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You are digging up old arguments with the seasonal issue. All I did last spring was to speculate that if this virus behaved the same way as flu, it should die off in the summer, but it soon became clear that the virus was spreading very rapidly in both hot and cold countries. Yes, many of us called it flu - it is similar in a lot of ways. But we all now know the differences, and the impact any new virus or strain of virus can have. What do you mean, there is no evidence that we won't go into a second wave? Admittedly, we could do, but I've already pointed out that a mathematician has calculated that our late lockdown could have had benefits for us in that respect. It's only a theory, but it is evidence. If we do get a second wave, it proves that this virus is going nowhere and lockdowns, in the end, are futile. A permanent lockdown is not on, and it won't happen. However, one bit of good news for you. If you want to lockdown yourself, you can do so for as long as you like. No-one is stopping you. Let me know if you need any padlocks. :D |
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I'm wondering who is more likely to be right - open the economy at all costs Old Boy or the Chief Medical Officer? Hmmm.... Quote:
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Again the Chief Medical Officer of the United Kingdom has pointed out that our trajectory is clearly on the up, and mirrors other European countries at round -4 weeks. Again who is more likely to be right here? Him, and a Government that are heeding his advice, or your 'mathematician? Quote:
Now what's the track record of your opinions here, Old Boy? While you are right that the good news for me that I can limit my interactions with other people, save on my commute, coffees, muffins. I can now meet colleagues socially on a voluntary basis in the pub on a Friday night rather than be forced into open plan offices to engage with them. Might even do the pub quiz tomorrow too. That's bad news for the economy Old Boy. It'll remain the case. There's no going back to the old normal without resolving the virus issue. Bad news for those on furlough. Bad news for city centre property developers. Those burying their heads in the sand hoping to leap from one quick fix to another with failure after failure will eventually look back and see that they were wrong. What are we £210bn and a recession in? Boris and his moonshot have been priced at £110bn to do that level of testing for 12 months. We couldn't afford lockdown though. :) ---------- Post added at 18:56 ---------- Previous post was at 18:44 ---------- https://www.standard.co.uk/business/...box=1599660760 Do we think Alan has the begging bowl out for some corporate socialism? |
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Also, you stated previously on the 5th that scientists had said that the delay in lockdown made no difference in the impact of the virus, and there would be no 2nd wave - when asked for a link, once again none was forthcoming... |
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Below is what I put on my town face book page in response to those who make excuses to not wearing a mask.
I did have a lot of people back me, but a few villages are missing their idiot. Quote:
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Brave to post on FB with so many idiots on social media.
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Hope things will turn around for you soon Hom3r.
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I will happily and conscious free say what I feel about those not wearing masks. In fact one person said that they have fought the anxiety that a mask causes. I have said that perhaps if your breathing is so bad wearing a mask that you should stay at home, also it is selfish not to wear one. |
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However, Julian did kindly unearth a maths professor in Bristol whose model suggested Britain's infection rate peaked on 18th March which the Daily Mail said threw into question whether Britain's lockdown on 23rd March was necessary. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...-lockdown.html |
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I can't remember what the original assertion was . . . possibly that 'experts' said an early lockdown would cause more/less deaths . . or the general public getting fed up and returning to 'normal' life at the worst possible time? . . . or . . well excuse me, I can't be bothered to trawl back :rolleyes:
I do vaguely remember reading all sorts of stuff pertaining to the above though, but in all honesty can't remember if it was on definite web sites or just people posting stuff from the twitter/facebook accounts of the 'experts'. What I do know though, is that whatever you read on the internet can be deleted or altered if it then makes people look stupid or incompetent . . . or there is enough 'pressure' from other sources to make it happen. Not that I'm fussed about this particular assertion anyway, it's probably just the mundane boredom getting to me ;) |
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My concern is that in this instance, the idiocy is costing lives and there's a distinct lack of self-awareness about it (at best) or just a complete lack of regard for our fellow humans (at worst). |
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Translating your generalisation, what's costing lives is the behaviour of the 19 to 25 year group. Nothing will stop their senselessness because they have nothing in which to root wisdom. Whether or not it can be avoided in the next generation through some form of ideological implantation ..... |
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Unfortunately, that group spans plenty of age groups. |
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I agree that every age group has its share of those who do what they want and sod the rest.
I sometimes wonder if these people are the very same ones that also drive at 40 in a 30 limit while using a mobile phone, steal your car for a 'fun filled' joyride at 3am, or hang around at school gates selling drugs, maybe even rent rooms in a run down 2 bed terrace to 18 migrants. The I stop thinking, because there's thousands of em :( |
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See if you were going to design a herd immunity strategy and deploy it on the QT. It’d actually look a lot like this. Not saying that Dominic Cummings is pushing that... not at all.
We’ve encouraged young people back to pubs, schools back in and shortly colleges and universities go back. |
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Well it worked for Sweden, right? .....right?!
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https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...3&d=1599736883 |
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Sweden had warning signs, along with it’s Scandinavian neighbours, that it didn’t heed. Comparing to Italy (hit first), France, Spain and our inept response isn’t something to be proud of for them.
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I don' think they are trying to gain Herd immunity on the QT, but a rise in infections, on the demographic that can in the main shrug of the infection is a natural by product of reopening the country. And is pretty much in line with what I posted several weeks ago, in so far as, those in vulnerable groups that need to shield, should shield. Those that are other wise young and healthy should just be allowed to go about their business, whilst ensuring they don't endanger anyone they know that is shielding. The key metric will be seeing how hospital admission and death increase as a percentage of the infection rate. As long as those two key measures don't increase wildly, then no problem. |
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were they on the graph shown? |
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Here is another scientist’s view of Prof Wood’s paper. https://lbndaily.co.uk/uk-coronaviru...own-necessary/ |
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Also had we not locked down, the vulnerable people would have had seriously higher death numbers. |
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In June 2019 the UK consumed £5 millions worth of Tea, Coffee & biscuits.
In June 2020 during lockdown this rose to £19 million. Thats a lot of tea breaks |
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I was referring to the time period March to June - as Prof Wood was in his paper. What’s your point? Oh, look what happened about 4 hrs ago. https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...8&d=1599768228 |
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Be aware the 14 day isolation is worse than the lockdown in terms of what you're allowed to do.
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Meanwhile - was pleased to read this. Quote:
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After listening to the litany of changes of lockdown in the UK on the BBC I'm completely confused.I'm wondering how many others are.
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I’m sure a second lockdown would be more irritating.
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The first one hasn't stopped being irritating yet . . wife & daughter both working from home is having a devastating effect on my 'lazy retirement pursuits' :shocked: ;) |
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Coronavirus infections surge by 60% in England with 3,200 new cases each day
COVID-19 infections in England have soared by 60% - with 3,200 new cases now being seen each day, according to official estimates. https://news.sky.com/story/coronavir...h-day-12068962 |
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On a more serious (and ridiculous) note - fines/sanctions on the 19-25 age group could be higher than others as a deterrent. |
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It's easily the most concerning numbers we've had since coming of lockdown
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Actual facts and evidence . . . I keep seeing the word estimated in Covid19 news reports ;)
Not saying the figures are wrong, but my estimated fuel bills were usually strange. Maybe we should go with 'up to' aswell? |
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I suspect they will inevitably rise, but it is the rate at which they rise that will be the the thing. ---------- Post added at 14:48 ---------- Previous post was at 14:47 ---------- Quote:
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Here comes second lockdown. |
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It might take longer than you’d expect. If the “I had Covid in January brigade” are right - we of course don’t know as there was no testing, and hasn’t been antibody testing - hospitalisations followed much further down the road.
Unless of course “I think I had Covid in January” was simply a misinformation exercise to reassure people that it wasn’t so bad. |
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1/ The bulk of offenders are in the 19-25 age group. So they do more spreading than others. 2/ What I'm mooting is called disincentive to misbehave. Prolly won't work but some disincentive is needed. |
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This isn't an age issue, it's an issue that affects everyone and everyone needs to be on board with it. There's another side to the statistics as well - correlation is not causation. More young people are being infected, that is true and I have no doubt that a proportion of that, even a significant proportion, is people going out drinking and partying - but that doesn't necessarily mean they're breaking the law, refusing to wear masks or not respecting social distancing. You can do everything "right" and still get infected. A large proportion of frontline workers are young people, that also skews the statistics greatly as well. You don't often find retired people working the checkouts. We eased restrictions, opened pubs and encouraged people to go out, eat out to help out, etc. and suddenly we've had a rise in cases. If you want to look for someone to blame, blame the government. If you want to look for a group to blame, blame the group that refuses to wear a mask, or spreads stupid conspiracy theories - and those groups span all ages, all demographics. |
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Again - what's the matter with you, Kush? |
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Only young people are offenders - false. Quote:
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There’s plenty of data out there to show that younger people today have less employment opportunities, are saddled with more debt, more likely to stay at home with parents for longer and are further from the housing market than previous generations. Of course the bitterness that the older generation have means many will not see that and blame eating avocado, and lattes. They live to deny progression for those that fame after them. |
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Just make wearing mask mandatory, no mask no entry in to any building. Some idiot suggested that a face mask causes a build up of CO2:p:. Despite the fact a NHS doctor wore a medical spec mask and a O2 reader and his levels did not move. |
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No it’s not a silver bullet. But we don’t have one of those, that doesn’t mean masks isn’t progress. |
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I went to bed at 8:30pm on the Thursday night and woke a 8am on Saturday I had zero energy, I look back and think did I have Covid then? This was before CV was really known about. |
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Anything that is classed as being "safe", has to be safe to such a high level, as otherwise more people will do that activity, more often, meaning any "safety" gain is completely lost. |
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Airport screening might be a percentage, masks another, working from home another. All of these push R down. Doing nothing R continues unmitigated and as Andrew points out that ruins the economy. |
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I have no problem wearing a mask, but then again I've stayed at home for several weeks. I'm able to "hide away", others can't. |
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https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2020/09/4.jpg |
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All their model has given them is dead Swedes. |
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I think it's clear from the recent spikes that too many restrictions have eased and people have got complacent.
You're never going to stop the virus entirely. It's just not possible without a vaccine or millions dying. This is a marathon where we have to slow its progression enough that our health services can cope with it, while trying not to slow down the economy too much. It's going to be a constant juggle of easing then restricting. Some tough calls need to be made. If we want kids to go to school, we might have to give up on pubs. If we want old people to be able to get their shopping, we might have to queue a little longer. But one thing for sure - if you don't wear a mask and you don't social distance, you're making this take a lot longer and putting many more people at unnecessary risk. If more people could learn this, we'd have less restrictions. |
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A high proportion of those deaths were in care homes, which a lockdown wouldn't have prevented. France and Spain currently have higher infection rates than Sweden had at it's peak. |
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I was born 1954, my 'teenage' years were much better than those born in the late 1990's - early 2000's.
We didn't have to worry about not having the latest iPhone, we weren't bewildered and confused by having 300 channels of crap on the TV, the music we listened to was usually performed by people who could sing and/or play instruments without the need for technology to make them sound decent, comedians were actually funny, mums used washpowders that got your clothes clean - in machines that used hot water, boys were boys and girls were girls with very few confused about that, education meant using a brain along with books and pen & paper, food was mainly bought fresh from corner shops and tasted great when cooked, playing and socializing was done with real people not pixels on a screen, getting drunk only took 4 pints, masks were something Batman & The Lone Ranger wore, and one of our biggest fears was mum finding grass stains on the knees of our trousers. I miss those days :D |
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I'm sure there was a bit of tongue in cheek there......;) ---------- Post added at 19:31 ---------- Previous post was at 19:30 ---------- Quote:
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The virus will not go away until herd immunity is achieved. Is that not what is happening right now? The only bright spot was that mathematician's calculation that the virus would have reached the peak we had naturally even if we had not locked down. We will soon see if he was right. Either way, lockdowns just put the inevitable on pause for as long as they are applied. ---------- Post added at 19:50 ---------- Previous post was at 19:45 ---------- Quote:
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-54118022
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Sorry Paul, but maybe you should ask those ragging and blaming on young people to knock it off instead.
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Some was tongue in cheek, some not.
I do actually feel sorry for the 'lifestyle' of todays youngsters. Almost every aspect of their life is laid bare and open to scrutiny through that marvelous technology called the internet. I doubt there are any who don't have a presence on the major social websites, and it's all good fun . . until it suddenly isn't, and you can't rub out that little error of judgement that may follow you for years. Progress is wonderful, without it we'd still be using the horse & cart, wood fires & candles, but it comes at a price. Machinery, computers & automation that improves production but reduces jobs. Medical advances that ensure longer life and reduced infant death rates, which means growing populations needing more housing. No jobs, no housing, but a steady rise in mental health issues . . . I meant it when I said I miss the old days and the 'freedom' we had. |
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You're right carth, those are very real problems faced by today's generation. I know the topic will go down like a lead balloon on this forum, but it's one of the reasons we need to seriously consider the Universal Basic Income.
At some point, machines are going to automate people out of jobs and it's going to be cheaper to just get a machine to do it. We need to be prepared for that. If people were on a UBI, then the pandemic would have wrecked a lot fewer people's lives as their income wouldn't have been affected. Of course, it's a radical proposal and there's always the topic of "well who's going to pay for it?" and I'd propose those super-rich tech companies that are putting people out of a job start by paying their fare share of tax, then we'll see where we are. I say this all as someone who has a lot of job security at one of those tech companies. |
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This has nothing to do with the virus, back on topic people.
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And, no Coronavirus yet. |
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