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TheDaddy 21-12-2020 23:12

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36063251)
That was all that was requested of me. ;)

---------- Post added at 23:10 ---------- Previous post was at 22:55 ----------


Unfortunately, it's occupied by Hom3r and The Daddy. :D

It's free now, don't let Pierre skimp on the lube...

Mr K 22-12-2020 09:59

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Ohh err Mrs ! Moving the subject on ...

31st December might not be deadline. Not a surprise as none of the other 'deadlines' have been since the one in October. No deal is not an option for either side.
https://www.independent.co.uk/indepe...-b1777180.html

They might have to change the meaning of the word deadline in the dictionary....

Hom3r 22-12-2020 10:59

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36063251)
That was all that was requested of me. ;)

---------- Post added at 23:10 ---------- Previous post was at 22:55 ----------


Unfortunately, it's occupied by Hom3r and The Daddy. :D


Oi! I was being misquoted, there's a big difference between not happy and hate.

1andrew1 22-12-2020 11:12

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36063276)
Ohh err Mrs ! Moving the subject on ...

31st December might not be deadline. Not a surprise as none of the other 'deadlines' have been since the one in October. No deal is not an option for either side.
https://www.independent.co.uk/indepe...-b1777180.html

They might have to change the meaning of the word deadline in the dictionary....

The only deadline in Brexit negotiations is a phone line that's not working. :D

Mr K 22-12-2020 15:55

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36063281)
The only deadline in Brexit negotiations is a phone line that's not working. :D

Apparantley Boris and Ursula have a hotline. The latest is thats she's turned down his offer of a few more fish.

She's also rebuffed his offer of a second date. She wasn't impressed at the first. His shirt wasn't tucked in and his hair a mess... Plus he's had poor Tinder feedback.

1andrew1 23-12-2020 10:04

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36063312)
Apparantley Boris and Ursula have a hotline. The latest is thats she's turned down his offer of a few more fish.

She's also rebuffed his offer of a second date. She wasn't impressed at the first. His shirt wasn't tucked in and his hair a mess... Plus he's had poor Tinder feedback.

We can but hope that she falls under his spell like many others. A few words of Latin tend to help.

Meanwhile, will BoJo listen to the NHS Chiefs?

Quote:

NHS chiefs urge PM to extend Brexit transition by a month

NHS leaders have called on Boris Johnson to extend the Brexit transition period by a month, telling the prime minister that a no-deal exit could risk the health of patients during the Covid-19 crisis.

Faced with an alarming rise in infections, they said a month’s delay would take the health service out of “the immediate danger zone” and would “enable the NHS to continue to focus on fighting the pandemic without having to contend with disruptive changes brought about by a no-deal outcome”.

The call came in an NHS Confederation letter telling Johnson that “tough” action similar to the new tier 4 rules was needed to avoid a disruptive cliff-edge moment on 1 January and help protect the NHS.
https://www.theguardian.com/society/...ion-by-a-month

Sephiroth 23-12-2020 10:08

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36063416)
We can but hope that she falls under his spell like many others. A few words of Latin tend to help.

<SNIP>

"Semper in excreto" might cover it.

Hugh 23-12-2020 10:26

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36063418)
"Semper in excreto" might cover it.

More like "semper in excreta loquentes"... ;)

papa smurf 23-12-2020 10:32

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
'Semper In Excretia Sumus, Solim Profundum Variat';)

Sephiroth 23-12-2020 10:59

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36063422)
More like "semper in excreta loquentes"... ;)


Tu quoque genus, ego sum certus.

Carth 23-12-2020 11:13

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Patiently waits for 'Life of Brian' stuff to get posted . . .

Hugh 23-12-2020 11:32

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36063430)

Tu quoque genus, ego sum certus.

As for you, kind of, I am sure, I will

??

joglynne 23-12-2020 12:09

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36063430)

Tu quoque genus, ego sum certus.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36063432)
As for you, kind of, I am sure, I will

??

I guess there isn't much going on with Brexit at the moment. :D :D

papa smurf 23-12-2020 12:11

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by joglynne (Post 36063437)
I guess there isn't much going on with Brexit at the moment. :D :D

Hard to say since we have been locked out of the EU;)

Hugh 23-12-2020 12:44

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36063438)
Hard to say since we have been locked out of the EU;)

Luckily, because of the EU’s Freedom of Movement rules (which we are entitled to during the Transition period), France had to let us back in... ;)

jonbxx 23-12-2020 12:59

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36063440)
Luckily, because of the EU’s Freedom of Movement rules (which we are entitled to during the Transition period), France had to let us back in... ;)

Nothing to do with EU freedom of movement. Ant state can close their borders as long as it is exceptional and proportionate. Hungary, Denmark and Finland have closed their borders along with Norway as part of Schengen

Sephiroth 23-12-2020 13:08

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36063432)
As for you, kind of, I am sure, I will

??

Latin is not my native language! Obviously (before you get that one in).

Btw, on topic, I think the Guvmin should accept 6 years 25% on fishing provided that it is the only remaining point of contention.

Hugh 23-12-2020 14:43

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36063441)
Nothing to do with EU freedom of movement. Ant state can close their borders as long as it is exceptional and proportionate. Hungary, Denmark and Finland have closed their borders along with Norway as part of Schengen

From the EU Commission (posted in the Coronavirus thread yesterday)

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...8#post36063308

https://ec.europa.eu/commission/pres.../en/ip_20_2520

Quote:

Following the rapid increase of COVID-19 cases in parts of England, of which a large proportion belongs to a new variant of the virus, the Commission today adopted a Recommendation on a coordinated approach to travel and transport measures. The recommendation builds on the Council Recommendation of 13 October on a coordinated approach to free movement in response to the COVID19-pandemic and several other guidance documents adopted by the Commission in the past months, in particular the Green Lanes Communication. While it is important to take swift temporary precautionary action to limit the further spread of the new strain of the virus and all non-essential travel to and from the UK should be discouraged, essential travel and transit of passengers should be facilitated. Flight and train bans should be discontinued given the need to ensure essential travel and avoid supply chain disruptions...

... Until the end of December, free movement rules still apply to the UK. This means that Member States should not in principle refuse the entry of persons travelling from the UK. After the end of the transition period, the UK will be subject to Council Recommendation on the temporary restriction on non-essential travel into the EU and the possible lifting of such restriction...

... Next Steps

In line with Article 126 of the Agreement on the Withdrawal of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland from the European Union and the European Atomic Energy Community, the transition period agreed by the parties will expire on 31 December 2020.

As of 1 January 2021, the United Kingdom will become a third country and Member States shall start applying the Recommendation on the temporary restriction on non-essential travel to the EU to persons travelling from the UK, in view of the end of the transition period. Accordingly, in principle only essential travel may take place from the United Kingdom. In order to benefit from an exemption from this general travel restriction, the Council would need to decide to add the United Kingdom to the list of third countries whose residents should not be affected by temporary external borders restriction on non-essential travel to the EU. The list is reviewed regularly by Member States in the Council.

However, this limitation to essential travel shall not apply to Union citizens resident in the UK and UK nationals who are long-term residents in an EU Member States under the Long-term Residence Directive, independent of the purpose of travel.

1andrew1 23-12-2020 15:02

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
FT says a trade deal could be signed before Christmas with good progress being made,

Damien 23-12-2020 15:04

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Done Deal: BREAKING: No 10 source: ‘The deal is done’.

Quote:

BREAKING: No 10 source: ‘The deal is done’.

1andrew1 23-12-2020 15:15

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

BRUSSELS/LONDON (Reuters) -A senior European diplomat told Reuters on Wednesday that a Brexit trade deal was imminent and could be clinched within hours, raising hopes that Britain and the European Union can avoid a turbulent economic rupture in just eight days.
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-br...-idUKKBN28X0RK

Mr K 23-12-2020 15:23

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36063452)

About time ! No deal was a lose/lose situation.

The Torygraph readers will be pleased ;)

Mick 23-12-2020 15:24

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
BREAKING: A Deal is not FINALISED. Frost and EU negotiation counterparts are still talking, nothing is signed or sealed. Laura Kuenssberg, BBC.

Mr K 23-12-2020 15:26

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36063457)
BREAKING: A Deal is not FINALISED. Frost and EU negotiation counterparts are still talking, nothing is signed or sealed. Laura Kuenssberg, BBC.

They've got to break it to you slowly Mick. Presentation is everything ;)

Mick 23-12-2020 15:37

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
It is not finalised. Nothing is signed or sealed. Crucially, the 27 member states have not seen the legal text, which is thousands of pages. Nothing is agreed, until everything is agreed. Stop posting Fake News.

jonbxx 23-12-2020 15:43

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36063448)

Recommendations only though, not binding. Member states control their own borders;

Quote:

The decision of whether to introduce restrictions to free movement to protect public health remains the responsibility of member states. However, these restrictions have to comply with the principles of proportionality and non-discrimination as described in the EU treaties.
From here - https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/p...nd-transport/#

Hugh 23-12-2020 17:28

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36063465)
Recommendations only though, not binding. Member states control their own borders;



From here - https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/p...nd-transport/#

Oh, I know... :D

Mick 23-12-2020 18:09

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
BREAKING: Prime Minister Boris Johnson to make Statement at 7pm Downing Street. Re. Brexit Negotiations.

Damien 23-12-2020 18:18

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
https://twitter.com/antoguerrera/sta...99775952318465

Quote:

FRENCH OFFICIAL TELLS REUTERS "THE BRITISH MADE HUGE CONCESSIONS" IN BREXIT TRADE TALKS IN THE LAST 48 HOURS, MOSTLY ON FISHING (Reuters)
France helping out Boris Johnson get 'a' deal past his backbenchers here.....:rolleyes:

Chris 23-12-2020 18:24

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
TBF the French need to sell whatever this is to their own highly belligerent domestic fishing industry. The domestic presentation on both sides will be “victory!”

1andrew1 23-12-2020 18:25

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36063480)
https://twitter.com/antoguerrera/sta...99775952318465

France helping out Boris Johnson get 'a' deal past his backbenchers here.....:rolleyes:

'Twas always going to be Brits conceding on fishing with the aim of the EU conceding on the level playing field. Wonder if that last bit worked or is if there were key UK concessions there too?

I'm sure BoJo will go in hard on getting backbenchers to support him. Will be interesting to see what the opposition parties do.

papa smurf 23-12-2020 18:28

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36063483)
'Twas always going to be Brits conceding on fishing with the aim of the EU conceding on the level playing field. Wonder if that last bit worked or is if there were key UK concessions there too?

I'm sure BoJo will go in hard on getting backbenchers to support him. Will be interesting to see what the opposition parties do.

Sir kwer charmer will abstain;)

He'll soon need to get all those splinters out of his arse cheeks.

1andrew1 23-12-2020 18:29

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36063482)
TBF the French need to sell whatever this is to their own highly belligerent domestic fishing industry. The domestic presentation on both sides will be “victory!”

Absolutely. Macron, BoJo and others will be mightily relieved but as you say, each will be claiming victory.

The UK had very few cards in the negotiations contrary to what many Brexiters would have us believe. But fishing was one of our few cards.

Mick 23-12-2020 18:46

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Update: From BBC’s Laura Kuenssberg: Frost and Riso are still in the room in Brussels talking so forget any chance of a 7pm announcement - may or may not be done in time tonight.

Damien 23-12-2020 18:59

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Probably arguing who gets to keep the commemorative pens.

jonbxx 23-12-2020 19:19

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36063483)
I'm sure BoJo will go in hard on getting backbenchers to support him. Will be interesting to see what the opposition parties do.

Rumour has it that this will be a 1000-2000 page document that needs to be reviewed by the end of the year. Good luck with asking the opposition to vote for something that you simply couldn’t review in that time. An abstention is the only option here as if there’s bad stuff it will be ‘well, you voted for it’ but it also can’t fail.

papa smurf 23-12-2020 19:20

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36063488)
Probably arguing who gets to keep the commemorative pens.

The eu will want 80% of them and an agreement that we wont use our pens to sign deals with anyone else.

1andrew1 23-12-2020 20:05

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36062455)
They already have been. Boris is going to be most depised PM by Brexiteers since urrmmm ....., the last one....
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...ls-brexiteers/

Will be interesting to see if this is the case or not.

Hugh 23-12-2020 20:59

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Whatever it is, Farage (and a reasonable percentage of the ERG) won’t like it...

TheDaddy 23-12-2020 21:35

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36063502)
Whatever it is, Farage (and a reasonable percentage of the ERG) won’t like it...

I'm not sure I'm going to like it, we conceded our trump card early on and what ever is in this document will simply be the prelude to years of further negotiations

Mick 23-12-2020 22:04

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Update: Joe Barnes Brussels correspondent, Daily Express: PM can say he's reclaimed control of British waters. After the transition, the UK Gov will be free to decide access. It appears EU has given way on its 'punishment clause' demand that would see Britain slapped with tariffs if EU boats lose access in future.

Sephiroth 23-12-2020 22:16

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
To me, the important factors would now be:

1. Tariff/quota free goods;

2. A short grace period for adjustments to be made on both sides.

It would be interesting to learn what will happen on visiting the EU and matters such as IDPs/Green Cards.

I would like to see an OBR report on the additional costs UK industry will have to bear for the increased administrative burden.

Finally, I won't be whinging if they get a bit more fish.



Mick 23-12-2020 22:21

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
BREAKING: Boris Johnson’s Cabinet has been summoned for a conference call with PM tonight.

Dave42 23-12-2020 22:24

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
happy it looking certain we are getting a deal

Mick 23-12-2020 22:31

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
And a good deal. If what I’m seeing rumoured coming out of Brussels tonight.

Damien 23-12-2020 22:34

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36063505)
Update: Joe Barnes Brussels correspondent, Daily Express: PM can say he's reclaimed control of British waters. After the transition, the UK Gov will be free to decide access. It appears EU has given way on its 'punishment clause' demand that would see Britain slapped with tariffs if EU boats lose access in future.

I think this is the sensible approach. We retain the right to decide if the EU/French can fish in our waters but we allow them not only to do so but to have a majority of the fish because we don't really care about them so much as the principle. Macron is happy because French fisherman gets to continue as normal.

It's provocative of the EU to demand or expect those rights as the point of the referendum for many was the principle of sovernity. For the EU to demand rights to U.K waters won't fly. However, the fish in the waters of the British isles aren't that important to us so it's easy for us to allow access to our waters for something in return.

Pierre 23-12-2020 22:46

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36063510)
And a good deal. If what I’m seeing rumoured coming out of Brussels tonight.

It will be a good deal for both, can’t be anything else.

Damien 23-12-2020 23:02

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Certainly better than a no-deal as well. Question is, given it's unlikely any agreement can be filled implemented by the 1st, does the transitional period extend into the new year for a few days/weeks until the agreement is fully in place?

Dave42 23-12-2020 23:10

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36063517)
Certainly better than a no-deal as well. Question is, given it's unlikely any agreement can be filled implemented by the 1st, does the transitional period extend into the new year for a few days/weeks until the agreement is fully in place?

surely they got to do that

1andrew1 23-12-2020 23:14

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 36063518)
surely they got to do that

You would think so, especially if all 27 sovereign EU nations have to approve it too.

Sephiroth 23-12-2020 23:20

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36059164)
Clearly, it will not be a shade close to what we have now. No more free movement, no more EU laws, no more stolen fish, etc, etc.

It’s all good. Just as the electorate ordered.

Wakey wakey, OB.

Looks like your prediction of months ago is about to be fulfilled.


---------- Post added at 23:20 ---------- Previous post was at 23:19 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36063519)
You would think so, especially if all 27 sovereign EU nations have to approve it too.

Fun, fun, fun - still to be had.

1andrew1 23-12-2020 23:58

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Talk that the UK was trying to bounce the EU into a deal today.

Before a deal is agreed, a briefing to the EU Ambassadors would take place. So far, this is not happening tomorrow let alone today! So, no deal yet this side of Christmas as things stand.

Quote:

Tony Connelly (RTE Europe Editor)
Breaking: a meeting of EU ambassadors (Coreper) has been convened for tomorrow morning, to be briefed on Brexit negotiations, source
Sebastian Fischer, COREPER II Spokesperson for Germany's Presidency of the Council of the EU Tweeted in response:
Quote:

Dear Tony,
the EU Council Presidency would have to convene a meeting of EU Ambassadors (COREPER) And we haven’t done so. Your source is wrong. #Brexit
Best,
Sebastian
https://twitter.com/SFischer_EU/stat...98424455372803

Mick 23-12-2020 23:58

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36063517)
Certainly better than a no-deal as well. Question is, given it's unlikely any agreement can be filled implemented by the 1st, does the transitional period extend into the new year for a few days/weeks until the agreement is fully in place?

No it doesn’t. EU have made any deal provisional from January 01, 2021 to be ratified by both sides at a later date, hence why the European Parliaments deadline to ratify one was sidestepped.

pip08456 24-12-2020 00:10

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36063526)
No it doesn’t. EU have made any deal provisional from January 01, 2021 to be ratified by both sides at a later date, hence why the European Parliaments deadline to ratify one was sidestepped.

AKA status quo (sort of) until ratified by both UK and EU parliaments.

Carth 24-12-2020 01:13

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Status Quo - What You're Proposing?

:D

heero_yuy 24-12-2020 07:48

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
I'll reserve judgement until I've seen what concessions have been made.

1andrew1 24-12-2020 08:33

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36063485)
Sir kwer charmer will abstain;)

He'll soon need to get all those splinters out of his arse cheeks.

Kate McCann at Sky News says Labour will vote in favour of it.

RichardCoulter 24-12-2020 08:40

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
I got up at about 7am and put the TV on to see what's going on in the world. The BBC are expecting someone to come out of no 10 to report on the Brexit deal. They saw movement, shot back to Downing St to cover it and.........it was a fox sniffing round the door!!!

Since then they have carried on saying that an announcement is imminent, but now a source has tweeted that it could be a while. Not quite as done and dusted as was first thought...

papa smurf 24-12-2020 08:54

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36063530)
Status Quo - What You're Proposing?

:D

or
Down the dustpipe.

---------- Post added at 08:54 ---------- Previous post was at 08:52 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36063544)
I got up at about 7am and put the TV on to see what's going on in the world. The BBC are expecting someone to come out of no 10 to report on the Brexit deal. They saw movement, shot back to Downing St to cover it and.........it was a fox sniffing round the door!!!

Since then they have carried on saying that an announcement is imminent, but now a source has tweeted that it could be a while. Not quite as done and dusted as was first thought...

Was it Liam fox;)

Mr K 24-12-2020 09:09

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
No deal would have have been madness, and never an option. Welcome to reality Brexiteers. It'll be nowhere near as good as the one we had in the EU, but not the no deal catastrophe. We've only decided to cut one of our legs off, not both, very sensible too !

Wonder how he's going to sell it to the ERG, a few new years honours? He made a massive Tory donor a Lord last week, ignoring all advice not to, so these things are on offer.

1andrew1 24-12-2020 09:27

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36063549)
No deal would have have been madness, and never an option. Welcome to reality Brexiteers. It'll be nowhere near as good as the one we had in the EU, but not the no deal catastrophe. We've only decided to cut one of our legs off, not both, very sensible too !

Wonder how he's going to sell it to the ERG, a few new years honours? He made a massive Tory donor a Lord last week, ignoring all advice not to, so these things are on offer.

Spot on. Show loyalty, vote for the deal ERG and I will likely reward you with a seat in the Lords. But it doesn't matter to me too much as Sir Keir will support it anyway. Your call.

Mick 24-12-2020 09:59

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36063549)
No deal would have have been madness, and never an option. Welcome to reality Brexiteers. It'll be nowhere near as good as the one we had in the EU, but not the no deal catastrophe. We've only decided to cut one of our legs off, not both, very sensible too !

Wonder how he's going to sell it to the ERG, a few new years honours? He made a massive Tory donor a Lord last week, ignoring all advice not to, so these things are on offer.

Are you delirious?

The membership cost of being in a con job union, billions per year saved being out whilst maintaining a zero tariff trade agreement with our neighbours, whilst also notching up trade agreements with rest of the world, without pesky EU bureaucracy. Being in their union is not better at all.

Chris 24-12-2020 10:08

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36063549)
No deal would have have been madness, and never an option. Welcome to reality Brexiteers. It'll be nowhere near as good as the one we had in the EU, but not the no deal catastrophe. We've only decided to cut one of our legs off, not both, very sensible too !

Wonder how he's going to sell it to the ERG, a few new years honours? He made a massive Tory donor a Lord last week, ignoring all advice not to, so these things are on offer.

No Deal would have been an acceptable bargaining tactic towards a deal, had none been done by 31 December. The EU has had philosophical difficulties with this process; (unsurprising, as we thoroughly upended their ever-closer union narrative by leaving) it might have been necessary for them to see us walk before they were ready to accept the concept of the national sovereignty of a third party. Had it happened, a deal would have been done some time in 2021. No Deal as an end in itself was only ever the wet dream of a very few. You really ought to put the Grauniad down and get out a bit more.

Within the EU we had no deal at all. Brexiteers have repeatedly asserted that the price of access to the single market was too high. We now have freedom to manoeuvre, we’re not paying billions to build dual carriageways in Spain and Bulgaria, and about half a million people in this country were vaccinated against a pandemic disease while the 27 member states of the EU sat around prioritising solidarity over saving lives. I know which side of the fence I’d rather be on.

papa smurf 24-12-2020 10:13

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36063554)
No Deal would have been an acceptable bargaining tactic towards a deal, had none been done by 31 December. The EU has had philosophical difficulties with this process; (unsurprising, as we thoroughly upended their ever-closer union narrative by leaving) it might have been necessary for them to see us walk before they were ready to accept the concept of the national sovereignty of a third party. Had it happened, a deal would have been done some time in 2021. No Deal as an end in itself was only ever the wet dream of a very few. You really ought to put the Grauniad down and get out a bit more.

I disagree, he should remain locked away.

Sephiroth 24-12-2020 10:20

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36063554)
No Deal would have been an acceptable bargaining tactic towards a deal, had none been done by 31 December. The EU has had philosophical difficulties with this process; (unsurprising, as we thoroughly upended their ever-closer union narrative by leaving) it might have been necessary for them to see us walk before they were ready to accept the concept of the national sovereignty of a third party. Had it happened, a deal would have been done some time in 2021. No Deal as an end in itself was only ever the wet dream of a very few. You really ought to put the Grauniad down and get out a bit more.

Within the EU we had no deal at all. Brexiteers have repeatedly asserted that the price of access to the single market was too high. We now have freedom to manoeuvre, we’re not paying billions to build dual carriageways in Spain and Bulgaria, and about half a million people in this country were vaccinated against a pandemic disease while the 27 member states of the EU sat around prioritising solidarity over saving lives. I know which side of the fence I’d rather be on.

Perfectly put.

1andrew1 24-12-2020 10:39

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36063520)
[COLOR="Blue"]Wakey wakey, OB.

Looks like your prediction of months ago is about to be fulfilled.

How so?

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36010275)
16th September 2019 One thing he will know is that BJ isn't in a mood to take any nonsense about yet another extension...


Sephiroth 24-12-2020 10:41

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36063565)
How so?

OB always said that a deal would come at the last moment.

Mr K 24-12-2020 10:51

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36063566)
OB always said that a deal would come at the last moment.

When were desperate for one, and have to make the concessions we said we wouldn't do ? Yes he was right there.

Chris 24-12-2020 10:54

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36063567)
When were desperate for one, and have to make the concessions we said we wouldn't do ? Yes he was right there.

But premature don’t you think old chap? Unless you’ve somehow seen the text already? Because naturally there’s no way your prejudices would lead you to make such assertions without evidence.

Mr K 24-12-2020 10:58

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36063554)
No Deal would have been an acceptable bargaining tactic towards a deal, had none been done by 31 December. The EU has had philosophical difficulties with this process; (unsurprising, as we thoroughly upended their ever-closer union narrative by leaving) it might have been necessary for them to see us walk before they were ready to accept the concept of the national sovereignty of a third party. Had it happened, a deal would have been done some time in 2021. No Deal as an end in itself was only ever the wet dream of a very few. You really ought to put the Grauniad down and get out a bit more.
.

No deal has been the 'wet dream' of many on here, and of Torygraph readers by the sound of it. Haven't you heard ? I'm a fan of the paper, v entertaining ;)

However a deal is damage limitation and something to be welcomed. I for one can't wait for the blue passport, worth 4 years of negotiation for that.:)

1andrew1 24-12-2020 11:01

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36063506)
To me, the important factors would now be:

1. Tariff/quota free goods;

2. A short grace period for adjustments to be made on both sides.

It would be interesting to learn what will happen on visiting the EU and matters such as IDPs/Green Cards.

I would like to see an OBR report on the additional costs UK industry will have to bear for the increased administrative burden.

Finally, I won't be whinging if they get a bit more fish.


This probably answers your questions on the negative economic impact to the UK but is probably not as granular as you strive for. The trouble is, saying the economy will be X% worse off doesn't really mean much to most people so is disregarded as it's not translated into what this means in terms of schools, hospitals, jobs for their children, etc.

Quote:

The short-term impact in deal and no-deal scenarios
In the short term, additional trade frictions between the UK and EU will occur in both scenarios. There is also the possibility of immediate disruption to trade from 1 January 2021 due to the new rules with, for example, new border checks and customs formalities.

The vast majority of economic studies from the government (in 2018) and others show that the higher the barriers (cost) of trading with the EU (via tariffs and non-tariff barriers), the larger the negative impact on the UK economy overall in the long-term. A no-deal outcome is associated with a greater hit to GDP.

The OBR, based on analysis of external economic studies, expects UK GDP to be around 4% lower in a deal scenario in the long-term compared to a scenario where the UK stayed in the EU. In a no-deal scenario the OBR expects GDP would be an additional 2%-points lower.
https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk...ings/cbp-9096/

---------- Post added at 11:01 ---------- Previous post was at 10:58 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36063569)
No deal has been the 'wet dream' of many on here, and of Torygraph readers by the sound of it. Haven't you heard ? I'm a fan of the paper, v entertaining ;)

However a deal is damage limitation and something to be welcomed. I for one can't wait for the blue passport worth 4 years of negotiation for that.:)

Having a Polish-made blue passport will help passport control to rapidly direct you away from the short EEA/EU passports queue towards the long UK passport queue. :D

denphone 24-12-2020 11:13

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
A deal is much better then a no deal as even Nigel Farage seems pleased with it...

https://news.sky.com/story/brexit-ne...close-12149804

Hugh 24-12-2020 11:18

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36063573)
A deal is much better then a no deal as even Nigel Farage seems pleased with it...

https://news.sky.com/story/brexit-ne...close-12149804

Unusual - most unlike Nigel to mention the War... :D

1andrew1 24-12-2020 11:26

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36063574)
Unusual - most unlike Nigel to mention the War... :D

Yes, remind me never to play the Nigel Farage drinking game again! :D

Mick 24-12-2020 11:29

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36063569)
No deal has been the 'wet dream' of many on here, and of Torygraph readers by the sound of it. Haven't you heard ? I'm a fan of the paper, v entertaining ;)

However a deal is damage limitation and something to be welcomed. I for one can't wait for the blue passport, worth 4 years of negotiation for that.:)

You’re still utterly deluded. You lost and you have never accepted it.

I have always maintained we ought to get a good deal, but no deal is better than a bad deal and I would have accepted it. But it seems from what I’m seeing leaking from Brussels, we got major concessions from EU. They have caved at the 11th hour. We have compromised as well, but we’ve left their expensive con job club whilst maintaining free trade and gaining full control on being open for business to rest of world.

jfman 24-12-2020 11:36

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Mick what characteristics does this deal have for example what a bad deal wouldn't?

I'm genuinely curious what the difference is.

Damien 24-12-2020 11:50

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Let's see the deal. I suspect we've given more than we wanted on fish in return for better tariff-free access and EU concessions on the level playing field.

jfman 24-12-2020 12:03

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
I'm hoping it's not simply a case of the Emperor's New Clothes. Many of us saw President-elect Biden's emphatic victory in the US Presidential election as a likely pivot of US foreign policy towards Paris and Berlin away from London and a Trump administration keen to disrupt European influence on the world stage.

With no deal off the table since November do we now have a bad deal?

1andrew1 24-12-2020 12:15

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36063585)
Let's see the deal. I suspect we've given more than we wanted on fish in return for better tariff-free access and EU concessions on the level playing field.

Yes, fish were really our only negotiating card. Minimal economic value to concede on but huge emotional value to some European fishing nations. A good card to hold.

nomadking 24-12-2020 12:22

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
The issue on fishing has always been about control. A transitional phase and the possibility of a future minimum quota for the EU has always been on the table from the UK.

Hugh 24-12-2020 12:44

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36063594)
The issue on fishing has always been about control. A transitional phase and the possibility of a future minimum quota for the EU has always been on the table from the UK.

Agreed - but the sticking points were the length of the transition phase and the size of the minimum quota.

jonbxx 24-12-2020 12:49

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Excellent news that a deal might be forthcoming! It will be interesting to see what happened with the level playing field stuff. I am hearing rumours that it might not be significantly different but I guess we'll see.

nomadking 24-12-2020 12:51

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36063599)
Agreed - but the sticking points were the length of the transition phase and the size of the minimum quota.

Really? So when weren't the EU/French demanding sole control over UK waters?

Damien 24-12-2020 13:03

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36063602)
Really? So when weren't the EU/French demanding sole control over UK waters?

Bad Puns are a banning offence you know......

Sephiroth 24-12-2020 13:05

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36063592)
Yes, fish were really our only negotiating card. Minimal economic value to concede on but huge emotional value to some European fishing nations. A good card to hold.

Is that right, Andrew?

The quota/tariff free part of the deal is heavily weighted in the EU's favour because of the balance of trade between the two sides. Given the economic heft of trade (as distinct from fishing), I believe the Guvmin was playing this card silently throughout.



---------- Post added at 13:05 ---------- Previous post was at 13:04 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36063605)
Bad Puns are a banning offence you know......

oh -oh, you know what's coming.

Chris 24-12-2020 13:09

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
The whiting’s on the wall for anyone who doesn’t take moderator comments seriously. ;)

jfman 24-12-2020 13:39

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
A load of codswallop.

Mad Max 24-12-2020 13:41

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
I think he's Skating on thin ice.

Sephiroth 24-12-2020 13:58

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36063609)
A load of codswallop.

Carping as usual.

Julian 24-12-2020 14:03

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Didn't you hear the no pun instruction? Do you need a herring aid?

This is neither the time nor the plaice for these puns.

Any more will be on porpoise.


PS
The EU only agreed to a deal because the didn't want to make anemone of the UK.

GrimUpNorth 24-12-2020 14:06

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
It'll be a shame when the deal's signed and the dust settles - I'm sure I'm not alone when I say I've had a whale of a time reading all the arguements going round and round. I wonder where the final deal will be on the scale of good deals?

denphone 24-12-2020 14:09

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
l smell something fishy on their little dishy when the boat comes in..

TheDaddy 24-12-2020 14:15

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
These puns are piscine me off (recycling my own puns now, a new low)

The thing with this tariff free trade on goods is that it's far better for them than us and what deals couldn't we do with the rest of the world that we are now able to do?

Hugh 24-12-2020 14:27

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
We just have to decide what the pun-ishment will be for all these Brill word-plays.

Eel get back to you on this one...

heero_yuy 24-12-2020 14:36

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
If we do net a deal then we'll have to broach the bubbly.

Dave42 24-12-2020 14:49

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Brexit deal done: Trade agreement finally struck between UK and EU


https://news.sky.com/story/brexit-de...nd-eu-12149904

happy there is a deal :)

Damien 24-12-2020 14:56

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
:hyper:

nomadking 24-12-2020 14:59

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Link

Quote:

Here is the government's statement: "Everything that the British public was promised during the 2016 referendum and in the general election last year is delivered by this deal."
"We have taken back control of our money, borders, laws, trade and our fishing waters
"The deal is fantastic news for families and businesses in every part of the UK.
"We have signed the first free trade agreement based on zero tariffs and zero quotas that has ever been achieved with the EU.
"The deal is the biggest bilateral trade deal signed by either side, covering trade worth £668bn in 2019.
"The deal also guarantees that we are no longer in the lunar pull of the EU, we are not bound by EU rules, there is no role for the European Court of Justice and all of our key red lines about returning sovereignty have been achieved.
"It means that we will have full political and economic independence on 1st January 2021."
Sounds too good to be true.
You have to ask what were the EU doing by kicking up a fuss all this time.

Damien 24-12-2020 15:04

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
See what independent analysis makes of the deal. Both the UK and EU will claim victory. So long as both assume it is then all the better.

denphone 24-12-2020 15:04

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36063623)
:hyper:

+1


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