Cable Forum - Coronavirus

R0 of the original WuFlu (which never really impacted the UK) was between 2.4 and 2.6.
R0 of the Italian skiing variant was 3.
R0 of Delta is between 5 and 8.

Welcome to evolution!

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-57431420

Generally viruses are like watching evolution in action anyway

1andrew1

15-07-2021 22:12

Re: Coronavirus

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36086363)

As I recall, at the peak of the pandemic, R never rose higher than 3. Maybe someone knows different.

Project Fear again aptly noticed by Andrew.

Per spiderplant's post below, like many things, it's looking less and less like Project Fear.

Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36086379)

pip08456

15-07-2021 22:25

Re: Coronavirus

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36086363)

Hmmm. Using that formula and accepting the 85% efficacy hypothesis, we get the following herd immunity threshold (H) against different R numbers.
___________________________________
E=0.85
R H
1.5 39%
2.0 59%
3.0 78%
4.0 88%
5.0 94%
6.0 98%

E=0.90
R H
1.5 37%
2.0 56%
3.0 74%
4.0 83%
5.0 89%
6.0 93%
___________________________________

As I recall, at the peak of the pandemic, R never rose higher than 3. Maybe someone knows different.

Project Fear again aptly noticed by Andrew.

Someone's math is wrong somewhere (not your's Seph)

Quote:

“If you have a virus with an R0 of 6 or 7, then the herd immunity point is somewhere in the region of 85%”, explained Martin Hibberd, Professor of Emerging Infectious Diseases at London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/l...328-3/fulltext

jfman

15-07-2021 22:59

Re: Coronavirus

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36086365)

I’m currently in the Lake District and I can confidently say……….no one cares anymore.

Proof if ever needed state intervention is the only viable method of managing the dubious living with the virus.

Pierre

15-07-2021 23:23

Re: Coronavirus

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36086406)

Proof if ever needed state intervention is the only viable method of managing the dubious living with the virus.

I’m just trying to work out which dystopian future jfman would like to live in. Is it this one?

https://youtu.be/raleKODYeg0

Or this one

https://youtu.be/eHgqfVQWv7s

Or maybe just wait for the apes to take over ………

TheDaddy

16-07-2021 02:04

Re: Coronavirus

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36086407)

Or maybe just wait for the apes to take over ………

To late, there's already one in charge

GrimUpNorth

16-07-2021 10:42

Re: Coronavirus

Last Friday there were 21 in patients with Covid at Pinderfields Hospital in Wakefield. Today there are 45.

jfman

16-07-2021 10:53

Re: Coronavirus

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36086407)

Always more of a Blade Runner fan.

papa smurf

16-07-2021 11:34

Re: Coronavirus

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36086436)

Always more of a Blade Runner fan.

Is that set in a cupboard under someone's stairs;)

---------- Post added at 11:34 ---------- Previous post was at 10:54 ----------

Just had an automated message from my gp surgery, basically if you're ill don't come in, the nhs isn't broke it's closed :(

Carth

16-07-2021 11:59

Re: Coronavirus

You need to advertise for a ships doctor Papa

Free board & lodging, goes 50/50 with food & drink, must be able to use oars in case of emergency ;)

Sephiroth

16-07-2021 12:00

Re: Coronavirus

What about the kinky boots?

Carth

16-07-2021 12:02

Re: Coronavirus

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36086442)

What about the kinky boots?

Papa can wear what he likes, it's his boat :D

Maggy

16-07-2021 12:26

Re: Coronavirus

Sigh! Back on topic.

Maggy

17-07-2021 09:42

Re: Coronavirus

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-57869880

Quote:

Fully jabbed travellers returning to England and Wales from France will still have to quarantine from Monday.

From 19 July, adults who have been double jabbed in the UK arriving from amber list countries will not need to isolate for 10 days.

But the government said the easing would not apply to France due to "persistent" cases of the Beta variant, first identified in South Africa.

There are concerns vaccines may not work as well against the Beta variant.

Sigh! Frankly I think confusion is all we can look forward to for months. It would be nice if everyone was singing from the same song sheet.I am going nowhere for some time.

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