Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36045300)

Like all good armchair experts, you pose questions and insert caveats (‘probably’), demanding evidence and answers from others while all you ever do is promote your speculation. You’ve been at it for years, yet all we ever see are new linear channels popping up and streamers racking up massive debts trying to chase an audience that’s a fraction of the size.

Netflix is presently trumpeting the success of The Umbrella academy, whose first season was viewed in 45 million households - worldwide. The Umbrella Academy is great TV and a big success for Netflix, but even now it’s still niche. Pay-TV, regardless of how it’s delivered, always will be.

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36045300)

Like all good armchair experts, you pose questions and insert caveats (‘probably’), demanding evidence and answers from others while all you ever do is promote your speculation. You’ve been at it for years, yet all we ever see are new linear channels popping up and streamers racking up massive debts trying to chase an audience that’s a fraction of the size.

Netflix is presently trumpeting the success of The Umbrella academy, whose first season was viewed in 45 million households - worldwide. The Umbrella Academy is great TV and a big success for Netflix, but even now it’s still niche. Pay-TV, regardless of how it’s delivered, always will be.

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36045352)

Really, what about all those people who pay to watch Sky Sports, for instance, I wouldn't call that niche, I do not know the actual subscription figures but I'd hazard a guess that they must be quite high.

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Says the armchair expert....:D

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36045379)

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36045348)

Easily - it wasn’t scalable, and wasn’t cost-effective to implement.

From the BBC at the time

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36045386)

Much can be achieved in 15 years.

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36045381)

How long did it take you to think that up, Chris....

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36045387)

And snails might make their way to the moon by them.

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36045323)

Advertisers will not be interested in paying good money to advertise their products to a small and probably not very wealthy audience.

As I've said before, audience levels do not have to reach anywhere near as low as 1% before traditional linear TV is ended. If we waited for everyone to convert voluntarily to digital TV, we would still have analogue as a choice.

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36045386)

Much can be achieved in 15 years.

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36045408)

Which is another way of saying "something magic can happen"... :D

I’ve spoken to people involved in long-term planning of Broadcast TV, you’re just basing your forecasts on "here’s hoping...".

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36045393)

So you’re now advocating state intervention to shut down linear television?

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36045485)

Possibly, as the bandwidth may need to be hijacked for 5G, but although you and I disagree on this, I believe that there will be no financial incentive to justify the continuation of the TV channels over time. We are nowhere near that yet, though.

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36045492)

That wouldn’t necessarily impact satellite or cable though. Plus it’d have to make commercial sense to do so.