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Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
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London could be in Tier 3 by then so might as well go for it.
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What’s the difference between an "Australian-style option" deal and No Deal?
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https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...3&d=1607636632 |
Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
So what do we reakon might still happen?
I think we could see the EU conceding a bit on the level playing field and Britain then giving Macron what he wants on fish and then that would pretty much be it. |
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From here - https://eeas.europa.eu/headquarters/...alia-and-eu_en |
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We're still part of that for 3 weeks, no reason why the original 'deals' can't be amended with a couple of name changes . . . unless the EU kicks off about it ;)
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I've been thinking about all this having watched the former Australian PM on QT last night.
He said that one of the struggles, which he accepted in his day, with negotiating a trade deal with EU (which hasn't yet happened) is the matter of agricultural products. He acknowledged that the UK could face the same issue as a third country - protection for the EU's agricultural sector. Australia has no expectation of quota/tariff free trade. Wind forward to what the UK initially hoped for: quota and tariff free trade with the EU. This then pulls in the extra price the EU wants the UK to pay for the privilege. Remember, the Canada Deal is not totally tariff/quota free. The UK finds the price that the EU wants to charge is unacceptable on sovereignty grounds. Fair enough. So, we can't have a tariff/quota free deal. But then they originally offered a Canada type deal but have now withdrawn that offer. The UK, apparently, would be content with the Canada deal. But the EU has created an artificial objection that our proximity to the EU rules that out - which is where the punishment aspect applies. In other words, they are baddies and sod 'em. |
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I think this country is resilient enough to work through whatever the consequences of No Deal might be. I think we need to bring it on now, work through the initial problems and then see what new negotiations throw up some time next year. Given HMG’s consistent willingness to characterise its negotiating position as unalterable because that’s what Brexit voters demanded, I predict next spring their position won’t have changed. The EU, however, might be more willing if it starts to see us sourcing goods from elsewhere in the world where costs and tariffs are lower.
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I don’t know, Australian Rules Brexit might be fun, especially if there’s a punch up just before half time ...
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Strange post . . . we're negotiating a No Deal, let the EU negotiate up from that :p:
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That's always been your position. But the corrosive intrusion on our sovereignty by Brussels and their one-size-fits-all approach to our daily lives is what 52% of the population voted to abandon; Project Fear made them more than aware of the potential economic risks. |
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So the USSR didn't split up, along with Czechoslovakia, Yugoslavia, Ethiopia, etc? |
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What will become clearer over the next few months is if the warm fuzzy feeling of 'our' out of touch politicians making decisions is better than 'foreign' out of touch politicians is worth it |
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A movable feast these Brexit deadlines. All the ones Theresa May had. Bozzo's last absolute deadline was mid October, then there's been about another 20 deadlines since then. Latest one in Sunday but now we're told it might not be..... If we were confident and genuine about no deal the deadline wouldn't have shifted once... |
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Tell me, who voted for Von der Leyen? did you? |
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ursula_von_der_Leyen Quote:
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She, nor any Commissioner, is directly elected nor directly responsible to the electorate. Yet they make the rules. Democracy 101: You elect leaders, they are not appointed. Executive Power is derived from the consent of the governed. We never gave our consent. We were not given the opportunity to vote on the Maasricht or Lisbon treaties. The Brexit referendum was the UK's first and only opportunity to vote on the EU being a political entity. The first time we were asked to give our consent, we refused to. That is proper democracy at work. |
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At least the EU elections have proportional representation which means your vote means something. Unless you're in a marginal constituency in this country, your vote is meaningless. The EU could teach us a bit about democracy. |
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:D:D:D:D:D:D |
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But whataboutary doesn't change the EU point. Also, small point, but the Lords to not make legislation, they only provide oversight. Pretty much like the European Parliament. |
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The EU is like voting for your particular party, knowing that they won't "win" or form any type of government, or indeed govern and when the results are in they they take their seats in parliament and they then decide that actually the CEO of HSBC is actually going to run the whole thing and decide what goes on and they'll, you know, just keep an eye on it - but never overrule him.
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That is proper democracy at work. |
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Many a bowl of cornflakes was spilt hearing the nonsense of Leave politicians like this from Michael Gove. “If we vote to leave then I think the union will be stronger… I think when we vote to leave it will be clear that having voted to leave one union the last thing people in Scotland wanted to do is to break up another.” :D |
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It's all they've got left, sometimes it's like being stuck in an elevator with that awful music looping endlessly ;)
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We got our way 98% of the time over a bigger region before. Now we allegedly will get 100% of our way over a far smaller area that doesn't even include one of the four nations and may not include another next year! Well, at least we've got our EU-made black passports to crow about. ;) |
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2. Even if there were, and it voted for Scoxit, the present debacle gives a clue how much longer it might take to unpick a 300 year old union. oh, and 3. The Swiss constitution is fundamentally different to just about anything else, anywhere in the world. It's not a good analogy for any part of our political process. |
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I take your point on point 2. No analogy there on point 3. I pointed out how referendums are run in a nation vastly more experienced at running them than ours in reply to Pierre describing the Brexit referendum as "That is proper democracy at work." |
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Re Scotland, for now all we have to go on are repeated statements that HMG intends to honour the SNP’s statement that the 2014 referendum was a “once in a generation, if not once in a lifetime” event, even if the SNP is trying very hard to forget.
However, even if that were to change, there wouldn’t be enough legislative time to devise and run a referendum after the elections in May. So no, there absolutely won’t be a referendum next year, even if the SNP wins an outright majority of Holyrood seats on an outright majority of votes. But we digress. |
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Interesting analysis. Even more reason for Conservative supporters to want a deal
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https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/n...eyen-27gkstp57
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We have 11000 miles of coastline, 4 boats won't quite cover it ! Think we should also reform the Home Guard. Capt. Mainwaring would be in his element :D [img]Download Failed (1)[/img] |
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Forever the optimist...:rolleyes: |
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Nonsense. |
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Keep going chaps, still 20 days to get all those moans in, make sure you don't miss an opportunity to knock anyone :p:
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lmfao |
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Macron wants to keep his share of the cake.
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What I'd like to know is what is the UK's post-Brexit plan. If we get back all these so-called sovereign rights, what do we propose to do with them?
If we knew this, I'm sure Brexit might get more buy-in. It seems like there is no plan and without a plan, it's hard to negotiate effectively. |
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There won't be a Scottish referendum next year - it's impossible to deliver one in 2021 even if the SNP win a landslide in the Scottish Parliament elections.
I'm sure the glorious Brexit will demonstrate to the people of Scotland just how easy it is to deliver success against all odds in such negotiations. |
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Such drama....:rolleyes: |
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If the EU was such an honourable institution, they would immediately re-offer the Canada Deal. Other matters would then fall into place.
The Canada Deal does not seek full quota free access so we wouldn't need be required to remain in step with EU regulations. Of course, that won't happen because the EU wants us to be locked into their system as a matter of punishment. In default, therefore, the PM must not back down in any way regarding the no-deal status and the gun-boats should definitely enforce our territorial integrity. As for the perfidious Irish government, I think they'll have problems as this starts to bite on them. The whinging Remainers might retort that we'll suffer too as imports upon which they think we depend will either become more expensive or difficult to obtain. Well, the price of freedom and independence is not cheap. |
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Leave means leave surely? Our choice. What were we expecting? Just need to get on with it, and deal with all the stuff Project Fear said would happen. Enjoy. |
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Fish |
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Eg we could have zero or low tariffs on New Zealand lamb, as long as lamb from any other country also has the same tariffs applied. Eg Japan has zero tariffs on sheep meat imports. |
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Meanwhile the NHS can go swing for their £350million a week. |
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That’s why |
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I’m not saying this is the point. However if, as our politicians claim, we can happily proceed with no deal over a bad one then surely our negotiating opponents have a similar point. |
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2) Quite a bit of an unfounded assumption, ie made up to suit the agenda. |
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However we shouldn't have based our decision to leave on the basis they would give us a wonderful deal on a platter. We should have prepared to stand on own feet. Seems we didn't genuinely plan for that. We have an idiot PM who's aping a conflict with the French with our massive armada of 4 boats. He's thinks he's Thatcher in the Falklands, she had a few more boats... The Russians will be loving this, their objective achieved. |
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People say that BoJo can't be trusted. Perhaps they're a being a bit harsh. In 2017, he promised he would make a Titanic success of Brexit. He's delivered on this promise so far. ;)
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