Cable Forum

Cable Forum (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/index.php)
-   Current Affairs (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/forumdisplay.php?f=20)
-   -   Coronavirus (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33710629)

Carth 07-12-2021 13:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36104623)
Interesting Twitter chat between Andrew Neil and Julia Hartley-Brewer. He's coming across in a statesmanlike manner.

What's so interesting about that?

You could substitute the two names there for any two names on here and get the same conversation :D

jonbxx 07-12-2021 14:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36104618)
Bloody hell, can all you scientific lot slow down for those of us that are thick please ;)

Is SARS-COV-2 just a different name for Covid 19? I'm getting lost and a little uninterested in all these fancy acronyms etc :D

Is there a 'clever' name for Flu and pneumonia?

Science people love acronyms to look clever and to be able to write something meaningful on teeny tiny test tubes

As Chris said, COVID-19 is a COronaVIrus Disease discovered in 2019 - the illness basically. The virus which causes it is Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus number 2 - SARS-COV-2

Pierre 07-12-2021 14:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36104623)
Interesting Twitter chat between Andrew Neil and Julia Hartley-Brewer. He's coming across in a statesmanlike manner.

If you mean we should head towards being an authoritative police state where we have to show our papers in order to go about our business - is statesmanlike - then yes he is.

jfman 07-12-2021 15:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36104631)
If you mean we should head towards being an authoritative police state where we have to show our papers in order to go about our business - is statesmanlike - then yes he is.

You're lucky if you can find police to check your papers with austerity.

Hugh 07-12-2021 15:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
https://twitter.com/dpjhodges/status...628847619?s=21

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...5&d=1638890661

Pierre 07-12-2021 15:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Of course, that makes perfect sense..........not.

What if, and I'm being hypothetical just like that graph - you know "imagining", the Omicron strain was so mild it was no worse than a bad cold and didn't kill anyone?


That would kind of make that "hypothetical" graph a load of bollocks, wouldn't it? I mean hypothetically speaking.

Sephiroth 07-12-2021 15:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
If Omicron takes hold and Delta's still running why wouldn't they both make up the stats?

Chris 07-12-2021 15:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36104646)
If Omicron takes hold and Delta's still running why wouldn't they both make up the stats?

A more transmissible virus will outcompete its rivals for host bodies to infect because it can get to them more quickly. Omicron will be pretty much the only show in town before long. We’re finding it by the dozen this week because we’re looking for it but you can bet it is already far more prevalent than stats suggest, and I suspect it’s been here a little longer than we think too.

Sephiroth 07-12-2021 16:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36104648)
A more transmissible virus will outcompete its rivals for host bodies to infect because it can get to them more quickly. Omicron will be pretty much the only show in town before long. We’re finding it by the dozen this week because we’re looking for it but you can bet it is already far more prevalent than stats suggest, and I suspect it’s been here a little longer than we think too.

Then why is everybody encouraged to get the jab against the flu virus?

Chris 07-12-2021 16:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36104649)
Then why is everybody encouraged to get the jab against the flu virus?

Has nomad hacked your account? Assuming this is Seph and you’re not intentionally peddling non-sequiturs, could you clarify your question? :p:

Sephiroth 07-12-2021 16:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36104650)
Has nomad hacked your account? Assuming this is Seph and you’re not intentionally peddling non-sequiturs, could you clarify your question? :p:

Nah - I've though this through again and I do know that in the real world, all sorts of viruses circulate. It would thus seem to me that it's all going on at the same time and flu numbers will be depressed by the people getting Covid.


jonbxx 07-12-2021 16:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36104652)
Nah - I've though this through again and I do know that in the real world, all sorts of viruses circulate. It would thus seem to me that it's all going on at the same time and flu numbers will be depressed by the people getting Covid.


Having COVID wouldn't protect you from getting the flu unfortunately. It would be a bad day at the office if you got both at the same time though.

The measures taken in the past such as social distancing, masks, handwashing and lockdowns would reduce flu levels as a handy side effect though. I suppose if you isolate due to COVID, you are less likely to get flu but that's only a couple of weeks out of circulation.

What we really don't want is lots of people getting the flu while lots of people have COVID. That would clog things up rapidly in hospitals. The double whammy of COVID and flu vaccines is very helpful here.

1andrew1 07-12-2021 16:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36104652)
Nah - I've though this through again and I do know that in the real world, all sorts of viruses circulate. It would thus seem to me that it's all going on at the same time and flu numbers will be depressed by the people getting Covid.


Does Covid give you immunity to flu?
(I would have thought working from home and wearing face masks would reduce the spread of flu.)

jfman 07-12-2021 17:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36104654)
Does Covid give you immunity to flu?
(I would have thought working from home and wearing face masks would reduce the spread of flu.)

Covid doesn’t even give you immunity to Covid :D

Taf 07-12-2021 17:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
Experts from the universities of Göttingen and Cornell who did the study said their finding 'makes social distancing less important'.

roughbeast 07-12-2021 18:20

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36104649)
Then why is everybody encouraged to get the jab against the flu virus?

Not everybody is encouraged to get a flu jab. It is recommended for older people and the otherwise vulnerable. Covid-19 is a different matter.

Flu has been around for generations so we have a good amount of herd immunity, which is bolstered by updated vaccines and by good hygiene and self-imposed isolation when ill. None of these measures and factors are enough on their own, and not even 100% collectively, so we lose up to 20,000 vulnerable people a year to flu.

Covid-19 is still a novel virus, a virus where no immunity and no vaccines were present at the outset. Potentially everyone could have caught it in a very short time with devasting results if all the 1%ish (800,000+) of fatalities happened within twelve months and all those that needed treatment needed it during the same period. The measures taken, albeit rather late, prevented the worst case scenario of many more than 1% dying through lack of treatment from an overwhelmed health service.

The situation now, barring highly lethal variants, is getting closer to being comparable with flu, but until we have the virus at a less than endemic level worldwide and until the vast majority have some level of immunity, Covid-19 has to be treated differently.

Pierre 07-12-2021 19:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36104653)
Having COVID wouldn't protect you from getting the flu unfortunately.

But it was stated at the very start of the pandemic that exposure to other Corona Virus such as the flu or common cold could afford you some protection against covid and/or other such corona Virius.

restated in this study

https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/art...id-19-severity

Quote:

“Our study shows that a strong antibody response to human coronaviruses increases the level of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2. So someone who has gained immunity to harmless coronaviruses is therefore also better protected against severe SARS-CoV-2 infections,” says Prof. Trkola.

jfman 07-12-2021 19:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36104664)
But it was stated at the very start of the pandemic that exposure to other Corona Virus such as the flu or common cold could afford you some protection against covid and/or other such corona Virius.

restated in this study

https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/art...id-19-severity

Any evidence that it did?

Pierre 07-12-2021 19:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36104666)
Any evidence that it did?

Ask Prof. Alexandra Trkola. He says it does. I haven’t conducted any studies myself.

Taf 07-12-2021 20:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
I remember some saying that flu and cold viruses basically strong-armed their way into our cells, preventing covid-19 from getting in and replicating.

jfman 07-12-2021 20:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36104668)
Ask Prof. Alexandra Trkola. He says it does. I haven’t conducted any studies myself.

So if it did, and we still needed three lockdowns plus the upcoming one it doesn’t sound like it had much more than a marginal impact. Probably less than masks.

---------- Post added at 20:15 ---------- Previous post was at 20:13 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 36104669)
I remember some saying that flu and cold viruses basically strong-armed their way into our cells, preventing covid-19 from getting in and replicating.

Haha yes. Optimism lacking in evidence.

Pierre 07-12-2021 20:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36104671)
So if it did, and we still needed three lockdowns plus the upcoming one it doesn’t sound like it had much more than a marginal impact. Probably less than masks.

Well whether we “needed” three lockdowns is a matter of opinion.

Also the fact that we have had 10.5M recorded cases in the U.K. and probably a more accurate figure many multiples of that and only 146K deaths.

Perhaps the reason COVID is ultimately a very survivable illness is due to a level of pre-existing population immunity gained by exposure to other less harmful coronavirus?

jfman 07-12-2021 21:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36104673)
Well whether we “needed” three lockdowns is a matter of opinion.

Well what’s the alternative, collapsing the health service? When that rationale is used for the next one I doubt the keyboard warriors will take to the streets.

Quote:

Also the fact that we have had 10.5M recorded cases in the U.K. and probably a more accurate figure many multiples of that and only 146K deaths.
Deaths within 28 days

Quote:

Perhaps the reason COVID is ultimately a very survivable illness is due to a level of pre-existing population immunity gained by exposure to other less harmful coronavirus?
Hypothetically. But as you acknowledged above these hypotheses could be bullshit.

Pierre 07-12-2021 21:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36104678)
Well what’s the alternative, collapsing the health service?

Well we didn’t, you can debate if the lockdown facilitated that. You can debate whether two more were required. We built several Nightingale facilities - not used.

Quote:

Deaths within 28 days
not sure of your point here?



Quote:

Hypothetically. But as you acknowledged above these hypotheses could be bullshit.
Absolutely

nffc 07-12-2021 21:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36104679)
Well we didn’t, you can debate if the lockdown facilitated that. You can debate whether two more were required. We built several Nightingale facilities - not used.

Because the NHS is already short of nurses and doctors so couldn't really spread them out any more thinly by moving some of them to new hospitals.


It was, like a fair amount this Gov did (and I'm usually a tory), more hot air and publicity bluster than something which was actually going to make a difference.



They do seem to be responding a lot better with the new HS compared to his predecessor who I never really liked. Javid seems to be more proportionate and considered in his actions and considers more than the "OMG we must get rid of covid" stance. I just wish they would mandate WFH as it's a lot more effective than the things they have done (aside from the travel controls, but they're little use if as is suspected there is community spread now).

jfman 07-12-2021 21:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36104679)
Well we didn’t, you can debate if the lockdown facilitated that.

There is no debate. The evidence is clear.

As we follow Gauteng and their trends with Omicron the same rationale will justify the next lockdown.

nffc 07-12-2021 21:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36104681)
There is no debate. The evidence is clear.

As we follow Gauteng and their trends with Omicron the same rationale will justify the next lockdown.

Do you have next Saturday's lottery numbers too?

Pierre 07-12-2021 21:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36104681)
As we follow Gauteng and their trends with Omicron the same rationale will justify the next lockdown.

I just can’t see another lockdown. The initial response to Omicron was the absolute least the government could do, to be seen to be doing something, and they probably didn’t want to do that.

Another lockdown? To quote someone, you’d have to see the bodies piling up first.
Of course the bodies won’t pile up. Because without vaccines it’s a very survivable illness, with vaccines it’s more of an irritation than anything else.

Also, Dishy Rishi isn’t going to pay for you to toss off the new year. No, the U.K. gravy train is not leaving the station. Therefore the economy needs to, and will, stay open.

jfman 07-12-2021 22:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36104682)
Do you have next Saturday's lottery numbers too?

No but the lottery is entirely random. The growth rate of Omicron is not on the other hand.

---------- Post added at 22:30 ---------- Previous post was at 22:27 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36104683)
I just can’t see another lockdown.

With the best will in the world, Pierre, you didn't see the obvious school closures.- to all but the children of key workers - in January.

You persistently see what you want to happen, not what's happening in reality. Omicron is here and unstoppable. The growth rate is baked in. The vaccines alone aren't enough.

As for the rest of your post - hopeless optimism, quoting a proven liar and petty insults against furloughed workers aren't worthy of reply.

Comrade Rishi will fund what is required when the time comes - it's inevitable.

Pierre 07-12-2021 22:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36104685)
With the best will in the world, Pierre, you didn't see the obvious school closures.- to all but the children of key workers - in January.

I didn’t because they were unnecessary. Schools didn’t close. Many schools still had over 50% occupancy just with key workers and vulnerable children. There is no evidence that restricting children attending school helped whatsoever. As a school governor, there is an abundance of evidence that restricting access to school has had a very measurable impact to development of children and the impact is not academic as you might expect especially in KS1/KS2 but emotionally especially in KS1. The kids are just not equipped to cope with school.

If anything comes of any inquiry, it will be that in closing schools the negatives far outweighed any perceived benefit.

Quote:

Omicron is here and unstoppable. The growth rate is baked in. The vaccines alone aren't enough.
Optimus Prime will sort it. Given that there is no real data atm. Your certainty is misplaced. Or is Hypothetical at best

Quote:

it's inevitable.
:tu:

Chris 07-12-2021 22:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
So was Thanos.

jfman 07-12-2021 22:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36104687)
I didn’t because they were unnecessary. Schools didn’t close. Many schools still had over 50% occupancy just with key workers and vulnerable children. There is no evidence that restricting children attending school helped whatsoever. As a school governor, there is an abundance of evidence that restricting access to school has had a very measurable impact to development of children and the impact is not academic as you might expect especially in KS1/KS2 but emotionally especially in KS1. The kids are just equipped to cope with school.

Semantics up there with OB claiming the original variant went away in summer. Equally every school holiday is correlated with a drop in community transmission.

Not sure what being a school governor has to do with anything other than perhaps explaining an emotive and irrational response to the subject of pandemic management.

Quote:

If anything comes of any inquiry, it will be that in closing schools the negatives far outweighed any perceived benefit.

Optimus Prime will sort it. Given that there is no real data atm. Your certainty is misplaced. Or is Hypothetical at best

:Tu:
As I say, you've been wrong before. You aren't considering the data. You're just opining about a subject you profess to be bored of and not care about. Yet here you are, passionately opining that there's no justification for any restrictions nor lockdowns.

You may claim there's no real data, but unfortunately - as before - taking a British centric approach to data leads to being late to the table.

My certainty is well placed. Give it a month, max. See I consider the data. I care about the subject. And I don't view it through an ideological prism of despising state intervention at all costs - even if it's saving jobs and lives.

Chris 07-12-2021 23:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36104689)
My certainty is well placed. Give it a month, max. See I consider the data. I care about the subject. And I don't view it through an ideological prism of despising state intervention at all costs - even if it's saving jobs and lives.

Best laugh I’ve had all evening.

You’ve been predicting “lockdown within a month” ever since summer. Even a broken clock is right twice a day - if there’s a lockdown of any sort this winter, you won’t have predicted it based on data.

Pierre 07-12-2021 23:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36104689)
Semantics up there with OB claiming the original variant went away in summer.

I’m a school governor, I am seeing the school plans being put in place to try and get the pupils to recover from some of them being restricted from attending for no good reason.

You, however are not.

Quote:

As I say, you've been wrong before.
as have you, regardless of your self adulation, I guarantee many of your recent proclamations won’t age well.

Quote:

You aren't considering the data.
that’s all I’m considering.

Quote:

You may claim there's no real data, but unfortunately - as before - taking a British centric approach to data leads to being late to the table.
if you have data I’ll view it ………..do you have any?…………

Quote:

My certainty is well placed. Give it a month, max.
I’ve bookmarked it.

Quote:

See I consider the data. I care about the subject
You are a wonderful human being. Don’t let anyone tell you otherwise. I believe in you. You can do it!

Quote:

And I don't view it through an ideological prism of despising state intervention at all costs - even if it's saving jobs and lives.
Not when there’s free money…why would you.

---------- Post added at 23:11 ---------- Previous post was at 23:09 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36104690)
Best laugh I’ve had all evening.

You’ve been predicting “lockdown within a month” ever since summer. Even a broken clock is right twice a day - if there’s a lockdown of any sort this winter, you won’t have predicted it based on data.

:tu:

jfman 07-12-2021 23:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36104690)
Best laugh I’ve had all evening.

You’ve been predicting “lockdown within a month” ever since summer. Even a broken clock is right twice a day - if there’s a lockdown of any sort this winter, you won’t have predicted it based on data.

Grateful if you could source a single post where I predicted a lockdown within a month at any point since July.

We both know I've not predicted that - I have said at points if growth rates aren't kept in check, via other restrictions, a lockdown is inevitable as the emergency brake. Growth rates have fluctuated - in particular around school holidays - and finally vaccines for teenagers and boosters with mRNA vaccines are all positives.

However they only push back so much. Against Delta the Government have found it's sweet spot of cases, hospitalisations and deaths that it can live with - R roughly 1. 50k/1k/200.

Yet Omicron is out there - R is at least 2 it could be as high as 4. It throws the whole thing in the bin if the NHS is at 70-80% capacity. That's why this prediction is substantively different from the others.

---------- Post added at 23:22 ---------- Previous post was at 23:18 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36104691)
I’m a school governor, I am seeing the school plans being put in place to try and get the pupils to recover from some of them being restricted from attending for no good reason.

You, however are not.

Educators looking after educators interests - long holidays on an agricultural calendar. I'm sure they're totally impartial.

Quote:

I guarantee many of your recent proclamations won’t age well.
I cannot wait. You have no basis to offer any such guarantees other than blind hope. I've ignored the rest of your post - as you've said you don't consider there is a point in bringing in restrictions so pointing to any evidence in either direction is a fruitless exercise.

You're a school governor after all, I'm sure you could source your own empirical data if genuinely interested.

Pierre 07-12-2021 23:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36104693)
Educators looking after educators interests - long holidays on an agricultural calendar. I'm sure they're totally impartial.

priceless….you on the Buckfast tonight?

Quote:

I cannot wait.
well it’s only a few weeks.

Quote:

I've ignored the rest of your post
well why change a winning formula?

jfman 07-12-2021 23:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Well Pierre, I think we can substantively leave it there for a couple of weeks at least I'm not lowering myself to your petty insults. Our chips are in.

That said I'm not sure I'd want to be in your school. After all...

Sentences start with a capital letter and end with a full stop. Basic literacy? Public health? Who knows where your interests lie.

Paul 07-12-2021 23:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36104639)


Why is "more transmissible" far far worse than "more deadly" ?

TheDaddy 08-12-2021 00:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36104653)
Having COVID wouldn't protect you from getting the flu unfortunately. It would be a bad day at the office if you got both at the same time though.

I may have dreamt this and therefore may end up looking silly but I'm sure I heard or read that it's hard to catch covid if you have a cold as the cold virus is a stronger virus and physically stops covid invading the already infected cells. I could quite easily be wrong on this though

---------- Post added at 00:07 ---------- Previous post was at 00:05 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 36104669)
I remember some saying that flu and cold viruses basically strong-armed their way into our cells, preventing covid-19 from getting in and replicating.

Perhaps we had the same dream, worryingly

Damien 08-12-2021 06:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36104707)
Why is "more transmissible" far far worse than "more deadly" ?

Because it can infect more people. The virus itself might not be more deadly per person injected but the spread might be more deadly if it hits more people.

Pierre 08-12-2021 07:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36104705)
I'm not lowering myself to your petty insults………………………………………Sentences start with a capital letter and end with a full stop.

At least you haven’t lost your sense of humour, or Irony. See you in a few weeks.

Maggy 08-12-2021 09:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36104714)
Because it can infect more people. The virus itself might not be more deadly per person injected but the spread might be more deadly if it hits more people.

Like the common cold you mean? Well we have learned to live with it why not a more transmissible but gentler version of Covid?All these infections are seeking to get replicated quickly and fast.A gentler version would be much more successful in surviving.

mrmistoffelees 08-12-2021 10:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Conjecture & speculation.. but with current ongoings will anyone take note?

https://www.thesun.co.uk/health/1697..._source=pushly

Pierre 08-12-2021 10:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36104749)
Conjecture & speculation.. but with current ongoings will anyone take note?

https://www.thesun.co.uk/health/1697..._source=pushly

I'm hoping it is just the usual meticulous Sun journalism.

Quote:

Boris Johnson set to introduce Plan B TODAY
and from same article

Quote:

Number 10 said it is prepared to act swiftly against the threat — although officials insisted there are currently no plans to bring in extra restrictions
and

Quote:

Downing Street last night pushed back on bringing in Plan B — insisting there was currently no need.

Dominic Raab said: “We don’t think Plan B is required because of the success of the vaccine.”

Hugh 08-12-2021 10:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36104749)
Conjecture & speculation.. but with current ongoings will anyone take note?

https://www.thesun.co.uk/health/1697..._source=pushly

Also in the FT...

Quote:

UK prime minister Boris Johnson is set to announce fresh restrictions in England to curb the spread of the Omicron coronavirus variant, as he faced new questions over parties held in Downing Street last Christmas.

Three senior Whitehall officials told the Financial Times that the government had decided to implement the so-called Plan B of further restrictions, including requiring vaccine passports for large venues and an order to work from home.

Johnson’s decision to act reflects growing concern at the rapid spread of the Omicron variant, but government officials also said he wanted to regain the initiative after days of disastrous coverage over a Downing Street Christmas party last year.

One said the move to Plan B — much earlier than expected — was a “dead cat” move by Johnson to distract attention from the row over a leaked video of a mock Downing Street press conference showing staff laughing about the party, which breached Covid-19 rules.

Ministers on the Covid operations committee met on Wednesday to decide on the exact measures. One government insider suggested the work from home order could be implemented as soon as Wednesday night.

mrmistoffelees 08-12-2021 11:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36104754)
I'm hoping it is just the usual meticulous Sun journalism.



and from same article



and

Indeed, but then, this wouldn't be the first time the government have said something and then done a U turn in the space of hours.

We'll see (or won't see) soon enough i guess

Pierre 08-12-2021 11:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36104755)
Also in the FT...

Quote:

One said the move to Plan B — much earlier than expected — was a “dead cat” move by Johnson to distract attention from the row over a leaked video of a mock Downing Street press conference showing staff laughing about the party, which breached Covid-19 rules.
Now that I can believe. Because there's certainly no evidential reason to introduce any measures.

mrmistoffelees 08-12-2021 11:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36104755)
Also in the FT...


& the independent.

Can just imagine the conversation.

'Right then chaps, we need to subvert some of the proles & the media due to getting caught out, anyone got any ideas?

Paul 08-12-2021 19:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Project Fear stepped up a gear again this evening.

Mr K 08-12-2021 19:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36104822)
Project Fear stepped up a gear again this evening.

Yep, those 161 reported deaths today were probably just from fear.

Pierre 08-12-2021 19:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36104822)
Project Fear stepped up a gear again this evening.

Arbitrary bollocks.

Paul 08-12-2021 19:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36104825)
Yep, those 161 reported deaths today were probably just from fear.

Deaths are reported everyday, so whats your point exactly ?

(If you even bothered to watch it, Whitty made a point of not saying they were rising atm).

nffc 08-12-2021 19:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36104822)
Project Fear stepped up a gear again this evening.

It seems proportionate at this time. Though again he was as vague as possible.


Masks to be extended - but to where? Eating and drinking is impossible with a mask on, so no surprises there. Exercise is difficult with a mask on, singing is too (if you do it properly - I'm a singer and would find it difficult to sing with a mask on if not impossible, though I suppose people mumbling along to a hymn in church will probably be ok). Are we going to have the mask hokey cokey we had before in hospitality, which directly contravenes the current guidelines on the Gov site? If so why the u-turn? Though the current situation doesn't really go far enough (but covers essential trips). If you're in a museum you don't wear one in the museum itself but do in the shop? And if you're in a theatre, sat around the same people for hours, you don't, but in a shop where you're in for a matter of minutes not around the same people you do?


Vax passports - putting aside how beneficial they actually are, then this was vague too. So he said about venues with certain capacity limits but what does this mean? Any place where 500 people will gather indoors needs one? At least the outdoors places over 10,000 means Derby County don't have to worry about it ;)


And as I said the other day, WFH should have been done first.


It also seems that the testing instead of isolation is a better compromise. If you don't have covid there's no reason why you should isolate and it gets the positive tests quicker.


Early Jan review - for tightening restrictions again like last year?

nomadking 08-12-2021 19:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
680 hospitalisations a day in England in not a minor matter, especially when the number of infections is rising so rapidly(doubling every 3 days).


Eating and drinking by themselves are less of a transmission problem, but any talking aspect whilst having a meal or drink, IS more of a transmission problem. Anything that involves expelling more breath is more of a problem. Any contaminated air travels further.

nffc 08-12-2021 19:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36104828)
Deaths are reported everyday, so whats your point exactly ?

(If you even bothered to watch it, Whitty made a point of not saying they were rising atm).

They aren't.

Cases are going up, but not massively so (we are actually in the same territory as when unlocking, with schools due to finish in a week or so).


But we don't know how much of this is Delta and how much is Omicron. The numbers of Omicron are likely to be some multiples higher than the actual figure, this is always true. And we don't know much about this variant yet.


There is also the situation that hospitalisations and subsequently deaths lag cases by weeks. If as some models predict that Omicron cases will hit 100k a day by January, even if this takes over Delta, and has a similar hospitalisation rate, you'd be looking at double the current numbers of hospitalisations. If it's able to defeat the vaccines to the extent it makes this higher, then there will be an issue.


This is simply buying time and makes a fair amount of sense.

mrmistoffelees 08-12-2021 19:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36104828)
Deaths are reported everyday, so whats your point exactly ?

(If you even bothered to watch it, Whitty made a point of not saying they were rising atm).

If it were project fear wouldn’t the boffins be implying that deaths are rising ?

Wfh vast majority of people will probably be loving that
Masks, hardly a major imposition.
I was however surprised regarding vaccine passports

Paul 08-12-2021 19:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36104831)
680 hospitalisations a day in England in not a minor matter, especially when the number of infections is rising so rapidly(doubling every 3 days).

I think that was the number of Omicron infections, its replacing Delta.
From memory, it was something like 0.9% of all infections on his graph ?
Quote:

the new variant is not making a big dent in the daily case figures
It is rising fast though, as it takes over from Delta, and will almost certainly become dominant, just as Delta took over from Alpha

nffc 08-12-2021 19:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36104833)
If it were project fear wouldn’t the boffins be implying that deaths are rising ?

Wfh vast majority of people will probably be loving that
Masks, hardly a major imposition.
I was however surprised regarding vaccine passports

I still don't think masks are effective enough to consider the inconvenience but it's logical to do what has been and seems to have sensible exceptions. And if it does reduce transmission by a small amount even 5% that still makes a difference in a context of high infections.


Vax passports - well, quite. Given that the vaccines still do work against Delta in terms of hospitalisations, but have a marked drop off with infection against 2 doses compared to original strains or Alpha, then even then there was no guarantee if someone had a vax passport that they weren't going to have covid. And that Omicron has more of a drop off, so there will no doubt be more double jabbed people who get it - not too surprising considering this represents the vast majority here now. It seems that the "alternative" of a negative LFT is ultimately much more useful.

---------- Post added at 19:30 ---------- Previous post was at 19:28 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36104834)
I think that was the number of Omicron infections, its replacing Delta.
From memory, it was something like 0.9% of all infections on his graph ?

It is rising fast though, as it takes over from Delta, and will almost certainly become dominant, just as Delta took over from Alpha

Ok so the concern here is that Omicron is doubling every 2-3 days, which is a lot.


I'm sure you understand exponential growth, so not going to emphasise what that means.



But if it can overtake Delta, which the signs are that it can (it's more transmissible which seems to be the key) and that if it can infect more people who are double jabbed, this number will no doubt get very high very quickly.


And as we have no idea how many of these cases will reach hospital, if the jabs still work against this, or if the milder illness is the case and they won't get that sick anyway, then they have to assume it will, and try and slow it down.

Pierre 08-12-2021 19:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36104831)
680 hospitalisations a day in England in not a minor matter, especially when the number of infections is rising so rapidly(doubling every 3 days).

Deaths and hospitalisations are no higher than they were in Aug/Sep. The rise in Infections has not transposed to a rise in deaths or hospitalisations as yet.

At this moment in time any increase in restrictions is a speculative move, not grounded in any data. The proposed restrictions themselves are arbitrary in nature and are also not grounded in any data.

I haven’t done what I’m told, just because I’ve been told, since I was a child, and I’m not starting again now.

Mad Max 08-12-2021 19:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Keep drinking red wine in copious amounts, seems to work wonders.;)

Paul 08-12-2021 19:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36104835)
But if it can overtake Delta, which the signs are that it can (it's more transmissible which seems to be the key) and that if it can infect more people who are double jabbed, this number will no doubt get very high very quickly.

What does 'more transmissable' even mean ?
I'm guessing it means you can catch it quicker ?
As yet Ive not seen a definition, just the phrase thrown about a lot.

Is it more likely to make you seriously ill ?
Is it more deadly than delta, the same, or is it milder ?
Again, Ive seen nothing so far to support it being one or the other.

Hugh 08-12-2021 19:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Sky News has a good explanation

https://news.sky.com/story/covid-19-...sease-12489186

Quote:

For the last month or so the UK has been hovering above and below about 40,000 new cases per day. The R rate - the number of new people infected by each person with an active infection – has also been hovering around 1.

This means each individual with COVID has given COVID to an average of one other person. That's why the case-numbers have remained relatively static - the 40,000 people with COVID are giving COVID to about 40,000 new people, who are doing the same with 40,000 more people and the chain continues.

Over the same period, daily hospital admissions have been around 800. Meanwhile daily deaths have been around 135.

Put rather crudely, that means that about 1 in 50 people who get infected with the current dominant strain end up in hospital. Of those, about 1 in 6 sadly die. These ratios aren’t exactly perfect but they help with the maths later on so let’s work with them for now.

If the dominant Delta strain suddenly became half as dangerous overnight, while remaining exactly as transmissible as it has been, we would expect hospitalisations to drop to about 400 per day and remain there. 1 in 100 infections result in a hospitalisation. Deaths would end up just under 70.

However, if this new less dangerous variant was actually more transmissible, the impact in terms of the number of hospitalisations could end up worse

A more transmissible variant has a higher R number. At the peak of the pandemic the R rate reached an upper estimate of about 1.5. That means that every 10 people with COVID would infect 15 others, every 40,000 would infect 60,000.

As it keeps the maths pretty simple as well, we’re going to use that for our calculations – that's not a measured estimate of what Omicron might force R to rise to, or even a loose guess.

Some scientists have estimated that it may rise above this level, but we don’t know yet. We’re just using it to try and explain the relationship.

So if the R rate was to suddenly rise to 1.5, while the ratio of hospitalisations and deaths stays at the lower level - half of what it has been for the past few months, let’s take a look at what that would mean for the health service and public health.

After about a week we’d expect the infection level to be about 60,000. If 1 in 100 go to hospital that’s 600. If one in 6 of these people die that’s 100 deaths. These are both lower than the current figures, so good news

But, the nature of R means that each of these now 60,000 daily cases will also infect an extra 50% of people, so 60,000 cases would soon become 90,000, more than double the number we're currently seeing – and it would keep growing.

Despite the variant being half as dangerous as the original one, 90,000 daily cases would result in around 900 people needing some hospital treatment and cause 150 deaths.

A week or so later, 135,000 cases would see about 1,350 hospitalisations and more than 200 deaths.

spiderplant 08-12-2021 20:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
There is also some evidence that the incubation period of Omicron may be shorter, which would result in faster growth even if R was the same.

pip08456 08-12-2021 21:29

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
The graph Chris Whitty didn't show. 0 deaths so far.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...0&d=1638998875

nffc 08-12-2021 21:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36104849)
The graph Chris Whitty didn't show. 0 deaths so far.

... so far. But let's not forget that deaths lag hospitalisations lag cases by weeks at a time.


No doubt it's been around longer than it's been detected, these things always are. But let's not also forget that we don't have enough time to assess this yet.


Chris Whitty is an expert in this field and a doctor. It is probably against some moral or professional code somewhere for them to lie about things even if the politicians insist on pushing a certain narrative.



I do not for one second think that reactions should be based on a perceived risk or a potential risk not an actual risk, and there is a fair amount with this still unknown. For example we do not know for sure that this is milder and by how much. Indeed if it is milder the increased transmissibility may still overwhelm the NHS in the short term, if it's not mild enough. We are only getting so far theoretical data on vaccine escape done in labs, as opposed to real world impact on people, but then, there is plenty of evidence people who have had 2 doses can catch symptomatic Omicron. We don't know for sure how much yet nor how much more transmissible it is. By putting the brakes now on a few lower-risk areas (such as working from home) whilst there is still a lot to be determined may be enough to slow it down whilst it is assessed. And I think that once it is assessed if it does turn out to be something which doesn't cause mass hospitalisation or deaths relative to other variants and despite the increased transmissibility they will probably reverse it, but we don't know this yet - by the time we do, if we haven't put some brakes on it (let's not forget even now we don't have a lot of restrictions, there's not a lot you can't do, even if you have to wear a mask) it may be too late.


I suppose the two facts people hold out for are bound to change over time:
1. that no-one in the UK has been hospitalised with Omicron (Javid said so, though that may have changed since)
2. the WHO said no-one has died from it

Paul 08-12-2021 21:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Thank you Hugh.

So still largely a lot of "if/maybe/might/could" guesswork - until more information on what is actually happening comes along.

I seem to recall this same thing around July 17th when cases were still rising at the point of restrictions being removed - predictions were even more cases, but what actually happened was a fall over the rest of July, much to everyones surprise.

nffc 08-12-2021 21:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36104839)
What does 'more transmissable' even mean ?
I'm guessing it means you can catch it quicker ?
As yet Ive not seen a definition, just the phrase thrown about a lot.

Is it more likely to make you seriously ill ?
Is it more deadly than delta, the same, or is it milder ?
Again, Ive seen nothing so far to support it being one or the other.

Your 2nd group is more to do with the severity of the disease.


Once it has made someone ill then this is the course of the disease, we don't know this for sure yet, as it will probably take a few weeks. But early indications are that it is milder than delta though this has been measured in a younger population.


Transmissibility is the basic idea of how the virus can infect others. So I suppose there are various factors at play, such as how much virus an infected person can emit, how much virus is needed to cause an infection, and how long it takes. So, i've heard people say recently that omicron can cause infection maybe 2-3 days after exposure, which I think is similar to delta, and less than the 5-7 days for Alpha and the original Wuhan strains. In itself that will make it more transmissible as it will spread through the population quicker. I guess this effect is down to the more optimised binding to the ACE2 receptor where it enters the cells. Not seen anything for omicron but they certainly said somewhere for delta that the viral load in an infected patient was higher, so it got around more, because people simply had more of it in them when they got infected, which means more virus is emitted, and if the infective dose is the same, this means you have a higher chance of getting infected. If it takes less virus to infect someone (e.g. because it is more efficient at entering cells) then that will increase it too...


If you look for example at this (though I suppose you could look at anything on a quick search) you'll see it's a multi-factor thing:
Quote:

Transmissibility is determined by the infectivity of the pathogen, the contagiousness of the infected individual, the susceptibility of the exposed individual, the contact patterns between the infected individual and the exposed individual, and the environmental stress exerted on the pathogen during transmission.


---------- Post added at 21:52 ---------- Previous post was at 21:49 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36104853)
Thank you Hugh.

So still largely a lot of "if/maybe/might/could" guesswork - until more information on what is actually happening comes along.

I seem to recall this same thing around July 17th when cases were still rising at the point of restrictions being removed - predictions were even more cases, but what actually happened was a fall over the rest of July, much to everyones surprise.

This is because it coincided with the end of the Euros, Wimbledon, and the school holidays.


Kids are super spreaders of any virus, there is no doubt about it.


If you look closely at the stats the virus has invariably gone down when the schools are closed (whether forcibly, as in March-Sept 2020, and Jan-March 2021, or during normal operations such as Oct 2021 and Jul-Sept 2021).



Whilst they may well be mildly affected by this virus, there is always the risk of breakthrough infections into older age groups, who maybe unvaccinated, or since vaccines don't give complete protection, where the infection escapes existing immunity.



If people think carefully about their Christmas mixing, and get their boosters when called, no doubt we'll see the same effect again.

Paul 08-12-2021 21:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36104857)
Kids are super spreaders of any virus, there is no doubt about it.

If you look closely at the stats the virus has invariably gone down when the schools are closed

Schools will be closing down again soon, for Christmas, as will colleges and universities as well.

nffc 08-12-2021 22:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36104862)
Schools will be closing down again soon, for Christmas, as will colleges and universities as well.

Yes, such effect was implicit in my post...


I'm totally against closing schools so we have to let this ride. But, this involves acceptance of the inevitable (as you quoted) amongst TPTB, that kids will get the virus and spread it, indeed a milder illness.


Single jabbing secondary kids, or any kids, is unlikely to stop this, not with a more transmissible Omicron.


Whatever is required to statistically reduce transmission of the virus (not just reduce hospitalisation) should be the long term solution.


Now it's been said today that 3 doses of Pfizer or Moderna with omicron is basically the same as 2 doses with Delta. So the boosters need to be accelerated including 4th doses to the more at risk. 2nd doses to primary kids, and 3rd to secondary age kids who let's face it are physically adults in the main. Nothing else will do but given the dose gap and logistics anywhere is a long way off and that protection needs to be more or less global which is the greater issue.

Pierre 08-12-2021 22:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36104840)

Not really. That is nothing but speculation, guesswork and bollocks, but hey, that’s what passes for analysis nowadays and people just lap it up.

There is nothing of any substance in that at all, but according to you it’s a “good explanation”. FFS.

Jaymoss 08-12-2021 22:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36104867)
Not really. That is nothing but speculation, guesswork and bollocks, but hey, that’s what passes for analysis nowadays and people just lap it up.

There is nothing of any substance in that at all, but according to you it’s a “good explanation”. FFS.

Plenty of that in this thread so why not add some more?

nffc 08-12-2021 22:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36104867)
Not really. That is nothing but speculation, guesswork and bollocks, but hey, that’s what passes for analysis nowadays and people just lap it up.

There is nothing of any substance in that at all, but according to you it’s a “good explanation”. FFS.

tbf anything to do with Omicron is basically educated guesswork at the best because it's not been around to assess the impact sufficiently. Give it time.

Hugh 08-12-2021 22:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
It’s a good explanation of how exponential growth "could" affect numbers of cases/hospitalisations/deaths, not "would" - the article clearly states that.

Quote:

These numbers are entirely made up, and the facts as we have them at the moment are that we don't know how much more transmissible Omicron is.

We know even less about whether it is less dangerous on a case-by-case basis.

But it would have to be less dangerous by a much greater degree than it is less transmissible if we are to avoid a rise in the number of people needing hospital care.

Pierre 08-12-2021 22:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36104869)
tbf anything to do with Omicron is basically educated guesswork at the best because it's not been around to assess the impact sufficiently. Give it time.

Fair enough, but therefore give it time before you make decisions on restrictions.

You can’t make policy that affects your freedoms on “ guesswork”

---------- Post added at 22:23 ---------- Previous post was at 22:21 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36104870)
It’s a good explanation of how exponential growth "could" affect numbers of cases/hospitalisations/deaths, not "would" - the article clearly states that.

Therefore all it is, is a fantastic work of fiction.

Hugh 08-12-2021 22:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
It’s an explanation of how exponential growth in infections work.

nffc 08-12-2021 22:29

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36104871)
Fair enough, but therefore give it time before you make decisions on restrictions.

You can’t make policy that affects your freedoms on “ guesswork”

Well, look at the number of confirmed omicron cases in the UK and then realise the actual number is much higher.


It is suspected to be more transmissible than Delta, so will more likely outcompete it.


It is suspected to be able to evade vaccine immunity.


It is suspected to be able to evade immunity from previous infection.


(though with the latter two points this is going to be partial but no doubt significant).


It is suspected to be a milder illness, though the data is not known as to how much and how much this will affect hospitalisations.


There is enough cause for the WHO to designate it a VOC
There is enough evidence for community transmission i.e. confirmed cases from people who have no links to the affected areas in Africa
There is a possibility that this will cause a high number of infection within days which may lead to a hospitalisation level which could overwhelm the available capacity


By the time you have seen this effect it is probably too late.


I don't see the issue in actions which won't massively affect a lot of people.

Yes chin diapers are annoying but they do have a mild at the most conservative estimate, effect on transmission.
Vax passes at least ensure people have some protection even if it's minimal and let's face it it's in your interests to protect yourself and get the vaccine


If these actions reduce transmission whilst the full facts are determined it could stop the infections etc spiralling out of control. If it's not going to work, they should and probably will relax them.

Pierre 08-12-2021 22:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36104873)
It’s an explanation of how exponential growth in infections work.

But not in this specific case………..

---------- Post added at 22:37 ---------- Previous post was at 22:30 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36104874)
Well, look at the number of confirmed omicron cases in the UK and then realise the actual number is much higher.


It is suspected to be more transmissible than Delta, so will more likely outcompete it.


It is suspected to be able to evade vaccine immunity.


It is suspected to be able to evade immunity from previous infection.


(though with the latter two points this is going to be partial but no doubt significant).


It is suspected to be a milder illness, though the data is not known as to how much and how much this will affect hospitalisations.

So we don’t know…………

TBF you’ve laid it out, and managed to say nothing we don’t already know

Quote:

There is enough cause for the WHO to designate it a VOC
There is enough evidence for community transmission i.e. confirmed cases from people who have no links to the affected areas in Africa
There is a possibility that this will cause a high number of infection within days which may lead to a hospitalisation level which could overwhelm the available capacity
Possibly, may, FFS.

Quote:

If these actions reduce transmission whilst the full facts are determined it could stop the infections etc spiralling out of control. If it's not going to work, they should and probably will relax them.
That paragraph was interesting………….should…yes. Probably will……….hmmm

Paul 09-12-2021 03:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
From the BBC ..

Quote:

From Friday 10 December, face coverings will be mandatory for most indoor public venues including places of worship, theatres and cinemas, as well as in shops and on public transport.
Quote:

Masks will still not be needed in hospitality settings such as pubs or restaurants, nor in venues where it is "not practical to wear them" (for instance, where exercise or singing takes place).
Cinemas are a bit of an oddity since you eat and drink while watching the film, so its not practical at that point.
So I guess it would just be inside the building, before you sit down for the film.

(The same possibly for theatres as well ?)

Chris 09-12-2021 08:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Pretty much the way things are in Scotland, as those restrictions were never lifted. However here you’re meant to have a mask on in a restaurant except when seated at your table so the English rules are still slightly more relaxed in that respect. In cinemas in my experience most people treat them like restaurants and masks come off as soon as people are seated and remain off throughout. As almost everyone is nursing a bucket of popcorn and a large drink it would be very difficult to determine if anyone was really breaking the rules.

jonbxx 09-12-2021 09:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
I mentioned a while back that the company I work for mandated vaccination for all employees in the US. Well, the results are in - 0.9% of our employees refused the jab by the deadline and are now seeking new employment. I thought that was a pretty good strike rate to be honest. Mind you, this is a healthcare company and is based in the north east US where attitudes are pretty pro-vaccine compared to some other states

papa smurf 09-12-2021 09:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36104892)
I mentioned a while back that the company I work for mandated vaccination for all employees in the US. Well, the results are in - 0.9% of our employees refused the jab by the deadline and are now seeking new employment. I thought that was a pretty good strike rate to be honest. Mind you, this is a healthcare company and is based in the north east US where attitudes are pretty pro-vaccine compared to some other states

how many people is that then?

jonbxx 09-12-2021 10:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36104893)
how many people is that then?

19 people out of 2110 chose not to have the vaccine without a valid excuse (the valid exemptions are listed under state law)

papa smurf 09-12-2021 10:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36104895)
19 people out of 2110 chose not to have the vaccine without a valid excuse (the valid exemptions are listed under state law)

Do they work with sick or vulnerable people in hospitals or care homes?

roughbeast 09-12-2021 10:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36104849)
The graph Chris Whitty didn't show. 0 deaths so far.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...0&d=1638998875

It's all about saving the NHS from an unsustainable rise in admissions, whether people die or not. The apparent spread rate of Omicron is phenomenal and unprecedented in Covid terms. Like it or not that will produce sufficient serious illness to overwhelm the NHS again, especially when it hits older, unvaccinated folk.

Carth 09-12-2021 11:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
I now don't take much notice of the Covid stuff spouted by all and sundry, I think I've become immune to it . . not Covid itself (although maybe, possibly, could be, who knows) . . . but the amount of news, updates, expert opinion and analysis thrown about and repeated every 10 minutes.

Information Overload . . .

Just bugger off, take your carefully manipulated graphs, charts and spreadsheets and shove them where the sun don't shine.

1andrew1 09-12-2021 11:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36104897)
Do they work with sick or vulnerable people in hospitals or care homes?

The 19 don't work at all now.

Hugh 09-12-2021 11:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36104903)
I now don't take much notice of the Covid stuff spouted by all and sundry, I think I've become immune to it . . not Covid itself (although maybe, possibly, could be, who knows) . . . but the amount of news, updates, expert opinion and analysis thrown about and repeated every 10 minutes.

Information Overload . . .

Just bugger off, take your carefully manipulated graphs, charts and spreadsheets and shove them where the sun don't shine.

Mate, we all know you’re not a rat-licker, just frustrated…

papa smurf 09-12-2021 11:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36104903)
I now don't take much notice of the Covid stuff spouted by all and sundry, I think I've become immune to it . . not Covid itself (although maybe, possibly, could be, who knows) . . . but the amount of news, updates, expert opinion and analysis thrown about and repeated every 10 minutes.

Information Overload . . .

Just bugger off, take your carefully manipulated graphs, charts and spreadsheets and shove them where the sun don't shine.

The thing to focus on is protecting the NHS from the new moronic variant, in case it gets overwhelmed by people who aren't getting ill, and let's not forget it has a death rate of zero so it's not to be sniffed at ;)

jonbxx 09-12-2021 12:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36104897)
Do they work with sick or vulnerable people in hospitals or care homes?

Nope, mainly office staff. The field based staff who visit pharmaceutical companies and universities almost all got jabbed. My company followed the guidance from the State Government who mandated vaccines for all of their employees.

papa smurf 09-12-2021 12:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36104914)
Nope, mainly office staff. The field based staff who visit pharmaceutical companies and universities almost all got jabbed. My company followed the guidance from the State Government who mandated vaccines for all of their employees.

That's harsh.

nffc 09-12-2021 12:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36104912)
The thing to focus on is protecting the NHS from the new moronic variant, in case it gets overwhelmed by people who aren't getting ill enough to get to hospital at present though we haven't allowed enough time to know the facts on this yet, and let's not forget it has a death rate of zero at this present moment though again we haven't allowed long enough to see so it's not to be sniffed at ;)

With my bold it's probably more accurate :)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36104891)
Pretty much the way things are in Scotland, as those restrictions were never lifted. However here you’re meant to have a mask on in a restaurant except when seated at your table so the English rules are still slightly more relaxed in that respect. In cinemas in my experience most people treat them like restaurants and masks come off as soon as people are seated and remain off throughout. As almost everyone is nursing a bucket of popcorn and a large drink it would be very difficult to determine if anyone was really breaking the rules.


Eating and drinking is an exception and always has been.


Taking it off and on when moving around is a bit silly for me in any context. Just distance people and encourage table service.

Hugh 09-12-2021 13:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1639056791

pip08456 09-12-2021 14:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
The fear mongering has started.

Quote:

Omicron cases could exceed one million a day by the end of this month, on the current trajectory, the Health Secretary has said.

Sajid Javid said the actual number of infections of the variant already in this country was likely to be close to 10,000 - a figure 20 times higher than that which has been confirmed.

He told the Commons: "Although there are only 568 confirmed Omicron cases in the UK we know that the actual number of infections will be significantly higher.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...ay-says-sajid/

heero_yuy 09-12-2021 14:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36104931)

The softening up process: Get the proles afraid of their own shadows.

Hugh 09-12-2021 14:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Or…

Highlight worst-case scenario, and if it isn’t that bad, take credit for the measures in place…

Paul 09-12-2021 15:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
.... or both.

Get everyone afraid of their own shadows, and then take the 'credit' when the world doesnt actually end.

---------- Post added at 15:54 ---------- Previous post was at 15:50 ----------

According the the BBC reports (about an hour ago) ;

The UK records 249 new Omicron cases, of these, 248 cases were in England and one in Scotland.
Quote:

The UK has recorded 249 new cases of the Omicron variant, taking the total number of cases recorded to 817.
What it doesnt seem to indicate is how much Delta [other] cases are falling, which is just as important, is one simply replacing the other, or not.

jonbxx 09-12-2021 15:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36104915)
That's harsh.

You think that's harsh, OSHA (the US equivalent of the Health and Safety Executive) is mandating either vaccination or at least weekly testing for all companies with at least 100 employees - https://www.osha.gov/sites/default/f...s/OSHA4162.pdf The state my company is in mainly were ahead of the OSHA initiative.

This is being challenged in court though...

nffc 09-12-2021 16:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36104943)
.... or both.

Get everyone afraid of their own shadows, and then take the 'credit' when the world doesnt actually end.

---------- Post added at 15:54 ---------- Previous post was at 15:50 ----------

According the the BBC reports (about an hour ago) ;

The UK records 249 new Omicron cases, of these, 248 cases were in England and one in Scotland.


What it doesnt seem to indicate is how much Delta [other] cases are falling, which is just as important, is one simply replacing the other, or not.

Well, most cases are clearly still Delta given that we registered around 50k in the UK today (down from around 53k last Thurs, but still a high amount).


Though Javid is probably not wrong when he suggests that the amount may be a lot higher. It is always the situation though, people don't get tested because they think it's a cold, or because they don't have a fever, or various situations. Or if they don't have any symptoms at all.



But then the studies in things like zoe have always said that the amount of covid is higher than the testing.



It's too early I suppose, as we have too few omicron cases (you'd expect the vast majority of omicron cases would show the s-gene dropout which isn't usually observed in delta when a PCR test is done) to see if these are just going to replace delta, or have been seen where you don't have a significant delta outbreak, e.g. where people have come back from abroad, isolated and tested positive for omicron on a PCR, then given it to family or the kids have gone to school or something, which leads to a small amount of spread which is localised.

Carth 09-12-2021 16:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
I can put my hand up and say "I have never had a test"

Jaymoss 09-12-2021 17:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36104954)
I can put my hand up and say "I have never had a test"

why not?


All times are GMT +1. The time now is 18:32.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
All Posts and Content are © Cable Forum