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Re: Britain outside the EU
We have a trade deficit with Germany. But if you are seriously saying that Germany imports 0% from the U.K. you are wrong.
https://oec.world/en/profile/bilater...br/partner/deu The “latest trend” section gives recent data from March ‘23. |
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Ok, but then these are all % so I’d have to look at the actual volumes to have a relevant opinion on it. Which I can’t be arsed to do.
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Brexit means prices are 4% higher
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Unless anyone can actually name a single tangible benefit of not having a closer economic relationship with the EU it becomes inevitable. The moonbeams of a trade deal with the USA and China (:rofl: remember that classic) are long gone. Many Brexit voters will be long in the ground before benefits are realised (it was Rees Mogg that suggested 50 years after all, and the minimum voting age of 18 and life expectancy in the high 70s it means the chances of seeing the benefits of Brexit (2076) is down there with seeing Halley’s Comet (2061). |
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I've no idea of how a rejoin referendum would pan out.
Leaving the EU wasn't a mistake. It's the Guvmin that has performed badly. And Labour is a poor alternative - but the public will be more intent on punishing the Tories than - what? Awful predicament. At least we're out of the EU. |
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One way for you to judge whether it's a success or not is to return to why David Cameron called the referendum in the first place: to cure the divisions in the Conservative Party. One simple test: Has Brexit cured the divisions in the Party? Yes or no? |
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Far more likely to see further economic harmonisation and trade short of membership. |
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Then it will tip into wanting a seat at the table and 20 years hence we'll be leading Europe again and enjoying a stronger currency. Illegal crossings from France will be a fraction of what they are today as we return them swiftly back to France. Or perhaps we'll settle for a half-in, half out approach. Either way, you can't fight basic economics for too long. |
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Sure, to date the Ponzi scheme has dragged younger generations to the right as they get older, however in a recession, in a country getting poorer and with reduced opportunities that’ll be harder than ever. |
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I can see as usual, the boring folk, formerly known as Remainiacs, now rejoiners, preaching on about voting the wrong way, being fooled in to voting this way, you need to shut up, I won’t have anyone tell me such bullshit, I still stand by, we do not need to be in the corrupted EU, Germany in recession, France rioting itself in to civil war.
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What’s undoubtedly true is that the current Government have been absolutely incapable of delivering any benefits. It’s all eggs in the Starmer basket from here on in. Just as joining the EU was revisited over time, ultimately in a democracy leaving the EU and the bad Brexit deal will inevitably be reviewed once it’s politically palatable and future generations decide for themselves. In the 2030s howling that it’s “overturning democracy” won’t wash. People are living through the highest inflation and the biggest fall in living standards. Wherever there is a Brexit dividend it’s more likely to be experienced offshore than on these shores. |
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I think Sir Keir is quite happy have a low-policy manifesto so can't see this being included but once in power...
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https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...postcount=5212 ---------- Post added at 01:16 ---------- Previous post was at 01:14 ---------- Quote:
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So one single example of a remoaner etc.
Good to know the rest of us are on solid ground calling this out for what it is - a Tory pup. |
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You said there was none! You lied.
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It’s more likely I glanced past such a glib remark rather than outright lied. However, it’s not really relevant to the point at hand. How’s your confidence level in Starmer making a success of Brexit?
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Well he either needs better trading terms with the EU and/or a big trade deal. We were meant to replace the loss of trade with the EU with a US trade deal. Didn't happen.
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It was a gamble that didn't work. How much more inflation and how many more small boat migrants do we need to prove this? - Inflation: We're currently three percentage points above the Eurozone. - Small boat migrants: Record numbers are coming into the UK on small boats - they know we can no longer send them back to France. |
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https://www.india-briefing.com/news/...ta-25699.html/ |
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I'm not sure "too much brain work" is a valid reason for the absence of a US trade deal. ---------- Post added at 15:13 ---------- Previous post was at 15:08 ---------- More winners from Brexit. Quote:
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That should be easier for the poor old codger to cope with. ---------- Post added at 18:01 ---------- Previous post was at 17:53 ---------- Quote:
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As for Starmer and Brexit, no, he will make a right pig's ear of it. He will probably get us signed up to to the customs union, the worst of all worlds. |
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What if you just believed a bit more, OB would they create success?
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Some good news on the um, horizon.
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We are all team Starmer now after all, only he can save us from a mediocre Brexit. Things change is an inadequate excuse for mediocre policymaking. |
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It’d be useful to the “outers” if they could refer to a single area, upon assuming full legislative competence, the UK Government has acted in an area with obvious tangible benefit to the population at large. Otherwise there’s a significant proportion of the population looking at the erosion of their rights, working conditions and living standards asking who was supposed to benefit. |
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You wonder if anyone is looking out for the best interests of this country - it certainly isn’t the Conservative Party. Dividends at water companies while record amounts of human excrement released into our waterways. Bailing out train operators. The energy price cap to funnel money into energy companies profits rather than invest in our own Great British energy infrastructure.
We are being mugged in plain sight. And our fellow subjects of His Majesty are complicit for permitting it at the ballot box. (For the avoidance of doubt, I refer to general elections, not any referendums in this statement). |
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Comedy gold here!
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https://www.express.co.uk/news/polit...-ITV-Peston-vn |
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Might as well add a unicorn to the wish list. Can we have free trade with everyone, with all the advantages, no disadvantages and we make the rules despite being the smallest economy at the table in every meaningful discussion. :rofl:
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You are trying to big this up into something it isn’t. Canada has one, but we are being penalised because we were in the EU and have now left. |
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Really? |
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Any literature giving a comprehensive view of what our relationship with the EU would look like that predates the referendum is notably absent. Norway, the EEA, a customs union all floated at some point or another from the charlatans that claimed to be steering the leave campaign. There’s no evidence to support your spurious assertion that we are being “penalised”. You are simply trying to shift the blame for the inadequacies of this Government onto someone else. A staple of your input into the current affairs section. |
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How is our trade deal with the EU any worse than Canada's? Quote:
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Where’s your evidence that he’s telling porkies? The fact that you may not lie him, agree with him or believe anything he says is not evidence. You are the one who said he did. Why? ---------- Post added at 16:41 ---------- Previous post was at 16:33 ---------- Quote:
If you cannot understand the straight forward point that we were penalised then clearly you are a remainer who is wedded ideologically with the concept and ideology of the EU, in which case no amount of explaining is going to shift your opinion. If we were to be in the Customs Union it would restrict our freedom to trade the way we want with the rest of the world and that, my friend, is unreasonable. No other trade deals anywhere else in the world contain such unreasonable restrictions. |
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As I said old Boy, why do you trust someone who's known for bending the truth? Do you not think that's a bit risky, even if you find his populistic approach easy on the ear? Some evidence, particularly 01:16 https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/ent...b09025ba310fce Also: https://bbench.co.uk/2021/09/22/the-...single-market/ |
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“would it be so bad if, according to Mr Cameron, if we behave like Norway, life would be terrible. I mean, God, we’d all be rich! we were like Norway. We’d be rich”. He was referring to the nonsense of the statement made by Cameron about Norway. Now the mischief makers have turned that into an allegation that Farage wanted to stay within the single market! Staying within the Single Market was never an option for Brexiteers because it would involve the free movement of people. It also involves abiding by EU laws and accepting judgements of the ECJ. Finally, I was not asking you about whether or not Farage was telling the truth. You avoided the question, which was where was your proof that he said that. Your example(s) (they both contain the same quote) do not prove your point at all. ---------- Post added at 20:17 ---------- Previous post was at 20:12 ---------- Quote:
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On what basis do you profess that we should automatically have had the right to a Canada type deal? None whatsoever. The whole point of the Canada trade deal is to improve trade with Canada which already has a significant barrier to overcome - the Atlantic Ocean. In no way, shape or form can trade between Canada and the EU be considered comparable to the UK and the EU. |
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Dan Hannan, Vote Leave "Absolutely nobody is talking about threatening our place in the Single Market" Owen Paterson "Only a madman would leave the Market." Arron Banks "Increasingly, the Norway option looks the best for the UK." Will you be a gentleman and accept you are wrong? Quote:
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What they were not saying was that we would have to accept free movement and the rest. But unfortunately, that is what the EU insisted on, and we were in no position to press our views home because firstly Theresa May lost her nerve with David Davis as he was holding out, and she stepped in to negotiate her way, and secondly, the hostility and determination of the Remainers, who were even briefing the EU against us. Farage and co were not lying, they were simply undermined in the end by opposing forces which made it impossible to negotiate effectively. And that, of course was why Johnson said in the end that the deal would be better renegotiated when we were outside of the EU. As for whether that will be done rather more successfully, I guess it depends on who is in power and in charge of this country at the time. |
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That’s a long winded way of either saying they are idiots or liars.
Anyone who seriously claimed we could have had the benefits of being in the Single Market without recognising the supremacy of EU in setting those rules (and the role of the ECJ in enforcing them) can only be one or the other. Invoking remainers is nothing but whataboutery. The EU rationally negotiated, in it’s own interests. Something that should have come as a shock to absolutely no-one. |
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It would have hurt them because of the exit fee and damage to Ireland's economy (the perfidious Varadkar, remember). |
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I might tell my wife that it is possible to carry a certain amount of cups and plates on a tray. If she trips and falls and breaks everything, does that make me a liar? Of course not. I might tell my grandson that he is capable of passing an examination, but if he doesn’t study enough and he fails, does that make me a liar? I ‘invoked’ remainers because they were so intent on wrecking the negotiations as they wanted to get their own way. Your ‘invoking’ the whataboutery card is nonsense because it was those activities which were largely responsible for disruption to the negotiations. It is a reason, not a ‘whataboutery’. People tend to use ‘whataboutery’ to prevent a logical argument highlighting an alternative they don’t like, because it neuters their own argument. It’s the coward’s way out of a discussion. The EU was not irrational in trying that line with us, I agree, and I didn’t say otherwise. Theresa May took the rug from under the feet of the Brexiteers, and that was the first thing that put us on the back foot, which was a gift the the remain lobby. |
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Your attempts at deflection are as transparent as they are tedious. The EU acted entirely rationally. They’ve been underestimated throughout. None of this is a surprise to anyone who wasn’t blinkered by ideology. |
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Yes, the Conservatives chose May, but clearly, you cannot know in advance what the elected leader will do. That’s on her, and it was the start of her downfall. The only deflection going on is yours, because you lay every problem we have at the door of the Conservatives without acknowledging the role others played in attempting to wreck the deal that was required. |
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This isn’t France, OB. Brits just eat their gruel and get on with it while their betters laugh at them. Quote:
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I’ll settle for Seph’s approval. Your disapproval is a badge of honour that my messaging isn’t going down well on the sinking ship that is HMS CCHQ. |
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If the people who claimed we could have all the benefits of the single market without being in the single market aren’t idiots they must be liars. It follows that if they are honest they are not clever for missing a glaringly obvious EU red line around rule setting and the ECJ.
Your inability to comprehend this in the thread can only be wilfully obtuse on your part, and doing so because of your inability to criticise them for purely ideological reasons. I’ve tried to move the conversation on many times, inviting everyone to be positive about the steps Starmer and the next government will take. There’s no point dwelling on the deceptions and incompetence of the past. Britain is at a crossroads, and can finally draw a line under a decade of chaos and confusion. The adults can sit at the negotiating table while the children play with their toys in the corner and wonder if we can get a Canada deal. |
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Worrying for the workforce.
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I’m old enough to remember when it was meant to be the German car manufacturers moaning?
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https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-b2375947.html
The CPTPP trade deal has been signed. Immediate benefits estimated at £1.8bn per year once operational, with huge opportunities for us to build on that. Keri Benedoch confirmed on Laura K’s show this morning that the Indian trade deal was making good progress. |
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https://twitter.com/RidgeOnSunday/st...93652882124800 |
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So a shockingly miniscule 0.08% uplift from this deal whilst Brexit is giving us a 5% reduction in GDP.
I guess every little helps but even if those countries grow by a staggering 100% that's still only a 0.16% uplift! https://news.sky.com/story/joining-i...1-8bn-12921751 Meanwhile, how's things going with our largest trading partner? Quote:
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Indian trade deal - at what price in immigration terms? |
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That statement is not based on actuality - nothing in the link you posted stated Quote:
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You were the one hailing the Indian Trade deal as something worthwhile (without knowing the detail). |
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‘Kemi Benedoch confirmed on Laura K’s show this morning that the Indian trade deal was making good progress.’ Where did I ‘(hail) it as something worthwhile’? This misinterpretation of things said that Cable Forumers do when hearing facts that they don’t like seems to have infected you, too, Seph, which saddens me. ---------- Post added at 19:32 ---------- Previous post was at 19:28 ---------- Quote:
I say that recognising that this is beyond comprehension for some. Live and learn. |
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I applaud OB's loyalty to the Conservative cause. i just wish he would see the government for what it is - a total shambles that is leading us onto the rocks. What's more, they could stop ULEZ. They could immediately knock the water company thieves on the head. There shoud be NO sewage discharges and no increase in water charges. They should listen to John Redwood. (Yes, I know what you lefties will say ...) |
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My remark, Den, concerned the lefties only. |
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I say again, these were news items. I simply reported them. Don’t shoot the messenger. ---------- Post added at 11:03 ---------- Previous post was at 11:01 ---------- Quote:
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What’s entertaining is that you throws around “lefties” as an insult. How much catastrophic right wing economic policy do you have to witness to realise it has failed? How high do energy prices have to go? How much human excrement has to flow into our waterways? How many train operators have to “fail” once they’ve trousered all the subsidies and distributed those to shareholders?
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Its called convenient political amnesia. |
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You’re the one to talk, Ian. You frequently allege against the right wing with no meaningful definition. ---------- Post added at 13:12 ---------- Previous post was at 13:11 ---------- Oh - and there’s very little, if any, doubt as to what a lefty is. |
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(just to ensure there is little, if any, doubt in peoples’ minds). |
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