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Hugh 25-05-2021 21:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36080765)
I spent a couple of years as a contractor working for civil servants. You might be surprised (or not) how many non-trivial conversations take place during entirely coincidental passing encounters on the staircase or other side corridors.

I always had a bit of fun with those "corridor conferences" - I would suggest that I sent them an email confirming what we had "chatted" about, and they could confirm my understanding… :D

TheDaddy 25-05-2021 22:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36080603)
So after declaring Cummins a liar and untrustworthy charlatan, you're willing to believe anything he says against Boris and the covid plan.:shrug:

If you believe a word bozo says you want your head testing, the man is a pathological liar who at times seems to lie for lying's sake, Dom might be an unpleasant individual with scant regard for the truth but when it comes to telling the truth he's a school boy compared to bozos level of dishonesty

Carth 26-05-2021 10:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
They all lie you muppet, and they all cover each others backs during the good times.

However, once the crap hits the fan (or your best mate sacks you) the finger pointing and back stabbing begins, with everyone trying to paint a bigger target on anyone but themselves.

If 'Dom the Magnificent' was really so concerned at the way Covid was being handled, he'd have said so at the time . . and probably gained a little respect for doing so.
As it is, he went along with it, was therefore complicit in it, and only when he found himself out of the 'clique' decided he'd try for a little payback.

He's no better or worse a person than any of them, but he's currently the big media story . . and they're bloody loving it :rolleyes:

mrmistoffelees 26-05-2021 10:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
I'm going to try and be as balanced (or perhaps that should be honest) as possible on this.

My dislike for DC is on par with my dislike for Boris & the tories in general.

Do i want DC to to be right? Absolutely

Are there questions to be asked about why he didnt raise the issues at the time (hopefully these will be asked)? Absolutely

Do i think any of this will make a blind bit of difference? Not a chance.... Unless DC has irrefutable proof of the allegations he's making, then all this is just willy waving.

jfman 26-05-2021 10:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
The system completely discarded the experiences being seen elsewhere.

British exceptionalism in action.

mrmistoffelees 26-05-2021 10:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36080801)
The system completely discarded the experiences being seen elsewhere.

British exceptionalism in action.


I'm not sure that's a fair assessment, most of Europe did exactly the same (at least initially) Apart from APAC the rest of the world doesn't have the real world experience in dealing with this type of event.

That's not to say that we didn't screw up, we did & royally so. But we're not the only nation guilty of such.

papa smurf 26-05-2021 10:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36080801)
The system completely discarded the experiences being seen elsewhere.

British exceptionalism in action.

Don't beat yourself up over it.

Damien 26-05-2021 11:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Well this is quite fun!

1andrew1 26-05-2021 11:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
I think the Dom won't be on Nick Hancock's Christmas card list.

jfman 26-05-2021 11:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36080823)
I think the Dom won't be on Nick Hancock's Christmas card list.

Did he slag off Room 101? ;)

Hugh 26-05-2021 12:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Ian Dunt (@IanDunt) put it best
Quote:

Four straight hours of of testimony from a self-interested narcissist who has weaponised falsehood challenging the record of a self-interested narcissist who has weaponised falsehood.

Taf 26-05-2021 12:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Second jab done.

I had to go to the post office which is in a little shop. They had just had a restock so the aisles were packed with boxes. All 5 of the staff were packing it away. No masks. A guy was at the counter paying-in loads of coin. No mask. As I left, the doorway was blocked by a group of late teenagers, No masks.

jonbxx 26-05-2021 12:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36080818)
Well this is quite fun!

It is, isn't it? This is a very different Dominic Cummings that the one we saw in the Number 10 Rose Garden last year. I might not have much time for the chap but he's clearly a very smart man.

Reserving judgement on how much is the truth but if he is spouting BS, he is very, very good at it. If he is lying, I would expect a swift call out of this by the Prime Minister any minute now...

Hugh 26-05-2021 12:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36080840)
It is, isn't it? This is a very different Dominic Cummings that the one we saw in the Number 10 Rose Garden last year. I might not have much time for the chap but he's clearly a very smart man.

Reserving judgement on how much is the truth but if he is spouting BS, he is very, very good at it. If he is lying, I would expect a swift call out of this by the Prime Minister any minute now...

Someone (@garius) I follow on Twitter put it quite well (imho)
Quote:

Something to remember about Cummings, if you are listening to this testimony:

He's NOT a mastermind. He IS someone who THINKS he's a mastermind.

That means he's not "spinning" here. But he IS an unreliable narrator.

So everything he's saying is what he THINKS is true.

That means a lot of it IS true, but some of it will only be PARTIALLY true. Think Star Wars or Game of Thrones (the book).

It's all true from his point of view or perspective, which he assumes - because he thinks he's always the smartest person in the room - is the ONLY view.

jonbxx 26-05-2021 12:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36080823)
I think the Dom won't be on Nick Hancock's Christmas card list.

Did Matt Hancock run over his dog or something? He's really gunning for him!

---------- Post added at 12:44 ---------- Previous post was at 12:37 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36080843)
Someone (@garius) I follow on Twitter put it quite well (imho)

Quote:
Something to remember about Cummings, if you are listening to this testimony:

He's NOT a mastermind. He IS someone who THINKS he's a mastermind.

That means he's not "spinning" here. But he IS an unreliable narrator.

So everything he's saying is what he THINKS is true.

That means a lot of it IS true, but some of it will only be PARTIALLY true. Think Star Wars or Game of Thrones (the book).

It's all true from his point of view or perspective, which he assumes - because he thinks he's always the smartest person in the room - is the ONLY view.

Oh, I never said he had integrity. Or wit, or charm. He's a disruptor and disruptive. I have no doubt that anything he says has an agenda. There is a role for people like that but maybe helping run a country isn't the right one...

Sephiroth 26-05-2021 13:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
I love it. I have no reason to disbelieve Cummings - he perfectly describes the politicians and what they care most about and apologised for his mistakes.

jfman 26-05-2021 13:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36080855)
I love it. I have no reason to disbelieve Cummings - he perfectly describes the politicians and what they care most about and apologised for his mistakes.

His observations have all been pretty good.

GrimUpNorth 26-05-2021 13:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36080855)
I love it. I have no reason to disbelieve Cummings - he perfectly describes the politicians and what they care most about and apologised for his mistakes.

You do get the feeling that he truly believes everything he's saying is accurate. There's not many errs or umms which to me is normally a bit of a give away when someone's sticking to a story as apposed to what they consider the truth as that just flows without much thinking about.

Also, if he is being untruthful you would expect the Government to be falling over themselves to put him in his place. Cynically, it makes me wonder why they haven't .

Sephiroth 26-05-2021 13:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
It may be that Boris' days are numbered and that manoeuvres are well under way.

jfman 26-05-2021 13:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36080859)
It may be that Boris' days are numbered and that manoeuvres are well under way.

Rishi has gone quiet.

1andrew1 26-05-2021 13:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36080860)
Rishi has gone quiet.

Praised by Cummings too.

Sephiroth 26-05-2021 14:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Top class stuff. A pity about Hancock. Boris is no surprise - but he got off lighter than Hancock. Not by much though because Cummings lay into Carrie's influence on turning trivial side matters into priorities.

I do believe that Cummings has heralded what the official investigation will uncover.

1andrew1 26-05-2021 16:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Now turning the heat up on BoJo
Quote:

PM faces questions on 'bodies piled high' remark

Downing Street and the government are facing some really serious allegations.

Among them, are whether the PM made comments about seeing "bodies pile high" rather than take the country into a third lockdown.

The BBC reported the comments in April - but the prime minister denied making them in Parliament.

Cummings - however - has told MPs he DID hear the prime minister make the comments.

"I heard that in the prime minister's study" he said.

Boris Johnson is now likely to face more questions about whether he made the remarks - and if he misled Parliament by denying them.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-politics-57245479

papa smurf 26-05-2021 16:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36080871)
It was interesting that Dominic Cummings didn't refer to BoJo's partner as Carrie but Boris's girlfriend. It suggests that DC did not have a good relationship with her.

He got sacked and is desperate for revenge, it'll be swept under the carped and forgotten about, meanwhile cummings is making himself unemployable.

1andrew1 26-05-2021 16:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36080873)
He got sacked and is desperate for revenge, it'll be swept under the carped and forgotten about, meanwhile cummings is making himself unemployable.

I would employ him. :D

papa smurf 26-05-2021 16:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36080875)
I would employ him. :D

He's trying to set himself up with a job with rishi sunak

1andrew1 26-05-2021 16:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
DC now talking about British exceptionalism and refusal to learn from abroad. Could almost be jfman speaking!

jfman 26-05-2021 16:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36080878)
DC now talking about British exceptionalism and refusal to learn from abroad. Could almost be jfman speaking!

It'll be interesting to see as the Government stooges that pass for journalists take to the airwaves how often we hear attacks on DC's character as opposed to substantive evidence that what he says is incorrect.

Sephiroth 26-05-2021 16:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36080875)
I would employ him. :D

So would Gove.

1andrew1 26-05-2021 17:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36080884)
So would Gove.

Some may think Gove has hired him already. ;)

jonbxx 26-05-2021 17:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Well that was a hell of a ride. Can't wait for the full rebuttal of his statements soon. My guess is that it will go something like this;

Q - 'What do you say to Dominic Cummings' claims in committee?'
A - 'Vaccines'
Q - 'Yes but what about the claims that Matt Hancock lie...'
A - 'Vaccines'
Q - 'Do you think Boris Johnson is fit to be...'
A - 'Vaccines'

And so on

TheDaddy 26-05-2021 17:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36080796)
They all lie you muppet, and they all cover each others backs during the good times.

Yeah and because of people like you they get away with it, if enough people told them they're not tolerating it things would change but because of people like you trotting out lines like they're all at it we get the politicians we deserve and yet I'm the muppet, perhaps I am I mean honest, honourable MPs is clearly to high an aspiration for this country according to you at least

mrmistoffelees 26-05-2021 18:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36080897)
Yeah and because of people like you they get away with it, if enough people told them they're not tolerating it things would change but because of people like you trotting out lines like they're all at it we get the politicians we deserve and yet I'm the muppet, perhaps I am I mean honest, honourable MPs is clearly to high an aspiration for this country according to you at least

Bang on...

Hugh 26-05-2021 18:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36080897)
Yeah and because of people like you they get away with it, if enough people told them they're not tolerating it things would change but because of people like you trotting out lines like they're all at it we get the politicians we deserve and yet I'm the muppet, perhaps I am I mean honest, honourable MPs is clearly to high an aspiration for this country according to you at least

It’s the old "Lügenpresse" approach - make people doubt everything, so they only believe the things that reinforce their existing bias, rather than questioning…

Carth 26-05-2021 18:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Jesus, sorry I don't follow the herd, apologies for having my own mind and opinion :rolleyes:

never mind though, Dom is doing a grand job preaching to the gullible :p:

papa smurf 26-05-2021 18:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36080911)
Jesus, sorry I don't follow the herd, apologies for having my own mind and opinion :rolleyes:

never mind though, Dom is doing a grand job preaching to the gullible :p:

Yep any one with an IQ lower than their shoe size will swallow his ranting's hook line and sinker, he's even had a go at the dog:erm:

jfman 26-05-2021 19:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
And 12 months ago it was the gospel according to Dom, remoany remainers going after an honest family man.

Hugh 26-05-2021 19:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36080914)
Yep any one with an IQ lower than their shoe size will swallow his ranting's hook line and sinker, he's even had a go at the dog:erm:

I believe that in every respect he acted responsibly, legally and with integrity.

papa smurf 26-05-2021 19:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36080917)
And 12 months ago it was the gospel according to Dom, remoany remainers going after an honest family man.

12 months ago he was the devils little helper, now he's the second coming...

jfman 26-05-2021 19:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36080919)
12 months ago he was the devils little helper, now he's the second coming...

Oh no that's the wrong way round.

Boris was the little helper. Dom was the devil.

Carth 26-05-2021 19:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36080918)
I believe that in every respect he acted responsibly, legally and with integrity.

After he was hounded out :rolleyes:

While in office he went with the flow, any 'whistle blower' with real conviction would do it when he saw (and contributed to) the alleged failings.

oh, and eye test my arse :p:

1andrew1 26-05-2021 19:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36080911)
Jesus, sorry I don't follow the herd, apologies for having my own mind and opinion :rolleyes:

never mind though, Dom is doing a grand job preaching to the gullible :p:

That was five years ago. He's no longer employed to do that. ;)

---------- Post added at 19:57 ---------- Previous post was at 19:55 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36080886)
Well that was a hell of a ride. Can't wait for the full rebuttal of his statements soon. My guess is that it will go something like this;

Q - 'What do you say to Dominic Cummings' claims in committee?'
A - 'Vaccines'
Q - 'Yes but what about the claims that Matt Hancock lie...'
A - 'Vaccines'
Q - 'Do you think Boris Johnson is fit to be...'
A - 'Vaccines'

And so on

It's worked so far! ;)

Carth 26-05-2021 19:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Andrew brings up Brexit again . . will he ever get over it?

Mad Max 26-05-2021 20:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36080927)
Andrew brings up Brexit again . . will he ever get over it?

No...;)

---------- Post added at 20:09 ---------- Previous post was at 20:07 ----------

Sounds like DC may well be bringing out a book, after all, he probably needs the money. :rolleyes:

Hugh 26-05-2021 20:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36080923)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh View Post
I believe that in every respect he acted responsibly, legally and with integrity.
After he was hounded out :rolleyes:

While in office he went with the flow, any 'whistle blower' with real conviction would do it when he saw (and contributed to) the alleged failings.

oh, and eye test my arse :p:

I was quoting BoJo… ;)

---------- Post added at 20:41 ---------- Previous post was at 20:37 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36080928)
No...;)

---------- Post added at 20:09 ---------- Previous post was at 20:07 ----------

Sounds like DC may well be bringing out a book, after all, he probably needs the money. :rolleyes:

Well, he should take a leaf out of his old boss’s book, and spend three weeks at the start of a pandemic writing it… :D

1andrew1 26-05-2021 20:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36080937)
I was quoting BoJo… ;)

:D:D:D

papa smurf 26-05-2021 21:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36080937)
I was quoting BoJo… ;)

---------- Post added at 20:41 ---------- Previous post was at 20:37 ----------

Well, he should take a leaf out of his old boss’s book, and spend three weeks at the start of a pandemic writing it… :D

There was no indication that it was a quote.

Hugh 26-05-2021 21:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36080943)
There was no indication that it was a quote.

Apologies - I (mistakenly, it appears) thought that since it had been on the front page of the Daily Express (and widely reported elsewhere), you would have remembered it…

TheDaddy 26-05-2021 21:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36080943)
There was no indication that it was a quote.

There did need to be really, you can't be blamed for not associating bozo with those words

papa smurf 26-05-2021 21:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36080944)
Apologies - I (mistakenly, it appears) thought that since it had been on the front page of the Daily Express (and widely reported elsewhere), you would have remembered it…

it seems you mistakenly also missed the link to said quote in your original statement.

jfman 26-05-2021 22:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36080928)
Sounds like DC may well be bringing out a book, after all, he probably needs the money. :rolleyes:

Has he got a wedding to pay for or something?

1andrew1 26-05-2021 22:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36080950)
Has he got a wedding to pay for or something?

DC paying for BoJo's wedding would ceratinly be an unexpected turn of events!

Slightly less unexpected is this headline from Sky News
COVID-19: Matt Hancock fighting for his political life after Dominic Cummings' brutal demolition job

Hugh 26-05-2021 22:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36080946)
it seems you mistakenly also missed the link to said quote in your original statement.

Again, apologies.

I thought the link in my first apology remedied that omission.

jfman 26-05-2021 23:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Are we doing apologies for inaccuracies in this thread? Wow.... this could take some time.

OLD BOY 26-05-2021 23:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36080958)
Are we doing apologies for inaccuracies in this thread? Wow.... this could take some time.

Well, I shan’t be going over all of your past posts. ;)

1andrew1 27-05-2021 00:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36080958)
Are we doing apologies for inaccuracies in this thread? Wow.... this could take some time.

Give me five minutes and I'll do a find and replace on my Hancocks. :D

jfman 27-05-2021 00:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
The state broadcaster earning it's (legislative) crust with a weak 'fact check'.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/57254305

The whole point of a fact check is surely to identify if the claim is correct or not, as opposed to offer defensive lines for the Government around dubious technicalities. And comparisons to opinion polling - which a know we all love on CF.

Generally most genuine fact checking services offer their own conclusion on the claims made - notably the state broadcaster does not.

Pierre 27-05-2021 05:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36080958)
Are we doing apologies for inaccuracies in this thread? Wow.... this could take some time.

Well previous behaviour on here suggests you will be pulled up for anything you wrongly suggested / predicted in excess of one year ago.

Hugh 27-05-2021 09:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36080969)
Well previous behaviour on here suggests you will be pulled up for anything you wrongly suggested / predicted in excess of one year ago.

More recently, as well… ;)

Or are you suggesting that blatant contradictions/falsehoods previously stated by posters should be ignored, in case the posters get upset by someone pointing out their contradictions/falsehoods? :confused:

jfman 27-05-2021 09:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36080969)
Well previous behaviour on here suggests you will be pulled up for anything you wrongly suggested / predicted in excess of one year ago.

Not quite sure of the posts you are referring to but my mantra has been fairly consistent - lockdowns were always inevitable, Government is broadly incompetent.

Others have clutched at various straws throughout the pandemic burying their heads in the sand from these quite obvious realities.

Any predictions of deaths, hospitalisations etc. are based on the prevailing circumstances at the time - not with the foresight of the many interventions the Government have made throughout the last 15 months.

Carth 27-05-2021 10:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
*gasp* you mean SAGE got it wrong too?

Hugh 27-05-2021 12:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Can we keep this thread for Coronavirus news updates, please, and put any further comments about Dominic Cummings and the Committee hearings in a separate thread (see below)


https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...php?t=33710049

jfman 27-05-2021 12:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 in 10 hospitalisations with Indian variant have been "double jabbed". Oh dear.

tweetiepooh 27-05-2021 13:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36081007)
1 in 10 hospitalisations with Indian variant have been "double jabbed". Oh dear.

But only 10 hospitalisations so that's 1 person. That figure on it's own really isn't helpful or useful.

Pierre 27-05-2021 13:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tweetiepooh (Post 36081009)
But only 10 hospitalisations so that's 1 person. That figure on it's own really isn't helpful or useful.

don't destroy the narrative.

Carth 27-05-2021 13:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36081007)
1 in 10 hospitalisations with Indian variant have been "double jabbed". Oh dear.

Quote:

Originally Posted by tweetiepooh (Post 36081009)
But only 10 hospitalisations so that's 1 person. That figure on it's own really isn't helpful or useful.

It's the way he tells em :D

Hugh 27-05-2021 13:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36081007)
1 in 10 hospitalisations with Indian variant have been "double jabbed". Oh dear.

Considering that the Pfizer vaccine is 88% effective against that strain, sounds about right...

Quote:

The BioNTech/Pfizer vaccine was 88 percent effective against symptomatic disease from the Indian variant two weeks after the second dose, while the Oxford/AstraZeneca was 60 percent effective.

These results suggest a slight drop in efficacy compared with the U.K. variant, where the BioNTech/Pfizer vaccine is 93 percent effective after two doses and the Oxford/AstraZeneca jab is 66 percent effective.
https://www.politico.eu/article/what...ant-in-the-uk/

This is why I will still be social distancing/wearing a mask in shops, even though I have had two jabs - the vaccine reduces the risk, not eliminates it.

pip08456 27-05-2021 14:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tweetiepooh (Post 36081009)
But only 10 hospitalisations so that's 1 person. That figure on it's own really isn't helpful or useful.

Not helpful at all without the context of when and how far apart the jabs were and when was the last given.

joglynne 27-05-2021 14:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Bolton who were the first to be badly hit by this new variant do not have an in depth breakdown on the Vaccine status of those who have been admitted to hospital but they have published full figures of how the virus is effecting their area.

BOLTON JOINT STRATEGIC NEEDS ASSESSMENT

I guess we will just have to wait a tad longer to hear how the increased cases of Covid 19 versus vaccines/lack of is effecting the NHS

jfman 27-05-2021 15:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36081011)
don't destroy the narrative.

If there's one thing I'm certain of it's that the Covid deniers/downplayers of the forum aren't going to destroy anything other than any reasonable prospects of getting out of lockdown/restrictions soon.

Vaccine escape is already here. Further mutations are only going to cause vaccine efficacy to diminish further.

Chris 27-05-2021 15:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36081035)
Vaccine escape is already here.

Based on what evidence, exactly? The data available for the Indian variant is consistent with a high degree of vaccine effectiveness. You haven’t provided anything to show otherwise.

What the Indian variant does is spread extremely quickly. That isn’t the same thing as vaccine escape.

Pierre 27-05-2021 15:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36081035)
If there's one thing I'm certain of it's that the Covid deniers/downplayers of the forum aren't going to destroy anything other than any reasonable prospects of getting out of lockdown/restrictions soon.

Vaccine escape is already here. Further mutations are only going to cause vaccine efficacy to diminish further.

No COVID deniers on this forum I know of.

Taf 27-05-2021 15:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Covid-19 death stats for UK ethnic Britons, compared to white Britons.

Bangladeshi men x4.96
Bangladeshi women x4.11
Pakistani men x3.40
Pakistani women x2.84
Black African men x2.16
Indian men x1.95
Black Caribbean men x1.69
Black Caribbean women x1.69
Black African women x1.62
Indian women x1.57
Mixed race men x1.39
Mixed race women x1.36
Chinese men x1.11
Chinese women x0.92


Office for National Statistics (ONS)

jfman 27-05-2021 15:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36081036)
Based on what evidence, exactly? The data available for the Indian variant is consistent with a high degree of vaccine effectiveness. You haven’t provided anything to show otherwise.

What the Indian variant does is spread extremely quickly. That isn’t the same thing as vaccine escape.

Different variants are pushing down the effectiveness of the vaccine and people who have had vaccines are now being hospitalised These are statements of fact.

What we don't have is 100% vaccine escape but that's simply a matter of time really. Restrictions will be here for some time on that basis.

Chris 27-05-2021 15:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36081040)
Different variants are pushing down the effectiveness of the vaccine and people who have had vaccines are now being hospitalised These are statements of fact.

What we don't have is 100% vaccine escape but that's simply a matter of time really.

So vaccine escape actually isn’t here after all. Glad we agree on that.

The statistics for hospitalisation with regards to the Indian variant are nowhere near vaccine escape. 88% protection from Pfizer is excellent performance by any measure. At the outset of this pandemic nobody would have complained at a vaccine with Oxford-Astra’s 60% effectiveness either - 60% is about as effective as a flu jab ever gets.

Sure, vaccine escape is likely in time. That’s how life works. But in the meantime, you might try to sound less gleeful at the prospect.

jfman 27-05-2021 15:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
I'm far from gleeful, but as your own figures demonstrate we are some considerable distance from the herd immunity threshold.

The same principle applies that there is no living with the virus. The Indian variant and others will be given hundreds of thousands, if not millions of opportunities to further mutate without ongoing restrictions.

Defining vaccine escape as reducing vaccine efficacy to zero is needless semantics and doesn't change the inevitability of all of this.

Hugh 27-05-2021 15:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Covid deniers/downplayers
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36081037)
No COVID deniers on this forum I know of.

Well phrased... ;)

Chris 27-05-2021 16:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36081042)
I'm far from gleeful, but as your own figures demonstrate we are some considerable distance from the herd immunity threshold.

The same principle applies that there is no living with the virus. The Indian variant and others will be given hundreds of thousands, if not millions of opportunities to further mutate without ongoing restrictions.

Defining vaccine escape as reducing vaccine efficacy to zero is needless semantics and doesn't change the inevitability of all of this.

Who defined it that way?

jfman 27-05-2021 16:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36081044)
Who defined it that way?

You appear to have.

Her Majesty's Government appear to define it as reducing efficacy and have published papers around different variants of concern on that basis

Chris 27-05-2021 16:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36081045)
You appear to have.

Her Majesty's Government appear to define it as reducing efficacy and have published papers around different variants of concern on that basis

No, sorry ... no matter how hard I look at that post I can’t see “vaccine escape equals zero efficacy”, or anything remotely like it.

What I can see is an assertion that efficacy in the 60s to 80s % does not represent vaccine escape. Because it doesn’t.

Carth 27-05-2021 16:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
I think the virus did a marvelous job of mutating even with restrictions :p:

If . . IF . . we end up with lock down after lock down, or ongoing restrictions that reduce my enjoyment of life (poor wording but you get the gist), then I'd want all travel to & from the UK stopped - totally - in order to prevent another mutation coming in from elsewhere :p:

Of course, that's never going to happen is it . . so where/when do we draw the line on restrictions & lock downs?

I think most of the Country have had enough already.

jfman 27-05-2021 16:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36081046)
No, sorry ... no matter how hard I look at that post I can’t see “vaccine escape equals zero efficacy”, or anything remotely like it.

What I can see is an assertion that efficacy in the 60s to 80s % does not represent vaccine escape. Because it doesn’t.

I’m sorry but that’s just semantics. A mutation that reduces efficacy from “90%+” in the AstraZeneca vaccine to 60% represents a significant reduction, leaving millions more people at risk of exposure than the original road map projected.

The Government need to have an honest conversation about what restrictions will be needed and look like through the rest of 2021 until booster vaccines roll out.

Maggy 27-05-2021 16:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Amazing how many virologists we have posting in this thread.

Taf 27-05-2021 16:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Let's just accept the fact that an annual covid-x vaccination is going to be as normal as the flu jab for those most at risk.

jfman 27-05-2021 16:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
You don’t need to be a virologist to know the same decision making process that led to every lockdown to date still applies until there is sufficient (and lasting) immunity in the population.

There is no living with the virus.

---------- Post added at 16:43 ---------- Previous post was at 16:42 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 36081051)
Let's just accept the fact that an annual covid-x vaccination is going to be as normal as the flu jab for those most at risk.

A certainty. The question is what to do between now and then.

Hugh 27-05-2021 18:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36081047)
I think the virus did a marvelous job of mutating even with restrictions :p:

If . . IF . . we end up with lock down after lock down, or ongoing restrictions that reduce my enjoyment of life (poor wording but you get the gist), then I'd want all travel to & from the UK stopped - totally - in order to prevent another mutation coming in from elsewhere :p:

Of course, that's never going to happen is it . . so where/when do we draw the line on restrictions & lock downs?

I think most of the Country have had enough already.

imagine what it would have been like without restrictions…:shocked:

jfman 27-05-2021 18:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36081056)
imagine what it would have been like without restrictions…:shocked:

In a couple of weeks we might find out.

Mad Max 27-05-2021 19:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36081062)
In a couple of weeks we might find out.

Ffs talk about the end of the world and we are all doomed, negativity at its best from you as usual!

jfman 27-05-2021 20:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36081064)
Ffs talk about the end of the world and we are all doomed, negativity at its best from you as usual!

When I see a reason for optimism you will all be the first to know. ;)

OLD BOY 27-05-2021 20:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36081065)
When I see a reason for optimism you will all be the first to know. ;)

That’ll be never, then. :sleep:

Mad Max 27-05-2021 21:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36081065)
When I see a reason for optimism you will all be the first to know. ;)

Do the figures that we have just now, with the low hospitalisations, the vaccine rollout, not give you at least a wee glimmer of optimism?

1andrew1 27-05-2021 21:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36081070)
Do the figures that we have just now, with the low hospitalisations, the vaccine rollout, not give you at least a wee glimmer of optimism?

These ones?
Quote:

So in summary:
• B.1.617.2 has sent cases rising again even in a country with very good vaccine coverage
• But vaccines are keeping cases and hospital admissions largely among the younger age groups whose risk of deaths from Covid is much lower

To be clear, this is not a "so everything’s fine!" thread.

Everything is not fine, and with hospital admissions rising again it’s clear the reopening roadmap needs to be re-evaluated.

But this wave is not like the other waves, and it’s important to keep that in mind.
https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/sta...810818/photo/1

Sephiroth 27-05-2021 21:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
The increase in cases is largely confined to the hotspots - for now.

But with people travelling around, that cannot be banked unless the Guvmin actually locks those hotspots down.

Cummings has Boris correctly judged.



jfman 27-05-2021 21:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36081070)
Do the figures that we have just now, with the low hospitalisations, the vaccine rollout, not give you at least a wee glimmer of optimism?

Australian estimates put the R number of the Indian variant somewhere between 7 and 8. The numbers fully vaccinated will dent that somewhat but at 60% efficacy there’s enough vulnerable 60+ (or under with underlying health issues) year olds still susceptible for the NHS to be overwhelmed quickly if we open everything back up with no restrictions.

spiderplant 27-05-2021 22:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36081073)
The increase in cases is largely confined to the hotspots - for now.

But with people travelling around, that cannot be banked unless the Guvmin actually locks those hotspots down.

But the hotspots aren't static

https://covid.joinzoe.com/data gives a good guide a week or so ahead of the official figures

Gloucester and Stratford-on-Avon? :shocked:

Sephiroth 27-05-2021 22:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36081081)
But the hotspots aren't static

https://covid.joinzoe.com/data gives a good guide a week or so ahead of the official figures

Gloucester and Stratford-on-Avon? :shocked:

Then we're doomed, sort of.

Pierre 27-05-2021 22:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36081052)

There is no living with the virus.

Well that’s unfortunate for you then.

jfman 27-05-2021 23:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36081086)
Well that’s unfortunate for you then.

Au contraire, Pierre.

We’ve done this dance before so we can just wait and see. Boris will bottle it from your perspective. Even Pfizering the kids still won’t get to the herd immunity threshold.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36081084)
Then we're doomed, sort of.

That’s my line.

Carth 28-05-2021 08:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Well . . . (or not) . . if we're doomed let's party :D

We may as well have a little fun before the economy collapses around our heads and anarchy takes hold

:beer: :drunk: :ghugs: :cleader:

:PP:

jfman 28-05-2021 17:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
That's the CDC and EMA both approved the Pfizer vaccine for 12-15 year olds in an important step towards the herd immunity threshold.

Interesting to see what we do with our 60 million order for September. Do you give them to the folk that had the Astrazenica vaccine in older age groups or do you acknowledge the role of schools in widespread community transmission and try to drive down infections that way.


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