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nomadking 16-05-2021 19:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36079677)
That’s why we need the boosters, to protect against new variants. So far, the vaccines protect against them all, but they will be modified regularly to take into account the new strains out there.

Still takes time to come up with a new vaccine and vaccinate everybody. What happens in the meantime?

OLD BOY 16-05-2021 19:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36079682)
Still takes time to come up with a new vaccine and vaccinate everybody. What happens in the meantime?

Well, would you mind telling me which variants are immune to the available vaccines? There is no point in worrying about something that has not happened.

We have been told that modified inoculations will be available this autumn, anyway. It takes only a few weeks to modify it as required.

Pierre 16-05-2021 20:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
We should continue to live in fear. Makes perfect sense.

Mortality rate is under 50’s - 0.5 %
Mortality rate in under 40’s - 0.19%
Mortality rate in under 30’s - 0.04%
Mortality rate in under 20’s - 0.01%

And this is before the vaccine roll out got really going.

Yes, we should all live in fear.

The government and the media really have done a number on everyone.


https://www.gov.uk/government/public...england-report

jfman 16-05-2021 21:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36079673)
Matt Hancock confirmed that lab data showed that the vaccine was effective against the Indian variant. This was also the view of Prof Finn, who appeared on the Andrew Marr Show.

Not like you to do selective interpretation, OB.

I heard of increasing confidence. I heard nothing in absolute terms. The fact Boris took to television on Friday at 5pm makes me think that confidence isn’t that high - added to the u-turn on 12 weeks.

Quote:

I think, jfman, that you should consider providing links to back up your absurd view of the world, which often appears to defy common sense. You may rubbish the links that I provide, but they add support to the arguments being made, so I would certainly take you more seriously if you did that. Which you won’t, of course…

Like it or not, this lockdown is coming to an end. So will mask wearing and social distancing on 21 June. Don’t forget, you can lock yourself away if you want to. The emphasis after June will be on personal responsibility, not government diktat.
Here’s one for the scrap heap with it going away by itself in the summer (2020).

---------- Post added at 21:12 ---------- Previous post was at 21:01 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079672)
“Diet OB” extremely offensive, but funny, I’ll give you that.

I think, and I’m not going out on a limb here, the vaccine(s) have proven themselves effective.

Are the numbers low because of lockdown, vaccine or a combination of both? This remains to some extent unclear. The vaccines against variants even less proven to date. An order of 60 million Pfizer doses for autumn makes me think (as ever) the Government confidence levels aren’t that high.

Quote:

Again I believe the volumes vaccinated, speak for themselves

Why not, what ones should we keep?
Distancing. Masks. Work from home if you can. The easy, no cost ones at a minimum while more people get vaccinated (twice) and more real world (not lab) data emerges on vaccine vs variants.

Hugh 16-05-2021 21:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079657)
It’s Hugh the cableforum archivist again.

To be fair the statement in September was before mass vaccination, it’s totally different scenario now

I know - imagine using an existing search facility to provide information to support a proposition.

It’s almost as if you think providing facts and context was a bad thing… ;)

btw, an archivist is a person who has the job of collecting and storing the materials in an archive - did you mean a researcher? ;)

(In a previous life I was an Intelligence Analyst, so your poor attempts at derision for using skills I learned then are wasted - but keep on keepin’ on…)

nomadking 16-05-2021 21:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36079686)
Well, would you mind telling me which variants are immune to the available vaccines? There is no point in worrying about something that has not happened.

We have been told that modified inoculations will be available this autumn, anyway. It takes only a few weeks to modify it as required.

Didn't say any current variants dodge current immunity. New variants are going to keep popping up, because people are determined to spread the existing ones, which then given the chance to evolve into new ones.
The fact that each time a new variant is announced, questions are asked and checks are made. demonstrates that it is considered a possibility. There can be no guarantees.

Viruses don't necessarily just badly affect those with weaker immune systems. Spanish Flu is an example of where those with strong immune systems were badly affected.

Hugh 16-05-2021 21:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36079686)
Well, would you mind telling me which variants are immune to the available vaccines? There is no point in worrying about something that has not happened.

We have been told that modified inoculations will be available this autumn, anyway. It takes only a few weeks to modify it as required.

https://news.sky.com/story/is-the-in...erned-12280387
Quote:

Is the Indian variant more transmissible and will vaccines still work against it?

Dr Gurdasani, who trained as a doctor and worked in India for 10 years, said it is "very likely it's more transmissible".

She said: "There are two mutations here. The first is similar to the Manaus variant and we know that is affecting vaccine effectiveness.

"The second is the same as the Californian, which has been associated in labs with escaping immunity - both of antibodies and T-cells - and also increased transmissibility."

She continued: "This is quite worrying, it builds a really concerning picture as it ticks all the boxes for rising cases and outcompeting the vaccine.

"We don't have definitive data but we can see from the other variants there's more than enough to be concerned about."

Dr Gurdasani added that the Indian variant shares the same mutation as both the South African and Manaus variants, which has been associated with a reduction of effectiveness in the Oxford-AstraZeneca, Johnson and Johnson and Novavax vaccines.
The problem is, we don’t know, and until we do, caution should be our watchword, because we have recent first-hand experience of what happens when we don’t.

Pierre 16-05-2021 22:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36079693)
Distancing. Masks. Work from home if you can. The easy, no cost ones

Distancing = no cost? Try telling that to theatre, cinemas, restaurants, clubs etc. Your grasp of business as on point as usual.

Quote:

while more people get vaccinated (twice) and more real world (not lab) data emerges on vaccine vs variants.
Let’s wait, and wait, and wait, and wait...........hold on.......are you Kier Starmer?

jfman 16-05-2021 22:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079704)
Distancing = no cost? Try telling that to theatre, cinemas, restaurants, clubs etc. Your grasp of business as on point as usual.

They can enjoy the next lockdown then, which as ever remains absolutely inevitable unless something of substance changes.

Quote:

Let’s wait, and wait, and wait, and wait...........hold on.......are you Kier Starmer?
I think you'll find that it's official government policy to wait and judge the position on June 14. This Conservative Government led by Johnson.

They've also put local lockdown on the table. It's a slippery slope but one you seem desperate (as ever) to climb on.

---------- Post added at 22:49 ---------- Previous post was at 22:10 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36079702)
https://news.sky.com/story/is-the-in...erned-12280387

The problem is, we don’t know, and until we do, caution should be our watchword, because we have recent first-hand experience of what happens when we don’t.

As always this seems lost upon those who for 15 months now this has been a constant trait. Almost as if they enjoy a lockdown so insist upon spinning the roulette wheel to achieve another one.

TheDaddy 17-05-2021 03:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 36079582)
People haven't followed the rules since the start.

I still see Covidiots wearing masks under the nose, despite the tanoy announcements every 5 minutes (This includes staff).

The biggest mistake made was to give people the power of exemption without any proof needed nor allow staff to challenge because these Covidiots can cry discrimination.

They should have simply said no mask no entry no excuses no exemptions.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaymoss (Post 36079583)
but then that discriminates against those with a legit reason

If you're to ill to wear a mask then you probably shouldn't be out in a pandemic anyway. Why their rights were given greater weight than the people's lives they might infect was never really explained

---------- Post added at 02:59 ---------- Previous post was at 02:58 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36079629)
I’m saying that the vaccination programme has enabled us to reach a better place.

Do you really believe that predictions are made having regard to unknown factors? If that was the case we’d never do anything for fear of what might conceivably happen. Hell, we’d never want to go outside if that were the case, let alone cross the road!

So why make them

---------- Post added at 03:07 ---------- Previous post was at 02:59 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36079686)
Well, would you mind telling me which variants are immune to the available vaccines? There is no point in worrying about something that has not happened.

We have been told that modified inoculations will be available this autumn, anyway. It takes only a few weeks to modify it as required.

Variants aren't immune, for the covid to be immune from vaccine it'll have to evolve into something entirely new, like covid 21 iirc. Heard a very interesting report on radio 4 earlier on bats, think it was called patient zero focusing on the Hendra virus and how bats host so many different viruses that continued further exposure to humans can only lead to more outbreaks, hendra virus is 60% fatal in humans and 90% fatal to horses so there's some real nasties in store for us if we carry on as we are

Pierre 17-05-2021 07:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36079700)
I know - imagine using an existing search facility to provide information to support a proposition.

It’s almost as if you think providing facts and context was a bad thing… ;)

btw, an archivist is a person who has the job of collecting and storing the materials in an archive - did you mean a researcher? ;)

(In a previous life I was an Intelligence Analyst, so your poor attempts at derision for using skills I learned then are wasted - but keep on keepin’ on…)

Trawling up old posts from a single source, Cable Forum (I.e. an archive) .

And , anyone can use Google. But that wasn’t what I was referring to.

OLD BOY 17-05-2021 08:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36079693)
Not like you to do selective interpretation, OB.

I heard of increasing confidence. I heard nothing in absolute terms. The fact Boris took to television on Friday at 5pm makes me think that confidence isn’t that high - added to the u-turn on 12 weeks.



Here’s one for the scrap heap with it going away by itself in the summer.

It was not a selective interpretation, jfman. Did you actually watch the Andrew Marr Show?

As for the summer 2020 prediction, the virus did indeed reduce to minimal levels. It was the Kent variant that changed everything.

jfman 17-05-2021 08:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36079725)
It was not a selective interpretation, jfman. Did you actually watch the Andrew Marr Show?

As for the summer 2020 prediction, the virus did indeed reduce to minimal levels. It was the Kent variant that changed everything.

So it didn’t go away by itself, in fact the opposite happened and it became more transmissible? That’s bad luck OB, I’ll give you that.

I don’t need to watch Andrew Marr - there’s a write up on the BBC website. You are conflating optimism, and indications with cold, hard evidence.

But let’s face it, you’ve ignored evidence since last February so why change the habit of the pandemic. I look forward to how you were right but for the pesky Indian variant on June 22 as we retain masks and distancing on the basis of actual evidence not optimism.

Maggy 17-05-2021 08:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36079725)
It was not a selective interpretation, jfman. Did you actually watch the Andrew Marr Show?

As for the summer 2020 prediction, the virus did indeed reduce to minimal levels. It was the Kent variant that changed everything.

No it was a few working vaccines that did that.;)

OLD BOY 17-05-2021 13:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36079701)
Didn't say any current variants dodge current immunity. New variants are going to keep popping up, because people are determined to spread the existing ones, which then given the chance to evolve into new ones.
The fact that each time a new variant is announced, questions are asked and checks are made. demonstrates that it is considered a possibility. There can be no guarantees.

Viruses don't necessarily just badly affect those with weaker immune systems. Spanish Flu is an example of where those with strong immune systems were badly affected.

So far, all of the vaccines work against the variants. Vaccines can be modified in about six weeks to take account of new strains where necessary. Like flu, there will be appropriately modified vaccines each year to be used as boosters. In fact, they may introduce joint flu/Covid vaccines.

---------- Post added at 13:33 ---------- Previous post was at 13:32 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36079726)
So it didn’t go away by itself, in fact the opposite happened and it became more transmissible? That’s bad luck OB, I’ll give you that.

I don’t need to watch Andrew Marr - there’s a write up on the BBC website. You are conflating optimism, and indications with cold, hard evidence.

But let’s face it, you’ve ignored evidence since last February so why change the habit of the pandemic. I look forward to how you were right but for the pesky Indian variant on June 22 as we retain masks and distancing on the basis of actual evidence not optimism.

And you are accusing me of using selective arguments. :D

jfman 17-05-2021 13:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Let's just say I look forward to you being proven wrong on June 22, OB.

The messaging from the Government is deliberately unclear and evasive. Their hands are over the emergency stop button and it's staring you right in the face if you pay attention to the parts of sentences you deliberately ignore or omit.

Chris 17-05-2021 13:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36079765)
So far, all of the vaccines work against the variants. Vaccines can be modified in about six weeks to take account of new strains where necessary. Like flu, there will be appropriately modified vaccines each year to be used as boosters. In fact, they may introduce joint flu/Covid vaccines.

---------- Post added at 13:33 ---------- Previous post was at 13:32 ----------



And you are accusing me of using selective arguments. :D

Modifying a vaccine in 6 weeks is not the same as manufacturing millions of doses and getting them into everyone’s arms. That takes months, as we’re now well aware. And on a global scale our vaccine rollout has been one of the quickest ones.

*If* the India variant is a vaccine escape mutant then we will be back to lockdowns in time. It would be inevitable. Thankfully at the moment the mounting data suggest that this is not a vaccine escape scenario, but rather the consequence of certain clusters of people not coming forward to get vaccinated when first asked.

jfman 17-05-2021 14:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
The problem is if it's not binary we are still in a place where we need some restrictions for some time ongoing.

If it dents efficacy 10% not much concern. 20-30% might be enough to prevent lockdowns but leave areas stuck in restrictions similar to the last three weeks or the next three, but still further away from abandoning all distancing and masks on an entirely arbitrary date that some desire. Local lockdown remains realistic in areas of vaccine hesitancy.

The data in the next few weeks should offer some clarity around it.

Chris 17-05-2021 14:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Interestingly though, a lot of the vaccine hesitancy (in Bolton at least) seems only to be skin deep. Threaten the locals with prolonged restrictions that no longer apply to their neighbouring towns and they queue round the block to get their jab.

1andrew1 17-05-2021 14:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36079781)
Interestingly though, a lot of the vaccine hesitancy (in Bolton at least) seems only to be skin deep. Threaten the locals with prolonged restrictions that no longer apply to their neighbouring towns and they queue round the block to get their jab.

I heartily approve of such a strategy!

papa smurf 17-05-2021 15:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36079776)
Modifying a vaccine in 6 weeks is not the same as manufacturing millions of doses and getting them into everyone’s arms. That takes months, as we’re now well aware. And on a global scale our vaccine rollout has been one of the quickest ones.

*If* the India variant is a vaccine escape mutant then we will be back to lockdowns in time. It would be inevitable. Thankfully at the moment the mounting data suggest that this is not a vaccine escape scenario, but rather the consequence of certain clusters of people not coming forward to get vaccinated when first asked.

Few onion seeds a dash of turmeric and a cardamom pod and there you have it one "indianised" vaccine :)

Chris 17-05-2021 15:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
My mum used to turn leftover Bolognese into chilli con carne by adding kidney beans and a teaspoon of chilli powder :D

spiderplant 17-05-2021 15:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36079765)
So far, all of the vaccines work against the variants.

The AZ vaccine doesn't work well with the South African variant, if at all.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/...ant-inefficacy

And Sinovac CoronaVac works poorly with the Brazilian variant
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-56731801

Pierre 17-05-2021 16:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36079788)
The AZ vaccine doesn't work well with the South African variant, if at all.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/...ant-inefficacy

I'm not sure you fully understand what reports on the AZ effectiveness on the SA variant actually say. It fails to prevent the person getting moderate to mild symptoms but it does prevent serious illness. So you may get a cough and sniffles but not go to hospital and or die.

Also that was done on a small sample size (2000) with an average age of 31.

Quote:

And Sinovac CoronaVac works poorly with the Brazilian variant
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-56731801
Depends what you mean by poorly, that report advises efficacy of between 50-65% but does not give detail on the severity of any infection post vaccination, if it stops serious illness and hospitilisation then it's done its job as far as I can tell.

jfman 17-05-2021 16:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
It prevents serious illness in a sample size so small with an average age you wouldn't expect serious illness.

For reference check your own statistics produced only yesterday.

"If it stops serious illness" is a big if based on the data available. Hence the sensible step to alert the public of a potential pause while real world data is evaluated.

spiderplant 17-05-2021 17:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079789)
I'm not sure you fully understand what reports on the AZ effectiveness on the SA variant actually say. It fails to prevent the
person getting moderate to mild symptoms but it does prevent serious illness.

No, it says nothing about serious illness. It might prevent it, it might not. But the doubts were serious enough for SA to sell 1 million doses that had already been delivered, and switch to J&J instead.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079789)
Depends what you mean by poorly, that report advises efficacy of between 50-65% but does not give detail on the severity of any infection post vaccination, if it stops serious illness and hospitilisation then it's done its job as far as I can tell.

The ongoing case and death rates in Chile, despite having 47% of the population vaccinated, suggest otherwise:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/chile
https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations

nomadking 17-05-2021 19:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36079793)
No, it says nothing about serious illness. It might prevent it, it might not. But the doubts were serious enough for SA to sell 1 million doses that had already been delivered, and switch to J&J instead.

The ongoing case and death rates in Chile, despite having 47% of the population vaccinated, suggest otherwise:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/chile
https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations

Link
Quote:

And while the vaccination rollout has indeed been fast, it only started in late December, with front-line health care workers, those over 90, and teachers first in line.
So the vast majority of Chileans would not yet have been vaccinated by the time they met up with relatives and friends for their summer holidays in January and February.
...
There is also confusion about how the vaccine that the vast majority in the country has received works, Prof Bueno adds. More than 93% of the doses administered in Chile so far have been CoronaVac, produced by the Beijing-based biopharmaceutical company Sinovac.
Data on the efficacy of the CoronaVac vaccine is varied. Brazilian trials suggested an efficacy rate of around 50.4% but results from late-stage trials in Indonesia and Turkey suggested a much higher rate - between 65% and 83%.
Link
Quote:

There are now 86 local authorities with five or more confirmed cases of the Indian Covid variant, Health Secretary Matt Hancock has said.
"This isn't just about Bolton and Blackburn," he said, referring to the areas seeing a spike in cases.
Vaccines don't take effect instantly, it takes time for the immune system to generate any immunity. During that time, people are still susceptible to getting the real thing. People are going to ignore that and end up still spreading it.

Vaccination centres might end up being super-spreader events with loads of younger people and others who have not followed the simple rules, now attending them.

jfman 17-05-2021 19:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Oh dear Old Boy. June 22 isn't looking so good.

https://www.itv.com/news/2021-05-17/...1-close-to-nil

Pierre 17-05-2021 20:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36079809)
Oh dear Old Boy. June 22 isn't looking so good.

https://www.itv.com/news/2021-05-17/...1-close-to-nil

I’ve said it before, There should be one metric and one metric only, that determines the government’s actions and that is hospitalisation rates.

Initially the only reason for restrictions being imposed was to ease pressure on the NHS.

If the NHS is not under pressure, there should be no restrictions.

But we’ve given the government too much power, they’ve been allowed to act like a totalitarian regime and they like it. They want to retain control so they move the reasoning.

It’s no longer about easing pressure on the NHS, it’ll be some other reason, keeping infection rates down to an arbitrary level, or zero Covid.

It’ll be a fight to get our freedoms and rights back, if Captain Hindsight had any sense that’s the fight he should be taking to the Government and the one he should have been doing all the way through this.

jfman 17-05-2021 20:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079822)
I’ve said it before, There should be one metric and one metric only, that determines the government’s actions and that is hospitalisation rates.

Initially the only reason for restrictions being imposed was to ease pressure on the NHS.

If the NHS is not under pressure, there should be no restrictions.

But we’ve given the government too much power, they’ve been allowed to act like a totalitarian regime and they like it. They want to retain control so they move the reasoning.

It’s no longer about easing pressure on the NHS, it’ll be some other reason, keeping infection rates down to an arbitrary level, or zero Covid.

It’ll be a fight to get our freedoms and rights back, if Captain Hindsight had any sense that’s the fight he should be taking to the Government and the one he should have been doing all the way through this.

In fairness you’ve been wrong every single time you’ve said it before, so I doubt Captain Hindsight will be coming to this thread for insight into how to outflank Boris in managing the pandemic. The polls have Boris crunching Captain Hindsight into the ground and I doubt erroneous pandemic management is going to swing it.

Taf 17-05-2021 20:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
86 local authorities out of 343 in England have at least 5 cases of the Indian variant.

2,323 confirmed cases of the Indian variant in the UK, a 77% increase in confirmed cases over the last five days.

Most people in hospital with the variant in those areas had been eligible for a vaccine but had chosen not to have it.

jfman 17-05-2021 20:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 36079825)
86 local authorities out of 343 in England have at least 5 cases of the Indian variant.

2,323 confirmed cases of the Indian variant in the UK, a 77% increase in confirmed cases over the last five days.

Most people in hospital with the variant in those areas had been eligible for a vaccine but had chosen not to have it.

I like the way they can tell us this much but not a precise figure on how many had been vaccinated (1 dose or 2) as a proportion of all hospitalisations.

Pierre 17-05-2021 20:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36079823)
In fairness you’ve been wrong every single time you’ve said it before

What metrics should they be using then, and why?[COLOR="Silver"]

---------- Post added at 20:46 ---------- Previous post was at 20:43 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 36079825)
86 local authorities out of 343 in England have at least 5 cases of the Indian variant.

5, truly terrifying.

jfman 17-05-2021 20:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079828)
What metrics should they be using then, and why?

Restrictions are necessary as soon as it can be projected that the NHS will be overwhelmed to delay that as much as possible. This can be reasonable done by measuring cases, rise in cases, proportion heading to hospital (within 2-3 weeks or so), proportions dying (3-6 weeks).

It’s exactly the same position we’ve been in since February 2020. As I’ve been repeating often since then the decision making that led to the first lockdown remains unless something materially changes.

We’ve introduced the vaccine to some degree of success. It rearranges the figures to some degree for now, but doesn’t change the underlying decision making process.

1andrew1 17-05-2021 21:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 36079825)
86 local authorities out of 343 in England have at least 5 cases of the Indian variant.

2,323 confirmed cases of the Indian variant in the UK, a 77% increase in confirmed cases over the last five days.

Most people in hospital with the variant in those areas had been eligible for a vaccine but had chosen not to have it.

If people cannot be persuaded to take the vaccine then what is the solution? Locking down the impacted areas in Greater Manchester and Lancashire or indeed the entire counties may sound drastic but it certainly sends a message out.

jfman 17-05-2021 21:20

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36079834)
If people cannot be persuaded to take the vaccine then what is the solution? Locking down the impacted areas in Greater Manchester and Lancashire or indeed the entire counties may sound drastic but it certainly sends a message out.

Vaccine passports.

Straightforward risk management to support the vaccinated to return to their normal lives at the expense of those unwilling to vaccinate for the collective good.

Holidays is a good start. Large sports events and concerts. Very quickly the numbers of people willing to take a “principled stand” diminish. Once we push the Pfizer vaccine at 12-16 year olds that’ll help push us closer to population level immunity.

Hom3r 17-05-2021 21:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079687)
We should continue to live in fear. Makes perfect sense.

Mortality rate is under 50’s - 0.5 %
Mortality rate in under 40’s - 0.19%
Mortality rate in under 30’s - 0.04%
Mortality rate in under 20’s - 0.01%

And this is before the vaccine roll out got really going.

Yes, we should all live in fear.

The government and the media really have done a number on everyone.


https://www.gov.uk/government/public...england-report


Why do people quote mortality rates, they may look low, but not you lose a family member, in which case the 0.01% is no joke, or fear it's fact.

papa smurf 17-05-2021 21:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36079835)
Vaccine passports.

Straightforward risk management to support the vaccinated to return to their normal lives at the expense of those unwilling to vaccinate for the collective good.

Holidays is a good start. Large sports events and concerts. Very quickly the numbers of people willing to take a “principled stand” diminish.





Until one or more of them start blowing things up , because they're being treated differently:shrug:

jfman 17-05-2021 21:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36079837)
[/B]
Until one or more of them start blowing things up , because they're being treated differently:shrug:

Tell the police to pretend they are women protesting their rights. That usually develops an appropriate show of force.

Or Irish carrying a table leg :sniper:

Pierre 17-05-2021 22:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 36079836)
Why do people quote mortality rates, they may look low, but not you lose a family member, in which case the 0.01% is no joke, or fear it's fact.

Facts are facts. Personal experiences of loss are tragic, but emotions are not good decision making driver.

The rates may look low, because they are low, and when the impact to the minority, and it is a minority, starts dictating the actions and freedoms of the majority, that’s an issue.

---------- Post added at 22:01 ---------- Previous post was at 22:00 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36079838)
Tell the police to pretend they are women protesting their rights. That usually develops an appropriate show of force.

Or Irish carrying a table leg :sniper:

Or a Brazilian electrician.

Damien 17-05-2021 22:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
The Indian variant has come at quite possibly the most inconvenient time. Just as we're opening up but whilst we still have a lot of people to vaccinate.

spiderplant 17-05-2021 22:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36079827)
I like the way they can tell us this much but not a precise figure on how many had been vaccinated (1 dose or 2) as a proportion of all hospitalisations.

Well they appear to know for Bolton:
"In Bolton there are 18 people in hospital with coronavirus, with the majority of those not having the jab despite being eligible, the health secretary said.

He added that five people had ended up in hospital having had one jab, while there was one there who had received both doses but was 'frail'"

That's a worryingly high proportion (although we don't know when they had their jabs)

Pierre 17-05-2021 22:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36079848)
Well they appear to know for Bolton:
"In Bolton there are 18 people in hospital with coronavirus, with the majority of those not having the jab despite being eligible, the health secretary said.

He added that five people had ended up in hospital having had one jab, while there was one there who had received both doses but was 'frail'"

That's a worryingly high proportion (although we don't know when they had their jabs)

Five, is a “worryingly” high proportion?

Jaymoss 17-05-2021 22:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079852)
Five, is a “worryingly” high proportion?

a 3rd of those in hospital had been vaccinated at least once. So yes it is worrying

Pierre 17-05-2021 23:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaymoss (Post 36079853)
a 3rd of those in hospital had been vaccinated at least once. So yes it is worrying

That would be 6 people, very worrying. Probably not going to sleep tonight.

1andrew1 17-05-2021 23:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079854)
That would be 6 people, very worrying. Probably not going to sleep tonight.

Because you'll be in hearty forum discussions with Jaymoss and jfman instead? ;)

spiderplant 17-05-2021 23:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079828)
5, truly terrifying.

Five being enough to indicate there is probably community transmission in these 86 regions, rather than just the odd person who has travelled. So those who think "just lock down Bolton and Blackburn - problem solved" need to think again.

Regions mapped out here

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079852)
Five, is a “worryingly” high proportion?

Considering these vaccines were previously touted as preventing 100% of hospitalisations, yes it is.

jfman 18-05-2021 05:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
This is the bit that seems to get lost on some every time. 6 hospitalisations isn’t high - nobody claims that figure is in it’s own right.

Off how many infections given they were likely infected two weeks ago is the rough estimate everyone is looking for. With that variant doubling every four days in some areas do hospitalisations follow in the next two weeks? Or, was it pure bad luck that these individuals got infected shortly after vaccination.

If it’s the former, despite vaccination, we are firmly into another lockdown territory. It’s only a matter of time until it spreads into more areas. If however vaccines have broken the link between the two figures - a doubling of cases only sees a 10% growth in hospitalisations - that is more manageable with other non-pharmaceutical interventions (masks, distancing, vaccine certificates). If one dose hasn’t broken the link but two has, or they both have to varying degree (either through time/second dose) that changes the dynamic again.

The proposal to sit back, wait and see what happens only triggering the alarm when hospitalisations is high leaves enough cases out there to keep adding pressure for weeks to come, and only drags the inevitable lockdown out longer as cases remain stubbornly high.

jfman 18-05-2021 12:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
State broadcaster puff piece alert:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-57150871

"Agonising" decision. If it's that agonising there's one decision to make and one only.

Carth 18-05-2021 12:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Seems like the media are on a mission (Govt led? ) to ensure lock down continues for a while yet.

Rumours are that the timetables are now being finalised for the future roll-outs of the Moldovian, Icelandic, Madagascan, and Cricklewood variants.

Some ITK people even suggest the whole thing is a ruse developed by paper tissue manufacturers to increase sales of certain items, although this has been panned by critics ;)

nomadking 18-05-2021 12:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
The number of cases is increasing, and that is with certain restrictions in place. Therefore easing up of restrictions would lead to even bigger increases, eg when they start having weddings etc with 100+ people from around the world.

OLD BOY 18-05-2021 13:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
If the vaccinations are not effective, we are screwed. It is not sensible to keep having lockdowns when nothing works against the virus because yet another wave begins at the end of each lockdown, as experience tells us. Lockdowns simply put off the inevitable.

A lockdown can only be sensible if you are trying to slow the virus while a solution is rolled out (eg as in a vaccination programme). But if there is no solution, then there’s no point in such emergency measures.

Sephiroth 18-05-2021 13:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36079924)
The number of cases is increasing, and that is with certain restrictions in place. Therefore easing up of restrictions would lead to even bigger increases, eg when they start having weddings etc with 100+ people from around the world.

What's wrong with a full lock down in the likes of Bolton?
With road blocks, btw.


jfman 18-05-2021 13:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36079925)
If the vaccinations are not effective, we are screwed. It is not sensible to keep having lockdowns when nothing works against the virus because yet another wave begins at the end of each lockdown, as experience tells us. Lockdowns simply put off the inevitable.

A lockdown can only be sensible if you are trying to slow the virus while a solution is rolled out (eg as in a vaccination programme). But if there is no solution, then there’s no point in such emergency measures.

Netflix Nostradamus has found the crystal ball again.

A mere few posts ago you told us how vaccines can be modified in a matter of weeks.

OLD BOY 18-05-2021 13:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36079927)
Netflix Nostradamus has found the crystal ball again.

A mere few posts ago you told us how vaccines can be modified in a matter of weeks.

I said if vaccinations are not effective, which of course they are. You have a knack for getting hold of the wrong end of the stick.

1andrew1 18-05-2021 13:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
Good Sky News clip below showing how poor India's situation was when we continued to let travellers in from that country.
Quote:

If the data shows that keeping the door open to India despite the Indian Variant was a political decision about getting a trade deal...

Then the only logical conclusion is that Brexit made us so desperate for trade that the government was willing to compromise national security.

And look! That's EXACTLY what the data shows. https://twitter.com/Femi_Sorry/statu...21127113199618
https://twitter.com/Femi_Sorry/statu...26068104028160

Sephiroth 18-05-2021 13:29

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36079930)
Good Sky News clip below showing how poor India's situation was when we continued to let travellers in from that country.

https://twitter.com/Femi_Sorry/statu...26068104028160

A confected argument that Remainers will love.

Boris wants the India deal - with it comes an open door immigration price. If it's far sighted, with plans in place to grow specific business and UK jobs, then fine - but there isn't such a plan because Boris is impulsive.

The threat to 21 June is on of Boris's mistaken making.


Carth 18-05-2021 13:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Gosh . . Andrew posting a Tweet from an Anti Brexit person too :D

Who'd a thunk it eh :D

jfman 18-05-2021 13:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36079929)
I said if vaccinations are not effective, which of course they are. You have a knack for getting hold of the wrong end of the stick.

You can't be that confident if you've offered up the suggestion they may not be.

60 million Pfizer doses for Autumn and a change in current dosing strategy tells me the Government knows something you don't.

1andrew1 18-05-2021 13:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36079931)

Boris wants the India deal - with it comes an open door immigration price. If it's far sighted, with plans in place to grow specific business and UK jobs, then fine - but there isn't such a plan because Boris is impulsive.

The threat to 21 June is on of Boris's mistaken making.


Just traditionally impossible to do trade deals with India. Protectionist and has 28 states each with their own set of rules. It will change in time.

I just hope Boris hasn't snatched defeat from the jaws of victory. Hopefully, the intensified vaccination programme in Bolton will help put us back on track.

spiderplant 18-05-2021 14:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36079937)
Hopefully, the intensified vaccination programme in Bolton will help put us back on track.

I'm afraid that stable door fell off long ago. See the Sanger link I posted last night (which is already 10 days out of date).

jfman 18-05-2021 14:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
The real value in throwing vaccines into the most prominent areas is to test the vaccine in the real world.

It's got virtually nothing to do with protecting the people there.

Sephiroth 18-05-2021 15:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36079941)
The real value in throwing vaccines into the most prominent areas is to test the vaccine in the real world.

It's got virtually nothing to do with protecting the people there.

You’ve got some weird ideas. It’s not clear to me if you are responding to someone else’s post.

The Guvmin does say that don’t know enough about the current vaccines vs Indian variant, but it does accord the vaccines a cautious yes. But by inoculating the Bolton (etc) doubters, they’ll be ready for the booster as well as gaining whatever protection that current vaccines provide.

But then , you knew all that.

jfman 18-05-2021 16:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36079947)
You’ve got some weird ideas. It’s not clear to me if you are responding to someone else’s post.

The Guvmin does say that don’t know enough about the current vaccines vs Indian variant, but it does accord the vaccines a cautious yes. But by inoculating the Bolton (etc) doubters, they’ll be ready for the booster as well as gaining whatever protection that current vaccines provide.

But then , you knew all that.

What's the quickest way to test efficacy of all the vaccines, across all age groups and a range of underlying conditions?

You can wait around forever for a significant amount of infections in an area where the virus is under control. Or you can take it head on where it's rife and measure what decline (if any) arises

If the goal was reduce infections then local lockdown doesn't take a few weeks to deploy and a few weeks to take effect.

Hom3r 18-05-2021 16:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36079926)
What's wrong with a full lock down in the likes of Bolton?
With road blocks, btw.



Nothing in the real world.


But the anti-vaxers, Covid-19 deniers won't allow it without throwing their toys out of the pram

jonbxx 18-05-2021 16:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36079952)
What's the quickest way to test efficacy of all the vaccines, across all age groups and a range of underlying conditions?

You can wait around forever for a significant amount of infections in an area where the virus is under control. Or you can take it head on where it's rife and measure what decline (if any) arises

If the goal was reduce infections then local lockdown doesn't take a few weeks to deploy and a few weeks to take effect.

I was thinking about this and was there anything to be said for the ring fencing approach used during smallpox eradication where it was 'all hands to the pump' to vaccinate everyone within a certain area of a smallpox infection. Obviously, it worked well as there's no smallpox any more.

However, there are a couple of reasons why this might not work;
  • You have asymptomatic carriers going in and out of the area unlike smallpox where, if you were infectious, you REALLY knew it
  • The motivation for getting inoculated against smallpox was pretty strong - you don't want smallpox
  • Vaccination takes up to 14 days to work (smallpox was faster)

I think the only way ring fencing would work would be with compulsory quarantine and vaccination.

I saw a tweet earlier from Mark Easton at the BBC which said that only 13% of the population of Burnley worked from home compared with 71% for Richmond which goes some way to explain the rise in cases in some areas - https://twitter.com/BBCMarkEaston/st...18979514884096

Hom3r 18-05-2021 17:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
I did my first Covid-19 test today, I heard my sister laugh as I gagged when doing the tonsils, and she laughed again when I sneezed after doing it up the nose.


Of course, it came back negative.

Taf 18-05-2021 20:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
My second dose was due tomorrow, now put back a week due to "supply problems" (OAZ).

---------- Post added at 20:01 ---------- Previous post was at 19:57 ----------

Quote:

4,776 cases where a positive rapid lateral flow test was followed by all negative polymerase chain reaction (PCR) tests taken within 3 days have now been removed.
That made the Figures at https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/ go negative by 2065 new cases.

Pierre 18-05-2021 20:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36079926)
[COLOR="Blue"]What's wrong with a full lock down in the likes of Bolton?

Lots if you live in Bolton.

---------- Post added at 20:54 ---------- Previous post was at 20:53 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36079947)
You’ve got some weird ideas.

Understatement of the week award.

nomadking 18-05-2021 20:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079975)
Lots if you live in Bolton.

---------- Post added at 20:54 ---------- Previous post was at 20:53 ----------



Understatement of the week award.

A local lockdown also helps protect people in that area.

jfman 18-05-2021 21:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Erroneous assumption is that local lockdown is playing against opening up. In reality it's playing against national lockdown. Then again Pierre's proposed decision making tend to encourage those.

Carth 18-05-2021 21:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Local lockdown German style :D

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-europe-57164317

Quote:

"We just saw a mass of public order officers suddenly turn up and we were locked in," said a woman from the town of Velbert.

TheDaddy 19-05-2021 05:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36079930)
Good Sky News clip below showing how poor India's situation was when we continued to let travellers in from that country.

https://twitter.com/Femi_Sorry/statu...26068104028160

You do know that we are continuing to let people in from that country don't you, there has been 110 direct flights from India during the last three weeks alone

OLD BOY 19-05-2021 07:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36079986)
Erroneous assumption is that local lockdown is playing against opening up. In reality it's playing against national lockdown. Then again Pierre's proposed decision making tend to encourage those.

Except that the vaccines will prevent another national lockdown.

jfman 19-05-2021 09:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36080016)
Except that the vaccines will prevent another national lockdown.

Hopefully. We should get some good data on efficacy vs variants (plus preventing hospitalisation and deaths) in the next few weeks.

You know, the type that doesn't require qualification on the Sunday mornings.

Words to look out for: think, expect, should, may. Also watch for people talking about their own confidence (personal opinion); against Covid (not variant specific) and vaccines in general (including the higher performing mRNA vaccines in their opinion).

papa smurf 19-05-2021 09:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36080021)
Hopefully. We should get some good data on efficacy vs variants (plus preventing hospitalisation and deaths) in the next few weeks.

You know, the type that doesn't require qualification on the Sunday mornings.

Words to look out for: think, expect, should, may. Also watch for people talking about their own confidence (personal opinion); against Covid (not variant specific) and vaccines in general (including the higher performing mRNA vaccines in their opinion).

And anything you post;)









About the virus.

jfman 19-05-2021 10:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
I'm not a paid expert/apparatus of the British state ;)

1andrew1 19-05-2021 11:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36080015)
You do know that we are continuing to let people in from that country don't you, there has been 110 direct flights from India during the last three weeks alone

You'd almost think we were desperate for a deal. But they do have to isolate at a hotel and not at home where they previously mixed with their own. household

jfman 19-05-2021 11:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Professor Pantsdown sees a "glimmer of hope" in the data.

Doesn't sound very scientific.

papa smurf 19-05-2021 11:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36080033)
You'd almost think we were desperate for a deal. But they do have to isolate at a hotel and not at home where they previously mixed with their own. household

But they are mixing at the airports before going into quarantine

https://inews.co.uk/news/green-red-l...-rules-1006937


https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/14...list-countries

tweetiepooh 19-05-2021 14:20

Re: Coronavirus
 
The people I'd like to see dealt with are those finding ways to return from "red list" counties and avoid restrictions in place. But that just illustrates a big problem our government has in that people try to work around guidelines thus needing longer and more strict rules.

jonbxx 19-05-2021 15:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Found a big QR code for my vaccine status on the NHS App yesterday. There seems to be a travel section now. It's always had my vaccination status under my health record but this seems new (or I haven't spotted it before)

Definitely not a vaccine passport, no sir.

* disclaimer, very much in favour of having certified vaccine status so this is actually great

Sephiroth 19-05-2021 15:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tweetiepooh (Post 36080053)
The people I'd like to see dealt with are those finding ways to return from "red list" counties and avoid restrictions in place. But that just illustrates a big problem our government has in that people try to work around guidelines thus needing longer and more strict rules.

Very much to the point. Self-isolation is not everyone's strong suit.

jfman 19-05-2021 15:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36080055)
Found a big QR code for my vaccine status on the NHS App yesterday. There seems to be a travel section now. It's always had my vaccination status under my health record but this seems new (or I haven't spotted it before)

Definitely not a vaccine passport, no sir.

* disclaimer, very much in favour of having certified vaccine status so this is actually great

It's inevitable to reopen the economy fully. Otherwise we remain in phased restrictions for longer.

Chris 19-05-2021 15:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36080057)
It's inevitable to reopen the economy fully. Otherwise we remain in phased restrictions for longer.

It will be interesting to see how Nippy decides to spin it in Scotland, and how it is eventually implemented, seeing as we don't have the same sort of NHS app here as down south.

Carth 19-05-2021 15:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36080057)
It's inevitable to reopen the economy fully. Otherwise we remain in phased restrictions for longer.

You mean . . no vaccine passport = no work?

Best of luck managing the legislation that prevents anyone without a 'vaccine passport' from attending a work place they're contracted to. :p:

Chris 19-05-2021 15:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36080060)
You mean . . no vaccine passport = no work?

Best of luck managing the legislation that prevents anyone without a 'vaccine passport' from attending a work place they're contracted to. :p:

El gov wouldn't have to interfere in workplaces. Controlling access to public services like transport and consumer access to non-essential hospitality and leisure would cause enough inconvenience to make most people reassess their principles with regards to vaccine refusal.

OLD BOY 19-05-2021 15:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36080036)
Professor Pantsdown sees a "glimmer of hope" in the data.

Doesn't sound very scientific.

He’s not a scientist.

---------- Post added at 15:47 ---------- Previous post was at 15:44 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36080057)
It's inevitable to reopen the economy fully. Otherwise we remain in phased restrictions for longer.

Even with hospital admissions remaining flat?

pip08456 19-05-2021 15:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36080062)

Even with hospital admissions remaining flat?

jfman is the voice of doom.:D

Carth 19-05-2021 15:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36080061)
El gov wouldn't have to interfere in workplaces. Controlling access to public services like transport and consumer access to non-essential hospitality and leisure would cause enough inconvenience to make most people reassess their principles with regards to vaccine refusal.

What about traveling to work using said services? Would this prevent me from attending work until I got a vaccine passport?

And what then would my employment status be? Sick, Furloughed?, Sacked?

Is there a case for discrimination? (over to you Richard lol) or similar claim where my 'right to work' is compromised?

jonbxx 19-05-2021 16:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36080060)
You mean . . no vaccine passport = no work?

Best of luck managing the legislation that prevents anyone without a 'vaccine passport' from attending a work place they're contracted to. :p:

It's a toughie making workplace vaccination compulsory - it has never really been tested in the UK properly. Vaccination is part of my employment contract but that is because I visit customers abroad whose sites make vaccination against measles and hepatitis compulsory for entry. If I wasn't vaccinated, I couldn't work at those sites so, in a sense, vaccination is a requirement for my job. I would not be surprised if at some point, COVID vaccines will be required by some of my customers so therefore, will be necessary for my work.

Hey, it's like I need to have a passport and driving licence. If I refused to have one or the other, I would be able to work either.

You could argue that vaccination is needed under health and safety rules. In healthcare settings, COVID 19 is a notifiable disease under UK rules (RIDDOR) so vaccination is a potential route to reduce this type of 'workplace injury'.

There's always likely to be a point where the Human Rights protections will take up precedence for those who decline vaccinations for religious or other protected characteristics.

mrmistoffelees 19-05-2021 16:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36080066)
What about traveling to work using said services? Would this prevent me from attending work until I got a vaccine passport?

And what then would my employment status be? Sick, Furloughed?, Sacked?

Is there a case for discrimination? (over to you Richard lol) or similar claim where my 'right to work' is compromised?

I'd suspect employers will offer new contracts with new terms the stipulation being that unless medically exempt (and you can provide proof) you must have had your jabs (and again provide proof) otherwise you're basically doing yourself out of a job. See ya.....

potential legal minefield.

jfman 19-05-2021 16:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36080062)
He’s not a scientist.

He is.

Quote:

Even with hospital admissions remaining flat?
They won't stay flat by themselves.

If you want to make the claim the Government won't introduce some kind of Covid certification for domestic events then knock yourself out. We can add it to the list once you are proven wrong.

Carth 19-05-2021 16:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Follow the science, the plughole is large enough :D

pip08456 19-05-2021 16:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36080068)
It's a toughie making workplace vaccination compulsory - it has never really been tested in the UK properly. Vaccination is part of my employment contract but that is because I visit customers abroad whose sites make vaccination against measles and hepatitis compulsory for entry. If I wasn't vaccinated, I couldn't work at those sites so, in a sense, vaccination is a requirement for my job. I would not be surprised if at some point, COVID vaccines will be required by some of my customers so therefore, will be necessary for my work.

Hey, it's like I need to have a passport and driving licence. If I refused to have one or the other, I would be able to work either.

You could argue that vaccination is needed under health and safety rules. In healthcare settings, COVID 19 is a notifiable disease under UK rules (RIDDOR) so vaccination is a potential route to reduce this type of 'workplace injury'.

There's always likely to be a point where the Human Rights protections will take up precedence for those who decline vaccinations for religious or other protected characteristics.

It is for those already employed as making vaccination mandatory would be a change of contract. That would open the door for discrimination claims if sacked for not being vaccinated. It would be a minefield unless the Gov made vaccinations compulsory but I doubt that would happen or if necessary cinsidering the success of the roll out so far, notwithstanding the resistance of certain communities so far.

1andrew1 19-05-2021 17:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36080037)

Yup, agreed. Whilst a handful of passenger journeys from India may well be essential, I don't think that the number of flights reflects this.

joglynne 19-05-2021 17:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Just been watching the Matt Hancock live feed and he said that ....
Quote:

We are using new techniques to identify the worst affected areas.

We are able to use two further tools - mobility data which shows travel patterns in different areas and analysis of waste water.

As a result of this we are now surge testing in Bedford, Burnley, Leicester, Kirklees, North Tyneside and Hounslow, he says.
The analysis of waste water to identify areas of concern peaked my interest. I have to admit that I didn't know about this testing option. If anyone else is in the same boat here's a link that explains how an idea from earlier last year has become a reality.

We’re the poo crew’: sleuths test for Covid by reading signs in sewage

jfman 19-05-2021 17:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Sounds like a lot of shite.

On a serious note there's been instances of US colleges analysing waste from different dormitories/halls to target testing to identify cases.

https://www.npr.org/2020/10/26/92583...=1621441983564

Carth 19-05-2021 17:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
I'm gonna start bottling mine and dump it in Hull :D

joglynne 19-05-2021 17:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36080086)
Sounds like a lot of shite.

On a serious note there's been instances of US colleges analysing waste from different dormitories/halls to target testing to identify cases.

https://www.npr.org/2020/10/26/92583...=1621441983564

I do seem to remember, in the deep dark depths of my memories from the 70's something about a similar testing technique in connection with LSD.

From my link I liked the comment ....
Quote:

“It is like taking a stool sample from a collective bowel,” said James Trout, who oversees the laboratory.
...... and suspect that it will be an image that lingers in my brain for some time. :D


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