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Damien 10-07-2018 21:55

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35953963)
Because it never came to be because it was project fear from the very beginning and we all know it was pure fiction as time went on.

Not entirely. The difficulty of NI and obtaining a trade deal were warnings from Remain and consider that most of the economic consequences were for when we leave which hasn't yet happened.

They did however say there would be an immediate economic hit because confidence would collapse and that was not true. Nor was the emergency budget. At the same we have gone from one of the fastest growing main economies to one of the slowest.

ianch99 10-07-2018 22:19

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35953963)
I conveniently forget nothing. The Remain camp did not sell reality at all - there was no WW 3, there was no emergency budget on a leave result - there was no recession, so pray tell what reality they were selling?

Because it never came to be because it was project fear from the very beginning and we all know it was pure fiction as time went on.

---------- Post added at 21:48 ---------- Previous post was at 21:45 ----------



Gee wizz - there are NO other politicians that lie ?

What the hell is this fixation on Boris... ? :erm:

Reality check: Remain was selling the status quo. yes, it is all around you, it is the "now", or was. They also, badly, tried to explain that the Leave campaign was based on faith, fiction and lies.

Project Fear is now just a comfort blanket that is used to hide behind. The naked truth that is now revealed is that Leave had no plan. It had no strategy, no detailed workings of how a country, a complex and connected entity can transition from 40 years of integration to an autonomous trading unit with no loss of national and individual wealth.

This is the real crime here. The 37% dragged the rest of us over this cliff with no parachute. Why the hell do you think we're pissed off?

Why are we fixated with Boris, are you really asking this in all seriousness? :dunce: He was the leader of the Leave campaign ..the chief snake oil salesman.

Carth 10-07-2018 23:21

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35953969)
The naked truth that is now revealed is that Leave had no plan.

I think you'll find that the leave plan worked very well, we voted to leave. :)

On the other hand, remain (the Government) were so confident that it wouldn't happen that they didn't bother asking themselves "oh, what will we do if we lose the vote?"

. . . and stop blaming the '37%' that voted leave, if the remain voters weren't so complacent in believing it was 'in the bag' more would have gone out and and voted . . .

Dave42 11-07-2018 00:02

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35953974)
I think you'll find that the leave plan worked very well, we voted to leave. :)

On the other hand, remain (the Government) were so confident that it wouldn't happen that they didn't bother asking themselves "oh, what will we do if we lose the vote?"

. . . and stop blaming the '37%' that voted leave, if the remain voters weren't so complacent in believing it was 'in the bag' more would have gone out and and voted . . .

nothing but lies was there only plan

Vote Leave director admits they won because they lied to the public

https://www.thelondoneconomic.com/ne...-public/08/02/

1andrew1 11-07-2018 00:22

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35953974)
I think you'll find that the leave plan worked very well, we voted to leave. :)

I think you and Dave are arguing about different things amd are both correct.
The plan to get a leave vote succeeded so the plan worked well, However, there was no plan to implement it if Leave won. So Dave is correct there.

---------- Post added at 00:22 ---------- Previous post was at 00:20 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 35953943)
Boris Johnson lied about EU safety regulation in his resignation letter

https://www.channel4.com/news/factch...gnation-letter

That's just plain bizarre.

Dave42 11-07-2018 00:27

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Brexit deal is 80% agreed, EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier says

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-a8440866.html

denphone 11-07-2018 05:21

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35953956)
And here we go conveniently forgetting the Remain camp lied as well.... :rolleyes:

On that l think we can be in agreement as sadly there has been a litany of lies by both sides.

1andrew1 11-07-2018 05:40

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35953906)
And Assange...

Lol. :D

Kursk 11-07-2018 11:42

Brexshit
 
This is now serious. A bit of tedious verbal ping-pong on the brexit result is one thing; a covert attempt to subvert British democracy is another.

A hard rain's a-gonna fall.

Hugh 11-07-2018 12:03

Re: Brexshit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35954018)
This is now serious. A bit of tedious verbal ping-pong on the brexit result is one thing; a covert attempt to subvert British democracy is another.

A hard rain's a-gonna fall.

The Government is negotiating a deal that they think is best for the country - just because you don't agree with it, doesn't make it a subversion of democracy.

If any Remainers made a comment like that about a proposal they didn't agree with, they would (rightly) be shouted down.

That't the problem - for some people, there can be no compromise, but the real world is based on compromise.

denphone 11-07-2018 12:08

Re: Brexshit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35954026)
The Government is negotiating a deal that they think is best for the country - just because you don't agree with it, doesn't make it a subversion of democracy.

If any Remainers made a comment like that about a proposal they didn't agree with, they would (rightly) be shouted down.

That't the problem - for some people, there can be no compromise, but the real world is based on compromise.

Never has a truer word been spoken.:clap:

papa smurf 11-07-2018 12:10

Re: Brexshit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35954026)
The Government is negotiating a deal that they think is best for the country - just because you don't agree with it, doesn't make it a subversion of democracy.

If any Remainers made a comment like that about a proposal they didn't agree with, they would (rightly) be shouted down.

That't the problem - for some people, there can be no compromise, but the real world is based on compromise.

is it compromise or treachery i know which one i would pick .

Kursk 11-07-2018 12:34

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35954026)
The Government is negotiating a deal that they think is best for the country - just because you don't agree with it, doesn't make it a subversion of democracy.

If any Remainers made a comment like that about a proposal they didn't agree with, they would (rightly) be shouted down.

That't the problem - for some people, there can be no compromise, but the real world is based on compromise.

I'm free to express my opinion which you have just shouted down :dozey:

Democracy is being subverted.

Mick 11-07-2018 12:53

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
There would never have been a compromise had Remain won, so forgive me if I disregard it.

Hugh 11-07-2018 13:36

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35954052)
I'm free to express my opinion which you have just shouted down :dozey:

Democracy is being subverted.

And that’s the problem - some see disagreement, or a different viewpoint, as being shouted down.

I disagreed with your premise, I did not shout you down... :rolleyes:

---------- Post added at 13:36 ---------- Previous post was at 13:35 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35954057)
There would never have been a compromise had Remain won, so forgive me if I disregard it.

I’m impressed you can see the outcomes in alternate timelines...

Sephiroth 11-07-2018 14:13

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35954057)
There would never have been a compromise had Remain won, so forgive me if I disregard it.

Nicely put- but a Remain win would have meant no change so of course no compromise. So a moot point.

Betrayal comes more to mind. The Leave vote understood the possibility of cliff edge. We need to get away from the EU and its federal programme and those particular Brussels turds.

Dave42 11-07-2018 15:07

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
https://twitter.com/i/status/1016703032460021760

OLD BOY 11-07-2018 18:25

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
I think we are all being too quick to rush to judgement on Theresa May's plan.

If the plan is to enable us to make our own deals with the rest of the world, have a separate trading arrangement with the EU ensuring frictionless borders, enable us to make our own employment laws, extracate ourselves from extortionate payments from the EU and end free movement - what is left to complain about?

Let's see the detail before we rush to judgement.

Sephiroth 11-07-2018 20:06

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 35954081)

None of that matters and it changes nothing. Since Clown Boris said that, we've had the Referendum and the EU has shown its true colours towards The UK.

The difficulty we're in is profound. We either have to water down Brexit if we are to have close trading ties to the EU (it would seem seriously watered down) or we have to have a clean break. The latter better reflects the Referendum result.

But the 52/48 split is another problem that fuels the Remainers in an undemocratic manner. Some of them plead that democracy is best served by a second referendum. If that is coupled with the fact that after two years eyes have been opened on both sides of the fence, then there is a case for a second referendum.

We either leave entirely (no deal) or we stay in the EU. The May proposal is a very bad deal that betrays the Referendum result.

Damien 11-07-2018 22:17

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
If this deal is so unacceptable then people need to come up with an alternative. The goldilocks Brexit does not exit. The thing about no-concessions, better trade deal, does not exist. Even standard trade deals involve concessions. The country needs to wake up to this.

Mick 11-07-2018 22:27

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
No it doesn't we have a plan, it's called no deal with the corrupted EU and we go on WTO terms - not an issue at all. I have said from the beginning the EU market is a shrinking one - the world is a much bigger and growing market.

Sephiroth 11-07-2018 22:28

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35954168)
If this deal is so unacceptable then people need to come up with an alternative. The goldilocks Brexit does not exit. The thing about no-concessions, better trade deal, does not exist. Even standard trade deals involve concessions. The country needs to wake up to this.

The country has woken up to this. It doesn't change a thing. The power lies with the Government and maybe Parliament.

The May plan is doomed, it would seem. Therefore we either crash out, or Parliament reverses Article 50 and we stay in the EU or Parliament calls another Referendum. The latter two are better options for the economy than crashing out, but the former delivers the Referendum.

On that basis, a second Referendum is the logical next step.

At least if we stay in the EU, we can continue pricking pins in the EU Commission and in any case we would never need to participate in ever closer union.

Oddly for a Leaver, despite my support for Brexit, I never had a problem with EU freedom of labour movement.

Mick 11-07-2018 22:28

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35954061)

I’m impressed you can see the outcomes in alternate timelines...

Nothing to do with alternate timelines - you know it would be true, so stop kidding yourself.

Damien 11-07-2018 22:42

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35954169)
No it doesn't we have a plan, it's called no deal with the corrupted EU and we go on WTO terms - not an issue at all. I have said from the beginning the EU market is a shrinking one - the world is a much bigger and growing market.

Why would it not be an issue? It seems to me that suddenly having to have tariffs, the legal status of agreements questionable, having to suddenly have regulation bodies we do not have, customs facilities we do not have. Food and car imports could be massively hit.

The people advocating all these ideas are never the people who'll be responsible if it goes wrong. That is the big problem for May. Everyone will lecturer her on Brexit but if there is no deal and food prices sky rocket suddenly none of these people will be around and instead everyone will blame May.

Gavin78 11-07-2018 23:42

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Why call a 2nd referendum when the one we had was perfectly fine. It's not the will of the people its the poor execution from our Gov that doesn't have the balls to stand upto the EU.

What has basically come from the EU is once you are in our little club there is no way out and we will make it hard for you to ever leave.

What if we do go with a 2nd Referendum and the result is still the same? do we crash out there and then becuse we might as well do it now.

1andrew1 12-07-2018 07:55

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35954057)
There would never have been a compromise had Remain won, so forgive me if I disregard it.

In the event of a 52-48 vote in favour of Remain, a sensible government wanti re-election would have taken the narrowness of the victory on board and done something like introducing ID cards. Impossible to say.

Sephiroth 12-07-2018 09:38

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gavin78 (Post 35954180)
Why call a 2nd referendum when the one we had was perfectly fine. It's not the will of the people its the poor execution from our Gov that doesn't have the balls to stand upto the EU.

What has basically come from the EU is once you are in our little club there is no way out and we will make it hard for you to ever leave.

What if we do go with a 2nd Referendum and the result is still the same? do we crash out there and then becuse we might as well do it now.

My past posts are clear that I’m pro Brexit for reasons including yours.

But we are where we are due to the guvmin’s incompetence at best, treachery at worst. So we must look to ways of avoiding the half-Brexit now being offered to the EU. Crashing out is one option, second Referendum is the other. I would rather the people chose purely because of the mess in which we hsve been landed.


---------- Post added at 09:38 ---------- Previous post was at 09:34 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35954191)
In the event of a 52-48 vote in favour of Remain, a sensible government wanti re-election would have taken the narrowness of the victory on board and done something like introducing ID cards. Impossible to say.

In your scenario it would all have died down quickly and we could have gotten on with using our picador sticks on the Brussels turds.

heero_yuy 12-07-2018 09:58

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Since article 50 cannot be revoked remaining in the EU on our current terms is not an option.

A second referendum could possibly have 3 questions:

1. May's BINO

2. WTO rules and no concessions to the EU

3. Negotitiate to rejoin the EU on their terms for a new member: i.e. No rebates, full subservience to Brussels and having to dump the pound for the Euro.

Perm 2 of 3.

Kursk 12-07-2018 10:17

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35954061)
And that’s the problem - some see disagreement, or a different viewpoint, as being shouted down.

I disagreed with your premise, I did not shout you down... :rolleyes:

And that would be very decent of you if you didn’t employ a covert alternative to manage our disagreements you sneaky boy :sleep:

Hugh 12-07-2018 10:59

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35954203)
And that would be very decent of you if you didn’t employ a covert alternative to manage our disagreements you sneaky boy :sleep:

Why "covert"? - anyone on the forum can amend their posts, if you do it quick enough.

To set your mind at rest, here is the original and amended posts.

Quote:

The Government is negotiating a deal that they think is best for the country - just because you don't agree with it, doesn't make it a subversion of democracy.

If any Remainers made a comment like that about a proposal they didn't agree with, they would (rightly) be shouted down.
Quote:

The Government is negotiating a deal that they think is best for the country - just because you don't agree with it, doesn't make it a subversion of democracy.

If any Remainers made a comment like that about a proposal they didn't agree with, they would (rightly) be shouted down.

That't the problem - for some people, there can be no compromise, but the real world is based on compromise.
The difference is the added line at the end...

Kursk 12-07-2018 12:00

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35954208)
Why "covert"? - anyone on the forum can amend their posts, if you do it quick enough.

To set your mind at rest, here is the original and amended posts.

The difference is the added line at the end...

:shrug:...returns to obscurity

pip08456 12-07-2018 13:09

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Nice to see Trump has turned aroud and said whatever happens to brexit has nothing to do with him and doesn't want to get involved unlike Obama.

Mick 12-07-2018 13:18

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
BREAKING: House of Commons Speaker John Bercow Temporarily Suspends Governments Brexit White Paper Session due to failure to distribute copies of White Paper to MPs in the house before session began. Considered it discourteous.

Damien 12-07-2018 13:37

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Here it is: https://www.gov.uk/government/public...european-union

Mick 12-07-2018 22:32

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
BREAKING: In an interview with Sun political editor, Tom Newton Dunn, President Trump has stated he doesn’t like Theresa May’s Brexit White Paper and will kill any U.S deal post-Brexit if her plan is executed because the U.S would still be dealing with the EU.

Damien 12-07-2018 22:36

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Looks like we've gone...to the back of the queue.

I am actually more interested in the timing, ripping into May before his trip has started, and his comments about Boris making a good PM. Obama got a lot of flack for the back the queue comments but even he didn't go so far as to start tipping alternative Prime Ministers.(Although it is The Sun so they might have heavily spun an innocent comment)

Mick 12-07-2018 22:49

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35954277)
Looks like we've gone...to the back of the queue.

I am actually more interested in the timing, ripping into May before his trip has started, and his comments about Boris making a good PM. Obama got a lot of flack for the back the queue comments but even he didn't go so far as to start tipping alternative Prime Ministers.(Although it is The Sun so they might have heavily spun an innocent comment)


It’s gone to back of queue because May’s Brexit is not Brexit. Pat on back Mr. President, someone has to stand up for the electorate, our shameful MPs won’t.

1andrew1 12-07-2018 22:50

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35954216)
Nice to see Trump has turned aroud and said whatever happens to brexit has nothing to do with him and doesn't want to get involved unlike Obama.

That's either incorrect or he changed his mind quite quickly!

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35954276)
BREAKING: In an interview with Sun political editor, Tom Newton Dunn, President Trump has stated he doesn’t like Theresa May’s Brexit White Paper and will kill any U.S deal post-Brexit if her plan is executed because the U.S would still be dealing with the EU.


Damien 12-07-2018 22:53

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35954279)
It’s gone to back of queue because May’s Brexit is not Brexit. Pat on back Mr. President, someone has to stand up for the electorate, our shameful MPs won’t.

I don't see how this is that different to Obama commenting about the trade deal. Both seem to be getting involved in British politics. You've spent the last two years complaining about that. Obama said we would go to the back of the queue for a trade deal if Brexit went ahead, Trump is saying we won't get one if this deal goes ahead.

For the record I think both are factual statements ofI what the US policy is at the time.

As I said I think the fact he was weighed in on other elements of British politics is more surprising....

1andrew1 12-07-2018 23:05

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Article now live here https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/676653...t-us-deal-off/

Excerpt
Quote:

I told May how to do Brexit but she didn't listen to me

THERESA May’s new soft Brexit blueprint would “kill” any future trade deal with the United States, Donald Trump warns today.
Mounting an extraordinary attack on the PM’s exit negotiation, the President also reveals she has ignored his advice on how to toughen up the troubled talks.

Instead he believes Mrs May has gone “the opposite way”, and he thinks the results have been “very unfortunate”

His fiercest criticism came over the centrepiece of the PM’s new Brexit plan — which was unveiled in full yesterday.

It would stick to a common rulebook with Brussels on goods and agricultural produce in a bid to keep customs borders open with the EU.
But Mr Trump told The Sun: “If they do a deal like that, we would be dealing with the European Union instead of dealing with the UK, so it will probably kill the deal.“If they do that, then their trade deal with the US will probably not be made.”

Mr Trump made the bombshell intervention during a world exclusive interview with The Sun — the only British media outlet he spoke to before his arrival in the UK for his first visit as President.

It will pour nitroglycerine on the already raging Tory Brexiteer revolt against the PM.

And in more remarks that will set off alarm bells in No10, Mr Trump also said Mrs May’s nemesis Boris Johnson — who resigned over the soft Brexit blueprint on Monday — would “make a great Prime Minister”.

Mick 12-07-2018 23:06

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35954281)
I don't see how this is that different to Obama commenting about the trade deal. Both seem to be getting involved in British politics. You've spent the last two years complaining about that. Obama said we would go to the back of the queue for a trade deal if Brexit went ahead, Trump is saying we won't get one if this deal goes ahead.

For the record I think both are factual statements ofI what the US policy is at the time.

As I said I think the fact he was weighed in on other elements of British politics is more surprising....

I never said it was different, but what the hell, if Obama can intervene and get way with it, then go ahead Mr. Trump, you can to.

1andrew1 13-07-2018 00:05

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35954277)
Looks like we've gone...to the back of the queue.

I am actually more interested in the timing, ripping into May before his trip has started, and his comments about Boris making a good PM. Obama got a lot of flack for the back the queue comments but even he didn't go so far as to start tipping alternative Prime Ministers.(Although it is The Sun so they might have heavily spun an innocent comment)

It will certainly make for a less condusive atmosphere on Friday and interesting press conference!

Quote:

– Mr Trump and his wife will spend Thursday night at the ambassador’s residence, Winfield House.

Friday:
– Mr Trump will meet again with Mrs May for a visit to a defence site. Air restrictions have been put in place above the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst.
– The pair will then travel to Chequers, the Prime Minister’s country residence, for what is being billed as “substantive bilateral talks on a range of foreign policy issues” during a working lunch.
- A press conference is pencilled in for afterwards.
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/676653...t-us-deal-off/

---------- Post added 13-07-2018 at 00:05 ---------- Previous post was 12-07-2018 at 23:22 ----------

Maybe there are grounds for optimism or the author was not briefed on The Sun's article. Liam Fox tweeted this at 11:17pm ie 17 minutes after The Sun article was published
Quote:

Terrific to hear @POTUS @realDonaldTrump talk so positively about UK & US Trade tonight at Blenheim Palace #BlenheimPalace #SpecialRelationship
https://twitter.com/LiamFox/status/1017533483437223936

Damien 13-07-2018 05:53

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35954283)
I never said it was different, but what the hell, if Obama can intervene and get way with it, then go ahead Mr. Trump, you can to.

Which is fair enough. I don't think Obama's comments were out of line and I don't think Trump's comments (on Brexit specifically) were out of line.

Mick 13-07-2018 12:20

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Drunken Juncker strikes again, this was yesterday at NATO, what a bloody joke....



Juncker = Piss head. :drunk:

OLD BOY 13-07-2018 14:11

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35954279)
It’s gone to back of queue because May’s Brexit is not Brexit. Pat on back Mr. President, someone has to stand up for the electorate, our shameful MPs won’t.

I think President Trump is perfectly entitled to speak his mind. If he sees a situation developing which means he sees a problem which will affect their ability or willingness to trade with us, then it is most definitely his business to say so.

However, I'm still not sure that we are interpreting Theresa May's proposals correctly. She is adamant that the deal she is proposing ends free movement, ends the huge payments to the EU and ends the rule of the ECJ. She also says her proposed deal 'means that we can make our own trade deals'. She says we will leave the EU's customs union and single market. We are leaving the CAP and the Common Fisheries Policy.

The bit that I, and I suspect many, don't fully understand is what she means by 'a new free trade area with the EU for goods, based on a common rulebook and a business-friendly customs model'.

What that says to me is that there will be a separate arrangement, outside the rules that will govern trade with the rest of the world, that will only apply to EU trade. So, in other words, a trade deal with the EU, which lays down certain rules, such as product specifications for safety, etc. As any trade deal would.

Now if I am right about that, I'm not understanding what the objections of Boris and his ilk are. What the proposals appear to give us are the ability to trade with the rest of the world free of EU shackles, and a ready made trade deal with the EU.

Provided that we are still totally free to create our own employment laws and divest ourselves of the hated Working Time Directive, Acquired Rights Directive, etc, then I cannot see what all the fuss is about.

Could someone who is dead against Theresa's plan please tell me what they think is wrong with it? I keep thinking I'm missing something. What is it?

Just to be clear, my view is that we either get a deal that allows a full Brexit with the ability to trade elsewhere in the world free of EU encumbrances or we go full on WTO. We are not deliberately seeking to stop trading with the EU altogether, or even reduce it. There is nothing wrong with getting the best of both worlds.

Mr Trump may also come to that conclusion after speaking to Mrs May today.

---------- Post added at 14:11 ---------- Previous post was at 14:10 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35954329)
Drunken Juncker strikes again, this was yesterday at NATO, what a bloody joke....



Juncker = Piss head. :drunk:

So what is it, folks? Trump or Junker? :D

jonbxx 13-07-2018 16:12

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35954349)
Provided that we are still totally free to create our own employment laws and divest ourselves of the hated Working Time Directive, Acquired Rights Directive, etc, then I cannot see what all the fuss is about.

What's wrong with the working time directive and Transfers of Undertakings Directive? They seem pretty good at preventing exploitation of workers to me. I guess employers would like to have the right to not provide holidays, rest breaks, etc. or give pay cuts on takeovers but I bet employees don't.

1andrew1 13-07-2018 16:27

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35954359)
What's wrong with the working time directive and Transfers of Undertakings Directive? They seem pretty good at preventing exploitation of workers to me. I guess employers would like to have the right to not provide holidays, rest breaks, etc. or give pay cuts on takeovers but I bet employees don't.

They're not necessarily bad for employers as they give staff the reassurance not to walk out of the door in the event of a takeover/divestment thereby increasing the valuations of companies. Working time directive lots of companies require you to sign a contract against it so not too relevant in the UK.

Sephiroth 13-07-2018 16:42

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35954359)
What's wrong with the working time directive and Transfers of Undertakings Directive? They seem pretty good at preventing exploitation of workers to me. I guess employers would like to have the right to not provide holidays, rest breaks, etc. or give pay cuts on takeovers but I bet employees don't.

Please forgive me for saying that you've contrived your argument without taking into account the real situation that prevailed at the time of the Directive's origin.

The Working Time Directive contains much of value EXCEPT the 48 hours rule. Thank goodness there is a mechanism for individuals opting out. Back in the 90s, they tried to push this through under veto rules. When we vetoed it, they re-introduced this under the Health & Safety banner so it could be passed by majority vote.

Why did we veto it? They wouldn't remove the 48 hour rule, which was put in there to please France and its restrictive labour laws. The rest of the EU (as it had become) didn't like the labour competitiveness that prevailed in the UK.

Remind me - why did we vote for Brexit?

Hugh 13-07-2018 16:46

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
And you can opt out of the 48 hour rule in the working time regs, and it’s averaged over 26 weeks.

ianch99 13-07-2018 17:07

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35954329)
Drunken Juncker strikes again, this was yesterday at NATO, what a bloody joke....



Juncker = Piss head. :drunk:

Fake news ..

Sephiroth 13-07-2018 17:17

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35954363)
And you can opt out of the 48 hour rule in the working time regs, and it’s averaged over 26 weeks.

I said that. It was the sneaky way of getting the WTD through in the face of the UK's objection that I was highlighting.


---------- Post added at 17:17 ---------- Previous post was at 17:16 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35954364)
Fake news ..

Or rather the chief Brussels turd.

Mick 13-07-2018 17:25

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35954364)
Fake news ..

Looks very real to me - Juncker is a piss head and is stumbling like a drunken bum, not fake news. :rolleyes:

OLD BOY 13-07-2018 17:54

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35954359)
What's wrong with the working time directive and Transfers of Undertakings Directive? They seem pretty good at preventing exploitation of workers to me. I guess employers would like to have the right to not provide holidays, rest breaks, etc. or give pay cuts on takeovers but I bet employees don't.

The EU directives are often far too restrictive and complicated, and these are two prime examples of that. You don't have to have this type of complex, inflexible legislation to ensure that people are protected in employment.

We did have holidays before we joined the EU, you know!

---------- Post added at 17:54 ---------- Previous post was at 17:50 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35954360)
They're not necessarily bad for employers as they give staff the reassurance not to walk out of the door in the event of a takeover/divestment thereby increasing the valuations of companies. Working time directive lots of companies require you to sign a contract against it so not too relevant in the UK.

I challenge you to get your head around all the clauses of the Acquired Rights Directive and the associated case law, Andrew. It is a perfect example of all that is wrong with this bureaucratic institution. At least we are able to write laws that make sense.

By the way, it is unlawful to require your workers to 'sign a contract against it' as you put it. You can opt out of certain clauses but it must be voluntary.

1andrew1 13-07-2018 20:11

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35954370)
I challenge you to get your head around all the clauses of the Acquired Rights Directive and the associated case law, Andrew. It is a perfect example of all that is wrong with this bureaucratic institution. At least we are able to write laws that make sense.

By the way, it is unlawful to require your workers to 'sign a contract against it' as you put it. You can opt out of certain clauses but it must be voluntary.

Really not an issue Old Boy. I fear you might be falling into the temptation to gold plate any legislation you see, as was shown by your Special Brew-strength hyper-interpretation of GDPR. Meanwhile, the rest of us just take these things in our stride with our British pragmatic approach.

Sephiroth 13-07-2018 20:22

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35954378)
Really not an issue Old Boy. I fear you might be falling into the temptation to gold plate any legislation you see, as was shown by your Special Brew-strength hyper-interpretation of GDPR. Meanwhile, the rest of us just take these things in our stride with our British pragmatic approach.

Then you'll be able to take Brexit in your stride - crash out and all.

1andrew1 13-07-2018 20:36

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35954379)
Then you'll be able to take Brexit in your stride - crash out and all.

The World's full of change but there's no looking back to the good old days selling Austin Allegros with square steering wheels to subservient Africans. There will be no clean Brexit except in services and BoJo and chums are last week's news. Brexit is slightly more drastic than a piece of employment legislation, but you may disagree.

Sephiroth 13-07-2018 20:46

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
I see. Brexit only slightly exceeds the drasticness than the employment legislation foisted on us by the EU. If only "slightly more drastic", then our "British pragmatic approach" should be able to cope.

1andrew1 13-07-2018 21:38

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35954381)
I see. Brexit only slightly exceeds the drasticness than the employment legislation foisted on us by the EU. If only "slightly more drastic", then our "British pragmatic approach" should be able to cope.

You might have missed the British irony in "slightly". ;)

Sephiroth 13-07-2018 21:41

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
I missed nothing. You choose the words, the reader interprets the meaning. Anyway, why cannot our "British pragmatic approach" handle any form of Brexit?

1andrew1 13-07-2018 21:49

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35954384)
I missed nothing. You choose the words, the reader interprets the meaning. Anyway, why cannot our "British pragmatic approach" handle any form of Brexit?

The Irish border. The European supply chain. Many reasons.
But is a clean Brexit actually going to happen? I suspect not. The Eurosceptics don't have anywhere near the 159 names needed to bring Theresa May down.

Sephiroth 13-07-2018 21:58

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sephiroth
I missed nothing. You choose the words, the reader interprets the meaning. Anyway, why cannot our "British pragmatic approach" handle any form of Brexit?


Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35954386)
The Irish border. The European supply chain. Many reasons.
But is a clean Brexit actually going to happen? I suspect not. The Eurosceptics don't have anywhere near the 159 names needed to bring Theresa May down.

Why cannot there be a pragmatic approach to crashing out?The EU might erect an Irish border; we can handle that. The European supply chain: that'll sort itself out - these are our friends - remember? Or are they only our friends if we tow their line? British pragmatism can deal with that.

Maybe British pragmatism might result in a second referendum; I doubt it but it would not be an unreasonable step even if unlikely.

We should be addressing ourselves to the pragmatic approach needed to deal with the now foreseeable exit scenarios instead of continually espousing the Remain cause whether through irony or argument.

1andrew1 13-07-2018 22:08

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35954387)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sephiroth
I missed nothing. You choose the words, the reader interprets the meaning. Anyway, why cannot our "British pragmatic approach" handle any form of Brexit?




Why cannot there be a pragmatic approach to crashing out?The EU might erect an Irish border; we can handle that. The European supply chain: that'll sort itself out - these are our friends - remember? Or are they only our friends if we tow their line? British pragmatism can deal with that.

Maybe British pragmatism might result in a second referendum; I doubt it but it would not be an unreasonable step even if unlikely.

We should be addressing ourselves to the pragmatic approach needed to deal with the now foreseeable exit scenarios instead of continually espousing the Remain cause whether through irony or argument.

Not keen on going over old ground again as that goes against the ethos of this thread but the maths shows a clean Brexit is not possible.

Sephiroth 13-07-2018 22:15

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35954388)
Not keen on going over old ground again as that goes against the ethos of this thread but the maths shows a clean Brexit is not possible.

That's a dodge. I've simply asked, particularly in the spirit of this thread, that you put your mind to work on a pragmatic approach to the two Brexit scenarios ir new referendum.

If by a "clean break" you mean crashing out, of course we can crash out. It's automatic if there is no agreement by 29-Mar-19. Otherwise what did you mean? Clarity is important.

1andrew1 13-07-2018 23:29

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35954389)
That's a dodge. I've simply asked, particularly in the spirit of this thread, that you put your mind to work on a pragmatic approach to the two Brexit scenarios ir new referendum.

If by a "clean break" you mean crashing out, of course we can crash out. It's automatic if there is no agreement by 29-Mar-19. Otherwise what did you mean? Clarity is important.

No dodge mate and I personally recommend against using such terminology on this thread. The explanations on WTO requirements have been done to death in the previous thread and are there for you to feast your eyes upon..
Things are vaguer on crashing out so that's quite interesting. A no-deal would bring the Government down and let Labour in with no foreseeable Brexit and the Eurosceptics wouldn't want to risk that. They can always come back for another bite of the cherry.

Sephiroth 13-07-2018 23:57

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Oh well - At least I tried to test the sincerity of your own words in terms the "British pragmatic approach" that you introduced to the topic.

Alas not to be so.

1andrew1 14-07-2018 04:35

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35954397)
Oh well - At least I tried to test the sincerity of your own words in terms the "British pragmatic approach" that you introduced to the topic.

Alas not to be so.

My words are sincere and I'm sure we will get a pragmatic Brexit and not the ideological one that you favour. That's the British way of doing things.

Sephiroth 14-07-2018 08:37

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
A few posts ago, you gave reasons why the "British pragmatic approach" would not apply to any form of Brexit. (You said: The Irish border. The European supply chain. Many reasons. ).

Now you're "sure we'll get a pragmatic Brexit … That's the British way of doing things". There is some missing consistency here.

You mention that I favour an ideological Brexit. Whose ideology would that be? I'm perfectly capable of forming my own views on the matter. You may have noticed in earlier posts that I don't care whether or not we stay in the EU, provided that we keep pricking the Brussels turds with our picador sticks; after all, the past 45 years have led to growth in prosperity.

On the other hand, as a matter of democratic principle based on the Referendum result, if we leave, we should leave properly and go to WTO. An equally valid democratic principle is to hold a second referendum on the basis that there with the additional information available to the public, they should confirm or revise their earlier decision.

I am not the ideological person that you make me out to be.

jonbxx 14-07-2018 08:43

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35954370)
The EU directives are often far too restrictive and complicated, and these are two prime examples of that. You don't have to have this type of complex, inflexible legislation to ensure that people are protected in employment.

We did have holidays before we joined the EU, you know!

Certainly for the UK and some other countries, the lower limits of the WTD are exceeded by some measure (28 days holiday in the UK vs. 20 specified in the WTD) There is also the ‘opt out’ clause but, as others have said, that is sometimes enforced by employers which is a bit dodgy. My work contract is somewhat fluffy on this issue saying ‘there may be times when you may need to work more than 48 hours per week as needed’. My Belgian work mate has a much more restrictive contract giving him time off in lieu if he works more than 2 hours after 6pm, including travelling. Lucky sod!

I see these directives as the minimum standard. How do you feel they are more restrictive and complicated than a UK law?

Sephiroth 14-07-2018 08:55

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35954406)
Certainly for the UK and some other countries, the lower limits of the WTD are exceeded by some measure (28 days holiday in the UK vs. 20 specified in the WTD) There is also the ‘opt out’ clause but, as others have said, that is sometimes enforced by employers which is a bit dodgy. My work contract is somewhat fluffy on this issue saying ‘there may be times when you may need to work more than 48 hours per week as needed’. My Belgian work mate has a much more restrictive contract giving him time off in lieu if he works more than 2 hours after 6pm, including travelling. Lucky sod!

I see these directives as the minimum standard. How do you feel they are more restrictive and complicated than a UK law?

As I've pointed out, the 48 hours rule was there to protect French restrictive labour practices[ and had to be shennanigan'd through because of the British veto.


To be fair, I don't have any problem with the rest of the WTD and thank goodness that at least we have an opt out on the 48 hour article.

jonbxx 14-07-2018 10:18

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35954408)
[COLOR="Blue"]As I've pointed out, the 48 hours rule was there to protect French restrictive labour practices[ and had to be shennanigan'd through because of the British veto.

OK, if the WTD was brought in at the behest of France, why is this a problem? Other countries do less hours than France in the EU (link - http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/pro...tRedirect=true)

It looks like there is an inverse relationship between hours worked and productivity - https://www.economist.com/free-excha...uld-get-a-life

OLD BOY 14-07-2018 10:36

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35954378)
Really not an issue Old Boy. I fear you might be falling into the temptation to gold plate any legislation you see, as was shown by your Special Brew-strength hyper-interpretation of GDPR. Meanwhile, the rest of us just take these things in our stride with our British pragmatic approach.

I stand by what I said about GDPR, Andrew, which is indeed another example of EU over-the-top bureaucracy. This has proven to be a major problem for organisations - particularly small organisations - and I know this having heard from those I deal with as well as employees of larger organisations what a pain in the neck this has been.

The two most difficult pieces of legislation HR people have to deal with, for example, are the Transfer of Undertakings and Working Time Regulations, both of which emanate from EU Directives. Many simply don't understand these laws in any detail and when you refer questions to employment lawyers, it is pretty clear that they don't properly understand the detailed provisions either. A huge amount of case law has resulted, some of which appears contradictory. I won't go on, but you get my drift.

Sephiroth 14-07-2018 10:40

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35954421)
OK, if the WTD was brought in at the behest of France, why is this a problem? Other countries do less hours than France in the EU (link - http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/pro...tRedirect=true)

It looks like there is an inverse relationship between hours worked and productivity - https://www.economist.com/free-excha...uld-get-a-life

I didn't say that it was brought in at the behest of France. That may have been the case (Jacques Delors was the chief Brussels turd at the time) but I'm not claiming it. I am claiming that France strongly supported the 48 hour rule and opposed our opt-out.

The CAP supported France's inefficient farming methods, another restrictive practice. The UK has consistently failed to have the CAP revised to remove the weighting toward France.

The rules are skewed in many areas to suit French internal interests.

As to productivity - that needs definition (see further argument below this paragraph). My network team colleagues at work provide 120% effort over paid hours; highly productive. People should be free to choose their level of effort and in many cases need the money so remunerated.

The article to which you link is short of a definition to cover the meaning of productivity for the first graph, which shows productivity falling as working hours rise across OECD countries, If that graph is a decline in the efficiency of output, albeit output would rise in quantum, yes of course; people get tired.

However, the second graph based on a WWI productivity study, shows output rising but at a falling rate as working hours rise. Ignoring the assistive effect of automation today, it is clear that additional hours will increase the output quantum and if that is the objective, so be it.

I think that the sinister French influence on the WTD is one of the background lurkers that fuelled the 52/48 Referendum result.

OLD BOY 14-07-2018 10:40

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35954395)
No dodge mate and I personally recommend against using such terminology on this thread. The explanations on WTO requirements have been done to death in the previous thread and are there for you to feast your eyes upon..
Things are vaguer on crashing out so that's quite interesting. A no-deal would bring the Government down and let Labour in with no foreseeable Brexit and the Eurosceptics wouldn't want to risk that. They can always come back for another bite of the cherry.

Correction: A no-deal would give the voting electorate what they wanted and the Conservatives would return with a nice majority to reflect what they had achieved.

Sephiroth 14-07-2018 11:02

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35954430)
Correction: A no-deal would give the voting electorate what they wanted and the Conservatives would return with a nice majority to reflect what they had achieved.

I wish that were to be the case. Unfortunately the Conservatives have totally botched Brexit because they didn't go in hard to the EU at the start of the Article 50 process.

May, despite her words back then, treated the Referendum result as a 4% margin rather than a Leave instruction. This is evidenced by her carefully crafted words "... this delivers the Referendum result". If the voting public forgive that, it'll only because Corbyn will absolutely wreck this country and they know it.

OLD BOY 14-07-2018 12:04

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35954435)
I wish that were to be the case. Unfortunately the Conservatives have totally botched Brexit because they didn't go in hard to the EU at the start of the Article 50 process.

May, despite her words back then, treated the Referendum result as a 4% margin rather than a Leave instruction. This is evidenced by her carefully crafted words "... this delivers the Referendum result". If the voting public forgive that, it'll only because Corbyn will absolutely wreck this country and they know it.

They have not botched Brexit. Brexit hasn't happened yet.

Even if all the ducks were in a row when we applied to leave the EU, we still had to give notice.

If the EU rejects the deal being put to them now, we will bow out of the EU under WTO rules, which most Brexiteers expected us to do. If they accept, we will have the best of both worlds.

Hardly a 'botch up'.

Sephiroth 14-07-2018 12:38

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35954451)
They have not botched Brexit. Brexit hasn't happened yet.

Even if all the ducks were in a row when we applied to leave the EU, we still had to give notice.

If the EU rejects the deal being put to them now, we will bow out of the EU under WTO rules, which most Brexiteers expected us to do. If they accept, we will have the best of both worlds.

Hardly a 'botch up'.

You’re out on a limb there. You’ve ignored my point that we should have gone in hard.nnMay is an appeaser and leaving on WTO terms will be presented as a cliff edge failure rather than something we had planned for at the start.

You’ve also ignored my assertion that May has treated the negotiations as a 4% matter rather than a democratic mandate to leave the EU institutions.

I’m surprised by your stance here.

pip08456 14-07-2018 13:49

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Yes Seph, we should have gone in hard in the beginning but thanks to the likes of Gina Miller and remain MP's wanting our objectives out in the open before negotiations had even started (good negotiating strategy) the Government was effectively hogtied.

I can't comment on the white paper as Ihaven't had the time to read it (willhave tomorrow) but as I understand it Parliament will have a say on any deal finally reached (if any). I have no problem with that.

What happens in the case of no deal?

Extending the period of negotiation must be by a unanimous decision but the acceptance of to do so by the EU is by a qualified majority. People seem to confuse the two but the EU rules are quite specific.

Worthy of note
Quote:

Abstentions by Members present in person or represented shall not prevent the adoption by the Council of acts which require unanimity.
Seems ambiguous.

Qualified majority.
Quote:

(a) A qualified majority shall be defined as at least 55% of the members of the Council representing the participating Member States, comprising at least 65% of the population of these States.

A blocking minority must include at least the minimum number of Council members representing more than 35% of the population of the participating Member States, plus one member, failing which the qualified majority shall be deemed attained;

(b) By way of derogation from point (a), when the Council does not act on a proposal from the Commission or from the High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, the qualified majority shall be defined as at least 72% of the members of the Council representing Member States comprising at least 65% of the population of these States.
Source Article 50(2) http://www.lisbon-treaty.org/wcm/the...rticle-50.html and Article 238 (3) a) and b) http://www.lisbon-treaty.org/wcm/the...ticle-238.html

jonbxx 14-07-2018 15:55

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35954429)
I didn't say that it was brought in at the behest of France. That may have been the case (Jacques Delors was the chief Brussels turd at the time) but I'm not claiming it. I am claiming that France strongly supported the 48 hour rule and opposed our opt-out.

The CAP supported France's inefficient farming methods, another restrictive practice. The UK has consistently failed to have the CAP revised to remove the weighting toward France.

The rules are skewed in many areas to suit French internal interests.

As to productivity - that needs definition (see further argument below this paragraph). My network team colleagues at work provide 120% effort over paid hours; highly productive. People should be free to choose their level of effort and in many cases need the money so remunerated.

The article to which you link is short of a definition to cover the meaning of productivity for the first graph, which shows productivity falling as working hours rise across OECD countries, If that graph is a decline in the efficiency of output, albeit output would rise in quantum, yes of course; people get tired.

However, the second graph based on a WWI productivity study, shows output rising but at a falling rate as working hours rise. Ignoring the assistive effect of automation today, it is clear that additional hours will increase the output quantum and if that is the objective, so be it.

I think that the sinister French influence on the WTD is one of the background lurkers that fuelled the 52/48 Referendum result.

That sill doesn’t answer why the WTD is a bad thing unless French influence itself is a bad thing. The French may have opposed our opt out but we still got it.

OLD BOY 14-07-2018 16:03

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35954453)
You’re out on a limb there. You’ve ignored my point that we should have gone in hard.nnMay is an appeaser and leaving on WTO terms will be presented as a cliff edge failure rather than something we had planned for at the start.

You’ve also ignored my assertion that May has treated the negotiations as a 4% matter rather than a democratic mandate to leave the EU institutions.

I’m surprised by your stance here.

I have not ignored your points at all. I simply don't agree that we should have 'gone in hard' with the EU, because it would have been counter-productive.

We are asking the EU for a trade deal, which would be in our mutual interests. There is no point in getting their backs up, they are difficult enough at the best of times.

There are different ways you can handle a negotiation. A pretty good way I have found is to go for more than I want, stay reasonable and give a few early concessions, and maybe offer up one or two things that you have come up with the other side haven't thought about. At the same time, flag up a worst case scenario if a deal cannot be reached.

But every negotiator has a different way of doing things. But if you go in hard, don't expect any favours from the other side. They will hate you!

You can say what you like about Theresa May's tactics and the deal she has proposed, but if she comes up with a proposal that satisfies the essential red lines and allows us to trade effectively with other countries, what is there to criticise? It's the end result that she should be judged on.

Sephiroth 14-07-2018 16:14

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Her current proposals do not satisfy the essential red lines. For example, when she says we take control of our fisheries, that merely means we decide what to give away. The entire "we take control" part of the proposal means just that.

If the EU agrees to her proposal just like that, then I'm proved right because they wouldn't agree unless their ECJ has supremacy.

She has given so much away that the end result from here is easy to predict unless there is no deal.

pip08456 14-07-2018 17:26

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35954472)
Her current proposals do not satisfy the essential red lines. For example, when she says we take control of our fisheries, that merely means we decide what to give away. The entire "we take control" part of the proposal means just that.

If the EU agrees to her proposal just like that, then I'm proved right because they wouldn't agree unless their ECJ has supremacy.

She has given so much away that the end result from here is easy to predict unless there is no deal.

Both I and others have predicted this outcome from day 1.

Mick 15-07-2018 10:36

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
BREAKING: U.S President Donald Trump told Theresa May should sue the EU she has revealed today on Marr show.

OLD BOY 15-07-2018 10:58

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35954472)
Her current proposals do not satisfy the essential red lines. For example, when she says we take control of our fisheries, that merely means we decide what to give away. The entire "we take control" part of the proposal means just that.

If the EU agrees to her proposal just like that, then I'm proved right because they wouldn't agree unless their ECJ has supremacy.

She has given so much away that the end result from here is easy to predict unless there is no deal.

We will be out of the Common Fisheries arrangements, which means that we control our own waters. So we decide who fishes there, just as we did pre-common market. The fisheries industry has been crying out for this change.

Theresa May has already confirmed that under her proposals, we will no longer be under the control of the ECJ.

I am struggling to work out what your objection actually is. I have no qualms about crashing out of the EU under WTO rules if we have to, but a trade deal relating to our EU trade is sensible.

We want trade deals all over the world. The one we are discussing now just happens to be the EU one.

papa smurf 15-07-2018 11:06

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35954514)
BREAKING: U.S President Donald Trump told Theresa May should sue the EU she has revealed today on Marr show.

That was the only question she answered ,all she did was dither and dance around the other questions ,it was clear she was deceiving us imo .

1andrew1 15-07-2018 11:09

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35954514)
BREAKING: U.S President Donald Trump told Theresa May should sue the EU she has revealed today on Marr show.

An interesting sound bite from the PM. More here
Quote:

Talking about the president's advice on how to handle the EU, Mrs May said: "Interestingly, what the president also said at that press conference was 'don't walk away'.
"Don't walk away from those negotiations because then you'll be stuck. So I want us to be able to sit down to negotiate the best deal for Britain...
Mrs May insists her plans would allow the UK to strike its own trade deals, despite agreeing a "common rulebook" with the EU on cross-border trade.
She said such rules were needed to protect jobs in firms with "integrated supply chains" and deal with the Irish border issue.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-44838028

Mick 15-07-2018 11:17

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35954528)
That was the only question she answered ,all she did was dither and dance around the other questions ,it was clear she was deceiving us imo .

I heard about the interview but I couldn't watch it for fear of breaking the TV. I have heard the crushing reviews though. May is running on empty.

Sephiroth 15-07-2018 11:31

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35954524)
We will be out of the Common Fisheries arrangements, which means that we control our own waters. So we decide who fishes there, just as we did pre-common market. The fisheries industry has been crying out for this change. [SEPH]: Oops. I hope you really aren't wearing rose tinted specs. The Fishing industry want the waters back; May has left the door open for the EU boot to wedge in as a negotiating point for other things we want. She has used vague wording here to allow here to give stuff away to the Brussels turds.

Theresa May has already confirmed that under her proposals, we will no longer be under the control of the ECJ. [SEPH]: Oh please. A whole swathe of stuff, including social policy, are to be aligned to EU rules and thus enforced by the ECJ. True, we can decide to diverge in which case it's Schmitt or bust as we come up against the arbitration panel and ultimately the ECJ. What's more the deal is silent on the Human Rights convention which lets the ECJ in on everything. Oh - just pointed out on TV - will I be able to buy a 2200 watt Hoover again?


I am struggling to work out what your objection actually is. I have no qualms about crashing out of the EU under WTO rules if we have to, but a trade deal relating to our EU trade is sensible. [SEPH]: I understand the need for compromise. But now reading this White Paper, we have rolled over and the Brussels turds will still want more. I'm disgusted at May - I'm even willing to entertain that she has been duplicitous all along.


We want trade deals all over the world. The one we are discussing now just happens to be the EU one. [SEPH]: … and on terms that will ties us down from a customs perspective because we might be bringing in tariff free goods from, say, Singapore..


Damien 15-07-2018 11:49

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35954514)
BREAKING: U.S President Donald Trump told Theresa May should sue the EU she has revealed today on Marr show.

Well he is an American.

OLD BOY 15-07-2018 17:23

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35954532)



We will be out of the Common Fisheries arrangements, which means that we control our own waters. So we decide who fishes there, just as we did pre-common market. The fisheries industry has been crying out for this change. [SEPH]: Oops. I hope you really aren't wearing rose tinted specs. The Fishing industry want the waters back; May has left the door open for the EU boot to wedge in as a negotiating point for other things we want. She has used vague wording here to allow here to give stuff away to the Brussels turds.

Theresa May has already confirmed that under her proposals, we will no longer be under the control of the ECJ. [SEPH]: Oh please. A whole swathe of stuff, including social policy, are to be aligned to EU rules and thus enforced by the ECJ. True, we can decide to diverge in which case it's Schmitt or bust as we come up against the arbitration panel and ultimately the ECJ. What's more the deal is silent on the Human Rights convention which lets the ECJ in on everything. Oh - just pointed out on TV - will I be able to buy a 2200 watt Hoover again?


I am struggling to work out what your objection actually is. I have no qualms about crashing out of the EU under WTO rules if we have to, but a trade deal relating to our EU trade is sensible. [SEPH]: I understand the need for compromise. But now reading this White Paper, we have rolled over and the Brussels turds will still want more. I'm disgusted at May - I'm even willing to entertain that she has been duplicitous all along.


We want trade deals all over the world. The one we are discussing now just happens to be the EU one. [SEPH]: … and on terms that will ties us down from a customs perspective because we might be bringing in tariff free goods from, say, Singapore..

__________________




I'm sure that these are your legitimate concerns, Seph, but I do think you are making assumptions here. Theresa May has emphatically ruled out remaining under the jurisdiction of the ECJ, for a start. You don't know that anything will be 'given away' in terms of our fisheries policy, and I'm not sure which social policies you think will continue to be in place.

There are parts of the White Paper I would like to see clarified, but we will have to wait for that. In the meantime, we should not jump to conclusions.

Sephiroth 15-07-2018 17:35

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35954585)
I'm sure that these are your legitimate concerns, Seph, but I do think you are making assumptions here. Theresa May has emphatically ruled out remaining under the jurisdiction of the ECJ, for a start. You don't know that anything will be 'given away' in terms of our fisheries policy, and I'm not sure which social policies you think will continue to be in place.

There are parts of the White Paper I would like to see clarified, but we will have to wait for that. In the meantime, we should not jump to conclusions.

OB, I think you've also jumped to the conclusion that we can take May at her literal word. Whereas I've used judgement based on what's been happening to date and the weasel wording of the White Paper to conclude otherwise.

Hugh 15-07-2018 17:45

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Well, Brexit means Brexit.

OLD BOY 15-07-2018 18:33

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35954588)
OB, I think you've also jumped to the conclusion that we can take May at her literal word. Whereas I've used judgement based on what's been happening to date and the weasel wording of the White Paper to conclude otherwise.

So it doesn't matter what May says. You will disregard these comments and believe something else. That is your right, I suppose, but I prefer to take people at their word and read what documents actually say.

From what I can see so far, all May is doing is trying to get a favourable trade deal with Brussels. Outside of ECJ jurisdiction, outside of the EU, common market and customs union, and an end to free movement.

What's wrong with that?

heero_yuy 15-07-2018 18:40

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Quote from OLD BOY:


From what I can see so far, all May is doing is trying to get a favourable trade deal with Brussels. Outside of ECJ jurisdiction, outside of the EU, common market and customs union, and an end to free movement.

What's wrong with that?
Except that you always get that feeling that we're being sold out to the EU as so many times before. :rolleyes:

Sephiroth 15-07-2018 19:11

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
I second the above.

OLD BOY 15-07-2018 19:38

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35954602)
Except that you always get that feeling that we're being sold out to the EU as so many times before. :rolleyes:

I know, and I think that is what all Brexiteers, including me, are worried about. However, so far, Theresa May has not said anything that alarms me. Let's see how it goes. If those red lines start to get fuzzy, I will be joining with all the hardliners, screaming for WTO.

But do you really think she will commit an act of political suicide? People would not stand for it, and you can already see a flavour of the kind of reaction you will get from the public if we don't get a proper Brexit. Theresa May's ratings have plummeted in the expectation she will foul up. If she doesn't, and we get the true Brexit we want, just watch those ratings soar again.

Hugh 15-07-2018 19:40

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35954612)
I know, and I think that is what all Brexiteers, including me, are worried about. However, so far, Theresa May has not said anything that alarms me. Let's see how it goes. If those red lines start to get fuzzy, I will be joining with all the hardliners, screaming for WTO.

But do you really think she will commit an act of political suicide? People would not stand for it, and you can already see a flavour of the kind of reaction you will get from the public if we don't get a proper Brexit. Theresa May's ratings have plummeted in the expectation she will foul up. If she doesn't, and we get the true Brexit we want, just watch those ratings soar again.

The problem is, that there is no one agreed definition of "proper/true Brexit" - to some people it means one thing, to others, something else, so it will be impossible to reach agreement.

denphone 15-07-2018 19:44

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35954613)
The problem is, that there is no one agreed definition of "proper/true Brexit" - to some people it means one thing, to others, something else, so it will be impossible to reach agreement.

And that is why there has to be compromise and give and take on all sides or else there is no chance of a agreement.

Dave42 15-07-2018 19:48

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35954614)
And that is why there has to be compromise and give and take on all sides or else there is no chance of a agreement.

exactly :clap::clap::clap:

Sephiroth 15-07-2018 19:55

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
There are limits to the compromise latitude. I've said it before, May is negotiating "delivery of the referendum result" based on the 4% leave margin rather than based on the democratic norm.

She famously said that "no deal is better than a bad deal". Just as Brexit was never defined by the PM (though it was defined in the minds of those who voted Leave), "a bad deal" was never defined by her either.

I now suspect weasel words all the way through this and any compromise that gives the ECJ any jurisdiction over the UK is a betrayal of what Brexit should mean by any definition.

OLD BOY 15-07-2018 20:22

Re: Brexit Discussion (New thread-Follow First Post Rules!)
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35954613)
The problem is, that there is no one agreed definition of "proper/true Brexit" - to some people it means one thing, to others, something else, so it will be impossible to reach agreement.

No, I don't agree with that. Let's turn it around. The great majority who voted leave are likely to have done so on the basis that we would do trade deals with the US, Australia, China, India, etc. That is what Theresa May is delivering.

Wouldn't it be a bit silly to have all those spanking new deals in place, but not one with the EU? Currently our biggest trading partner? I mean, why on earth not?

The issue, surely, is not whether we get a trade deal with the EU, but whether we get to leave the EU, single market, customs union and we extracate ourselves from the ECJ.

Perhaps those who are currently criticising Theresa May's White Paper would care to enlighten us as to what it is that's in there that is causing this hysteria? She is delivering on these things.


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