![]() |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
:shrug: |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
that's perfectly clear then. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Hope this helps... |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Gtr Manchester has been in special measures since July. The new tier 2 would actually ease one of the things we have had to do. No visitors to our homes ibut we would be now able to meet in our gardens. SO having been in the equivilant to the new tier 2 for 3 months we are in a strong position to say that it won't work. Gtr Manchester has seen its levels rise week after week. to the point when schools and the universities came back on line the figures were spiraling to the highest in the country.
When the equivilant tier 2 didn't work why should we believe that, against medical advise/predictions, tier 3 will do any better to help the NHS. The only thing that will happen is that more companies will have to close becaue there is nothing in place to help them stay open and even more people will become unemployed. Gtr Manchester is not trying to score any points in the Party War. the Councillors, Mayors and MP come from all Parties. The people who live in Gtr Manchester are royally pissed off at the attitude of the Goverment who refuse to see that we want a better way to try to bring our figures down when we have already proved that their way will not work. Andy Burnham is not playing party politics he is fighting for his people's survival. This isn't about us wanting special treatment it's about us wanting a better option. Close everything for 2/3 weeks. Give England a chance to slow down the infection rates, stop making decisions based purely on how much help costs. Oh and mybe claw back some of the money paid out to their mates. I am not an economist or scientist and I have no political axe to grind. I just live in one of the Gtr Manchester Boroughs and I have had enough. |
Re: Coronavirus
What we NEED is an effective test and track system. One that is easily available within one's town.:mad:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
---------- Post added at 16:49 ---------- Previous post was at 16:48 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
---------- Post added at 17:20 ---------- Previous post was at 17:17 ---------- Quote:
These are likely to be older people who are more likely to be Tory voters. On the plus side, it might make people think it's not worth saving and they will spend it instead, which will help the economy. There again we may see people once again stuffing their savings in cash under their bed. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
I can explain it to you, but I can’t understand it for you... ;) ---------- Post added at 21:26 ---------- Previous post was at 21:25 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Inflation can erode that over time. Similarly so can economic growth (and tax receipts presumably - not in real terms economically but in practice for the budget). The question Governments really ask themselves is can they fund the cost of borrowing - the interest essentially. Inflation does erode the amount borrowed and Governments continue to throw more debt on top. Why? Because money now is worth more than money when it's due. Will we be ever unable to pay? Not for debt borrowed in pounds sterling, no. Because the Bank of England - the Central Bank - acts as the lender of last resort. UK GDP 2019: £2.21trn. Interest on Government debt £0.05trn. |
Re: Coronavirus
Good to see a company making an honest living and being rewarded for it in these difficult times. ;)
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
---------- Post added at 21:46 ---------- Previous post was at 21:46 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Quote:
Same applies here. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
I've since looked into this a little more. If we do go into negative interest rates, some banks have said that their systems cannot implement it and it doesn't look very good either, so they are more likely to recoup the money by increasing bank charges or reintroducing charges for running our current accounts. Those with mortgages etc would, in effect, start getting paid for their debt. These payments wouldn't be paid to them, but knocked off the mortgage/loan so that they pay back less than they borrowed. I wonder if the Government has had a word in the ear of the Bank of England to do this in order that they will be able to get rid of some of the debt that they have racked up? One of the first things Thatcher did in 1979 was to hike up interest rates. There were lots of complaints from individuals & industry; she retorted by saying that high interest rates are good for some people, namely retired people with savings. It must follow then that if this situation is reversed that the losers would be mainly pensioners, many who traditionally vote Tory. That's one downside to democracy, in order to stay in power Governments sometimes do what the people want instead of what's the sensible or correct thing to do. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
In regards to science, there is no science that shows anything other that lockdowns do nothing but delay the spread of the virus, that’s all. Things are on the up, but still compared to 6 months ago, we’re nowhere near. https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/healthcare It was predicated, and I posted it on here, that there would be no “second wave” on an equal magnitude to the first, but that there would be an initial wave followed by several Ripples. This is where we are. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
---------- Post added at 23:39 ---------- Previous post was at 23:32 ---------- Quote:
It’s a shame as I was briefly considering your posts credible but just a nudge or two away from what others thought. I’m not writing off the economy - the fact it is built upon a hollow core of driving people into population centres that people do not need to be in means it will die. Capitalism 101. If you don’t have a product worth selling nobody will buy. City centre offices and the property developers that stand behind them? Ouch. And if you had read and understood my posts to Old Boy there has never been a better time to borrow to invest in a new economy. You and Mrs. Pierre can keep your biscuit tin economics to yourselves then. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
You can try to make the system "idiot proof", but unfortunately there’s alway a bigger idiot. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
As soon as you give people a choice of options, there is always the chance of them choosing the wrong one... |
Re: Coronavirus
Ask any SAP Administrator...
|
Re: Coronavirus
Potentially, another politician has put himself above the law - Tony Blair :td:
[ Image removed, wayyyyy to big ] |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
I think that's wishful thinking seeing as we don't have vaccines for MERS or SARS, both corona viri, after 15-20 years.
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
https://theconversation.com/the-myst...e-other-137583 Quote:
https://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2019-12-19...s-saudi-arabia Also the work that was done for those is helping now https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_vaccine Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeremy_Farrar |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Leaked Canadian memo lays out future of world Covid response (allegedly).
Quote:
https://cairnsnews.org/2020/10/16/ca...mpression=true |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
There is something called the great reset but this isn't it and never going to happen.
|
Re: Coronavirus
Sunday 18th October.
Quote:
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
I abandoned a shopping trip to Tesco when I saw the crowds of students milling about outside the entrance.
I went back later and security had dispersed them, but once inside I encountered large groups of them chatting and blocking the aisles. :mad::mad::mad::mad::mad::mad: |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
They've been taught all about their rights but nothing about responsibilities. Mind you if you'd asked them why they weren't observing social distancing they'd probably say it's because some guy drove up the M1 months ago. :rolleyes: |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
A Tory Councillor and Doctor destroys the myths of herd immunity in an article in the right-wing Spectator magazine.
Some snippets Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Thats nonsense, of course there is a precedent, thats why vaccines work at all.
I'm sure the odd person may get measles twice, but its not common, and you dont see measles epidemics. Herd immunity does not mean everyone is immune, it means the majority are, enough to stop it spreading widely. |
Re: Coronavirus
Smallpox has been eradicated by a process of vaccination. In the past, whenever a local outbreak occurred, a team rushed out to vaccinate the locals. As long as those locals remained local, and didn't go far, then the potential for spreading was limited.
The purpose of lockdowns is not connected to herd immunity. With lockdowns, the idea is that the virus runs out of available new hosts and dies out. It doesn't lie dormant for years, lying in wait. Various infectious diseases in the past have disappeared eg Spanish Flu. How did that happen? |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-he...-idUKKBN25L22T Quote:
Quote:
https://www.frontiersin.org/articles...019.00098/full Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
I suspect that the way measles and other diseases are still with us is because of the cult of antivaccers.
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
The UK lost its 'measles free' status last year |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
MMR is 99% effective, which means one in every 100 people is relying on herd immunity to be protected against measles and the others, because the vaccine didn’t protect them directly. If a further 10 people per 100 haven’t been vaccinated, then with an R rate as high as 12-18, measles will find its way to all of those who weren’t vaccinated and also those for whom the vaccine didn’t work, fairly easily. |
Re: Coronavirus
Wales in LOCKDOWN: 'Stay home' order issued as shops to shut in COVID-19 circuit breaker
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/13...irus-latest-vn |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
So we now have both adults and children at risk of catching and spreading diseases for which we have safe and effective vaccines. If the same behaviour and views hold true for any Covid-19 vaccine or vaccines then I don't know how we get out of this successfully. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Not everybody needs to be vaccinated only at risk groups and the vulnerable. Only 15m are vaccinated against Flu, and for the vast, vast, vast, majority of the population the virus is no more dangerous. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
At any age, the mortality due to COVID is higher than influenza according to those numbers. Under 65s have a 4x higher risk of dying of COVID than influenza or pneumonia. The risk of course is low so 4x not much still isn't much |
Re: Coronavirus
Tuberculosis vaccination stopped in the UK as case numbers were low. Now the numbers are rising in some areas.
|
Re: Coronavirus
COVID-19 has a tendency to decimate the lungs, in a way "regular" flu doesn't.
Link Quote:
Quote:
---------- Post added at 17:36 ---------- Previous post was at 17:35 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
I read that report and I couldn't really work out what it saying. This other FoI statement from the ONS for 1 month only advises that 90% of victims had underlying pre-conditions. Anyway, the point was, going back to the original issue was that the whole population will not need to be vaccinated only the vulnerable and at risk groups, same as for flu. ---------- Post added at 19:22 ---------- Previous post was at 18:24 ---------- Unfortunately, I think what we are seeing now is Leaders (Wales) trying to out do each other. Ooh look how good a leader I am going to shut the country down, when the number of people on ventilators hasn’t changed for, over 3 weeks it has fluctuated between 26 - 34. Also what we’re going to see is even more over-dramatising Of the situation as the politicians and science experts try Not to look foolish for over-reacting. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Under 65 3.6x 65-69 4.1x 70-74 3.8x 75-79 3.6x 80-84 3x 85+ 1.7x I picked the 5 year average as 2020 is quite a mild influenza year. This does suggest that COVID is deadlier than flu. 'Bugger all' might be a bit of a stretch for under 65s. A death rate of 16.4 per 100,000 is 5093 deaths. That is 5093 individual tragedies. I do agree with your point though - the most vulnerable should definitely be the first ones to get the vaccine alongside health and care workers to prevent spread the the vulnerable who have not yet had the vaccine or the vaccine didn't take. Hopefully any vaccine will be effective. If the rates of acquired immunity are low, more people will need to vaccinated eventually to get a herd protection |
Re: Coronavirus
Any figures will be "skewed" by the lockdown and other precautions being taken. That will obviously have reduced any illness and mortality figures, compared to people carrying on as normal.
You just have to look at the number of instances from around the World, where gatherings have resulted in deaths, that in normal times would've just made them sick with regular flu. If it was the same as regular flu, then it would've gone unnoticed and hospitals wouldn't be filling up fast.:rolleyes: |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
One for the next PMQs.
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
There is an exemption for chauffeur-driven cars, but Downing Street said it had advised all its ministers to wear coverings. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Quote:
You Mean like this? 2008 https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/a...s-Britain.html Or as predicted in 2018? https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/201...eason-history/ Or like it did in 2016? https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/n...test-8pnmdpdfx Or as advised in 2014? https://www.theguardian.com/society/...d-flu-pandemic Yep, hardly noticeable. |
Re: Coronavirus
Andrew must spend an awful lot of time looking for stuff with which to smear the government.
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Another lawbreaker ?
Gary Lineker hypocrisy: BBC star flouts COVID rules as he shops in M&S without face mask The outspoken former footballer was pictured wandering around Marks & Spencer in Barnes, south-west London, on Sunday without a mask - after months of lecturing others to do just that. https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/13...-face-covering |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...e-covered.html https://www.express.co.uk/news/polit...s-latest-no-10 https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics...er-government/ Bunch of lefties... |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
You stated/implied that the flu goes by “unnoticed” in the UK. I simply proved that wasn’t the case. No more, no less - you may move on. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Nomad said, which you subsequently cheerleaded Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Everyone knows seasonal flu happens and it has some impact on healthcare provision. Indeed, capacity is to a greater or lesser extent built around winter flu season. If it was just a seasonal flu it’d have had a routine impact. “Unnoticed” I took to clearly mean for the average observer considering the ordinary impacts of these things on their day to day lives. I’m not sure the people in Wuhan “didn’t notice” the impact or Coronavirus. Or those in Northern Italy. I’m not sure digging up scaremongering stories from tabloids overstating season flu is equivalent to Coronavirus. Indeed, the Daily Mail assures me each year that it will be the coldest winter on record, with the warmest heatwaves ever, the odd hurricane and 8 feet of snowfall each year. I’d not use them as a barometer. ---------- Post added at 22:16 ---------- Previous post was at 22:12 ---------- Quote:
It turns out we don’t have a better healthcare system than China. Multi-generational households. The floor is yours Pierre. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
You subscribe to the view that if they're Conservative they're exempt from such criticism. Sorry, I will continue to call such politicians out, regardless of their political party. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Quote:
That was said because we were talking about the U.K. and the NHS, and he referenced France. Which was irrelevant to the discussion......nothing more. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
That means our test, trace, isolate has to be better, our healthcare system has to have more capacity and better treatments or we have greater restrictions that are being strictly adhered to. I’m not seeing any evidence of these things. Cases steadily rising, hospital cases steadily rising, deaths steadily rising. The trajectory is inevitable. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Lots to unpack here!
Quote:
Quote:
Even so, I agree there is an increase, but it in no way correlates to the infection metric. Not even close to April. The curve is a magnitude flatter. Quote:
It currently has a mortality rate of 0.5%, which is obviously higher than the true figure as the majority of people either don’t get tested or don’t even know they have/had it. But at 0.5% it’s as deadly as none of the attached. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...and-month.html |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Will that be the hundreds of thousands of deaths that you predicted? |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
But I'm happy to take you at your word. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Those conditions also aren’t all contagious :D ---------- Post added 20-10-2020 at 00:00 ---------- Previous post was 19-10-2020 at 23:54 ---------- Quote:
Although in part that depends on staying inside the resource capacity of the NHS. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
OK, then... :) |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
But it’s not like seasonal flu - it kills more, and it could have longer lasting ongoing health issues.
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
---------- Post added at 10:31 ---------- Previous post was at 10:30 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
I remember the health experts shouting and crying that smoking & drinking was a naughty thing to be doing - and a bad influence on children who saw their parents indulge.
Now they've successfully banned smoking virtually everywhere, and killed off the pub trade, I wonder what they think of the new scenario where everyone that does smoke & drink are doing so at home in front of their kids? *fills glass, lights ciggy, goes back to staring out of the window* :tiptoe: |
Re: Coronavirus
If parents are smoking in the house with their children then health experts probably aren't happy but there isn't much they do can about it. Short of banning it all together then the reasonability lies with the parents surely?
|
Re: Coronavirus
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
everyone has one;) |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Because it's a novel virus there is by definition no immunity (ignoring the T-Cell theory for a moment) How many might seasonal flu kill if there was no immunity and 15-20M weren't vaccinated annually? ---------- Post added at 12:25 ---------- Previous post was at 12:23 ---------- Quote:
Then the police will come a knocking when someone makes a complaint against you. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
I know what you're saying, that this is a new virus entirely and even/when it evolves it'll become like the flu in that our experiences of dealing with the previous version of the virus will allow our immune systems to adapt to it's evolved strains quicker. But I don't think they know that for sure yet nor the long term ramifications of the virus. The reports of 'long COVID' and people having evidence of damage from it even if they were asymptomatic are not fully understood yet. Either way it's going to be around forever it seems but the question is if it's better for all of us that first exposure is done via a vaccine rather than contracting the virus proper. Even if we do give up and try a controlled spread as opposed to halting the virus then that'll likely involve trying to keep it very low over the winter months and opening up in spring again to avoid the flu season. There are still so many unknowns I don't think you can fault the government for taking the cautious approach. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
Comparing the death rates of two viruses. One that we have a vaccine for and one that we don't - now that's nonsensical. |
Re: Coronavirus
Quote:
---------- Post added at 13:00 ---------- Previous post was at 12:58 ---------- Quote:
Nobody would ever countenance not distributing a flu vaccine. It's generally accepted in the civilised world we try to improve treatment outcomes. ---------- Post added at 13:02 ---------- Previous post was at 13:00 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Coronavirus
thank the lord the pandemic is over.
I mean it's no longer a public health issue, just a financial settlement issue. |
All times are GMT +1. The time now is 04:07. |
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
All Posts and Content are © Cable Forum