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ianch99 18-10-2017 15:39

Re: Brexit discussion
 
There have been so much anti-EU propaganda that the EU have a website set-up to debunk years of myths:

https://www.economist.com/blogs/grap...daily-chart-15

Quote:

THE Brexit campaign has been plagued by little white lies, half-truths and disinformation. Neither side has showered itself in glory in its attempts to persuade the British public of the benefits or drawbacks of EU membership. But Britain has a long and well-observed tradition of fabricating facts about Europe—so much so that the European Commission (EC) set up a website to debunk these lies in the early 1990s
https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2017/10/13.png

Here's the site:

http://blogs.ec.europa.eu/ECintheUK/...ths-a-z-index/

Makes interesting reading ..

Damien 18-10-2017 15:48

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35920679)
If the UK were to try to stop the EU's progression towards its end goal they would find a way to change the rules and yes that could very well be with the assistance of certain our own politicians just like Blair did. Tell me Damien what would you suggest the UK did if that were to happen? No future change of government could undo it.

I would campaign to vote to leave should they do it. I am not going to vote leave based on a hypothetical scenario you've come up with.

Osem 18-10-2017 17:05

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35920685)
I would campaign to vote to leave should they do it. I am not going to vote leave based on a hypothetical scenario you've come up with.

Virtually everything's hypothetical right now - it's just which type of hypothetical is the most risky. There's nothing about the EU which shows they're willing to compromise, change direction or anything else. They can't even allow themselves to allow a major European ally to exit their pipe dream without making a stark point to us and other nations about how painful they will make it and trying to undermine the City of London for example. We know this is true and yet you still prefer to trust them and risk being drawn into something we'll never get out of no matter how we vote. At last at a general election where we can vote for change. Since when did the EU accept a vote for significant change on any of their core principles? I'm sorry, I can accept that life outside the EU won't be a bed or roses and does raise concerns but I find the attitude that a bunch of singleminded Eurocrats acting largely at the behest of Germany can be trusted with this nation's interests more than our own parliament bizarre.

jonbxx 18-10-2017 18:07

Re: Brexit discussion
 
You guys do understand that Germany has 8.4% of the voting weight in the European Council right? This is the same as France, Italy and the UK and just above Spain and Poland. If anything, Germany is under represented due to its population size.

Check out the Treaty of Nice to see how much influence Germany has - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voting...2014.2F2017.29

Mick 18-10-2017 18:41

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35920642)
Understood.

I presume you'll be able to demonstrate why it's fear mongering BS?

Given they got most of their other forecasts wrong, I would say is a given, oh and that big fat sum they were given by the EU, is another?

You cannot be seriously expecting me to believe something written from people paid from the very people we are trying to leave, surely?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet

You'd need to ask Boris Johnson about that. He's the one who mentioned it.

I am pretty sure you mean David Cameron, he definitely mentioned it and I am deliberately including a link to the mirror here, as you know, hardly Tory fans...

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news...ld-war-7928607

Damien 18-10-2017 19:04

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35920696)
You guys do understand that Germany has 8.4% of the voting weight in the European Council right? This is the same as France, Italy and the UK and just above Spain and Poland. If anything, Germany is under represented due to its population size.

Check out the Treaty of Nice to see how much influence Germany has - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voting...2014.2F2017.29

Germany has proven rather reluctant to exert too much influence.

jonbxx 18-10-2017 19:51

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35920702)
You cannot be seriously expecting me to believe something written from people paid from the very people we are trying to leave, surely?

It does beg the question why there haven't been full studies or peer reviewed papers having a pro-Brexit standpoint. I would have thought the combined cash of Tim Martin (worth around £200m) Lord Bamford (£3.1b!) and Jacob Rees-Mogg (£45m) would have paid nicely for a robust pro-Brexit paper somewhere

(I stand to be corrected if there's anything more substantial than a press release out there)

In the meantime, I will repost this link - https://benefitcostanalysis.org/site...1%20Brexit.pdf which shows the breadth of different sources all telling a similar story. Economics is in inexact science and I don't think anyone would disagree but if almost all reports lean in the same direction, it does seem like there's a trend towards a prediction of a negative impact.

Here's a summary on slide 10;

Quote:

Most studies conclude that best scenarii would lead the UK economy to suffer very lightly (around 1% GDP) or even experience net gains (see Booth et al. 2015) while the worst-case scenario envisage ‘only’ a 8% loss of GDP (see HM Treasury 2016).
After that, we're just arguing about how big really.

pip08456 18-10-2017 20:39

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35920709)
It does beg the question why there haven't been full studies or peer reviewed papers having a pro-Brexit standpoint. I would have thought the combined cash of Tim Martin (worth around £200m) Lord Bamford (£3.1b!) and Jacob Rees-Mogg (£45m) would have paid nicely for a robust pro-Brexit paper somewhere

(I stand to be corrected if there's anything more substantial than a press release out there)

In the meantime, I will repost this link - https://benefitcostanalysis.org/site...1%20Brexit.pdf which shows the breadth of different sources all telling a similar story. Economics is in inexact science and I don't think anyone would disagree but if almost all reports lean in the same direction, it does seem like there's a trend towards a prediction of a negative impact.

Here's a summary on slide 10;



After that, we're just arguing about how big really.

The problem is that most studies are based on a proven model, i.e. what has happened elsewhere or previously in the same or similar situation.

There is no model to base a prediction on. It's never happened before anywhere.

jonbxx 18-10-2017 21:19

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35920721)
The problem is that most studies are based on a proven model, i.e. what has happened elsewhere or previously in the same or similar situation.

There is no model to base a prediction on. It's never happened before anywhere.

You are absolutely right, estimates have to be made on the relative costs and I think that is shown by the fairly wide spread of predictions. Ther are some that are known, for example MFN rates under the WTO for imports in to the EU that will have a big influence on our exports. Or the relative costs of importing goods from non-EU states under WTO rules that may need to be extended to EU imports.

You could argue however that the lack of precedent does illustrate what a leap in to the unknown this exercise really is.

Textbooks and Ph.D. theses will be written about these years in the future. We are living through history here.

Ignitionnet 19-10-2017 12:10

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35920702)
Given they got most of their other forecasts wrong, I would say is a given, oh and that big fat sum they were given by the EU, is another?

You cannot be seriously expecting me to believe something written from people paid from the very people we are trying to leave, surely?

The OECD has received more money from the UK than from the EC. The UK is a primary tier funder.

You have, on this very thread, said that you will 'never' regret your vote to leave the EU so it seems reasonable to assume that you will reject any evidence with the potential to cause regret whether it's the OECD, one of the dozens of studies on this, or the UK's own impact studies if the government ever release them.

Probably easier and faster to say 'It's BS because I don't agree with it.'.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35920702)
I am pretty sure you mean David Cameron, he definitely mentioned it and I am deliberately including a link to the mirror here, as you know, hardly Tory fans...

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news...ld-war-7928607

I suspect you Googled Brexit and World War 3.

Quote:

Introduced by Labour ex-Foreign Secretary David Miliband at the British Museum in London, he said: "Can we be so sure peace and stability on our continent are assured beyond any shadow of doubt? Is that a risk worth taking?
He didn't say anything about World War 3. The first mention of it was from Boris Johnson. Peace and stability on our continent isn't assured - Russia are making a PITA of themselves in the east.

FWIW it was a stupid, fear-mongering comment from Cameron that was a waste of oxygen, but it's inaccurate to suggest anyone other than Johnson first announced that he meant leaving the EU would trigger World War 3.

---------- Post added at 11:10 ---------- Previous post was at 11:07 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35920673)
If we remain now it'll be with our tail firmly between our legs and our government in cahoots with those who run the EU will ensure the rules are changed and that we can never leave. Juncker has spelt it out quite clearly and after decades of experience at the hands of these people and certain of our own leaders, it's clearly not just one man's hot air. The UK powerful within the EU? Really? We're so powerful that they wouldn't budge an inch prior to the Brexit vote or since.

Anyway in other EU news:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...it-paper-shows

So much for them bullying us and wanting to make it as hard as possible for us to leave, which you seemed enthusiastic to agree with, oh, yesterday.

According to people who actually know about EU law the concessions David Cameron won were actually about as far as the EU could go. But, hey, various extremely Euro-sceptic politicians and media said otherwise. Experts, pfft.

The paranoia is interesting though, fearing that the UK's government would cede powers to the EU. If that happened that would be what's known as Parliamentary democracy in action. It would also likely be direct democracy in action as, as has been mentioned many times and steadfastly ignored, it would trigger a referendum.

People speak disdainfully of safe spaces and snowflakes. Safe spaces seem to come in all sorts of forms, one of which being ignoring everything you don't agree with, and snowflakery in a form of being unable to handle the concept that you may be wrong about things.

Osem 19-10-2017 13:19

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35920696)
You guys do understand that Germany has 8.4% of the voting weight in the European Council right? This is the same as France, Italy and the UK and just above Spain and Poland. If anything, Germany is under represented due to its population size.

Check out the Treaty of Nice to see how much influence Germany has - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voting...2014.2F2017.29

Yeah their 8% seems to buy them a great deal more influence than any other member state. Just ask the Greeks. Care to explain that? They have to economic might to influence all other members and that's exactly what they do.

Damien 19-10-2017 13:34

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35920808)
Yeah their 8% seems to buy them a great deal more influence than any other member state. Just ask the Greeks. Care to explain that? They have to economic might to influence all other members and that's exactly what they do.

Because Greece were asking for a bailout and Germany have the ability to stop it along with France and other Eurozone nations.

In the wider EU Germany do not have any magical powers to impose their will on everyone. France and the UK can also throw their weight around too. What I would say about Germany is they're more active in the EU than we are. How many European policies have been imposed by Germany?

Osem 19-10-2017 13:50

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35920809)
Because Greece were asking for a bailout and Germany have the ability to stop it along with France and other Eurozone nations.

In the wider EU Germany do not have any magical powers to impose their will on everyone. France and the UK can also throw their weight around too. What I would say about Germany is they're more active in the EU than we are. How many European policies have been imposed by Germany?

Greece is but one example and we can all see what price the German's have made the Greeks pay can't we. The migration crisis was/is another. It was a unilateral decision taken by Merkel without reference to any other nation and the costs/effects have been felt across Europe.

Are you seriously suggesting that Merkel isn't calling virtually all the shots and using her considerable influence combined with Germany's economic muscle to determine events? Germany is at the centre of everything the EU does in one way or another and I can't honestly believe you think that's not the case.

Damien 19-10-2017 14:02

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35920811)
Are you seriously suggesting that Merkel isn't calling virtually all the shots and using her considerable influence combined with Germany's economic muscle to determine events? Germany is at the centre of everything the EU does in one way or another and I can't honestly believe you think that's not the case.

I think Germany are very influential in part because of their size and in part because they're willing to get get involved, a lot of EU nations have full dedicated departments relating to Europe, but I don't see them as 'calling virtually all the shots'. As I said it's easier to member states to stop things than enforce things. Germany, France and the UK are (or in our case can be) the biggest influences on the process and I think it's always been a mistake for us not to be more aggressive in using that influence.

Osem 19-10-2017 14:15

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35920815)
I think Germany are very influential in part because of their size and in part because they're willing to get get involved, a lot of EU nations have full dedicated departments relating to Europe, but I don't see them as 'calling virtually all the shots'. As I said it's easier to member states to stop things than enforce things. Germany, France and the UK are (or in our case can be) the biggest influences on the process and I think it's always been a mistake for us not to be more aggressive in using that influence.

I'm not arguing about the reasons why, merely the fact that Germany dominates the EU. Do you seriously think that any significant change in EU policy would get through without Germany's agreement? Look at how Merkel handled the Ukraine, Turkey etc. It was her effectively running EU policy and she'll have whatever bilateral (or other) talks/negotiations are required in order to get her way.

Thatcher was the last UK politician who took it to Europe and I'd agree that we ought to have done a lot more of that but we didn't and we can't now. The proof of the UK's 'influence' was Cameron's utter humiliation at the hands of Merkel prior to the referendum that's undeniable.

Damien 19-10-2017 14:25

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35920817)
I'm not arguing about the reasons why, merely the fact that Germany dominates the EU. Do you seriously think that any significant change in EU policy would get through without Germany's agreement?

No, but then any significant change in EU policy wouldn't get through without our agreement either.

Quote:

Thatcher was the last UK politician who took it to Europe and I'd agree that we ought to have done a lot more of that but we didn't and we can't now. The proof of the UK's 'influence' was Cameron's utter humiliation at the hands of Merkel prior to the referendum that's undeniable.
I think they made a mistake not giving Cameron more but it would have been more realistic had we spent years cultivating better relationships, promoting various policies, making a concessions in one thing in return for something else and so. Diplomacy. Instead we tended to parachute in, make a bunch of demands, get nowhere then sulk away for a few years before parachuting in again, making demands, and sulking away.

Osem 19-10-2017 14:31

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35920819)
No, but then any significant change in EU policy wouldn't get through without our agreement either.


I think they made a mistake not giving Cameron more but it would have been more realistic had we spent years cultivating better relationships, promoting various policies, making a concessions in one thing in return for something else and so. Diplomacy. Instead we tended to parachute in, make a bunch of demands, get nowhere then sulk away for a few years before parachuting in again, making demands, and sulking away.

There are certain things we can veto and others we can't and the other members can all too often get their way when the UK happens to differ. That's fine for them but not for us when we don't want to be part of the Euro for example.

The history of our membership is irrelevant now - we are where we are. Yes the EEC could have been a wonderful thing but somehow it morphed into the EU and evidently the UK didn't/couldn't prevent that. The EU will not budge on its core ambitions and we can't veto or argue any of that reality away. That's why we must get out and stay out to better serve the UK's own interests.

Mick 19-10-2017 15:57

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35920791)
The OECD has received more money from the UK than from the EC. The UK is a primary tier funder.

You have, on this very thread, said that you will 'never' regret your vote to leave the EU so it seems reasonable to assume that you will reject any evidence with the potential to cause regret whether it's the OECD, one of the dozens of studies on this, or the UK's own impact studies if the government ever release them.

Probably easier and faster to say 'It's BS because I don't agree with it.'.

I don't know how you can instill such forecasts and refer to them as evidence, we have not left the EU yet, so there is no evidence of what might or might not come to be, these forecasts, which is what they just are, which have the potential to be wrong, like they have so in the past, they are essentially just defeatists with their wild, fear mongering theories.

Osem 19-10-2017 16:02

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35920843)
I don't know how you can instill such forecasts and refer to them as evidence, we have not left the EU yet, so there is no evidence of what might or might not come to be, these forecasts, which is what they just are, which have the potential to be wrong, like they have so in the past, they are essentially just defeatists with their wild, fear mongering theories.

Yeah, what happened to all those pre-referendum forecasts from all those expert economists etc. This is all just speculation and it's very easy to come up with an anti-Brexit explanation for just about anything. Large swathes of the media have been doing that since day one. Everything bad is down to Brexit, anything good is in spite of Brexit and won't last. It's pathetic.

pip08456 19-10-2017 16:14

Re: Brexit discussion
 
The OECD has a good track record on their Brexit forecasts.

OECD in Brexit warning U-turn as it revises growth forecast for UK

The OECD, the IMF, the Treasury, Osborne. How the experts got it wrong on the aftermath of a Leave vote.

jonbxx 19-10-2017 16:45

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35920821)
There are certain things we can veto and others we can't and the other members can all too often get their way when the UK happens to differ. That's fine for them but not for us when we don't want to be part of the Euro for example.

The history of our membership is irrelevant now - we are where we are. Yes the EEC could have been a wonderful thing but somehow it morphed into the EU and evidently the UK didn't/couldn't prevent that. The EU will not budge on its core ambitions and we can't veto or argue any of that reality away. That's why we must get out and stay out to better serve the UK's own interests.

Copied and pasted from Wikipedia, here's what we (or any nation) can veto;

membership of the Union (opening of accession negotiations, association, serious violations of the Union's values, etc.); change the status of an overseas country or territory (OCT) to an outermost region (OMR) or vice versa.

taxation;

the finances of the Union (own resources, the multiannual financial framework);

harmonisation in the field of social security and social protection;
certain provisions in the field of justice and home affairs (the European prosecutor, family law, operational police cooperation, etc.);

the flexibility clause (352 TFEU) allowing the Union to act to achieve one of its objectives in the absence of a specific legal basis in the treaties;

the common foreign and security policy, with the exception of certain clearly defined cases;

the common security and defence policy, with the exception of the establishment of permanent structured cooperation;
citizenship (the granting of new rights to European citizens, anti-discrimination measures);

certain institutional issues (the electoral system and composition of the Parliament, certain appointments, the composition of the Committee of the Regions and the European Economic and Social Committee, the seats of the institutions, the language regime, the revision of the treaties, including the bridging clauses, etc.).

Otherwise, qualified majority voting applies which needs at least 16 countries AND 65% of the population to say yes. Germany has 16.5% of the population and 8.4% of the influence.

The UK did sign the Maastricht Treaty by the way. I am sure many people here voted for the Conservative party in 1992 and therefore voted for the party that has instrumental in the transformation of the EEC to EU. John Major was PM if I remember rightly. Nearly lost his majority because of it.

Osem 19-10-2017 17:54

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Well aware of the Masstricht treaty and I've made the point that the situation we find ourselves in was arrived at with the help of certain of our own leaders. Neither side of the political divide has had the monopoly on mistakes and/or misleading the electorate when it comes to the EEC and EU.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/...warns-iceland/

Quote:

Britain has little or no say over decisions made in a European Union increasingly dominated by German interests, Iceland’s prime minister has said.

A leader of non-EU member state, Iceland’s Sigmundur Gunnlaugsson warned larger member states like the UK wield “diminishing power” in institutions still under the sway of the Franco-German alliance.

“When it comes to the big stuff the decisions are made by two, and increasingly one country” Mr Gunnlaugsson told The Telegraph.

“Others are called to meetings to approve of what has been decided, if not in the afternoon then during the middle of the night.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/...a-1024714.html

Quote:

The resistance to rising wages led to German growth, self-confidence and, as a result, power. When Angela Merkel travels to Brussels, she does so as the leader of by far the strongest economy in the euro zone. Policies she doesn't agree with don't get passed. Power as such isn't a bad thing when those that have it use it wisely. But do they?
That's the reality.

Gavin78 19-10-2017 19:18

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Which brings me to the point at the minute that I have been saying. Germany mainly has influance over the EU among a few others.

The UK is now leaving the EU and you are telling me that Germany or france for that matter have not had any input on how the other nations deal with the UK. They sit back and wait for the likes of Germany to tell them what to do.

If that isn't influance then what is? Who actually wants the "cake and eat it?" The other countries are scared they want to see how it all plays out with the UK before they attempt anything.

Wasn't the UK exempt from payments to countries like Greece put was told to pay up anyway?

Mr K 19-10-2017 20:45

Re: Brexit discussion
 
The level of paranoia amongst Brexiters about 'johnny foreigner' is comical. Our interests are mutual. Together as countries, we are (were) stronger. Alone, as we're starting to find out, we have little negotiating power.

Mick 19-10-2017 21:02

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35920895)
The level of paranoia amongst Brexiters about 'johnny foreigner' is comical. Our interests are mutual. Together as countries, we are (were) stronger. Alone, as we're starting to find out, we have little negotiating power.

That's a laugh. The EU don't negotiate, they dictate as per Juncker's EU ambitions. Thank goodness we're leaving.

Osem 19-10-2017 21:33

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Yeah and it's not like there's any increasing racism and right wing extremism evident in Germany, Austria, France, Hungary, Greece, Holland, Poland, etc. etc. :rolleyes:

Damien 19-10-2017 22:15

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35920900)
Yeah and it's not like there's any increasing racism and right wing extremism evident in Germany, Austria, France, Hungary, Greece, Holland, Poland, etc. etc. :rolleyes:

There is also increasing right-wing extremism in America. We've seen it in Norway and the UK to lesser extents. There seems to be a far-right resurgence everywhere which I would put down to the aftermath of the 2008 crisis, a feeling of insecurity over increasing globalisation and in some cases cultural insecurity. I also think people who were always Nazish feel more confident expressing it. The internet has allowed these people to organise better and so on.

The EU feeds into the globalisation thing but I don't think the EU is the main driver, or even a large driver, of this far-right surge.

Osem 19-10-2017 22:43

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35920909)
There is also increasing right-wing extremism in America. We've seen it in Norway and the UK to lesser extents. There seems to be a far-right resurgence everywhere which I would put down to the aftermath of the 2008 crisis, a feeling of insecurity over increasing globalisation and in some cases cultural insecurity. I also think people who were always Nazish feel more confident expressing it. The internet has allowed these people to organise better and so on.

The EU feeds into the globalisation thing but I don't think the EU is the main driver, or even a large driver, of this far-right surge.

It doesn't matter what the main drivers are, the fact is that the EU is moving far more to the right mainly driven by migration issues so let's not buy into all the usual lefty guff that Jonny Foreigner haters only live in the UK.

And back in the world of trade deals:

Quote:

After the news that Germany is seeking a “comprehensive trade accord” with Britain post-Brexit, now Sweden is drawing up plans for the next stage of talks. The Swedish government has asked its National Board of Trade to report on what they want from a trade deal by the end of January.
https://order-order.com/2017/10/19/s...t-trade-plans/

1andrew1 19-10-2017 22:54

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35920791)
The OECD has received more money from the UK than from the EC. The UK is a primary tier funder.

Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35920533)
He who pays the piper...

I shudder to think what the OECD report would have looked like if the UK hadn't bunged them all that money then. ;)

Damien 19-10-2017 22:56

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35920916)

And back in the world of trade deals:



https://order-order.com/2017/10/19/s...t-trade-plans/

As with the Germany case nations are starting to get ready for whenever we move to trade talks. I'm not sure it tells us much other than the EU have the strange idea of being prepared. Something which we should have been before issuing article 50.

1andrew1 19-10-2017 23:07

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Good thought piece from Laura Kuenssberg on the fundamental issue that the UK faces with its Brexit position.
Quote:

Fourth, the EU is still concerned that the UK government is yet to present a clear picture of what it really wants the long-term relationship to be. And it's still the case, sources tell me, that the full cabinet is yet to have a proper discussion that tries to find that answer.
Sounds extraordinary but given how divided the party is, arguably the lack of discussion is what keeps things even vaguely calm. With guns drawn in the Tory party there is no temptation for Theresa May to fire a shot.
And there's nothing in the next couple of days, or even the next couple of months, that's likely to change that or to answer that much more fundamental question.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-41674721

---------- Post added at 22:07 ---------- Previous post was at 22:03 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35920919)
As with the Germany case nations are starting to get ready for whenever we move to trade talks. I'm not sure it tells us much other than the EU have the strange idea of being prepared. Something which we should have been before issuing article 50.

If all you've got to clutch at is straws then that's what I would be doing in Guido Fawkes's position. Every country in the world which trades with us should be undertaking these types of preparations.

Mick 19-10-2017 23:24

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Ahh, here's Andrew to never fail with his usual 'clutching' at straws, line.

Nobody has. Except for that OECD or ANVCJSJ or AJAJDSJ or DJSJAJ report. :rolleyes:

1andrew1 19-10-2017 23:32

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35920895)
The level of paranoia amongst Brexiters about 'johnny foreigner' is comical. Our interests are mutual. Together as countries, we are (were) stronger. Alone, as we're starting to find out, we have little negotiating power.

Exactly. Rocket science it ain't. Who gets the best deal? The local corner shop or Tesco?

jonbxx 20-10-2017 10:02

Re: Brexit discussion
 
So in the last couple of pages, 'The EU don't negotiate, they dictate as per Juncker's EU ambitions' and Germany tells all other countries what to do. Which is it? Who is your enemy here - the EU or Germany? Probably important to know this when negotiating exit and trade deals...

heero_yuy 20-10-2017 11:18

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Liam Halligan
The good news? Using the rules of the World Trade Organisation (WTO) instead is entirely acceptable. It would be a strategic error to think otherwise.

Trading under the global body’s rules is often presented as “disastrous”. That is both alarmist and wrong.

A “bold and ambitious” agreement, keeping trade with the EU largely free of tariffs, is obviously the UK’s preference. The PM made this clear in her Lancaster House speech of January 2017. If we don’t secure an agreement by March 2019, we will then charge reciprocal WTO tariffs, averaging two to three per cent.

This in no way stops UK trade with the EU, as some gloom-mongers claim. All nations have access to the single market provided regulatory standards are met and the generally low tariffs are paid.

The US and China conduct hundreds of billions of dollars of EU trade annually without a free trade agreement.

We can do the same. We already meet EU standards for products and services. And we already sell the majority of our exports beyond the EU, largely under WTO rules.

Liam Halligan's piece

IMHO a much more balanced view.

jonbxx 20-10-2017 12:00

Re: Brexit discussion
 
While it's true that the reciprocal WTO tariffs fr the EU are low, that article ignores the range. Dairy tariffs are 45.3%, animals are 20.4%, cereals 19% and vegetables over 10%. This has huge implications for the costs of food in this country and our farming industry, especially in Northern Ireland.

Source of tariff info BTW - https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/bo..._e.pdf#page=77

UK trade would not be stopped under WTO but some sectors of industry in the UK will be severely impacted

Damien 20-10-2017 12:03

Re: Brexit discussion
 
3% on final items being sold to the public is not a big deal. 3% on components, bulk imports/exports, materials etc is a much bigger deal.

Osem 20-10-2017 12:09

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35920948)
Liam Halligan's piece

IMHO a much more balanced view.

But how does a balanced view fit into project fear part 2?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35920957)
3% on final items being sold to the public is not a big deal. 3% on components, bulk imports/exports, materials etc is a much bigger deal.

Is 3% a much bigger deal than a 20% currency fluctuation?

... and the latest from Merkel is:

Quote:

German chancellor says success can be achieved ‘if we are all clear in our minds’.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Friday she was confident Britain and the rest of the EU could reach a good deal on Brexit “if we are all clear in our minds.”

“From my point of view, there are absolutely no signs that we can’t succeed,” Merkel said early Friday morning after the first day of an EU summit in Brussels.

“If we are all clear in our minds, I have absolutely no doubt that we can reach a good result,” she told reporters.

“What I find it hard to understand, when we need a result by March 2019, is why people are already talking in October 2017 about what might happen at the end of the process,” Merkel said.

The veteran chancellor said there had been progress in the Brexit talks so far but it was not sufficient to move to the second phase, on the future relationship between Britain and the EU.

“I believe, in contrast to the way things are portrayed in the British press, that things are progressing step by step,” Merkel said.
http://www.politico.eu/article/merke...e8f6-189986277

Damien 20-10-2017 12:48

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35920958)
But how does a balanced view fit into project fear part 2?

Not really sure an article in The Sun saying it's all fine is balanced.

Quote:

Is 3% a much bigger deal than a 20% currency fluctuation?
I believe the 3% applies to everything so cross-border manufacturing will take a hit. If car companies face a 3% overhead, twice, for parts moving back and forth as the price for manufacturing in the UK then will they eat that cost?

denphone 20-10-2017 12:56

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35920961)
Not really sure an article in The Sun saying it's all fine is balanced.



I believe the 3% applies to everything so cross-border manufacturing will take a hit. If car companies face a 3% overhead, twice, for parts moving back and forth as the price for manufacturing in the UK then will they eat that cost?

Nothing balanced about The Sun although the same sentiments you can apply to quite a few other newspapers as well IMO.

Osem 20-10-2017 13:53

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35920961)
Not really sure an article in The Sun saying it's all fine is balanced.



I believe the 3% applies to everything so cross-border manufacturing will take a hit. If car companies face a 3% overhead, twice, for parts moving back and forth as the price for manufacturing in the UK then will they eat that cost?

Not sure anyone's saying it's all fine but I think we've had plenty of doom and gloom since last June and that's just as unbalanced. The negativity has been incessant and largely based on very little.

They'll deal with the cost in the same way they've dealt with far larger costs as a result of currency fluctuations.

heero_yuy 20-10-2017 14:16

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35920964)
Nothing balanced about The Sun although the same sentiments you can apply to quite a few other newspapers as well IMO.

Except this wasn't a Sun editorial but by a respected economics commentater with a business track record:

Quote:

Since 2003, Halligan has written his weekly "Economics Agenda" column in The Sunday Telegraph – which has been recognised with a British Press Award.[1][2]

Between 2007 and 2013, he was Chief Economist at Prosperity Capital Management, the world’s largest Russia/CIS-focused asset manager, controlling investments worth over $4bn for a range of institutional clients from Europe, the US and the Middle East, including pension funds, insurance companies, charities and sovereign wealth funds.
Liam Halligan wiki

ianch99 20-10-2017 14:27

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35920977)
Except this wasn't a Sun editorial but by a respected economics commentater with a business track record:

Liam Halligan wiki

You forgot to add that he is an advocate of a Hard Brexit and has a book on this. Hardly a "much more balanced view" ..

1andrew1 20-10-2017 14:31

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35920957)
3% on final items being sold to the public is not a big deal. 3% on components, bulk imports/exports, materials etc is a much bigger deal.

It's the non-tariff concerns that are the main issue with the EU. For supply chains, it's the delay in transport. In services which account for 80% of our exports, it's the need for those services to be regulated by the EU which Theresa May has said no to hence companies like Goldman Sachs setting up in Frankfurt and Esayjet in Spain.

---------- Post added at 13:31 ---------- Previous post was at 13:29 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35920981)
You forgot to add that he is an advocate of a Hard Brexit and has a book on this. Hardly a "much more balanced view" ..

Exactly. It would be more accurate for the OP to describe the poster as someone's views who coincide with his own.

ianch99 20-10-2017 14:48

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35920972)
The negativity has been incessant and largely based on very little

Wow, has you internet stopped working?

Mr K 20-10-2017 16:22

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35920988)
Wow, has you internet stopped working?

Yes, Mr Osem's interweb is broken and is stuck on the 'order-order' website....

Very irritating for him I should think ;)

jonbxx 20-10-2017 16:51

Re: Brexit discussion
 
While we are discussing Guido Fakes and the Order Order website, this article on previous OECD predictions was posted recently - https://order-order.com/2017/10/17/a...ous-forecasts/ on this site.

Taking this article apart, Zelo Street posted this - http://zelo-street.blogspot.com/2017...ar-busted.html . It appears there has been some very selective quoting of OECD figures.

*Disclaimer* I don't like Zelo Streets sneering attitude one bit. It is at best childish and unhelpful. However, the facts an relevant links are there once you get over this

Ignitionnet 21-10-2017 19:03

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Mmm yeah I've not read this thread since my previous post but will be leaving it be.

Substitute 'tweeting' for 'posting'

Quote:

Originally Posted by David Allen Green
Oh, what is the point tweeting about Brexit?

Anyone with a mind knows how it is going, without commentary.

And the mindless don't care.


Mick 22-10-2017 12:51

Re: Brexit discussion
 
EU's head pains just keep on getting bigger...

Czech election latest: Europe’s "Donald Trump" WINS election in nightmare for EU

Quote:


The centrist ANO (YES) movement led by populist billionaire Andrej Babis, dubbed the 'Donald Trump of Europe,' won the election on Saturday.

The former Finance Minister won by a landslide, getting 29.65 percent of the vote.

His ANO movement's decisive win shifted the country to the right.

He is now faced with the challenge of forming a coalition government with more than one of the other eight parties which achieved at least five per cent of the vote.

Speaking at his party headquarters, he said: "I believe we will build a government that will be one team.

“We want to fulfil our programme for a better life in our country."

http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/...-Babis-anti-EU

Mr K 22-10-2017 12:55

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35921329)
EU's head pains just keep on getting bigger..
http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/...-Babis-anti-EU

Thought you didn't read the tabloids Mick ;)

Osem 22-10-2017 13:06

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35921329)
EU's head pains just keep on getting bigger...

Czech election latest: Europe’s "Donald Trump" WINS election in nightmare for EU



http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/...-Babis-anti-EU

Yes but it's all OK in Eurolalaland, we really shouldn't be wanting to get out of such a wonderful club which is in no way starting to unravel. :rolleyes:

The Eurocrats are going to learn that the people of many countries aren't at all happy with their version of what the EU ought to be.

Mick 22-10-2017 13:25

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35921333)

The Eurocrats are going to learn that the people of many countries aren't at all happy with their version of what the EU ought to be.

U.S.E = The United States of Europe.

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2017/10/18.png

I have no words, just..... :sick:

---------- Post added at 12:25 ---------- Previous post was at 12:18 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35921330)
Thought you didn't read the tabloids Mick ;)

I don't, it's a source I am linking to. Nice deflection strategy. ;)

What's wrong ? Cat stopping you typing ?

The Anti-EU sentiment is growing and so it should with those old cretins running it.

Osem 22-10-2017 13:28

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35921337)
U.S.E = The United States of Europe.

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2017/10/18.png

I have no words, just..... :sick:

---------- Post added at 12:25 ---------- Previous post was at 12:18 ----------



I don't, it's a source I am linking to. Nice deflection strategy. ;)

What's wrong ? Cat stopping you typing ?

The Anti-EU sentiment is growing and so it should with those old cretins running it.

Yes it is but it's far easier to deny all of that, whine on about little Englanders, put it all down to tabloid fakery etc etc.

Mr K 22-10-2017 13:33

Re: Brexit discussion
 
They are all out to get us, that's for sure..... A psychiatrist would have a field day on this thread !

denphone 22-10-2017 13:35

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35921347)
They are all out to get us, that's for sure..... A psychiatrist would have a field day on this thread !

Nice to be insulted again Mr K as although my brain works slowly nowadays there is still some saneness there in that empty brain of mine.;)

1andrew1 22-10-2017 13:44

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35921330)
Thought you didn't read the tabloids Mick ;)

I think it takes a clever person than me to link to and post from a source without at the same time reading it! ;)
That being said, the Czech result shows the popularist movement hasn't stalled but then again we don't have the anti-EU leaders in France and the Netherlands that the original Project Fear promised us.

---------- Post added at 12:44 ---------- Previous post was at 12:42 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35921347)
They are all out to get us, that's for sure..... A psychiatrist would have a field day on this thread !

Where does that logo come from? Did someone have a Saturday night in with Paintshop or something? :D

1andrew1 23-10-2017 01:24

Re: Brexit discussion
 
The voice of employers is getting louder as understandably, they're worried about the impact the absence a no-transition deal will have on UK employment. An issue many of us on here can relate to but obviously of less importance to the elite like BoJo and Liam Fox.
Quote:

Major business groups warn Davis over 'serious' Brexit jobs risk
In a strongly worded letter to the Brexit Secretary obtained by Sky News, organisations including the CBI and British Chambers of Commerce demanded "urgent agreement on transition arrangements to give businesses the certainty and time they need to prepare for a new UK-EU economic partnership".
The letter, which was also signed by the bosses of the Institute of Directors, the manufacturers' group EEF and the Federation of Small Businesses, was described by sources as the most forthright warning to date from the "big five" business lobbyists.
Collectively, the quintet represents members employing millions of private sector workers, making theirs a powerful voice in the quest for a smooth Brexit which slows the momentum towards big headcount reductions in UK company workforces.
http://news.sky.com/story/major-busi...-risk-11093313

Hugh 23-10-2017 17:30

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35921351)
I think it takes a clever person than me to link to and post from a source without at the same time reading it! ;)
That being said, the Czech result shows the popularist movement hasn't stalled but then again we don't have the anti-EU leaders in France and the Netherlands that the original Project Fear promised us.

---------- Post added at 12:44 ---------- Previous post was at 12:42 ----------


Where does that logo come from? Did someone have a Saturday night in with Paintshop or something? :D

It's from another forum called NationStates, where people make up countries...

https://www.nationstates.net/page=faq
Quote:

So what is this?

NationStates is a free nation simulation game. You create your own country, fashioned after your own ideals, and care for its people. Either that or you deliberately torture them. It's really up to you.

Is it a serious political thing, or just for fun?

You can play it either way. NationStates does have humorous bent, but that's just because politics is naturally funny.

Osem 23-10-2017 17:57

Re: Brexit discussion
 
I'd like someone to explain why there needs to be more EU not less or even the status quo. Why can't these people stop thinking about expansion and ever closer union and get on with making sure the current club works more fairly? I reckon if they'd done that at some point we wouldn't be where we are and right wing extremism wouldn't be on the increase despite what some people want to accept. :shrug:

Stuart 23-10-2017 18:33

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35920898)
That's a laugh. The EU don't negotiate, they dictate as per Juncker's EU ambitions. Thank goodness we're leaving.

You have evidence of that, or are you just relying on what the Papers tell you?

Osem 23-10-2017 18:49

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Stuart (Post 35921546)
You have evidence of that, or are you just relying on what the Papers tell you?

Well they have kept telling us that they won't discuss trade or anything related to it until we agree to pay up haven't they? They also refused May's offer to sort out the status of EU citizens as a priority or didn't they? :shrug:

Let's turn this all around and someone tell us all what the EU has offered the UK in order to facilitate things? Where they've been flexible and reasonable? If the answer is 'well they don't have to because we decided to leave them' then that still amounts to them not being willing to compromise (regardless of the reason) and if this is going to be resolved for the best for both sides that's what's going to be required. The UK can't be blamed entirely for the lack of progress when one side has been unwilling to discuss certain key elements of the process.

1andrew1 23-10-2017 20:27

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35921544)
I'd like someone to explain why there needs to be more EU not less or even the status quo. Why can't these people stop thinking about expansion and ever closer union and get on with making sure the current club works more fairly? I reckon if they'd done that at some point we wouldn't be where we are and right wing extremism wouldn't be on the increase despite what some people want to accept. :shrug:

How do you define "more fairly"? Would you like the UK to pay in as much per person as Germany does, for example?
I think right-ring extremism is not an EU thing, it's related to globalisation, automation, income inequality and the ability to spread fake news and cultivate communities of interest that the internet provides.

Mr K 24-10-2017 20:35

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Michael Bloomberg, the billionaire media mogul and former mayor of New York, has said Brexit is the “single stupidest thing any country has ever done” apart from the election of Donald Trump as US president.

The 75-year old argued that “it is really hard to understand why a country that was doing so well wanted to ruin it” with the Brexit vote, in a series of outspoken remarks made at a technology conference in Boston a fortnight ago.

At that event, Bloomberg also warned that some workers at the financial media company that bears his name were asking to leave the UK and US because they think the two countries no longer like immigrants and are no longer welcoming.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...y_to_clipboard

The guy might have a point as he does know a thing or two about economics.

Mick 24-10-2017 21:55

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35921714)
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...y_to_clipboard

The guy might have a point as he does know a thing or two about economics.

Another fear project & BS story from the Remoaner rag.

He has no valid point. Clearly knows nothing of Brexit stuff, because it’s not taken place yet. Yawn.

denphone 24-10-2017 22:03

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Whether its a remain rag or a Brexit rag they both come out with bull excretia and untruths on a regular basis...

Mick 24-10-2017 22:30

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35921727)
Whether its a remain rag or a Brexit rag they both come out with bull excretia and untruths on a regular basis...

Yes: but let’s have it right Den, the guardian is a ‘Extra Remoaning Rag’.

You don’t polish turds, but the guardian seems to do it, with ease with these stories. :rolleyes:

Mr K 24-10-2017 22:49

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35921734)

You don’t polish turds, but the guardian seems to do it, with ease with these stories. :rolleyes:

Where as your own favourite Express which you post links to, but claim not to read, is very even handed !

Mick 24-10-2017 23:35

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35921736)
Where as your own favourite Express which you post links to, but claim not to read, is very even handed !

Express is not my favourite, nor ever was. It was a source. You don’t have to like a source to use it as one FFS. :rolleyes:

1andrew1 25-10-2017 01:03

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35921736)
Where as your own favourite Express which you post links to, but claim not to read, is very even handed !

Cut your remoaner nonsense Mr K! People can post links to articles without ever reading the articles in question, and Brexit will be a success. The tea leaves told me so, just believe.
You've probably been taught by one of these anti-Brexit professors. The sooner the country's rid of these treacherous toads the better! :rolleyes:

A jolly fine job the old boy Chris is doing to sort the enemy within out. ;)
Quote:

Leave supporter Chris Heaton-Harris writes asking for names of academics covering Brexit but insists he supports "open" debate.
http://news.sky.com/story/professor-...ities-11096444

denphone 25-10-2017 06:42

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35921734)
Yes: but let’s have it right Den, the guardian is a ‘Extra Remoaning Rag’.

You don’t polish turds, but the guardian seems to do it, with ease with these stories. :rolleyes:

Come on Mick for the moaning left remain Guardian and the red Daily Mirror in one corner in the other corner we have the rabid and fervent Daily Mail , The Express , The Sun and of course the Daily Telegraph but you know that anyway.:)

Osem 25-10-2017 10:12

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35921742)
Express is not my favourite, nor ever was. It was a source. You don’t have to like a source to use it as one FFS. :rolleyes:

No, let's be clear, quoting a source like the Express or Mail automatically means you're a right wing, racist, xenophobic, loony who believes everything they print. Nothing they publish about Brexit, migration etc. is ever true and anyone who believes anything they print only does so because they're a closed minded, little Englander and it's what they want to hear. :rolleyes:

Mr K 25-10-2017 11:04

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35921770)
No, let's be clear, quoting a source like the Express or Mail automatically means you're a right wing, racist, xenophobic, loony who believes everything they print. Nothing they publish about Brexit, migration etc. is ever true and anyone who believes anything they print only does so because they're a closed minded, little Englander and it's what they want to hear. :rolleyes:

Well, that's a bit over the top but you said it ! It's frightening the number of people that believe and follow these rags.

The only papers I take much notice of are the Telegraph and the Guardian. They both have their own political slants, which you can take into account, but the stories are usually based on facts. Most of the rest of the British press think nothing of totally fabricating stories if it sells more papers or pleases the owners and gives readers what they want to hear.

FWIW the Telegraph have also covered the Bloomberg story, if you prefer that source.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017...rt-industries/
(The Mail leads with a sex story, the Sun a Strictly story and the Mirror a chocoholic... British press, worst in the World....)

Ignitionnet 25-10-2017 20:27

Re: Brexit discussion
 
My student status came in handy recently for a Times membership. It's worth reading, it presents enough of things to be accused of bias by both sides of this debate.

Damien 26-10-2017 09:55

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Well the Daily Mail today has revealed that Universities are largely REMAIN supporting with large amounts of students and lecturers who are also remain supporters. Shocking! Must be tough to live in a country surrounded by such traitors :D

Mr K 26-10-2017 09:58

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35921864)
Well the Daily Mail today has revealed that Universities are largely REMAIN supporting with large amounts of students and lecturers who are also remain supporters. Shocking! Must be tough to live in a country surrounded by such traitors :D

Yes maybe 'traitors' or just more educated. Burn their books I say ! ;)

Damien 26-10-2017 10:02

Re: Brexit discussion
 
It's another item in the list of the things the Mail hates about Britain.

Mick 26-10-2017 11:26

Re: Brexit discussion
 
We are heading back down a slippery slope in this thread, with language of ‘usual suspects’, nobody is a suspect.

I also do not think it is appropriate to show depictions of people hanging. Do not do this again, please. The post in question has been deleted.

Mr K 26-10-2017 12:24

Re: Brexit discussion
 
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk...-a8020126.html
Quote:

The Government has been accused of presiding over a Brexit “shambles” after the minister leading negotiations was forced into an embarrassing climbdown, while officials highlighted major flaws in the UK’s withdrawal plans.

Brexit Secretary David Davis performed a same-day U-turn after angering Downing Street by claiming the House of Commons may not get to approve any Brexit deal until after the country has left the EU.

In a difficult day for Theresa May, the UK’s ex-ambassador to Brussels also suggested her approach could leave Britain “screwed” in negotiations, while HMRC could not say border systems will be ready in time for a “no deal” Brexit.
All going well isn't it ? Our wonder 'team' can't even agree with each other...

pip08456 26-10-2017 18:32

Re: Brexit discussion
 
I see you and the rags you read don't know the difference between may and will.
I also note you seem to again appear to be asserting that leavers are uneducated.

Damien 26-10-2017 18:50

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35921962)
I see you and the rags you read don't know the difference between may and will.
I also note you seem to again appear to be asserting that leavers are uneducated.

Well the Daily Mail is saying the Universities are Remain strongholds (which they are ).

pip08456 26-10-2017 19:34

Re: Brexit discussion
 
There are many in this country and others who are educated who have never been to university.
A university degree is not an indication of education especially if measured by the degree attained.

Damien 26-10-2017 19:46

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35921978)
There are many in this country and others who are educated who have never been to university.
A university degree is not an indication of education especially if measured by the degree attained.

Well I think a degree is an indication of education but I agree it's not the only measure of education, intelligence or skill.

My point was more at the hysterical paranoia the Mail is exhibiting by presenting the idea that Universities tend to have students, staff and insinuations which are more liberal and pro-Remain as some sort of shock scandal. They've even asked for examples of this bias.

pip08456 26-10-2017 22:52

Re: Brexit discussion
 
I agree that there is a degree of paranoia in regard to those that have a university degree but it is not just the mail.
I used to do a highly skilled job where a degree student would have been useless as they didn't have the skills.
I had to take what they put on paper and make it a reality.

1andrew1 26-10-2017 23:12

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35921982)
My point was more at the hysterical paranoia the Mail is exhibiting by presenting the idea that Universities tend to have students, staff and insinuations which are more liberal and pro-Remain as some sort of shock scandal. They've even asked for examples of this bias.

Daily Mail and Express fans may well disagree, but these aren't the traditional values that have put the Great into Great Britain.
I read Christopher Heaton-Harris's letter. It made no mention of why he wanted the information. Advising the reason would have encouraged a good response so I'm sceptical that he wanted it for an uncommissioned book.

TheDaddy 26-10-2017 23:28

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35921962)
I see you and the rags you read don't know the difference between may and will.
I also note you seem to again appear to be asserting that leavers are uneducated.

Did he ever say that leavers are uneducated or did he link to a story in a paper saying that or doesn't that matter

pip08456 26-10-2017 23:56

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35921999)
Did he ever say that leavers are uneducated or did he link to a story in a paper saying that or doesn't that matter

What part of appear don't you understand?
Someone may appear to do or adocate something without actually doing so.

Even this "uneducated " Brexit error realises this.

1andrew1 27-10-2017 00:14

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35922006)
What part of appear don't you understand?
Someone may appear to do or advocate something without actually doing so.
Even this "uneducated " Brexit error realises this.

Are you suggesting that it is possible that if someone says, "Links posted from news sources are not necessarily my opinion. I don't have the time or the crayons to keep explaining this" they may be advocating the opinions expressed in those very links?

pip08456 27-10-2017 00:28

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35922008)
Are you suggesting that it is possible that if someone says, "Links posted from news sources are not necessarily my opinion. I don't have the time or the crayons to keep explaining this" they may be advocating the opinions expressed in those very links?

I would not be that inane or uneducated.

TheDaddy 27-10-2017 00:29

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35922006)
What part of appear don't you understand?
Someone may appear to do or adocate something without actually doing so.

Even this "uneducated " Brexit error realises this.

I don't understand the word adocate for a start. I've posted links to articles I don't agree with just to stimulate debate.

1andrew1 27-10-2017 00:34

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35922014)
I don't understand the word adocate for a start. I've posted links to articles I don't agree with just to stimulate debate.

As we all do and acknowledged in post #488. It would be a dull world otherwise.

Damien 27-10-2017 13:54

Re: Brexit discussion
 
https://twitter.com/pswidlicki/statu...71483679657985

Quote:

Interesting, UBS says it's had "regulatory and political clarifications” making it less likely it'll move as many as 1000 jobs out of London
So what does that mean? The two main concerns they have are continuation of regulatory rules and access to labour. Has the government told them this will remain in some respect?

1andrew1 28-10-2017 00:27

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35922076)
https://twitter.com/pswidlicki/statu...71483679657985



So what does that mean? The two main concerns they have are continuation of regulatory rules and access to labour. Has the government told them this will remain in some respect?

The FT surmises that he believes there will be a transition deal.

RichardCoulter 28-10-2017 02:40

Re: Brexit discussion
 
If Catalonia is successful in their desire for independence, surely they will also cease to be a member of the EU.

If they decide not to negotiate to join the EU, will this be viewed as a further crack in the concept of the whole thing?

Mick 28-10-2017 12:49

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Cracks are growing far and wide, as they should, EU is a totally corrupt and failed project.

Mr K 28-10-2017 13:39

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35922185)
Cracks are growing far and wide, as they should, EU is a totally corrupt and failed project.

Well we've done rather well out of it. GDP growth exceeding that of France, Germany and the USA since we joined.

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Osem 28-10-2017 13:42

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35922185)
Cracks are growing far and wide, as they should, EU is a totally corrupt and failed project.

Well it's obvious that cracks had been appearing before Brexit and is the real answer to those, more of the same? If the EU has actually committed to changing course on anything much could someone let us know because I can't see much evidence of it which begs the question 'how big do the cracks have to become before they do?'

Damien 28-10-2017 13:44

Re: Brexit discussion
 
I don’t think Catalonia has much to do with the EU. This division has been there for longer than the EU has been in existence.

Osem 28-10-2017 15:54

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35922197)
I don’t think Catalonia has much to do with the EU. This division has been there for longer than the EU has been in existence.

The Catalonia problem certainly has been around much longer but everything that happens within the EU has something to do with it and the way in which they handle it and any repercussions, as with Brexit, will say a lot about them. Good or bad only time will tell.

1andrew1 28-10-2017 16:34

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 35922162)
If Catalonia is successful in their desire for independence, surely they will also cease to be a member of the EU.

If they decide not to negotiate to join the EU, will this be viewed as a further crack in the concept of the whole thing?

I'm not sure that the existing EU member states would allow Catalonia to join as it could encourage break-away regions in other countries.

RichardCoulter 28-10-2017 17:57

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35922228)
I'm not sure that the existing EU member states would allow Catalonia to join as it could encourage break-away regions in other countries.

You make a good point Andrew.


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