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This isn't a simple thing we're doing. And I agree it's been bad that other things have been put on hold. One of the arguments for May's deal is that we get beyond this part of the process. ---------- Post added at 22:56 ---------- Previous post was at 22:54 ---------- Quote:
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I didn’t mean you ;). There are however several members here who have fairly suddenly veered the debate onto the legitimacy of the vote held more than 2 years ago, whereas until today the discussion was about ways Brexit could yet be stopped, or at least delayed or watered down. To me it sounds like the penny has finally dropped.
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I was only pointing how to have an orderly and decisive referendum, just as I’ve pointed out other things that would have been desirable for Brexit (e.g. a strong government following the 2017 GE, parties with a clear negotiating position, not triggering A50 until we were ready if going for no deal).
I still think it’ll be delayed, A50 extended, stopped or watered down. With Parliament heading into recess though not much is liable to change before the “meaningful vote”. I’ve always said for extension to be viable it has to be late in the process. |
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Being called stupid? Being called racist? Being told you got it wrong? Being told your democratic choice is invalid? Many, probably most, did not vote for economics, and I see little argument other than economics being made, nothing has been done to address other people’s issues. And throughout this, has the EU made themselves any more attractive? Those wanting a second referendum better be 100% sure, because if they think they’re going to walk it, like they did 2016, and get another bloody nose that’ll be the end of it. It would depend on the question. In my mind the question would have to be the same as in 2016. |
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You don’t necessarily have to change anyone’s minds. A sizeable amount of non-voters first time round to get involved and shifting demographics could be enough to sway it.
Like a US election the actual challenge is getting the most people out, not necessarily convince anyone to switch. Those wanting another referendum don’t need to be 100% sure: they literally have nothing to lose at this stage. They aren’t getting what they want by any other means. |
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0.1% is wafer thin, I would argue. Perhaps following the last election all these seats should have been rerun, as they didn’t win by enough votes? https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/ge...onstituencies/ ---------- Post added at 23:14 ---------- Previous post was at 23:11 ---------- |
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I would describe something winning by 52-48 as wafer thin, yes. It requires a minor shift in demographics or public opinion to give a 48-52 result in the other direction. Which I’d also call wafer thin.
You’ve also removed more of my post where I frame how to define a clear will of the people over a sustained period of time to pick on one narrow point, which isn’t really helpful to the discussion. It’s really not important the extent we disagree over the definition of wafer thin. Those seats will get another go, no later than 2022. |
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And these demographics. Yes 700,000 thousand leavers next to deaths door have now slipped the mortal coil to be replaced by Remain teenagers.........it’s very convenient and I wouldn’t bet the farm on it. Quote:
What was it now planes won’t fly the day after no deal Brexit?...... as predicted yes they will. The EU, as expected, will not do anything that damages their own interests. ---------- Post added at 23:31 ---------- Previous post was at 23:26 ---------- Quote:
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The EU will not do anything to damage their own interests I agree. However where common interests end and the interests of the EU begin isn’t clearly defined, so there’s no guarantee everything will go smoothly in other areas. |
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They voted on party manifestos, both of Tory and Labour manifestos were Leave manifestos. |
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I do however believe when politicians frame things as once in a generation they hope for decisive results in excess of 60-40. Again my opinion isn’t really of any consequence as to whether a second referendum happens or not. Quote:
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Proof that in the event of no deal many things could be negotiated very quickly. My expectation is, that as no deal looms, the EU will move ( or do something) about the backstop. It still may not get through, but I can’t see the EU not moving. But May has to do more to prove to the EU that if they move, she can get the deal over the line. She has a lot to do. |
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Good to see Putin is not too modest to share some advice for Theresa May.
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I don’t recall all the individual candidates from all parties advertising what their own views on Brexit were. I recall all Tory and Labour candidates saying they would respect the result of the referendum. |
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Article 50 1. Any Member State may decide to withdraw from the Union in accordance with its own constitutional requirements. 2. A Member State which decides to withdraw shall notify the European Council of its intention. In the light of the guidelines provided by the European Council, the Union shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with that State, setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union. That agreement shall be negotiated in accordance with Article 218(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. It shall be concluded on behalf of the Union by the Council, acting by a qualified majority, after obtaining the consent of the European Parliament. 3. The Treaties shall cease to apply to the State in question from the date of entry into force of the withdrawal agreement or, failing that, two years after the notification referred to in paragraph 2, unless the European Council, in agreement with the Member State concerned, unanimously decides to extend this period. 4. For the purposes of paragraphs 2 and 3, the member of the European Council or of the Council representing the withdrawing Member State shall not participate in the discussions of the European Council or Council or in decisions concerning it. A qualified majority shall be defined in accordance with Article 238(3)(b) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. 5. If a State which has withdrawn from the Union asks to rejoin, its request shall be subject to the procedure referred to in Article 49. there in legal we legal form text we leave every treaty include one on aviation ect in a no deal Brexit so your wrong |
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The biggest issue with Brexit, is not that leave won, but they won by a perceived marginal victory and therefore it was open season on the result. |
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EU citizens fly here, we fly to the EU. It’s not a quick win for the EU to cost their own airlines business and inconvenience their own citizens in the process. Some areas will be more leveraged. |
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Hang on if I read that right the EU can change their mind after 12 months? (This isn’t an aspect I’ve been following). It reads like something the EU are parking rather than resolving. Like the backstop.
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Airspace accessibilty works both ways there are many transatlantic EU flights that need access to UK airspace. They can either change their mind after 12mths and go by longer routes or come to an aviation deal. |
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Something with a shorter lead in is more likely to be where it goes wrong first. Also somewhere the blame is more likely to fall on the UK Government for being unprepared. |
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Another Cabinet minister likely to quit cabinet if UK heads for no-deal.
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But on the other hand the act of calling the referendum itself might spark a reaction. The Vote Leave people are think of 'Tell them again' as a slogan by some polling that's been seen and will lean heavily into the story of their vote being ignored by the 'elite'. |
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the people of broxtow voted 45.4% remain and 54.6% leave in the referendum she has never accepted the result in fact she's gone out of her way to overturn it . |
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@Damien - you say that the “young people are angry”. And here’s the problem: young people get angry at that age about matters that wouldn’t trouble them later, in particular when they are wiser and less altruistic.
Anyway, there was a referendum in 2016 and the result was clear. LEAVE. But some of the losers want to upstage that decision and I find that to be undemocratic. As to the parliamentarians, I wish a pox upon them, particularly Labour for being totally unhelpful to the nation in their own political interest. ---------- Post added at 10:36 ---------- Previous post was at 10:33 ---------- Quote:
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https://www.theguardian.com/politics...porters-hitler |
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Getting older does not necessarily equate with getting wiser - some people are fixed in their views, and nothing will change their mindset; people get wiser by learning more, not by getting older. Not all older people are "less altruistic", aka "more selfish", and I know many of my age group that are angry/passionate about matters affecting this country; perhaps you are conditioned/influenced by those you mix/socialise with. |
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It getting silly now:
Change diet to cope with food delays after no-deal Brexit, Britons told (paywall) https://www.hl.co.uk/shares/stock-ma...,-retail-surge Quote:
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They'll take it with good grace and understanding. |
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There’s not much point stockpiling fruit and veg in Scotland.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VAdlkunflRs |
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http://cookit.e2bn.org/historycookbo...-dripping.html |
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It's all too easy eh :D |
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https://www.bmmagazine.co.uk/news/uk...ead-of-brexit/ |
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From the end of October [when i put the boat away for the winter] i start stock pilling canned and jarred food ,fruit, veg, meat, fish, soups, stews, along with dried goods like pastas, beans, rice ,couscous and all manor of sauces ,all ready to stock up the food cupboards on the boat , so if push comes to shove come march i wont go hungry:)
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What I do know is that the majority of leave voters already knew what they were voting for before any campaign began. I'd been waiting since 1975 to vote leave again. |
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I love it when people stockpile food - it will save me having to go without if the food shortages hit... ;) |
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A startling admission. |
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Vote Leave won. The half truths of the Leave campaign were easily offset by the Project Fear noise of the Remain campaign. Leave voters obviously took Project Fear into account. Remainers want to usurp democracy to overturn democracy. Plus why on earth Remainers want to continue living in the realms of Juncker, Merkel and Macron (who has threatened us with perpetual Backstop if we don't surrender our fishing waters to France) is beyond me and most reasonable people. You seem to want to acquiesce to that threat and remain in the EU. Jeez. ---------- Post added at 14:49 ---------- Previous post was at 14:48 ---------- Quote:
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Stop playing around just to attack a Leaver's sincere remarks. |
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My point is and always was, it's not undemocratic to want a second referendum based on what we know now. |
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https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...al-doping.html Quote:
https://www.theguardian.com/football...ropeanfootball Quote:
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What would you be saying if the Leavers were demanding another referendum because nothing further would have happened on a "what we know now" basis? Clearly that would be likely but the theoretical question is worth asking. Many Remainers will stop at nothing to defy democracy just because they disagree with the Referendum result. That's bad. |
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And in football" How much dope did the remain camp take prior to the vote? |
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As I've said several times, Remainers will use the argumental device your are deploying to defeat the outcome of the 2016 Referendum. We will never agree. I tell you something else about what we know now. The EU as represented by their Commission, are hard nosed nasties who want to federalise Europe and make their parliament superior to ours. Nobody in their right mind should want that. What's the matter with you? ---------- Post added at 16:52 ---------- Previous post was at 16:47 ---------- Quote:
How can you be so sure that the Referendum was "a complete sham and makes a mockery of the democracy"? That insults the voters on both sides who knew what they were voting for. Remainers seem to think that the Leavers did not know what they were voting for; they have no proof for this. Nor have they assessed the number of Remainers who are disgusted with the EU's high handed behaviour and who could change their vote to Leave. That is one of the bases on which the Referendum result must stand. Many of the Remainers on this thread are very bad losers. |
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I cannot bloody believe we are still damn arguing about the legitimacy of the referendum - it happened - leave won and leave we must - another vote is just there to overturn the first and a second one would be considered illegitimate, why should a second referendum supersede the first one, clue it should not?!?! |
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Funny you should say that... https://www.theguardian.com/news/aud...today-in-focus Quote:
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That means Sweet FA!! Try not to bring BS Robert Mueller stuff in to this thread either! |
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The Leave choice won; the Remain choice lost. Your assertion is just another blind alley attempt to have the valid result overturned by another Referendum where Remain might win. |
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The "Project Fear" crap is a broken record and should be consigned to the playground where it belongs. Debate the reality that faces us today. Hiding behind childish name calling betrays a lack of imagination. Hey, when Vladimir Putin, who is the last person on this earth to preach democracy, tells us to "respect" the referendum result then we have all we need to know. |
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This may have been already posted, not sure:
Labour and Tory MPs strengthen efforts to prevent no-deal Brexit Quote:
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The Project Fear crap emerges whenever someone writes about what made voters choose Leave/Remain in the Referendum. It is as valid a point as any made about the crap put out by the Remain campaign. You need to respect the Referendum result. |
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I don't expect you to have read all my earlier posts. I was praised a couple of months ago by Mr. K (no less) for writing a well balanced piece on the pros and cons of Leave/Remain. If, for any reason, we do remain, I won't be up in arms - after all the EU has not harmed us economically. I will be up in arms if we don't maintain our derogations from "ever closer union" and the Euro. I've never had a problem with freedom of labour movement - just our guvmin's inability to deal with the consequences (housing, health and so on). I support Leave particularly because of the way the EU has behaved (like Varoufakis said it would) and also Macron's threat to keep the UK permanently in Backstop until we give him our fishing waters. I don't like German hegemony nor the EU's tolerance of their breach of law as regards GDP surplus limits. The EU is a bad egg. |
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??? |
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There was plenty of information prior to the referendum, if you didn’t understand what you voted for then that’s your own problem. What we know now is no different to what we knew before. Tell me, what’s changed? |
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I have long criticised the EU's anti-competitive Working Time Directive, which was rammed through by France under qualified majority Health & Safety banner. And now it's rearing its ugly head again.
CMS Law Now has reported that employees who receive e-mails and calls in the evenings / weekends and during holidays carry the risk that employees are "always online" in violation of working time regulations. How stupid such unintended consequences are. We need to leave on a No Deal basis. They are terrified of that because we can institute policies, without reducing workers' rights, that make us more competitive. |
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My granddad grew up like this, if you didn't eat it you had nothing, the next meal it was put out again. Also he had porridge with water and salt. |
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If this country doesn't get away from 'winners' and 'losers' and realise at the end of the day then we're all on the same side, then we're doomed. Having a divided country will be even more disastrous when we're standing alone in the World.
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