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They did however say there would be an immediate economic hit because confidence would collapse and that was not true. Nor was the emergency budget. At the same we have gone from one of the fastest growing main economies to one of the slowest. |
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Project Fear is now just a comfort blanket that is used to hide behind. The naked truth that is now revealed is that Leave had no plan. It had no strategy, no detailed workings of how a country, a complex and connected entity can transition from 40 years of integration to an autonomous trading unit with no loss of national and individual wealth. This is the real crime here. The 37% dragged the rest of us over this cliff with no parachute. Why the hell do you think we're pissed off? Why are we fixated with Boris, are you really asking this in all seriousness? :dunce: He was the leader of the Leave campaign ..the chief snake oil salesman. |
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On the other hand, remain (the Government) were so confident that it wouldn't happen that they didn't bother asking themselves "oh, what will we do if we lose the vote?" . . . and stop blaming the '37%' that voted leave, if the remain voters weren't so complacent in believing it was 'in the bag' more would have gone out and and voted . . . |
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Vote Leave director admits they won because they lied to the public https://www.thelondoneconomic.com/ne...-public/08/02/ |
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The plan to get a leave vote succeeded so the plan worked well, However, there was no plan to implement it if Leave won. So Dave is correct there. ---------- Post added at 00:22 ---------- Previous post was at 00:20 ---------- Quote:
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Brexit deal is 80% agreed, EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier says
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-a8440866.html |
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This is now serious. A bit of tedious verbal ping-pong on the brexit result is one thing; a covert attempt to subvert British democracy is another.
A hard rain's a-gonna fall. |
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If any Remainers made a comment like that about a proposal they didn't agree with, they would (rightly) be shouted down. That't the problem - for some people, there can be no compromise, but the real world is based on compromise. |
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Democracy is being subverted. |
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There would never have been a compromise had Remain won, so forgive me if I disregard it.
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I disagreed with your premise, I did not shout you down... :rolleyes: ---------- Post added at 13:36 ---------- Previous post was at 13:35 ---------- Quote:
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Betrayal comes more to mind. The Leave vote understood the possibility of cliff edge. We need to get away from the EU and its federal programme and those particular Brussels turds. |
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I think we are all being too quick to rush to judgement on Theresa May's plan.
If the plan is to enable us to make our own deals with the rest of the world, have a separate trading arrangement with the EU ensuring frictionless borders, enable us to make our own employment laws, extracate ourselves from extortionate payments from the EU and end free movement - what is left to complain about? Let's see the detail before we rush to judgement. |
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The difficulty we're in is profound. We either have to water down Brexit if we are to have close trading ties to the EU (it would seem seriously watered down) or we have to have a clean break. The latter better reflects the Referendum result. But the 52/48 split is another problem that fuels the Remainers in an undemocratic manner. Some of them plead that democracy is best served by a second referendum. If that is coupled with the fact that after two years eyes have been opened on both sides of the fence, then there is a case for a second referendum. We either leave entirely (no deal) or we stay in the EU. The May proposal is a very bad deal that betrays the Referendum result. |
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If this deal is so unacceptable then people need to come up with an alternative. The goldilocks Brexit does not exit. The thing about no-concessions, better trade deal, does not exist. Even standard trade deals involve concessions. The country needs to wake up to this.
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No it doesn't we have a plan, it's called no deal with the corrupted EU and we go on WTO terms - not an issue at all. I have said from the beginning the EU market is a shrinking one - the world is a much bigger and growing market.
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The May plan is doomed, it would seem. Therefore we either crash out, or Parliament reverses Article 50 and we stay in the EU or Parliament calls another Referendum. The latter two are better options for the economy than crashing out, but the former delivers the Referendum. On that basis, a second Referendum is the logical next step. At least if we stay in the EU, we can continue pricking pins in the EU Commission and in any case we would never need to participate in ever closer union. Oddly for a Leaver, despite my support for Brexit, I never had a problem with EU freedom of labour movement. |
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The people advocating all these ideas are never the people who'll be responsible if it goes wrong. That is the big problem for May. Everyone will lecturer her on Brexit but if there is no deal and food prices sky rocket suddenly none of these people will be around and instead everyone will blame May. |
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Why call a 2nd referendum when the one we had was perfectly fine. It's not the will of the people its the poor execution from our Gov that doesn't have the balls to stand upto the EU.
What has basically come from the EU is once you are in our little club there is no way out and we will make it hard for you to ever leave. What if we do go with a 2nd Referendum and the result is still the same? do we crash out there and then becuse we might as well do it now. |
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But we are where we are due to the guvmin’s incompetence at best, treachery at worst. So we must look to ways of avoiding the half-Brexit now being offered to the EU. Crashing out is one option, second Referendum is the other. I would rather the people chose purely because of the mess in which we hsve been landed. ---------- Post added at 09:38 ---------- Previous post was at 09:34 ---------- Quote:
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Since article 50 cannot be revoked remaining in the EU on our current terms is not an option.
A second referendum could possibly have 3 questions: 1. May's BINO 2. WTO rules and no concessions to the EU 3. Negotitiate to rejoin the EU on their terms for a new member: i.e. No rebates, full subservience to Brussels and having to dump the pound for the Euro. Perm 2 of 3. |
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To set your mind at rest, here is the original and amended posts. Quote:
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Nice to see Trump has turned aroud and said whatever happens to brexit has nothing to do with him and doesn't want to get involved unlike Obama.
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BREAKING: House of Commons Speaker John Bercow Temporarily Suspends Governments Brexit White Paper Session due to failure to distribute copies of White Paper to MPs in the house before session began. Considered it discourteous.
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BREAKING: In an interview with Sun political editor, Tom Newton Dunn, President Trump has stated he doesn’t like Theresa May’s Brexit White Paper and will kill any U.S deal post-Brexit if her plan is executed because the U.S would still be dealing with the EU.
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Looks like we've gone...to the back of the queue.
I am actually more interested in the timing, ripping into May before his trip has started, and his comments about Boris making a good PM. Obama got a lot of flack for the back the queue comments but even he didn't go so far as to start tipping alternative Prime Ministers.(Although it is The Sun so they might have heavily spun an innocent comment) |
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It’s gone to back of queue because May’s Brexit is not Brexit. Pat on back Mr. President, someone has to stand up for the electorate, our shameful MPs won’t. |
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For the record I think both are factual statements ofI what the US policy is at the time. As I said I think the fact he was weighed in on other elements of British politics is more surprising.... |
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Article now live here https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/676653...t-us-deal-off/
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---------- Post added 13-07-2018 at 00:05 ---------- Previous post was 12-07-2018 at 23:22 ---------- Maybe there are grounds for optimism or the author was not briefed on The Sun's article. Liam Fox tweeted this at 11:17pm ie 17 minutes after The Sun article was published Quote:
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Drunken Juncker strikes again, this was yesterday at NATO, what a bloody joke....
Juncker = Piss head. :drunk: |
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However, I'm still not sure that we are interpreting Theresa May's proposals correctly. She is adamant that the deal she is proposing ends free movement, ends the huge payments to the EU and ends the rule of the ECJ. She also says her proposed deal 'means that we can make our own trade deals'. She says we will leave the EU's customs union and single market. We are leaving the CAP and the Common Fisheries Policy. The bit that I, and I suspect many, don't fully understand is what she means by 'a new free trade area with the EU for goods, based on a common rulebook and a business-friendly customs model'. What that says to me is that there will be a separate arrangement, outside the rules that will govern trade with the rest of the world, that will only apply to EU trade. So, in other words, a trade deal with the EU, which lays down certain rules, such as product specifications for safety, etc. As any trade deal would. Now if I am right about that, I'm not understanding what the objections of Boris and his ilk are. What the proposals appear to give us are the ability to trade with the rest of the world free of EU shackles, and a ready made trade deal with the EU. Provided that we are still totally free to create our own employment laws and divest ourselves of the hated Working Time Directive, Acquired Rights Directive, etc, then I cannot see what all the fuss is about. Could someone who is dead against Theresa's plan please tell me what they think is wrong with it? I keep thinking I'm missing something. What is it? Just to be clear, my view is that we either get a deal that allows a full Brexit with the ability to trade elsewhere in the world free of EU encumbrances or we go full on WTO. We are not deliberately seeking to stop trading with the EU altogether, or even reduce it. There is nothing wrong with getting the best of both worlds. Mr Trump may also come to that conclusion after speaking to Mrs May today. ---------- Post added at 14:11 ---------- Previous post was at 14:10 ---------- Quote:
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The Working Time Directive contains much of value EXCEPT the 48 hours rule. Thank goodness there is a mechanism for individuals opting out. Back in the 90s, they tried to push this through under veto rules. When we vetoed it, they re-introduced this under the Health & Safety banner so it could be passed by majority vote. Why did we veto it? They wouldn't remove the 48 hour rule, which was put in there to please France and its restrictive labour laws. The rest of the EU (as it had become) didn't like the labour competitiveness that prevailed in the UK. Remind me - why did we vote for Brexit? |
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And you can opt out of the 48 hour rule in the working time regs, and it’s averaged over 26 weeks.
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We did have holidays before we joined the EU, you know! ---------- Post added at 17:54 ---------- Previous post was at 17:50 ---------- Quote:
By the way, it is unlawful to require your workers to 'sign a contract against it' as you put it. You can opt out of certain clauses but it must be voluntary. |
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I see. Brexit only slightly exceeds the drasticness than the employment legislation foisted on us by the EU. If only "slightly more drastic", then our "British pragmatic approach" should be able to cope.
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I missed nothing. You choose the words, the reader interprets the meaning. Anyway, why cannot our "British pragmatic approach" handle any form of Brexit?
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But is a clean Brexit actually going to happen? I suspect not. The Eurosceptics don't have anywhere near the 159 names needed to bring Theresa May down. |
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Originally Posted by Sephiroth I missed nothing. You choose the words, the reader interprets the meaning. Anyway, why cannot our "British pragmatic approach" handle any form of Brexit? Quote:
Maybe British pragmatism might result in a second referendum; I doubt it but it would not be an unreasonable step even if unlikely. We should be addressing ourselves to the pragmatic approach needed to deal with the now foreseeable exit scenarios instead of continually espousing the Remain cause whether through irony or argument. |
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If by a "clean break" you mean crashing out, of course we can crash out. It's automatic if there is no agreement by 29-Mar-19. Otherwise what did you mean? Clarity is important. |
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Things are vaguer on crashing out so that's quite interesting. A no-deal would bring the Government down and let Labour in with no foreseeable Brexit and the Eurosceptics wouldn't want to risk that. They can always come back for another bite of the cherry. |
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Oh well - At least I tried to test the sincerity of your own words in terms the "British pragmatic approach" that you introduced to the topic.
Alas not to be so. |
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A few posts ago, you gave reasons why the "British pragmatic approach" would not apply to any form of Brexit. (You said: The Irish border. The European supply chain. Many reasons. ).
Now you're "sure we'll get a pragmatic Brexit … That's the British way of doing things". There is some missing consistency here. You mention that I favour an ideological Brexit. Whose ideology would that be? I'm perfectly capable of forming my own views on the matter. You may have noticed in earlier posts that I don't care whether or not we stay in the EU, provided that we keep pricking the Brussels turds with our picador sticks; after all, the past 45 years have led to growth in prosperity. On the other hand, as a matter of democratic principle based on the Referendum result, if we leave, we should leave properly and go to WTO. An equally valid democratic principle is to hold a second referendum on the basis that there with the additional information available to the public, they should confirm or revise their earlier decision. I am not the ideological person that you make me out to be. |
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I see these directives as the minimum standard. How do you feel they are more restrictive and complicated than a UK law? |
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To be fair, I don't have any problem with the rest of the WTD and thank goodness that at least we have an opt out on the 48 hour article. |
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It looks like there is an inverse relationship between hours worked and productivity - https://www.economist.com/free-excha...uld-get-a-life |
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The two most difficult pieces of legislation HR people have to deal with, for example, are the Transfer of Undertakings and Working Time Regulations, both of which emanate from EU Directives. Many simply don't understand these laws in any detail and when you refer questions to employment lawyers, it is pretty clear that they don't properly understand the detailed provisions either. A huge amount of case law has resulted, some of which appears contradictory. I won't go on, but you get my drift. |
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The CAP supported France's inefficient farming methods, another restrictive practice. The UK has consistently failed to have the CAP revised to remove the weighting toward France. The rules are skewed in many areas to suit French internal interests. As to productivity - that needs definition (see further argument below this paragraph). My network team colleagues at work provide 120% effort over paid hours; highly productive. People should be free to choose their level of effort and in many cases need the money so remunerated. The article to which you link is short of a definition to cover the meaning of productivity for the first graph, which shows productivity falling as working hours rise across OECD countries, If that graph is a decline in the efficiency of output, albeit output would rise in quantum, yes of course; people get tired. However, the second graph based on a WWI productivity study, shows output rising but at a falling rate as working hours rise. Ignoring the assistive effect of automation today, it is clear that additional hours will increase the output quantum and if that is the objective, so be it. I think that the sinister French influence on the WTD is one of the background lurkers that fuelled the 52/48 Referendum result. |
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May, despite her words back then, treated the Referendum result as a 4% margin rather than a Leave instruction. This is evidenced by her carefully crafted words "... this delivers the Referendum result". If the voting public forgive that, it'll only because Corbyn will absolutely wreck this country and they know it. |
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Even if all the ducks were in a row when we applied to leave the EU, we still had to give notice. If the EU rejects the deal being put to them now, we will bow out of the EU under WTO rules, which most Brexiteers expected us to do. If they accept, we will have the best of both worlds. Hardly a 'botch up'. |
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You’ve also ignored my assertion that May has treated the negotiations as a 4% matter rather than a democratic mandate to leave the EU institutions. I’m surprised by your stance here. |
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Yes Seph, we should have gone in hard in the beginning but thanks to the likes of Gina Miller and remain MP's wanting our objectives out in the open before negotiations had even started (good negotiating strategy) the Government was effectively hogtied.
I can't comment on the white paper as Ihaven't had the time to read it (willhave tomorrow) but as I understand it Parliament will have a say on any deal finally reached (if any). I have no problem with that. What happens in the case of no deal? Extending the period of negotiation must be by a unanimous decision but the acceptance of to do so by the EU is by a qualified majority. People seem to confuse the two but the EU rules are quite specific. Worthy of note Quote:
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We are asking the EU for a trade deal, which would be in our mutual interests. There is no point in getting their backs up, they are difficult enough at the best of times. There are different ways you can handle a negotiation. A pretty good way I have found is to go for more than I want, stay reasonable and give a few early concessions, and maybe offer up one or two things that you have come up with the other side haven't thought about. At the same time, flag up a worst case scenario if a deal cannot be reached. But every negotiator has a different way of doing things. But if you go in hard, don't expect any favours from the other side. They will hate you! You can say what you like about Theresa May's tactics and the deal she has proposed, but if she comes up with a proposal that satisfies the essential red lines and allows us to trade effectively with other countries, what is there to criticise? It's the end result that she should be judged on. |
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Her current proposals do not satisfy the essential red lines. For example, when she says we take control of our fisheries, that merely means we decide what to give away. The entire "we take control" part of the proposal means just that.
If the EU agrees to her proposal just like that, then I'm proved right because they wouldn't agree unless their ECJ has supremacy. She has given so much away that the end result from here is easy to predict unless there is no deal. |
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BREAKING: U.S President Donald Trump told Theresa May should sue the EU she has revealed today on Marr show.
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Theresa May has already confirmed that under her proposals, we will no longer be under the control of the ECJ. I am struggling to work out what your objection actually is. I have no qualms about crashing out of the EU under WTO rules if we have to, but a trade deal relating to our EU trade is sensible. We want trade deals all over the world. The one we are discussing now just happens to be the EU one. |
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There are parts of the White Paper I would like to see clarified, but we will have to wait for that. In the meantime, we should not jump to conclusions. |
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Well, Brexit means Brexit.
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From what I can see so far, all May is doing is trying to get a favourable trade deal with Brussels. Outside of ECJ jurisdiction, outside of the EU, common market and customs union, and an end to free movement. What's wrong with that? |
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I second the above.
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But do you really think she will commit an act of political suicide? People would not stand for it, and you can already see a flavour of the kind of reaction you will get from the public if we don't get a proper Brexit. Theresa May's ratings have plummeted in the expectation she will foul up. If she doesn't, and we get the true Brexit we want, just watch those ratings soar again. |
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There are limits to the compromise latitude. I've said it before, May is negotiating "delivery of the referendum result" based on the 4% leave margin rather than based on the democratic norm.
She famously said that "no deal is better than a bad deal". Just as Brexit was never defined by the PM (though it was defined in the minds of those who voted Leave), "a bad deal" was never defined by her either. I now suspect weasel words all the way through this and any compromise that gives the ECJ any jurisdiction over the UK is a betrayal of what Brexit should mean by any definition. |
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Wouldn't it be a bit silly to have all those spanking new deals in place, but not one with the EU? Currently our biggest trading partner? I mean, why on earth not? The issue, surely, is not whether we get a trade deal with the EU, but whether we get to leave the EU, single market, customs union and we extracate ourselves from the ECJ. Perhaps those who are currently criticising Theresa May's White Paper would care to enlighten us as to what it is that's in there that is causing this hysteria? She is delivering on these things. |
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