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Insisting on a simple, arithmetic majority for such a significant structural & economic change was always doomed to be divisive and as such could never have delivered a compelling mandate, as we can clearly see. Chris Patten had a strong argument against the use of referenda: https://www.wikiwand.com/en/Referendum#/Patten's_criticism Quote:
---------- Post added at 06:16 ---------- Previous post was at 06:06 ---------- I think a second vote had inched a step closer: Brexit: EU says no to May on renegotiating deal Quote:
The vote will be lost in Jan, the clock rapidly running down with a No Deal as the only option so Parliament will force the Government to extend the A50 deadline to allow more consideration of "all possible options". |
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A pretty damning assessment from the Former UK ambassador to the EU.
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I’m not sure May is being dishonest.
Politicians who would be perceived as leaders of the Leave campaign undoubtedly yes they have been dishonest. |
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All of us are now finding out what the EU is really like.
It is a spider's web from which it is extremely difficult to escape. This is a deal we should reject. The EU still has to sell its goods but if not to us to whom will they sell them? No deal is just as bad for them as it is for us. Maybe a rejection of the deal will increase their willingness to renegotiate. Instead of going for a deal with the whole EU, we should have gone for a deal that protects our banking rights and which protects our trading rights with EU countries currently trading with us now. This protects our current trade and frees us from the jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice. Other individual EU countries wanting to trade could set up their own deals in the future. The backstop only really affects Ireland and the UK and should be left to them to sort out without EU interference. Goods can be flown in to Northern Ireland and Ireland without the need for a hard border. Technology can take care of the rest. Given that the EU is planning to form a European Army and the recent aggressive Russian moves, will our young people who voted to stay in the EU still be as keen if they receive call-up papers from the EU? It will be very interesting to see how this all pans out. |
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Just before Brexit they'll complete the EU-Japan trade deal and become the biggest economic trading bloc in the world: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-e...-idUSKBN1OB1EN We need to be realistic about the cards we hold. |
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UK exports to EU in 2017 - £274b or 44% of all exports UK imports from EU in 2017 - £341b or 8% of all exports Quote:
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Feeling strongly that your perception of reality is correct against all the reasonable evidence is more likely to be a sign of mental illness than a politician capable of delivering a positive outcome. |
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Weak leader for a weak negotiating position, we're on a hiding to nothing.
Something has to happen now, not just wait till the New Year hoping something might change. It won't. Except we'll have less of a chance to do anything about it. |
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Think you'll find the a No Deal Bexit wouldn't be as wonderful as you think . In fact, Richard Branson says we'd go Bankrupt.... https://www.independent.co.uk/news/b...-a8683171.html. VM could fold, then what would we post or watch? ;) |
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We also need to pass around 800 pieces of secondary legislation to support the EU Withdrawal Act. Without these many areas would be left in a legal and regulatory minefield.
Usually these are not controversial, and pass committees or unopposed. If someone were to force votes on these in the chamber... |
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The EU has announced that from 2021, UK citizens wishing to visit the EU must pay 7 Euros. True colours. Why do we want to have anything to do with those nasty people?
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p.s. most of the people I've met in Europe are very nice :) However we have lots of 'nasty' people here. The 2nd world war is over, move on old chap, the rest of the World has ;) |
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No different than having to pay $14 to get a US ESTA.
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The EU applies this fee to all countries that have nothing to do with it and no visa-waiver. People here have been quite clear they want 'nothing to do with the EU' so this is the relationship people voted for and continue to advocate for then get angry when it's announced :rolleyes: |
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No nastiness, just pragmatic capitalism. Update - in fact, it’s just like the ESTA. From April this year... https://euobserver.com/justice/141705 Quote:
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TM doesn’t know how to negotiate and they are taking full advantage of that. I can’t blame them for doing that, but when they pile on the nasty stuff, and particularly pretend that they must protect theGF when what they really want is to keep us trapped so that we can’t compete with them properly, then we shouldn’t have too much more to do with them.
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We are leaving 'entirely' under this assumption which makes us no different to the United States or Hong Kong to the EU who have to go though the same process with the same fee: https://www.schengenvisainfo.com/eti...ies-need-etias So what's 'nasty' about them treating as the same as everybody else? This is what leaving the EU is. You don't get to leave, have no deal, but have special treatment. https://news.sky.com/story/revealed-...rexit-11580454 Quote:
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I personally don't think it will actually happen. I think we'll come to some arrangement that maintains the travel circumstances we have now, maybe even let us use the EU passport control.
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“Brussels Bureaucrats introduce small administrative charge to facilitiate Visa free travel from non-Member States”
Don’t see that being a surprise to anyone somehow. “Nasty Europeans have audacity to charge us - in EUROS!” Might make the Daily Mail I suppose. |
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oh, and the price of a London pint in order to travel to the EU is nothing to get upset about, comes as no surprise to me either :Yes: |
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So, yes, they can be blamed. |
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Personally, I think it's all getting rather 'nebulous'... ;)
https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2018/12/6.jpg |
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The ship is rudderless anyway, no one's steering, everyone is in the lifeboats.
Don't worry Jezza will come to the rescue :) |
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I blame the 47.6m that didnt vote leave it's all their fault
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Like Jeremy Corbyn said and I happen to agree with him on this one thing and that is rare - the Brexit Secretary is a Ceremonial role only. |
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so is my missus, she has no interest in it, quite happy as long as the TV keeps showing crap :D |
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Not very often you see a European advocating Brexit.
https://www.facebook.com/DemocraziaV...5977272757274/ ---------- Post added at 19:06 ---------- Previous post was at 19:05 ---------- Quote:
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I think £10 has a nice round feel to it. ---------- Post added at 19:10 ---------- Previous post was at 19:08 ---------- No deal Brexit is the only way forward now. I look forward to it. |
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I don't think we would introduce it specifically for the EU but if we did do such a program then I imagine it would be £15 for everyone. |
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Indeed, we could make food less expensive, by importing food and not having to impose EU tariffs https://iea.org.uk/the-eus-thousands...nish-the-poor/ https://fullfact.org/europe/will-get...fs-help-worst/ |
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I’m in a discussion forum, someone has made a claim, i’m Asking them to support that claim with evidence. I would do this regardless of the subject of the discussion. No irony move on, i’ll Entertain another pithy comment. |
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Show me evidence of 50% of the food we import will be more expensive. |
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Sodding economic models mean very little given the variables and in many cases flawed assumptions. |
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*forecasts/hypotheses/predictions, when used by Government/BoE/economists, are rubbished by Brexiters**... **including the poster quoted below ---------- Post added at 21:46 ---------- Previous post was at 21:45 ---------- [/COLOR] Quote:
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Europe couldn't pay me £100 to go there.
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although it would be nice to 'up anchor' and drift down to the Canaries :D |
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I do a lot of statistical work and have a decent understanding of the maths and methods. Of course I’m no economist (though I have a modest understanding of economic modelling from a year’s workmI did in the 1980s). The essence of economic modelling is for the variables that combine to form economic output to be rationally applied. Rationally is important because these variables are highly dependent on psychological assessment of human behaviour in many dimensions. How that is applied is never explained. So, when every rational combination has been applied, the various outcomes are predicted. What we never see is the result of each case; we only see whatever someone wants us to see. The variables are never explained to us - all we see is headlines, particularly if they are dramatic. I expect a certain contributor to spend time picking holes in the above. The real thing about Brexit is to get away from the EU shackles and build on that. |
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Indeed. There are those who, for their own political reasons, cynically adjust each of the input parameters to their model (BoE and treasury) to produce the worst possible outcome and then tout this as what is going to happen then the media lap it up and spit it out across their biased networks (BBC)
I wonder why we never hear what might happen when all the parameters are set for the best possible outcome? |
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All Brexit scenario's will have a negative impact, that I'm afraid is the reality. |
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/editorialguide...s/impartiality |
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There are 100,000's if not millions of people who did not vote in 2016 to be poorer. There is no mandate for this calamity. |
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l thought this was a excellent balanced speech from Sir Ivan Rogers on Brexit.
https://news.liverpool.ac.uk/2018/12...ers-on-brexit/ |
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There is a mandate for leaving the EU and there was two official votes backing it should happen. Nothing you say, will factually alter that whatsoever. ---------- Post added at 11:47 ---------- Previous post was at 11:33 ---------- Quote:
Once they move their entire operations out of UK jurisdictions, all contractual obligations that customers have, become null and void. Of course it will never happen because it is made up fictional nonsense and the banks themselves have substantial lending contractual obligations that they cannot afford to just write if they leave the UK for good. |
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Investment banks . . . are they the ones who employ people to throw other peoples money into grand schemes hoping for a nice little earner?
Serious question because I'm not the gambling type, so have no idea about how investing in Carilion, HSL, the 'peoples pension' or a 6 trillion sq ft office block in Southwall benefits me. |
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Investment bankers help their clients (businesses, not individuals) raise money in the capital markets, provide various financial advisory services, and assist with mergers and acquisition activity (and they have a nice little earner from these activities). |
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The question on the ballot paper was do you think the U.K. should leave the EU, or remain in the EU. Matters of process and consequence were discussed at length on TV and in other media during the campaign. Ultimately, every one of the more than 30 million people who voted in the referendum will have made their own judgment based on a balance of factors. The likely state of the economy will have been one of those factors. As with so many remainer objections, “nobody voted to be poorer” is a canard that is fundamentally disrespectful to the intelligence of British voters. I’d love it if you could just accept that everyone weighed up the same evidence as you, but when it came to it, more people came to a different conclusion than agreed with you. That really is all there is to it. |
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You just don't get it. The ballot paper said nothing about getting poorer or richer. |
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Onwards and upwards . Another week passes and the Brexit Express still aint been derailed by the needy traitors ;)
Hi Santa and the Elfs .. Merry Xmass :D:D |
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Many would not accept the significant financial consequences of a Hard Brexit. This is just the reality that you (and Parliament) have to deal with. Quote:
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But what if they had another final referendum in Feb and the result changed to remain, due to all the issues and terrible leave package?
I certainly know a few people that changed their mind. |
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Your suggestion is exactly what the EU are playing for. You should not be wanting to have anything to do with those undemocratic so-and-sos. |
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What's undemocratic about giving people a final choice in what happens?
No one is thwarting anything. Brexit is a mess and a total joke right now. |
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We should now leave on a no-deal basis unless the EU changes its stand at the last hour. You Remainers are trying to use democracy to usurp democracy. I get that. |
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So until you do, or accept that what you posted was project fear bollocks, anything you post will be treated with the upmost cynicism. ---------- Post added at 20:53 ---------- Previous post was at 20:50 ---------- Quote:
The irony is simply eyewatering. |
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We should have arranged a Brexit thread Christmas night out.
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Then we can discuss other things ---------- Post added at 20:56 ---------- Previous post was at 20:54 ---------- Quote:
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As I have said prior to this and "ignorant" people, (they know who they are ;) ) are side stepping the real issue here and that is Remainers in government and parliament are steering the ship and are trying to turn back and make us stay in a dictatorship, corrupted empire that now wants an army and has a drunken hair feeling pervert as one of it's presidents. Democracy must prevail and that means implementing the first referendum result, a second referendum is a losers vote, for the democracy abusers trying to thwart the first. |
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