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There have been so much anti-EU propaganda that the EU have a website set-up to debunk years of myths:
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Here's the site: http://blogs.ec.europa.eu/ECintheUK/...ths-a-z-index/ Makes interesting reading .. |
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You guys do understand that Germany has 8.4% of the voting weight in the European Council right? This is the same as France, Italy and the UK and just above Spain and Poland. If anything, Germany is under represented due to its population size.
Check out the Treaty of Nice to see how much influence Germany has - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voting...2014.2F2017.29 |
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You cannot be seriously expecting me to believe something written from people paid from the very people we are trying to leave, surely? Quote:
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news...ld-war-7928607 |
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(I stand to be corrected if there's anything more substantial than a press release out there) In the meantime, I will repost this link - https://benefitcostanalysis.org/site...1%20Brexit.pdf which shows the breadth of different sources all telling a similar story. Economics is in inexact science and I don't think anyone would disagree but if almost all reports lean in the same direction, it does seem like there's a trend towards a prediction of a negative impact. Here's a summary on slide 10; Quote:
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There is no model to base a prediction on. It's never happened before anywhere. |
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You could argue however that the lack of precedent does illustrate what a leap in to the unknown this exercise really is. Textbooks and Ph.D. theses will be written about these years in the future. We are living through history here. |
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You have, on this very thread, said that you will 'never' regret your vote to leave the EU so it seems reasonable to assume that you will reject any evidence with the potential to cause regret whether it's the OECD, one of the dozens of studies on this, or the UK's own impact studies if the government ever release them. Probably easier and faster to say 'It's BS because I don't agree with it.'. Quote:
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FWIW it was a stupid, fear-mongering comment from Cameron that was a waste of oxygen, but it's inaccurate to suggest anyone other than Johnson first announced that he meant leaving the EU would trigger World War 3. ---------- Post added at 11:10 ---------- Previous post was at 11:07 ---------- Quote:
According to people who actually know about EU law the concessions David Cameron won were actually about as far as the EU could go. But, hey, various extremely Euro-sceptic politicians and media said otherwise. Experts, pfft. The paranoia is interesting though, fearing that the UK's government would cede powers to the EU. If that happened that would be what's known as Parliamentary democracy in action. It would also likely be direct democracy in action as, as has been mentioned many times and steadfastly ignored, it would trigger a referendum. People speak disdainfully of safe spaces and snowflakes. Safe spaces seem to come in all sorts of forms, one of which being ignoring everything you don't agree with, and snowflakery in a form of being unable to handle the concept that you may be wrong about things. |
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In the wider EU Germany do not have any magical powers to impose their will on everyone. France and the UK can also throw their weight around too. What I would say about Germany is they're more active in the EU than we are. How many European policies have been imposed by Germany? |
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Are you seriously suggesting that Merkel isn't calling virtually all the shots and using her considerable influence combined with Germany's economic muscle to determine events? Germany is at the centre of everything the EU does in one way or another and I can't honestly believe you think that's not the case. |
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Thatcher was the last UK politician who took it to Europe and I'd agree that we ought to have done a lot more of that but we didn't and we can't now. The proof of the UK's 'influence' was Cameron's utter humiliation at the hands of Merkel prior to the referendum that's undeniable. |
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The history of our membership is irrelevant now - we are where we are. Yes the EEC could have been a wonderful thing but somehow it morphed into the EU and evidently the UK didn't/couldn't prevent that. The EU will not budge on its core ambitions and we can't veto or argue any of that reality away. That's why we must get out and stay out to better serve the UK's own interests. |
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The OECD has a good track record on their Brexit forecasts.
OECD in Brexit warning U-turn as it revises growth forecast for UK The OECD, the IMF, the Treasury, Osborne. How the experts got it wrong on the aftermath of a Leave vote. |
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membership of the Union (opening of accession negotiations, association, serious violations of the Union's values, etc.); change the status of an overseas country or territory (OCT) to an outermost region (OMR) or vice versa. taxation; the finances of the Union (own resources, the multiannual financial framework); harmonisation in the field of social security and social protection; certain provisions in the field of justice and home affairs (the European prosecutor, family law, operational police cooperation, etc.); the flexibility clause (352 TFEU) allowing the Union to act to achieve one of its objectives in the absence of a specific legal basis in the treaties; the common foreign and security policy, with the exception of certain clearly defined cases; the common security and defence policy, with the exception of the establishment of permanent structured cooperation; citizenship (the granting of new rights to European citizens, anti-discrimination measures); certain institutional issues (the electoral system and composition of the Parliament, certain appointments, the composition of the Committee of the Regions and the European Economic and Social Committee, the seats of the institutions, the language regime, the revision of the treaties, including the bridging clauses, etc.). Otherwise, qualified majority voting applies which needs at least 16 countries AND 65% of the population to say yes. Germany has 16.5% of the population and 8.4% of the influence. The UK did sign the Maastricht Treaty by the way. I am sure many people here voted for the Conservative party in 1992 and therefore voted for the party that has instrumental in the transformation of the EEC to EU. John Major was PM if I remember rightly. Nearly lost his majority because of it. |
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Well aware of the Masstricht treaty and I've made the point that the situation we find ourselves in was arrived at with the help of certain of our own leaders. Neither side of the political divide has had the monopoly on mistakes and/or misleading the electorate when it comes to the EEC and EU.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/...warns-iceland/ Quote:
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Which brings me to the point at the minute that I have been saying. Germany mainly has influance over the EU among a few others.
The UK is now leaving the EU and you are telling me that Germany or france for that matter have not had any input on how the other nations deal with the UK. They sit back and wait for the likes of Germany to tell them what to do. If that isn't influance then what is? Who actually wants the "cake and eat it?" The other countries are scared they want to see how it all plays out with the UK before they attempt anything. Wasn't the UK exempt from payments to countries like Greece put was told to pay up anyway? |
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The level of paranoia amongst Brexiters about 'johnny foreigner' is comical. Our interests are mutual. Together as countries, we are (were) stronger. Alone, as we're starting to find out, we have little negotiating power.
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Yeah and it's not like there's any increasing racism and right wing extremism evident in Germany, Austria, France, Hungary, Greece, Holland, Poland, etc. etc. :rolleyes:
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The EU feeds into the globalisation thing but I don't think the EU is the main driver, or even a large driver, of this far-right surge. |
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And back in the world of trade deals: Quote:
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Good thought piece from Laura Kuenssberg on the fundamental issue that the UK faces with its Brexit position.
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Ahh, here's Andrew to never fail with his usual 'clutching' at straws, line.
Nobody has. Except for that OECD or ANVCJSJ or AJAJDSJ or DJSJAJ report. :rolleyes: |
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So in the last couple of pages, 'The EU don't negotiate, they dictate as per Juncker's EU ambitions' and Germany tells all other countries what to do. Which is it? Who is your enemy here - the EU or Germany? Probably important to know this when negotiating exit and trade deals...
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IMHO a much more balanced view. |
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While it's true that the reciprocal WTO tariffs fr the EU are low, that article ignores the range. Dairy tariffs are 45.3%, animals are 20.4%, cereals 19% and vegetables over 10%. This has huge implications for the costs of food in this country and our farming industry, especially in Northern Ireland.
Source of tariff info BTW - https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/bo..._e.pdf#page=77 UK trade would not be stopped under WTO but some sectors of industry in the UK will be severely impacted |
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3% on final items being sold to the public is not a big deal. 3% on components, bulk imports/exports, materials etc is a much bigger deal.
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... and the latest from Merkel is: Quote:
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They'll deal with the cost in the same way they've dealt with far larger costs as a result of currency fluctuations. |
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Very irritating for him I should think ;) |
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While we are discussing Guido Fakes and the Order Order website, this article on previous OECD predictions was posted recently - https://order-order.com/2017/10/17/a...ous-forecasts/ on this site.
Taking this article apart, Zelo Street posted this - http://zelo-street.blogspot.com/2017...ar-busted.html . It appears there has been some very selective quoting of OECD figures. *Disclaimer* I don't like Zelo Streets sneering attitude one bit. It is at best childish and unhelpful. However, the facts an relevant links are there once you get over this |
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Mmm yeah I've not read this thread since my previous post but will be leaving it be.
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EU's head pains just keep on getting bigger...
Czech election latest: Europe’s "Donald Trump" WINS election in nightmare for EU Quote:
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The Eurocrats are going to learn that the people of many countries aren't at all happy with their version of what the EU ought to be. |
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https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2017/10/18.png I have no words, just..... :sick: ---------- Post added at 12:25 ---------- Previous post was at 12:18 ---------- Quote:
What's wrong ? Cat stopping you typing ? The Anti-EU sentiment is growing and so it should with those old cretins running it. |
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They are all out to get us, that's for sure..... A psychiatrist would have a field day on this thread !
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That being said, the Czech result shows the popularist movement hasn't stalled but then again we don't have the anti-EU leaders in France and the Netherlands that the original Project Fear promised us. ---------- Post added at 12:44 ---------- Previous post was at 12:42 ---------- Quote:
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The voice of employers is getting louder as understandably, they're worried about the impact the absence a no-transition deal will have on UK employment. An issue many of us on here can relate to but obviously of less importance to the elite like BoJo and Liam Fox.
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I'd like someone to explain why there needs to be more EU not less or even the status quo. Why can't these people stop thinking about expansion and ever closer union and get on with making sure the current club works more fairly? I reckon if they'd done that at some point we wouldn't be where we are and right wing extremism wouldn't be on the increase despite what some people want to accept. :shrug:
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Let's turn this all around and someone tell us all what the EU has offered the UK in order to facilitate things? Where they've been flexible and reasonable? If the answer is 'well they don't have to because we decided to leave them' then that still amounts to them not being willing to compromise (regardless of the reason) and if this is going to be resolved for the best for both sides that's what's going to be required. The UK can't be blamed entirely for the lack of progress when one side has been unwilling to discuss certain key elements of the process. |
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I think right-ring extremism is not an EU thing, it's related to globalisation, automation, income inequality and the ability to spread fake news and cultivate communities of interest that the internet provides. |
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The guy might have a point as he does know a thing or two about economics. |
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He has no valid point. Clearly knows nothing of Brexit stuff, because it’s not taken place yet. Yawn. |
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Whether its a remain rag or a Brexit rag they both come out with bull excretia and untruths on a regular basis...
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You don’t polish turds, but the guardian seems to do it, with ease with these stories. :rolleyes: |
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You've probably been taught by one of these anti-Brexit professors. The sooner the country's rid of these treacherous toads the better! :rolleyes: A jolly fine job the old boy Chris is doing to sort the enemy within out. ;) Quote:
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The only papers I take much notice of are the Telegraph and the Guardian. They both have their own political slants, which you can take into account, but the stories are usually based on facts. Most of the rest of the British press think nothing of totally fabricating stories if it sells more papers or pleases the owners and gives readers what they want to hear. FWIW the Telegraph have also covered the Bloomberg story, if you prefer that source. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017...rt-industries/ (The Mail leads with a sex story, the Sun a Strictly story and the Mirror a chocoholic... British press, worst in the World....) |
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My student status came in handy recently for a Times membership. It's worth reading, it presents enough of things to be accused of bias by both sides of this debate.
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Well the Daily Mail today has revealed that Universities are largely REMAIN supporting with large amounts of students and lecturers who are also remain supporters. Shocking! Must be tough to live in a country surrounded by such traitors :D
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It's another item in the list of the things the Mail hates about Britain.
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We are heading back down a slippery slope in this thread, with language of ‘usual suspects’, nobody is a suspect.
I also do not think it is appropriate to show depictions of people hanging. Do not do this again, please. The post in question has been deleted. |
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http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk...-a8020126.html
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I see you and the rags you read don't know the difference between may and will.
I also note you seem to again appear to be asserting that leavers are uneducated. |
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There are many in this country and others who are educated who have never been to university.
A university degree is not an indication of education especially if measured by the degree attained. |
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My point was more at the hysterical paranoia the Mail is exhibiting by presenting the idea that Universities tend to have students, staff and insinuations which are more liberal and pro-Remain as some sort of shock scandal. They've even asked for examples of this bias. |
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I agree that there is a degree of paranoia in regard to those that have a university degree but it is not just the mail.
I used to do a highly skilled job where a degree student would have been useless as they didn't have the skills. I had to take what they put on paper and make it a reality. |
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I read Christopher Heaton-Harris's letter. It made no mention of why he wanted the information. Advising the reason would have encouraged a good response so I'm sceptical that he wanted it for an uncommissioned book. |
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Someone may appear to do or adocate something without actually doing so. Even this "uneducated " Brexit error realises this. |
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https://twitter.com/pswidlicki/statu...71483679657985
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If Catalonia is successful in their desire for independence, surely they will also cease to be a member of the EU.
If they decide not to negotiate to join the EU, will this be viewed as a further crack in the concept of the whole thing? |
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Cracks are growing far and wide, as they should, EU is a totally corrupt and failed project.
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I don’t think Catalonia has much to do with the EU. This division has been there for longer than the EU has been in existence.
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