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Re: Coronavirus
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Will it stop me from getting catching it? It will greatly reduce the chances of you catching it. Will it stop me from passing it on? It will greatly reduce the likelihood of you passing it on. So you should still still wear masks to reduce the chances of infecting others. |
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Re: Coronavirus
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As for whether it will dominate, who knows. It appears to have come from a severely immunocompromised patient in Botswana, which is why we have a lot of mutations all at the same time. But SA has a low number of cases, so a new variant will proportionally show more dominant. They have a low vaccination rate but a presumed high proportion of people who have had covid. A new variant is likely to appear dominant in these cases. Whether this will show in an area with a significant Delta outbreak remains to be seen, personally, I'd prefer it was kept where it was... ---------- Post added at 22:41 ---------- Previous post was at 22:38 ---------- Quote:
I'm not going to invoke Godwin's Law and suggest the unvaccinated wear yellow bands on their arms, but, surely by not doing what they should, they are merely putting themselves at higher risk. We should simply leave them to it, knowing they can get a vaccine if they want one. I'm running out of excuses for them. Those who can't get one for medical reasons, totally understand that. |
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If the car drivers ( the vaccinated) do as they should and stay on the road. Why are they responsible for the idiots ( unvaccinated) that run out in front of them? The car drivers are following the rules and behaving responsibly by staying on the road. |
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https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FFGYrxzX...jpg&name=small Israel are taking this seriously: Israeli PM warns of state of emergency due to new coronavirus variant Quote:
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Re: Coronavirus
I recall, sometime ago, someone saying on TV that if it mutated to a virus that the vaccines didn't work against, it would mean that it is no longer a version of the same type of virus but rather a new virus completely....or something like that.
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Re: Coronavirus
Yes, that's what I was saying, the mutation leads to increased transmissibility in other variants, so it's probably going to have similar.
As for that graph, look at what it's actually measuring, it's the percentage of all sequenced cases. So, to reach 100% of 10 sequenced cases means only 10 tests need to show it. If you have more cases you sequence more. Alpha was dominant in a time where most of the world had a high number of covid cases, so would have taken more time to dominate than in SA, which until the last few days was registering around 300-400 cases most days. Reaching 100% of new sequenced cases in that context doesn't require too many samples to show it. Also look at the wider picture in sub-Saharan Africa where there is a high prevalence of HIV/AIDS, which causes immune system deficiencies - this is where this (and the Beta variant) came from. In SA there is also a low vaccination rate and a high amount who have actually had covid. It is thought this has immune escape but that could be the circumstances there, if for example there is a lot who the vaccine hasn't worked in, and who have recovered from the virus but then their immune system hasn't responded properly in terms of future response. Beta never really took off elsewhere and you would expect it might have if it has the ability to swerve previous immunity from infection or vaccination, why is that? Obviously it wouldn't be a good idea in practice, but the UK and Europe are experiencing much higher numbers due to Delta than anything in SA (Where ours is stable theirs isn't). If this variant was introduced to that background as opposed to a context where very few have the virus, how will it react there, and which one will be the one infecting people? If this can not only dominate Delta, but can also infect people who have had the virus or been vaccinated, and not just cause milder symptoms like Delta seems to be, then this is going to be a bigger issue. But of course, that impact isn't known yet. |
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