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Mick 04-11-2020 02:25

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Biden's lead in Ohio was 300k half an hour ago. It's 85k now.

Damien 04-11-2020 02:28

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
This looks like it's going to be a close election then

jfman 04-11-2020 02:29

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Trump 4/6 on Ladbrokes. Biden 11/10.

Damien 04-11-2020 02:33

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
If this holds it will be the biggest miss in political history I think. 2016 wasn't that big a miss. If it misses by this much then I don't understand how much value polls will have in America, they just can't seem to capture an ever-changing demographic.

UK polls are generally still ok though.

Mick 04-11-2020 02:37

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
538 started with Trump at 11% win likelihood and now has him at 50%

jfman 04-11-2020 02:44

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Mick how are you following it? CNN are guessing (don't know how) that early votes are 40% of current totals in Ohio and they expect it to grow to 53% of final total, possibly offsetting Trump inroads in rural areas.

Mick 04-11-2020 02:47

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
I follow more than one source, I have several browser windows open. I am not just relying on just one news outlet. Fyi my TV is not on, following all the data online.

vincerooney 04-11-2020 02:47

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Trumps won this. im off to bed! Really predictable I thought yet the pollsters hadnt learnt from 2016

Mick 04-11-2020 02:48

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Trump now in lead in Ohio.

Damien 04-11-2020 02:59

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

New: Philadelphia officials say they will not be reporting any more mail ballot results tonight. About 76,000 have been tallied so far — out of 350,000-some received. And remember, Biden supporters are disproportionately voting by mail. twitter.com/MaxMMarin/stat…
We won't know whose won Pennsylvania tonight.

Mick 04-11-2020 03:01

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
China Yuan just tanked at the prospect of Trump winning his second term.

jfman 04-11-2020 03:01

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Bed time for me. Enjoy.

Damien 04-11-2020 03:43

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Looking even closer than last time.

Paul 04-11-2020 05:17

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Doesnt seem that close on the BBC site ;

https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2020/11/2.png

TheDaddy 04-11-2020 07:18

Re: U.S Election 2020
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36056140)
If this holds it will be the biggest miss in political history I think. 2016 wasn't that big a miss. If it misses by this much then I don't understand how much value polls will have in America, they just can't seem to capture an ever-changing demographic.

UK polls are generally still ok though.

If donny wins he deserves it, he's done much more to earn it over the last month or so, he might be irresponsible holding these super spreader events but his opponent has done literally nothing, he doesn't even seem to have bothered having a message other than "I'm not that guy".


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