![]() |
Re: Brexit
No-deal Brexit plans put 3,500 troops on standby
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...ns-for-no-deal |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
TM is clearly running the clock down, but she will be hoping to wring a few concessions out of the EU as much as she’s hoping to tame her own party (and the DUP, if possible). On your final point, by the way - Parliament can’t stop a no deal Brexit without passing primary legislation. It is all but impossible for an opposition or an independent MP to get legislation passed without at least the passive cooperation of the executive. If your final hope is that “no deal” can’t happen because Parliament will prevent it ... well your final hope is doomed. |
Re: Brexit
I think the last resort for Parliament would be to bring back May’s deals if they wanted to avoid a no deal Brexit. Assuming she is still PM at the time after it (probably) fails the first time.
May surviving the no confidence motion makes her deal more likely imo since I can’t see a way the ERG can now control the process. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
---------- Post added at 21:35 ---------- Previous post was at 21:30 ---------- Quote:
But ........it’s just that her deal is pretty crap. I would be amazed if her deal, unless transformed by EU Capitulation would get through. |
Re: Brexit
I never wanted to live in interesting times. I still don't.
|
Re: Brexit
Suggestion here that if Theresa May gets the DUP back on board, she may then get sufficient votes from her party to get her deal through.
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
She might do.
As I said earlier the fact she is immune for a year from a Conservative vote of no confidence means that the ERG and allies do not have an easy way of taking control and forcing no deal. For Brexiters the risk of a 'softer' Brexit or no Brexit is now higher should her deal fail than it was before the letters went in. For ages the ERG held that card over her head as leverage but now that leverage is gone and May herself knows that Brexit is probably the last, and only, thing she'll do as PM in the short time she has remaining. Whose going to stop her if she choses anything but no deal? Parliament? They want a softer Brexit than she does. The Cabinet? See above, few no dealers in her cabinet. ERG? Took their chance, missed. Tory rebels brining down their own government? Maybe, but do they get a form a no deal Government with Parliament being so Remainy? |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Ending freedom of movement, and ending aspirational net migration targets. What’s going on here then?
|
Re: Brexit
What's next building a wall?
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
I see all the usual suspects sniping from the sidelines here.
Fact is that the Referendum delivered a LEAVE result. It looks like TM is going to respect that vote one way or the other. That Parliament is "Remainy" just goes to show how undemocratic they are and as for the ERG, they need to withdraw their horns and do everything to assist the correct democratic outcome. LEAVE. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
Members of the House of Commons have a triple mandate - they represent all the people of their constituency, their party and the interests of the country. It is a tenet of representative democracy that MPs are not delegates for their constituents. This means that, while the views of constituents are frequently considered, the actions of MPs are governed by their determination of the best interests of their constituency, their party and the country as a whole. It was Edmund Burke who put it best, I think - the difference between a representative, who should take account of their constituents’ views but still use their own judgement in the legislature, and a delegate, who simple mirrors their constituents’ views. In his 1774 speech to the electors at Bristol at the conclusion of the poll that elected him he explained what would come to be known as Burkean representation: Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
We do not use quorums in British public voting, with one exception, that being the 1979 Scottish devolution referendum, where one was set, and devolution did not happen, despite there being a yes vote, because the quorum was not met. The result was a running sore in Scottish politics that wasn’t truly healed until Labour re-ran the referendum at its first available opportunity, in 1998. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
The referendum didn’t have to happen, but they voted for it. The result was to leave. “Parliament” then voted to enact the result and trigger article 50. They could have voted against Triggering article 50 if they thought then that leaving the EU was not in the “best interests of their constituency” but they didn’t. So it doesn’t really make sense for Parliament to be so anti-Brexit now? They had two legitimate opportunities to stop it. Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
If the electorate truly wanted to remain a they could have voted for the LibDems or the Greens both parties stated that they would not recognise the result of the referendum. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
Quote:
Where were the remainers at the vote to pass the referendum? Where were the remainers when campaigning for the general election? Where were the remainers in the vote for Article 50? Pathetic. ---------- Post added at 21:39 ---------- Previous post was at 21:38 ---------- Quote:
---------- Post added at 21:44 ---------- Previous post was at 21:39 ---------- Quote:
Quote:
Did you not understand that? On yes, I remember you didn’t understand what you voted for. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
Similarly it’s not unreasonable to invoke A50 assuming a competent government would guide the situation. However, it’s also not unreasonable for Parliamentarians to vote as they please. They stand on manifestos that aren’t binding. Their careers live or die based on judgement. Would the public support remain? A key question nobody seems too keen to ask ;) When or how doesn’t become irrelevant once Article 50 is invoked. It’s within the control of Parliament to unbind itself, as I’ve always said. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
[wuotez]Similarly it’s not unreasonable to invoke A50 assuming a competent government would guide the situation.[/Quote] I think May has brought forward a very competent proposal. Her downfall however is that she has tried desperately to deliver something that pleases everyone, and that is not possible. Nobody could have delivered anything any better, but that doesn’t matter because nobody could deliver a deal that would work, certainly not Corbyn. There is much. Wrong with the May deal, but if she manages to resolve the backstop, it does has a realistic chance. Quote:
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Nowhere were we promised Hard Brexit. Indeed the concept didn’t exist prior to the referendum. Instead we were promised the easiest trade deal ever.
You fail to understand our representative democracy. Manifestos are not legally binding. The idea may be that politicians are expected to stand by them, which is noble, however in practice they are held to account after five years (at most). I hope the leave voters can keep their anger going until 2022. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
You’re absolutely correct, we were promised “Brexit”. But that Brexit was leaving all the EU institutions, including the Single Market and Customs Union. That is what was sent to every home in the UK, and debated. Would you call that a “Hard Brexit”? Quote:
Quote:
However they are held to account after the fact. Brexit hasn’t happened yet. We don’t know the effect of Brexit as it hasn’t happened. How can you hold anything to account that hasn’t Happened? Let’s have Brexit, then after 5 years, if it’s a bit pony, we can elect to rejoin. |
Re: Brexit
We will never get the rebate back, nor our exemption from the Euro.
I find it bizarre so many people are happy for a referendum after the fact as opposed to hold a preference that we get it right in the first place! |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
‘Soft’ Brexit as defined by senior remain campaigners involved staying in the customs union and the single market. The EU helpfully clarified that the latter would also have required continuation of the right to free movement. During the campaign, those same senior remain campaigners were very clear that they believed voting leave would mean fully leaving the EU, CU and SM and all. In fact senior leave campaigners likewise were very clear that voting leave would mean fully leaving the EU, CU and SM and all. It was one of the few things they all agreed about. On voting day, everyone understood what Brexit meant, and despite calculated attempts at obfuscation since, I think the vast majority of people still do. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
I don’t have an issue with another referendum, but there are many risks as outlined in my previous post. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
---------- Post added at 22:40 ---------- Previous post was at 22:39 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
---------- Post added at 22:49 ---------- Previous post was at 22:47 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
I’m quite sure the search function would help you, and any new entrants to the thread, identify my stance. You raised no new meaningful points and I decided to save us from the circular arguments around Brexit as a whole.
If you must I’ll go disagree disagree disagree disagree. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Amber “newly promoted” Rudd has a lot of opinions. You’d think they’d have measured the chances of this happening before appointing her. Unless they did... ;)
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
3no. Simple questions. 1. Was the version of Brexit promoted before the referendum by all the pro-Remain players, including the Government, what we would call a hard Brexit? Yes/no? 2. You complain that brexiteers claim this would be the easiest trade deal ever and why haven’t they delivered it. Yet the trade deal isn’t up for discussion yet. It is the withdrawal deal we are currently negotiating and voting over. Yes/no? 3. You claim that that MPs are only held to account every 5 years, and pretty much they can say and do what they want inbetween, and deliver sod all, As if they fail we can get rid after that term. But we can’t wait and see if brexit is delivered, live it for a few years and decide or not If we like it? For you we have to determine this before the outcome has been realised or lived up through, which goes against all of that. Yes/no? ---------- Post added at 23:12 ---------- Previous post was at 23:11 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
You removed your own right to my reply at “truly pathetic”. You are not worthy of an educated and articulate reply.
I’ll address one single point, solely because of misogyny. I may not agree with Amber Rudd on many things, but she isn’t a stupid woman. I believe her actions are deliberate and a conscious collaboration with another woman who wants to remain. The conscious choice was made to elevate Ms Rudd from bitter backbench MP to prominent Secretary of State. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
You are indeed pathetic. I’m afraid your stock as someone who can properly debate these issues has seriously decreased. You can’t answer simple straight questions posed in response to your own argument. I’m going to retire now. If you can develop a spine for tomorrow, that would be great. |
Re: Brexit
I’ll answer anyone worthy of reply. Once again you use the disrespectful term pathetic and genuinely believe I should reply to you. The mind truly boggles.
It’s good to know I have you on the ropes though, it’s truly a sign the dream is dying. :) Of all people to challenge anyone on the basis of selective debating it’s truly laughable to be from you. |
Re: Brexit
I'll bring this back down to earth.
A Leave/Remain referendum was held in 2016. The result was a clear majority for LEAVE. It is the government's obligation to deliver that mandate, either with a deal or without a deal. The Remainers are not content with following normal democratic rules and are using every wheeze and argument possible to overturn the Referendum result. To muddy the waters, we have a PM who is very difficult to read. Some think that she is craftily steering us to a 2nd referendum as part of her personal Remain philosophy. Others (and not many I would add) think that she sees it has her solemn/legacy duty to deliver the Leave mandate; I just about give her the benefit of the doubt on that. As to Amber Rudd, she must have taken lessons in duplicity from the EU or Varadkar. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Some of the posts are bordering on personal abuse - desist this behaviour or infractions will be issued.
I understand passions can run high on this subject, but posters either need to calm down, or leave the thread until they can discuss the subject without perjorative comment, or they will be aided in this. TLDR - calm down, cut the personal insults. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
Actually, looking into what Leave said, is it the £350m/week you're concerned about? if so, nobody ended up believing it was £350m because that sum was well debunked during the campaign. Is it the naivety of people like Fox and Davis who thought it would be the easiest negotiation ever? Do you seriously believe that Leavers needed to take that into account as a partial basis for their decision? The problem that TM is trying to resolve is the rigidity of the EU and its unsurprising desire to see us well stiffed. We hurt them most, in retaliation, by leaving on No Deal. ---------- Post added at 09:43 ---------- Previous post was at 09:40 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
The Ballot paper was a bald question. The leave campaign sold voters a more flexible leave option. Insisting that ALL voters chose the bald leave option based on the ballot paper alone has always been the problem. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
A referendum has to be a bald question. The people voting can work it out for themselves. The only problem is the anti-democratic approach of many Remainers wishing to defeat the 1st Referendum; i.e. play the EU's nasty game. |
Re: Brexit
The EU may be forging closer links but we’ve continued to hold an opt out for our interests on almost all of it.
Turkey will not join the EU for the forseeable future, each member state is able to veto such a proposal including Greece. I’m not even sure Erdogan wants to join anyway. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
None of those selective comments matter. The Referendum result was LEAVE and those of you wishing to thwart that are anti-democratic, especially if you allow yourselves into being fooled by the “status quo” argument.
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
---------- Post added at 12:49 ---------- Previous post was at 12:47 ---------- Quote:
It could be argued that trying to shut down others' differing views by calling them "anti-democratic" is, in itself, anti-democratic... That's like saying anyone who protests or disagrees with whover is elected in a national election is "anti-democratic" - no, it is freedom of assembly and free speech. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
More cabinet divisions at the heart of government this morning.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...ond-referendum |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Main prediction from the FT's Brexit Briefing column is that the government will ask the EU for an extension of the withdrawal process. This ups the chances of another referendum, a general election or a new attempt at pushing Mrs May’s deal/similar through Parliament.
It also predicts that Theresa May will not be prime minister by December 31 2019 and if there is an election, Jeremy Corbyn will not win it. https://www.ft.com/content/125e4aea-...f-6183d3002ee1 |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
You can and probably will say I am wrong and that is your right and I respect that. You cannot, however, say I do not have the right to say it. Posting replies with dunces hats, words like "pathetic, traitor, loser, anti-democratic," just reveals the anger felt at being presented with an opposing point of view. Anger not originating from some sense of democratic idealism, rather anger at the prospect of something so long waited for being taken away. Engineering a referendum that was based on a pure arithmetic majority with no minimum turnout was always going to be divisive. The fact that 1 vote, or "Bob in Essex" if you will, would decide the future of a country for a generation is laughable. It shows why we do not do referenda often in the UK, we are rubbish at them. The irony here is Parliament demands a supermajority (66%) to hold a General Election and I think that the Tories imposed a similar requirement (50%?) for union strike action. It is perverse that a supermajority is seen as appropriate for Parliament and for Unions but when the structural & macro-economic future of the country is at stake, no chance, let's just roll the dice. What is depressing and even disturbing is the level of vitriol and anger against the people in this country who disagree with the result and how it was achieved. I mean "traitors, etc.", really? Politicians make bad decisions and Parliament makes bad laws. The good news is that, living in a Democracy, we have the processes to undo bad decisions and repeal bad laws. |
Re: Brexit
Sadly I think deep down the most committed leave voters know that another referendum would be lost. It took a huge effort just to scrape a majority, one that I doubt they would get again now we know what Brexit would look like and demographics shifting against them.
So we get the language of hate due to their anger. Their one chance is to cling on to the wafer thin majority of the 23rd June 2016 for dear life, with the UK leaving at any cost on 29th March 2019. |
Re: Brexit
We have had one referendum and even though l voted remain we have to respect the result IMO as not respecting it would be unforgivable in the eyes of a considerable amount of the populace.
This though is deeply unacceptable as do we want another murder on our hands. https://www.theguardian.com/politics...porters-hitler |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/10...al-vote-latest |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
I know the leave voters will respond with but 52% of those who voted chose leave. This is still less than 4% more than voted remain, far too tight to be a wholehearted endorsement of Brexit. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
The referendum was not flawed. Every eligible person had a vote and was able to do so without hindrance. There are a great many countries where they would laugh in your face for suggesting any vote held in the U.K. in the last century might be described as “flawed”. Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
If we were offered a second referendum on the deal, no deal or remain, at least then the result would be a positive choice for a known outcome. It is one thing to put up with a government elected by a minority of the population, at least there is the chance of change only a few years later. This is something we will be stuck with for decades. Left with either a deal with no control, or a leap into the abyss which could end up with cheap imports overwhelming what little we still produce ourselves and the balance of trade can go hang. ---------- Post added at 17:57 ---------- Previous post was at 17:54 ---------- Quote:
For too long a minority has chosen who governs, with no consensus and no need to listen to the electorate. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
---------- Post added at 17:04 ---------- Previous post was at 16:59 ---------- Quote:
---------- Post added at 17:07 ---------- Previous post was at 17:04 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Ah I’ve missed the discussion over the definition of electorate and population, over and above those who actually voted.
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
This has nothing to do with whether people choose not to vote, but that so many votes cast are actually worthless. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
To go back to your original post you described the EU as follows ”morphing towards federalism; the Euro might collapse; Turkey might join the EU.” You continued to say we have “No chance of preserving Status Quo, which I concede never did us too much harm”. You then concontradict yourself and say it doesn’t matter if any of the above is actually true in a referendum about EU membership, neither does it matter the extent we can exempt ourselves or hold veto over any of it. :confused: |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
---------- Post added at 18:40 ---------- Previous post was at 18:36 ---------- Quote:
If asked before the vote, I would have requested a supermajority based referendum but, surprise, no one asked .. I wonder why? |
Re: Brexit
Toto, I don’t think we’re in Kansas any more. :dozey:
The referendum was conducted according to the usual high standards of British elections and delivered a fair result. Furthermore the turnout was relatively high compared to recent General Elections and, due to the simple, binary question, it resulted in the highest number of British voters supporting any proposition in electoral history. It was fair, it was reasonable, it was historic. You know I think I preferred it when your delusion of choice was that there might be a re-run, because where we’re taking the discussion right now is just nuts. While The UK has limited precedent for referendums, they have only ever been used for matters affecting the constitution and have never required a supermajority. It didn’t require one the last time we voted on the EU. In any case, why should the deck be stacked so heavily in favour of one side? |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Nope ... but I do have a very fetching pair of ruby slippers. :D
|
Re: Brexit
A sham is when the incumbent government don't carry out the wishes of the electorate which in some countries is exactly what happens but we are a civilised democracy unlike a dictatorship which will ignore the wishes of its populace..
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
Agreed, most people I know will never vote again if Brexit is over turned, and some of these voted to remain. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
I love the fact we continually have general elections than get stuck with a mistake based on one vote on one specific day. |
Re: Brexit
Quote:
---------- Post added at 21:50 ---------- Previous post was at 21:42 ---------- Quote:
I think there needs to be a real change in circumstances and real public support to hold another referendum. I don't really support one on the EU. That said I think Brexit shows why the last one was a problem. The country is split, 52-48, on a huge change which ideally would require a lot of public support and tenacity to push though. The Government is struggling in part because of that spilt but also IMO because they know they'll be held responsible for any problems after the vote. The public is rarely willing to accept their responsibility problems that happen. |
Re: Brexit
It really isn’t a subject designed to be decided by a wafer thin public vote.
It was foolish of Cameron to allow it on the basis he thought remain would win anyway. Certain issues should only be put to the public when there’s a clear and consistent public opinion than stands the test of time to some degree. The public opinion should be reflected in the Governments they elect on a number of occasions. Then having a referendum is seem as rubber stamping the general consensus. Obviously that’s an ideal world. |
Re: Brexit
Cameron did it simply to obtain extra votes and never thought that leave would win. When they did, he ran away and left someone else to sort it all out.
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
Re: Brexit
People on power can think what they like. As you say, it shows he was out of touch.
Once again the inability of certain other members to understand my posts does not invalidate my points. At the end of the day we are in this mess because of no coherent plan throughout, and it’s even debatable if the public would vote the same way given the choice. |
Re: Brexit
I take it that this sudden, rather desperate attempt to call the legitimacy of the 2016 referendum into question is the first sign that some people are moving closer to accepting that Brexit is actually happening and nothing that occurs between now and next March will stop it.
|
Re: Brexit
Quote:
|
All times are GMT +1. The time now is 04:32. |
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
All Posts and Content are © Cable Forum