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One thing I can do, is understand that whenever the 140,000 year change is about to tip us over the line, we have made it 150 years or so sooner. |
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You also ignore the rate of warming which is nothing like the last one which, again, is measured over 20,000 is not precise to a year because they get it from geological evidence and not someone recording a mean temperature into a spreadsheet 125,000 years ago. The current warming period is not like the last one: Quote:
Look beyond the graph. This is a good explanation that I understood: https://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/ |
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To be fair, I can go onto Google and find any amount of graphs, charts and papers to suit any argument I want on this subject.
I can point to hundreds of social media posts by someone who knows nothing about what they’re posting, but like a good picture. I dismiss them all. I much rather listen to people, you can get a sense of whether they’re bullshitting or not, especially in long form interviews we’re they can be challenged on their claims. Personally I’ve found Bjorn Lomborg, to come across as most sensible. He does not deny Climate Change, but argues our efforts could better directed and money better spent. |
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And the best you could come up with is an 8 year old article, regarding a “donation” that was 10yrs ago. That said, nothing in your link, disproves or discredits, Lomborg’s argument on the matter. Better luck next time. |
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I normally do a quick check in to people before I blindly recommend them but maybe you don't? |
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But look at one fact we all know, and that you discount - ths mini-ice age. It was sudden, and clearly nothing to do with mankind. There are other worries I've had over time, including the infinitely small 0.04% amount of carbon in the atmosphere, because our emissions are not all absorbed by the atmosphere, and the solar maximus, but take a look at this. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-66331558 [EXTRACT] Researchers at the IBS Centre for Climate Physics in Busan, in South Korea, ran computer model simulations using data from the sediments. They found that average winter temperatures plummeted in many areas in Europe well below freezing, even in the otherwise milder Mediterranean. Many of us sceptics are saying that while a warming trend may be happening, we may have got the wrong end of the stick. Does item this not give you pause for thought? And what about the FACT that the Earth has previously been much warmer than we are now, and THAT was not 'irreversible'? I think we need to question more what we are being told by the so-called 'experts'. So many posters on here are on some kind of loop. I hope you are not one of them and are able to question the information that we are being fed. |
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It was much warmer, but under one million humans lived on the planet…
I know, why listen to the 97% of Climate Scientists- what do they know…. Quote:
btw, they are not "so called " experts, they are tens of thousands of scientists who put their findings up for peer review, criticism, and feedback, rather than ‘I did my own research*"… *I watched a non-scientist’s YouTube video |
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And then you actually confirm you did exactly what I accused you of Quote:
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Before you try to disprove or discredit anyone, why not listen to what they have to say first? If you had actually listened to one of his interviews (which are widely available) formed an opinion, then done your 10 sec deep internet trawl. And come back with a coherent, informed objective, post. ……………well wouldn’t the world be a better place if we all did that. |
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I would not matter if everyone agreed the planet was getting warmer due to humans.
There would still be no agreement on what to actually do about it ... |
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Too many people, companies and states would be stuck with outdated late 20th century economic models considering only their own short term interests. The private sector is incapable of innovating or providing high quality public services at any meaningful scale. It doesn’t matter what companies or countries - they routinely fail at large scale infrastructure projects leaving the brainwashed taxpayer, believing countries have to manage their budgets like households, questioning the short term value and unable to comprehend that Governments could (and should) plough trillions into long term solutions. Very long term economic stagnation might focus the minds but we are some distance from that. |
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Come on, old chap, join the dots. And I’ve told you previously that sceptical meteorologists were advised in no uncertain terms some years back that if they continued to question the man-made climate change fantasy, it would ruin their careers. I know one of those meteorologists who despairs at the manipulation involved which goes way beyond the COVID coercion that we all experienced and which only now are more mainstream people starting to question. So guess what the sceptic meteorologists did next? They folded. Join the dots. And you do know that Greenland used to be ice free, don’t you? And you do know that the mini-ice age coincided with the solar minimus, don’t you, and that we are currently experiencing the solar maximus? Look, I could go on, but I’m not asking anyone to just blindly believe what I say either. I’m just saying, think for yourself and have a more open mind on these things. Those 3% of scientists who still continue to put their heads above the parapet might just be onto something. Remember how people on here scoffed at anyone questioning the need for COVID lockdowns at the time? How did you and others respond to us at the time? With contempt, that’s how. What amazes me is that this is a discussion forum where nobody (apart from a few of us diehards) want to discuss anything. You just use this as a place to rant and spew your spleens at anyone who disagrees. I’m not applying that to you, Hugh, you are nicer than that. You just ridicule and post put downs. It’s a shame, because with the range of knowledge available on this forum, this could become a well respected depository of information. I’m afraid I have given up on it for now. But I still hope that things will change over time. |
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Hear me out but I’ve got a conspiracy theory that big oil are using conspiracy theories to convince the sheeple to keep consuming oil based energy thus generating massive profits. It requires a small but critical mass - say 3% - of scientists to just throw enough shit around. Then social media does the rest. What say you to that Mr Sceptic man. Think for yourself. |
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Now what about actually addressing the points I have made? |
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Who are this collective “we” you speak of? The voices in your head? |
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You’ve offered nothing but speculation. No evidence. Only the ludicrous implication that you, and a tiny minority of scientists, are capable of establishing “facts” against long standing despite being unable to evidence them.
Who to believe you - who in a mere three threads is denying science, supporting the criminal destruction of traditional buildings and wanting to steamroller pay and conditions for the working people of this great nation. Or the 97% of scientists who think man made climate change is a thing. Tough one. |
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FFS, both of you stop, or i'll remove you from the topic.
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All we're doing on here is citing other sources because none of us have first-hand information or are climate scientists. The argument comes down to who you believe and where you get that information.
I didn't study geology, the numbers I posted earlier I got from Wikipedia and NASA's website. I trust scientists who studied these things more than I trust people with degrees in humanities who write books on it. There are two different debates to be had. Is man-made global warming happening? I think this is a scientific debate that will have a factual answer made as accurate as possible given the information we have. I don't think people who aren't scientists can add much new information to that. and What do Governments do about it? This is a political debate where scientists are part of the discussion but not the authorities on it. |
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I’ll address OB’s points (in my way). First, he’s absolutely right about climate change.
Second, and to Damien’s point about the scale of the Researchgate graph I posted: My point is that whatever’s happening on the magnified scale of the graph (which is what the doomsters always publish), is right at the top of the 140,000 year cycle. So, it’s gonna happen anyway. Third, to jfman’s point about the oil giants. Yes, he’s right. The filthy lucre is all that big business cares about and there is no global legal framework that can control it. When the ocean warming (which is cyclical and not all down to man-made causes) knocks the Gulf Stream for six, then in our non-Volcanic region, heat pumps will be useless. It’s the government that needs to join the dots (perhaps as well as certain others on this forum). Old Seph. |
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And, incidentally, that is the entire problem with this debate in the public square. It’s actually fairly technical and those who have trained in the relevant disciplines and studied the relevant data are all consistently saying the same thing. There are vanishingly few dissenters amongst those with relevant expertise. Yet the space is being crowded by people with no relevant skills, loudly demanding they be allowed to ‘debate’ the issue with those who have. There’s more to this than having a GCSE in geography and thinking you know how to do graphs. And opinions are like anuses. Everybody has one - so what? |
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This prompts the wider, more fundamental question: why is it that intelligent people do not agree with the overwhelming scientific consensus? Is it that: a) the overwhelming scientific consensus is wrong. In this case, the evidence that persuaded them he consensus is wrong is easily put forward. Of course, the next question is that why this clear, authoritative evidence has not convinced the people who dedicated their lives to this science? b) they are fearful of being personally less wealthy if we address the issue c) <insert excuse here> |
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You missed out
d) Own the Libs... e) someone else's problem... https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2023/08/2.jpg |
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Do you know who isn’t having this discussion? Africa, India and much of Asia, South America. Because they aim to have our standard of living and our level wealth. To attain that they need cheap energy, as we have enjoyed for decades. Proposals for net-zero will make us less wealthy and prevent developing countries from attaining wealth. |
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Btw, your second paragraph is irrelevant political dogma. . |
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"It's my reality and I will cry if I want to" ... ---------- Post added at 14:20 ---------- Previous post was at 14:16 ---------- Quote:
Again, thank you. You have also confirmed that, at least for you, it is all about the money. |
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@ian
I don’t think I’m saying anything fundamentally contrary to the scientists who are predicting various degrees of doom arising from climate change. I’m merely presenting proof (the researchgate graphs) that this was always going to happen. To that extent, I may be at odds with some of them in so far as what’s happening is, and always has been, irreversible. Stopping oil, gas etc will not stop this. |
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“Scientific consensus? There is no consensus, there very rarely is in “science”. Because unlike many people on this forum, scientists know they don’t know everything and that there’s a better than average chance they’re wrong. I also don’t disregard anything. I just seek as much information as I can, from as many sources as I can, and then form my own opinion. As opposed to having my opinion given to me. Quote:
If you mean, is the climate changing? I’ve never disputed that. If it’s more than that, then tell me what it is Quote:
Or maybe you’re so fabulously wealthy non of this matter to you. But do you know who it does matter to? All the parts of the world in my previous post, who don’t give a toss what you think, they’ll burn their coal, use their oil, burn their gas and will use their internal combustion engines. Because it’s cheap. So can have a cheap dig me, my pleasure. But it doesn’t matter what I think. Or what you think. |
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However, I did find some interesting articles on Climate Change Denial: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change_denial Quote:
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I don’t intend to waste mine, I’ve already done my own research. My research showed the climate is changing..duh. My research also showed me that there is no “emergency”, there is no climate “boiling” and that money spent on hair brained schemes like “net-zero” would be better spent lifting people out of poverty globally. So that they think less about how they can feed their family, to not thinking about that, and being able to think about the environment. Quote:
Sorry Paul, Hugh, infractions accepted……..Ian, on this matter……… you are a gigantic cockhead. Quote:
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So you have determined: "My research also showed me that there is no “emergency”" This must be compelling research, can you share it here? ---------- Post added at 18:05 ---------- Previous post was at 17:59 ---------- Quote:
I am not sure how proving you are lying is virtue signalling? Seems more of a public service to me :D Again, for lazy amongst us: https://theconversation.com/a-tale-o...matters-188865 Quote:
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I have been clear from the outset, I have not ever denied that the climate is changing. I have, however, refuted that there is an emergency and believe net-zero is a folly. Quote:
https://www.amazon.co.uk/False-Alarm...c=1&th=1&psc=1 https://www.amazon.co.uk/Apocalypse-...a-919059650281 Quote:
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(PS your link about India, isn’t what you think it is, if you actually read it) Again: Ian, are you going to advise the people of: Africa, India and much of Asia, South America this revelation? Otherwise it’s you and your virtue signalling mates against 7 billion people………I already know who wins. And by the above, I mean that all those nations and parts of the planet, must……..by your measure…….also participate in net zero. Otherwise what’s the point? |
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Pretty sure "yes" is the answer to your question… https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...2&d=1691951020 |
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The thing you need to ask yourself is, what is the 'deniers' motivation? ( clue, it doesn't last longer than their own lifetime/ bank balances). Scientists tend to get paid the same whatever. |
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You are right (sort of a stopped clock moment), all the nations need to address net zero. Sort of obvious really. I know you won't because they won't - sort of a childish reaction to something that will affect your grandchildren. But hey, takes all sorts I guess. Remember .. don't look up! :D |
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But nobody here, apart from OB, is conceding the cyclical nature (140,000 years) of major climate change. We can't stop it. |
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Btw, what does that fool mean by "taking a global lead"? Make us all buy heat pumps at unaffordable process? Make us all buy electric cars at unaffordable prices that we can't charge when we're on the road? Freeze our nainonicles off in winter so that others can continue polluting? Doesn't that virtue signaller know that climate change cannot be stopped? |
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No, no, you’re right, with your extensive climatology experience and your multiple peer-reviewed papers… |
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I ain't no expert by any stretch (neither is anyone else here), but just my own ignorant opinon here. ....
I'm on the fence. What this Government wants is stupid. Electric cars, heat pumps, to take the global lead etc etc. We don't have the resources or the infrastructure. To achieve what they want we need to go back in time at least 25-30 years to start it. Their targets will never be met as they are impossible. It's like Covid all over again, or the war in the Ukraine.. The UK has to be a key player and lead and all for what exactly? Its just willy waving to the rest of the world, apart from that we can't afford it. The people / public can't afford it either for what they are planning, but it sure as hell looks and sounds good for the politicians to score their points. Where are we in the table of polluters? What we do or try to will surely be wiped out by the real culprits, yet what are they (other countries) actually doing? To me it's all a bit of a con but at our expense. As for the actual global warming / climate change, there's for and against on either sides. To pick one only to me is like tossing a coin. Experts are paid etc to suit agendas etc, but now I sound like a conspiracy theorist so will leave it there. |
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I’ve pretty well given up arguing much on here because I have concluded that it’s utterly pointless. Of course we all agree there is climate change is happening, but I think the jury is out on whether the causes are man made for all the reasons that have been debated above. The reason that there is scientific ‘consensus’ is because those who question it have been silenced, with threats to their careers. The scientists are not always right. They were wrong to say 30 years ago that butter was bad for you, and they were wrong to claim we were heading for another ice age in the 1960s. But I’m afraid you’ll never get to have a sensible discussion on here about other possible causes that may be triggering climate change. The usual suspects would prefer to laugh at you, ridicule you and claim that they know more than you do, selecting snippets from stuff they find on their selected websites that happen to be taken as proof they are right. And when you do the same to prove them wrong, they will ridicule the source of the news item, the author, or whatever they choose to satisfy themselves they are right. If all else fails, they will twist your words to mean something else or subtlety change the subject. I’m sure that a lot of people watching the posts on this forum stay quiet rather than disagree because they don’t want to get shot down in flames for disagreeing. What a waste of what could have been a really good debating site. Climate change is a really big issue for the planet, which is why it’s difficult to understand why people don’t want to discuss it, or even consider how unacceptable the population will find it when the power runs out and when they realise that they can’t afford all the rushed changes the politicians want to make to get to where they want to be. They will find out soon enough. The sale of new petrol and diesel cars will be banned in 2030 under current plans and duel fuel cars from 2035. After seeing the public reaction to the extension of the ULEZ scheme in London, can you imagine the reaction from the public when these bans come into force? And that will be nothing compared to the rush to ban gas boilers in favour of heat pumps! I’d just sit back and watch if I were you, Seph. It will be amusing to observe all the backtracking that will result. |
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Dare I remind you that your beloved Conservative Government is mostly responsible for what you criticise here, far more than forum members or “social media influencers”. Quote:
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Having to keep old coal powered stations on standby for shortages instead of closing them down ? This all happened last year, and atm, electric car usage is still only about 10-15%. The UK was aiming for 2040, and then for no obvious reason changed that to 2030. It will make almost no practical difference to the world as a whole, we are just too small. Plus a little know fact is that HGVs and Buses will still be 2040, and Hybrids will still be 2035 Most of the world is either 2035 or 2040, including the huge users like the USA & China. Some countries are 2050. I could not find a date for Russia, but the choice of actual cars for them to buy would be very limited by the year 2040. |
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Can you at least answer that? If you want crude graphs, this is also a fun way of visualising why it's different: https://xkcd.com/1732/ |
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The speed of the change is the combination of the last 150 years plus where we are on the 140,000 year graph. Once a tipping point is reached (and that was always going to happen according to the 140,000 year graph), things happen quickly. |
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You didn’t use "lefties" or "woke" in your diatribe… btw, it’s obvious you’ve never worked with scientific researchers/professors - they never shut up about what they are doing, and they thrive on pointing out where previous research got things wrong/incorrectly interpreted; it’s how the scientific method works Quote:
Even the Scientists in the Oil companies got the same results as Academic researchers - are you saying the Oil companies suppressed them? https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/sto...ence.%E2%80%9D Quote:
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Nobody is claiming that the transition will happen overnight. The idea that the (any) Government will sit back and let power cuts become a routine experience as presented is preposterous. They’d very quickly find themselves out on their ear if they did. I do agree though that our (any) Government are unlikely to go through with being at the front. As we approach those dates I’d expect them to slide. The technologies won’t reach economies of scale to drive down prices until the big players are on board. |
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Your graph is not precise enough to show hundreds of years. You can't know where we are on that graph is so broad. 150 years won't show up on it. |
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A Government that can’t keep the lights on while our neighbours can wouldn’t last long. Regardless of incompetence they can’t be that bad. Surely. Very quickly they’d roll back targets or rebrand some not very green sources. :D |
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Well it didnt take long for them to realise how unrealistic the dates were.
The date for cars is apparently set to roll back 5 years now - to 2035, the same with Gas boilers I believe. |
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Business wants certainty to invest. Flip-flopping on commitments however well-intended could have side effects on investment and jobs.
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Well Ford geared up their production and investment for it, they're obviously going to be upset they were lied too.
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The only reason the government is backtracking on Net Zero is to gain electorally right up to next years General Election.
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The way to make people move to electric is to make them want to, not by force. |
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Putting a few votes before the future of the planet is desperate and irresponsible stuff from a dying Government. |
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Sunak statement
https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...2&d=1695243468 DEFRA advice sent to businesses after the speech. https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...3&d=1695243468 Also, I can’t find any evidence that "compulsory car-sharing" was going to become law… |
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I am looking forward to having less bins and cheaper meat due to no meat tax…
This is a pure knee jerk reaction to the election result in Uxbridge where ULEZ was a big issue. Suddenly there’s a feeling that dropping green policies is a vote winner. This may well be the case for older, more traditionally conservative voters but not so much for younger voters. |
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He had no choice other than to put it back. Until they start building the nuclear power stations which won't happen because we can't afford them. Then they need to upgrade the national grid to cope with the power needed which also won't happen. All this will take decades if they start now which isn't going to happen also. All these policies they offer will just not happen. What they offer is all just for the votes.
Still, won't stop the idiots blocking the roads wanting change and there has to be change but whatever they do will just be political wanting to be 'world leaders' at a cost we can't afford. But it'll all be meaningless regardless. |
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So, it appears three out of the five measures being cancelled never were going to happen anyway… |
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Mini heatwave coming this weekend, 20C+ for about 5 days (23C on Sat/Sun). :Sun:
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We are still ahead of everyone else, so what’s your point? Were you happy to be replacing your stuff earlier than you had to in order to meet these targets? If so, you must be rolling in it, and nice to see you’re all right, Jack. What about the many working class people who can’t afford to do that? |
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From 2020. https://www.theheatinghub.co.uk/arti...20gas%20boiler. Quote:
https://www.moneysupermarket.com/new...20are%20faulty. Quote:
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Yes the Govt needs to help those that can't afford to change, and pressurise other countries. It's their job. The only thing they can think of is the next election. |
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However, the melting ice will, apparently, affect the Jet Stream as the warm sea currents change. When/if that change takes hold, we will be colder. We can't stop that - it's part of the 140,000 year cycle. The problem in the UK is that our contribution to the global problem is pifflingly small. The rush to net zero must not send us broke. |
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Rich or broke its irrelevant if the country is flooded / invaded by climate migrants. This selfish generation can't think further than its own demise. |
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The UK accounts for less than 1% of global greenhouse emissions, so we should absolutely consider if its really worth all the pain and cost for something that will have very little effect overall. |
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a disaster of biblical proportions, Old Testament, real wrath of God type stuff. Fire and brimstone coming down from the skies! Rivers and seas boiling! Forty years of darkness! Earthquakes, volcanoes. The dead rising from the grave! Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together... MASS HYSTERIA! If your going to go, go big. |
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https://eciu.net/insights/2021/why-t...-is-a-big-deal Quote:
---------- Post added at 19:35 ---------- Previous post was at 19:33 ---------- There are also cumulative emissions to consider: https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis...limate-change/ Quote:
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If we followed the 1% is insignificant logic, we would divide bigger countries into many smaller ones so each contributed only1% to global warming which is insignificant so no action is required by anyone.
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Ian’s linked article does not destroy the UK’s 1% contribution argument for a number of reasons. 1/ The article is heavy on per capita emissions. They are irrelevant. It’s the number of tonnes of emissions that counts and nothing else. See China & India for details in a manner not expressed in the article. 2/ The article praises China on the one hand for its commitment to wind down on carbon emissions, but criticises the 1% argument for having China manufacture our stuff. 3/ The article does not address an important question for the UK: should we make our population go broke for the sake of our 1%, being forced to buy expensive heat pumps, rip out radiators for larger ones that won’t fit under the window, etc? The scientists would be better employed calculating the temperature rise based on India’s and China’s plans for de-carbonisation and then finding solutions to the climate issues that would ensue. And you, Ian, need to get real and stop virtue signalling. ---------- Post added at 09:44 ---------- Previous post was at 09:36 ---------- Quote:
The fact is that the matters under our control are those being addressed by the government, which is where our 1% comes into play. Our 1% is important in the round, because it is part of a world collective effort (at least I hope the collective part really happens). |
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Don’t forget your towel… |
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Still, I'm sure its not that hard to build an 18 inch wall (10cm to spare). ;) ---------- Post added at 15:37 ---------- Previous post was at 15:36 ---------- Quote:
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https://www.bernsteincrisismanagemen...0that%20it%27s
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SEP - Somebody Else’s Problem |
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On another point in the last week have seen one and heard about another ( on news report) + the Venice bus of ev catching fire when in a crash , perhaps they are not such a great idea. Having second thoughts about the one I have ordered. Time to go and eat . Cheers
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There’s not much of a call for a sea wall (of any height) around Dover. |
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