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-   -   Will Scotland Leave the UK? (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33684496)

noel43 29-06-2022 08:04

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36126501)
Presumably she can have as many "referendums" as she likes (its just a big vote).
They just wont mean anything [legally] to the rest of the UK, who can just ignore them ?

She could do what Rhodesia did Declare unilateral independence.

1andrew1 29-06-2022 10:16

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Chris put me onto the excellent Phillips O'Brien for his commentary on Ukraine. He also comments on other matters including the current call for a new referendum in Scotland.

Quote:

Basically it won’t happen, though unionists if they were smart might actually want one now instead of in a few years.

Brexit is already causing relative economic decline for the UK; and if that continues it basically will drive up support for joining the EU over the U.K. By waiting on a referendum, Brexiteer/unionists are gambling that Brexit will work.
https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/...72142271074305

OLD BOY 29-06-2022 11:41

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36126493)
The economic argument might not matter. All about sovereignty and self determination, sound familiar? We voted to be worse off and Scotland might decide to do the same, both daft decisions, but its their choice. Almost 10 years since the last vote so the next generation is here.
Having BJ, a law breaking clown running the UK into the ground hadn't helped matters. Together we're stronger divided we're all weaker, same for Europe and the UK.

It’s completely different, Mr K. The only handouts we got from the EU were a small part of what we had already paid in. The Scots will be in a much worse position as it is heavily reliant on the Barnett formula.

We didn’t have any additional costs of governing as we already governed ourselves. The Scots have only devolved government and will have to find the money to pay for the cost of running full government services.

Brexit has its costs for us, but the Brexit plan is to recoup and enhance revenue by trading with our new freedoms with the rest of the world. This includes agreeing new trade deals with services (our biggest source of income) included. Remainers claim that the worsened economic conditions we have at present are proof that Brexit doesn’t work. However, so far the pandemic has slowed down the implementation of the manifesto. We have not yet had the bonfire of regulations or the new style trade agreements, for example. We are still bogged down sorting out the EU’s bureaucracy. However, Scotland has no plan that iss of economic benefit in their future independent state that I can see. Certainly none that they have made public.

The only thing in common is the sovereignty issue. But that will not help the Scottish poor.

---------- Post added at 11:41 ---------- Previous post was at 11:39 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by noel43 (Post 36126504)
She could do what Rhodesia did Declare unilateral independence.

In which case she couldn’t accuse Boris of lawbreaking anymore as she would be doing exactly that!

Sephiroth 29-06-2022 11:45

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36126511)
It’s completely different, Mr K. The only handouts we got from the EU were a small part of what we had already paid in. The Scots will be in a much worse position as it is heavily reliant on the Barnett formula.

We didn’t have any additional costs of governing as we already governed ourselves. The Scots have only devolved government and will have to find the money to pay for the cost of running full government services.

Brexit has its costs for us, but the Brexit plan is to recoup and enhance revenue by trading with our new freedoms with the rest of the world. This includes agreeing new trade deals with services (our biggest source of income) included. Remainers claim that the worsened economic conditions we have at present are proof that Brexit doesn’t work. However, so far the pandemic has slowed down the implementation of the manifesto. We have not yet had the bonfire of regulations or the new style trade agreements, for example. We are still bogged down sorting out the EU’s bureaucracy. However, Scotland has no plan that iss of economic benefit in their future independent state that I can see. Certainly none that they have made public.

The only thing in common is the sovereignty issue. But that will not help the Scottish poor.

It is a pity that Mr K has been so shallow, whereas OB has provided a reasoned analysis of what's so bad about Sturgeon's ideas.

Mr K is right, of course, about Boris being a clown. But he is wrong to apply the "united is better" analogy to the UK and the EU for all the reasons previously debated.

Chris 29-06-2022 14:52

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36126506)
Chris put me onto the excellent Phillips O'Brien for his commentary on Ukraine. He also comments on other matters including the current call for a new referendum in Scotland.


https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/...72142271074305

A response to that tweet made a good point though - in the end it’s not about which union looks more attractive to Scotland, but how exploitable each union is. The relative sizes of the EU and UK single markets are often trotted out by nats as proof that Scotland should leave the uk and join the EU. The problem for them is that having been members of both, Scotland’s ability to leverage its access to the UK has been vastly greater than its ability vis a vis the EU.

Chris 30-06-2022 09:10

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Mod edit (Chris): Several off-topic posts removed. This is a Scexit thread, not a Brexit thread.

Hugh 30-06-2022 10:08

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Shouldn’t that be ”Joxit"? ;)

Mr K 30-06-2022 12:14

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Polls now neck and neck.
https://www.thenational.scot/news/20...ck-poll-finds/
Squeaky bum time.

If Westminster are confident of the result let them have another referendum? Surely a Bozza led campaign will win them over? :confused:

The Nationalists are in a rush as they see the best chance of a Yes vote with the current PM.

TheDaddy 30-06-2022 12:34

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Be very hard to ignore the will of the people in a referendum, authorised or not...

nomadking 30-06-2022 12:58

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36126586)
Polls now neck and neck.
https://www.thenational.scot/news/20...ck-poll-finds/
Squeaky bum time.

If Westminster are confident of the result let them have another referendum? Surely a Bozza led campaign will win them over? :confused:

The Nationalists are in a rush as they see the best chance of a Yes vote with the current PM.

"Neck and neck" but still a NO.
Quote:

Some 44% of those questioned by Savanta ComRes support independence, while 46% are opposed, both down 1% from a survey last month, while 10% were undecided, which was up three percentage points.
When undecided voters were removed, 49% said they would vote Yes, while 51% said they would vote No, which was unchanged.
Not quite so "neck and neck".

Quote:

The study also found 53% of respondents opposed holding a referendum next October, while 40% were in favour. The remainder were undecided.

Mr K 30-06-2022 16:33

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36126591)
"Neck and neck" but still a NO.
Not quite so "neck and neck".

So let them have their vote then, no worries...

nashville 30-06-2022 18:36

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
We cannot allow this to happen , we must fight back to keep our Great Britain as our four Nations together, Scotland could not go it along , Sturgeon will stop at nothing to get her way , She should be done for treason

Paul 30-06-2022 18:43

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I dont think Scotland leaving is likely to harm the UK much, at least not as much as its likely to hurt Scotland ...
I know a few people who would say "good riddance", they have not had great experiences with Scottish people.

(Personally, I've found the vast majority I have encounted to be quite friendly, and not like they are often portrayed).

Sephiroth 30-06-2022 19:01

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I've never seen/heard Scots portrayed as generally unfriendly.

"Good riddance" is not an appropriate sentiment. "Sod 'em" is appropriate if they choose to leave the UK.


Mr K 03-07-2022 22:45

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Scottish independence voting intention:

Yes: 48% (+1)
No: 47% (-2)

via
@Panelbase

Chgs. w/ Apr
https://mobile.twitter.com/BritainEl...Cw7Yac9eoqAAAA

Stephen 04-07-2022 00:16

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
If the wee w8tch gets her ref2 then I think they should have more str8ct rules on what counts as a 2in for yes. For example it needs to be a clear majority, like 60% in favour. Where as if it was 51% yes and 49% no then it should count as that's barely a success.

Or just forget about it and fix the country and run it properly.

OLD BOY 04-07-2022 07:22

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36126607)
So let them have their vote then, no worries...

So you advocate having repeat referendums until they eventually get their way and then it becomes a permanent decision?

How very democratic. And how very EU.:rolleyes:

1andrew1 04-07-2022 08:16

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Stephen (Post 36126896)
If the wee w8tch gets her ref2 then I think they should have more str8ct rules on what counts as a 2in for yes. For example it needs to be a clear majority, like 60% in favour. Where as if it was 51% yes and 49% no then it should count as that's barely a success.

Or just forget about it and fix the country and run it properly.

Changing the win required would be seen as moving the goalposts so whilst sensible, the precedent has been set.

---------- Post added at 08:16 ---------- Previous post was at 08:09 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36126898)
So you advocate having repeat referendums until they eventually get their way and then it becomes a permanent decision?

How very democratic. And how very EU.:rolleyes:

Not sure the EU organises national referendums. :confused:

papa smurf 04-07-2022 08:32

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36126904)
Changing the win required would be seen as moving the goalposts so whilst sensible, the precedent has been set.

---------- Post added at 08:16 ---------- Previous post was at 08:09 ----------


Not sure the EU organises national referendums. :confused:

Just the re-runs :erm:

Sephiroth 04-07-2022 08:59

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36126904)
Changing the win required would be seen as moving the goalposts so whilst sensible, the precedent has been set.

---------- Post added at 08:16 ---------- Previous post was at 08:09 ----------


Not sure the EU organises national referendums. :confused:

We all know what OB meant.

tweetiepooh 04-07-2022 09:19

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Wasn't the polls in Eire to join the EU a bit like that. Keep asking until you get a "yes" vote.

nomadking 04-07-2022 09:28

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Denmark had two on the Maastricht Treaty. The first was a No, so of course there had to be another.

spiderplant 04-07-2022 12:25

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
The UK set the precedent by overturning the 1975 result.

Hugh 04-07-2022 13:33

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tweetiepooh (Post 36126916)
Wasn't the polls in Eire to join the EU a bit like that. Keep asking until you get a "yes" vote.

No, they weren’t - there were 2 referendums on accepting the Lisbon Treaty, not on joining the EU.

The first referendum was held in June 2008 was rejected by the Irish electorate, by a margin of 53.4% to 46.6%, with a turnout of 53%.[

The second referendum was held in October 2009, and the proposal was approved by 67.1% to 32.9%, with a turnout of 59%.

nomadking 04-07-2022 15:46

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36126946)
The UK set the precedent by overturning the 1975 result.

1) How can it be the precedent, when it was the last example, not the first?
2) 51 year gap v 1 year gap between votes. Not only once in a generation, but different questions.
3) 1975 was to be in the European Economic Community, which is very different and a large number of additional countries, compared to the EU which it morphed into.

Mr K 04-07-2022 21:49

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36126898)
So you advocate having repeat referendums until they eventually get their way and then it becomes a permanent decision?

How very democratic. And how very EU.:rolleyes:

No. Was just giving the latest opinion poll OB.

Just like we could apply to rejoin the EU, the Scots could apply to rejoin the UK. Both, of course, could be told to Foxtrot Oscar...

Pierre 04-07-2022 22:15

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36126950)
No, they weren’t - there were 2 referendums on accepting the Lisbon Treaty, not on joining the EU.

The first referendum was held in June 2008 was rejected by the Irish electorate, by a margin of 53.4% to 46.6%, with a turnout of 53%.[

The second referendum was held in October 2009, and the proposal was approved by 67.1% to 32.9%, with a turnout of 59%.

Semantics.

Two treaties we didn’t even get a vote on.

Maastricht - which is basically what turned the EEC into the EU and a political entity, followed by
Lisbon which basically turned the EU into a quasi-state.

All members need to agree. The Rep of Ireland did not agree but rather than accept that, the question was asked again (sound familiar) and was overturned a year later.

This is not the first time. Ireland’s laws meant that they had to have a vote on at his type of thing. They initially rejected the Treaty of Nice, only to have to vote again on it a year later.

Denmark was also ordered to think again on Maastricht.

https://www.statista.com/chart/16479...a-second-vote/

ianch99 04-07-2022 23:27

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36126922)
Denmark had two on the Maastricht Treaty. The first was a No, so of course there had to be another.

You missed out that the Danes secured that with the Edinburgh Agreement, Denmark would have four opt-outs in the fields of European citizenship, economic and monetary union, defence policy, and justice and home affairs. This allowed the proposal to be reconsidered since the proposition had changed.

Chris 23-11-2022 10:12

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
:rofl:

Quote:

The Scottish government cannot hold an independence referendum without UK government's consent, the Supreme Court has ruled.
First Minister Nicola Sturgeon wants to hold a referendum on 19 October next year.
But the court ruled unanimously that she does not have the power to do so.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotla...itics-63727562

To the surprise of no-one, I expect. We now look forward to 2 years of Nicola telling us she’s decreed by force of her mighty will that the 2024 general election is in fact a referendum.

Mr K 23-11-2022 10:28

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36140648)
:rofl:



https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotla...itics-63727562

To the surprise of no-one, I expect. We now look forward to 2 years of Nicola telling us she’s decreed by force of her mighty will that the 2024 general election is in fact a referendum.

If they keep voting overwhelmingly for a pro-independence party, she has a valid point.

Chris 23-11-2022 10:36

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36140649)
If they keep voting overwhelmingly for a pro-independence party, she has a valid point.

That goes to the heart of the issue though doesn’t it - can you really co-opt any person’s vote at a general election for a single issue? Have you ever been 100% in favour of a party’s manifesto without reservation or is it more likely a decision based on the substance of what they’re offering underpinned by the basic principles of the party in question?

And even if the SNP reduces its manifesto to a one line ‘vote us = vote yes’, can they really claim in one vote to have unpicked the complex reasons why people vote as they do?

Mr K 23-11-2022 10:54

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36140650)
That goes to the heart of the issue though doesn’t it - can you really co-opt any person’s vote at a general election for a single issue? Have you ever been 100% in favour of a party’s manifesto without reservation or is it more likely a decision based on the substance of what they’re offering underpinned by the basic principles of the party in question?

And even if the SNP reduces its manifesto to a one line ‘vote us = vote yes’, can they really claim in one vote to have unpicked the complex reasons why people vote as they do?

So you're making the case for a separate referendum? 🤔

I get the 'once in a generation' thing, but it will have been nearly 10 years so it is a new generation. 10 years worth of new voters.

Personally I think it would be a disaster for all concerned, but up to them. The inevitable break up of the UK is one of the consequences of another referendum we had, maybe everyone wants to now 'take back control'. (a vote that we had a few times on the same issue so there is a precedent).

Denying people a vote on an issue, because you're scared of the result, won't end well and could well backfire when the next vote does happen.

Chris 23-11-2022 11:04

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36140651)
So you're making the case for a separate referendum? ��

I get the 'once in a generation' thing, but it will have been nearly 10 years so it is a new generation. 10 years worth of new voters.

Personally I think it would be a disaster for all concerned, but up to them. The inevitable break up of the UK is one of the consequences of another referendum we had, maybe everyone wants to now 'take back control'. (a vote that we had a few times on the same issue so there is a precedent).

Denying people a vote on an issue, because you're scared of the result, won't end well and could well backfire when the next vote does happen.

I am making the case for a stand-alone referendum, yes, and within the parameters set out by Alex Salmond and Nicola Sturgeon in late 2013 and throughout 2014 - namely that such things are “once in a generation, if not once in a lifetime” events.

Denying a vote now isn’t fear of the outcome, it’s fear of the process, alongside an appeal to respect the parameters of the debate and the vote, all of which were set by the campaign for a yes/leave vote. The entire UK has now experienced the deeply unpleasant consequences of dividing the electorate on a constitutional issue that is substantially grounded in national identity. Scotland has been experiencing that on steroids since 2014 because there is no natural permanent lobby for status quo but there is one for change, namely the SNP, which obviously isn’t going to give up on its whole reason to exist.

Imagine a remain vote in 2016 and where the UK might now be with Nigel Farage and the Brexit Party or some variation on it. Had Brexit been settled by a narrow remain vote, how accommodating would you now be of his inevitable demands for a re-run?

Mick 23-11-2022 11:30

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36140649)
If they keep voting overwhelmingly for a pro-independence party, she has a valid point.

It’s not true independence when she prattles on about rejoining the corrupted EU. Which they have zero chance, given Spain don’t want them in. Only takes one member to veto.

nomadking 23-11-2022 12:22

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Link

Quote:

Majority support for independence is an essential requirement of Scotland, or any country, becoming independent."
Nicola SturgeonScotland's first minister
...
If we can't win, we don't deserve to be independent,' says Sturgeon
Well that's been asked and answered.

Paul 23-11-2022 13:13

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36140651)
I get the 'once in a generation' thing, but it will have been nearly 10 years so it is a new generation. 10 years worth of new voters.

Nice try but utter nonsense, a generation is not 10 years, its generally considered to be about 25 years.
As I'm sure you know, when anyone is born, their next generation is when they themselves grow up and have children.

(It would also have been 9 years, since she proposed 2023).

nomadking 23-11-2022 16:17

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Not sure the SNP should compare voting for the Scottish Parliament with a referendum as around 1m more voted in the referendum, plus there wouldn't really be a "No" campaign.

Ms NTL 23-11-2022 16:46

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36140655)
It’s not true independence when she prattles on about rejoining the corrupted EU. Which they have zero chance, given Spain don’t want them in. Only takes one member to veto.

Link about Spain? Is Gibraltar Scottish? Missed something?

https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-s...-idUKKCN1NP25P
https://www.holyrood.com/news/view,s...g-eu_13350.htm
https://www.google.com/search?q=Spai...hrome&ie=UTF-8

My question is this: I have a British passport. Can opt to be Scottish? So my family can re-join the EU?

1andrew1 23-11-2022 23:24

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36140655)
It’s not true independence when she prattles on about rejoining the corrupted EU. Which they have zero chance, given Spain don’t want them in. Only takes one member to veto.

I can't see Scotland leaving the UK in the next 10 years for many reasons - including today's announcement plus Scotland's share of the UK's £30 trillion debt would need to be agreed.

But it's incorrect to say that Spain would stand in Scotland's way of joining the EU. Not to say that they won't change their minds in the future though.
https://fullfact.org/europe/eu-membe...pain-scotland/
https://www.thescottishsun.co.uk/new...ining-eu-veto/
https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-s...-idUKKCN1NP25P

---------- Post added at 23:24 ---------- Previous post was at 23:18 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ms NTL (Post 36140675)
My question is this: I have a British passport. Can opt to be Scottish? So my family can re-join the EU?

Very hypothetical but if you weren't born in Scotland, you would be more likely to get a Scottish passport in the event of the country becoming independent by moving there beforehand. There would then be a number of years before/if it joined the EU.

TheDaddy 24-11-2022 03:07

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36140685)
I can't see Scotland leaving the UK in the next 10 years for many reasons - including today's announcement plus Scotland's share of the UK's £30 trillion debt would need to be agreed.

30 trillion, that's grown quick, the tories self proclaimed reputation for being good with money really is in tatters

If it were up to me I'd let them of their share of the debt if it meant they leave the union

1andrew1 24-11-2022 10:05

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36140690)
30 trillion, that's grown quick, the tories self proclaimed reputation for being good with money really is in tatters

If it were up to me I'd let them of their share of the debt if it meant they leave the union

My bad, it's about £2.5bn.

Although Truss had an appalling mini budget, in general I think it's simplistic to blame political parties solely for increases in debt during their time when events like the Global Financial Crisis, wars and even recessions arise.

TheDaddy 24-11-2022 13:06

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36140696)
My bad, it's about £2.5bn.

No it isn't, my best advice is quit whilst your behind :)

1andrew1 24-11-2022 13:17

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36140701)
No it isn't, my best advice is quit whilst your behind :)

Good advice. Final guess £2.5 trillion.

TheDaddy 24-11-2022 14:27

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36140703)
Good advice. Final guess £2.5 trillion.

My final guess, you are Diane Abbott and I'm claiming five pounds...

1andrew1 24-11-2022 14:44

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36140704)
My final guess, you are Diane Abbott and I'm claiming five pounds...

Close - Pritti Patel
https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/bre...commons-87118/

TheDaddy 24-11-2022 15:28

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36140705)

You're not pretty Andrew, I want my fiver :mad: :)

Pierre 15-02-2023 09:58

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
She's gone!

Chris 15-02-2023 10:01

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Ding, dong …

Damien 15-02-2023 10:03

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Internal SNP politics?

Chris 15-02-2023 10:10

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36146006)
Internal SNP politics?

There hasn’t been the merest hint of this in the Scottish media or commentariat, though those of us disinclined to be sympathetic to her have been aghast at the mounting pile of policy failures of the past two years. My guess now is that there is likely to be something significant in the Beeb describing the press conference as ‘hastily arranged’.

I’m going to take a wild guess that it’s health related. No matter how mediocre she has been at actually achieving anything in leadership she wouldn’t willingly do anything to derail their onward march to independence. The appearance of unity and well controlled party management is central to the SNP’s view of itself.

Damien 15-02-2023 10:18

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36146008)
There hasn’t been the merest hint of this in the Scottish media or commentariat, though those of us disinclined to be sympathetic to her have been aghast at the mounting pile of policy failures of the past two years. My guess now is that there is likely to be something significant in the Beeb describing the press conference as ‘hastily arranged’.

I’m going to take a wild guess that it’s health related. No matter how mediocre she has been at actually achieving anything in leadership she wouldn’t willingly do anything to derail their onward march to independence. The appearance of unity and well controlled party management is central to the SNP’s view of itself.

I have seen stories of mounting discontent with the perceived lack of progress on independence from some sections of the SNP. They feel she didn't move fast or aggressively enough in pursuit of a referendum. She on the other hand seems to wanted to have waited until the polling numbers were better.

Maybe she is just sick of the job at this point?

Chris 15-02-2023 10:23

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36146010)
I have seen stories of mounting discontent with the perceived lack of progress on independence from some sections of the SNP. They feel she didn't move fast or aggressively enough in pursuit of a referendum. She on the other hand seems to wanted to have waited until the polling numbers were better.

Maybe she is just sick of the job at this point?

BBC Scotland’s newsdesk seems to have been bounced into actually doing its job and is now asking questions behind the scenes, and the emerging picture is that she has simply ‘had enough’.

The Scottish media collectively is absolutely awful at holding the government to account here so it is depressingly business-as-usual for us to know nothing about this and for there not to have been adequate coverage of the fact that the SNP (and more recently the SNP-Green coalition) is just crap at actually getting anything done.

If she’s spent 8 years slowly sinking the ship and now she’s going to try and do a St. Jacinda to gain public sympathy for her mediocrity then what little respect I have for her will rapidly vanish.

jfman 15-02-2023 10:34

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
The state broadcaster does an excellent job at criticising the government (ferries, gender, deposit return), it’s just so transparently biased it doesn’t seep through into mobilising voters in the direction they want.

My hunch is a bit from “internal party politics” and a bit from “had enough”. Independence parties win Holyrood elections, and the SNP wins Westminster elections at a landslide. It’s still not going to get independence over the line in the near or perhaps even medium term.

Chris 15-02-2023 10:41

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Only because the independence vote is concentrated almost entirely in one party whilst politics as usual is spread across three other ideologically distinct, unionist parties. But you knew that already. :rolleyes:

jfman 15-02-2023 10:47

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36146013)
Only because the independence vote is concentrated almost entirely in one party whilst politics as usual is spread across three other ideologically distinct, unionist parties. But you knew that already. :rolleyes:

You’re assuming that once someone has crossed to supporting independence they’d never be tempted back. Something like a compelling vision for Scotland?

You probably knew that too. :rolleyes:

Chris 15-02-2023 11:04

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36146014)
You’re assuming that once someone has crossed to supporting independence they’d never be tempted back. Something like a compelling vision for Scotland?

You probably knew that too. :rolleyes:

Umm, no, I’m suggesting that the fantasy economics and sunny braveheart uplands they sold to the scunnered masses of west central scotland and Dundee in 2014 continues to have persistent appeal, especially as those same scunnered masses continue to see their living standards falling, their friends and families on picket lines and their GP insisting on phone appointments only. The SNP’s primary skill has been in the othering of the UK government and then making their supporters believe that everything that’s actually in the Scottish Government’s purview is actually the other’s fault.

But even in SNP Scotland, political mediocrity has a gravity all of its own. The gender reform bill/rapist-in-a-women’s-prison debacle, ferries that have cost more than 10 SpaceX rocket launches without yet having carried a single passenger, teachers on strike, meaningless targets for banning gas boilers and petrol cars, unworkable plans for social care reform and the Greens poised to tank the nation’s ability to sell bottled drinks … sooner or later people start noticing, and it seems her regular press conferences have become quite trying of late.

jfman 15-02-2023 11:14

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36146015)
Umm, no, I’m suggesting that the fantasy economics and sunny braveheart uplands they sold to the scunnered masses of west central scotland and Dundee in 2014 continues to have persistent appeal, especially as those same scunnered masses continue to see their living standards falling, their friends and families on picket lines and their GP insisting on phone appointments only. The SNP’s primary skill has been in the othering of the UK government and then making their supporters believe that everything that’s actually in the Scottish Government’s purview is actually the other’s fault.

But even in SNP Scotland, political mediocrity has a gravity all of its own. The gender reform bill/rapist-in-a-women’s-prison debacle, ferries that have cost more than 10 SpaceX rocket launches without yet having carried a single passenger, teachers on strike, meaningless targets for banning gas boilers and petrol cars, unworkable plans for social care reform and the Greens poised to tank the nation’s ability to sell bottled drinks … sooner or later people start noticing, and it seems her regular press conferences have become quite trying of late.

If the SNP are the benchmark for political mediocrity in Scotland yet still in Govermment (and will likely continue to be for some time, regardless of successor) that’s a damning indictment of the opposition parties, for whom you seemingly admonish their own uselessness by instead blaming the voters/media.

Almost every single issue you identify applies across the UK (while not ferries, there’s similarly flawed procurement. Bottle return is coming to England too. Although at least Starmer is finally capitalising upon the situation in the polls. Where/when will the unionists in Scotland step up?

Chris 15-02-2023 11:19

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Well, she’s on the telly now, desperately trying to channel the spirit of Jacinda Ardern.

---------- Post added at 11:19 ---------- Previous post was at 11:15 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36146017)
If the SNP are the benchmark for political mediocrity in Scotland yet still in Govermment (and will likely continue to be for some time, regardless of successor) that’s a damning indictment of the opposition parties, for whom you seemingly admonish their own uselessness by instead blaming the voters/media.

Almost every single issue you identify applies across the UK (while not ferries, there’s similarly flawed procurement. Bottle return is coming to England too. Although at least Starmer is finally capitalising upon the situation in the polls. Where/when will the unionists in Scotland step up?

I’m unsure how you’re unable to see the magnitude of the problems on the SNP’s doorstep when the likes of Darren McGarvey are saying they have serious political issues which a change of leader won’t fix. (McGarvey’s by no means a unionist, though admittedly one of the few prominent Nats willing to question the official line that the SNP can do no wrong ever).

jfman 15-02-2023 11:22

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36146018)
Well, she’s on the telly now, desperately trying to channel the spirit of Jacinda Ardern.

---------- Post added at 11:19 ---------- Previous post was at 11:15 ----------



I’m unsure how you’re unable to see the magnitude of the problems on the SNP’s doorstep when the likes of Darren McGarvey are saying they have serious political issues which a change of leader won’t fix. (McGarvey’s by no means a unionist, though admittedly one of the few prominent Nats willing to question the official line that the SNP can do no wrong ever).

Yet I can’t find a single political party offering me solutions to any of them. Something which based on your own hyperbole around the subject should be quite easy for someone to do.

Can anyone, anywhere, name a Scottish Labour policy off the top of their head?

Chris 15-02-2023 11:34

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
:rofl:

She says the SNP is awash with talent and potential successors. Yet the polling says the most recognised of them as a potential leader is Kate Forbes on (wait for it) SEVEN whole percent. And 67% simply don’t know.

jfman 15-02-2023 13:41

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36146022)
:rofl:

She says the SNP is awash with talent and potential successors. Yet the polling says the most recognised of them as a potential leader is Kate Forbes on (wait for it) SEVEN whole percent. And 67% simply don’t know.

A figure the hypothetical successors of Anas Sarwar, Alex Cole-Hamilton and Douglas Ross could only aspire to in the absence of a vacancy, I’m sure.

Pierre 15-02-2023 23:36

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
1 Attachment(s)
Looks legit.

Paul 16-02-2023 00:26

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36146085)

:D

RichardCoulter 16-02-2023 13:00

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Nobody can make Sturgeon carry on if she doesn't want to. I wonder if a political party could legitimately continue without a leader? Even if it could, I doubt that the voters would have any confidence in them and they'd not achieve any power.

Do we think that the issue of independence will fade away now that Sturgeon is going?

Chris 16-02-2023 13:18

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36146125)
Nobody can make Sturgeon carry on if she doesn't want to. I wonder if a political party could legitimately continue without a leader? Even if it could, I doubt that the voters would have any confidence in them and they'd not achieve any power.

Do we think that the issue of independence will fade away now that Sturgeon is going?

A party’s leadership structure is defined by its constitution. You don’t have to have ‘a’ leader; you can have a committee or whatever you want. The Scottish Greens have co-leaders, Patrick Harvie and Lorna Slater.

However the Scotland Act requires there to be a First Minister. When the incumbent resigns, the parliament must choose a new one within 28 days (via a ballot of all MSPs - this is done by the parliament, not by the largest party or governing coalition). The king then formally appoints the winner.

If no candidate is presented to the king after 28 days, the parliament’s presiding officer is obliged to call a general election.

Sturgeon will not actually resign until the SNP has chosen a new leader. That person will then be presented to parliament as a candidate and will most likely be the only candidate. A vote must still take place and the candidate must secure a simple majority of MSP votes to be selected.

RichardCoulter 16-02-2023 13:44

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36146130)
A party’s leadership structure is defined by its constitution. You don’t have to have ‘a’ leader; you can have a committee or whatever you want. The Scottish Greens have co-leaders, Patrick Harvie and Lorna Slater.

However the Scotland Act requires there to be a First Minister. When the incumbent resigns, the parliament must choose a new one within 28 days (via a ballot of all MSPs - this is done by the parliament, not by the largest party or governing coalition). The king then formally appoints the winner.

If no candidate is presented to the king after 28 days, the parliament’s presiding officer is obliged to call a general election.

Sturgeon will not actually resign until the SNP has chosen a new leader. That person will then be presented to parliament as a candidate and will most likely be the only candidate. A vote must still take place and the candidate must secure a simple majority of MSP votes to be selected.

Thanks for explaining :)

jfman 17-02-2023 17:44

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
It looks now like Sturgeon didn’t fancy spending the weekend explaining how a self-identifying trans woman gets charged with sexually assaulting an 11 year old and this wouldn’t be an issue for him/her going to a female prison on remand.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotla...tland-64678419

By coincidence the Scottish Prison Service updated their policy on 9th February.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/...r-birth-gender

The very same day Andrew Miller/Amy George appeared in court, having been charged the day before.

Damien 08-03-2023 10:34

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Anyone doubting Sturgeon's political skills only needs to look at the lunacy of the people fighting to succeed her. Amazing drop off in quality and all the more impressive she managed a party so divided and insane.

Chris 08-03-2023 12:08

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36147665)
Anyone doubting Sturgeon's political skills only needs to look at the lunacy of the people fighting to succeed her. Amazing drop off in quality and all the more impressive she managed a party so divided and insane.

Anyone lauding Sturgeon’s political skills should be looking at the state of the NHS, schools, our over-centralised and unresponsive police service, a nationalised shipyard that can’t finish ships and a nationalised rail service that struggles to run a railway.

Sturgeon’s sole political skill is presentation. She talks a good game, which is why you lot down south all think she aced her covid response when all she was really doing was copying whatever HMG did and adding a bell or a whistle to it to make out she had somehow considered it more deeply or carefully.

Everything she has said and done since 2014 has been about maintaining a very broad political coalition of rank amateurs who would be lucky to get a seat on an English county council. So yes, to that extent I agree with you, now she’s checked out, the wheels are well and truly coming off the SNP clown car. And not before time.

denphone 08-03-2023 12:32

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
So given the wheels are coming off it will be interesting how their vote stands up in a future general election given Sturgeon is not there anymore.

Chris 17-03-2023 11:48

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
The SNP clown car attempts another circuit of the ring even as bits keep falling off. In this case, the 30,000 bits they seem to have lost since the end of 2021 (or indeed the 20,000 bits they lost in the 18 months prior to that).

From a peak of more than 120,000 members in 2019 the party executive has now been forced to admit it’s down to 72,000. Only a month ago they flatly denied a report in the nationalist movement’s in-house comic, The National, that they had lost 30,000 members in a year. Presumably on the basis that it actually took them 15 months rather than 12.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-64976104

1andrew1 17-03-2023 12:31

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36148376)
The SNP clown car attempts another circuit of the ring even as bits keep falling off. In this case, the 30,000 bits they seem to have lost since the end of 2021 (or indeed the 20,000 bits they lost in the 18 months prior to that).

From a peak of more than 120,000 members in 2019 the party executive has now been forced to admit it’s down to 72,000. Only a month ago they flatly denied a report in the nationalist movement’s in-house comic, The National, that they had lost 30,000 members in a year. Presumably on the basis that it actually took them 15 months rather than 12.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-64976104

They also have a Police enquiry over their finances hanging over them too.
Quote:

Operation Branchform was launched in July 2021 after the independence activist Sean Clerkin lodged a complaint about possible fraud involving hundreds of thousands of pounds raised for a second referendum that seemed to have melted into the SNP’s books.
https://www.heraldscotland.com/polit...e-finance-row/

Chris 17-03-2023 12:38

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
And two ferries that are 3x over budget, 5 years late, as of this week delayed a further 6 months requiring a further £6 million in contingency funding. Bill to the taxpayer thus far, getting very close to £300m. Yes, that’s right, THREE HUNDRED MILLION POUNDS.

Oh, and the executives in charge of the yard (which is state owned after the SNP government bought it to try to prevent a PR disaster) have been awarding themselves bonuses, worth £87k over the last 3 years.

‘Nicola Sturgeon is a formidable operator’ will one day be judged in the same light as ‘Russia has a formidable army’. Both have been feared and admired, both turn out to be good for nothing but wanton destruction.

1andrew1 17-03-2023 12:47

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36148378)
And two ferries that are 3x over budget, 5 years late, as of this week delayed a further 6 months requiring a further £6 million in contingency funding. Bill to the taxpayer thus far, getting very close to £300m. Yes, that’s right, THREE HUNDRED MILLION POUNDS.

Oh, and the executives in charge of the yard (which is state owned after the SNP government bought it to try to prevent a PR disaster) have been awarding themselves bonuses, worth £87k over the last 3 years.

‘Nicola Sturgeon is a formidable operator’ will one day be judged in the same light as ‘Russia has a formidable army’. Both have been feared and admired, both turn out to be good for nothing but wanton destruction.

Sturgeon is a formidable operator in that she's a fantastic sales person but there's not a well-oiled administration behind her so she's effectively undermining the independence case.

Pierre 17-03-2023 14:59

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36148378)
And two ferries that are 3x over budget, 5 years late, as of this week delayed a further 6 months requiring a further £6 million in contingency funding. Bill to the taxpayer thus far, getting very close to £300m. Yes, that’s right, THREE HUNDRED MILLION POUNDS.

Oh, and the executives in charge of the yard (which is state owned after the SNP government bought it to try to prevent a PR disaster) have been awarding themselves bonuses, worth £87k over the last 3 years.

‘Nicola Sturgeon is a formidable operator’ will one day be judged in the same light as ‘Russia has a formidable army’. Both have been feared and admired, both turn out to be good for nothing but wanton destruction.

Could have bought more than 20 capable 2nd hand vessels for that kind of money.

Very poor stewardship of taxpayers money.

https://commercial.apolloduck.com/li...ort=0&limit=10

Even the MOD have seen the light, buying used vessels to convert to an MROSS for the RFA.

It was first mooted the MROSS vessels would be new builds, but there are very capable existing hulls out there that can be converted, saving millions.

https://www.navalnews.com/naval-news...ves-in-the-uk/

Chris 17-03-2023 15:18

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
There are all sorts of things wrong with the procurement assumptions at CMAL, the state body that owns Scotland’s entire maritime transport infrastructure. On top of all of them, in this specific instance, was the SNP’s political imperative to prevent the last commercial shipbuilder on the Clyde from going bust and then chucking it an eye-catching order for two great big Hebridean ferries that would look great on the front of the newspapers with Alex and Nicola waving from the bridge.

Ferguson Marine had never built a ferry this big, and it was now asked to build two of them simultaneously, and also to incorporate novel dual fuel technology that was entirely beyond its experience or expertise. Add to that CMAL’s slapdash, fluid and lackadaisical approach to design and specification and it was a disaster in the making. The reason for the latest six-month delay announced this week is that, incredibly, so many years down the line, they are *still* coming to build bits of these things and finding that the bits haven’t even been properly designed and specced.

CMAL is State owned and Scottish ministers are its ‘shareholders’. Ferguson Marine is likewise State owned.

The shytte-show that is CMAL is squarely the responsibility of the SNP who have been in government for 16 years. And the utter farce that is Ferguson Marine is not something the SNP can claim to have inherited. It is entirely of their own invention.

jfman 17-03-2023 15:43

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
And it’s howling at the moon compared to HS2, or other similarly farcical UK-led procurement or investment. I don’t see as many tears shed for taxpayers money when it’s London burning through more of it, faster.

That said, it shouldn’t detract from the hilarity that has been the SNP leadership contest of which the membership numbers and accusations of “Trumpian nonsense” is the latest instalment.

One can only suspect the massive self inflicted own goal of “gender reform” hasn’t went down to well with the membership. Scotland isn’t as socially progressive as the SNP Twitter echo chamber would wish it to be. I also think having a go at Forbes for her religion, in a country with a sectarianism problem, is a really interesting approach.

The really negative outcome - in the absence of any meaningful policies from the unionists - would be even greater influence for the Green Party after the next election.

Pierre 17-03-2023 15:49

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36148386)
And it’s howling at the moon compared to HS2, or other similarly farcical UK-led procurement or investment. I don’t see as many tears shed for taxpayers money when it’s London burning through more of it, faster.

I am totally on the record for denouncing HS2, I can already get to London from Leeds in under two hrs, and generally in 2hrs 20mins.

Chris 17-03-2023 16:00

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36148386)
And it’s howling at the moon compared to HS2, or other similarly farcical UK-led procurement or investment. I don’t see as many tears shed for taxpayers money when it’s London burning through more of it, faster.

That said, it shouldn’t detract from the hilarity that has been the SNP leadership contest of which the membership numbers and accusations of “Trumpian nonsense” is the latest instalment.

One can only suspect the massive self inflicted own goal of “gender reform” hasn’t went down to well with the membership. Scotland isn’t as socially progressive as the SNP Twitter echo chamber would wish it to be. I also think having a go at Forbes for her religion, in a country with a sectarianism problem, is a really interesting approach.

The really negative outcome - in the absence of any meaningful policies from the unionists - would be even greater influence for the Green Party after the next election.

If the SNP has any sense at all - debatable - it will distance itself from those policies that were the price of this totally unnecessary coalition and make clear to the electorate that they were Green, and not SNP, initiatives. There’s some evidence that they were able to deny they lost 30,000 members in a year (as reported in The National last month) because from December 2021 to December 2022 they had actually only (!) lost 20,000. The 30,000 figure obtained by the National was correct, but it took the SNP until February to lose that additional 10,000, and all of that appears to have been the direct fallout of the Gender Self ID bill. One begins to get some idea why Nicola chose to step down; even in the absence of a leadership election they wouldn’t have been able to keep that disaster secret forever.

Yes, Westminster has its grand foibles and incompetencies but there is an entire forum in which we can (and do) discuss them. Bringing them up here just whiffs of whataboutery. ;)

And as for Forbes, well yes, I think one of the things Sturgeon has got spectacularly wrong is that her eye has been so fixated on building grand coalitions that she thought shackling herself to the Green Party and its gender ID proposals would kill two birds with one stone and generally be an extremely Good Idea. Yet the upshot is you have to wonder whether she has any understanding at all of what Scotland actually is.

jfman 17-03-2023 20:26

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
It’s not whataboutery to bring a sense of perspective to the claims of gross incompetence that unionists - like yourself - will cling to. The SNP don’t exist in a vacuum. Scottish politics is a competitive marketplace devoid of ideas.

pip08456 17-03-2023 23:23

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
1 Attachment(s)
Murray Foote has resigned as SNP media chief.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1679095323

Chris 17-03-2023 23:51

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Yep … as I said earlier, The National (strapline, “the newspaper that supports an independent Scotland”) actually got hold of the membership numbers a month ago. When they put it to the SNP Press Office they unfortunately seem to have framed the question in such a way that the SNP leadership thought it could swerve it with a denial. I thought it might have been to do with the exact timing of the loss of members but apparently it was to do with the National suggesting that the Gender ID bill was the precise cause. The SNP leadership can’t know for certain what the cause of all those lost members is so they used that as the basis for a flat denial.

In the light of all that has come out this week that has put the person acting as press spokesman in a very difficult position because the agreed response was clearly an extremely pedantic and deliberate ploy to avoid the truth. The party leadership might have assured itself that it wasn’t lying but nobody outside that clique will see it that way.

jfman 18-03-2023 12:36

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Mr Sturgeon resigns as CEO of the SNP.

Chris 18-03-2023 12:44

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Indeed. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-65000606

The wheels haven’t just come off, they’ve bounced over the central reservation and caused a pile-up on the opposite carriageway.

jfman 18-03-2023 14:37

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
At this point Ash Regan going to court and getting the process started again might actually be beneficial. They can heavily lean on almost anyone else - Robertson, Matheson or McKee to have a long hard think about it.

Sephiroth 18-03-2023 16:10

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Sod the lot of them. I'm so pleased their bubble is bursting.

RichardCoulter 19-03-2023 00:41

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Nicola Sturgeon has recorded a song to celebrate her time in office:

https://www.google.com/search?q=fe+f...id:Tn-ZSizEdMI

Paul 19-03-2023 15:30

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
SNP in 'tremendous mess' ..

Quote:

There is "tremendous mess" in the SNP over the party's leadership race, the new interim chief executive has said.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotla...itics-65001543

Chris 19-03-2023 23:04

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Deep fried schadenfreude never tasted so good:D

nashville 20-03-2023 14:55

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
After the disaster of Nicola Sturgeon and her party, Who on earth would we want to vote the SNP again, Scotland , England Ireland and Wales all need each other, We are a great country together, why let these halfwits break it up. They have wasted enough money and getting nowhere but failures,

Itshim 20-03-2023 18:42

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nashville (Post 36148536)
After the disaster of Nicola Sturgeon and her party, Who on earth would we want to vote the SNP again, Scotland , England Ireland and Wales all need each other, We are a great country together, why let these halfwits break it up. They have wasted enough money and getting nowhere but failures,

Perhap there should be a vote for the whole of the UK to be asked if we want Scotland to remain , wonder what the result would be then :D

Sephiroth 22-03-2023 13:32

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 

……. and would we allow 16 year olds to vote?

denphone 27-03-2023 14:40

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Humza Yousaf to succeed Sturgeon as SNP leader.

Quote:

Humza Yousaf is to succeed Nicola Sturgeon as SNP leader and Scotland's first minister after a vote of party members.
Quote:

After Ms Regan was eliminated in the first round, Mr Yousaf defeated Ms Forbes by 52% to 48% in the second round, with Mr Yousaf receiving 26,032 votes and Ms Forbes 23,890.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotla...itics-65086551

Mad Max 27-03-2023 16:04

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
The clown has taken over the circus.

jfman 27-03-2023 16:43

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
The numbers are interesting. Despite 3 quite different choices, 20,000 people didn’t bother to vote. For a party that would style itself as progressive, a significant chunk of it’s membership votes Forbes ahead of Yousaf, or wasn’t so concerned by her socially conservative values as to vote at all.

Chris 27-03-2023 19:14

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36148820)
The numbers are interesting. Despite 3 quite different choices, 20,000 people didn’t bother to vote. For a party that would style itself as progressive, a significant chunk of it’s membership votes Forbes ahead of Yousaf, or wasn’t so concerned by her socially conservative values as to vote at all.

I’d venture to suggest that a huge number of the post-2014 new members were engaged in little more than online virtue signalling, given the ease of joining online, and how low the initial membership fee was. Before the referendum there were just 20,000 members, though I suspect most of them were politically engaged to some degree. Having formally lost more than a third of their peak membership it seems they’re likely to lose a chunk more once they remember to cancel their direct debits.

The vote split is I suspect very revealing of where Scotland really is, culturally and socially. If Humza Useless hadn’t been very overtly the establishment candidate I suspect Forbes would have done better still, and could have won it.

Whatever, it’s settled now. We’re in for a couple of years of the same old, same old, and then probably quite a difficult election for the SNP.

ianch99 27-03-2023 19:31

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36148829)
I’d venture to suggest that a huge number of the post-2014 new members were engaged in little more than online virtue signalling, given the ease of joining online, and how low the initial membership fee was. Before the referendum there were just 20,000 members, though I suspect most of them were politically engaged to some degree. Having formally lost more than a third of their peak membership it seems they’re likely to lose a chunk more once they remember to cancel their direct debits.

The vote split is I suspect very revealing of where Scotland really is, culturally and socially. If Humza Useless hadn’t been very overtly the establishment candidate I suspect Forbes would have done better still, and could have won it.

Whatever, it’s settled now. We’re in for a couple of years of the same old, same old, and then probably quite a difficult election for the SNP.

I am guessing that Forbes, being rooted in Old Testament thinking re: LGBT+, probably alienated enough of the younger SNP support to ensure she lost. Saying that, depending where Humza is aligned in the Islamic theology spectrum, he may not be far behind.

If these two are the best that the SNP can do then its fun time for Labour for the next GE ...

Chris 27-03-2023 20:18

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36148830)
I am guessing that Forbes, being rooted in Old Testament thinking re: LGBT+, probably alienated enough of the younger SNP support to ensure she lost. Saying that, depending where Humza is aligned in the Islamic theology spectrum, he may not be far behind.

If these two are the best that the SNP can do then its fun time for Labour for the next GE ...

There’s plenty in the New Testament about model relationships and sexuality as well. There’s also a lot about tolerance. Kate Forbes is routinely - sometimes wilfully - misunderstood for assuming she holds to one and not the other. In my experience I have come across many more LGBT etc activists who have failed to master the skill of disagreeing well, than I have encountered Christians with that problem.

Public polling throughout this campaign has consistently shown Kate Forbes was the voters’ favourite. The SNP has missed an opportunity to bring in a new broom and a popular face and has instead stuck with business as usual with a minister whose record is hardly glowing. The noises coming from the other political parties in Scotland are rather positive this evening. The SNP ought to worry why that is.

Sephiroth 27-03-2023 21:42

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36148830)
I am guessing that Forbes, being rooted in Old Testament thinking re: LGBT+, probably alienated enough of the younger SNP support to ensure she lost. Saying that, depending where Humza is aligned in the Islamic theology spectrum, he may not be far behind.

If these two are the best that the SNP can do then its fun time for Labour for the next GE ...

Although now a somewhat moot point, can you please explain what you've said there?

Hmmm - Humza Yousaf - Scottish Nationalist?

Hugh 27-03-2023 21:52

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36148839)
Although now a somewhat moot point, can you please explain what you've said there?

Hmmm - Humza Yousaf - Scottish Nationalist?

Can I ask why you are questioning this?

He was born in Glasgow…


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