Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36187421)

At some point - and it won’t be 2029 - someone will credibly float rejoining. The question then is whether it hits a critical mass to become politically palatable by the later end of the 2030s by which time the last referendum will have been almost 25 years earlier.

None of this tinkering round the edges is going to provide a palatable outcome for anyone in the interim.

Leaving was very much a niche political position only 10 years before the referendum. So things can move (relatively) fast.

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36187427)

I agree. Whilst polling still favours rejoining the EU last time I saw the polls, it's too divisive an issue for any mainstream party to advocate for at the next election.

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36187421)

At some point - and it won’t be 2029 - someone will credibly float rejoining. The question then is whether it hits a critical mass to become politically palatable by the later end of the 2030s by which time the last referendum will have been almost 25 years earlier.

None of this tinkering round the edges is going to provide a palatable outcome for anyone in the interim.

Leaving was very much a niche political position only 10 years before the referendum. So things can move (relatively) fast.

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36187457)

Who knows what the EU, or the wider Geo-political landscape, will look like in the late 2030’s

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36187458)

Despite the predictions on here of countries like the Netherlands and Ireland leaving, the EU has proved pretty resilient. I don't see its membership changing much over the next ten years, maybe a couple of small additions. As for the geopolitical landscape, that's somewhat harder to tie down than a trade deal with the US.

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36187460)

you didn't see the UK leaving but we did:)

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36187461)

It was even Stevens. Not sure who 'we' is but if there's royalty in the house, mine's a pint! :D

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36187458)

Despite the predictions on here of countries like the Netherlands and Ireland leaving, the EU has proved pretty resilient. I don't see its membership changing much over the next ten years, maybe a couple of small additions. As for the geopolitical landscape, that's somewhat harder to tie down than a trade deal with the US.

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36187466)

Maybe no change, or little change, in membership. I was thinking more about who call the tune. Germany and France in decline, Eastern European countries getting stronger, refuting mass migration and the issues that brings.

Who knows what it will all look like?

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36187427)

I agree. Whilst polling still favours rejoining the EU last time I saw the polls, it's too divisive an issue for any mainstream party to advocate for at the next election.

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36187467)

A bureaucratic nightmare like it is now

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36187467)

A bureaucratic nightmare like it is now

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36187576)

I fear your dislike for our country's European allies may blind you to the facts. The UK is the 77th least bureaucratic country in the World, well behind many EU countries like Ireland, Spain, Netherlands, Belgium, Italy and France.
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