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1andrew1 02-02-2021 00:49

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36069041)
Has the fashion industry never exported goods outside the EU before? Every country requires papers. Exporting from outside the EU into the EU is no different.

It's worth delving into the issues cited in their lettter - it's increased costs and red tape that are making them less productive and viable.
Quote:

Everyone working across the EU, our largest trading partner for imports and exports, will now need costly work permits for each of the member states they visit and a mountain of paperwork for their products and equipment.

Angua 02-02-2021 08:28

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36069042)
It's worth delving into the issues cited in their lettter - it's increased costs and red tape that are making them less productive and viable.

Sending a container load of goods by sea, may only involve internal transport. Businesses in the UK have been used to taking the goods by lorry across the EU without issue, this is what the simple view of changes is ignoring. When paperwork is needed not only for goods, but the vehicle and driver and VAT and duty, it ends up with massive amounts of bureaucracy.

Sephiroth 02-02-2021 09:25

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36069042)
It's worth delving into the issues cited in their lettter - it's increased costs and red tape that are making them less productive and viable.

You provided this quote in your last post:

Quote:

Everyone working across the EU, our largest trading partner for imports and exports, will now need costly work permits for each of the member states they visit and a mountain of paperwork for their products and equipment.
There will be little doubt in mine and others' minds that you are still peddling the Remain argument.

The Brexit dividend is already being delivered. The short term difficulties will be overcome, obviously. Also we will develop new products and new markets as we join other trade associations.


1andrew1 02-02-2021 11:50

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36069058)
You provided this quote in your last post:

There will be little doubt in mine and others' minds that you are still peddling the Remain argument.

The Brexit dividend is already being delivered. The short term difficulties will be overcome, obviously. Also we will develop new products and new markets as we join other trade associations.


You can't vaccine-wash away the issues faced by hard-working British business men and women, Seph. Talk of Remain arguments is poppycock, we left the EU and you need to move on and bat for British business. Making a success of Brexit doesn't mean pretending these issues don't exist.

Countries do most of their trade with those closest to them - as British business has repeatedly pointed out.

This is due to the gravity of trade. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gravit...de#:~:text=The gravity model of international trade in international,evidence that trade tends to fall with distance."

Sephiroth 02-02-2021 12:39

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Well, of course these issues exist. But bringing this up (again) in the manner that you have (and are doing again in your post) is pure Remainer dogma.

I could recant what I've said if the weight of forum opinion sided with you.

Remember what I have said:

Quote:

The short term difficulties will be overcome, obviously.

tweetiepooh 02-02-2021 13:08

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
One problem is with food products is that they are ready now, you often can't just wait to sort things out. The lead times are also less easy to vary than "dead stuff".

Hugh 02-02-2021 15:57

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-55904189
Quote:

Brexit: Michael Gove calls for extension of Brexit grace periods

Cabinet Office Minister Michael Gove has called for grace periods to be extended, to allow businesses more time to adapt to new Irish Sea border processes.

The EU's usual rules on customs and product standards are not yet being fully enforced at NI ports.

The first of the grace periods agreed by the UK and EU is set to expire at the end of March.

NI Secretary Brandon Lewis previously said he did not expect any extensions.

But speaking on Tuesday in the House of Commons, Mr Gove said there were "serious problems" with the NI Protocol that needed to be addressed.
Quote:

Prime Minister Boris Johnson previously played down concerns about the protocol and called them "teething problems", but Mr Gove said he would not describe them this way.

"We do need to make sure grace periods are extended so that supermarkets can continue to provide consumers with goods they need," he said.

The minister said he would write to the EU with "specific proposals", and confirmed a meeting would take place with Stormont's first and deputy first ministers, Arlene Foster and Michelle O'Neill, on Wednesday along his with EU counterpart European Commission Vice-President Maros Sefcovic.

papa smurf 02-02-2021 16:02

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36069108)

And there is this

UK border chaos as trucks get waivers - trade rules SCRAPPED in angry scenes
TENSIONS over the Northern Ireland protocol have escalated into "troubling" threats to trade staff, forcing post-Brexit food checks at Larne and Belfast ports to be suspended over safety concerns.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/polit...in-poots-daera

The graffiti objected to the perceived "Irish Sea border" imposed as a result of terms of the Brexit trade deal with the EU.

Ulster loyalists, who oppose any divergence between Northern Ireland the rest of the UK, are believed to be behind the messages.

1andrew1 02-02-2021 18:11

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36069088)
Well, of course these issues exist. But bringing this up (again) in the manner that you have (and are doing again in your post) is pure Remainer dogma.

I could recant what I've said if the weight of forum opinion sided with you.

Remember what I have said:


I'm not sure what forum opinion has got to do with anything. Should we ignore news stories that don't fit a positive agenda or try and make things work better for the good of the country?

How short-term is short term? It's now over a month since we started operating according to the terms of the trade agreement and things don't look fantastic. That's even with EU imports not being checked, that only happens in July.

Seafood company Samways explains that the issues are more fundamental than just teething troubles. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/business-55847259

And short-term seems to be permanent if you're a shellfisherman. EU shellfish import ban permanent, UK fishing industry told

Sephiroth 02-02-2021 18:59

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
The Remainers see it as disaster after only 1 month.

Reasonable people say it'll sort itself out in due course or words to that effect.

Hugh 02-02-2021 19:38

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Highlighting issues is not saying it’s a disaster -you’re putting forward a straw man argument that no one has stated.

Maggy 02-02-2021 21:35

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36069167)
Highlighting issues is not saying it’s a disaster -you’re putting forward a straw man argument that no one has stated.

:tu:

Sephiroth 02-02-2021 21:40

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36069167)
Highlighting issues is not saying it’s a disaster -you’re putting forward a straw man argument that no one has stated.

Not a straw man argument at all. You're just being difficult. It doesn't have to be stated for it to be correctly inferred -a as in realms of ....

Mr K 02-02-2021 21:48

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
These straw men get everywhere on here !

Back in the real world firms are seeing increased costs. E.g. https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-...shire-55894650
The fall out is coming which is going to cost jobs.

1andrew1 02-02-2021 22:02

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36069189)
These straw men get everywhere on here !

Back in the real world firms are seeing increased costs. E.g. https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-...shire-55894650
The fall out is coming which is going to cost jobs.

They do seem to get about more than the Elf on the Shelf after the parents have had a few dry sherries. ;)

Sephiroth 02-02-2021 22:54

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36069190)
They do seem to get about more than the Elf on the Shelf after the parents have had a few dry sherries. ;)

Some real sense at last!

Paul 03-02-2021 02:37

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36069189)
These straw men get everywhere on here.

I believe its the default reply when someone cant come up with anything better. :sleep:

Angua 03-02-2021 08:43

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Someone on another forum from NI, has highlighted that something as simple as getting a bike delivered from the mainland is proving to be a nightmare. Whilst on the other side, getting potatoes sent to the mainland from NI is also a problem, not helped by requiring fixed transport days (for paperwork), at a time of year when weather can affect this. Old system allowed for flexibility round the weather.

Is this also a straw man?

joglynne 03-02-2021 10:43

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Angua (Post 36069206)
Someone on another forum from NI, has highlighted that something as simple as getting a bike delivered from the mainland is proving to be a nightmare. Whilst on the other side, getting potatoes sent to the mainland from NI is also a problem, not helped by requiring fixed transport days (for paperwork), at a time of year when weather can affect this. Old system allowed for flexibility round the weather.

Is this also a straw man?

I am not saying that there aren't any problems, in fact from your post I am sure there are, but ...I have just recieved my regular bulky order from a large supplier located in Belfast, NI. Ordered yesterday morning with a 48hr delivery service via Royal Mail which shows that not all trade to and from NI is effected.

Sephiroth 03-02-2021 10:46

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
On this business of the representative status of the EU: Is the EU a state or an international organisation?

Clearly it is an international organisation because it derives its competences from the 27 member states. Simples.

Accordingly, the 27 states have ambassadorial diplomatic missions in the UK. The EU cannot enjoy that status - only that of an international organisation. Simples.

The moment that the UK accords ambassadorial status to the EU is the moment that we recognise the EU as a state - that would be a state without a police force, without an army and without the principal competences associated with a nation state.

So, I'm enjoying the howls of protests coming from that pompous organisation.


tweetiepooh 03-02-2021 11:16

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
I really do sympathise with groups being badly affected by this. As I've said before if you have "live" product you can't just keep on shelf for a while to sort it all out.

We could help by sorting out tax on smaller purchases back to the EU status i.e. pay tax at point of purchase at rate and to country of purchase. It's not like we were collecting the tax anyway unless we looked at the rebate in that way.

1andrew1 03-02-2021 11:26

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by joglynne (Post 36069216)
I am not saying that there aren't any problems, in fact from your post I am sure there are, but ...I have just recieved my regular bulky order from a large supplier located in Belfast, NI. Ordered yesterday morning with a 48hr delivery service via Royal Mail which shows that not all trade to and from NI is effected.

No one has stated all trade is affected. Quite what is affected, is coming to light day by day.

joglynne 03-02-2021 11:45

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36069222)
No one has stated all trade is affected. Quite what is affected, is coming to light day by day.

Which is why I posted!!

Angua 03-02-2021 13:51

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by joglynne (Post 36069216)
I am not saying that there aren't any problems, in fact from your post I am sure there are, but ...I have just recieved my regular bulky order from a large supplier located in Belfast, NI. Ordered yesterday morning with a 48hr delivery service via Royal Mail which shows that not all trade to and from NI is effected.

Wonder how the Royal Mail would manage potatoes?

Just a shame it is so complicated to send stuff to NI.

joglynne 03-02-2021 14:12

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Angua (Post 36069253)
Wonder how the Royal Mail would manage potatoes?

Just a shame it is so complicated to send stuff to NI.

Yup. it would be a tad difficult. :D My hope is that with some areas such as the Royal Mail still operating as normal others will get sorted out quickly.

Hugh 03-02-2021 18:36

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
This could help wth the cross border issues, giving people and businesses time to adapt.

https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-b...-idUSKBN2A312V
Quote:

LONDON (Reuters) - Britain has asked for an extension until 2023 of a grace period on checks that would be conducted on trade moving between Northern Ireland and the rest of the United Kingdom to soften the Brexit impact on the province, the BBC reported.

Political editor Laura Kuenssberg said Cabinet Office Secretary Michael Gove had written to the European Commission’s vice president, Maros Sefcovic, to ask for urgent political solutions.

pip08456 03-02-2021 18:57

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36069305)
This could help wth the cross border issues, giving people and businesses time to adapt.

https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-b...-idUSKBN2A312V

That's a bit behind the times as there is more happening.

Quote:

A video conference is taking place between the UK government and the European Commission, with the First and Deputy First Ministers of Northern Ireland also in attendance.
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2021/...194705-brexit/

Hugh 03-02-2021 20:40

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36069308)
That's a bit behind the times as there is more happening.



https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2021/...194705-brexit/

Useful to know - thanks for the update. :)

1andrew1 03-02-2021 21:09

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Meeting just finished. No conclusions on the requested teo-year extension yet.

Sephiroth 04-02-2021 11:45

Re: Britain outside the EU
 

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business...ster-brussels/

For paywall users, the above referenced article by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard has it in a nutshell. I'll quote that jewel, itself a statement made by Daniel Stelter, Germany’s corporate guru:

Quote:

By failing to procure vaccines, the EU has validated Brexit and given all EU citizens an objective reason for euroscepticism,”
Ambrose-Evans also points out that the vaccine procurement was a power -grab by Brussels, as is the 750 billion recovery fund.

He also points out that Brussels is only interested in power. He exemplifies this through the Brexit negotiations (power not trade), through the vaccine negotiations (which, he says, were price led not solution driven). He underlines deep German suspicion over how VDL would use the recovery fund and how close it would bring the EU to fiscal union, which Germany would have to bankroll.

Boy are we right to be forging our own destiny.

Btw, James O'Brian on LBC today is knocking the Guymin for going "cap in hand" to the EU to ease the NI situation. He doesn't emphasise that the UK have the threat ready of invoking its own Article 16 measures. Indeed we should in order to test the resolution mechanism.


Hugh 04-02-2021 12:02

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
So a virulently Anti-EU correspondent in a virulently Anti-EU newspaper says something Anti-EU?

<shocked face>... ;)

Sephiroth 04-02-2021 12:26

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36069369)
So a virulently Anti-EU correspondent in a virulently Anti-EU newspaper says something Anti-EU?

<shocked face>... ;)

What's wrong with that if it's true? Do you think that the EU has acted well in the vaccine procurement? Do you think that Brussels is exercising a power grab?

mrmistoffelees 04-02-2021 12:40

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36069381)
What's wrong with that if it's true? Do you think that the EU has acted well in the vaccine procurement? Do you think that Brussels is exercising a power grab?

The UK has done incredibly well in procurement/distribution of the vaccines.However, that success doesn't eclipse the significant issues that we're currently seeing, and potentially may worsen as things such as warehouse stocks fall after their current stockpiles dwindle.

Chris 04-02-2021 12:42

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36069364)

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business...ster-brussels/

For paywall users, the above referenced article by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard has it in a nutshell. I'll quote that jewel, itself a statement made by Daniel Stelter, Germany’s corporate guru:



Ambrose-Evans also points out that the vaccine procurement was a power -grab by Brussels, as is the 750 billion recovery fund.

He also points out that Brussels is only interested in power. He exemplifies this through the Brexit negotiations (power not trade), through the vaccine negotiations (which, he says, were price led not solution driven). He underlines deep German suspicion over how VDL would use the recovery fund and how close it would bring the EU to fiscal union, which Germany would have to bankroll.

Boy are we right to be forging our own destiny.

Btw, James O'Brian on LBC today is knocking the Guymin for going "cap in hand" to the EU to ease the NI situation. He doesn't emphasise that the UK have the threat ready of invoking its own Article 16 measures. Indeed we should in order to test the resolution mechanism.


The EU proposed to use Article 16 in a way not permitted by the treaty. The hardship to be alleviated by that mechanism must already be very evident, and a notice period must be observed. The EU attempted to invoke it on the basis of theoretical attempts to avoid an export ban that had not occurred and had not caused any hardship. They also seemed to think it could be brought into force instantly.

We, on the other hand, if we do choose to go down that route, must do so fully observing the letter and the spirit of the rules.

BTW who is Guymin?

Damien 04-02-2021 12:44

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Government I guess

Sephiroth 04-02-2021 13:01

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36069390)
<SNIP>

BTW who is Guymin?

A typo version of Guvmin.

pip08456 04-02-2021 20:46

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Some good news that Andrew may not post.

Quote:

Cadbury's famous Dairy Milk chocolate bar is going to be made almost wholly in Bournville again - 115 years after it was launched.

An investment of £15 million in new production line facilities will create an "increase in efficiency" and allow the bar to be made mostly in Birmingham once more.

In 2020, Bournville produced 35,000 tonnes of Cadbury Dairy Milk - equivalent to 234 million tablets.

The new investment will see that figure add another 12,000 tonnes of capacity, meaning an additional 125 million bars to enjoy would previously have been made at other sites in Europe.
https://www.birminghammail.co.uk/new...-home-19759455

Sephiroth 04-02-2021 21:11

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Does Europe like our type of chocolate?

I really dislike theirs - too much cocoa. It's akin to the British Sausage which contains the correct amount of sawdust compared with the over-meaty European kind.

For balance, Polish mustard is the best along with Polish sour cucumbers (aka Salzgurken in German).

I though Juncker was bad, but VDL ...

Chris 04-02-2021 21:42

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36069444)
Does Europe like our type of chocolate?

I really dislike theirs - too much cocoa. It's akin to the British Sausage which contains the correct amount of sawdust compared with the over-meaty European kind.

For balance, Polish mustard is the best along with Polish sour cucumbers (aka Salzgurken in German).

I though Juncker was bad, but VDL ...

European chocolate is typically made using only cocoa butter for fat content. British everyday chocolate (dairy milk, galaxy and sweet bars derived from them) use a mix of cocoa butter and other vegetable fats with the pure cocoa butter recipes reserved for premium products.

1andrew1 05-02-2021 00:09

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Boris Johnson said he'd never agree to an Irish Sea border only to agree to one but to deny its existence. He now acknowledges there is one but says there mustn't be one. :confused:

Quote:

U-turn by Boris Johnson as he moves from denying Irish Sea border’s reality to attempting to delay some of its checks

After weeks of denial that an Irish Sea border exists, Boris Johnson’s government has U-turned to ask for major parts of the trade frontier to be delayed for years.

Cabinet Office minister Michael Gove yesterday asked the EU to extend grace periods for supermarkets and other food outlets as well as parcels and medicines until 2023 – effectively putting off key elements of the new border which the EU argued was imperative to protect the integrity of its single market.

Mr Gove also asked the EU to reverse parts of the deal already in place by creating a common travel area across the British Isles for pets and by ending the ban on British soil coming to Northern Ireland, something which has led to GB companies finding their trade in plants with Northern Ireland is now illegal.

The move represents a major change in stance from a government whose Northern Ireland Secretary, Brandon Lewis, has consistently insisted that there is no Irish Sea border and has played down the significance of the mass of new red tape now necessary to move an item from Great Britain to Northern Ireland.
https://www.newsletter.co.uk/news/po...checks-3123306

Sephiroth 05-02-2021 01:13

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
It's right that the Guvmin should be chipping away at the Trade Agreement. The EU opened the door with its Article 16 nonsense.

1andrew1 05-02-2021 11:21

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36069478)
It's right that the Guvmin should be chipping away at the Trade Agreement. The EU opened the door with its Article 16 nonsense.

It's daft for anyone to escalate things in Northern Ireland as some in the EU found out very quickly. The DUP is waking up to the Irish sea border being a reality and I suspect time is the only cure here.

Sephiroth 05-02-2021 11:48

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
You might be partially right about time being the cure - except that the status quo on sending food etc to NI would prolong unreasonable disaster.

In case one might respond "but that's what we signed up to", there's nothing wrong with trying to rectify the unintended consequences. If the EU say no to Gove, then there's little point in pretending that they are "our friends in Europe"; they become the enemy to a certain degree.

Gove is after two more years of grace so that we can build our software to accurately populate the crazy forms (70 pages I understand for a fish consignment to the EU). If they are "our friends", they'll say yes.



nomadking 05-02-2021 11:53

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Much of the detail of the NI Protocol was left to be decided by the Joint Committee. Any complications will be because the EU is being difficult, as usual.

IIRC The supermarkets said there would be no problems shipping their stock from GB to NI.

1andrew1 05-02-2021 12:16

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36069504)
Much of the detail of the NI Protocol was left to be decided by the Joint Committee. Any complications will be because the EU is being difficult, as usual.

IIRC The supermarkets said there would be no problems shipping their stock from GB to NI.

The supermarkets had tons of problems but this will be overcome by sourcing from Ireland and other EU countries instead of Great Britain.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-55575988
https://www.newfoodmagazine.com/news...and-shortages/

Some foods can no longer be exported from NI to GB.
Quote:

Brexit: Lough Neagh eels can't be sold in Britain

Lough Neagh eel fishermen will have to find new markets for a fifth of their catch due to Brexit and the operation of the Northern Ireland Protocol.

It means finding new buyers for 50 tonnes of eels, worth £500,000, just months before the start of this year's season.

The fish would traditionally have gone to Billingsgate Market in London and been sold as jellied eels.

But the complexities of Brexit mean that trade is no longer possible.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-55818519

Sephiroth 05-02-2021 12:20

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
So, the crunch point is are they "our friends in Europe?". If not, there's little point bothering with them to any greater extent than we would bother with other non-friends such as Belarus.

It's clear who are friends are, including: Australia, New Zealand, Canada, USA, Portugal, Sweden, Israel, Singapore and prolly a good few others.


1andrew1 05-02-2021 12:39

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36069503)
You might be partially right about time being the cure - except that the status quo on sending food etc to NI would prolong unreasonable disaster.

In case one might respond "but that's what we signed up to", there's nothing wrong with trying to rectify the unintended consequences. If the EU say no to Gove, then there's little point in pretending that they are "our friends in Europe"; they become the enemy to a certain degree.

Gove is after two more years of grace so that we can build our software to accurately populate the crazy forms (70 pages I understand for a fish consignment to the EU). If they are "our friends", they'll say yes.

They had offered to extend the implementation period for another two years to prevent problems like this arising but Boris said there was no need and everything was ready. Is Boris wrong or right? :confused:

pip08456 05-02-2021 13:01

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36069507)
The supermarkets had tons of problems but this will be overcome by sourcing from Ireland and other EU countries instead of Great Britain.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-55575988
https://www.newfoodmagazine.com/news...and-shortages/

Some foods can no longer be exported from NI to GB.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-55818519

This is where it gets stupid. The eels can't be exported to Billingsgate because of an export ban to countries outside the EU.

Then

Quote:

There is also likely to be additional cost for the fishermen's co-operative if it has to fly its eels to the Netherlands from Dublin, rather than from the nearby Belfast International Airport, to adhere to the terms of the EU's eel trade restrictions.

Sephiroth 05-02-2021 13:01

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36069509)
They had offered to extend the implementation period for another two years to prevent problems like this arising but Boris said there was no need and everything was ready. Is Boris wrong or right? :confused:

If it's as you say, Boris was wrong. He is far too gung-ho, imo.

EDIT: My remark above does not include extending the WA. I should have picked that up.

nomadking 05-02-2021 13:13

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36069509)
They had offered to extend the implementation period for another two years to prevent problems like this arising but Boris said there was no need and everything was ready. Is Boris wrong or right? :confused:

And how would that have alleviated anything?:rolleyes:

It would've involved the WHOLE of the WA being extended. The 2 year offer was made in April of last year. As I have to keep pointing out, the failure of the Joint Committee(ie the EU) is the biggest problem. They were the ones responsible for the detail of how things were going to be implemented.

jonbxx 05-02-2021 13:22

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36069511)
If it's as you say, Boris was wrong. He is far too gung-ho, imo.

Yep, a particularly scathing David Allen Green blog on this subject was published yesterday - Four examples of Prime Ministerial power – how Boris Johnson in fact ‘did everything he could’ for there to be a trade barrier down the Irish Sea

As always, you have to ask if the deal is so bad, is the Government;
  • Incompetent
  • Negligent
  • Malicious

1andrew1 05-02-2021 13:47

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36069512)
And how would that have alleviated anything?:rolleyes:

It would've involved the WHOLE of the WA being extended. The 2 year offer was made in April of last year. As I have to keep pointing out, the failure of the Joint Committee(ie the EU) is the biggest problem. They were the ones responsible for the detail of how things were going to be implemented.

Per Seph's post - it would allow time for the appropriate software to be written and tested.

Stating something erroneous multiple times does not make it correct. ;)

---------- Post added at 12:47 ---------- Previous post was at 12:35 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36069515)
Yep, a particularly scathing David Allen Green blog on this subject was published yesterday - Four examples of Prime Ministerial power – how Boris Johnson in fact ‘did everything he could’ for there to be a trade barrier down the Irish Sea

As always, you have to ask if the deal is so bad, is the Government;
  • Incompetent
  • Negligent
  • Malicious

A great blogger.

I think the issue is that the government was fixated on a deadline of 31st December 2020 to end the transition period as it would feel like failure to have another extension.
So, it's more a case of sign now, we'll sort the mess out afterwards but the electorate and history books will show we started the new trade deal on 1st January 2021.
A long way of saying a) Incompetent but probably competent in keeping the electorate on board ie survival which is most government's aim.

Sephiroth 05-02-2021 14:08

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36069515)
Yep, a particularly scathing David Allen Green blog on this subject was published yesterday - Four examples of Prime Ministerial power – how Boris Johnson in fact ‘did everything he could’ for there to be a trade barrier down the Irish Sea

As always, you have to ask if the deal is so bad, is the Government;
  • Incompetent
  • Negligent
  • Malicious

I can forgive the government for a bad deal in the sense of my position on the Leaver scale. Just get it done and nibble away at what needs undoing. The EU has demonstrated how right we were for obvious reasons.

From your position as a Remainer, trade would take precedence over the Leavers' perception of sovereignty. We have different perceptions.

But yes, I've never been a Boris fan. But then you prolly wouldn't approve of my alternative preference.


Hugh 05-02-2021 14:11

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Ah yes, Mr "Will the supermarkets buy the shellfish the EU will not take and work with our fishing industry to sell it to U.K. buyers?"...

Chris 05-02-2021 14:15

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Well, this guy obviously didn't get the memo.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-55939857

Quote:

Forget Frankfurt and Paris, says Barclays boss
The UK financial services industry should focus on competing with the US and Asia rather than the EU.
That's the view of the boss of Barclays for the City after Brexit.
Jes Staley told the BBC that although jobs that would have been created here have been moved to the EU, Brexit gives one of the UK's most important sectors the chance to define its own agenda.
"I think Brexit is more than likely on the positive side than on the negative side," he said.

Sephiroth 05-02-2021 14:26

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36069523)
Ah yes, Mr "Will the supermarkets buy the shellfish the EU will not take and work with our fishing industry to sell it to U.K. buyers?"...

Just goes to show how nasty the EU is and how right we are to diverge from the path they are taking.



Pierre 05-02-2021 15:24

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
I have a friend in Ireland that says it's impacting Ireland, with plenty of supermarkets with empty shelves and most of the goods to Ireland come through the UK.

Maybe R.o.I should have worked a bit harder with the UK to impress upon the EU to avoid these Irish Sea issues.

1andrew1 05-02-2021 15:34

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
2016. Let's leave the EU to get rid of Brussels bureaucracy tying up business.

2021. 71 pages of paperwork for a single lorry of fish
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-55887043
Quote:

Mr Samways says he initially felt "extremely prepared" for Brexit, but was surprised by the "excessive" amount of paperwork required.

The government says that it is aware of a "small number of issues" since 1 January and that the recent announcement of a £23m fund for fishing firms should help those "experiencing export delays".

But Mr Samways dismisses the suggestion that these are just teething problems.

He has concerns that delays and extra costs could mean UK fishermen will take their catch directly to ports on the Continent, cutting out exporters like him.

"That's something we cannot afford."


---------- Post added at 14:34 ---------- Previous post was at 14:28 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36069532)
I have a friend in Ireland that says it's impacting Ireland, with plenty of supermarkets with empty shelves and most of the goods to Ireland come through the UK.

Maybe R.o.I should have worked a bit harder with the UK to impress upon the EU to avoid these Irish Sea issues.

If the UK had accepted an extension to the withdrawal agreement but insisted a deal was signed this year then this issue could have been reduced significantly.. Unfortunately, the UK government decided against this and RofI can't compel an extension.

Sephiroth 05-02-2021 15:58

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36069533)
2016. Let's leave the EU to get rid of Brussels bureaucracy tying up business.

2021. 71 pages of paperwork for a single lorry of fish
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-55887043


---------- Post added at 14:34 ---------- Previous post was at 14:28 ----------


If the UK had accepted an extension to the withdrawal agreement but insisted a deal was signed this year then this issue could have been reduced significantly.. Unfortunately, the UK government decided against this and RofI can't compel an extension.

Give it a chance, Andrew.

The EU has shown us its true colours. As you've said before, let's move on; I say let's make our way in the world. Sod the EU.

papa smurf 05-02-2021 16:14

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36069535)
Give it a chance, Andrew.

The EU has shown us its true colours. As you've said before, let's move on; I say let's make our way in the world. Sod the EU.

I'll raise a glass to that:beer:

jonbxx 05-02-2021 17:08

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36069535)
Give it a chance, Andrew.

The EU has shown us its true colours. As you've said before, let's move on; I say let's make our way in the world. Sod the EU.

The EU shows it true colours by enforcing its rules for third country imports into the single market? People didn't want regulatory alignment with EU rules so this is what we get.

It's the price of that sweet, sweet sovereignty

Sephiroth 05-02-2021 17:16

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36069544)
The EU shows it true colours by enforcing its rules for third country imports into the single market? People didn't want regulatory alignment with EU rules so this is what we get.

It's the price of that sweet, sweet sovereignty

I'm disappointed that a clear-headed person such as yourself becomes an explainer on behalf of the EU. They are obviously enforcing their rules, we all know that. It's early days and if we get the grace period extension, we can complete development of the front end systems that will make conformance easier.

But I do hope that you're not also revelling on the EU's behalf of the really true colours displayed in last week's Article 16 fiasco.

1andrew1 05-02-2021 17:24

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36069545)
I'm disappointed that a clear-headed person such as yourself becomes an explainer on behalf of the EU. They are obviously enforcing their rules, we all know that. It's early days and if we get the grace period extension, we can complete development of the front end systems that will make conformance easier.

But I do hope that you're not also revelling on the EU's behalf of the really true colours displayed in last week's Article 16 fiasco.

Is Vaccinegate destined to supercede WWII in Brexit discussions? :D

There's no plans to get an extension to the rules of fish to mainland Europe. That's done and dusted. A work-around might be to land the fish in continental ports but this is no good unless you're near to the Continent.

It's the island of Ireland trade situation that Michael Gove is now hoping for an extension on.

Sephiroth 05-02-2021 17:38

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36069546)
Is Vaccinegate destined to supercede WWII in Brexit discussions? :D

There's no plans to get an extension to the rules of fish to mainland Europe. That's done and dusted. A work-around might be to land the fish in continental ports but this is no good unless you're near to the Continent.

It's the island of Ireland trade situation that Michael Gove is now hoping for an extension on.

To address your first point -0 what the EU did is a very serious matter. Their true colours is of immense importance.

Your point about the fish is correct as is my point that this is early days.

jonbxx 05-02-2021 19:30

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36069545)
I'm disappointed that a clear-headed person such as yourself becomes an explainer on behalf of the EU. They are obviously enforcing their rules, we all know that. It's early days and if we get the grace period extension, we can complete development of the front end systems that will make conformance easier.

But I do hope that you're not also revelling on the EU's behalf of the really true colours displayed in last week's Article 16 fiasco.

If the EU were treating us differently from other third countries, then I think we would have reason to complain but if not, what's the issue? If the EU showing their 'true colours' in applying their rules, that certainly not be a surprise, the EU is a rules based organisation Not everyone seems to think that, they think we are being punished by the EU.

I think there has been a degree of not recognising what the SM and CU gave us and that has only become clear now we are not part of it. It's the non-tariff barriers that are causing the pain. I'm not sure what the answer is - do we concentrate on customers with lower non-tariff barriers/standards going forward?

The whole article 16 thing was a mess, I agree. Trade heads got involved without consulting on the political ramifications. Happily it was nipped in the bud before it was enacted. I have read a good explainer as to why it happened by Tony Connelly, an Irish journalist and it was due to the fudge that is the Irish agreement and I kind of get it but the response, in Tony Connellys word himself 'was a horrendously disproportionate solution, sledgehammer meet nut etc, and we've seen the fall out'

nomadking 05-02-2021 20:02

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
The whole point of any deal is to avoid everything that is required by everybody else that is not part of any deal. Either we have some sort of a deal with the EU, or we're to be treated as anybody else. Which is it?

Any difficulties and complications are at the behest of the EU, especially Ireland strangely enough.

1andrew1 05-02-2021 20:38

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36069557)
If the EU were treating us differently from other third countries, then I think we would have reason to complain but if not, what's the issue? If the EU showing their 'true colours' in applying their rules, that certainly not be a surprise, the EU is a rules based organisation Not everyone seems to think that, they think we are being punished by the EU.

I think there has been a degree of not recognising what the SM and CU gave us and that has only become clear now we are not part of it. It's the non-tariff barriers that are causing the pain. I'm not sure what the answer is - do we concentrate on customers with lower non-tariff barriers/standards going forward?

Agreed. At the moment we're seeing people struggling to rationalise the logical consequences of what leaving the EU actually means. Some may have read in their newspapers that EU membership generates lots of red tape. So as EU countries are now treating us correctly as a third country, how can they rationalise such behaviour. Perhaps as the EU perhaps being difficult or perhaps even punishing us?

People have grown used to the lack of bureacuracy that being in the single market and customs union provided. They don't realise it was one of the benefits of EU membership and not something a country automatically enjoys.

I think technology has its part to play but the extra costs and delays generated are damaging. There's also the competitiveness factor. If you're based in France, you can grow outside your home country quite easily just by expanding your existing infrastructure. If in the UK, once you want to export to Europe, things go up a notch and you might be looking for EU warehousing. The long-term consequence could see smaller UK companies being picked off by European ones as the UK companies have decided against that bigger leap.

Mad Max 05-02-2021 20:46

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Always looking for the positives eh, Andrew.;)

Hugh 05-02-2021 20:51

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36069579)
Always looking for the positives eh, Andrew.;)

Reality doesn’t care about anyone’s politics...

Sephiroth 05-02-2021 21:20

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36069582)
Reality doesn’t care about anyone’s politics...

Like the reality of the EU's behaviour on Article 16 & vaccines isn't steeped in politics?


1andrew1 05-02-2021 22:46

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36069579)
Always looking for the positives eh, Andrew.;)

Always. Which is why I was the first to post the positive news story about Nissan.
But sometimes negative. Like when I posted the damning - against the EU - La Republica interview with the head of AstraZenecca.
But we need to acknowledge that for a lot of smaller businesses trying to trade with the EU at the moment can be tough. That's due to our third country status. No amount of back-slapping over vaccine procurement changes this.

Mad Max 06-02-2021 13:50

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36069588)
Like the reality of the EU's behaviour on Article 16 & vaccines isn't steeped in politics?


Well said...:clap::clap:

Paddy1 06-02-2021 14:27

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36069588)
Like the reality of the EU's behaviour on Article 16 & vaccines isn't steeped in politics?


What is the EUs behaviour on Article 16? At worst, they seem to have threatened to trigger it but didn't. How is this any different to what Boris has previously done and continues to do?

I think there is some confusion in the general media over what actually happened. Even if you don't subscribe to the explanation that it was a draft paper that was never enacted, triggering Article 16 requires them to notify the joint committee immediately and a week long period of consultation to be initiated.

We are not in a week long period of consultation and as far as I know, the joint committee were never informed so it was never triggered.

Chris 06-02-2021 14:33

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paddy1 (Post 36069654)
What is the EUs behaviour on Article 16? At worst, they seem to have threatened to trigger it but didn't. How is this any different to what Boris has previously done and continues to do?

I think there is some confusion in the general media over what actually happened. Even if you don't subscribe to the explanation that it was a draft paper that was never enacted, triggering Article 16 requires them to notify the joint committee immediately and a week long period of consultation to be initiated.

We are not in a week long period of consultation and as far as I know, the joint committee were never informed so it was never triggered.

Discussion of what technically did or did not happen is at best red herring, and at worse a rather craven exercise in apologetics. If you want to understand the EU’s intent, and its likely consequences, simply look first at the reaction of the Irish government, whose interests the EU is supposed to have at heart, then add to it the reactions of the British government and every political party in Northern Ireland, unionist and republican alike.

nomadking 06-02-2021 14:47

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paddy1 (Post 36069654)
What is the EUs behaviour on Article 16? At worst, they seem to have threatened to trigger it but didn't. How is this any different to what Boris has previously done and continues to do?

I think there is some confusion in the general media over what actually happened. Even if you don't subscribe to the explanation that it was a draft paper that was never enacted, triggering Article 16 requires them to notify the joint committee immediately and a week long period of consultation to be initiated.

We are not in a week long period of consultation and as far as I know, the joint committee were never informed so it was never triggered.

The regulation was actually issued. How could it be a draft paper when it was due to start to be enforced the next day? Because it didn't start until the 30th, they had the chance to stop it from being enforced. Still leaves the matter of having to inform the Joint Committee, and the one month's notice required.
Quote:

(16) Exports of goods from Northern Ireland to other parts of the United Kingdom cannot
be restricted by Union law unless this is strictly required by international obligations
of the Union. Therefore, movements of goods covered by this Regulation between the
Union and Northern Ireland should be treated as exports. Whilst quantitative
restrictions on exports are prohibited between the Union and Northern Ireland, in
accordance with Article 5 (5) of the Protocol on Ireland/Northern Ireland, this is
justified as a safeguard measure pursuant to Article 16 of that Protocol in order to
avert serious societal difficulties due to a lack of supply threatening to disturb the
orderly implementation of the vaccination campaigns in the Member States.
...
This Regulation shall be binding in its entirety and directly applicable in all Member States.
Done at Brussels, 29.1.2021
For the Commission
The President
Ursula VON DER LEYEN


Sephiroth 06-02-2021 14:49

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paddy1 (Post 36069654)
What is the EUs behaviour on Article 16? At worst, they seem to have threatened to trigger it but didn't. How is this any different to what Boris has previously done and continues to do?

I think there is some confusion in the general media over what actually happened. Even if you don't subscribe to the explanation that it was a draft paper that was never enacted, triggering Article 16 requires them to notify the joint committee immediately and a week long period of consultation to be initiated.

We are not in a week long period of consultation and as far as I know, the joint committee were never informed so it was never triggered.

I've no idea why you let yourself come across as a sort
of EU defender.

What the EU tried to do is well reported, e.g.: https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...diplomatic-row

Quote:

Brussels has been forced into a humiliating U-turn in the face of outrage in London and Dublin after seeking to trigger a Brexit deal clause to establish border controls on vaccine doses moving into Northern Ireland from the Republic.

The European commission was forced to backtrack on its plan to effectively erect a vaccine border on the island of Ireland after both Boris Johnson and the Irish taoiseach, Micheál Martin, spoke personally to its president, Ursula von der Leyen.

EU sources said it had acted “in error” but the crisis highlighted the growing political furore over the lack of vaccine supply and tensions with the UK.
They didn't indicate that they would initiate the joint committee process and gave the clear impression that they weren't going to but intended acting unlawfully in terms of the Trade Deal./rish Protocol.

We all know this and you're the only member of the forum so far to appear to defend the EU's high handed action that they were forced to withdraw.



Paddy1 06-02-2021 17:58

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36069655)
Discussion of what technically did or did not happen is at best red herring, and at worse a rather craven exercise in apologetics. If you want to understand the EU’s intent, and its likely consequences, simply look first at the reaction of the Irish government, whose interests the EU is supposed to have at heart, then add to it the reactions of the British government and every political party in Northern Ireland, unionist and republican alike.

Is it though? I recognise and understand the reaction to the suggestion that they pull the kind of stunt they were obviously intending to, at some level. The reaction of all other parties to the agreement makes it obvious it would have been a bad move on their part. I'm simply question what the actually did.

Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36069657)
The regulation was actually issued. How could it be a draft paper when it was due to start to be enforced the next day? Because it didn't start until the 30th, they had the chance to stop it from being enforced. Still leaves the matter of having to inform the Joint Committee, and the one month's notice required.

I'm not sure it was. Having read the actual text of the Article and supporting Annex 7 which details the actual procedure to be followed (it's disturbingly short), there is no take-backsies clause and it states that the initiating party will "without delay notify the <other party>" and "immediately notify enter into consultations". None of this is happening. I've no idea where your quoted text is from. Link?

[QUOTE=Sephiroth;36069658]I've no idea why you let yourself come across as a sort
of EU defender.

What the EU tried to do is well reported, e.g.: https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...diplomatic-row

They didn't indicate that they would initiate the joint committee process and gave the clear impression that they weren't going to but intended acting unlawfully in terms of the Trade Deal./rish Protocol.

We all know this and you're the only member of the forum so far to appear to defend the EU's high handed action that they were forced to withdraw.


This is exactly the kind of thing I'm questioning. Depending on your choice of news source, they either triggered it and rowed back (not provided for in the annex) or threatened it, whether deliberately or accidentally through a lesser bod not realising the implications. They can't not initiate the joint committee process because, at least from my reading, that is the mechanism for triggering Article 16. IANAL though and happy to be corrected. I'm not defending their actions or intent, just trying to determine what they actually did and from my reading of the actual Article 16 and Annex 7, I don't think they did.

For reference, the Protocol can be read in full here.

nomadking 06-02-2021 18:15

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
[QUOTE=Paddy1;36069677]Is it though? I recognise and understand the reaction to the suggestion that they pull the kind of stunt they were obviously intending to, at some level. The reaction of all other parties to the agreement makes it obvious it would have been a bad move on their part. I'm simply question what the actually did.



I'm not sure it was. Having read the actual text of the Article and supporting Annex 7 which details the actual procedure to be followed (it's disturbingly short), there is no take-backsies clause and it states that the initiating party will "without delay notify the <other party>" and "immediately notify enter into consultations". None of this is happening. I've no idea where your quoted text is from. Link?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36069658)
I've no idea why you let yourself come across as a sort
of EU defender.

What the EU tried to do is well reported, e.g.: https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...diplomatic-row

They didn't indicate that they would initiate the joint committee process and gave the clear impression that they weren't going to but intended acting unlawfully in terms of the Trade Deal./rish Protocol.

We all know this and you're the only member of the forum so far to appear to defend the EU's high handed action that they were forced to withdraw.


This is exactly the kind of thing I'm questioning. Depending on your choice of news source, they either triggered it and rowed back (not provided for in the annex) or threatened it, whether deliberately or accidentally through a lesser bod not realising the implications. They can't not initiate the joint committee process because, at least from my reading, that is the mechanism for triggering Article 16. IANAL though and happy to be corrected. I'm not defending their actions or intent, just trying to determine what they actually did and from my reading of the actual Article 16 and Annex 7, I don't think they did.

For reference, the Protocol can be read in full here.

Quote:

PROCEDURES REFERRED TO IN ARTICLE 16(3)
1. Where the Union or the United Kingdom is considering taking safeguard measures under Article 16(1) of this Protocol, it shall, without delay, notify the Union or the United Kingdom, as the case may be, through the Joint Committee and shall provide all relevant information.
2. The Union and the United Kingdom shall immediately enter into consultations in the Joint Committee with a view to finding a commonly acceptable solution.
3. The Union or the United Kingdom, as the case may be, may not take safeguard measures until 1 month has elapsed after the date of notification under point 1, unless the consultation procedure under point 2 has been concluded before the expiration of the state limit. When exceptional circumstances requiring immediate action exclude prior examination, the Union or the United Kingdom, as the case may be, may apply forthwith the protective measures strictly necessary to remedy the situation.
Where else did you think I "cut and pasted" it from in my post #251?
I also highlighted "If the application of this Protocol leads to ...", meaning any effect has to already be happening and will continue to happen. It's not meant to be for unlikely hypotheticals. It's not a case of "might lead to...".

Paddy1 07-02-2021 12:15

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36069679)
PROCEDURES REFERRED TO IN ARTICLE 16(3)
1. Where the Union or the United Kingdom is considering taking safeguard measures under Article 16(1) of this Protocol, it shall, without delay, notify the Union or the United Kingdom, as the case may be, through the Joint Committee and shall provide all relevant information.
2. The Union and the United Kingdom shall immediately enter into consultations in the Joint Committee with a view to finding a commonly acceptable solution.
3. The Union or the United Kingdom, as the case may be, may not take safeguard measures until 1 month has elapsed after the date of notification under point 1, unless the consultation procedure under point 2 has been concluded before the expiration of the state limit. When exceptional circumstances requiring immediate action exclude prior examination, the Union or the United Kingdom, as the case may be, may apply forthwith the protective measures strictly necessary to remedy the situation.


Did notification take place? Is there a consultation?


Considering is a very ambiguous word here. Either side will have positions that they might take. I don't think that means they have to inform the other party until that position becomes policy. Boris is considering exactly the same thing. Has he notified the EU?


Yes, they put their position up on their web site, as they do with lots of documentation that has been drafted. They don't just post policy. There's no doubt it was a consideration to trigger Article 16 but no action has taken place to initiate it.





Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36069679)
Where else did you think I "cut and pasted" it from in my post #251?
I also highlighted "If the application of this Protocol leads to ...", meaning any effect has to already be happening and will continue to happen. It's not meant to be for unlikely hypotheticals. It's not a case of "might lead to...".


There is no process in progress that can currently lead to anything as there is no consultation taking place.

nomadking 07-02-2021 13:20

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paddy1 (Post 36069740)
Did notification take place? Is there a consultation?

Considering is a very ambiguous word here. Either side will have positions that they might take. I don't think that means they have to inform the other party until that position becomes policy. Boris is considering exactly the same thing. Has he notified the EU?

Yes, they put their position up on their web site, as they do with lots of documentation that has been drafted. They don't just post policy. There's no doubt it was a consideration to trigger Article 16 but no action has taken place to initiate it.

There is no process in progress that can currently lead to anything as there is no consultation taking place.

The impact of the protocol itself is required to have had an actual impact, not article 16 in isolation. Article 16 does not say "If the application of this Article leads to", it says "Protocol". The protocol is meant to enable free flow of goods between NI and Ireland, so Article 16 could be read in this instance as "If the free flow of goods between NI and Ireland leads to the movement of EU-owned vaccines moving to NI". Again, the "leads to" states that it must already be happening, it does not say "might lead to". Article 16 cannot be invoked purely on the basis of a hypothetical example, and an unlikely one at that.
The much more likely hypothetical example, would've been that UK vaccines would've been taken from NI to Ireland.
The regulation is headed "Brussels, 29.1.2021 , SEC(2021) 71 final".
The regulation wasn't just about invoking article 16, but the whole control of vaccines to other countries, and not just the UK.
Action was taken to start it. How else were the EU countries that were going to have to implement it, starting within a matter of hours. They were going to have to implement it on the 30th, and the regulation was issued on the 29th.
The invoking of Article 16 was never publicly raised beforehand, only the possibility of tracking and control of vaccine shipments.

Nobody at all was talking about invoking article 16 in connection with vaccines. That was quickly shut down after people found out about it after the regulation was actually issued. Nobody was able to shut it down before the 29th.

Paddy1 07-02-2021 22:43

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
As I replied to @Sephiroth, I'm not defending the actions or intentions of the EU regarding the movement of vaccines. I find the idea of cutting off the supply of medical supplies to anyone obnoxious.

I was simply trying to determine whether or not Article 16 had been triggered and it seems you're saying it wasn't.

The reason I was trying to nail this down is that a lot of the media state, or at least give the impression, that they did trigger it and for instance, therefore it's now perfectly acceptable for Boris to trigger it. It's the whole basis of the DUPs Trigger Article 16 petition that's doing the rounds.

The misinformation around, particularly on our local media and social media is astounding at the minute.

Edit to add, I did misread your quote which stated "protocol leads to" so thank you for the correction.

Sephiroth 07-02-2021 23:32

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
I took another look at the Protocol. I believe that the EC acted under the emergency provisions allowing immediate implementation of the announced measure.

It seems to me that they did actually trigger it and very quickly reversed that. I'm obviously willing to be corrected.

As to Boris triggering Article 16, he would be being advised to provided notice (rather than going for immediacy) so they can get round the table to test the Joint Committee mechanism. If necessary he can implement a week later (I think).


nomadking 07-02-2021 23:51

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paddy1 (Post 36069791)
As I replied to @Sephiroth, I'm not defending the actions or intentions of the EU regarding the movement of vaccines. I find the idea of cutting off the supply of medical supplies to anyone obnoxious.

I was simply trying to determine whether or not Article 16 had been triggered and it seems you're saying it wasn't.

The reason I was trying to nail this down is that a lot of the media state, or at least give the impression, that they did trigger it and for instance, therefore it's now perfectly acceptable for Boris to trigger it. It's the whole basis of the DUPs Trigger Article 16 petition that's doing the rounds.

The misinformation around, particularly on our local media and social media is astounding at the minute.

Edit to add, I did misread your quote which stated "protocol leads to" so thank you for the correction.

The invoking of article 16 was part and parcel of the same regulation to track and control movement of vaccines.
Guardian
Quote:

The EU’s aborted attempt to trigger article 16 of the Northern Ireland protocol could be a blessing in disguise for Northern Ireland.
Its decision to pull the emergency cord on an agreement that had introduced regulatory checks on some products travelling between Britain and Northern Ireland without notifiying Dublin or London was quickly reversed.
BBC
Quote:

It comes after the EU reversed a decision to trigger an emergency provision in the Brexit deal to control Covid vaccine exports from the EU.
Mr Gove said the bloc had recognised it "made a mistake" in triggering the measure, which could have seen checks at the Irish border.
RTE
Quote:

The UK cabinet minister has demanded sweeping and swift changes to the Northern Ireland Protocol as the fallout continues from last week's move by the Commission to trigger Article 16 of the Protocol over the issue of exports of Covid-19 vaccines.
Irish Post
Quote:

The EU attempted to trigger Article 16 in response to an ongoing row over supplies of the Oxford-AstraZeneca Vaccine.
Irish Times
Quote:

However, amid a row over vaccine delivery shortfalls, the EU on January 29th invoked article 16 of the Northern Ireland protocol which allows the EU or UK to unilaterally suspend aspects of its operations if either side considers that aspect to be causing “economic, societal or environmental difficulties”.
The European Commission reversed the move shortly afterwards.
The mechanism, which was created as a temporary measure, is only supposed to be triggered in the face of “serious” problems, but there is no definition of what “serious” entails.
The Journal(Ireland)
Quote:

After invoking Article 16 to stop the unimpeded flow of vaccines from the European bloc into Northern Ireland, the EU later backtracked, following condemnation from Dublin, London and Belfast.
4 "triggers" and 2 "invokes" from 6 different non-anti-EU sources. They seem to be in agreement that it was in force and due to be implemented the next day, ie just hours away.

Any invoking of article 16 by the UK, wouldn't be based upon being anti-EU, but of helping NI and indeed Ireland itself.

jonbxx 08-02-2021 10:07

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36069796)
Any invoking of article 16 by the UK, wouldn't be based upon being anti-EU, but of helping NI and indeed Ireland itself.

There is a huge loophole at the moment when it comes to exporting pharmaceuticals and that is the NI situation. As it stands, from the 1st January, you can't export certain drugs to the EEA. The list of drugs is based on exceptional need in the UK and can be seen here. Interestingly, COVID vaccines aren't on the list..

BUT

Northern Ireland is part of the EU Single Market for all intents and purposes so, in theory, you could send UK restricted medicines to Northern Ireland and then freely ship them to the EU

Sephiroth 08-02-2021 10:18

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36069805)
There is a huge loophole at the moment when it comes to exporting pharmaceuticals and that is the NI situation. As it stands, from the 1st January, you can't export certain drugs to the EEA. The list of drugs is based on exceptional need in the UK and can be seen here. Interestingly, COVID vaccines aren't on the list..

BUT

Northern Ireland is part of the EU Single Market for all intents and purposes so, in theory, you could send UK restricted medicines to Northern Ireland and then freely ship them to the EU

Isn't the problem that anything going to NI needs customs paperwork so that on the surface at least, ultimate destination is declared? That just leaves bootlegging as the risk.

jonbxx 08-02-2021 12:59

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36069807)
Isn't the problem that anything going to NI needs customs paperwork so that on the surface at least, ultimate destination is declared? That just leaves bootlegging as the risk.

That's what I am not clear on. Before 1st January, exports outside of the single market were restricted for listed drugs. Now they are restricted from export from the UK. However, is there a restriction from Northern Ireland to the Republic?

1andrew1 08-02-2021 13:42

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36069833)
That's what I am not clear on. Before 1st January, exports outside of the single market were restricted for listed drugs. Now they are restricted from export from the UK. However, is there a restriction from Northern Ireland to the Republic?

There can't be a restriction from NI to the Republic as there's no physical border and therefore checks to ensure such restrictions are being applied.

---------- Post added at 12:42 ---------- Previous post was at 12:14 ----------

This does not make pleasant reading. I hope Michael Gove steps up to the challenge.
Quote:

Exports to the EU have plummeted by 68% since Brexit

The Road Haulage Association has criticised a lack of help from cabinet minister Michael Gove.

The volume of exports going through British ports to the EU fell by 68% last month compared with January last year, according to research.
The Road Haulage Association's chief executive Richard Burnett told The Observer that the organisation had also found 65-75% of vehicles arriving from the EU were returning to the bloc empty.

This was due to a lack of goods, delays in the UK, and because British companies had stopped exporting to the continent.
Mr Burnett said it was "deeply frustrating and annoying that ministers have chosen not to listen to the industry and experts" who have consistently called for more government consultation.
https://news.sky.com/story/exports-t...rexit-12211169

TheDaddy 08-02-2021 15:24

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36069837)
There can't be a restriction from NI to the Republic as there's no physical border and therefore checks to ensure such restrictions are being applied.

---------- Post added at 12:42 ---------- Previous post was at 12:14 ----------

This does not make pleasant reading. I hope Michael Gove steps up to the challenge.

https://news.sky.com/story/exports-t...rexit-12211169

You'd expect imports from the EU to be down to but I bet they're not or it's negligible at best

1andrew1 08-02-2021 15:43

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36069854)
You'd expect imports from the EU to be down to but I bet they're not or it's negligible at best

EU exports to the UK are not being checked until July.

There is also now a requirement for British exporters to have a named EU-based importer on their goods. This only comes into effect the other way round on 1st January 2022 for EU countries exporting to the UK.

TheDaddy 08-02-2021 16:20

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36069855)
EU exports to the UK are not being checked until July.

There is also now a requirement for British exporters to have a named EU-based importer on their goods. This only comes into effect the other way round on 1st January 2022 for EU countries exporting to the UK.

So they're not down then...

Angua 08-02-2021 16:41

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36069861)
So they're not down then...

UK exports to the EU are down 68%.

What may not be down are the imports from the EU to the UK..

pip08456 08-02-2021 18:03

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Angua (Post 36069863)
UK exports to the EU are down 68%.

What may not be down are the imports from the EU to the UK..

The Port of Dover would disagree.

Quote:

A month on since the end of the Brexit transition period, the Port of Dover is pleased to already be welcoming over 90% of the freight traffic volumes typical of this time of year following the significant stockpiling experienced before Christmas.
http://www.doverport.co.uk/about/new...the-por/13575/

1andrew1 08-02-2021 18:17

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36069861)
So they're not down then...

Well, according to the report, the lorries from the EU normally return with British goods on their return trips. However, 65-75% of the lorries are returning with nothing! So ports will see the same numbers of lorries but fewer will be carrying goods in both directions.

mrmistoffelees 08-02-2021 18:37

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36069871)

Unless you’re extrapolating the traffic from
Dover to be representative all ports (which is what the article refers to) then I fail to see the relevance ?

pip08456 08-02-2021 19:48

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36069878)
Unless you’re extrapolating the traffic from
Dover to be representative all ports (which is what the article refers to) then I fail to see the relevance ?

Dover is the main conduit for EU exports/imports.

1andrew1 09-02-2021 10:23

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
A bit more than temporary disruption. This is not the levelling up the north of England was promised. The owner tells it straight. "“All we have had is bullshit from the government, promises that haven’t been kept."
Quote:

Yorkshire lobster exporter says Brexit costs have forced it to close

Government has not been straight with fishing industry, says Sam Baron of Baron Shellfish in Bridlington

A lobster exporter who is winding up his 60-year-old family business has blamed the government for failing to be honest about Brexit red tape and hidden costs.

Sam Baron, who worked alongside his father to set up Baron Shellfish in Bridlington, east Yorkshire, said the government had failed to be straight with the fishing industry.

Industry experts said that Baron Shellfish, the first lobster-tank business in Europe’s largest shellfish port, appears to be the first big exporter to have announced its closure.

Speaking from Bridlington on Monday, where he is in the process of dismantling hundreds of lobster crates, Baron said: “All we have had is bullshit from the government, promises that haven’t been kept. I am winding up the business while I still have enough to pay redundancy to my staff.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics...s-forced-close

papa smurf 09-02-2021 10:34

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36069930)
A bit more than temporary disruption. This is not the levelling up the north of England was promised. The owner tells it straight. "“All we have had is bullshit from the government, promises that haven’t been kept."



https://www.theguardian.com/politics...s-forced-close

Like many people i like lobster and i love cheap lobster. have these people thought of the Uk market ie sell it cheep at home create a market for it..


These folk have right idea https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/c...ames-x80q6kxcg

1andrew1 09-02-2021 11:06

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36069935)
Like many people i like lobster and i love cheap lobster. have these people thought of the Uk market ie sell it cheep at home create a market for it..

These folk have right idea https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/c...ames-x80q6kxcg

Sell it cheap and you make a loss. And the UK market is smaller than the EU. They will have thought about these things over many sleepless nights. It's a big deal for a local family business to make its staff redundant.

Sephiroth 09-02-2021 11:13

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
For those beyond the paywall: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics...aign=DM1334686

Quote:

EU poised to reject two-year extension to Northern Ireland grace period

.... EU figures also accused the UK of exploiting an international backlash against Brussels over its aborted move to erect a hard vaccine border on the island of Ireland.
They are even further up themselves than calling their foreign minister the "High Representative".


papa smurf 09-02-2021 11:48

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36069937)
Sell it cheap and you make a loss. And the UK market is smaller than the EU. They will have thought about these things over many sleepless nights. It's a big deal for a local family business to make its staff redundant.

You can't ask for max price when there is no market for your fish, you need to find new markets and price accordingly.
Plus we are in lockdown so restaurants are shut.


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