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Pierre 15-06-2023 10:04

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
We have a trade deficit with Germany. But if you are seriously saying that Germany imports 0% from the U.K. you are wrong.

https://oec.world/en/profile/bilater...br/partner/deu

The “latest trend” section gives recent data from March ‘23.

GrimUpNorth 15-06-2023 10:07

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36153807)
We have a trade deficit with Germany. But if you are seriously saying that Germany imports 0% from the U.K. you are wrong.

https://oec.world/en/profile/bilater...br/partner/deu

The “latest trend” section gives recent data from March ‘23.

Think the post shows the change, but haven't read the tweet so can't say for sure.

ianch99 15-06-2023 10:46

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by GrimUpNorth (Post 36153808)
Think the post shows the change, but haven't read the tweet so can't say for sure.

Yes, this is change in trade. Here's the origin article: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Press/202...23_215_51.html

Pierre 15-06-2023 16:52

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Ok, but then these are all % so I’d have to look at the actual volumes to have a relevant opinion on it. Which I can’t be arsed to do.

ianch99 15-06-2023 20:44

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36153845)
Ok, but then these are all % so I’d have to look at the actual volumes to have a relevant opinion on it. Which I can’t be arsed to do.

No, percentage changes for peer economies work very well.

Quote:

Zooming in on major European partners

Jan-Apr 2023 vs Jan-Apr 2019

German exports 🇩🇪 to:
+33% 🇧🇪 Belgium
+24% 🇳🇱 Netherlands
+8% 🇫🇷 France
+28% 🇮🇹 Italy
+15% 🇪🇸 Spain
+39% 🇵🇱 Poland
+23% 🇨🇿 Czech Republic
+21% 🇦🇹 Austria

-11% 🇬🇧 UK

German imports 🇩🇪 from:
+14% 🇧🇪 Belgium
+6% 🇳🇱 Netherlands
+5% 🇫🇷 France
+26% 🇮🇹 Italy
+14% 🇪🇸 Spain
+44% 🇵🇱 Poland
+27% 🇨🇿 Czech Republic
+24% 🇦🇹 Austria

-0% 🇬🇧 UK

1andrew1 21-06-2023 23:10

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Brexit means prices are 4% higher
Quote:

For we now see clearly that inflation is higher in the UK than in other comparable economies, and has been for some time. Catherine Mann, a distinguished economist who sits on the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee as an independent, calculates that Brexit has meant prices are around 4 per cent higher than they would otherwise be thanks to the cumulative effects of the 2016 EU referendum decision, when set against comparable economies, not least because “no other country chose to unilaterally impose trade barriers on its closest trading partners.”

Disrupting supply chains in and out of the EU added bureaucracy, delays and costs, which stands to reason. Brexit also affected the easy dynamic flow of needed skills and types of workers under the old freedom of movement regime, substituting a clunky, arbitrary, and politicised points-based system for the agile free market system. More people are retiring early, and more are suffering long-term illness because of the lingering effects Covid.

The impact of all that is to create a labour shortage, push wages up (and therefore business costs), and these have been passed on. In some forms they’ve also squeezed profits (for investment). The economy cannot grow without people to work in it.

The attempt to maintain living standards and wages in the face of a reduction in the capacity of the economy to supply goods and services (for lack of workers) made inflation inevitable. Using interest rates and higher taxes to hammer it down aren’t the best weapons in such circumstances; but, barring a much higher level of immigration, they are the only tools the authorities have at their disposal.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/othe...8ebb6f54&ei=26

1andrew1 03-07-2023 17:37

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

We must admit Brexit is a mistake and rejoin the single market, says senior Tory Tobias Ellwood

A senior Tory has called for both main parties to show the courage and strength of character to admit that Brexit has failed and seek to rejoin the EU single market.

Tobias Ellwood, Conservative chairman of the defence select committee, said many MPs privately agree with the case for a Norway-style relationship with the EU but are too scared to say so.

For Ellwood Brexit has become the issue that dare not speak its name.

“Nobody dares mention Brexit on the Labour or Conservative side or look at the numbers to see whether economically it would be wiser for us to be in or outside of the single market,” he says.

“Surely we should have that strength of character, the courage to look at the biggest generational decision which is now clearly not gone in the right direction. I didn’t know anybody who voted Remain or Brexit, who expected us to be where we are today, but we dare not go there.”
https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/ad...bias%20Ellwood

jfman 03-07-2023 18:47

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36155175)

Very soon there will be nobody of any standing in public life who campaigned to leave. With a fresh slate, falling living standards and economic decline it’ll only be natural for the question to get asked.

Unless anyone can actually name a single tangible benefit of not having a closer economic relationship with the EU it becomes inevitable.

The moonbeams of a trade deal with the USA and China (:rofl: remember that classic) are long gone. Many Brexit voters will be long in the ground before benefits are realised (it was Rees Mogg that suggested 50 years after all, and the minimum voting age of 18 and life expectancy in the high 70s it means the chances of seeing the benefits of Brexit (2076) is down there with seeing Halley’s Comet (2061).

denphone 03-07-2023 18:54

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155184)
Very soon there will be nobody of any standing in public life who campaigned to leave. With a fresh slate, falling living standards and economic decline it’ll only be natural for the question to get asked.

Unless anyone can actually name a single tangible benefit of not having a closer economic relationship with the EU it becomes inevitable.

The moonbeams of a trade deal with the USA and China (:rofl: remember that classic) are long gone. Many Brexit voters will be long in the ground before benefits are realised (it was Rees Mogg that suggested 50 years after all, and the minimum voting age of 18 and life expectancy in the high 70s it means the chances of seeing the benefits of Brexit (2076) is down there with seeing Halley’s Comet (2061).

The only benefit l can think of is those shiny new blue passports.;)

Ms NTL 03-07-2023 19:06

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36155185)
The only benefit l can think of is those shiny new blue passports.;)

Those bloody new passports are useless, the EU-ers kick you out of EU in 90 days.

Sephiroth 03-07-2023 19:56

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ms NTL (Post 36155186)
Those bloody new passports are useless, the EU-ers kick you out of EU in 90 days.

Well, 52% did vote Leave!

daveeb 03-07-2023 20:49

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36155191)
Well, 52% did vote Leave!

Back then yes, hypothetically what do you think would be the result of a rerun?. "Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice shame on me" springs to mind......

richard-john56 03-07-2023 21:02

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36155191)
Well, 52% did vote Leave!

No body is perfect.

denphone 03-07-2023 21:05

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36155191)
Well, 52% did vote Leave!

Indeed they did but many now are starting to have huge pangs of bregret given the catastrophic mess the government has made of it since the referendum.

Sephiroth 03-07-2023 21:09

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
I've no idea of how a rejoin referendum would pan out.

Leaving the EU wasn't a mistake. It's the Guvmin that has performed badly. And Labour is a poor alternative - but the public will be more intent on punishing the Tories than - what? Awful predicament.

At least we're out of the EU.



Ms NTL 03-07-2023 21:40

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36155191)
Well, 52% did vote Leave!

All my family has EU ID cards, we can leave anytime, for as long we like but come back to our Surrey, anytime. BTW one of my kids has French ID, I know you love the Frogs;)

TheDaddy 03-07-2023 22:29

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36155185)
The only benefit l can think of is those shiny new blue passports.;)

The ones made in Holland and Poland :shocked: :rolleyes:

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36155191)
Well, 52% did vote Leave!

Let me guess, they all knew they were voting for this...

1andrew1 03-07-2023 22:49

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36155197)
I've no idea of how a rejoin referendum would pan out.

Opinion polls aim to show this - this one says 61% rejoin which seems quite high.

Quote:

Altogether, if a referendum on re-joining the European Union were to take place tomorrow, 61% (–) say they would vote for the UK to join the EU, while 39% (–) say they would vote for the UK to stay out of the EU.
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies....-17-june-2023/

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36155197)
Leaving the EU wasn't a mistake. It's the Guvmin that has performed badly. And Labour is a poor alternative - but the public will be more intent on punishing the Tories than - what? Awful predicament.

At least we're out of the EU.

Three Prime Ministers have tried to make Brexit a success and failed. For one simple reason - you can't polish a turd.

One way for you to judge whether it's a success or not is to return to why David Cameron called the referendum in the first place: to cure the divisions in the Conservative Party. One simple test: Has Brexit cured the divisions in the Party? Yes or no?

jfman 03-07-2023 23:13

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36155197)
I've no idea of how a rejoin referendum would pan out.

Leaving the EU wasn't a mistake. It's the Guvmin that has performed badly. And Labour is a poor alternative - but the public will be more intent on punishing the Tories than - what? Awful predicament.

At least we're out of the EU.


I doubt we will see a rejoin referendum any time soon. It’d be unlikely to happen in the first five years of a Labour Government as unlikely to make the manifesto. But once you get into the one after that. Preparations and a campaign would be a couple of years so 2033, negotiations and accession 2035 at fastest. We could be in a whole new world by then - you might not even use channel numbers on TV - life could be revolutionised!

Far more likely to see further economic harmonisation and trade short of membership.

1andrew1 03-07-2023 23:30

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155203)
Far more likely to see further economic harmonisation and trade short of membership.

Agreed.

Then it will tip into wanting a seat at the table and 20 years hence we'll be leading Europe again and enjoying a stronger currency. Illegal crossings from France will be a fraction of what they are today as we return them swiftly back to France.

Or perhaps we'll settle for a half-in, half out approach. Either way, you can't fight basic economics for too long.

jfman 03-07-2023 23:39

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36155205)
Agreed.

Then it will tip into wanting a seat at the table and 20 years hence we'll be leading Europe again and enjoying a stronger currency. Illegal crossings from France will be a fraction of what they are today as we return them swiftly back to France.

Or perhaps we'll settle for a half-in, half out approach. Either way, you can't fight basic economics for too long.

Similarly can’t beat demographics you can only hold it back so long.

Sure, to date the Ponzi scheme has dragged younger generations to the right as they get older, however in a recession, in a country getting poorer and with reduced opportunities that’ll be harder than ever.

Mick 04-07-2023 08:22

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
I can see as usual, the boring folk, formerly known as Remainiacs, now rejoiners, preaching on about voting the wrong way, being fooled in to voting this way, you need to shut up, I won’t have anyone tell me such bullshit, I still stand by, we do not need to be in the corrupted EU, Germany in recession, France rioting itself in to civil war.

jfman 04-07-2023 08:35

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36155216)
I can see as usual, the boring folk, formerly known as Remainiacs, now rejoiners, preaching on about voting the wrong way, being fooled in to voting this way, you need to shut up, I won’t have anyone tell me such bullshit, I still stand by, we do not need to be in the corrupted EU, Germany in recession, France rioting itself in to civil war.

Nobody said anyone voted the wrong way or that anyone was fooled.

What’s undoubtedly true is that the current Government have been absolutely incapable of delivering any benefits. It’s all eggs in the Starmer basket from here on in.

Just as joining the EU was revisited over time, ultimately in a democracy leaving the EU and the bad Brexit deal will inevitably be reviewed once it’s politically palatable and future generations decide for themselves.

In the 2030s howling that it’s “overturning democracy” won’t wash. People are living through the highest inflation and the biggest fall in living standards. Wherever there is a Brexit dividend it’s more likely to be experienced offshore than on these shores.

1andrew1 04-07-2023 08:47

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36155216)
I can see as usual, the boring folk, formerly known as Remainiacs, now rejoiners, preaching on about voting the wrong way, being fooled in to voting this way, you need to shut up.

As jfman has pointed out, no one has said that. The only explanation is that it's come from your subconscious.

1andrew1 04-07-2023 21:23

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
I think Sir Keir is quite happy have a low-policy manifesto so can't see this being included but once in power...
Quote:

Keir Starmer facing pressure to offer new customs union policy with EU as Brexit regret rises

Keir Starmer is under pressure to adopt a more radical policy on Brexit ahead of the next election amid polling showing voters are increasingly disillusioned with the UK’s withdrawal from the EU.

A proposal to include negotiating a bespoke customs union with Brussels for the UK in Labour’s general election manifesto will be discussed at the party’s national policy forum later this month, i can reveal.

A number of Labour MPs believe there is a palpable shift in public opinion on Brexit due to comparatively worse inflation figures in the UK to Europe and ongoing issues with the trade deal with Brussels, and that space is now opening up for a “bolder” approach to Britain’s relationship with the EU.

However, it is understood that Sir Keir and Mr Lammy’s position to rule out rejoining the EU, or to countenance a single market or customs union deal, has not changed and that the policy of pursuing an improved trade deal in 2025 remains firm.

Polling for i this week showed that more voters want to rejoin the EU than stay out, while 57 per cent blame Brexit for high UK inflation – which is around three percentage points higher than in the Eurozone.
https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/ke...brexit-2454262

jfman 04-07-2023 23:13

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36155297)
I think Sir Keir is quite happy have a low-policy manifesto so can't see this being included but once in power...

https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/ke...brexit-2454262

If someone is going to u-turn on a commitment, it’s him. Once half the Tories get their P45 next winter the voices howling in opposition will be marginalised.

1andrew1 04-07-2023 23:53

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155312)
If someone is going to u-turn on a commitment, it’s him. Once half the Tories get their P45 next winter the voices howling in opposition will be marginalised.

Make no commitments and a have a policy-light manifesto and no one can complain when you gain power!

Mick 05-07-2023 02:16

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155217)
Nobody said anyone voted the wrong way or that anyone was fooled.

What’s undoubtedly true is that the current Government have been absolutely incapable of delivering any benefits. It’s all eggs in the Starmer basket from here on in.

Just as joining the EU was revisited over time, ultimately in a democracy leaving the EU and the bad Brexit deal will inevitably be reviewed once it’s politically palatable and future generations decide for themselves.

In the 2030s howling that it’s “overturning democracy” won’t wash. People are living through the highest inflation and the biggest fall in living standards. Wherever there is a Brexit dividend it’s more likely to be experienced offshore than on these shores.

Oh really, so WTF is this bullshit from daveb on about then?

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...postcount=5212

---------- Post added at 01:16 ---------- Previous post was at 01:14 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36155219)
As jfman has pointed out, no one has said that. The only explanation is that it's come from your subconscious.

Yes they have. See above, open your eyes 👀 FFS. :dozey:

jfman 05-07-2023 08:39

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
So one single example of a remoaner etc.

Good to know the rest of us are on solid ground calling this out for what it is - a Tory pup.

Mick 05-07-2023 09:30

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
You said there was none! You lied.

jfman 05-07-2023 10:16

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
It’s more likely I glanced past such a glib remark rather than outright lied. However, it’s not really relevant to the point at hand. How’s your confidence level in Starmer making a success of Brexit?

1andrew1 05-07-2023 10:45

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155337)
It’s more likely I glanced past such a glib remark rather than outright lied. However, it’s not really relevant to the point at hand. How’s your confidence level in Starmer making a success of Brexit?

The only people I have confidence in making a success of Brexit are Macron, Scholz and Varadkar.

Damien 05-07-2023 10:54

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Well he either needs better trading terms with the EU and/or a big trade deal. We were meant to replace the loss of trade with the EU with a US trade deal. Didn't happen.

1andrew1 05-07-2023 11:14

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36155343)
Well he either needs better trading terms with the EU and/or a big trade deal. We were meant to replace the loss of trade with the EU with a US trade deal. Didn't happen.

Also with India and China. Didn't happen.

It was a gamble that didn't work.

How much more inflation and how many more small boat migrants do we need to prove this?
- Inflation: We're currently three percentage points above the Eurozone.
- Small boat migrants: Record numbers are coming into the UK on small boats - they know we can no longer send them back to France.

OLD BOY 05-07-2023 14:22

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155328)
So one single example of a remoaner etc.

Good to know the rest of us are on solid ground calling this out for what it is - a Tory pup.

It was an example that proved you wrong. Nifty dodge, though, you’re good at that.

---------- Post added at 13:20 ---------- Previous post was at 13:19 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36155343)
Well he either needs better trading terms with the EU and/or a big trade deal. We were meant to replace the loss of trade with the EU with a US trade deal. Didn't happen.

Yes, the President changed. Biden doesn’t do trade deals. Too much brain work.

---------- Post added at 13:22 ---------- Previous post was at 13:20 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36155347)
Also with India and China. Didn't happen.

It was a gamble that didn't work.

How much more inflation and how many more small boat migrants do we need to prove this?
- Inflation: We're currently three percentage points above the Eurozone.
- Small boat migrants: Record numbers are coming into the UK on small boats - they know we can no longer send them back to France.

Relationships with China have changed. India is negotiating. These things take time.

https://www.india-briefing.com/news/...ta-25699.html/

1andrew1 05-07-2023 16:13

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155365)
It was an example that proved you wrong. Nifty dodge, though, you’re good at that.

---------- Post added at 13:20 ---------- Previous post was at 13:19 ----------



Yes, the President changed. Biden doesn’t do trade deals. Too much brain work.

---------- Post added at 13:22 ---------- Previous post was at 13:20 ----------



Relationships with China have changed. India is negotiating. These things take time.

https://www.india-briefing.com/news/...ta-25699.html/

Thanks for info on India.
I'm not sure "too much brain work" is a valid reason for the absence of a US trade deal.

---------- Post added at 15:13 ---------- Previous post was at 15:08 ----------

More winners from Brexit.

Quote:

MANCHESTER, England (Reuters) - Sick of customs delays and extra bureaucracy since Britain left the European Union, Farrat, a small manufacturer on the edge of Manchester, is ramping up investment to compensate - in Germany.

The maker of anti-vibration parts for buildings and machinery is growing fast, almost doubling its headcount in the English city over the past five years, but it says Brexit is proving to be an obstacle.

"We are now channelling a lot of investment in setting up production facilities in Germany to remove the trading friction," said chief executive Oliver Farrell. "Brexit is materially restricting our growth now."

The company is far from alone, according to a dozen conversations Reuters has had with company bosses, business groups and politicians across England over the course of 2023.

Economic data tell a similar story. German data show British firms opened 170 foreign direct investment projects in Europe's biggest economy last year as companies sought a foothold in the bloc's single market.

Next door, the government in the Netherlands said over 300 "Brexit companies" - British firms it reckons are trying to sidestep trade friction - had moved operations there since 2016.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/othe...5ee7d08f0&ei=5

jfman 05-07-2023 17:00

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155365)
It was an example that proved you wrong. Nifty dodge, though, you’re good at that.

I’m sure as someone with excessive experience in being wrong you can appreciate it’s a minor infraction.

Quote:

Yes, the President changed. Biden doesn’t do trade deals. Too much brain work.
So at best it was a 50/50 relying on a mentally unhinged President being re-elected.

Quote:

Relationships with China have changed. India is negotiating. These things take time.

https://www.india-briefing.com/news/...ta-25699.html/
Relationships have changed that’s quite the understatement. Hey, ho. How’s your faith in Starmer’s Brexit coming along? Do you believe enough for it to be a success?

OLD BOY 05-07-2023 19:01

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36155375)
Thanks for info on India.
I'm not sure "too much brain work" is a valid reason for the absence of a US trade deal.

---------- Post added at 15:13 ---------- Previous post was at 15:08 ----------

More winners from Brexit.



https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/othe...5ee7d08f0&ei=5

Biden has stated he doesn't want any trade deals during his presidency. He is only prepared to negotiate industry by industry.

That should be easier for the poor old codger to cope with.

---------- Post added at 18:01 ---------- Previous post was at 17:53 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155384)

I’m sure as someone with excessive experience in being wrong you can appreciate it’s a minor infraction.

So was Boris's cake ambush. But that's different, of course. He's fair game these days.

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155384)
So at best it was a 50/50 relying on a mentally unhinged President being re-elected.

Which mentally unhinged President are you talking about?


Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155384)
Relationships have changed that’s quite the understatement. Hey, ho. How’s your faith in Starmer’s Brexit coming along? Do you believe enough for it to be a success?

Yes, things change. That's the way of the world, I'm afraid.

As for Starmer and Brexit, no, he will make a right pig's ear of it. He will probably get us signed up to to the customs union, the worst of all worlds.

jfman 05-07-2023 19:17

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
What if you just believed a bit more, OB would they create success?

1andrew1 05-07-2023 20:00

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Some good news on the um, horizon.
Quote:

UK edges closer to rejoining EU’s £85bn Horizon science programme

Talks on returning as an associate member after Brexit row are close to agreement, say diplomatic sources

Diplomatic sources say negotiations to become an associate member will continue over the weekend and the two sides are close to agreement after three months of talks, largely over the cost of re-entry.

The UK was locked out of Horizon in 2020 in a tit-for-tat dispute over the failure to implement the Northern Ireland protocol trade arrangements in the original Brexit withdrawal agreement.

But the door to associate membership was reopened when the replacement Windsor framework was sealed in March, with the European Commission chief, Ursula von der Leyen, declaring a deal could be done “swiftly”.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...ogramme-brexit

GrimUpNorth 05-07-2023 20:02

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155397)
Biden has stated he doesn't want any trade deals during his presidency. He is only prepared to negotiate industry by industry.

That should be easier for the poor old codger to cope with.

Just checking you do realise the president doesn't actually do the negotiating himself?

OLD BOY 05-07-2023 20:25

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by GrimUpNorth (Post 36155406)
Just checking you do realise the president doesn't actually do the negotiating himself?

I do, indeed, Grim. Very perceptive of you. He still has to understand what he is signing, though, and be able to answer questions on it. Ideally, he should also be able to understand whether any agreement is actually in the best interests of his country..

jfman 05-07-2023 20:54

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155408)
I do, indeed, Grim. Very perceptive of you. He still has to understand what he is signing, though, and be able to answer questions on it. Ideally, he should also be able to understand whether any agreement is actually in the best interests of his country..

:rofl: address my points OB or just stand down.

We are all team Starmer now after all, only he can save us from a mediocre Brexit. Things change is an inadequate excuse for mediocre policymaking.

1andrew1 05-07-2023 21:49

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155397)
As for Starmer and Brexit, no, he will make a right pig's ear of it. He will probably get us signed up to to the customs union, the worst of all worlds.

Johnson, Frost, Hannan and Farage all campaigned to remain in the Single Market. so we would be closer to respecting the will of the 2016 electorate if we did this and not Johnson's inflationary hard Brexit.

jfman 05-07-2023 21:52

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36155419)
Johnson, Frost, Hannan and Farage all campaigned to remain in the Single Market. so we would be closer to respecting the will of the 2016 electorate if we did this and not Johnson's inflationary hard Brexit.

The economic cost of Tory Brexit to date almost mandates it.

It’d be useful to the “outers” if they could refer to a single area, upon assuming full legislative competence, the UK Government has acted in an area with obvious tangible benefit to the population at large.

Otherwise there’s a significant proportion of the population looking at the erosion of their rights, working conditions and living standards asking who was supposed to benefit.

1andrew1 05-07-2023 22:04

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155420)
The economic cost of Tory Brexit to date almost mandates it.

It’d be useful to the “outers” if they could refer to a single area, upon assuming full legislative competence, the UK Government has acted in an area with obvious tangible benefit to the population at large.

Otherwise there’s a significant proportion of the population looking at the erosion of their rights, working conditions and living standards asking who was supposed to benefit.

It should also have passed Old Boy's test.
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155408)
Ideally, he should also be able to understand whether any agreement is actually in the best interests of his country.


jfman 05-07-2023 22:27

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
You wonder if anyone is looking out for the best interests of this country - it certainly isn’t the Conservative Party. Dividends at water companies while record amounts of human excrement released into our waterways. Bailing out train operators. The energy price cap to funnel money into energy companies profits rather than invest in our own Great British energy infrastructure.

We are being mugged in plain sight. And our fellow subjects of His Majesty are complicit for permitting it at the ballot box. (For the avoidance of doubt, I refer to general elections, not any referendums in this statement).

GrimUpNorth 05-07-2023 22:43

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155408)
I do, indeed, Grim. Very perceptive of you. He still has to understand what he is signing, though, and be able to answer questions on it. Ideally, he should also be able to understand whether any agreement is actually in the best interests of his country..

If only your lot had used the old understand what you are signing approach and checking if it's in the best interests of the country, when it came to the divorce settlement with the EU.

1andrew1 06-07-2023 01:11

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Comedy gold here!
Quote:

In response to Szostak, UK trade minister Lord Dominic Johnson told the meeting of parliamentarians that the two sides should not “try to beggar each other” by building separate supply chains. He wanted “proper cross-border access to each others’ supply chains which makes them more efficient”.

“It’s a clear realisation among us all . . . that there is nothing to be gained by having unnecessary friction that reduces trade and welfare and wealth,” he added.
https://www.ft.com/content/71fab292-...b-7a1390903325

OLD BOY 06-07-2023 09:34

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36155443)

But do you not understand that it's the EU that is causing the friction? All we want is to be able to trade freely with the rest of the world and not be caught up with their politics.

---------- Post added at 08:34 ---------- Previous post was at 08:26 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36155419)
Johnson, Frost, Hannan and Farage all campaigned to remain in the Single Market. so we would be closer to respecting the will of the 2016 electorate if we did this and not Johnson's inflationary hard Brexit.

Really?

https://www.express.co.uk/news/polit...-ITV-Peston-vn

jfman 06-07-2023 09:49

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Might as well add a unicorn to the wish list. Can we have free trade with everyone, with all the advantages, no disadvantages and we make the rules despite being the smallest economy at the table in every meaningful discussion. :rofl:

OLD BOY 06-07-2023 14:41

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155455)
Might as well add a unicorn to the wish list. Can we have free trade with everyone, with all the advantages, no disadvantages and we make the rules despite being the smallest economy at the table in every meaningful discussion. :rofl:

You know as well as I do that all we were looking for was to pull out of the EU with a trade deal, which would have been mutually beneficial.

You are trying to big this up into something it isn’t. Canada has one, but we are being penalised because we were in the EU and have now left.

1andrew1 06-07-2023 14:50

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155450)

Do you really believe someone who when questioned on coming out of the Russian Embassy told reporters he' forgotten the reason for his visit? Or held an account at Coutts, worked in the City for 20 years and didn't know that there were eligibility criteria around holding an account at Coutts?.

Really?

jfman 06-07-2023 14:52

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155479)
You know as well as I do that all we were looking for was to pull out of the EU with a trade deal, which would have been mutually beneficial.

You are trying to big this up into something it isn’t. Canada has one, but we are being penalised because we were in the EU and have now left.

Who is this “we” you speak of?

Any literature giving a comprehensive view of what our relationship with the EU would look like that predates the referendum is notably absent. Norway, the EEA, a customs union all floated at some point or another from the charlatans that claimed to be steering the leave campaign.

There’s no evidence to support your spurious assertion that we are being “penalised”. You are simply trying to shift the blame for the inadequacies of this Government onto someone else. A staple of your input into the current affairs section.

1andrew1 06-07-2023 14:59

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155479)
You know as well as I do that all we were looking for was to pull out of the EU with a trade deal, which would have been mutually beneficial.

Your disgraced Boris Johnson took us out of Thatcher's Single Market. If he wanted frictionless trade, this was not the way to go about it!

How is our trade deal with the EU any worse than Canada's?

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155484)
Who is this “we” you speak of?
Any literature giving a comprehensive view of what our relationship with the EU would look like that predates the referendum is notably absent. Norway, the EEA, a customs union all floated at some point or another from the charlatans that claimed to be steering the leave campaign.

There’s no evidence to support your spurious assertion that we are being “penalised”. You are simply trying to shift the blame for the inadequacies of this Government onto someone else. A staple of your input into the current affairs section.

It's a perverse approach. The Conservatives have held power since 2010 but Old Boy seeks to blame everyone but them. This blame-everyone-but-those-in-charge-approach wouldn't last five minutes in the real world!

OLD BOY 06-07-2023 17:41

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36155483)
Do you really believe someone who when questioned on coming out of the Russian Embassy told reporters he' forgotten the reason for his visit? Or held an account at Coutts, worked in the City for 20 years and didn't know that there were eligibility criteria around holding an account at Coutts?.

Really?

He says he didn’t ever say that we should have remained in the Customs Union, you say he did.

Where’s your evidence that he’s telling porkies? The fact that you may not lie him, agree with him or believe anything he says is not evidence.

You are the one who said he did. Why?

---------- Post added at 16:41 ---------- Previous post was at 16:33 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155484)
Who is this “we” you speak of?

Any literature giving a comprehensive view of what our relationship with the EU would look like that predates the referendum is notably absent. Norway, the EEA, a customs union all floated at some point or another from the charlatans that claimed to be steering the leave campaign.

There’s no evidence to support your spurious assertion that we are being “penalised”. You are simply trying to shift the blame for the inadequacies of this Government onto someone else. A staple of your input into the current affairs section.

‘We’ as a country. Or at least the majority of voters who voted, but I was of course referring to the government.

If you cannot understand the straight forward point that we were penalised then clearly you are a remainer who is wedded ideologically with the concept and ideology of the EU, in which case no amount of explaining is going to shift your opinion.

If we were to be in the Customs Union it would restrict our freedom to trade the way we want with the rest of the world and that, my friend, is unreasonable. No other trade deals anywhere else in the world contain such unreasonable restrictions.

1andrew1 06-07-2023 18:07

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155495)
He says he didn’t ever say that we should have remained in the Customs Union, you say he did.

Where’s your evidence that he’s telling porkies? The fact that you may not lie him, agree with him or believe anything he says is not evidence.

You are the one who said he did. Why?

We're discussing the Single Market, not the Customs Union.

As I said old Boy, why do you trust someone who's known for bending the truth? Do you not think that's a bit risky, even if you find his populistic approach easy on the ear?

Some evidence, particularly 01:16
https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/ent...b09025ba310fce

Also: https://bbench.co.uk/2021/09/22/the-...single-market/

jfman 06-07-2023 18:16

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155495)
‘We’ as a country. Or at least the majority of voters who voted, but I was of course referring to the government.

Wasn’t Government policy to remain in the referendum?

Quote:

If you cannot understand the straight forward point that we were penalised then clearly you are a remainer who is wedded ideologically with the concept and ideology of the EU, in which case no amount of explaining is going to shift your opinion.
It’s not a “straight forward point” if it’s merely an opinion without any evidence upon which to base your claim.

Quote:

If we were to be in the Customs Union it would restrict our freedom to trade the way we want with the rest of the world and that, my friend, is unreasonable. No other trade deals anywhere else in the world contain such unreasonable restrictions.
It’s unreasonable to expect to gain all the benefits of being in a club you’ve left without actually being in it, my friend.

OLD BOY 06-07-2023 21:17

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36155504)
We're discussing the Single Market, not the Customs Union.

As I said old Boy, why do you trust someone who's known for bending the truth? Do you not think that's a bit risky, even if you find his populistic approach easy on the ear?

Some evidence, particularly 01:16
https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/ent...b09025ba310fce

Also: https://bbench.co.uk/2021/09/22/the-...single-market/

So your evidence is based on this one quote, which was Farage trying to make a point:

“would it be so bad if, according to Mr Cameron, if we behave like Norway, life would be terrible. I mean, God, we’d all be rich! we were like Norway. We’d be rich”.

He was referring to the nonsense of the statement made by Cameron about Norway. Now the mischief makers have turned that into an allegation that Farage wanted to stay within the single market!

Staying within the Single Market was never an option for Brexiteers because it would involve the free movement of people. It also involves abiding by EU laws and accepting judgements of the ECJ.

Finally, I was not asking you about whether or not Farage was telling the truth. You avoided the question, which was where was your proof that he said that.

Your example(s) (they both contain the same quote) do not prove your point at all.

---------- Post added at 20:17 ---------- Previous post was at 20:12 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155506)

Wasn’t Government policy to remain in the referendum?

.

It was prior to but not after the referendum.

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155506)

It’s not a “straight forward point” if it’s merely an opinion without any evidence upon which to base your claim.

.

I think the evidence is that we have not been able to secure a Canadian type trade deal. You know this to be true, so why do you perversely act as if you don’t know what I am talking about?

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155506)

It’s unreasonable to expect to gain all the benefits of being in a club you’ve left without actually being in it, my friend

.

It is unreasonable when trade deals are being offered to other countries but not ours. My friend.

jfman 06-07-2023 21:26

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155516)
So your evidence is based on this one quote, which was Farage trying to make a point:

“would it be so bad if, according to Mr Cameron, if we behave like Norway, life would be terrible. I mean, God, we’d all be rich! we were like Norway. We’d be rich”.

He was referring to the nonsense of the statement made by Cameron about Norway. Now the mischief makers have turned that into an allegation that Farage wanted to stay within the single market!

Staying within the Single Market was never an option for Brexiteers because it would involve the free movement of people. It also involves abiding by EU laws and accepting judgements of the ECJ.

Finally, I was not asking you about whether or not Farage was telling the truth. You avoided the question, which was where was your proof that he said that.

Your example(s) (they both contain the same quote) do not prove your point at all.

---------- Post added at 20:17 ---------- Previous post was at 20:12 ----------



It was prior to but not after the referendum.

I think the evidence is that we have not been able to secure a Canadian type trade deal. You know this to be true, so why do you perversely act as if you don’t know what I am talking about?

It is unreasonable when trade deals are being offered to other countries but not ours. My friend.

OB the problem isn’t that I don’t know what you are talking about, it’s that YOU don’t know what you are talking about.

On what basis do you profess that we should automatically have had the right to a Canada type deal? None whatsoever.

The whole point of the Canada trade deal is to improve trade with Canada which already has a significant barrier to overcome - the Atlantic Ocean. In no way, shape or form can trade between Canada and the EU be considered comparable to the UK and the EU.

1andrew1 06-07-2023 22:52

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155516)
So your evidence is based on this one quote, which was Farage trying to make a point:

“would it be so bad if, according to Mr Cameron, if we behave like Norway, life would be terrible. I mean, God, we’d all be rich! we were like Norway. We’d be rich”.

He was referring to the nonsense of the statement made by Cameron about Norway. Now the mischief makers have turned that into an allegation that Farage wanted to stay within the single market!

Watch the recording - Farage said "We'll find ourselves part of the European Economic Area, and with a free trade deal."

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155516)
Staying within the Single Market was never an option for Brexiteers because it would involve the free movement of people. It also involves abiding by EU laws and accepting judgements of the ECJ.

Watch the recording and hear the Brexiters lining up to contradict you.

Dan Hannan, Vote Leave "Absolutely nobody is talking about threatening our place in the Single Market"

Owen Paterson "Only a madman would leave the Market."

Arron Banks "Increasingly, the Norway option looks the best for the UK."
Will you be a gentleman and accept you are wrong?

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155516)
Finally, I was not asking you about whether or not Farage was telling the truth. You avoided the question, which was where was your proof that he said that.

Your example(s) (they both contain the same quote) do not prove your point at all.

How many more examples do you want? The one above in which Farage says we'll find ourselves part of the European Economic Area suffices.

OLD BOY 07-07-2023 09:12

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36155525)
Will you be a gentleman and accept you are wrong?

Yes, I will, sorry. We are at cross purposes. When these comments were made Farage and the others were simply saying that there was no reason why Britain could not continue to have free access to the Single Market because all our standards were in line with theirs.

What they were not saying was that we would have to accept free movement and the rest. But unfortunately, that is what the EU insisted on, and we were in no position to press our views home because firstly Theresa May lost her nerve with David Davis as he was holding out, and she stepped in to negotiate her way, and secondly, the hostility and determination of the Remainers, who were even briefing the EU against us.

Farage and co were not lying, they were simply undermined in the end by opposing forces which made it impossible to negotiate effectively. And that, of course was why Johnson said in the end that the deal would be better renegotiated when we were outside of the EU.

As for whether that will be done rather more successfully, I guess it depends on who is in power and in charge of this country at the time.

jfman 07-07-2023 11:25

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
That’s a long winded way of either saying they are idiots or liars.

Anyone who seriously claimed we could have had the benefits of being in the Single Market without recognising the supremacy of EU in setting those rules (and the role of the ECJ in enforcing them) can only be one or the other.

Invoking remainers is nothing but whataboutery. The EU rationally negotiated, in it’s own interests. Something that should have come as a shock to absolutely no-one.

Sephiroth 07-07-2023 12:05

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155543)
That’s a long winded way of either saying they are idiots or liars.

Anyone who seriously claimed we could have had the benefits of being in the Single Market without recognising the supremacy of EU in setting those rules (and the role of the ECJ in enforcing them) can only be one or the other.

Invoking remainers is nothing but whataboutery. The EU rationally negotiated, in it’s own interests. Something that should have come as a shock to absolutely no-one.

No arguing with that. A pity that we didn't just walk away.
It would have hurt them because of the exit fee and damage to Ireland's economy (the perfidious Varadkar, remember).

OLD BOY 07-07-2023 17:59

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155543)
That’s a long winded way of either saying they are idiots or liars.

Anyone who seriously claimed we could have had the benefits of being in the Single Market without recognising the supremacy of EU in setting those rules (and the role of the ECJ in enforcing them) can only be one or the other.

Invoking remainers is nothing but whataboutery. The EU rationally negotiated, in it’s own interests. Something that should have come as a shock to absolutely no-one.

You are not listening - you never do. Farage and co said what they believed was possible. The fact that it was tackled the wrong way does not make him a liar. That is a very perverse logic.

I might tell my wife that it is possible to carry a certain amount of cups and plates on a tray. If she trips and falls and breaks everything, does that make me a liar? Of course not. I might tell my grandson that he is capable of passing an examination, but if he doesn’t study enough and he fails, does that make me a liar?

I ‘invoked’ remainers because they were so intent on wrecking the negotiations as they wanted to get their own way. Your ‘invoking’ the whataboutery card is nonsense because it was those activities which were largely responsible for disruption to the negotiations. It is a reason, not a ‘whataboutery’. People tend to use ‘whataboutery’ to prevent a logical argument highlighting an alternative they don’t like, because it neuters their own argument. It’s the coward’s way out of a discussion.

The EU was not irrational in trying that line with us, I agree, and I didn’t say otherwise. Theresa May took the rug from under the feet of the Brexiteers, and that was the first thing that put us on the back foot, which was a gift the the remain lobby.

jfman 07-07-2023 18:19

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155569)
You are not listening - you never do. Farage and co said what they believed was possible. The fact that it was tackled the wrong way does not make him a liar. That is a very perverse logic.

The irony you say I don’t listen then completely ignore that I offered two options.

Quote:

I ‘invoked’ remainers because they were so intent on wrecking the negotiations as they wanted to get their own way. Your ‘invoking’ the whataboutery card is nonsense because it was those activities which were largely responsible for disruption to the negotiations. It is a reason, not a ‘whataboutery’. People tend to use ‘whataboutery’ to prevent a logical argument highlighting an alternative they don’t like, because it neuters their own argument. It’s the coward’s way out of a discussion.
I fail to see how anyone outside of Government could have any influence on negotiations at all. The Conservatives own this.

Quote:

The EU was not irrational in trying that line with us, I agree, and I didn’t say otherwise. Theresa May took the rug from under the feet of the Brexiteers, and that was the first thing that put us on the back foot, which was a gift the the remain lobby.
I’m not even sure what you are trying to say here. The Conservatives chose May. Prominent members of her Cabinet have served throughout to this day.

Your attempts at deflection are as transparent as they are tedious.

The EU acted entirely rationally. They’ve been underestimated throughout. None of this is a surprise to anyone who wasn’t blinkered by ideology.

OLD BOY 07-07-2023 18:42

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155573)

The irony you say I don’t listen then completely ignore that I offered two options.

The other being that they are idiots? I didn’t ignore that, I treated it with the disdain it deserved. People aren’t idiots or liars simply because they disagree with your point of view.

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155573)


I fail to see how anyone outside of Government could have any influence on negotiations at all. The Conservatives own this.

I’ve answered that, but clearly you want us to forget what the remainers did. Brexiteers have not forgotten.



Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155573)

I’m not even sure what you are trying to say here. The Conservatives chose May. Prominent members of her Cabinet have served throughout to this day.

Your attempts at deflection are as transparent as they are tedious.

The EU acted entirely rationally. They’ve been underestimated throughout. None of this is a surprise to anyone who wasn’t blinkered by ideology.

You are repeating yourself and I have already agreed with you that the EU acted rationally from their perspective. The thing you won’t acknowledge is the role of the remainers at the time, who did their absolute best to sabotage the whole thing, despite the result of the referendum.

Yes, the Conservatives chose May, but clearly, you cannot know in advance what the elected leader will do. That’s on her, and it was the start of her downfall.

The only deflection going on is yours, because you lay every problem we have at the door of the Conservatives without acknowledging the role others played in attempting to wreck the deal that was required.

jfman 07-07-2023 18:47

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155580)
The other being that they are idiots? I didn’t ignore that, I treated it with the disdain it deserved. People aren’t idiots or liars simply because they disagree with your point of view.

How else would you describe people who were consistently wrong? Relatable?

Quote:

I’ve answered that, but clearly you want us to forget what the remainers did. Brexiteers have not forgotten.
:rofl: and what are they going to do? Start a revolution? By the time Starmer rolls back the current deal they’ll all be former MPs.

This isn’t France, OB. Brits just eat their gruel and get on with it while their betters laugh at them.

Quote:

You are repeating yourself and I have already agreed with you that the EU acted rationally from their perspective. The thing you won’t acknowledge is the role of the remainers at the time, who did their absolute best to sabotage the whole thing, despite the result of the referendum.

Yes, the Conservatives chose May, but clearly, you cannot know in advance what the elected leader will do. That’s on her, and it was the start of her downfall.

The only deflection going on is yours, because you lay every problem we have at the door of the Conservatives without acknowledging the role others played in attempting to wreck the deal that was required.
Governments govern. Oppositions make noise.

OLD BOY 07-07-2023 18:52

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155584)
How else would you describe people who were consistently wrong? Relatable?



:rofl: and what are they going to do? Start a revolution? By the time Starmer rolls back the current deal they’ll all be former MPs.

This isn’t France, OB. Brits just eat their gruel and get on with it while their betters laugh at them.



Governments govern. Oppositions make noise.

Deflection and no substance, jfman. I’m not responding to this, it’s embarrassing.

jfman 07-07-2023 18:55

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36155586)
Deflection and no substance, jfman. I’m not responding to this, it’s embarrassing.

Au contraire, OB.

I’ll settle for Seph’s approval. Your disapproval is a badge of honour that my messaging isn’t going down well on the sinking ship that is HMS CCHQ.

OLD BOY 07-07-2023 19:01

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155588)
Au contraire, OB.

I’ll settle for Seph’s approval. Your disapproval is a badge of honour that my messaging isn’t going down well on the sinking ship that is HMS CCHQ.

My disapproval is based on your lack of an ability to discuss anything you disagree with. Let’s leave it at that, it is boring the followers of this thread.

jfman 07-07-2023 19:07

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
If the people who claimed we could have all the benefits of the single market without being in the single market aren’t idiots they must be liars. It follows that if they are honest they are not clever for missing a glaringly obvious EU red line around rule setting and the ECJ.

Your inability to comprehend this in the thread can only be wilfully obtuse on your part, and doing so because of your inability to criticise them for purely ideological reasons.

I’ve tried to move the conversation on many times, inviting everyone to be positive about the steps Starmer and the next government will take. There’s no point dwelling on the deceptions and incompetence of the past. Britain is at a crossroads, and can finally draw a line under a decade of chaos and confusion.

The adults can sit at the negotiating table while the children play with their toys in the corner and wonder if we can get a Canada deal.

OLD BOY 07-07-2023 19:56

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155595)
If the people who claimed we could have all the benefits of the single market without being in the single market aren’t idiots they must be liars. It follows that if they are honest they are not clever for missing a glaringly obvious EU red line around rule setting and the ECJ.

Your inability to comprehend this in the thread can only be wilfully obtuse on your part, and doing so because of your inability to criticise them for purely ideological reasons.

I’ve tried to move the conversation on many times, inviting everyone to be positive about the steps Starmer and the next government will take. There’s no point dwelling on the deceptions and incompetence of the past. Britain is at a crossroads, and can finally draw a line under a decade of chaos and confusion.

The adults can sit at the negotiating table while the children play with their toys in the corner and wonder if we can get a Canada deal.

:rofl:

1andrew1 09-07-2023 21:51

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Worrying for the workforce.
Quote:

Fears for Vauxhall Luton van plant's future due to Brexit

The long term future of a major vehicle plant and 1,500 jobs could be put in jeopardy if part of the Brexit treaty is not renegotiated, its plant director has warned.

Luton Vauxhall director Mark Noble said he was confident, however, the "massive challenges" could be overcome.

But he said with 70% of vans being exported into mainland Europe, tariffs risked its competitiveness.

The government said it was working with the EU to find a solution to the issue.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-englan...herts-66126185

jfman 09-07-2023 21:52

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
I’m old enough to remember when it was meant to be the German car manufacturers moaning?

TheDaddy 10-07-2023 00:50

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36155763)
I’m old enough to remember when it was meant to be the German car manufacturers moaning?

And I remember Patrick Minford telling us manufacturing would have to be sacrificed so we can't say we weren't warned

OLD BOY 16-07-2023 12:43

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-b2375947.html

The CPTPP trade deal has been signed. Immediate benefits estimated at £1.8bn per year once operational, with huge opportunities for us to build on that.

Keri Benedoch confirmed on Laura K’s show this morning that the Indian trade deal was making good progress.

Hugh 16-07-2023 12:58

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36156293)
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-b2375947.html

The CPTPP trade deal has been signed. Immediate benefits estimated at £1.8bn per year once operational, with huge opportunities for us to build on that.

Keri Benedoch confirmed on Laura K’s show this morning that the Indian trade deal was making good progress.

If by "immediate", you mean "in ten years time"….

Quote:

with official estimates suggesting it will add just £1.8bn a year to the economy after 10 years

Dave42 16-07-2023 13:09

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36156293)
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-b2375947.html

The CPTPP trade deal has been signed. Immediate benefits estimated at £1.8bn per year once operational, with huge opportunities for us to build on that.

Keri Benedoch confirmed on Laura K’s show this morning that the Indian trade deal was making good progress.

you mean the 0.08% in 10 years year great NOTTTTTTTT check out video and some level of deceit being perpetrated here. £12 trillion is the combined GDP of all CPTPP members.

https://twitter.com/RidgeOnSunday/st...93652882124800

1andrew1 16-07-2023 13:26

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
So a shockingly miniscule 0.08% uplift from this deal whilst Brexit is giving us a 5% reduction in GDP.
I guess every little helps but even if those countries grow by a staggering 100% that's still only a 0.16% uplift!

https://news.sky.com/story/joining-i...1-8bn-12921751

Meanwhile, how's things going with our largest trading partner?

Quote:

We’re getting new [EU] legislation continuously,” said Fergus McReynolds, director of EU affairs at the manufacturers’ trade body Make UK. “So as the UK stays static, you’re having to treat the EU and the UK as two completely different markets from a regulatory perspective.”

McReynolds said Make UK’s members are focused on three main EU regulations: the bloc’s upcoming carbon border tax, implementation of plastic packaging rules and draft supply chain due diligence laws being discussed by member states.

The introduction of the EU carbon border adjustment mechanism is likely to have a significant effect on companies trading with the bloc, according to George Riddell, director of trade strategy at consultancy EY, who is helping UK businesses that export to the EU prepare for the measure.

From October this year EU companies will have to compile reports on the carbon emissions attached to some imported goods, including steel, aluminium and fertilisers, with businesses having to buy certificates to cover emissions embedded in products from 2026.

The paperwork and costs associated with the carbon tax will land on UK companies who supply components to EU businesses covered by the regulation — which affects products as prosaic as nuts and bolts. As a result, some of these UK companies will be more difficult to trade with for EU businesses.
And service companies don't get away from the leaky tyre effect of Brexit either.
Quote:

Accountants MHA warned that EU tax rules for virtual services will change in January 2025, meaning British businesses providing online facilities to consumers will have to pay VAT where the customer resides rather than in the UK, as now.

Sue Rathmell, partner at MHA, said: “UK businesses providing virtual [business to consumer] services to the EU, such as webinars, online conferences or advertising software, require swift input from [HM Revenue & Customs] in response to the EU’s intention to overhaul place of supply rules from January 2025.”
https://www.ft.com/content/5f75a690-...0-eb0d544d7bd3

TheDaddy 16-07-2023 16:54

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36156298)
So a shockingly miniscule 0.08% uplift from this deal whilst Brexit is giving us a 5% reduction in GDP.
I guess every little helps but even if those countries grow by a staggering 100% that's still only a 0.16% uplift!

https://news.sky.com/story/joining-i...1-8bn-12921751

Meanwhile, how's things going with our largest trading partner?



And service companies don't get away from the leaky tyre effect of Brexit either.

https://www.ft.com/content/5f75a690-...0-eb0d544d7bd3

There is the food checks to come also next year iirc, we've put it off six years already, if you think food is expensive now wait until the extra billion quid for those checks is added to your bill, so much for smug and we can have cheaper food, clothing and footwear straightaway

---------- Post added at 15:54 ---------- Previous post was at 15:50 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36156293)
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-b2375947.html

The CPTPP trade deal has been signed. Immediate benefits estimated at £1.8bn per year once operational, with huge opportunities for us to build on that.

Keri Benedoch confirmed on Laura K’s show this morning that the Indian trade deal was making good progress.

Oh good, maybe the NHS will get the 350 million a week now, it's almost as if you don't know or care what you're talking about

Sephiroth 16-07-2023 17:05

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36156293)
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-b2375947.html

The CPTPP trade deal has been signed. Immediate benefits estimated at £1.8bn per year once operational, with huge opportunities for us to build on that.

Keri Benedoch confirmed on Laura K’s show this morning that the Indian trade deal was making good progress.


Indian trade deal - at what price in immigration terms?

OLD BOY 16-07-2023 17:39

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36156314)
it's almost as if you don't know or care what you're talking about

Well, you certainly don’t, as all I did was report a news item. I know anything positive about life outside the EU is not what you want to hear, so I suggest you avoid this thread because we will get more news like that. I wouldn’t like to upset your sensitive brain cells.

---------- Post added at 16:39 ---------- Previous post was at 16:37 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36156319)

Indian trade deal - at what price in immigration terms?

Why ask me? We need to see the details when they are agreed. People don’t like speculation on here.

Hugh 16-07-2023 17:51

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36156321)
Well, you certainly don’t, as all I did was report a news item. I know anything positive about life outside the EU is not what you want to hear, so I suggest you avoid this thread because we will get more news like that. I wouldn’t like to upset your sensitive brain cells.

---------- Post added at 16:39 ---------- Previous post was at 16:37 ----------



Why ask me? We need to see the details when they are agreed. People don’t like speculation on here.

You may wish to utilise a fire extinguisher on your underwear…

That statement is not based on actuality - nothing in the link you posted stated
Quote:

Immediate benefits estimated at £1.8bn per year once operational

Sephiroth 16-07-2023 18:13

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36156321)
<SNIP>

Why ask me? We need to see the details when they are agreed. People don’t like speculation on here.


You were the one hailing the Indian Trade deal as something worthwhile (without knowing the detail).


TheDaddy 16-07-2023 20:26

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36156321)
Well, you certainly don’t, as all I did was report a news item. I know anything positive about life outside the EU is not what you want to hear, so I suggest you avoid this thread because we will get more news like that. I wouldn’t like to upset your sensitive brain cells.

---------- Post added at 16:39 ---------- Previous post was at 16:37 ----------



Why ask me? We need to see the details when they are agreed. People don’t like speculation on here.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36156323)
You may wish to utilise a fire extinguisher on your underwear…

That statement is not based on actuality - nothing in the link you posted stated

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36156324)

You were the one hailing the Indian Trade deal as something worthwhile (without knowing the detail).


:rofl: :spin:

OLD BOY 16-07-2023 20:32

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36156324)

You were the one hailing the Indian Trade deal as something worthwhile (without knowing the detail).


Actually, I said:

‘Kemi Benedoch confirmed on Laura K’s show this morning that the Indian trade deal was making good progress.’

Where did I ‘(hail) it as something worthwhile’?

This misinterpretation of things said that Cable Forumers do when hearing facts that they don’t like seems to have infected you, too, Seph, which saddens me.

---------- Post added at 19:32 ---------- Previous post was at 19:28 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36156323)
You may wish to utilise a fire extinguisher on your underwear…

That statement is not based on actuality - nothing in the link you posted stated

The £1.8 bn was actually stated, and I added to that the statement Kemi made about taking up the opportunities that the deal provided. The £1.8bn is a forecast based on existing activity and intentions. It’s been said all along that if you present the opportunities to businesses, they will find imaginative ways to exploit them.

I say that recognising that this is beyond comprehension for some. Live and learn.

1andrew1 16-07-2023 20:48

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36156328)
Where did I ‘(hail) it as something worthwhile’?.

I think Seph means you've hailed it before. For example
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36125656)
Don’t worry, Andrew. When the new trade agreement with India is signed, we’ll get our overseas labour from there. :D

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36156328)
The £1.8 bn was actually stated, and I added to that the statement Kemi made about taking up the opportunities that the deal provided. The £1.8bn is a forecast based on existing activity and intentions.

The issue with your statement about the £1.8bn is that you've used the word "immediate" whereas the article link you've provided says "after 10 years".

Sephiroth 16-07-2023 21:41

Re: Britain outside the EU
 

I applaud OB's loyalty to the Conservative cause.

i just wish he would see the government for what it is - a total shambles that is leading us onto the rocks.

What's more, they could stop ULEZ.

They could immediately knock the water company thieves on the head. There shoud be NO sewage discharges and no increase in water charges.

They should listen to John Redwood. (Yes, I know what you lefties will say ...)


Hugh 16-07-2023 22:10

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36156328)
Actually, I said:

‘Kemi Benedoch confirmed on Laura K’s show this morning that the Indian trade deal was making good progress.’

Where did I ‘(hail) it as something worthwhile’?

This misinterpretation of things said that Cable Forumers do when hearing facts that they don’t like seems to have infected you, too, Seph, which saddens me.

---------- Post added at 19:32 ---------- Previous post was at 19:28 ----------



The £1.8 bn was actually stated, and I added to that the statement Kemi made about taking up the opportunities that the deal provided. The £1.8bn is a forecast based on existing activity and intentions. It’s been said all along that if you present the opportunities to businesses, they will find imaginative ways to exploit them.

I say that recognising that this is beyond comprehension for some. Live and learn.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...3&d=1689538178

GrimUpNorth 16-07-2023 22:57

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36156319)

Indian trade deal - at what price in immigration terms?

Multiculturalism?

denphone 17-07-2023 07:00

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36156336)

I applaud OB's loyalty to the Conservative cause.

i just wish he would see the government for what it is - a total shambles that is leading us onto the rocks.

What's more, they could stop ULEZ.

They could immediately knock the water company thieves on the head. There shoud be NO sewage discharges and no increase in water charges.

They should listen to John Redwood. (Yes, I know what you lefties will say ...)


You must stop calling us lefties seph as most of us just want a common sense government which actually governs for us all rather then govern for a select group.

Sephiroth 17-07-2023 07:54

Re: Britain outside the EU
 


My remark, Den, concerned the lefties only.

OLD BOY 17-07-2023 12:03

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36156335)
I think Seph means you've hailed it before. For example:

Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY (1)
Don’t worry, Andrew. When the new trade agreement with India is signed, we’ll get our overseas labour from there.
Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY (2)
The £1.8 bn was actually stated, and I added to that the statement Kemi made about taking up the opportunities that the deal provided. The £1.8bn is a forecast based on existing activity and intentions.

The issue with your statement about the £1.8bn is that you've used the word "immediate" whereas the article link you've provided says "after 10 years".

The first quote, obviously, was a joke, based on a post of yours. The second does not use the word ‘immediate’. It says ‘based on existing activity and intentions’.

I say again, these were news items. I simply reported them. Don’t shoot the messenger.

---------- Post added at 11:03 ---------- Previous post was at 11:01 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36156354)
You must stop calling us lefties seph as most of us just want a common sense government which actually governs for us all rather then govern for a select group.

You did tell us that you voted for Corbyn last time, Den. If that doesn’t make you left wing, what would?

jfman 17-07-2023 12:18

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
What’s entertaining is that you throws around “lefties” as an insult. How much catastrophic right wing economic policy do you have to witness to realise it has failed? How high do energy prices have to go? How much human excrement has to flow into our waterways? How many train operators have to “fail” once they’ve trousered all the subsidies and distributed those to shareholders?

Hugh 17-07-2023 12:57

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36156367)
The first quote, obviously, was a joke, based on a post of yours. The second does not use the word ‘immediate’. It says ‘based on existing activity and intentions’.

I say again, these were news items. I simply reported them. Don’t shoot the messenger.

---------- Post added at 11:03 ---------- Previous post was at 11:01 ----------



You did tell us that you voted for Corbyn last time, Den. If that doesn’t make you left wing, what would?

<cough cough>

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36156293)
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-b2375947.html

The CPTPP trade deal has been signed. Immediate benefits estimated at £1.8bn per year once operational, with huge opportunities for us to build on that.

Keri Benedoch confirmed on Laura K’s show this morning that the Indian trade deal was making good progress.


denphone 17-07-2023 13:04

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36156367)
The first quote, obviously, was a joke, based on a post of yours. The second does not use the word ‘immediate’. It says ‘based on existing activity and intentions’.

I say again, these were news items. I simply reported them. Don’t shoot the messenger.

---------- Post added at 11:03 ---------- Previous post was at 11:01 ----------



You did tell us that you voted for Corbyn last time, Den. If that doesn’t make you left wing, what would?

Who l voted for is irrelevant as l am a moderate slightly to the left voter which does not make me a leftie as you and others label us as.

---------- Post added at 12:04 ---------- Previous post was at 12:02 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36156369)
What’s entertaining is that you throws around “lefties” as an insult. How much catastrophic right wing economic policy do you have to witness to realise it has failed? How high do energy prices have to go? How much human excrement has to flow into our waterways? How many train operators have to “fail” once they’ve trousered all the subsidies and distributed those to shareholders?

Don't worry like everything else he blames it on other groups rather then the government of the day.

Its called convenient political amnesia.

ianch99 17-07-2023 13:19

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36156356)


My remark, Den, concerned the lefties only.

Seph, you do yourself no favours with these childlike comments. The term has no specific meaning without context so can only be meant as a wind up.

Sephiroth 17-07-2023 14:12

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36156376)
Seph, you do yourself no favours with these childlike comments. The term has no specific meaning without context so can only be meant as a wind up.



You’re the one to talk, Ian. You frequently allege against the right wing with no meaningful definition.


---------- Post added at 13:12 ---------- Previous post was at 13:11 ----------


Oh - and there’s very little, if any, doubt as to what a lefty is.

Hugh 17-07-2023 14:34

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36156380)


You’re the one to talk, Ian. You frequently allege against the right wing with no meaningful definition.


---------- Post added at 13:12 ---------- Previous post was at 13:11 ----------


Oh - and there’s very little, if any, doubt as to what a lefty is.

OK, I’ll bite - what is your definition of a "leftie"?

(just to ensure there is little, if any, doubt in peoples’ minds).


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