![]() |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Not only does the Magna Carta not apply in Scotland, the particular clause that they were quoting was removed umm about eight hundred years ago. And, even when it was applicable the rights did not apply to all men.....
https://www.theregister.com/2021/08/...nburgh_castle/ silly people..... |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Possibility of a referendum in 2023 rises.
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Would be great if a referendum happens :tu:
We could really do with another 'us & them' thread to argue about when Brexit fades away :D |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
If they attempt it, it will be without transfer of powers and almost certainly subject to challenge in court. If they do go ahead, the unionist strategy will be to boycott. Without buy-in from the UK parliament, which is the only sovereign authority in constitutional matters, a yes vote is irrelevant - especially a 100% yes vote on a 30-40% turnout. There isn’t going to be a mutually recognised referendum and Scotland isn’t going to leave the UK. The UK government will respect the outcome of the once-in-a-generation referendum which the SNP called and lost in 2014, even if Nicola and her pet hippies won’t.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
I’m not a Scot, but I don’t believe that the majority of them would vote for separation.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinio...h_independence |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Elections are largely won and lost according to the state of the economy, and trust in which party is best placed to manage it.
I have always said that opposition parties need to hammer home the financial realities of separation. If they do that forcefully enough, the Scots will not vote for independence. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Sometimes, sovereignty beats the wallet. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
As a remainer, Andrew, you can only see what we lose from leaving the EU, without taking account of what we will gain. And as that gain cannot be seen at this stage of the transition, you assume there will not be one. In time, you will see your mistake. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
We already have a thread for this. Please keep Brexit out of this thread, except for where it directly relates to the question of Scotland leaving the UK.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
For Scotland to run a consistently larger deficit than the UK average suggests structural issues at play in its economy. Have these been hidden by being part of a larger entity?
Would leaving the UK force Scotland to face up to these issues which it hasn't had needed to so far, thanks to generous Westminster funding? |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
In the same way that the poorer EU nations, are propped up by money from the richer EU nations. Eg Poland benefits by a staggering 13bn Euros of net EU funding, and yet their core economy doesn't seem to be improving well enough to need less EU money year on year. The free money gives the false impression that their economy is doing better than it actually is. There is no pressure to improve that situation themselves. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Imagine, though, the arguments made against Brexit with regards to our loss of unfettered access to the EU single market. Now imagine those arguments made against Scotland’s loss of access to the single market within the UK. Again, standard Nat evasion is to point out that rejoining the EU would give Scotland access to a much larger single market, however (leaving aside the serious structural barriers to an independent Scotland joining the EU any time soon), there is an enormous difference between access to a single market and the proven ability to exploit that access. England may be a smaller market than the EU, but Scotland does vastly more trade with England than it does with the EU. Geography, history and a fully aligned economy all play their part in that. So much of the Nat prospectus actually relies on the remaining UK rolling over and giving Scotland absolutely everything it wants in terms of access to the market and influence over monetary policy that their argument is holed below the waterline before it’s even off the slipway. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
However I don’t think it’s a catch-all that trumps everything. In the case of the EU it’s not credible to claim the UK resigning membership is an economic calamity. We were a net contributor to the organisation and we are a major global economy more than able to make our own way in the world even if there are short term issues while we adjust. In the case of Scotland vis a vis the UK, how patriotic is it really, to insist that Scottish sovereignty trumps all, in the face of the hard numbers published annually by the Scottish government itself that prove beyond doubt that removing Scotland from the UK would mandate savage reductions in state services? |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Well - being still a member I might as well post.
It's the word "sovereignty" and its implications that has spurred me (as it has Chris). Scotland is a nation that united with England & Wales some hundreds of years ago to form the current union. The UK government has no democratic issue with Scotland leaving the UK; thus the sovereignty question was settled in the 2014 referendum. If the UK government wants to authorise another referendum, so be it (though I don't think they should be bullied by Sturgeon into doing it soon). The embarrassment might come if Sturgeon holds an advisory referendum and there is a majority for independence. It would be democratically awkward for the UK government to refuse a binding referendum on a determined date. My (arrogant) post of 17-July sets out some of the things that need to be settled before a referendum should take place - so that the Scots will know the score in advance. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
It is vastly unlikely that anybody born anywhere in the UK and living in Scotland - including people Scottish by birth - would lose the right to move and settle in England. That’s one enormous migrant crisis waiting right there if a grand experiment in Scottish nation building goes pear shaped. In fact there would inevitably be some movement simply on the basis of a Yes vote, most likely among more affluent and mobile families, making even harder for a newly independent Scotland to succeed. England simply can’t warn “the Scots” what will happen and then wash its hands of it. It will continue to have an interest in Scotland’s future, for good or ill. Furthermore, Sturgeon’s great risk in holding an advisory referendum is that the unionist side simply boycotts it on the basis it wasn’t authorised by Westminster, following the precedent set, and agreed to, by the Nats in 2014. That gives the Nats a guaranteed massive majority, on a small turnout, which the UK government can paint as no more democratic than an average Monday in Minsk. None of this is to say that the Nats won’t huff and puff and scream and scream and scream until they’re sick, but when it comes to it they are absolutely powerless to force anything to happen. The only thing ever likely to force a UK government to relent is a substantial, sustained lead in the polls, which the Nats have never had. Nicola knows this and in the past has voiced that view. She can’t voice it aloud any longer because she has enough opposition within the party to risk a leadership challenge if she starts looking like the Nat who doesn’t want independence. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
I think you're splitting hairs with me in your first paragraph. The rest makes perfect sense.
The term "Scots" in my meaning is those eligible to vote in a binding referendum. As simple as that. I can't see where I implied otherwise. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
In this case, “the Scots” is a plural, proper noun for those of a particular national identity. I am eligible to vote in a referendum held in Scotland but I am not, and will never be, one of “the Scots”. I am one of “the English”. This is not splitting hairs - it is categorically different and, as I’ve illustrated, it’s important that distinctiveness is understood because it has the capacity to cause a serious migrant crisis. It serves nobody to obfuscate that point. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/Scot - the other dictionaries say the same thing. Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
https://www.collinsdictionary.com/di...y/english/scot https://www.lexico.com/definition/scot https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dic...sh/scot?q=Scot |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Anyone reading my post knows exactly what is meant in context and it would be the same understanding if your preferred substituted word had been used. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Can I have vote? |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
I’m afraid that pedantry rules on this site, Seph.
I see now that the SNP/Greens alliance is being criticised for being a bonkers arrangement which many will not like and will end up making independence for Scotland less popular, demolishing Nicola Sturgeon’s plans for a ‘successful’ referendum as she sees it. The pressure that will be exerted by the Greens to stop relying on the oil fields will be a major blow to Scotland’s economic case for independence (even though the more thinking Scots appreciate that the plans to achieve carbon neutrality will make them uneconomic well before 2050). Bonkers politics it is, then! |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Now which would that be? Residents of Scotland? Bon in Scotland? Scottish people living in England/Wales? I'm sure Chris would want to know. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
I’m beyond caring….
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Nicola Sturgeon insisting she wants a referendum while quietly sabotaging the process because she knows she can’t win it … surely not. :scratch:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
I was being slightly tongue in cheek, however Sturgeon is on record as saying she thought another referendum shouldn’t happen until there was sustained and substantial support for separation in the polls. She can never admit it out loud but she really doesn’t want to hold a referendum right now. It’s too risky. However, if she did say it out loud there would be a leadership challenge so she has to keep kicking the can down the road, looking like she’s keen but never quite bringing it about. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
The SNP appear to be doing a great job of implementing mindbending legislation, like arresting you for speaking your mind in your own home, letting people self identify as whatever sex they feel like when they feel like. You know stuff that really resonates with the common man I’m sure. Not doing so well on drugs, nuts and education though.
They’re only in power because the poor people in Scotland literally have no other choice, if any one fancies starting a new left of centre to centre party in Scotland for the common man now’s the time. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
I do have some sympathy with the kicking-the-tin-can-down-the-lane argument, though. It will be interesting to see how it develops. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
It is extremely important to carefully consider the partners you go into coalition with to maintain credibility and the support of the people who elected you. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
The curated Wikipedia page describes it as "Centre-left to left-wing". |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
The Greens are generally nutters hell-bent on destroying prosperity as the price for giving up meat, electricity, petrol and so on. The Scots (i.e. those resident in Scotland) are presumably sufficiently educated to re-align at the appropriate election point as their government increasingly comes up with insane policies.
The Scots (i.e. those resident outside Scotland) will remain powerless to see their homeland go even further down the pan. ---------- Post added at 10:08 ---------- Previous post was at 10:07 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
I am saying that they are very relevant, hence my example. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
From https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Result...ament_election The Greens took NO constituency seats and obtained 8 Regional seats. The SNP got 47.7% of the Constituency vote. The Greens got 1.3% of the Constituency vote. So, although there is a government supportive of independence, giving up the comforts that the Greens want to take away may well become a bigger issue than independence. Sturgeon will want to put that difficult stuff into the background and the Greens will want that to be front & centre. Interesting times to come. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
For starters, the smaller parties often don’t stand any candidates in the constituencies. It is a waste of time because the constituency vote is FPTP so they know they can’t win. The regional list vote allocates seats proportionally, after allowing for any seats already won within each region’s constituencies. Most Green voters vote for a major party that best reflects their views in the constituency, and then they vote Green on the regional list - if they vote on the constituency ballot at all. The numbers don’t actually tally up so there are definitely people who only vote on one of the papers. So if you want an accurate idea of how popular (or otherwise) the Greens are in Scotland, you need to look to the regional list vote, where they scored 8.1%. That may not sound a lot, but it put them in 4th place ahead of the Lib Dems and a country mile ahead of Alex Salmond’s Alba Party, which fought an explicitly list-vote-only campaign. That said, I agree, pitting the Greens front and centre in Scottish politics might actually backfire. They have been careful in the past to keep the focus on Patrick Harvie because unlike most of them he doesn’t sound like a complete froot loop on TV. If they’re going to be sitting in the cabinet however, we are eventually going to end up with some of the other ones on the six o’clock news. As you say, interesting times are ahead. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
All I know about 'greens' is that you're supposed to eat 5 a day*, maybe it's different in Scotland ;)
*it's a prerogative, or charter, or something . . . |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Are you deliberately trying to misunderstand? |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
What I said was: Quote:
Apart from Alex Salmond's new party, the other parties are against independence. Sure, the two parties in government won't see eye to eye 100% on everything but both are centre-left which is far closer than the two parties you used as examples. And sure, there are many reasons why someone voted SNP instead of the Green Party but the key aspect remains - for the first time there is now a pro-independence government in charge of a devolved Scottish Parliament. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
I think you’re right, she’s after the combination of government and parliament united behind independence, but the reason she’s doing it is not because it’s a first, it’s because it’s been the case for 10 years one way or another, yet she still can’t get and win a referendum. This is just another way of rearranging the deckchairs to try to make her demands for the legal powers to hold another referendum more persuasive. ---------- Post added at 17:00 ---------- Previous post was at 16:46 ---------- Incidentally, if you want to read a vehemently pro-independence blogger who exerted genuine influence in the 2014 campaign, explaining why he thinks there is absolutely zero chance of there being a referendum any time in the next 5 years, I heartily commend this article: https://wingsoverscotland.com/the-sh...g/#more-130108 Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
I hope so . Fed up with supporting them ! Get back behind the wall now
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
So Wales supports Scotland financially?
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/gover...yearending2020 Most of England is as well for that matter. London and the southeast are the net contributors, but then that’s to be expected in a country as heavily centralised as ours. And in case you were thinking of feeling sorry for all those southerners paying for our stuff, they do get a lot of infrastructure advantages to support all their tax-raising industry. So don’t. :D |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
together. We do not all like the SNP, For me I cannot stand them , |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
The wee yin really is obsessed with this thing. She can't actually focus on trying to run a country.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
12 years of Tory government, Boris Johnson in Downing Street and 2 years of Wee Nippy on TV almost daily, 'running' the country via covid policy, and the polling has barely shifted. Quite what she thinks is going to shift now is beyond me. Of course, she doesn't seriously think it will shift. This is all about maintaining the unity of the cause by giving the appearance of momentum. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Fed up with Nicola and her Indy 2, she knows we do not want it but she is trying to hold onto her job by pleasing her followers, Scotland would be in the gutter with Westminster, We need all nations to stay together,
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
I assume Sturgeon is raising independence now as she knows Johnson is in a defensive position. Not that he will change his mind, but it will distract him from other matters.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Still no sign of what real policies they would want to pursue that would magically increase things like productivity and GDP.
Too many of their comparator countries have advantages that are unique to them or they got in there first and there is little room for newcomers. Link Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
She is of course continuing to prevaricate - note the lack of specifics in today’s reheated mince, and also how she plans to drip-feed half a dozen position papers into public view in the coming weeks, without any actual timetable. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-61798663 |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
:rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes: :rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes: |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Obviously she has solved Brexit and stopped Covid-19 is Scotland then?
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
19th October 2023 proposed as referendum date by Sturgeon.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotla...itics-61968607 |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
I wish the SNP would just knock it on the head. They had their no answer last time.
At this moment is not the right time to divide the country yet again. We have far more important issues which the people running our country need to work on. Recovery from Covid, cost of living crisis etc. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Supreme Court gonna pick up this tab, can’t see them saying yes to dear wee sweet Nicola.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
I think the plan is to get rejected and then hype that as a grievance for the 2024 Scottish Elections.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Here we go again with her Indy2, No wonder Scotland is being neglected as she keeps all the money for to fight this situation, People of Scotland need to get together and take a hard look at what we would be like on our own , In the gutter for sure
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
On the subject of referenda my sons would both like a referendum on kicking Scotland out of the UK, wonder what the result of that would be.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Seems extremely unfair that those opposed have to raise money and go through all the trouble every few years, just because the taxpayer funded SNP says so.
As I've previously said, if the polls were very in favour of independence, she might have more of a case to argue. Something like this shouldn't be so narrow based, that "which way the wind is blowing" on the day of the vote might affect the outcome. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
I’m still waiting to hear how her economic strategy will demonstrate how she intends to ensure that Scots are not poorer if they go independent.
Given that England would be better off without the regions, I don’t think those of us south of the border have much to worry about, but I feel sorry for those north of the border, who would become impoverished with independence. The oil won’t be much help to them after 2050. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Insisting on having a vote every few years when you don't get your own way, is stacking the deck. Along with the taxpayer funding one side, and that side able to hand out freebies and bribes, all funded by the English taxpayer(they couldn't afford it without English money). |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
If they leave then many will be shocked at the cost of prescriptions and uni fees they will have to find, then there will be the roads that they will have to fund.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Too much of a disconnect between spending levels and taxes that people pay, or rather don't pay. Too many people don't need to be bothered, if taxes have to increase, because it's not their taxes that are going to increase.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Prescriptions have been free of any charges in Scotland for years, why would independence change that? |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Leaving the EU trading bloc was disruptive but at least in that case we had some existing friction there with a physical border and a different currency. If Scotland leaves there is a wide-open border that would presumably have to be closed at some point (especially if they want to join the EU) and there would now be different currencies. A business in Edinburgh that could sell in London just as easily as they could sell in Glasgow would now find a customs border and a currency exchange added to transactions to over 90% of their current domestic market. :spin: It's insane. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Having BJ, a law breaking clown running the UK into the ground hadn't helped matters. Together we're stronger divided we're all weaker, same for Europe and the UK. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Presumably she can have as many "referendums" as she likes (its just a big vote).
They just wont mean anything [legally] to the rest of the UK, who can just ignore them ? |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
There is also the share of the Covid debt they would have to pay back and the trade consequences of a border between Scotland and England. There are too many negatives and no economic positives. |
All times are GMT +1. The time now is 18:08. |
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
All Posts and Content are © Cable Forum