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jonbxx 01-03-2021 12:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
This Brazilian variant seems to be like a 'cut and shut' of the UK and South African variants around the business parts of the spike (amino acids 400-600ish)

Here are the three compared - https://twitter.com/sailorrooscout/s...75542097825792

Considering most of the vaccines out there work well against both the UK and South Africa types, I wouldn't panic just yet.

1andrew1 01-03-2021 13:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36072457)
This Brazilian variant seems to be like a 'cut and shut' of the UK and South African variants around the business parts of the spike (amino acids 400-600ish)

Here are the three compared - https://twitter.com/sailorrooscout/s...75542097825792

Considering most of the vaccines out there work well against both the UK and South Africa types, I wouldn't panic just yet.

Interesting.
Which vaccines work well against both the UK and South African types?

pip08456 01-03-2021 13:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36072460)
Interesting.
Which vaccines work well against both the UK and South African types?

All of the current ones, in the UK at least..

Sephiroth 01-03-2021 13:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
You couldn't make it up - except in the perfidious and vindictive EU.
Here is the paywalled link plus a useful quote.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...aign=DM1343081

Quote:

Thomas Mertens, the head of Germany’s Standing Committee on Vaccination (Stiko), said on Saturday that the country was likely to change its controversial guidelines against not to give the AstraZeneca vaccine to over 65s, saying errors had been made. Promising “a new, updated recommendation very soon”, Mertens said: “somehow the whole thing went very badly”.
Error upon compounded error. They are pig headed, self righteous and pompous.


Hugh 01-03-2021 13:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Nice to see your even-handed comments on this.

They made an stupid error, realised it, and are correcting it - this is a common occurrence, not the end of earth or a massive conspiracy against the British.

The throbbing vein on your forehead must be a sight to behold....

"Pig headed, self righteous, and pompous" - oh, the irony...

Hom3r 01-03-2021 13:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
I'm expecting delays in easing lockdown due to the Brazilian variant.


My dad and I are hoping to be able to sit in my sister garden on the 27th which will be her 50th.


Even though hugging won't be allowed, at least we can sit in their garden and living room, but I'm expecting this to be cancelled.

Chris 01-03-2021 13:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36072472)
You couldn't make it up - except in the perfidious and vindictive EU.
Here is the paywalled link plus a useful quote.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...aign=DM1343081



Error upon compounded error. They are pig headed, self righteous and pompous.

An unfortunate combination of German cultural nationalism (we won’t have that, it’s Not Made Here), a population already prone to anti-vax, tinfoil hat stupidity, and crassly expressed, institutional outrage that the Brits dared make a flying success out of their vaccine programme at the same time as the EU was royally fecking up its own, has made for a toxic combination.

It’s only mildly entertaining watching German experts scratching their heads and wondering how the official denigration of a vaccine has led to a plummet in confidence and refusals to accept it. Mostly it’s tragic because they now have quantities of the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine sitting in fridges rather than in the arms of people who may now get very sick or even die of covid.

Sephiroth 01-03-2021 13:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36072475)
Nice to see your even-handed comments on this.

They made an stupid error, realised it, and are correcting it - this is a common occurrence, not the end of earth or a massive conspiracy against the British.

The throbbing vein on your forehead must be a sight to behold....

"Pig headed, self righteous, and pompous" - oh, the irony...

Thanks for your ever-present sarcasm. You should see someone about that.

Why would I wish to be even-handed in this matter? Their stupid error could lead to hundreds of unnecessary deaths.

I repeat, the EU, France and Germany (governments) are pig headed, self righteous and pompous. If you can't see that then you're deluding yourself.


Hugh 01-03-2021 13:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36072484)
An unfortunate combination of German cultural nationalism (we won’t have that, it’s Not Made Here), a population already prone to anti-vax, tinfoil hat stupidity, and crassly expressed, institutional outrage that the Brits dared make a flying success out of their vaccine programme at the same time as the EU was royally fecking up its own, has made for a toxic combination.

It’s only mildly entertaining watching German experts scratching their heads and wondering how the official denigration of a vaccine has led to a plummet in confidence and refusals to accept it. Mostly it’s tragic because they now have quantities of the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine sitting in fridges rather than in the arms of people who may now get very sick or even die of covid.

Yup - letting nationalism over-ride rationality, and the negative impact on the German population, was very dumb.

1andrew1 01-03-2021 14:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36072465)
All of the current ones, in the UK at least..

Great, so that should make it less of an issue.

jonbxx 01-03-2021 15:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36072488)
Thanks for your ever-present sarcasm. You should see someone about that.

Why would I wish to be even-handed in this matter? Their stupid error could lead to hundreds of unnecessary deaths.

I repeat, the EU, France and Germany (governments) are pig headed, self righteous and pompous. If you can't see that then you're deluding yourself.


They followed the science.

At the time of submission, there was insufficient data to support the effectiveness of the AZ vaccine in over 65s. There is no reason to expect the reaction over over 65s to be significantly different based on the reactions to COVID infections but also no hard evidence to say it will work. That's good enough for an Emergency Use Authorisation but probably not for a Conditional Market Authorisation.

Probably explained better by people with brains much bigger than mine here - https://www.sciencemediacentre.org/e...for-under-65s/

Chris 01-03-2021 15:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36072505)
They followed the science.

At the time of submission, there was insufficient data to support the effectiveness of the AZ vaccine in over 65s. There is no reason to expect the reaction over over 65s to be significantly different based on the reactions to COVID infections but also no hard evidence to say it will work. That's good enough for an Emergency Use Authorisation but probably not for a Conditional Market Authorisation.

Probably explained better by people with brains much bigger than mine here - https://www.sciencemediacentre.org/e...for-under-65s/

This is a tad naïve - you offer “they followed the science” as if it’s an absolute statement that can be offered without qualification, when clearly, as you acknowledge yourself, it is not. Those countries that authorised it for over 65s and those that did not were all following the science and yet somehow came to different conclusions.

There was actually perfectly adequate scientific data to support emergency use authorisation, and we are after all in an emergency. The phase 3 trials lacked sufficient test subjects in that age group to produce definitive data but there was ample data on antibody response and equally ample understanding that it was most likely this would translate into comparable vaccine efficacy in that group.

Given the problem Germany and France have with anti-vax movements they more than anyone should have understood that you can’t simply say you’re following the science as if science exists in a cultureless vacuum. How the science is communicated and how it is used politically are vitally important - as Germany is now discovering to its cost.

Hugh 01-03-2021 17:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Covid vaccines cut risk of serious illness by 80%

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-56240220
Quote:

A single shot of either the Oxford-AstraZeneca or the Pfizer-BioNTech Covid jab reduces the chance of needing hospital treatment by more than 80%, an analysis in England shows.

The Public Health England data - based on people testing positive for Covid in hospital - follows similarly 'spectacular' results in Scotland.

Health Secretary Matt Hancock said the findings were "very strong".

More than 20 million people have had a first dose of Covid vaccine in the UK.

That's more than a third of the adult population.

Mr Hancock said the data, which will be published later, shows the AstraZeneca vaccine was slightly more effective than the Pfizer jab.
Excellent news.

Source - https://www.gov.uk/government/news/n...n-older-adults

Quote:

Today Public Health England (PHE) has submitted a pre-print of a real-world study that shows that both the Pfizer and Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccines are highly effective in reducing COVID-19 infections among older people aged 70 years and over. Since January, protection against symptomatic COVID, 4 weeks after the first dose, ranged between 57 and 61% for one dose of Pfizer and between 60 and 73% for the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine...

... In the over 80s, data suggest that a single dose of either vaccine is more than 80% effective at preventing hospitalisation, around 3 to 4 weeks after the jab. There is also evidence for the Pfizer vaccine, which suggests it leads to an 83% reduction in deaths from COVID-19.

The data also shows symptomatic infections in over 70s decreasing from around 3 weeks after one dose of both vaccines.

Sephiroth 01-03-2021 17:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36072505)
They followed the science.

At the time of submission, there was insufficient data to support the effectiveness of the AZ vaccine in over 65s. There is no reason to expect the reaction over over 65s to be significantly different based on the reactions to COVID infections but also no hard evidence to say it will work. That's good enough for an Emergency Use Authorisation but probably not for a Conditional Market Authorisation.

Probably explained better by people with brains much bigger than mine here - https://www.sciencemediacentre.org/e...for-under-65s/

Maybe. But then why is the German authority saying they made an error?

The German public won't be impressed.

jonbxx 01-03-2021 18:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36072507)
This is a tad naïve - you offer “they followed the science” as if it’s an absolute statement that can be offered without qualification, when clearly, as you acknowledge yourself, it is not. Those countries that authorised it for over 65s and those that did not were all following the science and yet somehow came to different conclusions.

There was actually perfectly adequate scientific data to support emergency use authorisation, and we are after all in an emergency. The phase 3 trials lacked sufficient test subjects in that age group to produce definitive data but there was ample data on antibody response and equally ample understanding that it was most likely this would translate into comparable vaccine efficacy in that group.

Given the problem Germany and France have with anti-vax movements they more than anyone should have understood that you can’t simply say you’re following the science as if science exists in a cultureless vacuum. How the science is communicated and how it is used politically are vitally important - as Germany is now discovering to its cost.

But these countries chose not to do an Emergency Use Authorisation so the weight of evidence needs to be stronger. The opinion of the various regulatory bodies in a number of countries was that there was insufficient evidence of efficacy in the over 65s. In the absence of any other vaccine, that's a bold move but with the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine being on line, not such a risk as under 65s get AZ and over 65s get Pfizer/BioNTech who did produce enough data to make a judgement.

Where there's a stronger anti-vaccine sentiment, I don't think 'it will probably work in over 65s' is a strong argument to increase vaccine uptake. We have lots of arguments that it hasn't been tested enough in this country. The fact that efficacy in over 65s was assumed rather than proved was somewhat glossed over.

---------- Post added at 18:31 ---------- Previous post was at 18:28 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36072520)
Maybe. But then why is the German authority saying they made an error?

The German public won't be impressed.

No governments make errors, they simply 'do not recognise' the accusations levelled at them :D

OLD BOY 01-03-2021 19:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36072488)
Thanks for your ever-present sarcasm. You should see someone about that.

Why would I wish to be even-handed in this matter? Their stupid error could lead to hundreds of unnecessary deaths.

I repeat, the EU, France and Germany (governments) are pig headed, self righteous and pompous. If you can't see that then you're deluding yourself.


They certainly are. Merkel is still refusing the Oxford vaccine because she’s in the older age group! Not setting a very good example, is she?

---------- Post added at 19:17 ---------- Previous post was at 19:12 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 36072476)
I'm expecting delays in easing lockdown due to the Brazilian variant.


My dad and I are hoping to be able to sit in my sister garden on the 27th which will be her 50th.


Even though hugging won't be allowed, at least we can sit in their garden and living room, but I'm expecting this to be cancelled.

I doubt there will be a delay to the easing of the lockdown. There is an extremely small number of that variant over here and we are coming down hard on it wherever we find new cases.

At the very least, the existing vaccines should prevent people from getting so ill they end up in hospital, so there’s no reason to adjust the ‘roadmap’.

By the autumn, the successor vaccine will be able to tackle the variants much more effectively.

Hugh 01-03-2021 19:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36072488)
Thanks for your ever-present sarcasm. You should see someone about that.

Why would I wish to be even-handed in this matter? Their stupid error could lead to hundreds of unnecessary deaths.

I repeat, the EU, France and Germany (governments) are pig headed, self righteous and pompous. If you can't see that then you're deluding yourself.


Seriously - of all the arguments you could have put forward on the things Germany have got wrong about the COVID pandemic (and, like most countries, there have been quite a few), you went with the one where in fact our COVID death rate is much higher than theirs?

Germany, population 84 million, COVID deaths 72,000 (1 in 1177)

U.K., population 68 million, COVID deaths 123,000 (1 in 553)

Our COVID death rate is more than twice Germany’s...

Sephiroth 01-03-2021 19:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36072531)
Seriously - of all the arguments you could have put forward on the things Germany have got wrong about the COVID pandemic (and, like most countries, there have been quite a few), you went with the one where in fact our COVID death rate is much higher than theirs?

Germany, population 84 million, COVID deaths 72,000 (1 in 1177)

U.K., population 68 million, COVID deaths 123,000 (1 in 553)

Our COVID death rate is more than twice Germany’s...

Stop twisting my words. Disgraceful.

You know perfectly well I was referring to the excess deaths likely to be caused by the public reaction to government advice on the AZ vaccine.

I repeat, the regulator has now rescinded that advice.

Mad Max 01-03-2021 20:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36072531)
Seriously - of all the arguments you could have put forward on the things Germany have got wrong about the COVID pandemic (and, like most countries, there have been quite a few), you went with the one where in fact our COVID death rate is much higher than theirs?

Germany, population 84 million, COVID deaths 72,000 (1 in 1177)

U.K., population 68 million, COVID deaths 123,000 (1 in 553)

Our COVID death rate is more than twice Germany’s...

Did Covid actually cause all of those deaths? I know that Covid is mentioned on the death certificate but I'm not convinced that Covid was the actual cause, also, do other countries count their deaths in the same way as we do?

nomadking 01-03-2021 20:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36072531)
Seriously - of all the arguments you could have put forward on the things Germany have got wrong about the COVID pandemic (and, like most countries, there have been quite a few), you went with the one where in fact our COVID death rate is much higher than theirs?

Germany, population 84 million, COVID deaths 72,000 (1 in 1177)

U.K., population 68 million, COVID deaths 123,000 (1 in 553)

Our COVID death rate is more than twice Germany’s...

Misleading figures of course. What is the comparative death rate for the number of hospitalisations?
Plenty of countries will have lower death rates, but they will tend to be ones that had a LOWER number of infections and hospitalisations in the first place.

1andrew1 01-03-2021 20:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36072541)
Misleading figures of course. What is the comparative death rate for the number of hospitalisations?
Plenty of countries will have lower death rates, but they will tend to be ones that had a LOWER number of infections and hospitalisations in the first place.

Misleading only because they don't portray the UK in the best light on this crucial issue or another reason?

Persuade us that it is an unfair comparison.

nomadking 01-03-2021 21:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36072542)
Misleading only because they don't portray the UK in the best light on this crucial issue or a better reason?

Persuade us that it is an unfair comparison.

Already in my post. If you have a lower number of infections in the first place, then you are almost certainly going to have a lower death rate per head of population.:rolleyes:

Parts of World have had very few or no cases. They haven't done anything special to have lower death rates.
If there are a lot of big gatherings at funerals, marriages, parties, religious gatherings, etc, then there are going to be a lot of cases, and therefore deaths. Eg In the UK and New York(and perhaps more generally in the world), Orthodox Jews have been disproportionately affected. That is because they insist on constantly having big gatherings, not wearing masks, and not social distancing. Their fault, not any governments.
Ethiopia has a death rate a fraction of that of most countries. Why is that? A better health system? Extremely unlikely, or would it be fewer cases, and fewer people spreading it around.

Chris 01-03-2021 21:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36072525)
But these countries chose not to do an Emergency Use Authorisation so the weight of evidence needs to be stronger. The opinion of the various regulatory bodies in a number of countries was that there was insufficient evidence of efficacy in the over 65s. In the absence of any other vaccine, that's a bold move but with the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine being on line, not such a risk as under 65s get AZ and over 65s get Pfizer/BioNTech who did produce enough data to make a judgement.

Where there's a stronger anti-vaccine sentiment, I don't think 'it will probably work in over 65s' is a strong argument to increase vaccine uptake. We have lots of arguments that it hasn't been tested enough in this country. The fact that efficacy in over 65s was assumed rather than proved was somewhat glossed over.

But this is the point isn’t it. We’re in an emergency, but apparently not enough of an emergency for some governments. The science is what it is and doesn’t change regardless of which government is looking at it. There was ample evidence to infer efficacy in over 65s; for some, in an emergency, the inference was enough. For some it wasn’t.

Everyone followed the science, right up to the point when a political decision had to be taken. Which is why “they followed the science” is an inadequate explanation for the decisions that have been made.

jfman 01-03-2021 21:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Is the "science" not that they have (or at least were due) more of the Pfizer vaccine and we do not?

All things being equal based on the data available there'd be no reason to risk the AZ vaccine on groups it hadn't been tested on when you could offer them Pfizer, concentrating AZ on groups it had been tested on.

As it stands both suppliers let the EU down, but that doesn't make it an unsound judgement based on the circumstances. Despite the emergency the United States haven't approved the AZ vaccine at all. South Africa have handed theirs to neighbouring countries instead of distributing them. It seems somewhat bizarre that the UK are seeking vindication for their own decisions from the EU of all people.

Chris 01-03-2021 22:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36072548)
Is the "science" not that they have (or at least were due) more of the Pfizer vaccine and we do not?

All things being equal based on the data available there'd be no reason to risk the AZ vaccine on groups it hadn't been tested on when you could offer them Pfizer, concentrating AZ on groups it had been tested on.

As it stands both suppliers let the EU down, but that doesn't make it an unsound judgement based on the circumstances. Despite the emergency the United States haven't approved the AZ vaccine at all. South Africa have handed theirs to neighbouring countries instead of distributing them. It seems somewhat bizarre that the UK are seeking vindication for their own decisions from the EU of all people.

Correct - given that they were likely to have had a bigger supply of the Pfizer vaccine they could afford to restrict the use of AstraZeneca. As a simple logistical measure it makes sense.

Of course, they may also have thought it was politically helpful to be able to talk down the British vaccine thereby enhancing the status of the German one. There is no doubt the EU’s procurement shortcomings reflect poorly on member states who supported it - especially those that abandoned their own promising procurement programmes in order to take part.

Whatever’s the case, they failed to calculate was the lasting damage they were doing to the reputation of the AstraZeneca vaccine and how this would start to compromise their vaccination programme among younger adults who would still be offered it. This is what senior experts in Germany are now starting to acknowledge.

Pierre 01-03-2021 22:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36072545)
The science is what it is and doesn’t change regardless of which government is looking at it. There was ample evidence to infer efficacy in over 65s; for some, in an emergency, the inference was enough. For some it wasn’t.

Everyone followed the science, right up to the point when a political decision had to be taken. Which is why “they followed the science” is an inadequate explanation for the decisions that have been made.

This is the most cogent explanation you will receive from anyone, if you don’t/won’t/can’t understand after reading this, you’re either stupid, or just stupid........it happens.

jfman 01-03-2021 22:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Germany is in the unique position (I think) of some states offering a choice to individuals. If uptake is that much of a concern they should simply withdraw the choice.

AstraZeneca’s own press release from December is enough that (again all things being equal) a rational individual would pick the higher performing vaccine. There’s no individual benefit in taking a lesser performing vaccine - it’s a collective one.

---------- Post added at 22:26 ---------- Previous post was at 22:23 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36072555)
This is the most cogent explanation you will receive from anyone, if you don’t/won’t/can’t understand after reading this, you’re either stupid, or just stupid........it happens.

Any explanation that doesn’t include the availability of alternative vaccines is omitting an important element of “emergency” decision making. For the UK the choice was easy. For the United States, EU, others...

Had emerging data gone the other way they’d have to redo everyone given an AZ vaccine with a Pfizer one, essentially wasting tens of millions of doses in the process slowing down the vaccination programme and leaving the most vulnerable at risk for longer.

It’s taken what, a month for data to come from the UK? It’s hard to see the political benefit of u-turning after 4 weeks, which if it was the unambiguous science they would have known to be inevitable.

Pierre 01-03-2021 22:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36072556)
Any explanation that doesn’t include the availability of alternative vaccines is omitting an important element of “emergency” decision making. For the UK the choice was easy. For the United States, EU, others...

Had emerging data gone the other way they’d have to redo everyone given an AZ vaccine with a Pfizer one, essentially wasting tens of millions of doses in the process slowing down the vaccination programme and leaving the most vulnerable at risk for longer.

It’s taken what, a month for data to come from the UK? It’s hard to see the political benefit of u-turning after 4 weeks, which if it was the unambiguous science they would have known to be inevitable.

Apologies, I struggled to hear that above the whinge, whinge, whinge, and the realisation there is no cogent counter point or argument, therefore the need to take a more outlayer stance that will just look daft in in a few short weeks.

Chris 02-03-2021 00:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Forgive me if this has already been posted today but the Public Health England data published today agrees with that already published in Scotland a week or so ago. Either the Pfizer or AZ jab reduces hospitalisations amongst those aged over 80 by more than 80%; after a single dose the AZ jab is more effective than the Pfizer one.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-56240220

Rejoice at that news.

Unless of course we’re still being conned by the propaganda apparatus of the British State. :dozey:

1andrew1 02-03-2021 00:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36072544)
Already in my post. If you have a lower number of infections in the first place, then you are almost certainly going to have a lower death rate per head of population.:rolleyes:

Parts of World have had very few or no cases. They haven't done anything special to have lower death rates.
If there are a lot of big gatherings at funerals, marriages, parties, religious gatherings, etc, then there are going to be a lot of cases, and therefore deaths. Eg In the UK and New York(and perhaps more generally in the world), Orthodox Jews have been disproportionately affected. That is because they insist on constantly having big gatherings, not wearing masks, and not social distancing. Their fault, not any governments.
Ethiopia has a death rate a fraction of that of most countries. Why is that? A better health system? Extremely unlikely, or would it be fewer cases, and fewer people spreading it around.

A lower number of infections is not a matter of luck. Key things like swiftly implementing socialising and travel restrictions swiftly are key. Areas which the UK has not excelled in.

Chris 02-03-2021 00:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36072580)
A lower number of infections is not a matter of luck. Key things like swiftly implementing socialising and travel restrictions swiftly are key. Areas which the UK has not excelled in.

Also having a reasonably compliant, young and healthy population helps. The UK’s average age is high, our incidence of obesity is high (a known risk factor), and, frankly, we’re a belligerent lot who won’t be told.

1andrew1 02-03-2021 00:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36072581)
Also having a reasonably compliant, young and healthy population helps. The UK’s average age is high, our incidence of obesity is high (a known risk factor), and, frankly, we’re a belligerent lot who won’t be told.

Compared to other countries in Europe, I think we're a pretty compliant bunch - just look at our acceptance of vaccines and lack of rioting. But I agree on the age/obesity aspect.

But to state that if you have a lower number of infections in the first place as if this is somewhat dealt out randomly is flawed.

jfman 02-03-2021 04:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36072579)
Forgive me if this has already been posted today but the Public Health England data published today agrees with that already published in Scotland a week or so ago. Either the Pfizer or AZ jab reduces hospitalisations amongst those aged over 80 by more than 80%; after a single dose the AZ jab is more effective than the Pfizer one.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-56240220

Rejoice at that news.

Unless of course we’re still being conned by the propaganda apparatus of the British State. :dozey:

If it holds up in the population as a whole, yes.

The most obvious question is the methodology that gave them their sample size, which has a test positivity rate at over 60% for the unvaccinated 80+ year olds. This at face value seems high.

I’m surprised we don’t have something using population wide data by now breaking down cases, hospitalisations and deaths by age tracking back to the start of vaccinations. All of these figures will be reducing due to lockdown but a nice graph should show a clear and increasing effect of the vaccine in older age groups compared to the population as a whole.



---------- Post added at 04:07 ---------- Previous post was at 04:06 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36072565)
Apologies, I struggled to hear that above the whinge, whinge, whinge, and the realisation there is no cogent counter point or argument, therefore the need to take a more outlayer stance that will just look daft in in a few short weeks.

Evidently you only hear what you want to hear.

jonbxx 02-03-2021 09:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36072545)
But this is the point isn’t it. We’re in an emergency, but apparently not enough of an emergency for some governments. The science is what it is and doesn’t change regardless of which government is looking at it. There was ample evidence to infer efficacy in over 65s; for some, in an emergency, the inference was enough. For some it wasn’t.

Everyone followed the science, right up to the point when a political decision had to be taken. Which is why “they followed the science” is an inadequate explanation for the decisions that have been made.

There was ample inferred evidence but insufficient direct evidence, that's the point. The UK, the EU in the form of EMA and WHO recommended use in over 65s and a lot of countries were not convinced. Hey, Switzerland sent the application back and said try again. Some countries are more stringent than others when it comes to drug safety. That's the remit of the regulatory bodies. Of course, the current picture with infections and the options for other vaccines in each country will influence the decision and that's more health policy. I guess in this country that will be the MHRA and JCVI - MHRA says the vaccine is safe and effective and JCVI decides how the vaccine will be implemented.

If there's an alternative that is proven to be effective in over 65s rather than inferred, then the pressure is off to take the chance, however small.

Taf 02-03-2021 10:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
5 taxis and several cars outside a nearby house piqued police interest early this morning. All in the "high risk" category.

Immigration officers are there now.

spiderplant 02-03-2021 11:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36072584)
I’m surprised we don’t have something using population wide data by now breaking down cases, hospitalisations and deaths by age tracking back to the start of vaccinations. All of these figures will be reducing due to lockdown but a nice graph should show a clear and increasing effect of the vaccine in older age groups compared to the population as a whole.

Here you go. This is daily deaths in England for under and over-60s (data from ONS). I've scaled the 0-59 graph by a factor of 10 to make them roughly the same height. You'd expect the over 60s to be better at complying with the lockdowns so any difference isn't entirely due to vaccines. However in the first spike the over-60s deaths came down slower than the under-60. This time the over-60s are coming down quicker.

https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2021/03/3.jpg

jonbxx 02-03-2021 16:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
I've been catching up on some work related news websites to see what's new and found this article - Top 7 Best Selling COVID-19 Vaccines and Drugs of 2020 . This has 2020 sales figures and forecasts for 2021.

There's a lot of money out there for the pharma companies (and their suppliers :D )

Chris 02-03-2021 16:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36072659)
I've been catching up on some work related news websites to see what's new and found this article - Top 7 Best Selling COVID-19 Vaccines and Drugs of 2020 . This has 2020 sales figures and forecasts for 2021.

There's a lot of money out there for the pharma companies (and their suppliers :D )

It’s worth remembering that sales revenue is not the same as profit. Both the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines are significantly more expensive than most of the others listed there, especially the AZ vaccine which by some measures is the cheapest of the lot, although this may be partly due to the not-for-profit basis on which AstraZeneca was given the formulation developed at Oxford University.

There’s a decent infographic here, detailing what unit price the pharma companies are selling covid vaccines at:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-55170756

1andrew1 02-03-2021 18:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36072666)
It’s worth remembering that sales revenue is not the same as profit. Both the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines are significantly more expensive than most of the others listed there, especially the AZ vaccine which by some measures is the cheapest of the lot, although this may be partly due to the not-for-profit basis on which AstraZeneca was given the formulation developed at Oxford University.

There’s a decent infographic here, detailing what unit price the pharma companies are selling covid vaccines at:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-55170756

Novavax is also being sold to the African Union at the same price as Oxford-AstraZeneca's vaccine at $3 per shot. The Russian Sputnik V vaccine is $9.75 a shot so considerably more expensive, but not Pfizer and Moderna levels.

So I guess the West is winning on soft diplomacy thanks to the two $3 vaccines.

jonbxx 02-03-2021 18:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
The most important coronavirus information you need today - https://onewayroadtobeer.com/

Chris 02-03-2021 19:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Except for viewers in Scotland :(

Mad Max 02-03-2021 19:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36072701)
Except for viewers in Scotland :(


Aye. :mad:

1andrew1 02-03-2021 19:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36072701)
Except for viewers in Scotland :(

You'll have less moderating to do as a lot of your posters will be entertaining themselves in English beer gardens. :D :beer:

jonbxx 03-03-2021 09:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36072704)
You'll have less moderating to do as a lot of your posters will be entertaining themselves in English beer gardens. :D :beer:

Yeah, arguing about the finer details on non-tariff barriers to trade and pharmaceutical regulation vs who is getting the next round in.

Let me think about it....:scratch:

Chris 03-03-2021 17:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
A third study has further substantiated the claim that a single dose of either the Pfizer or the AZ vaccine reduces hospitalisation by 80% in those aged over 80.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-56267473

I can't help thinking that this latest piece of research still won't be enough for anyone still desperately hoping that the British government and the devolved administrations made a horrible mistake in opting for the 12-week dosage gap...

Pierre 03-03-2021 17:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36072873)
A third study has further substantiated the claim that a single dose of either the Pfizer or the AZ vaccine reduces hospitalisation by 80% in those aged over 80.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-56267473

I can't help thinking that this latest piece of research still won't be enough for anyone still desperately hoping that the British government and the devolved administrations made a horrible mistake in opting for the 12-week dosage gap...

the success in our vaccination strategy is purely down to the NHS, no other factors are involved or other bodies contributed/participated.

jfman 03-03-2021 18:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36072873)
A third study has further substantiated the claim that a single dose of either the Pfizer or the AZ vaccine reduces hospitalisation by 80% in those aged over 80.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-56267473

I can't help thinking that this latest piece of research still won't be enough for anyone still desperately hoping that the British government and the devolved administrations made a horrible mistake in opting for the 12-week dosage gap...

I don't think anyone is desperately hoping for failure merely sceptical as to whether it was the right route to go down. There's a lot of money being put into studies to proactively demonstrate what should be obvious from population wide data tracking divergence of those in vaccinated cohorts with unvaccinated cohorts to remove the effect of lockdown.

I'm still yet to see an explanation for the test positivity rate of over 60% for unvaccinated over 70s in the last yet to be peer reviewed study. Obviously, when peer reviewed I'm sure glaring errors (or explainations) will get suitable prominence on the BBC website and other mainstream press.

I guess there's also the question of who is funding such studies, and why, when they wouldn't stand up to scientific scrutiny at this stage for any medical authority seeking to make regulatory changes (e.g. to the quality standard of randomised control trials) but they do make good press releases. :)

spiderplant 03-03-2021 19:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36072880)
I'm still yet to see an explanation for the test positivity rate of over 60% for unvaccinated over 70s in the last yet to be peer reviewed study.

As I read it, they were only looking at symptomatic people. Is it that surprising that 60% were positive?

jfman 03-03-2021 20:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36072885)
As I read it, they were only looking at symptomatic people. Is it that surprising that 60% were positive?

Well, yes.

The majority of NHS testing capacity is for those with symptoms booking a test and positivity never gets that high. Even when at the height of the first wave when testing was only for those with symptoms positivity never got that high.

spiderplant 03-03-2021 21:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36072891)
Well, yes.

The majority of NHS testing capacity is for those with symptoms booking a test and positivity never gets that high. Even when at the height of the first wave when testing was only for those with symptoms positivity never got that high.

Got a source for that? It's easy to find positivity rates for all tests, but not just for those symptomatic.

The best I can find is figure 11a in
https://assets.publishing.service.go...ummary_w17.pdf
which shows that the positivity rate increases significantly with age. (And that's of people with any respiratory or flu-like infection, not just those COVID symptomatic)

Chris 03-03-2021 22:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36072880)
I don't think anyone is desperately hoping for failure merely sceptical as to whether it was the right route to go down. There's a lot of money being put into studies to proactively demonstrate what should be obvious from population wide data tracking divergence of those in vaccinated cohorts with unvaccinated cohorts to remove the effect of lockdown.

I'm still yet to see an explanation for the test positivity rate of over 60% for unvaccinated over 70s in the last yet to be peer reviewed study. Obviously, when peer reviewed I'm sure glaring errors (or explainations) will get suitable prominence on the BBC website and other mainstream press.

I guess there's also the question of who is funding such studies, and why, when they wouldn't stand up to scientific scrutiny at this stage for any medical authority seeking to make regulatory changes (e.g. to the quality standard of randomised control trials) but they do make good press releases. :)

You never fail to disappoint ...

It’s hard to avoid the conclusion that you think there’s a deep State propaganda operation in motion here, and that yes, you do need the vaccination policy to fail and this epic display of straw-clutching proves it. It looks to me like all of the above is easier for you to swallow than the idea that el gov may have made a good call and a series of suitably qualified experts are proving it with sound science that has been fairly and broadly reported by a range of news media.

jonbxx 04-03-2021 09:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36072880)
I guess there's also the question of who is funding such studies, and why, when they wouldn't stand up to scientific scrutiny at this stage for any medical authority seeking to make regulatory changes (e.g. to the quality standard of randomised control trials) but they do make good press releases. :)

You can follow through to the preprint here. The work was done by the Public Health bodies for each of the UK nations plus London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, University of Strathclyde and Imperial College. All authors have declared that there are no conflicts of interest (see page 18)

The work was funded directly or indirectly in the case of the Universities by the Government.

Chris 04-03-2021 15:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
Well, it seems the massive British disinformation effort has been so successful, the Germans think the invasion's coming through Calais the AstraZeneca vaccine is now both safe for over 65s and also even more effective with doses 12 weeks apart.

Hurrah for the BBC!

</SATIRE>

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56275342

Quote:

Germany's vaccine commission has approved the use of the Oxford-AstraZeneca jab in people aged over 65.
The country previously approved it for under-65s only, citing insufficient data on its effects on older people.
That led to public scepticism about its effectiveness, with some Germans spurning it and leaving many doses unused.
But German Chancellor Angela Merkel said recent studies had now provided enough data to approve it for all ages.

jfman 04-03-2021 16:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36072910)
You never fail to disappoint ...

It’s hard to avoid the conclusion that you think there’s a deep State propaganda operation in motion here, and that yes, you do need the vaccination policy to fail and this epic display of straw-clutching proves it. It looks to me like all of the above is easier for you to swallow than the idea that el gov may have made a good call and a series of suitably qualified experts are proving it with sound science that has been fairly and broadly reported by a range of news media.

The success of failure of the vaccine effort has little to do with whether there is (or isn’t) complicity between Government, the media and some parts of the scientific community who rush out glitzy press releases ahead of peer review.

---------- Post added at 16:59 ---------- Previous post was at 16:55 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36073000)
Well, it seems the massive British disinformation effort has been so successful, the Germans think the invasion's coming through Calais the AstraZeneca vaccine is now both safe for over 65s and also even more effective with doses 12 weeks apart.

Hurrah for the BBC!

</SATIRE>

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56275342

It’s good that data has become available to comfort the scientific communities of some other countries. And the vindication that elements of the UK media have been on their knees for over a period of weeks now.

Notably the recommendations for the Pfizer vaccine are unchanged and 12 weeks remains an “up to” figure. I’m sure they’ll be watching closely as the devolved nations have clearly diverged on their policies with England lagging behind on second doses at 13%, NI and Scotland at around 25% and Wales over 60% of those issued yesterday. All following the same science too.

1andrew1 04-03-2021 17:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Obviously, not a great situation for anyone. Would be interesting to know what Australia's contract says and when it was signed.
Quote:

Italy blocks shipment of Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine to Australia

Move threatens to increase global tensions over procurement of Covid jabs

Italy has blocked a shipment of the Oxford/AstraZeneca Covid-19 vaccine that was destined for Australia, in the first such intervention since the EU introduced new rules governing the shipment of vaccines outside the bloc.

Rome decided to prevent the export of 250,000 doses of the vaccine, officials said, as it moves to keep doses inside the union. Italy notified Brussels of its proposed decision at the end of last week under the EU’s vaccine export transparency regime. The European Commission had the power to object to the Italian decision and did not, officials said.

The move threatens to heighten global tensions over vaccine procurement after EU allies objected to the introduction of its export regime. Under the controversial system announced by the commission at the end of January, EU-based vaccine manufacturers must seek authorisation from their national government where their Covid-19 vaccine is produced before exporting it out of the EU. The scheme was part of Brussels’ response to an admission by AstraZeneca that it would miss targets for vaccine delivery to the EU, stoking EU suspicions that production had been shipped elsewhere.

Mario Draghi, the new Italian prime minister, questioned why the EU was not imposing stricter vaccine export controls for companies that were not in compliance with their contractual commitments at a summit of EU leaders last month.
https://www.ft.com/content/bed655ac-...d-b015284798c8

Sephiroth 04-03-2021 18:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36073014)
<SNIP>


It’s good that data has become available to comfort the scientific communities of some other countries.

<SNIP>

I'll translate that into even more truth.

It's good that data has become available that sticks two fingers up to the vindictive EU but which has put lives at risk in their member countries.




---------- Post added at 18:33 ---------- Previous post was at 18:31 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36073025)
Obviously, not a great situation for anyone. Would be interesting to know what Australia's contract says and when it was signed.

https://www.ft.com/content/bed655ac-...d-b015284798c8

This is a chance for the UK to immediately fill the gap to "our Australian friends".

Hugh 04-03-2021 18:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36073036)
I'll translate that into even more truth.

It's good that data has become available that sticks two fingers up to the vindictive EU but which has put lives at risk in their member countries.




---------- Post added at 18:33 ---------- Previous post was at 18:31 ----------



This is a chance for the UK to immediately fill the gap to "our Australian friends".

Switzerland and the USA aren’t in the EU, and Canada only approved it last week...

Sephiroth 04-03-2021 18:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36073040)
Switzerland and the USA aren’t in the EU, and Canada only approved it last week...

I was only referring to the EU under the term "some other countries".

Hugh 04-03-2021 19:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
So why weren’t the USA, Switzerland, and Canada "vindictive countries which put lives at risk"?

Sephiroth 04-03-2021 19:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36073047)
So why weren’t the USA, Switzerland, and Canada "vindictive countries which put lives at risk"?

You're just being difficult. You know exactly that the EU will punish the UK in any possible way at the drop of a hat.

Hugh 04-03-2021 19:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36073055)
You're just being difficult. You know exactly that the EU will punish the UK in any possible way at the drop of a hat.

And you are just being selective in your ire - you suffer from confirmation bias if the EU does something wrong, but if other countries do the same thing, you just ignore it/shrug it off.. :erm:

Sephiroth 04-03-2021 20:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36073057)
And you are just being selective in your ire - you suffer from confirmation bias if the EU does something wrong, but if other countries do the same thing, you just ignore it/shrug it off.. :erm:

I'm quite sure that the EU sits back with a smirk of satisfaction that they've disreputed a British product. They (i.e. the EU countries) can hide behind the scientific advice that there wasn't enough AZ data covering over-65s; but then the EMA and the UK approved it. That, in turn has caused public rejection and political gobshites, Macron in particular, now having to retract their smirks.

1andrew1 04-03-2021 20:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36073036)
This is a chance for the UK to immediately fill the gap to "our Australian friends".

I'm not sure AstraZeneca would be allowed to slow the UK vaccination programme down by exporting vaccinations from the UK right now. In the future, yes.

---------- Post added at 20:40 ---------- Previous post was at 20:35 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36073061)
I'm quite sure that the EU sits back with a smirk of satisfaction that they've disreputed a British product. They (i.e. the EU countries) can hide behind the scientific advice that there wasn't enough AZ data covering over-65s; but then the EMA and the UK approved it. That, in turn has caused public rejection and political gobshites, Macron in particular, now having to retract their smirks.

The EMA approved it.

What's held it back is sovereign EU countries placing more restrictions on its use. Furthermotre countries like France are traditionally more vaccine-averse than the UK. Plus AstraZeneca is not an experienced vaccine manufacturer (unlike say Merck) so made a few submission mistakes.

jonbxx 05-03-2021 09:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Australia should be coming online with home grown AZ vaccine soon. It's going to made at CSL near Melbourne. Here's a really nice article on how the vaccine is made - https://www.abc.net.au/news/science/...uring/13140104

tweetiepooh 05-03-2021 10:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36073068)
I'm not sure AstraZeneca would be allowed to slow the UK vaccination programme down by exporting vaccinations from the UK right now. In the future, yes.

---------- Post added at 20:40 ---------- Previous post was at 20:35 ----------


<snip>

I think more on the lines of the UK government allowing the sending of vaccine doses to replace those the Italians are blocking.

1andrew1 05-03-2021 10:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tweetiepooh (Post 36073122)
I think more on the lines of the UK government allowing the sending of vaccine doses to replace those the Italians are blocking.

There is no spare AstraZeneca vaccine in the UK to send outside the country. It's all committed to our vaccination programme. Export it and the UK vaccination programme slows down.

---------- Post added at 10:43 ---------- Previous post was at 10:39 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36073109)
Australia should be coming online with home grown AZ vaccine soon. It's going to made at CSL near Melbourne. Here's a really nice article on how the vaccine is made - https://www.abc.net.au/news/science/...uring/13140104

Neat article.
The home-grown manufacturing probably explains in part Australia's muted reaction to Italy's export ban.

Sephiroth 05-03-2021 11:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tweetiepooh (Post 36073122)
I think more on the lines of the UK government allowing the sending of vaccine doses to replace those the Italians are blocking.

Yes - that's what I suggested and it's good politics.

jonbxx 05-03-2021 12:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
So, the EU based factories making the AZ vaccine cannot produce enough to meet demand, they can go whistle for UK produced vaccine. Australia based factories making the AZ vaccine cannot produce enough to meet demand, fill your boots...

Hugh 05-03-2021 12:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36073144)
So, the EU based factories making the AZ vaccine cannot produce enough to meet demand, they can go whistle for UK produced vaccine. Australia based factories making the AZ vaccine cannot produce enough to meet demand, fill your boots...

"Perfidious ****, disreputed, gobshites, vindictive, drop of a hat, pig headed, self righteous, pompous, etc., etc."

Let the emotive vitriolic diatribes begin! :D

Sephiroth 05-03-2021 13:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36073151)
"Perfidious ****, disreputed, gobshites, vindictive, drop of a hat, pig headed, self rightious, pompous, etc., etc."

Let the emotive vitriolic diatribes begin! :D

Leave me alone. Go and troll someone else.

And please don't attribute "perfidious ****" to me. Apology expected.


papa smurf 05-03-2021 13:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36073153)
Leave me alone. Go and troll someone else.

And please don't attribute "perfidious ****" to me. Apology expected.


Not me though i don't want it.;)

jfman 05-03-2021 13:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Do we now campaign for the USA to approve the AZ vaccine or are they allowed to continue clinical trials?

Hugh 05-03-2021 13:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36073153)
Leave me alone. Go and troll someone else.

And please don't attribute "perfidious ****" to me. Apology expected.


What makes you think the comment was about you?

Sephiroth 05-03-2021 13:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36073156)
What makes you think the comment was about you?

Stop it.

Chris 05-03-2021 13:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36073155)
Do we now campaign for the USA to approve the AZ vaccine or are they allowed to continue clinical trials?

You're great value, I'll give you that. :D

Personally I don't care whether the German or the French governments approve of the AstraZeneca vaccine or not, except in the sense that it's mildly entertaining watching them sabotage their own vaccination programmes even as they desperately try to big up European endeavour post-Brexit. Whether or not individual national medicines agencies have acted truly without political interference is neither here nor there. The politically-inspired messaging that followed those decisions in certain key EU member states is the reason they are having vaccine uptake problems now.

Over in the USA, the FDA is being famously slow. It is well known for shredding conclusions offered to them by drug companies, going back to the raw data, examining it closely and forming conclusions of its own from scratch. This takes time. Are they prioritising domestic vaccine producers as well? Probably. Do I care ... no.

Italy's export refusal is the more interesting development this week. For my money that is more likely to have a long-term effect on levels of trust between nations, although I also note Australia doesn't seem enormously concerned. This is most likely due to their low infection rates and the fact that domestic production of AZ is about to begin.

Pierre 05-03-2021 15:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Several months ago I joked (sort of) that we're only a few steps away from men in long leather trench coats and wire rimmed spectacles stopping you and demanding to see your "papers"

Well we just took another step closer.

https://news.sky.com/story/covid-19-...-fine-12236847

Paul 05-03-2021 15:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
I dont think checking you have a valid reason is unreasonable.

1andrew1 05-03-2021 16:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36073143)
Yes - that's what I suggested and it's good politics.

It's not good politics as there's no extra capacity in the UK, so the UK vaccinations would fall behind. The electorate of Australia might be happy but the electorate of the UK wouldn't be.

Hugh 05-03-2021 16:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36073213)
Several months ago I joked (sort of) that we're only a few steps away from men in long leather trench coats and wire rimmed spectacles stopping you and demanding to see your "papers"

Well we just took another step closer.

https://news.sky.com/story/covid-19-...-fine-12236847

They'll be asking for passports and visas to travel abroad next...;)

1andrew1 05-03-2021 16:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
Did not expect to see this, would have expected UK Covid 19 death rate to be on the decline now.
https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...1#post36073221

Chris 05-03-2021 16:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36073221)
Did not expect to see this, would have expected UK death rate to be on the decline now.

That graph was made up to 9 January, ie 8 weeks ago.

1andrew1 05-03-2021 16:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36073223)
That graph was made up to 9 January, ie 8 weeks ago.

Ah - makes sense.

jfman 05-03-2021 17:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36073224)
Ah - makes sense.

Will be interesting to note the divergence between vaccinated groups and unvaccinated groups when they update it.

---------- Post added at 17:08 ---------- Previous post was at 17:08 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36073215)
I dont think checking you have a valid reason is unreasonable.

+1.

Pierre 05-03-2021 17:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36073215)
I dont think checking you have a valid reason is unreasonable.

It's not checking though is it. Checking is asking you at the check in desk whether you packed your own bag, or whether you have banned substances in your carry on. Checking would be at the same time asking if you have a valid reason for travel and you replying yes I'm off to Frankfurt fir a business meeting. That's checking.

This is making you carry around a document authorising you to travel. This is the government saying we don't trust any of you, you must explain why you are travelling in writing and if you don't we'll fine you, oh and yes don't worry you do live in a free society.

---------- Post added at 17:32 ---------- Previous post was at 17:31 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36073220)
They'll be asking for passports and visas to travel abroad next...;)

and now you need permission from the state too!

Hugh 05-03-2021 17:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36073236)
It's not checking though is it. Checking is asking you at the check in desk whether you packed your own bag, or whether you have banned substances in your carry on. Checking would be at the same time asking if you have a valid reason for travel and you replying yes I'm off to Frankfurt fir a business meeting. That's checking.

This is making you carry around a document authorising you to travel. This is the government saying we don't trust any of you, you must explain why you are travelling in writing and if you don't we'll fine you, oh and yes don't worry you do live in a free society.

---------- Post added at 17:32 ---------- Previous post was at 17:31 ----------



and now you need permission from the state too!

Isn't that what a visa is?

pip08456 05-03-2021 18:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36073221)
Did not expect to see this, would have expected UK Covid 19 death rate to be on the decline now.
https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...1#post36073221

Here's the latest from the ONS.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1614967337

Sephiroth 05-03-2021 18:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36073236)
It's not checking though is it. Checking is asking you at the check in desk whether you packed your own bag, or whether you have banned substances in your carry on. Checking would be at the same time asking if you have a valid reason for travel and you replying yes I'm off to Frankfurt fir a business meeting. That's checking.

This is making you carry around a document authorising you to travel. This is the government saying we don't trust any of you, you must explain why you are travelling in writing and if you don't we'll fine you, oh and yes don't worry you do live in a free society.

---------- Post added at 17:32 ---------- Previous post was at 17:31 ----------



Ausweis, bitte ...

and now you need permission from the state too!


Hugh 05-03-2021 19:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36073253)
Ausweis, bitte ...

Quote:

Herr Sephiroth!

[Sephiroth turns around and says something in German]

Your German is good. And I hear, also, your French. Your arms...

[pulls a gun]

UP!
:D

1andrew1 05-03-2021 19:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36073244)
Here's the latest from the ONS.

Thanks :tu:

Sephiroth 05-03-2021 19:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36073258)
:D

Whilst I prefer you to leave me alone, that was quite funny.

Pierre 05-03-2021 19:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36073241)
Isn't that what a visa is?

No.

A visa is issued by the destination state usually describing the terms of your visit. The U.K. Gov doesn’t issue a visa for me to visit India, the Government does.

The U.K. government issues me with a Passport and I make my own decision on where to go and when, within the boundaries of the law.

jfman 05-03-2021 19:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36073265)
Whilst I prefer you to leave me alone, that was quite funny.

:D you're one of the good guys, Seph.

jonbxx 05-03-2021 20:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
I would imagine most people travelling from the UK would need to have documentation showing their trip is necessary anyway. Certainly my work colleagues need it to travel across Europe and come back without quarantine/self isolation. They have to fill in an online form to get a letter from our work so it's just one more form to fill out.

1andrew1 07-03-2021 11:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Looks like the US's lengthy process in approving the AstraZeneca vaccine could work to the advantage of the EU. They're in talks to permit supplies of the AstraZeneca vaccine to be exported from the US. A bit cheeky considering the EU was happy to let Italy bloc exports to Australia. ;)
Quote:

The EU will urge the US to permit the export of millions of doses of AstraZeneca’s Covid-19 vaccine to Europe as Brussels scrambles to bridge supply shortfalls that have hobbled its inoculation drive.

The European Commission plans to raise the matter in forthcoming transatlantic discussions aimed at boosting collaboration on the fight against Covid-19, EU officials said.

The EU also wants Washington to ensure the free flow of shipments of crucial vaccine ingredients needed in European production, including for groundbreaking mRNA technology vaccines.

The European push to access US production of the AstraZeneca jab — which was made in collaboration with Oxford university — comes as the company battles to meet first-quarter 2021 EU delivery targets already slashed because of production problems in the bloc.

AstraZeneca has also said it intends to source half of its planned second-quarter supply to the EU from elsewhere in the world.

The European Commission told the Financial Times: “We trust that we can work together with the US to ensure that vaccines produced or bottled in the US for the fulfilment of vaccine producers’ contractual obligations with the EU will be fully honoured.”
https://www.ft.com/content/e4aaf7a8-...9-4cd069a9dbf2

Julian 07-03-2021 21:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
Fans of a football club in glasgow prove themselves to be selfish, thick and complete assholes :td:

You really hope they all get covid and suffer. :mad:

IDIOTS

Mad Max 08-03-2021 00:20

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Julian (Post 36073453)
Fans of a football club in glasgow prove themselves to be selfish, thick and complete assholes :td:

You really hope they all get covid and suffer. :mad:

IDIOTS


It's happened to both of the big clubs in Glasgow recently, you also seem to forget that Liverpool fans did exactly this last season when they won the EPL, did you post a comment about that? Just asking.

RichardCoulter 08-03-2021 01:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Should we and other countries vaccinate those in poor countries? None of us is safe until we are all safe, unless we completely close our borders.

An interesting question posed by this mornings Hardtalk programme:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000t3l0

pip08456 08-03-2021 02:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36073463)
Should we and other countries vaccinate those in poor countries? None of us is safe until we are all safe, unless we completely close our borders.

An interesting question posed by this mornings Hardtalk programme:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000t3l0

Do these people go around with their heads in the sand? Have they never heard of COVAX and the WHO?

Published 19th Feb
Quote:

Commitments made at today’s Virtual G7 leaders meeting hosted by UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson, and at the Munich Security Conference later in the day, signaled significant progress in the global response to the COVID-19 pandemic with an important underscoring of the need for global equity in access to test, treatments, and vaccines.

Leaders recognised that no country can be safe until every country is safe and collectively committed over US $4.3 billion to the ACT Accelerator partnership to develop and distribute effective tests, treatments, and vaccines around the world.
Also

Quote:

The UK’s commitment to share vaccine surplus with developing countries is also welcomed and joins similar commitments made by Canada, France, Norway and the European Union.
https://www.who.int/news/item/19-02-...ccines-in-2021

Paul 08-03-2021 02:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36073461)
It's happened to both of the big clubs in Glasgow recently, you also seem to forget that Liverpool fans did exactly this last season when they won the EPL, did you post a comment about that? Just asking.

Being outside reduces the likelyhood of any spread.

I see they always trot out the "lives at risk" excuse (when it suits) - its a very small risk, and one we have been happy to accept in previous years without blinking.

Also, strange how all those BLM [and other] protests last year were not condemmed the same way ....

jfman 08-03-2021 03:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36073463)
Should we and other countries vaccinate those in poor countries? None of us is safe until we are all safe, unless we completely close our borders.

An interesting question posed by this mornings Hardtalk programme:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000t3l0

It’s not really “an interesting question” - it shouldn’t be a question at all. Hundreds of billions is put forward globally as international aid. It’d be quite a poor method of spending it to allow a global pandemic to rage in developing nations.


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