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-   -   UK & EU Agree Post-Brexit Trade Deal (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33708171)

heero_yuy 05-12-2020 08:15

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36060984)
Don’t forget plenty of tinfoil, for your head.

Well if there's no toilet rolls and you need to use copies of the Gruniad don't come complaining here. :D

papa smurf 05-12-2020 09:56

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
If a deal is done, chances are

a it gets voted down in the house.

b it gets vetoed by France

Any way we are close now ,we just have virtually the same stumbling blocks we had when all this started.

heero_yuy 05-12-2020 10:04

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
We were supposed to have walked away from this nonsense in June. :rolleyes:

Now the remain supporters are wanting an "implementation" period. Just more delays.

Chris 05-12-2020 10:10

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36061028)
If a deal is done, chances are

a it gets voted down in the house.

b it gets vetoed by France

Any way we are close now ,we just have virtually the same stumbling blocks we had when all this started.

If it gets voted down anywhere, we default to No Deal. I’m pretty sure that this is the scenario the UK side has played for all along - to close off the possibility of any more parliamentary pantomime. It will ultimately suit Macron as well if he has to put a “deal or no deal” scenario before his legislature. The French want the fish, but under “no deal” they get nothing, as of 3 weeks and six days from now.

papa smurf 05-12-2020 10:14

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36061030)
If it gets voted down anywhere, we default to No Deal. I’m pretty sure that this is the scenario the UK side has played for all along - to close off the possibility of any more parliamentary pantomime. It will ultimately suit Macron as well if he has to put a “deal or no deal” scenario before his legislature. The French want the fish, but under “no deal” they get nothing, as of 3 weeks and six days from now.

The Salmon in my freezer could soon be worth a fortune on the black market.

Carth 05-12-2020 10:40

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36061031)
The Salmon in my freezer could soon be worth a fortune on the black market.

Chances are you didn't catch that from the end of the pier on a cold wet Tuesday evening :D

papa smurf 05-12-2020 10:58

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36061032)
Chances are you didn't catch that from the end of the pier on a cold wet Tuesday evening :D

Salmon is a kind of legal/illegal tender around here, you do a job for someone they pay you in salmon, you're right there is no salmon in the Humber unless it's lost
but Grimsby docks fish market is teeming with it;)

1andrew1 05-12-2020 12:01

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36060965)
The tariffs are applied to the export consignment, not the quayside wholesaler. There is no visible difference as far as fishermen catching in British waters and landing in British ports are concerned, unless the export purchasers attempt to drive the price they're prepared to pay down by 20% to allow for the tariff they are then going to have to pay. That is unlikely to happen though, because the British fishermen will be in control of the market and the exporters will not easily be able to fulfil demand from restaurants in France from other sources.

Conversely, if the UK concedes a significant amount of fishing permission to the EU it is possible that certain fish demand could be satisfied by EU trawlers fishing in British waters, then landing the catch in EU ports. No tariff is then due. Hence why this is such a vexed issue.

Quite a few cases doing the rounds of companies in the EU asking UK suppliers to absorb any tariffs. Easier to ask if there are substitute providers though.

In terns of ceding fishing permission, the UK has done this by selling permits to the highest bidder regardless of nationality. So taking a different stance here would benefit British fishermen.

In the short term, wholesalers may take a hit but the restaurant sector in Europe has been hit hard by Covid and any savings will be gratefully received. Depending on location, British fishermen could relocate their bases to the island of Ireland and avoid the 20% tax and thus be more attractive to EU wholesalers.

But hopefully, a deal will be struck and it will not come to this.

Chris 05-12-2020 12:14

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
The fishing permit situation is complex, however the EU's regulatory regime did its fair share in making it much more attractive for British fishermen (mostly English as it happens) to sell their quotas. Cod fishing was all but banned for several years and a lot of the quota was consequently sold off by trawler owners who needed to concentrate on making a living there and then. It was bought speculatively by large fishing businesses in other EU states. Not being small owner-operators of individual vessels, these businesses could afford to make the long-term investment and wait for cod stocks to recover, in a way small UK-based operators could not. They are now the ones cashing in on so much of the fish caught within the UK's exclusive economic zone.

Mr K 05-12-2020 13:18

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
All carefully stage managed theatrics to con the Brexiteers that we're getting a 'great deal'.

The real deal will already gave been done. Pretend the EU want 10 year fishing rights, when really they'd settle for 5, and the Brexiteers want none. Then sell 5 as a marvellous UK 'victory over Johnny Foreigner. Fact is even with a deal we all lose badly for decades. Increased prices on everything, here we come. Enjoy taking back control ! ;)

Mad Max 05-12-2020 13:28

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36061055)
All carefully stage managed theatrics to con the Brexiteers that we're getting a 'great deal'.

The real deal will already gave been done. Pretend the EU want 10 year fishing rights, when really they'd settle for 5, and the Brexiteers want none. Then sell 5 as a marvellous UK 'victory over Johnny Foreigner. Fact is even with a deal we all lose badly for decades. Increased prices on everything, here we come. Enjoy taking back control ! ;)


Source?

Mr K 05-12-2020 13:31

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36061057)
Source?

Economics is the source old chap. I'm afraid Farage has done you up like a (u)kipper.

Mad Max 05-12-2020 13:33

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36061058)
Economics is the source old chap. I'm afraid Farage has done you up like a (u)kipper.

Not at all, we all have a vote, you just happened to vote the wrong way.;)

papa smurf 05-12-2020 13:42

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36061057)
Source?

Talking out of his arse so you can guess the source;)

---------- Post added at 13:42 ---------- Previous post was at 13:41 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36061058)
Economics is the source old chap. I'm afraid Farage has done you up like a (u)kipper.

it's being bitter and twisted that keeps you going isn't it.:)

Mick 05-12-2020 18:18

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
BREAKING: A joint statement from Boris Johnson and the President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen says "significant differences remain on three critical issues: level playing field, governance and fisheries."

A No Deal Brexit it is then.

jfman 05-12-2020 18:22

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
We will fold before it comes to that. It's all about giving Boris something unpalatable but polished up enough for him to sell.

Sephiroth 05-12-2020 18:43

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Yesterday's leader in the Torygraph was pitched exactly right.

Quote:

It was always likely that the trade talks with the EU would go down to the wire.
On the face of it, each side has every incentive to reach mutually beneficial terms, given the enormous amount of trade we do with each other, as well as our close diplomatic and military partnership. But the EU is not a simple trade bloc. It is an ideological project devoted to ever closer union. No country has ever left before, and Brussels has been determined from the start that no country will ever do so again.

Set against the EU's intransigence, the UK's position is not unreasonable: it wishes to regain its sovereignty and be treated like any other third country, while enjoying profitable trading relations with its European friends. In practice, this means UK control over its laws, borders and waters.

On this last point, however, the talks are stuck......
Any Remainer must, by corollary, be have had the wish to remain with the ideological EU project.

Although the latest news is that the two sides are returning to negotiations, the opposing forces described in the two paragraphs quoted above, now make agreement unlikely.

The EU wants to punish us and in response I say NO FISH FOR FRANCE.


1andrew1 05-12-2020 18:45

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
The German motor manufacturers are just filling up and are ready to come to rescue the deal as David Davis promised us they would. ;)

Sephiroth 05-12-2020 18:53

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36061102)
The German motor manufacturers are just filling up and are ready to come to rescue the deal as David Davis promised us they would. ;)

What would the French motor manufacturers think to that? Ride ff the backs of the Germans? o Eat less Fish?

Hugh 05-12-2020 18:58

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36061101)
Yesterday's leader in the Torygraph was pitched exactly right.



Any Remainer must, by corollary, be have had the wish to remain with the ideological EU project.

Although the latest news is that the two sides are returning to negotiations, the opposing forces described in the two paragraphs quoted above, now make agreement unlikely.

The EU wants to punish us and in response I say NO FISH FOR FRANCE.


Oh noes!!!

I wonder if they can buy fish from anyone else?

Mad Max 05-12-2020 19:13

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36061106)
Oh noes!!!

I wonder if they can buy fish from anyone else?


Iceland...:D

Sephiroth 05-12-2020 19:14

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36061106)
Oh noes!!!

I wonder if they can buy fish from anyone else?

So why is Macron digging in on fish?

papa smurf 05-12-2020 19:15

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36061108)
So why is Macron digging in on fish?

Election in 2022

1andrew1 05-12-2020 19:43

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36061104)
What would the French motor manufacturers think to that? Ride ff the backs of the Germans? o Eat less Fish?

They probably thought the same as many people - it was nonsense.

---------- Post added at 19:43 ---------- Previous post was at 19:42 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36061107)
Iceland...:D

:D

Pierre 05-12-2020 20:33

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36061106)
Oh noes!!!

I wonder if they can buy fish from anyone else?

Not North Atlantic Langoustines ......well not in the quantity they’re used to.

---------- Post added at 20:33 ---------- Previous post was at 20:29 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36061099)
BREAKING: A joint statement from Boris Johnson and the President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen says "significant differences remain on three critical issues: level playing field, governance and fisheries."

A No Deal Brexit it is then.

I’d be happy for it to go that way, just to see what happens. As they say, don’t go into a negotiation if you’re not prepared to walk away. If we have to walk away, then walk away, it is just part of the negotiations. It certainly would not be the end of anything.

Mr K 05-12-2020 20:55

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36061117)
Not North Atlantic Langoustines ......well not in the quantity they’re used to.

---------- Post added at 20:33 ---------- Previous post was at 20:29 ----------



I’d be happy for it to go that way, just to see what happens. As they say, don’t go into a negotiation if you’re not prepared to walk away. If we have to walk away, then walk away, it is just part of the negotiations. It certainly would not be the end of anything.

And if you don't like what happens? Like a dog, Brexit isn't just for Christmas. Its not like a general election and you can change your mind in a few years. This will affect your kids future.

Chris 05-12-2020 21:12

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36061120)
And if you don't like what happens? Like a dog, Brexit isn't just for Christmas. Its not like a general election and you can change your mind in a few years. This will affect your kids future.

The trend is for the EU to do more and more trade deals with the world’s major economies over time. If there’s not a deal next week, there’s going to be one some time fairly soon. Like Pierre I’m now more curious about what will happen if it’s no deal. I think there’s a reasonably good chance that will happen now, and that it will be a far bigger shock in Brussels than here (although the commentariat here will be predictably shrill). I think Brussels doesn’t believe we will walk, and that if we do, that misapprehension will be off the table by the time talks resume some time next year.

Pierre 05-12-2020 21:14

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36061120)
And if you don't like what happens? Like a dog, Brexit isn't just for Christmas. Its not like a general election and you can change your mind in a few years. This will affect your kids future

Phhhffftt.

If i don’t like what happens I’ll have to ff’n get on with it and make the best of it. The world will not end. We’re talking about how much more, or how less we may have to pay for a few things. You will accuse me of being simplistic and not understanding, but I understand perfectly. Brexit, Covid, financial crash, dot.com crash........that’s just the last 20years............, yadda yadda whatever, all things pass.

1andrew1 05-12-2020 21:18

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36061117)
It certainly would not be the end of anything.

Nissan disagrees with you.
Quote:

With a Brexit deadline just days away, Britain's biggest car plant "will not be sustainable" if there is no deal, Nissan has warned.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-54986195

As does Sir Julian King
Quote:

Sir Julian King, the UK's last commissioner in Brussels, said that the UK would instantly lose access to a range of EU databases which share data about criminals from across the EU.
https://www.businessinsider.com/uk-i...20-9?r=US&IR=T

Chris 05-12-2020 21:24

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
We shall see.

France’s demands for all the fish might start scaling back towards something a little more reasonable once they’re on the outside of our waters looking in. To be fair I can’t see Brussels loosening its ideological attachment to the ECJ having a role in dispute resolution though.

Pierre 05-12-2020 21:33

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36061128)

Not the end of any negotiations..........

However, as you’ve brought it up, it’s interesting that you’re willing to throw the entire U.K. fishing sector under the bus, but not 1no. Car plant?

I don’t know if Nissan would pull out or not, but then as I say “no deal” would not be the end of negotiations.

In regards to intelligence, the U.K. will remain as a member of five eyes, NATO and a whole raft of other partnerships. To suggest we would be disadvantaged is ball cocks and always has been.

Leaving the EU will not affect our membership of Interpol.

1andrew1 05-12-2020 21:52

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36061130)
However, as you’ve brought it up, it’s interesting that you’re willing to throw the entire U.K. fishing sector under the bus, but not 1no. Car plant?

Where have I said this? I've just pointed out that the owners of the largest car plant in the UK disagree with you.

I suspect British fish won't be gracing the menus of too many restaurants in France if there is no deal and French fishermen are protesting about their damaged livelihoods.

Whatever happens, this won't be the end of negotiations. We'll be negotiating our relationship with the EU forever.

Pierre 05-12-2020 22:13

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36061131)
Where have I said this?

Well not directly, but you are a Remainer happy to be rodgered by whatever way the EU sees fit and I assume ( tell me if I’m wrong) to sacrifice U.K. fisheries to EU demands.

Then you highlight the situation at the Nissan plant as something that would be terrible ( which of course it would be)...........but you don’t seem to be keen on highlighting the issue of the impact on fisheries

That’s the point.

Quote:

Whatever happens, this won't be the end of negotiations. We'll be negotiating our relationship with the EU forever.
Which......I think....... was........my......point......all.....along.

1andrew1 05-12-2020 22:39

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36061132)
Well not directly, but you are a Remainer happy to be rodgered by whatever way the EU sees fit and I assume ( tell me if I’m wrong) to sacrifice U.K. fisheries to EU demands.

Then you highlight the situation at the Nissan plant as something that would be terrible ( which of course it would be)...........but you don’t seem to be keen on highlighting the issue of the impact on fisheries

That’s the point.


Which......I think....... was........my......point......all.....along.

Very happy to oblige - you were wrong in your previous post and you're wrong in this one too.

I picked just two distinct areas to highlight the flaws in your statement, security and Nissan.

I have previously highlighted the plight of British fishermen and the increased paperwork and potential delays they face even with a deal.

No deal won't won't simply benefit fishermen in the UK and disbeneft French fishermen. Both parties will suffer.

Mr K 06-12-2020 17:00

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Food prices will increase if there is not a deal, a minister has admitted, as he suggested there could be an increase of 1 to 2 per cent.

George Eustice acknowledged that there will be "some impact" on food prices if the UK fails to get a trade deal with the EU, despite ministers having previously promised that food would be cheaper for British shoppers.

The Environment Secretary said: “Obviously if we don't have a trade agreement with the EU we will be applying tariffs to some of those imports and that's likely to mean that in the short term there would be a small, modest increase in food prices.”

During the Vote Leave campaign one of its manifesto pledges was that Brexit would make food cheaper. However Mr Eustice conceded that food items such as pork and beef were likely to see price rises
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics...r-admits-says/

Strange it didn't say this on the side of the bus...

Maybe we'll become a nation of vegetarians. Some good may come from Brexit after all ;)

nomadking 06-12-2020 17:10

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36061167)
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics...r-admits-says/

Strange it didn't say this on the side of the bus...

Maybe we'll become a nation of vegetarians. Some good may come from Brexit after all ;)

Isn't a 1-2% rise within the bounds of a standard annual inflationary rise?

Mr K 06-12-2020 17:15

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36061168)
Isn't a 1-2% rise within the bounds of a standard annual inflationary rise?

Annual inflationary rises usually take place over a year ( the clue is in the name 'annual').

This would be in addition and virtually overnight.

nomadking 06-12-2020 17:21

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36061169)
Annual inflationary rises usually take place over a year ( the clue is in the name 'annual').

This would be in addition and virtually overnight.

Changes in individual prices tends to go up in one go, not in a monthly or weekly manner.

Sephiroth 06-12-2020 17:53

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36061167)
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics...r-admits-says/

Strange it didn't say this on the side of the bus...

Maybe we'll become a nation of vegetarians. Some good may come from Brexit after all ;)

Whinge, whinge, whinge.

On the plus side, we will control our own destiny and come out on the right side when things have settled down. Had we stayed in the EU, they would have strangled us with their rules which they are still trying to do.

Mr K 06-12-2020 18:21

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36061171)
Whinge, whinge, whinge.

On the plus side, we will control our own destiny and come out on the right side when things have settled down. Had we stayed in the EU, they would have strangled us with their rules which they are still trying to do.

The problem there is the bunch of clowns we're left with controlling our destiny. They're like a Monty Python sketch. Unfortunately for us, their incompetence has led to led to us having the highest number of Covid deaths in Europe

Some of the EU rules were genuine beneficial - workers, consumer and environmental protections . A hinderance to the mega wealthy maybe. It's our own Govt. we need protection from.

Sephiroth 06-12-2020 19:04

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36061174)
The problem there is the bunch of clowns we're left with controlling our destiny. They're like a Monty Python sketch. Unfortunately for us, their incompetence has led to led to us having the highest number of Covid deaths in Europe

Some of the EU rules were genuine beneficial - workers, consumer and environmental protections . A hinderance to the mega wealthy maybe. It's our own Govt. we need protection from.

What? And we won't be maintaining these henceforth?
Of course we will.

And to your other point, all politicians are a bunch of clowns (with a few exceptions).


TheDaddy 06-12-2020 19:24

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36061171)
Whinge, whinge, whinge.

On the plus side, we will control our own destiny and come out on the right side when things have settled down. Had we stayed in the EU, they would have strangled us with their rules which they are still trying to do.

Yes because nothing says controlling your destiny more than relying on other countries for food.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36061174)

A hinderance to the mega wealthy maybe. It's our own Govt. we need protection from.

QFT

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36061182)
What? And we won't be maintaining these henceforth?
Of course we will.


I'm convinced we won't be maintaining them, the big ones like working time will remain but the ones that make it harder to get rid of people or discriminate will be done away with, I'll put money on it here and now and never forget the contempt large parts of the current government have for British workers, we know this thanks to that crappy book three of them were involved with

nomadking 06-12-2020 19:53

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36061174)
The problem there is the bunch of clowns we're left with controlling our destiny. They're like a Monty Python sketch. Unfortunately for us, their incompetence has led to led to us having the highest number of Covid deaths in Europe

Some of the EU rules were genuine beneficial - workers, consumer and environmental protections . A hinderance to the mega wealthy maybe. It's our own Govt. we need protection from.

In what way were those ever meant to be beneficial to businesses, other than in the main, German ones who already had their own ones which they needed to impose on everybody else in the name of a "level playing field".

When did we vote for any of those rules?
We opted out of the Social Chapter and the Working Time Directive, but were still forced to adopt it, in a backdoor and underhand manner. They didn't do that in the name of helping UK businesses.:rolleyes:

Hugh 06-12-2020 19:59

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36061187)
In what way were those ever meant to be beneficial to businesses, other than in the main, German ones who already had their own ones which they needed to impose on everybody else in the name of a "level playing field".

When did we vote for any of those rules?
We opted out of the Social Chapter and the Working Time Directive, but were still forced to adopt it, in a backdoor and underhand manner. They didn't do that in the name of helping UK businesses.:rolleyes:

They were beneficial to UK employees...

nomadking 06-12-2020 20:14

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36061189)
They were beneficial to UK employees...

How is being out of a job, beneficial?:confused:

GrimUpNorth 06-12-2020 20:22

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36061192)
How is being out of a job, beneficial?:confused:

If we get a no deal I'm sure they'll be plenty of people out of work in the new year who'll be able to tell you how they feel they've benefited from the removal of their rights :rolleyes:

Hugh 06-12-2020 21:03

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36061192)
How is being out of a job, beneficial?:confused:

Citation, please?

1andrew1 06-12-2020 21:10

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36061192)
How is being out of a job, beneficial?:confused:

Enough jobs have been lost already through Brexit. We don't want to lose any more through no deal.
https://smallbusinessprices.co.uk/brexit-index/

Damien 06-12-2020 21:19

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Fishing rights sorted: https://news.sky.com/story/brexit-ma...tions-12153801

nomadking 06-12-2020 21:25

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36061199)
Enough jobs have been lost already through Brexit. We don't want to lose any more through no deal.
https://smallbusinessprices.co.uk/brexit-index/

1) It was about the impact of EU imposed rules.
2) Dec 2019

Quote:

UK unemployment fell to its lowest level since January 1975 in the three months to October this year.

1andrew1 06-12-2020 21:30

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36061202)
1) It was about the impact of EU imposed rules.
2) Dec 2019

I think your reply may be intended for Hugh.

---------- Post added at 21:30 ---------- Previous post was at 21:30 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36061200)

Good news!

papa smurf 06-12-2020 21:36

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36061200)

However, a UK government source has said there has been "no breakthrough on fishing", adding "Nothing new has been achieved today."

Damien 06-12-2020 21:38

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Yeah just seen that. Bit weird.

nomadking 06-12-2020 21:46

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36061204)
I think your reply may be intended for Hugh.

---------- Post added at 21:30 ---------- Previous post was at 21:30 ----------


Good news!

:confused: You were the one complaining about Brexit supposedly leading to a loss of jobs, that would supposedly continue.

---------- Post added at 21:46 ---------- Previous post was at 21:41 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36061200)

Sounds the same as what was offered to the EU before.
Link

Quote:

Britain has offered a three-year transition period for European fishing fleets to allow them to prepare for the post-Brexit changes as part of an 11th-hour deal sweetener.

Sephiroth 06-12-2020 21:53

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
A pity. I wanted to see Macron wriggle in front of the French fishermen.

1andrew1 06-12-2020 22:26

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36061209)
:confused: You were the one complaining about Brexit supposedly leading to a loss of jobs, that would supposedly continue

No supposedly about it as evidence has been listed.

Carth 06-12-2020 23:04

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36061218)
No supposedly about it as evidence has been listed.


Really? Where?

Evidence please, not something a nobody has tweeted, or a daily rag has printed, or papers 'leaked' to a news program :p:

nomadking 06-12-2020 23:07

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36061218)
No supposedly about it as evidence has been listed.

Evidence?
From your link.

How are Council job losses connected to Brexit?
West Midlands Ambulance service?
Steel works have had problems for decades.
Thomas Cook?
Vague non-figures such Glasgow City Council predicting 24,000, and 133,000 from fall in foreign direct investment.
The 4,320 supposedly possible for Yorkshire from fall in foreign investment is double counting at the very least.

Of course the job loss at "My Itchy Dog" in Arundel was purely down to Brexit.:rolleyes:
The 100 for the BBC in Berkshire were announced a few weeks after the vote, so the reorganisation and moving of the facilities would've been planned before the vote.


Bunch of staggeringly unbelievably biased nonsense figures.

1andrew1 06-12-2020 23:46

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36061220)
Really? Where?

Evidence please, not something a nobody has tweeted, or a daily rag has printed, or papers 'leaked' to a news program :p:

This rules out a lot of stuff. :D

This Full Fact article (an independent fact-checking organisation) provides a thoughtful perspective.
https://fullfact.org/economy/eu-refe...onomy-and-you/

---------- Post added at 23:30 ---------- Previous post was at 23:28 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36061198)
Citation, please?

It appears that none exists. ;)

---------- Post added at 23:46 ---------- Previous post was at 23:30 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36061221)
Evidence?
From your link.

How are Council job losses connected to Brexit?
West Midlands Ambulance service?
Steel works have had problems for decades.
Thomas Cook?
Vague non-figures such Glasgow City Council predicting 24,000, and 133,000 from fall in foreign direct investment.
The 4,320 supposedly possible for Yorkshire from fall in foreign investment is double counting at the very least.

Of course the job loss at "My Itchy Dog" in Arundel was purely down to Brexit.:rolleyes:
The 100 for the BBC in Berkshire were announced a few weeks after the vote, so the reorganisation and moving of the facilities would've been planned before the vote.


Bunch of staggeringly unbelievably biased nonsense figures.

That contains a handful of disputable entries which you have flagged.

If you want some more information on how a decline in growth impacts jobs, see the FullFact article linked earler. If you want a plain link on an example of job losses, see https://www.cityam.com/big-banks-shi...te-ey-reports/

nomadking 07-12-2020 00:48

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36061222)
This rules out a lot of stuff. :D

This Full Fact article (an independent fact-checking organisation) provides a thoughtful perspective.
https://fullfact.org/economy/eu-refe...onomy-and-you/

---------- Post added at 23:30 ---------- Previous post was at 23:28 ----------


It appears that none exists. ;)

---------- Post added at 23:46 ---------- Previous post was at 23:30 ----------


That contains a handful of disputable entries which you have flagged.

If you want some more information on how a decline in growth impacts jobs, see the FullFact article linked earler. If you want a plain link on an example of job losses, see https://www.cityam.com/big-banks-shi...te-ey-reports/

The list of council job losses in that list, is more than a handful. I'm not going to check each and every one.


The accusation was made that EU directives aimed at employees were beneficial to businesses. France had a huge unemployment problem as a result of workers rights, which Macron wanted to get rid of.
Link

Quote:

His sweeping overhaul of labor rules aims to inject greater flexibility into the job market and kickstart hiring after decades of high unemployment.
Of course the unions objected to that.
Extra workers rights harms businesses and employment.


Link

Quote:

What to consider if you invest in the United Kingdom
Strong Points One of the main strengths of the UK economy in attracting FDI is that its economy is one of the most liberal in Europe and its business environment is extremely favourable to FDI :
  • The country is ranked 8th in the World Bank's 2020 Doing Business guide.
  • The speed of launching a business is, for example, a very good indicator: setting up a business takes on average 13 days in the United Kingdom while the European average is 32 days. According to this indicator, the country is ranked first in Europe and sixth in the world.
  • London has many strengths: it is a world leader in the financial services sector, its banking sector is healthy and robust
  • Exports are structurally competitive and diversified
  • The legal framework is among the most flexible in the world
  • The unemployment rate is one of the lowest in Western economies.

In other words, the UK is still one of the best countries in the World for investment and starting a business.

1andrew1 07-12-2020 09:51

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36061233)
In other words, the UK is still one of the best countries in the World for investment and starting a business.

The exam question was - have any jobs been lost through Brexit. The FullFact and City AM article both answer this question.

Your other discussion on the impact of EU employment law on competitiveness was with Hugh.

1andrew1 07-12-2020 12:14

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Very unsatisfactory and far from oven-ready.
Quote:

Plans for Irish Sea trade border after Brexit in ‘a mess’

Industry bodies call for one-year implementation period to bed down new processes


With less than a month to go until the new border comes into force, the haulage, manufacturing and food industry bodies warned that businesses have insufficient time to adjust to the new system.

The new border arrangements for trade between Great Britain and Northern Ireland — part of the Northern Ireland protocol contained in the UK’s withdrawal agreement with the EU last October — will be introduced on January 1, regardless of the outcome of the trade talks due to continue in Brussels on Monday. The Northern Ireland trade bodies called on Michael Gove, the Cabinet Office minister, to seek a one-year implementation period with the EU to bed down the new processes that will require all goods travelling from Great Britain to Northern Ireland to comply with EU customs rules — a demand that negotiators on both sides consider unrealistic. Aodhán Connolly, the director of the Northern Ireland Retail Consortium, said that new research by the Northern Ireland Business Brexit Working Group (NIBBWG) showed that the vast majority of businesses could not prepare in time...

Haulage groups said that even if those concessions were won they would come too late for smaller businesses and would not cover wholesalers and manufacturers. “The timing piece around this, with all the paperwork, just won’t work,” said Richard Burnett the head of the Road Haulage Association. “Frankly, it’s just a mess.” The government has earmarked £200m for its Trader Support Service (TSS), but Northern Irish civil servants preparing for Brexit have warned that registration was still in “early stages” and levels of preparedness were “low”. The TSS, a consortium run by Fujitsu and the Customs Clearance Consortium, a customs intermediary group, will not process export health certificates — a key problem for many businesses — and is frequently unable to answer basic questions, trade groups said.
https://www.ft.com/content/3c0358ad-...3-0bd2c546811f

Hugh 07-12-2020 12:42

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36061233)
The list of council job losses in that list, is more than a handful. I'm not going to check each and every one.


The accusation was made that EU directives aimed at employees were beneficial to businesses. France had a huge unemployment problem as a result of workers rights, which Macron wanted to get rid of.
Link

Of course the unions objected to that.
Extra workers rights harms businesses and employment.


Link

In other words, the UK is still one of the best countries in the World for investment and starting a business.

No one said that - Mr K posted

Quote:

Some of the EU rules were genuine beneficial - workers, consumer and environmental protections . A hinderance to the mega wealthy maybe. It's our own Govt. we need protection from.
You then posted
Quote:

In what way were those ever meant to be beneficial to businesses

1andrew1 07-12-2020 13:18

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Ironically, there's talk that France's working hours have helped keep the country more productive than the UK and have enabled it to leapfrog the UK in terms of wealth. A more productive country is obviously better for business.

TheDaddy 07-12-2020 13:41

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36061207)
However, a UK government source has said there has been "no breakthrough on fishing", adding "Nothing new has been achieved today."

Good, the only positive with the brexit fish distraction is the fish puns, the whole thing would be piscine me off otherwise

Sephiroth 07-12-2020 14:17

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36061254)
Ironically, there's talk that France's working hours have helped keep the country more productive than the UK and have enabled it to leapfrog the UK in terms of wealth. A more productive country is obviously better for business.

Not doubting you but a source for your version of this might be helpful.

papa smurf 07-12-2020 14:23

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36061260)
Not doubting you but a source for your version of this might be helpful.

Sounds like you don't read wishful thinking magazine ;)

Carth 07-12-2020 14:30

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
I don't know why people are making such a big deal of it . . .

. . alleged jobs that will be lost due to Brexit - versus - jobs lost in the 3 years preceding the referendum vote, any idea which is highest? :p:

1andrew1 07-12-2020 14:35

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36061260)
Not doubting you but a source for your version of this might be helpful.

Of course. There's quite a few including:

Quote:

The lower number of hours worked in France reflects in part a relatively high labour productivity - the amount of goods and services produced per hour of work.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/34667552

Quote:

In France people work fewer hours and take more holidays than their peers across the Channel. So why are they more productive?
https://www.theguardian.com/small-bu...oductive-brits

Quote:

Many people will claim that the French have greater productivity, thus allowing for shorter working hours. This claim has some credence with France consistently ranking among the top earners per hours worked according to the OECD each year. French workers earned on average $67.8 per hour, placing us in the top ten for 2017. In contrast, the UK hit $53.5, suggesting that longer working hours may not equate to greater productivity.
http://sixcontinents.fr/en/2018/10/3...re-productive/

nomadking 07-12-2020 14:39

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36061254)
Ironically, there's talk that France's working hours have helped keep the country more productive than the UK and have enabled it to leapfrog the UK in terms of wealth. A more productive country is obviously better for business.

The measuring of productivity by using GDP has no connection with working hours. Are we really meant to believe that Italy is around as productive as Germany? Bulgaria is half of the EU average with the same EU working rules. Based upon an 100 average for the EU27, the figures for 2019 range from Bulgaria 49.1 to Germany 103.7, Italy 104.9, right up to Ireland with 197.

How does that work?

1andrew1 07-12-2020 14:40

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36061261)
Sounds like you don't read wishful thinking magazine ;)

I believe Seph is familiar with Vote Leave's manifesto. ;)

Sephiroth 07-12-2020 15:06

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36061264)
The measuring of productivity by using GDP has no connection with working hours. Are we really meant to believe that Italy is around as productive as Germany? Bulgaria is half of the EU average with the same EU working rules. Based upon an 100 average for the EU27, the figures for 2019 range from Bulgaria 49.1 to Germany 103.7, Italy 104.9, right up to Ireland with 197.

How does that work?

You have a point there. The OECD 2019 report of France bears that out.

https://www.oecd.org/france/oecd-pro...hts-france.pdf

Quote:

Highlights
 Labour productivity within French market service industries has stagnated over the entire 2002-15 period; in manufacturing industries, productivity has grown until 2011 but has stalled since.

 Productivity dispersion has increased more than wage dispersion over the period, which may be linked to the effect of labour market institutions.

 The productivity-wage premium is weaker than in other countries, especially at the top, suggesting a partial decoupling of wages and productivity.

 Labour allocation has increasingly contributed to aggregate productivity in manufacturing, while the contribution in services is quasi-nil, although increasing.
Oddly (to me) the OECD productivity comparison did not include the UK but did include Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Chile, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Sweden, Switzerland.




---------- Post added at 15:06 ---------- Previous post was at 15:01 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36061265)
I believe Seph is familiar with Vote Leave's manifesto. ;)

The over-riding message in the Vote Leave manifesto was to take back control. I hope that's what will happen.



Hugh 07-12-2020 15:21

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
As long as "taking back control" includes "taking responsibility"...

1andrew1 07-12-2020 16:15

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Boris Johnson has backed down and offered to drop the clauses in the Brexit Bill that would break international law, in a bid to break the deadlock in the talks.
The prime minister made the major concession after the EU signalled the final deadline for a deal is Wednesday – despite insisting the UK would “prosper” without an agreement.
In a statement, the government said it would only take out the clauses if the “solutions being considered” as the talks drag on in Brussel reach an agreement.
Nevertheless, the move will be seen as significant climbdown, after ministers insisted they were necessary as ‘a safety net” – regardless of whether a deal was agreed or not.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknew...rtan-ntp-feeds

jonbxx 07-12-2020 16:45

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36061272)

Mmm, I fear that we may have made a blunder in even openly and knowingly considering breaking the Withdrawal Agreement.

Despite rolling back, some rock solid governance clauses are going to be needed here I think

Mr K 07-12-2020 16:53

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
We've promised not to break the law... That's big of us !

1andrew1 07-12-2020 17:50

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36061279)
Mmm, I fear that we may have made a blunder in even openly and knowingly considering breaking the Withdrawal Agreement.

Despite rolling back, some rock solid governance clauses are going to be needed here I think

Agreed, I'm not sure the implications were well thought through.

---------- Post added at 17:50 ---------- Previous post was at 17:08 ----------

Useful backgrounder on why the EU does not want a bad deal with the UK.
Quote:

For the EU, a bad Brexit deal would involve granting the British unfettered market access, while leaving open the possibility that businesses based in the UK could undercut their European competitors by operating under laxer regulations. That is why the EU is so insistent on a “level-playing field” on regulations, as a condition for a trade deal.

The British argue that Canada was not held to similar standards as a condition for its deal with the EU. But Canada did not get completely tariff and quota-free access to the European single market. And the UK is right on the EU’s doorstep, and so potentially poses a much bigger competitive challenge.

European governments know that if they get this wrong, they could sustain long-term economic and political damage at home. The fear of stoking domestic Euroscepticism also lies behind France’s hardline position on fishing in the Brexit negotiations. The last thing that President Emmanuel Macron needs, ahead of a presidential election in 2022, is to devastate fishing communities in a region that is already trending towards the far-right.
https://www.ft.com/content/5a84ce50-...b-2df08e1f8497

TheDaddy 07-12-2020 18:34

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36061281)
We've promised not to break the law... That's big of us !

Think it's more of an aspiration than a promise

Sephiroth 07-12-2020 18:38

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 


In response to Andrew:

I think we know all that - indeed it's all displayed right now in Brussels and last week in London.

What that all amounts to is that the EU wants us to remain under their effective control in terms of the economy. You, Andrew, should not be wanting that. Do you?.


Chris 07-12-2020 19:07

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
As of right now, the three sticking points are still 'level playing field', dispute resolution and fishing. All of them have implications for UK sovereignty, which is the whole point of the Brexit project - something the EU somehow still doesn't seem to understand, given that even now there is still no immediate prospect of a breakthrough.

Mr K 07-12-2020 19:19

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36061293)
As of right now, the three sticking points are still 'level playing field', dispute resolution and fishing. All of them have implications for UK sovereignty, which is the whole point of the Brexit project - something the EU somehow still doesn't seem to understand, given that even now there is still no immediate prospect of a breakthrough.

Maybe they do understand, its we that have misunderstood. They're happy to let us go rather than give us the benefits of membership without membership. It's a crazy thing to ask for and they'd be mad to grant it.

No deal clearly isn't an option we've genuinely planned for. Hence Boris rushing to Brussels cap in hand.... Who is chasing who? We've miscalculated.

Damien 07-12-2020 19:20

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
If the Government really wants a deal then the level playing field is the only dealbreaker I can see there.

Fishing is a case of trading away more allocation for better access, i.e for the city. Fishing is more important to the French and access to the services market is more important for the UK. There is a basis for a deal there. Setting a time limit more than a year might also be a compromise especially if it punts the issue past the French Presidental Elections - the French have domestic politics to consider as well after all.

I just can't see fishing blowing up the entire deal.

jonbxx 07-12-2020 19:21

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Well it's looking more and more like no deal is coming. Considering Boris Johnson said that this would be a 'failure of statecraft for which we would all be responsible' is his position tenable going forward?

Mr K 07-12-2020 19:22

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36061295)
If the Government really wants a deal then the level playing field is the only dealbreaker I can see there.

Fishing is a case of trading away more allocation for better access, i.e for the city. Fishing is more important to the French and access to the services market is more important for the UK. There is a basis for a deal there. Setting a time limit more than a year might also be a compromise especially if it punts the issue past the French Presidental Elections - the French have domestic politics to consider as well after all.

I just can't see fishing blowing up the entire deal.

Fish is a Red Herring. Always has been. As long as we can put Union Jack on a boat we're happy....

Pierre 07-12-2020 19:35

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36061293)
As of right now, the three sticking points are still 'level playing field', dispute resolution and fishing. All of them have implications for UK sovereignty, which is the whole point of the Brexit project - something the EU somehow still doesn't seem to understand, given that even now there is still no immediate prospect of a breakthrough.

Well I hope we keep our resolve and walk away if we need to. Us walking away would certainly not be the end, but at least it would finally let the EU know we are serious.

Just some thoughts

1. Level playing field? It nothing of the sort. It should be called the “you adhere to all our rules and laws...field”. Which is not on, as long as our products and services are of an equal standard how deliver them is down to us and no one else.


2. Fishing, I find the whole fishing question crazy. How can a sovereign nation not be in control of it’s own waters? It's not that France, Spanish, Dutch etc wouldn’t be allowed in, but it must be up to the U.K. to decide how many and how much they can catch.

Just as Norway and the EU currently do. Surely this should be acceptable and if not why not.

https://ec.europa.eu/fisheries/press...ements-2020_en


3. ECJ. What sovereign nation would allow themselves to be ruled over by a foreign court? Can anyone name one outside of the EU. Surely a system like they use for Canada should be acceptable, and if not why not?

https://www.lexology.com/library/det...e-0fc5dac44b80

1andrew1 07-12-2020 19:38

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36061293)
As of right now, the three sticking points are still 'level playing field', dispute resolution and fishing. All of them have implications for UK sovereignty, which is the whole point of the Brexit project - something the EU somehow still doesn't seem to understand, given that even now there is still no immediate prospect of a breakthrough.

They do understand it. They just think accepting such demands is worse for them than no deal, per my earlier post.

Pierre 07-12-2020 19:42

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36061294)
Maybe they do understand, its we that have misunderstood. They're happy to let us go rather than give us the benefits of membership without membership. It's a crazy thing to ask for and they'd be mad to grant it.

No deal clearly isn't an option we've genuinely planned for. Hence Boris rushing to Brussels cap in hand.... Who is chasing who? We've miscalculated.

They’re just doing what they have always done, using “trade” as excuse for other means.

They used “trade” to set up the EEC, and then try to force political Union.

They are now using “trade” again to enforce their political will onto us.

---------- Post added at 19:42 ---------- Previous post was at 19:41 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36061296)
Well it's looking more and more like no deal is coming. Considering Boris Johnson said that this would be a 'failure of statecraft for which we would all be responsible' is his position tenable going forward?

Absolutely. I would rather he walk away then sell us out, that I would find untenable.

1andrew1 07-12-2020 20:57

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
If you make a deal with the Devil to gain power, then he ends up on top. Johnson made such a deal when he jumped into bed with Brexit.

He is now stuck between the evangelical leavers of the European Reform Group and the EU which needs to protect its Single Market.

The weak-minded in his party may have honestly believed that the UK holds all the cards. Johnson knows we don't. He also knows we have little to offer the EU apart from concessions, but also knows that no-deal would be hugely damaging to the economy and the Conservative Party.

It would be interesting to be a fly on the wall in Brussels.

Chris 07-12-2020 21:46

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
The Conservative Party's parliamentary majority is based almost entirely on the will of the electorate to 'Get Brexit Done' - which clearly encompasses the permanent arrangements between the UK and the EU, and not just the simple act of leaving the bloc. It's desperately fashionable to portray this purely as power politics or party management, but the democratic dimension should not be overlooked or minimised. BoJo must now implement what the electorate mandated him to do.

Mr K 07-12-2020 22:16

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36061312)
The Conservative Party's parliamentary majority is based almost entirely on the will of the electorate to 'Get Brexit Done' - which clearly encompasses the permanent arrangements between the UK and the EU, and not just the simple act of leaving the bloc. It's desperately fashionable to portray this purely as power politics or party management, but the democratic dimension should not be overlooked or minimised. BoJo must now implement what the electorate mandated him to do.

What's that ? Try and be slightly competent ? Or just quit in a few months, leave someone else to pick up the pieces, and retire to his millions ?

It's the poor that will suffer, so no loss to Johnson/Farage/Rees-Mogg there.

Carth 07-12-2020 22:34

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36061272)

Quote:

Boris Johnson has backed down and offered to drop the clauses in the Brexit Bill that would break international law, in a bid to break the deadlock in the talks.

Is that the same story as this one Andrew? Slightly different heading ;)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-55217535
Quote:

Brexit: MPs reinsert controversial sections of Internal Market Bill.

MPs have voted to reinstate controversial sections of a new law to allow ministers to override sections of the UK's Brexit divorce deal.
The House of Lords previously voted to take them out - but MPs backed government plans to put them back in during a vote on Monday.
Discuss :p:

1andrew1 08-12-2020 09:55

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
1 Attachment(s)
A reminder of what Michael Gove advised us all back in 2016. ;)

When is Jean-Claude Juncker joining UKIP? :D

Sephiroth 08-12-2020 11:13

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36061329)
A reminder of what Michael Gove advised us all back in 2016. ;)

When is Jean-Claude Juncker joining UKIP? :D

Damn! Needs putting back to Gove.

1andrew1 08-12-2020 11:41

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36061299)
3. ECJ. What sovereign nation would allow themselves to be ruled over by a foreign court? Can anyone name one outside of the EU. Surely a system like they use for Canada should be acceptable, and if not why not?

https://www.lexology.com/library/det...e-0fc5dac44b80

Keep up Pierre! The EU conceded on the ECJ yonks ago! It wants EU firms to be able to sue in British courts if the UK weakens its adherence to agreed standards in a way that gives UK firms an unfair competitive advantage. However, the UK has declined this idea.

https://www.itv.com/news/2020-12-07/...-boris-johnson

Peston poses a good question:

Quote:

If you voted for Brexit, did you think it was a state of pure and perfect national independence, or did you think that given how connected the UK is to the EU - economically, diplomatically, in respect of security - it might be a bit of a fudge and compromise?

Is Brexit an absolute state of putative grace - or a place on a spectrum, somewhere between Switzerland and Norway, which are semi-independent, and North Korea, which is wholly independent?

Chris 08-12-2020 12:27

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Er no, invoking North Korea isn’t a good question. AFAIK Peston is sympathetic towards Brexit however the way he paints it here, he sounds like he’s in the so-called “soft Brexit” (remember that?) EFTA camp.

No nation exists in a sovereign vacuum, not even North Korea, because it relies on its coal trade with China and that is what ultimately keeps Kim on a leash (just not America’s leash, which is most of the problem as far as the West is concerned).

However there is a common sense basic understanding of national sovereignty that is not undermined by a State’s free choice to sign a treaty with another. There are also the sorts of treaties that link fundamentally unconnected considerations - such as, for example, access to fishing waters and general agreement on trade tariffs - in a way that seriously limits a state’s agency and the prospect of future renegotiation. The EU is itself a spider’s web of precisely these sorts of treaties, and its negotiating aim throughout has been to keep the UK as closely tied to as much of it as possible.

After 2 rapid general elections the Tory party finally worked out that delivering Brexit meant decoupling the UK from any EU treaty that would be more onerous to us than anything Canada might have agreed to. It is highly unlikely that anything in the Canada-EU trade agreement is going to have any significant impact on Canada’s ability to manage its domestic regulatory regime as it sees fit. That’s something the EU isn’t prepared to tolerate in the UK’s case and that’s why questions of sovereignty are still front and centre at such a late stage.

Hugh 08-12-2020 12:43

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
For clarification - btw, the Canada deal took 8 years to negotiate, and still isn’t signed off by all the member states...

What is a 'Canada-style' trade deal? https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-45633592

Quote:

Is the UK's trade with the EU like Canada's?

Countries that are closer to each other tend to trade more, especially in goods, and this is the case with the UK and the EU.

The UK exported £291bn of goods and services to other EU countries in 2018, which was 45% of all UK exports.

It imported £357bn of goods and services from the EU, which was 53% of all UK imports.

On the other hand, Canada exported 46.2bn Canadian dollars (£26.7bn) of goods and services to the EU in 2017, which was 7.9% of its exports

It imported 63.6bn Canadian dollars of goods and services to the EU, which was 10.5% of its imports.
Quote:

It does little for the trade in services and in particular almost nothing for the trade in financial services, which is very important for the UK economy.

Sephiroth 08-12-2020 13:12

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
I consider it perfectly reasonable for any third party, UK registered or EU registered, to have access to the UK courts in respect of alleged treaty breaches by the UK.


1andrew1 08-12-2020 13:21

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36061350)
I consider it perfectly reasonable for any third party, UK registered or EU registered, to have access to the UK courts in respect of alleged treaty breaches by the UK.


I'm assuming BoJo is building up a store of things he can be shown to be later conceding on, namely UK courts for treaty remedies and removing the unlawful parts of the Internal Market Bill.

Hugh 08-12-2020 13:55

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36061350)
I consider it perfectly reasonable for any third party, UK registered or EU registered, to have access to the UK courts in respect of alleged treaty breaches by the UK.


Agreed - but how long before the Red Tops start (continue) calling Judges "Enemies of the People", or Number 10 calls Judges "politically biased"?

---------- Post added at 13:55 ---------- Previous post was at 13:40 ----------

Good news!

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-55229681
Quote:

Brexit: UK and EU reach deal on Northern Ireland border checks

The UK and EU have reached agreement on how rules in the withdrawal agreement will be implemented, particularly in relation to Northern Ireland.

The government says an agreement in principle has been found for issues including border control posts and the supply of medicines.

The government says it will now withdraw controversial clauses in the Internal Market Bill.

However negotiations to reach a post-Brexit trade deal are still ongoing.

The details of the agreement have not been published but are expected to be rubber stamped in the coming days.

They will apply regardless of whether the two sides can agree a trade deal.

Cabinet Office minister Michael Gove said he was "delighted" and thanked the European Commission Vice-President Maroš Šefčovič for his teams "constructive and pragmatic approach".
https://www.gov.uk/government/public...awal-agreement

Sephiroth 08-12-2020 14:32

Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36061354)
Agreed - but how long before the Red Tops start (continue) calling Judges "Enemies of the People", or Number 10 calls Judges "politically biased"?
<snip>

Is there evidence to suggest this might happen (excluding the vehement press)?


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