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-   -   Will Scotland Leave the UK? (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33684496)

Hugh 07-04-2021 12:44

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
What about dual nationality? - the U.K. already allows that for Irish (and Canadian, amongst quite a lot of others) passport holders.

Carth 07-04-2021 12:48

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
If Scotland left the UK, would their footballers then have to abide by the same rules & regulations as other foreign players?

Chris 07-04-2021 13:03

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36076370)
I should add something to the list:

6/
Citizenship - Scots on the Scottish electoral roll (and descendants) on the day prior to SCEXIT will no longer hold British citizenship from 12 months after secession. The rules for granting British nationality to Scots will need to be tight. For example, time-limited period for requesting retention of British nationality; if born in England or Wales, then allowed; if born in Scotland but normally resident in England or Wales, then allowed.


From my perspective, we are in the strange position of not wanting to break the UK up, but if they're that stupid then we're forked on making it easy for them to split or difficult so as to deter them.

As we're (England & Wales) not going to cave in financially (are we?), then a split will indeed be bitter. The Nats will be trying to screw us for every penny, we'll be totally resistant which will lead to impasse and a decision point for the Nats; we don't have to do anything. Should be interesting.





What you’re proposing is removing British citizenship from people born with it, and who voted against separation. That would be an extraordinary state of affairs and would have international repercussions. This is not the same as removal of EU so-called “citizenship” post-Brexit, which is actually no more than a gloss on a web of international treaties. British is a nationality recognised everywhere.

papa smurf 07-04-2021 14:58

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36076374)
What you’re proposing is removing British citizenship from people born with it, and who voted against separation. That would be an extraordinary state of affairs and would have international repercussions. This is not the same as removal of EU so-called “citizenship” post-Brexit, which is actually no more than a gloss on a web of international treaties. British is a nationality recognised everywhere.

Collateral damage, blame the snp or better still get rid of them.

---------- Post added at 14:58 ---------- Previous post was at 14:36 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36076372)
What about dual nationality? - the U.K. already allows that for Irish (and Canadian, amongst quite a lot of others) passport holders.

That doesn't sound much like separatism.

Hugh 07-04-2021 15:02

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36076378)
Collateral damage, blame the snp or better still get rid of them.

---------- Post added at 14:58 ---------- Previous post was at 14:36 ----------



That doesn't sound much like separatism.

Like the Irish who separated?

jfman 07-04-2021 15:08

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
This is why I genuinely welcome English engagement with the debate.

papa smurf 07-04-2021 15:14

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36076380)
Like the Irish who separated?

Best we don't repeat the same mistakes made with the Irish, things get a little untidy over there.


I doubt krankie will allow scots to be known as British or even worse English, it'll be ok for scots living in the rest of the uk they could apply for settled status, as for those who live in Scotland but didn't want to break up the union they will have to get a travel visa to visit the other nations or try to get over the wall that we will have built.

1andrew1 07-04-2021 16:28

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36076374)
What you’re proposing is removing British citizenship from people born with it, and who voted against separation. That would be an extraordinary state of affairs and would have international repercussions. This is not the same as removal of EU so-called “citizenship” post-Brexit, which is actually no more than a gloss on a web of international treaties. British is a nationality recognised everywhere.

On the other hand, would "British" still exist long-term without Scotland?

Carth 07-04-2021 16:39

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I could be wrong (failing memory, too much Brandy ;) ) but I'm sure I remember not being allowed to write 'English' on many official forms, it had to be British.

Not best pleased as I recall ;)

Hugh 07-04-2021 17:03

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
That would be because your nationality is British/U.K. - English isn’t a nationality, and hasn’t been for over 300 years... :)

Chris 07-04-2021 17:19

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36076388)
On the other hand, would "British" still exist long-term without Scotland?

“British” existed before English, Scottish or Welsh. The Romans called this island Britannia, and by the time they retreated back to Italy the Britons occupied (what we now call) Wales, the far southwest and far north of England and southern Scotland.

Also, unless the SNP tries to declare a socialist republic, the monarch of Great Britain will still be enthroned and a cultural concept of Britishness will continue, and the government of the remaining UK would be entirely at liberty to continue to define British in whatever way it chose and to continue to grant the people of the island citizenship of Britain.

Whatever happens, the idea of anyone who currently holds British citizenship being stripped of it in the event of Scotland separating from the UK is fanciful.

nomadking 07-04-2021 17:47

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36076400)
“British” existed before English, Scottish or Welsh. The Romans called this island Britannia, and by the time they retreated back to Italy the Britons occupied (what we now call) Wales, the far southwest and far north of England and southern Scotland.

Also, unless the SNP tries to declare a socialist republic, the monarch of Great Britain will still be enthroned and a cultural concept of Britishness will continue, and the government of the remaining UK would be entirely at liberty to continue to define British in whatever way it chose and to continue to grant the people of the island citizenship of Britain.

Whatever happens, the idea of anyone who currently holds British citizenship being stripped of it in the event of Scotland separating from the UK is fanciful.

In the same way people wouldn't be stripped of EU citizenship?
They would acquire Scottish citizenship instead. Similar to where any part of an existing country breaks away.

papa smurf 07-04-2021 18:13

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36076396)
That would be because your nationality is British/U.K. - English isn’t a nationality, and hasn’t been for over 300 years... :)

It's more like the bank of mum n dad funding everyone else;)

Chris 07-04-2021 18:30

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36076404)
In the same way people wouldn't be stripped of EU citizenship?
They would acquire Scottish citizenship instead. Similar to where any part of an existing country breaks away.

As I stated earlier, so-called "EU citizenship" is nothing of the sort. EU citizenship is a brand name for certain entitlements a citizen of France has when visiting Germany, or vice versa. If EU citizenship was essentially the same thing as true national citizenship, it would be possible to go to an EU consulate in your home country and apply for it. But you can't, because there's no such process. You can only get it as a side-effect of holding actual citizenship of a country that is a member of the EU.

nomadking 07-04-2021 18:41

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36076417)
As I stated earlier, so-called "EU citizenship" is nothing of the sort. EU citizenship is a brand name for certain entitlements a citizen of France has when visiting Germany, or vice versa. If EU citizenship was essentially the same thing as true national citizenship, it would be possible to go to an EU consulate in your home country and apply for it. But you can't, because there's no such process. You can only get it as a side-effect of holding actual citizenship of a country that is a member of the EU.

You still don't get the the benefits of EU citizenship, so why should Scots still get any benefit from UK citizenship?

How many examples are there, where part of country splits off, that citizens of the new country, automatically keep citizenship and rights of the old?

Chris 07-04-2021 18:48

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36076419)
You still don't get the the benefits of EU citizenship, so why should Scots still get any benefit from UK citizenship?

How many examples are there, where part of country splits off, that citizens of the new country, automatically keep citizenship and rights of the old?

Ireland would appear to be the obvious case study here.

Sephiroth 07-04-2021 18:54

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36076374)
What you’re proposing is removing British citizenship from people born with it, and who voted against separation. That would be an extraordinary state of affairs and would have international repercussions. This is not the same as removal of EU so-called “citizenship” post-Brexit, which is actually no more than a gloss on a web of international treaties. British is a nationality recognised everywhere.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth
I should add something to the list:

6/
Citizenship - Scots on the Scottish electoral roll (and descendants) on the day prior to SCEXIT will no longer hold British citizenship from 12 months after secession. The rules for granting British nationality to Scots will need to be tight. For example, time-limited period for requesting retention of British nationality; if born in England or Wales, then allowed; if born in Scotland but normally resident in England or Wales, then allowed.

From my perspective, we are in the strange position of not wanting to break the UK up, but if they're that stupid then we're forked on making it easy for them to split or difficult so as to deter them.

As we're (England & Wales) not going to cave in financially (are we?), then a split will indeed be bitter. The Nats will be trying to screw us for every penny, we'll be totally resistant which will lead to impasse and a decision point for the Nats; we don't have to do anything. Should be interesting.

Well, of course, I didn't post a fully worked idea as it's highly complex. When the Czechs and Slovaks split, people on either side had one year to choose their nationality. But that wasn't a problem in those days because dual-citizenship was not permitted in those countries at the time. The UK allows multiple-citizenship, so it'll require an ingenious scheme to get this right.


To come to the question of those Scots who will have voted "No" to independence: Chris makes a sound point. If Scotland allows dual-nationality (England will probably insist on this as part of the Withdrawal Agreement) that will sort itself out. Except that there will be anomalies. A Scot may have dual-citizenship. Can an English person, with no connection to Scotland also claim Scottish citizenship? This was done in Northern Ireland.

Separation will be so fraught but we can't let Scotland have our cake to eat. They might eventually join the EU and their desire to spit on England/Wales will only increase.


pip08456 07-04-2021 19:06

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36076421)
Well, of course, I didn't post a fully worked idea as it's highly complex. When the Czechs and Slovaks split, people on either side had one year to choose their nationality. But that wasn't a problem in those days because dual-citizenship was not permitted in those countries at the time. The UK allows multiple-citizenship, so it'll require an ingenious scheme to get this right.


To come to the question of those Scots who will have voted "No" to independence: Chris makes a sound point. If Scotland allows dual-nationality (England will probably insist on this as part of the Withdrawal Agreement) that will sort itself out. Except that there will be anomalies. A Scot may have dual-citizenship. Can an English person, with no connection to Scotland also claim Scottish citizenship? This was done in Northern Ireland.

Separation will be so fraught but we can't let Scotland have our cake to eat. They might eventually join the EU and their desire to spit on England/Wales will only increase.


If left to the SNP that will be when they balance the books. AKA when hell freezes over.

Hom3r 07-04-2021 19:35

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Our only hope is the SNP lose and Sturgeon has to quit, like Salmond did

Chris 07-04-2021 19:55

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36076421)
[COLOR="blue"]Well, of course, I didn't post a fully worked idea as it's highly complex. When the Czechs and Slovaks split, people on either side had one year to choose their nationality. But that wasn't a problem in those days because dual-citizenship was not permitted in those countries at the time. The UK allows multiple-citizenship, so it'll require an ingenious scheme to get this right.

On the contrary - in Czechoslovakia, people were either Czech or Slovak citizens from around 25 years before the eventual splitting of the country in two, so there was no controversy because nobody lost 'Czechoslovak' citizenship on the day of the split. There were arrangements after the split to allow people to apply for citizenship that they didn't have under certain conditions.

The better analogy is the Irish Free State, whose citizens remained British Subjects, as far as British and other Commonwealth governments were concerned, from 1922, and whose British citizenship status was properly resolved by Act of Parliament in 1949. Similarly, anyone with one Irish grandparent, from north or south, is automatically entitled to Irish citizenship, although they have to actively apply for it.

jfman 08-04-2021 20:55

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Well the old polls are tight, little nudge here, little nudge there all within margin of error between narrow majority/minority.

Hugh 08-04-2021 21:05

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36076531)
Well the old polls are tight, little nudge here, little nudge there all within margin of error between narrow majority/minority.

Alba are doing well... ;)

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1617912273

jfman 08-04-2021 21:09

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36076532)

A roaring success. :D

A bit of analysis was done (not by me!) on twitter a few days back that pointed to where they could get success on the list and that's between 5 and 7% across the regions but it was the Labour party that had the most 'at risk' seats based on the last election. But the Holyrood system is quite complicated so whether that holds up in reality or not we'd have to wait and see.

I'd be inclined to think that even with a paltry showing Salmond would get in whatever region he is standing in.

Chris 09-04-2021 09:27

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Many European voting systems have a formal 5% polling threshold below which you don’t get allocated any seats. We don’t have that here but historically that is more or less the tipping point. If Eck can’t get beyond 5% he probably won’t get any seats.

The question of who he starts stealing them from if he does get any is interesting. Labour is still looking very weak which is unsurprising but still disappointing (and I say that as someone who has never voted for them). The only way the SNP is going to be seriously dented is if they lose some of their central belt seats and it is unlikely anyone but Labour can do that.

jfman 10-04-2021 09:36

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Probably spent too much time for a Saturday morning overthinking what creates the artificial threshold trying to work out why 3% of the vote in a 129 member Parliament doesn’t get 3 or 4 seats then realised the lists aren’t balancing 129 they’re each individually balancing ~17.

Even where small parties have had success on a national scale it’s really how concentrated their vote is that got seats (Scottish Socialists in 2003 spring to mind - that was driven by a 15% share in Glasgow).

jfman 11-04-2021 00:04

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
As I'm a bit more sad I decided to look into the Alba party's chances based on 'personality'.

If they're not going to hit the 5-7% 'threshold' nationally, which the polls strongly indicate they won't, then they'd be relying on personality in each area (as Tommy Sheridan did with the SSP in Glasgow)

Salmond himself is in North East Scotland where the Lib Dems got a solitary seat on 6%/18,444 votes. In the good old days (1999) Salmond would win about that many votes in Banff and Buchan. His ability to peddle the message that the SNP didn't take a solitary seat off the North East list plus his profile (if that's viewed is positive) might take him over. It could actually be a damning indictment of what the public think of him if he doesn't.

In Lothian their most high profile candidate is Kenny MacAskill the sitting MP for East Lothian but he underperformed vs the SNP nationally (he took 36% of the vote in that constituency/20k votes). The Greens got 2 list seats off 34k (10.6%) votes in the region so I wonder if Kenny can push the dial there.

Neale Hanvey is the sitting MP for Kircaldy and Cowdenbeath who won his seat on 16,568 votes in 2019 while suspended from the SNP. He's in mid-Scotland and Fife where the Greens got one off the list on 17,860 (6.1%).

I've genuinely never heard of the rest of them (well, Alex Arthur the former pro-boxer) and if Hanvey didn't have "MP" after his name I'd not have clicked on him either.

Three seats though if there's a minority Government...

Hugh 12-04-2021 12:53

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
1 Attachment(s)
Not a joke/parody post - this is real...

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...3&d=1618228359

TheDaddy 12-04-2021 22:40

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36076726)
Not a joke/parody post - this is real...

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...3&d=1618228359

Any idea who the Loch Ness monster is endorsing yet?

1andrew1 12-04-2021 23:04

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36076756)
Any idea who the Loch Ness monster is endorsing yet?

The Green Party? :D

TheDaddy 13-04-2021 01:36

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36076757)
The Green Party? :D

Maybe, doubt it'll be anything Robert the Bruce supports though, the monster took a very dim view of stabbing someone in a church apparently

Sephiroth 13-04-2021 07:53

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36076756)
Any idea who the Loch Ness monster is endorsing yet?

Herself.

papa smurf 13-04-2021 08:30

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36076768)
Herself.

That's the jock ness monster:)

jfman 23-04-2021 20:47

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I've read the manifesto a few times now but can anyone name a Scottish Labour policy?

Mad Max 23-04-2021 20:52

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36077813)
I've read the manifesto a few times now but can anyone name a Scottish Labour policy?


Here you go.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotla...itics-56750856

Mick 09-05-2021 09:06

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
So Nicola, big head, small body, Sturgeon, makes no overall progress, since she took reigns of the SNP. No overall majority, again, sure they will be in bed with the Greens, in the Scottish Parliament, but and I borrow the rule from the EU Referendum Remainers rule book, the vote share for Tories, Labour and Lib Dem’s, essentially, anti-independence parties, beat the vote share of the separatist parties. Such a crying shame.

papa smurf 09-05-2021 09:20

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36079088)
So Nicola, big head, small body, Sturgeon, makes no overall progress, since she took reigns of the SNP. No overall majority, again, sure they will be in bed with the Greens, in the Scottish Parliament, but and I borrow the rule from the EU Referendum Remainers rule book, the vote share for Tories, Labour and Lib Dem’s, essentially, anti-independence parties, beat the vote share of the separatist parties. Such a crying shame.

Then you have to count the 37% who didn't vote and assume they wanted to keep the union together and it's a none starter for a second ref.

nomadking 09-05-2021 09:38

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
When it comes down to it, is there much of a downside for England to finally kick out Scotland? It would depend on how soft England was in any agreements, eg would we be still expected to financially prop up Scotland for the next 1,000 years?

Pierre 09-05-2021 09:48

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36079090)
When it comes down to it, is there much of a downside for England to finally kick out Scotland? It would depend on how soft England was in any agreements, eg would we be still expected to financially prop up Scotland for the next 1,000 years?

There would very much be a downside. Nothing good would come of breaking up the Union.

Once this pandemic is over, I have high hopes for what the country can achieve economically, if we can focus on that for a few years and not get bogged down with an independence argument, I’m sure the country will benefit as a whole and perhaps independence may drop in importance.

papa smurf 09-05-2021 09:55

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079091)
There would very much be a downside. Nothing good would come of breaking up the Union.

Once this pandemic is over, I have high hopes for what the country can achieve economically, if we can focus on that for a few years and not get bogged down with an independence argument, I’m sure the country will benefit as a whole and perhaps independence may drop in importance.

I'm worried that we pour a fortune into Scotland to build it back better then the separatists claim responsibility and drag the country out of the union and into poverty, then we are left with a begging bowl culture attached to England, it's very hard to turn your back on such close friends but what else could we do when it all goes wrong for them.

nomadking 09-05-2021 10:03

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079091)
There would very much be a downside. Nothing good would come of breaking up the Union.

Once this pandemic is over, I have high hopes for what the country can achieve economically, if we can focus on that for a few years and not get bogged down with an independence argument, I’m sure the country will benefit as a whole and perhaps independence may drop in importance.

Such as? England is a lot less dependent on Scotland. It's not as if goods to/from the EU have to pass through Scotland. There would be complications with citizenship and the border, but once done that is it.

Scotland runs a deficit, even in the "good times", therefore there is no economic benefit from Scotland.

Anything Scotland needs from England, they would still need.

It's not mutually exclusive that all Scots that vote for the Union to remain, actually want the Union to remain. They are being pragmatic in that they get so many freebies as a result. Finally be brave enough to take away their unfair freebies, and see their attitudes change.
Spending money is easy, when you don't have to earn it.
Link
Quote:

Scottish politicians should focus their attention on the transition to renewable energy if they are to raise the growth rate, a report has said.
A study of low growth in output and productivity has found economic policy lacks focus and can be too complex.
It forecasts Scotland is on course to see a widening gap with countries such as Norway, the scale of which compares to the entire global output of Google.
...
The report was commissioned from Oxford Economics by the foundation set up by Sir Tom Hunter, the Ayrshire-based entrepreneur and philanthropist.
He says the current election campaign features good ideas for spending more, but little focus on how to make more money.
They just want to "earn" money by drilling under the sea, or by "plucking" it from the air.

Mr K 09-05-2021 10:21

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36079089)
Then you have to count the 37% who didn't vote and assume they wanted to keep the union together and it's a none starter for a second ref.

So we can also assume those that didn't vote in Brexit referendum didn't want Brexit? :confused:

papa smurf 09-05-2021 10:30

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36079096)
So we can also assume those that didn't vote in Brexit referendum didn't want Brexit? :confused:

You already did

Hom3r 09-05-2021 10:41

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
All the BBC are doing is keep going on about NS calling for a second once in a lifetime referendum for independence as they have a majority for one.


But the actual figures across the board are pro union.

Mr K 09-05-2021 10:43

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 36079099)
All the BBC are doing is keep going on about NS calling for a second once in a lifetime referendum for independence as they have a majority for one.


But the actual figures across the board are pro union.

No worries with letting them have another vote then. It's a foregone conclusion...

papa smurf 09-05-2021 11:29

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36079101)
No worries with letting them have another vote then. It's a foregone conclusion...

But what about their share of the national debt, that should be calculated to a per person amount and published so that they know the amount of financial pain they will have to endure to fulfil Nicola's dream.

Hom3r 09-05-2021 11:40

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Scotland cannot afford to break away.

They would end up having to pay for prescriptions, university fees to start.

Plus NS seems to have forgotten that more people live in London than in Scotland.

In regard to the base in Scotland, that I guess employs loads of locals. We simply relocate to the south of the border and ban any Scots person from working there under security reasons, and employ Brits. Redundancy payments won't be an issue as they aren't British Citizens.

Let NS worry about the newly unemployed, it will be her problem not ours.

papa smurf 09-05-2021 11:43

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 36079108)
Scotland cannot afford to break away.

They would end up having to pay for prescriptions, university fees to start.

Plus NS seems to have forgotten that more people live in London than in Scotland.

In regard to the base in Scotland, that I guess employs loads of locals. We simply relocate to the south of the border and ban any Scots person from working there under security reasons, and employ Brits. Redundancy payments won't be an issue as they aren't British Citizens.

Let NS worry about the newly unemployed, it will be her problem not ours.


they should be billed for the cost of any move of the base which would not be cheap, but no worries they have the magic money well.

Hom3r 09-05-2021 11:54

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
1 Attachment(s)
How our flag will look if NS gets her way.


Perhaps we could change the Scottish Blue, to Welsh Green instead?

Mr K 09-05-2021 12:05

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 36079110)
How our flag will look if NS gets her way.


Perhaps we could change the Scottish Blue, to Welsh Green instead?

I think green would look nicer personally.:)

Re: the pro-union vote, folks are assuming all Labour/ Lib voters would vote No in a referendum. When faced with being ruled by Boris from London, it only takes a small percentage of them to choose canny Nicola from Edinburgh instead.
Hence the paranoia about another vote: the unpopularity of the PM in Scotland could swing it.

Sephiroth 09-05-2021 12:06

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36079093)
I'm worried that we pour a fortune into Scotland to build it back better then the separatists claim responsibility and drag the country out of the union and into poverty, then we are left with a begging bowl culture attached to England, it's very hard to turn your back on such close friends but what else could we do when it all goes wrong for them.

"Our friends in Scotland", eh?

Pierre 09-05-2021 16:33

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36079095)
Such as? England is a lot less dependent on Scotland. It's not as if goods to/from the EU have to pass through Scotland. There would be complications with citizenship and the border, but once done that is it.

Scotland runs a deficit, even in the "good times", therefore there is no economic benefit from Scotland.

Anything Scotland needs from England, they would still need.

It's not mutually exclusive that all Scots that vote for the Union to remain, actually want the Union to remain. They are being pragmatic in that they get so many freebies as a result. Finally be brave enough to take away their unfair freebies, and see their attitudes change.
Spending money is easy, when you don't have to earn it.
Link
They just want to "earn" money by drilling under the sea, or by "plucking" it from the air.

Before you get to how things operate post separation, there is the separation itself to get through. Years of arguing, fighting, anti-Scot / anti-English sentiments it would just be a depressing and horrible time.

nomadking 09-05-2021 17:49

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079131)
Before you get to how things operate post separation, there is the separation itself to get through. Years of arguing, fighting, anti-Scot / anti-English sentiments it would just be a depressing and horrible time.

As to opposed to now?:confused: There is no mechanism to be followed.

It's more a case of being anti the constant anti-English sentiment from the Scottish, rather than a straightforward anti-Scottish sentiment.

Still no examples of a longer-term downside, only upsides.

Mr K 09-05-2021 17:59

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079131)
Before you get to how things operate post separation, there is the separation itself to get through. Years of arguing, fighting, anti-Scot / anti-English sentiments it would just be a depressing and horrible time.

Indeed, and where have we learnt that from !?

Mad Max 09-05-2021 18:19

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36079134)
As to opposed to now?:confused: There is no mechanism to be followed.

It's more a case of being anti the constant anti-English sentiment from the Scottish, rather than a straightforward anti-Scottish sentiment.

Still no examples of a longer-term downside, only upsides.

That doesn't apply to me or many others in Scotland who are pro the Union and do not dislike English people.

Chris 09-05-2021 18:31

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I’ve lived in Scotland more than half my adult life and never once experienced anti-English sentiment, even from those I know to be raving nats. :D. I’m not saying it doesn’t exist, but that it’s overstated. Scottish nationalism is largely fuelled by a bizarre kind of deluded exceptionalism that has created a narrative in which Scotland has, amongst other things, never really been the home territory of an empire, and is somehow untainted by things the British empire did, like profit from slavery and tobacco plantations; and somehow had nothing to do with the British political system. It’s all English, and Scotland has always been an unwilling, or at best reluctant, passenger.

It’s nonsense of course - everything recognisable about our government and politics, even our entire concept of what a nation state is, was forged after the union, through the 18th and 19th centuries (as it was everywhere in Europe). Sit and listen to a Holyrood parliament debate with your eyes shut and you hear exactly the same British political debate being conducted as you do in Westminster.

Scottish nationalism is all about living in denial about Scotland’s fundamental connection to Britain and Britishness, while idolising an approved, sanitised version of Scotland’s cultural distinctiveness.

Mad Max 09-05-2021 18:35

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36079144)
I’ve lived in Scotland more than half my adult life and never once experienced anti-English sentiment, even from those I know to be raving nats. :D. I’m not saying it doesn’t exist, but that it’s overstated. Scottish nationalism is largely fuelled by a bizarre kind of deluded exceptionalism that has created a narrative in which Scotland has, amongst other things, never really been the home territory of an empire, and is somehow untainted by things the British empire did, like profit from slavery and tobacco plantations; and somehow had nothing to do with the British political system. It’s all English, and Scotland has always been an unwilling, or at best reluctant, passenger.

It’s nonsense of course - everything recognisable about our government and politics, even our entire concept of what a nation state is, was forged after the union, through the 18th and 19th centuries (as it was everywhere in Europe). Sit and listen to a Holyrood parliament debate with your eyes shut and you hear exactly the same British political debate being conducted as you do in Westminster.

Scottish nationalism is all about living in denial about Scotland’s fundamental connection to Britain and Britishness, while idolising an approved, sanitised version of Scotland’s cultural distinctiveness.

Well said sir. :tu:

Pierre 09-05-2021 19:00

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36079134)
Still no examples of a longer-term downside, only upsides.

Not everything is measured in pounds, shillings and pence.

nomadking 09-05-2021 19:11

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079148)
Not everything is measured in pounds, shillings and pence.

Still no examples of any sort, other than because it's a change.

Far too many existing separate arrangements with too many divergences, for it to be a sustainable situation.
Too many devolved powers, for which they are not held accountable.


Link

Quote:

Prime Minister Boris Johnson has invited the leaders of the devolved nations to a summit on how "Team UK" can recover from the pandemic.
So who is representing England? Boris is to be there representing the UK as a whole, therefore none of the others are required.

Hugh 09-05-2021 19:27

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079131)
Before you get to how things operate post separation, there is the separation itself to get through. Years of arguing, fighting, anti-Scot / anti-English sentiments it would just be a depressing and horrible time.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079148)
Not everything is measured in pounds, shillings and pence.

I know we have our disagreements, but on this, total agreement

TheDaddy 09-05-2021 20:39

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36079148)
Not everything is measured in pounds, shillings and pence.

It's about a feeling isn't it and sovereignty, let them go it alone but imo they either do it or they shut up about it, I'd prefer them to leave tbh, that would be a proper brexit dividend for me and had I known this would be the result I'd have changed my vote to leave

Mad Max 09-05-2021 20:50

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36079168)
It's about a feeling isn't it and sovereignty, let them go it alone but imo they either do it or they shut up about it, I'd prefer them to leave tbh, that would be a proper brexit dividend for me and had I known this would be the result I'd have changed my vote to leave



Can I ask why? I'm Scottish and pro the Union, like many thousands of other Scots.

TheDaddy 09-05-2021 22:15

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36079170)
Can I ask why? I'm Scottish and pro the Union, like many thousands of other Scots.

We never hear your voice, even after winning a referendum we didn't hear people speaking for you, Sturgeon, Salmond and all the other fishy names have made careers making out Scotland was being kept against it's will and enough English people are fed up hearing it, so much so in fact if the snp held it's referendum here Scotland would be free of us.

OLD BOY 10-05-2021 07:53

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36079113)
I think green would look nicer personally.:)

Re: the pro-union vote, folks are assuming all Labour/ Lib voters would vote No in a referendum. When faced with being ruled by Boris from London, it only takes a small percentage of them to choose canny Nicola from Edinburgh instead.
Hence the paranoia about another vote: the unpopularity of the PM in Scotland could swing it.

Are you assuming that all those who voted SNP would vote yes, then?

Mr K 10-05-2021 09:58

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36079181)
Are you assuming that all those who voted SNP would vote yes, then?

Possibly OB, but not many as it's the SNPs main 'raison d'etre'.

However if you're right surely no harm in letting them have another vote? It's doomed to fail, isn't it ?

I get the impression Govts, aren't keen on referendums unless they are certain of the result. Recent history hasn't helped !

1andrew1 10-05-2021 10:06

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Maybe the UK government will enact some legislation to state that future referendums need a 2/3 majority to alter the status quo? And then happily have an independence referendum for Scotland?

Mr K 10-05-2021 10:56

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36079186)
Maybe the UK government will enact some legislation to state that future referendums need a 2/3 majority to alter the status quo? And then happily have an independence referendum for Scotland?

You've got a future in Govt. Andrew ! ;)

Mind you that might make another vote we had look suspect.....

Hom3r 10-05-2021 11:38

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
This anti-English/Scottish is BS.

My niece was in a relationship with a young woman from Glasgow. R and her mum where both pro Brexit and pro Union.

R even got a job down here to be with my niece, I got on with her very well as we both worked in aviation (she was cabin crew), we both liked Queen.

When my niece went to Glasgow she was never referred to a Sassenach

Sephiroth 10-05-2021 17:35

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Someone somewhere today suggested a referendum in 2027. Seems a sound idea to me. Boris could offer this and then let it rip, so to speak.

She'll want to carry the moment; he'll want to build a better Scotland in the 6 years lead-in.

Should be real fun.

Sephiroth 17-07-2021 22:31

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
This could get very tasty. I don't know what you lot think, but Boris is worth at least 3% for independence - which would at least bring it to 48/52!

Anyway, look at the long list of pitfalls on the way, seen from my point of view calculated to rile Sturgeon:

Who can vote?
- The diaspora of those born in Scotland and residing in the UK?
- Offspring not born in Scotland?
- Over-18s only?
- Will Scots living in England lose British citizenship if independence happens

Military arrangements
- Who must leave the British Army/Navy/Airforce?
- Scottish submarine bases to become British Sovereign bases?

Currency
- Can they keep the Pound?
- Will they survive interest rate hikes if they keep the Pound?

Financial Settlement )will be a huge bunfight)
- Proportion of pensions payable in Scotland to be paid by Britain?
- Who owns what? Particularly the banks?
- Just in time supplies from England?

Border (and EU)
- What will the day 1 border arrangements be?
- Will many, many, Scots come to live in England before independence?
- What would their nationality be post-independence?
- If they join the EU, when would the border go up?
- Tariffs?
- Would someone try a sort of "Scotland Protocol"?
- Which British political party would wear that?

Lots more to add, no doubt. Oil is now dead. Scotland sells several times more stuff within the UK than they did with the EU.

The SNP idiots cite Norway as a small country that has succeeded; yes when oil was the bug thing, they set up a sovereign fund and moved forward with non-oil investments. Scotland has none of that. They also cite Ireland as a success story. Well, Ireland's going to be hurt by the G20 tax agreement because the USA will pressurise the companies that now remit profits to Ireland unless Ireland falls in line.

Exciting times ahead!

1andrew1 01-08-2021 21:52

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

UK Government 'will not stand in the way' of IndyRef2 forever says Michael Gove

In an exclusive interview with the Sunday Mail, Gove – who heads Downing Street’s so-called Union Unit – said that if there is a “settled will” for a rerun of the 2014 vote, then “one will occur”.

Holding a legal vote would require the UK Government to grant Holyrood a Section 30 Order – something Johnson has so far refused to countenance.

But when asked if the Government would stand in the way forever, Gove said: “No, if it is the case that there is clearly a settled will in favour of a referendum, then one will occur.”

The Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster also revealed his admiration for Sturgeon, who has been compared favourably to Johnson over her handling of the pandemic.

He said: “Every week we have a meeting with Nicola and the leaders of the other devolved governments and the First Minister is a very intelligent and able person.“Obviously I disagree with her on lots of things but I do respect her.

"If I was not a Tory, it would be fascinating to chat about life and books but we’re on different sides so thatisn’t going to happen.

"However, if she invited me around for a cup of tea, I’d be delighted.”
https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/s...d-way-24660942

nashville 01-08-2021 23:18

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gary L (Post 35358466)
I think you mean what should we do about Scotland.

I think we should assist them in every way possible in the split.

Everyone in Scotland does not want to split, We certainly do not want the Nationalist to run our life’s, They are bringing Scotland down

Chris 01-08-2021 23:21

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36088209)

Well that’s mischievous. There are plenty of Nat headbangers who will distrust Sturgeon all the more when they find out Michael Gove likes her. :rofl:

1andrew1 01-08-2021 23:31

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36088217)
Well that’s mischievous. There are plenty of Nat headbangers who will distrust Sturgeon all the more when they find out Michael Gove likes her. :rofl:

A very Prime Ministerial interview. ;)

1andrew1 03-08-2021 13:22

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
An interesting development. I wonder if Michael Gove was aware of this when he talked about accepting a settled will for an independence vote.
Quote:

Sturgeon on brink of cooperation deal with Scottish Greens

Exclusive: agreement would cement a pro-independence majority at Holyrood and may give Greens ministerial seats

Nicola Sturgeon is on the brink of signing a deal with the Scottish Greens that would cement a pro-independence majority at Holyrood and may see the Greens taking ministerial seats.

The Guardian understands a final agreement is close to being signed, with preparations under way to put the deal to Sturgeon’s cabinet as early as next Tuesday.

The formal deal, which will stop short of a full coalition of the kind agreed by the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats under David Cameron and Nick Clegg in 2010, would give the Scottish National party and Scottish Greens a clear majority of seats at Holyrood.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...cottish-greens

Chris 03-08-2021 13:53

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
It’s been mooted ever since election day - so yes, he will have been aware of that possibility. Note however Gove’s reference to the settled will for a referendum, not settled will for independence. Believe it or not, polling is frequently less positive towards the idea of a second referendum than it is towards independence because a section of the “soft yes” electorate accepts the validity and the generational nature of the outcome in 2014. These voters accept there should not yet be another vote.

Polling support for independence has fallen after a brief spike in the middle of the pandemic. Recent polling on the question of whether there should even be another referendum is hard to come by. Whatever “settled will” means, it’s very unlikely Gove will agree there’s sufficient evidence for it any time soon.

OLD BOY 03-08-2021 20:40

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36088353)
An interesting development. I wonder if Michael Gove was aware of this when he talked about accepting a settled will for an independence vote.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics...cottish-greens

Heaven help the Scots. The loonies governing Holyrood are recruiting more nutcases…..

Sephiroth 03-08-2021 20:44

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36088410)
Heaven help the Scots. The loonies governing Holyrood are recruiting more nutcases…..

well, Gove was born in Scotland.

TheDaddy 03-08-2021 23:12

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36088410)
Heaven help the Scots. The loonies governing Holyrood are recruiting more nutcases…..

Is that worse than bozo rejecting 171 other candidates for mp and pick a Bullingdon club chum instead?

---------- Post added at 23:12 ---------- Previous post was at 23:11 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36088414)
well, Gove was born in Scotland.

Gove should be the poster boy for the Conservative party considering his upbringing and yet he isn't...

1andrew1 10-08-2021 11:51

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Lots of oft-repeated talk about Scotland's oil revenues coming to an end. But far less talk about its wind power. The UK is the windiest country in Europe and Scotland has 25% of Europe's potential offshore wind and tidal resources. This could give a fillip to the nationalists when pressed on how an independent Scotland might pay its way.

https://www.gov.scot/publications/sc...plan/pages/49/

Pierre 10-08-2021 12:28

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36089256)
Lots of oft-repeated talk about Scotland's oil revenues coming to an end. But far less talk about its wind power. The UK is the windiest country in Europe and Scotland has 25% of Europe's potential offshore wind and tidal resources. This could give a fillip to the nationalists when pressed on how an independent Scotland might pay its way.

https://www.gov.scot/publications/sc...plan/pages/49/

Scotland is far far behind England in Offshore wind, and they also have a much stronger fishing lobby, that are very anti-windfarm.

I don't think it's a silver bullet to replace oil revenues.

TheDaddy 10-08-2021 14:50

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36089259)
Scotland is far far behind England in Offshore wind, and they also have a much stronger fishing lobby, that are very anti-windfarm.

I don't think it's a silver bullet to replace oil revenues.

The oil revenues that only three or six (I can't remember which!) times exceeded their Barnett Formula subsidies in 30 odd years.

1andrew1 10-08-2021 15:07

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36089259)
Scotland is far far behind England in Offshore wind, and they also have a much stronger fishing lobby, that are very anti-windfarm.

I don't think it's a silver bullet to replace oil revenues.

Will be an interesting battle for the future then. ;)

nomadking 10-08-2021 16:08

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36089256)
Lots of oft-repeated talk about Scotland's oil revenues coming to an end. But far less talk about its wind power. The UK is the windiest country in Europe and Scotland has 25% of Europe's potential offshore wind and tidal resources. This could give a fillip to the nationalists when pressed on how an independent Scotland might pay its way.

https://www.gov.scot/publications/sc...plan/pages/49/

The list of customers for the energy is somewhat limited by geography, ie just UK and perhaps Ireland. Electricity cannot be transported by tanker.

Remember the Scottish government income comes from taxes, so the potential income from that is still a drop in the ocean compared to their deficit.

spiderplant 10-08-2021 16:44

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36089283)
The list of customers for the energy is somewhat limited by geography, ie just UK and perhaps Ireland. Electricity cannot be transported by tanker.

Actually
"Great Britain’s electricity market currently has 6GW of electricity interconnector capacity:

3GW to France (IFA and IFA2)
1GW to the Netherlands (BritNed)
1GW to Belgium (Nemo Link)
500MW to Northern Ireland (Moyle)
500MW to the Republic of Ireland (East West)."

plus one to Norway currently under construction.
(Source: Ofgem)

nomadking 10-08-2021 16:56

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36089284)
Actually
"Great Britain’s electricity market currently has 6GW of electricity interconnector capacity:

3GW to France (IFA and IFA2)
1GW to the Netherlands (BritNed)
1GW to Belgium (Nemo Link)
500MW to Northern Ireland (Moyle)
500MW to the Republic of Ireland (East West)."

plus one to Norway currently under construction.
(Source: Ofgem)

How many of of those interconnector links don't involve England, ie not Scotland.:rolleyes:
Norway interconnector
Quote:

The interconnector will be connected in Blyth in Northumberland in the UK, and in Kvilldal in Suldal on the Norwegian side. These locations are chosen after thorough considerations, and will make sure that the interconnector is connected to strong points in the British and Norwegian grids.
Link

Quote:

Since 2014 the majority (87.8%) of electricity transferred by interconnector has been imported into Great Britain.
Less than 2 mins for me to disprove.

1andrew1 10-08-2021 17:12

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36089286)
Less than 2 mins for me to disprove.

What have you disproved? spiderplant did not claim the interconnectors were in Scotland nor that we currently enjoyed a surplus in exporting electricity.

The logical question is whether Scottish-produced electricity could be exported via these inter-connectors or if it would need to build interconnectors of its own.

nomadking 10-08-2021 17:33

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36089288)
What have you disproved? spiderplant did not claim the interconnectors were in Scotland nor that we currently enjoyed a surplus in exporting electricity.

His post was meant to disprove that Scotland wouldn't have a limited set of customers for their renewable energy, it doesn't. What other purpose could his post attempt to serve? I didn't claim that there were no UK interconnectors, just that there weren't sufficient possibilities and demand for Scottish based interconnectors(on land or sea) to generate the necessary tax income.

After independence, they wouldn't be able to sell it to France, Belgium, Norway etc. France doesn't need it, and Norway is likely to have it's own wind power. Even if the Scots could sell it, they would be competing against Norway.
Link

Quote:

Norway does not actually need offshore wind farms for power - nearly all its electricity comes from renewables already - but instead sees the sector as a means of helping its vast oil and gas industry secure a new, low-carbon business model for the future.
...
Like oil, Norway would export the offshore wind it produces. In 2020, hydro and onshore wind power accounted for more than 98% of Norway's record high electricity production of 154.2 terawatt hours (TWh), generating net exports of 20.5 TWh, data from regulator NVE showed.
Geographically land wise, Scotland is isolated, apart from access via England.

spiderplant 10-08-2021 19:38

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36089288)
The logical question is whether Scottish-produced electricity could be exported via these inter-connectors or if it would need to build interconnectors of its own.

There is actually a proposal for one (but it doesn't look likely to be built at the moment)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NorthConnect
Do Norway need more electricity? I suspect not.

Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36089292)
His post was meant to disprove that Scotland wouldn't have a limited set of customers for their renewable energy

No it wasn't. You said "The list of customers for the energy is somewhat limited by geography, ie just UK and perhaps Ireland". You already acknowledged (entirely reasonably) that Scotland could export to the rest of the UK; I was pointing out that it could then also export beyond England.

nomadking 10-08-2021 19:58

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36089314)
There is actually a proposal for one (but it doesn't look likely to be built at the moment)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NorthConnect
Do Norway need more electricity? I suspect not.

No it wasn't. You said "The list of customers for the energy is somewhat limited by geography, ie just UK and perhaps Ireland". You already acknowledged (entirely reasonably) that Scotland could export to the rest of the UK; I was pointing out that it could then also export beyond England.

Norway is a net exporter of renewable electricity, so they obviously don't need it. The NorthConnect project is based upon exporting from Norway to the UK via the National Grid. It would be in competition with Scottish suppliers. Therefore very little taxable income raised for Scotland. The electricity is just "passing through" Scotland.
Would be a bit silly to try and transmit power from Scotland to Germany via Norway.
I included the possibility of UK(England, Wales, and NI), along with Ireland. What other countries are near to Scotland and have a large unfulfilled energy requirement? If France needed it, how would the power get there from Scotland, if not via England and the National Grid.

spiderplant 10-08-2021 20:21

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36089318)
If France needed it, how would the power get there from Scotland, if not via England and the National Grid.

Exactly by that route. Why would it not?

Pierre 10-08-2021 20:35

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
The Western Link interconnector in the Irish Sea from the Wirral to Scotland was built exactly to transfer power from Scotland to England, plans for an Eastern Link in the North Sea are on the table. There are also plans for a cable from R.o.L to Wales and R.o.I to France.

A North Sea grid connecting Dutch, Danish, German and U.K. wind farms is also a long term aim, as is a connector to Iceland, to tap into their thermal energy reserves.

I am somewhat involved in the periphery of the offshore power & interconnector sector.

The movement of energy around the U.K. and Europe is, and will be more, commonplace.

Sephiroth 10-08-2021 20:57

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
https://cleantechnica.com/2020/11/17...nd-to-britain/


Quote:

UK Energy Companies Plan Massive Undersea HVDC Cable From Scotland To Britain



Quote:

This week, three of the UK’s biggest energy companies announced they will construct a massive undersea high voltage direct current “superhighway” from Peterhead and Torness in Scotland to Selby and Hawthorne Point in northern England. The so-called Eastern Link will carry up to 2 GW of electricity via some of the longest high voltage undersea cables in the world. That’s enough to keep tea kettles boiling in 4.5 million British homes. It will create hundreds of jobs during the construction phase and will cost several billion pounds.

Construction is slated to begin in 2024 and the project could be expanded to carry up to 4 GW of electricity in the future. The east coast of Scotland is already home to about 1 GW of offshore wind turbines and has another 4.4 GW of new offshore wind projects pending. After the next leasing round for offshore wind licence areas, there could be up to 10 GW in Scottish waters in the coming years according to The Guardian.

The participants in the Eastern Link partnership are Scottish Power, National Grid, and SSE. Scottish Power and National Grid are already working together on the Western Link that will interconnect wind turbines along the west coast of Scotland and near Wales with England. That project, however, is behind schedule, leading to an investigation by regulators. The Eastern Link news was timed to coincide with the announcement that the UK will host the COP 26 climate conference in Glasgow in 2021.

Chris 10-08-2021 21:16

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
“From Scotland to Britain”? :confused:

nomadking 10-08-2021 21:35

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Where are the financial figures that claim, it could all raise £10bn in TAXES.
Link

Quote:

SCOTLAND’S deficit has ballooned to £40billion, more than eight times the limit set for EU membership, because of the pandemic and declining oil revenue, the UK's leading economic thinktank has found.
Doesn't matter how much any of it can raise Scottish GDP, unless it raise a significant amount in taxes on profits, it is of little consequence.
As a whole the energy sector only boosts UK GDP by £28bn, so the tax levied on the Scottish share of any profits won't be so great.:rolleyes:
Link

Quote:

Gas and electricity have long been the driving force of the UK; powered by coal, oil, gas, wind, solar and hydropower, the energy sector underpins the entire ecosystem on which Britain’s economy has blossomed.
As a sector that contributes a staggering £28 billion to Britain’s economy, the energy sector is a prestigious career route that is powered by a diverse range of roles, from geologists and ecologists to engineers, project managers, insurers and consultants.

1andrew1 18-08-2021 13:29

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Scotland’s estimated fiscal deficit balloons in blow to independence hopes

Scotland’s notional fiscal deficit ballooned to 22 per cent of total economic output in the year to April 2021, more than 8 percentage points higher than the funding gap for the UK as a whole, according to official data released on Wednesday.

The annual Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland (Gers) report highlighted the impact on public spending and tax revenues of the coronavirus pandemic, but also made clear the financial challenge an independent Scotland could face outside the UK.

The pro-independence Scottish National party government is expected to resume in the next few months its push for a second referendum on independence after winning the May elections to the devolved parliament in Edinburgh on a pledge to try to hold such a vote by the end of 2023.

The data, compiled by Scottish government statisticians, showed the country’s fiscal deficit for 2020-21, after a geographic share of North Sea oil and gas tax revenues was included, stood at 22.4 per cent of gross domestic product. This compared with a deficit of 14.2 per cent for the UK as a whole.
https://www.ft.com/content/c5c099a0-...8-5c1ee8193fca

Sephiroth 18-08-2021 13:35

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
From where is the Scottish Government getting the money to fund the fiscal deficit?

Quote:

A fiscal deficit is a shortfall in a government's income compared with its spending. The government that has a fiscal deficit is spending beyond its means. A fiscal deficit is calculated as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP), or simply as total dollars spent in excess of income.
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f...%20of%20income.



nomadking 18-08-2021 14:37

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36090214)
From where is the Scottish Government getting the money to fund the fiscal deficit?

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f...%20of%20income.

The same place it's always done, ie England.
To be fair events of the past year or so, are unusual and most countries are in the same situation. The true measure is the long-running deficit from before then.

Chris 18-08-2021 18:35

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Actually the present figures are just as true and useful, and sobering. Yes, they represent the cost of the Covid-19 crisis, but they place in stark relief Scotland’s structural weakness compared to England. It cost relatively more to deal with the crisis here, while Scotland’s contribution to the cost was relatively less.

Of course none of that matters while Scotland is part of a successful pooling and sharing union which manages all the assets and liabilities arising on this island as a single unified territory. It only becomes a problem if nationalists succeed in tearing that union up. It’s about time we heard from them how they would plan to square that circle, without blaming Westminster or making evasive assertions about making different choices. Especially with regards to Covid-19 it’s very hard to see what different choices the Nats could have made to deal with it more cheaply.

Maggy 19-08-2021 07:54

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I was interested to read this.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/...ng-magna-carta

Does Magna Carta apply in Scotland?

Sephiroth 19-08-2021 08:26

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy (Post 36090281)
I was interested to read this.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/...ng-magna-carta

Does Magna Carta apply in Scotland?


I suspect not, particularly as 1215 was well before the various Acts of Union. Also:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-19761919


Quote:

Only three of the 63 clauses in the Magna Carta are still in law. One defends the freedom and rights of the English Church, another relates to the privileges enjoyed by the City of London and the third - the most famous - is generally held to have established the right to trial by jury.

Below are the full translations of the relevant clauses from the 1215 copy of the Magna Carta held at the British Library.



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