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You only need to listen to what the opposition parties in Scotland are saying this evening to understand just how much they wanted Humza Useless to get the job rather than Kate Forbes. Here, try reading some Scottish political commentary from someone who knows what he’s talking about: https://news.stv.tv/politics/bernard...icola-sturgeon |
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What I do know is that the tide of demographics favour independence. The younger voters, by far, favour independence and as the older voters pass on, this view will get more & more entrenched. There is also a large majority in favour of gay marriage in Scotland, a policy that Forbes could and would not support. |
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The younger voters may well favour independence. But are they wise enough to understand what shooting yourself in the foot means in the context of finance?
Scotland can't make it on its own. |
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Humza Yousaf is the SNP establishment placeman. Nothing much will change under his watch, which is a bullet not dodged but very much to the brain for the SNP given the problems it faces. In particular, the SNP’s desire to merge health and social care, a policy he has been intimately involved with as health secretary, is in serious trouble and facing opposition from local authorities and trade unions. If he lacks the political skill to deliver one flagship policy he’s unlikely to thrive as FM in charge of the whole lot. The chickens will have very come home to roost by the time the next Holyrood election comes round in 2026, by which time the SNP will have been in power for 19 years. Yousaf has done nothing to show he has the political skill required to defy gravity and win another election, and much to suggest he lacks that ability. Kate Forbes was the one the SNP heirarchy very much did not want in charge yet she ended the contest with 48% of the support - this from paid up, politically engaged members of what is supposedly an extremely politically progressive party. The reality is, the SNP has for the last 20 years been what the clique running it has decided it is, and not at all reflective of its wider membership except on the narrow issue of independence. This is unsurprising given that the SNP is really just a single issue pressure group forced to act as a full-on political party in order to secure its core aim. Forbes’ social conservatism was popular with - or at least tolerable to - almost half the SNP’s membership, and she was notably more popular with the public at large than either Yousaf or Regan (net approval ratings -8, -20 and -24 respectively). https://news.stv.tv/politics/humza-y...lic-poll-finds To sum it all up … the only way you can conclude that the SNP has dodged a bullet by choosing Yousaf is if you personally approve of what he represents in terms of a socially progressive Scotland. Because based on actual facts - prior competence in office, likely ability to win a difficult election, alignment with actual Scottish social values - he’s a distant second to Forbes. Which is why every opposition leader in Scotland with the exception of the Greens was celebrating last night. |
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You didn’t answer the question - why wouldn’t he be in the SNP? |
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I think you need to appreciate that other people can have different viewpoints and not always conclude that yours is always the only authoritative one. |
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And so it begins..
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotla...team=editorial https://news.sky.com/story/kate-forb...ousaf-12844341 Quote:
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Well it proves he’s got no intention of uniting the party. A warning sign to the “small c” conservatives who support independence that Chris alludes to that their principles and values don’t have a home in his “big tent”.
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27 of the 28 that have Ministerial/Cabinet posts publicly backed Yousaf.
The other tweeted they couldn’t back an FM who would have voted against same sex marriage on about day 3 of the campaign. |
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At least we all know what to expect for the next 2-3 years. Forbes has landed on her feet here, she can sit on the backbenches while she pops out a young family, then challenge for the leadership again when Useless makes a mess of things in 2026.
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So he’s already got nearly half the party against him and his current supporters will soon become disillusioned with his incompetence. He won’t last five minutes. |
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If Scottish Labour (despite their own uselessness) make inroads at a likely Starmer win at the next general election, the prospect of aligning their manifesto for 2026 with UK Government objectives (but better under devolution) might see a nervousness among MSPs fearful for their own seat on the gravy train. |
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One thing I haven't heard mention is where are the SNP going to get the money they need to run Scotland, as more people live in London than live in Scotland.
I guess the Indy voters are wearing blinkers until the realise that their free prescriptions and uni will suddenly end. |
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https://www.economicsobservatory.com...onomic-success |
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The new leader is described by his family as "Naughty (been done for speeding amongst other gaffes), but nice
His friends say that people underestimate him at their peril in this 15 minute profile of him at the weekend: https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m001kprv |
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Here’s an alternative view: Quote:
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Is todays news something to do with the recent surprise changes to the top of the SNP?
https://news.sky.com/story/man-58-ar...ances-12850333 |
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We will never know for certain, but the funding scandal has been bubbling for some time now and it was always going to blow up at some point. To be honest Sturgeon’s skill set is presentation and party management/discipline but when it comes to devising and delivering a coherent policy programme she was hopeless. There are a raft of measures now in place or shortly to come into force that will cause one major headache after another for Humza Useless over the next few months and any or all of them may have contributed to her sense that the time had come to bail out.
Just yesterday we had the unedifying spectacle of a rapist getting community service for repeatedly attacking a 13 year old girl. The judge was compelled to go easy on him because he was 17 at the time he committed rape and thanks to the SNP the sentencing guidelines are now so heavily tilted in favour of rehabilitation rather than punishment, the judge had little choice. In Scotland as conceived by the SNP you’re mature enough to vote in a general election at 16, you’re mature enough to decide to change legal gender at 16, but at 17 you’re not mature enough to fully understand that rape is wrong. There there now, why don’t you go and weed the community vegetable patch for a couple of weeks. |
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Apparently not a good day to bury bad news … not if you’re the SNP anyway, as Polis Scotland start digging up Pete & Nippy’s back garden :rofl:
https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1680708422 |
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Wtf is going on here, police incident tents, spades and digging, this has Fred West vibes…?
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:D:D |
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Looks more like investigating Peter Tobin than Peter Murrell.
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Not good for the SNP going forward l would imagine.
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Digging up the garden does seem overkill. Do they really think they buried receipts in the back garden?
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The Scottish Conservatives are looking to the rural seats, where they will be concentrating their campaigning.
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Mr Nicola Sturgeon released this evening without charge. |
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Fraud police probing 'missing' funds from SNP seize £110,000 motorhome from Nicola Sturgeon's in-law's drive
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...aws-drive.html |
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That motorhome was only resting on my driveway!
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A Lab/Con coalition in Scotland?
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92-year-old with a new motor home. Nothing to see here, officer! ---------- Post added at 10:01 ---------- Previous post was at 10:00 ---------- Quote:
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I'm guessing the indy ref is dead in the water?
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Immaculate timing! |
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They were looking for MI5 Plants :erm: |
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The sorry saga continues: Humza Yousaf says SNP's auditors resigned six months ago but he's only just found out.
https://news.sky.com/story/scottish-...-know-12855153 |
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotla...itics-65264713 |
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Seems crazy that a major purchase and problems with the auditors wouldn't have been discussed at a senior SNP level.
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The clique at the top of the party was in reality a little bigger than just Mr and Mrs Murrell but not very much bigger. |
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I confess I wasn't sure if this was the latest thread on the SNP or whether it was the "Help me stash my cash" thread I should be looking at. :D
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Sooner they are all gone the better, life with the SNP has been a disaster .
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When enough working class voters in Scotland allowed themselves to believe that their priorities were best served by the SNP, not Labour, then the tide turned and Labour lost power. The SNP did this by presenting itself as a pragmatic, centre-left party that believed in independence for Scotland but wasn’t obsessed with it. There are natural ceilings on the Tory and Liberal votes in Scotland and the SNP’s reign will end as and when Scottish Labour gets its act together and starts effectively pointing out that the SNP is no longer centre-left and is no longer pragmatic about its campaign for independence. It has lurched to extremes, thanks to its ill-advised coalition with the Greens, and it is now becoming clear that its obsession with viewing everything through an independence campaign prism has contributed to a lot of what is now going speciatularly wrong for them. At the next Holyrood election we are likely to be rid of the SNP, most likely to get a minority Labour administration in power instead. Hopefully, with the knowledge that their vote is earned, and not an entitlement, we will get a little less of the pettifogging county hall-type antics you are subjected to in Wales. |
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I’ve forgotten where I read it last week, Torygraph prolly, but H Useless had to abandon his proposal to reduce alcohol advertisements. Hmmm - I’ll bet that’s pissed his Imam off.
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Mind you, this week they’ve moved on from insisting Westminster is still worse, to insisting this whole affair is a Westminster conspiracy. I guess it’s not surprising, Nicola and her pals have spent years talking up their moral superiority over other politicians, so the utter headbangers who hang on her every word can no longer conceive of what’s happening to them in any other way. |
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It may be that more than one party deserves trashing. But it is not invalid for Chris to trash the SNP. Of course, the SNP is trashing itself or do you not agree? |
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As for ‘revel[ing]’ well absolutely yes I am. I suspect you don’t realise exactly how this is playing out in Scotland right now, all over the press and TV every morning and evening. The SNP has for years sold itself as a fundamentally different beast than anything on show in ‘Westminster’ (code: England) and has been quick to lecture others on their perceived shortcomings whilst, it seems, happily indulging (and disguising) their own. So forgive me if I enjoy a little deep-fried schadenfreude this week. It tastes fab. |
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Tory corruption will be the useful shield given that’s at taxpayers expense at far greater quantity. So while Chris enjoys the echo chamber of the state broadcaster and unionist chip papers it’s far from certain the extent it will resonate meaningfully in the medium to long term with the independence supporting electorate who long gave up on the dying media that symbolises the union so well. That said, to defend Chris, some of this pantomime is objectively funny. |
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Also, the constant use of the playground taunts e.g. Hamza Useless (or whatever) just cheapens the debate. YMMV ---------- Post added at 13:13 ---------- Previous post was at 13:10 ---------- Quote:
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Do you agree that the SNP is trashing itself? |
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There is some early polling that suggests the SNP’s fortunes are on the wane while support for independence remains in the mid-40s (excluding don’t knows). Being the party most associated with The Cause really isn’t going to save them, though it will be useful, for Labour in particular, if the SNP goes on assuming it will, right up to polling day when it will be too late. In the long run, a broad yes movement permanently decoupled from one political party is more likely to produce a broader, more credible proposition, anyway. Yessers with an ounce of common sense ought to see that, and to be fair when I dip into their Twitter echo chambers, the thinking ones increasingly do. You’re right, though, it is very, very funny. Have you seen the clip of the man from Govan trying to film the SNP Motorhome through the bars of the police pound, and getting righteously cross when challenged by two shady coppers who didn’t seem to want to identify themselves? |
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Believing the state broadcaster should be impartial is irrelevant as to whether those watching or listening are simply doing so in God’s waiting room. Quote:
It’s a long way to the next Scottish election although almost certainly Yousaf won’t make it that far. Quote:
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Hardly worth her own thread but the Hon. Member for the Student Union Bar is stepping down at the next election.
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Mind you, if it really is because of the toxic working atmosphere at Westminster, which is the reason she has cited herself, then she’s just another SNP hack who is clearly only happy with a toxic atmosphere when its caused by their campaigning. Other forms of toxicity are clearly unacceptable. |
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More likely she has her eye on Humza’s job. Will no doubt find herself near the top of a regional list in 2026.
A wash and a haircut and she will be a whole new person. Easy enough done since she’s cosplaying as it is. |
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A rando on Tw*tter this evening described this scenario as a ‘chicken run’, exiting Westminster right when she’s at greatest risk of getting unseated anyway, and then stealing a seat from another would-be SNP MSP. I have to say, when you look at the three leadership candidates from earlier this year, I’m not at all convinced of her chances of getting the job any time soon, or whenever wee Humza throws in the towel. Despite having held a clutch of salt-of-the-earth working class seats for the last decade the SNP really are still tartan Tories in their DNA and Mhairi’s Angry Clydeside Trot act isn’t likely to impress the voting membership. Let’s not forget the highly socially conservative and very middle class Kate Forbes was within a hair’s breadth of winning the race last time and most likely would have done without the outgoing leadership leaning on everyone to vote for wee Humza. |
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I’m not convinced of her chances either - your analysis is quite sound. But I’m sure she’s delusional enough to believe she would have a chance.
Right now the party apparatus if it had any competence (I know, I know) would be trying to position someone as the obvious heir because right now Forbes would wipe the floor with any of them. There’s no more mud to sling, we all know who she is and what she believes. I’m not even sure who the party approved candidate would be should a vacancy arise. |
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SNP MP Mhairi Black, what an utter embarrassment she is.
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A bad night for the SNP last night in the Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-scotland-67009605 |
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On the basis of last night’s by-election result, or anything close to it, at the next general election, the answer to the thread title is still no, and rather more no than it’s been in quite some time.
The Nats crashed more than 16 points in Rutherglen and Hamilton West; Labour won with a 20% swing to finish on more than 58% of the vote. Say what you like about turnout, tactical voting and covid, that’s not a good look for Wee Humza Scooter and a swing of even half that size next year will see the Nats lose half their seats in Scotland. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-67024848 |
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I'm not sure this swing can be taken as a significant fall in support for independence. To assume that a vote for anyone other than the SNP is a vote for the union and status quo is far too simplistic.
I would read this result as far more likely to be a determination that the next party to form a government in Westminster will not be the Conservatives. While the SNP haven't exactly covered themselves in glory of late, people vote for many reasons and the priority would seem to be getting rid of the Tories above another vote on independence which, let's face it, is not on the cards any time soon. |
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It doesn’t matter how popular independence is as a sentiment, at present there is no effective political vehicle for it other than the SNP (though I admit I’m stretching the definition of ‘effective’). If the SNP’s electoral fortunes wane, then whatever likelihood there was of Scotland leaving, reduces. Hence, what I actually said, which was: Quote:
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I am happy for Rutherglen and South Lanarkshire to win with such a great amount of votes , it was a horrible wet day so I was afraid people might stay indoors, but the ones who voted done us proud, Hope the rest of Scotland take notice and get rid of the SNP,
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More SNP mess. Shuld not have denied it.
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Other sources are quoting £7,345.69 for 3.8GB of data to stream a football match. That's an insane rate at about £2 per megabyte. I don't know where they were but it should be published because at that charge, even regular browsing could run up a painful bill.
It's hard not to have sympathy as it could have happened to anyone but most of us don't have a departmental budget to dip into and using public money to pay it should not be done. I suspect he either denied it out of embarrassment or wasn't aware of the cost per MB. I doubt many people would imagine a football match costing anywhere near that. We are all too used to cheap, unmetered broadband these days. |
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Doh! Teach me to skim read :-)
That's Morocco off my hols list |
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Could have been worse - O2 can charge £7 per megabyte there.
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As always, it’s the cover up the gets you. That they still don’t get that is a concerning glimpse into what an amateurish operation the SNP currently is.
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At approx 1.5GB bad timing of some app updates or an iOS update would easily take you into that ballpark. However the breakdown by day was pretty damning. As Chris alludes to in the post above - someone somewhere should have thought 11 grand would stand out. Approximately doubling the whole bill for Parliament in a year, it doesn't take too many FOI requests to get to who and when. A free dice roll for some journalists or opposition researchers. If my organisation claimed I'd used up hundreds of pounds of mobile use - never mind thousands - my first instinct would be to find out where and when. So the idea it took until last Thursday for his 'family to own up' stretches credibility. Would he not raise the figure with his family and whether he should pay it when first approached? |
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I personally think the bigger problem is that a provider should be allowed to run up an £11,000 data bill, that is the crime here not allowing his kids on his iPad
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