime someone who knows not very much decides to criticise your work?

This is a nonsense argument.

The Government are and should be held to account on the results of what they produce. The logical conclusion of your argument that since we're not in charge we cannot judge is an argument to never criticising the Government at all.

I somehow doubt that this understanding would be extended by you to anything else and just seems to be involved in this one instance but you don't like it.

Forgive me if I am wrong and you've never criticised anyone in a position of authority you don't have?

And even when we do actually know something about what they're doing. Such as their NHS app that was never going to work and then turned out not to work we're still not allowed to criticise the Government.

denphone 14-09-2020 19:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36050133)
If the selfish brigade who have absolutely no symptoms stop taking up valuable testing, designed for people who really do have symptoms, then maybe, just maybe, more places would become available for those in need of a test.

l see lets demonise another group again as its such a easy thing to do to divert the blame from such wonderful world beating testing....

jfman 14-09-2020 20:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36050133)
If the selfish brigade who have absolutely no symptoms stop taking up valuable testing, designed for people who really do have symptoms, then maybe, just maybe, more places would become available for those in need of a test.

There’s actually no real evidence for this. Nice of the Government to throw up a straw man though for their fans to use as a diversion tactic.

Still we will have 10 million tests a day by February. Hopefully they won’t get stuck at Calais as we send them to Germany for lab capacity.

Kushan 14-09-2020 20:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36050120)
Ah yes, I forgot you have subscribed to the paranoia.

The very small minority who get really ill will end up in hospital, where they can be treated properly, and as part of that, it will be verified if its down to CV19.

The vast majority of people will get a few symptoms, perhaps feel a little ill, and shake it off.
In fact, your own previous posts were telling us how we are all likely getting immune to it without even knowing.

Its amazing how many members of this forum would manage to do so much better, after the fact of course.

Oh right, I forgot this whole pandemic is just mass, global hysteria for no reason. Next you'll be telling me that hundreds of thousands of people haven't died.

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36050128)
Not really. You may recall that there were issues about the accuracy of the tests. This is not as straight forward as some would have us believe.

Oh I know it's not straightforward at all, all the more reason why I'd prefer the best people were in charge of dealing with it.

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36050131)
That's what makes it so easy for you to criticise, Damien.

Have you got sacked everytime someone who knows not very much decides to criticise your work?

You don't have to be an expert to know if something could be done better. If nothing else, the government should at least release a statement on the matter rather than letting us wait for Nicola Sturgeon to call them out on it. I'm a big fan of transparency but right now there's no bloody tests and there's nary a word from the government.

jfman 14-09-2020 20:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36050135)
This is a nonsense argument.

The Government are and should be held to account on the results of what they produce. The logical conclusion of your argument that since we're not in charge we cannot judge is an argument to never criticising the Government at all.

I somehow doubt that this understanding would be extended by you to anything else and just seems to be involved in this one instance but you don't like it.

Forgive me if I am wrong and you've never criticised anyone in a position of authority you don't have?

You’re wasting your time. Old Boy’s wild contortions and contradictions throughout this thread can only be summarised by the Government are right, all of the time, even when being right at a later point contradicts being right initially. Nobody, nobody, could have done better. Ever.

Mad Max 14-09-2020 20:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36050137)
There’s actually no real evidence for this. Nice of the Government to throw up a straw man though for their fans to use as a diversion tactic.

Still we will have 10 million tests a day by February. Hopefully they won’t get stuck at Calais as we send them to Germany for lab capacity.

You can believe what you want, but I know for a fact people that have done this, and if that's what's happening with a few people I know, then I'm pretty sure it's happening all over.

jfman 14-09-2020 20:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kushan (Post 36050139)
Oh right, I forgot this whole pandemic is just mass, global hysteria for no reason. Next you'll be telling me that hundreds of thousands of people haven't died.

Oh I know it's not straightforward at all, all the more reason why I'd prefer the best people were in charge of dealing with it.

You don't have to be an expert to know if something could be done better. If nothing else, the government should at least release a statement on the matter rather than letting us wait for Nicola Sturgeon to call them out on it. I'm a big fan of transparency but right now there's no bloody tests and there's nary a word from the government.

The official line is they would have to have either died anyway or died of something else. :)

Chris 14-09-2020 20:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
My East European boiler service man spent about 20 minutes this morning telling me all about how Covid is a Jewish conspiracy. It’s a bit of a nuisance, I have quite an old wood pellet (biomass) boiler and there are very few people qualified to service it. So I just nodded and smiled and waited for him to go away.

Mad Max 14-09-2020 20:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36050136)
l see lets demonise another group again as its such a easy thing to do to divert the blame from such wonderful world beating testing....

That's a stupid comment, I expected better from you, Den, I'm not demonising anyone, just pointing out that its been happening. :rolleyes:

Paul 14-09-2020 20:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36050134)
Repeated incompetence would get you the sack in any other job.

In my experience, of 3 large companies, over 40 years, no, it wont.

---------- Post added at 20:07 ---------- Previous post was at 20:05 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kushan (Post 36050139)
Oh right, I forgot this whole pandemic is just mass, global hysteria for no reason. Next you'll be telling me that hundreds of thousands of people haven't died..

Being an ass as usual.

Hundreds of thousands of people have died of many things, billions have not.

nomadking 14-09-2020 20:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by joglynne (Post 36050096)

Scotland wasn't being singled out.:rolleyes: Then again, why doesn't Scotland do it's own?

Damien 14-09-2020 20:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36050145)
My East European boiler service man spent about 20 minutes this morning telling me all about how Covid is a Jewish conspiracy. It’s a bit of a nuisance, I have quite an old wood pellet (biomass) boiler and there are very few people qualified to service it. So I just nodded and smiled and waited for him to go away.

I want to know where all these conspiracy theorists think Jewish people are getting the time from? At some point you think their plate is a bit full wouldn't you?

jfman 14-09-2020 20:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36050141)
You can believe what you want, but I know for a fact people that have done this, and if that's what's happening with a few people I know, then I'm pretty sure it's happening all over.

Anecdotal evidence, Max. Yet despite this the numbers testing positive on a given day are trending up.

If random people were just getting tested, without symptoms, they’d be statistically more likely to test negative.

The reality is the virus is more prevalent in society. This will further increase demand for testing in winter as the second wave takes hold, and other ailments that cause similar symptoms spread.

If we lose control this ends one way. They better sort it, and fast.

Paul 14-09-2020 20:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36050150)
I want to know where all these conspiracy theorists think Jewish people are getting the time from? At some point you think their plate is a bit full wouldn't you?

Funny, I thought it was the Reptilians, using 5G.

jfman 14-09-2020 20:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Huawei.

Mad Max 14-09-2020 20:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36050151)
Anecdotal evidence, Max. Yet despite this the numbers testing positive on a given day are trending up.

If random people were just getting tested, without symptoms, they’d be statistically more likely to test negative.

The reality is the virus is more prevalent in society. This will further increase demand for testing in winter as the second wave takes hold, and other ailments that cause similar symptoms spread.

If we lose control this ends one way. They better sort it, and fast.

So you're basically saying that I'm lying?


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