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-   -   [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33700839)

Hugh 18-01-2016 17:44

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35817933)
Can anyone explain to me why Scotland are apparently so pro-EU?

ABE...

(Anybody But England)

roughbeast 18-01-2016 19:18

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35817933)
Can anyone explain to me why Scotland are apparently so pro-EU?

Perhaps it is because they are more immune to the decades of misinformation and EU myths dished out by the Murdoch press and The Daily Mail. Scottish cynicism about the media will have been a factor in their immunity. Meanwhile south of the border we have been groomed to the point that 50% of us now want out. So relentless has been the campaign that lies are now accepted as truth

There will be an element of ABE about this too, but they wouldn't get their wish for quite a few years after Scottish independence, because they would have to reapply to join the EU as a new nation.

Under the protective wing of the EU they have also benefited proportionally more from EU funding than England, e.g. through the Regional Development Fund. This could well be a factor.

TheDaddy 18-01-2016 19:30

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ntluser (Post 35817884)
As has been suggested before Cameron is going to attempt to convince us that he has extracted major concessions and that we should stay in the EU in the same way that George Osborne tried to con us that he had got the EU to reduce our contribution when in fact he had simply used the UK rebate to cut the cost.

The sad truth is that the Conservatives want to stay in the EU and are now trying to manage both the "YES" campaign and the "NO" campaign to ensure that we stay in. Indeed we now have the scaremongers telling us that leaving the EU will be a leap in the dark. We simply cannot trust the Conservatives to act in the national interest.

Another fact is that the meagre concessions that Cameron has gone for are only a fraction of what the people in the UK wanted.

Though there are trading advantages to staying in the EU which Cameron focuses on, there are considerable disadvantages which ordinary people focus on.

The disadvantages are:-

a) having no control over immigration from the EU and the benefit costs to out of work EU immigrants, not to mention the pressure put on the NHS, housing and schools. Immigrants with needed skills are important to the economy but we need to be able to control how many immigrants come in and who they are.

b) having no control over the financial aspects of the wasteful and ineffective gravy train lifestyle of politicians and civil servants working in the EU

c) being subject to EU laws which adversely affect the UK especially being unable to get rid of EU immigrants who commit crimes and other other problems arising from the EU's Human Rights Act..

d) being expected at some point to take part in financial union and possibly adopting the Euro in the future though admittedly that may be a long way off.

e) being expected to be a major contributor to the EU but being treated as the pariah of Europe and generally ignored because we seek to reform the EU's wasteful ways, though some of that can be put down to Cameron's arrogance and strategy

f) having to support countries like France who cannot secure their end of the Channel tunnel without financial aid from the UK or be expected to bolster up the Euro when the EU is in financial crisis

g) having to take in people from outside the EU because another member country of the EU has given them an EU passport.

h) the continous failure of the EU to produce accounts for at least the last 10 years and its failure to seek cheaper options to achieve the same ends

No doubt other forum members can think of reasons to leave the EU but in essence it is about the lessening ability of the UK to control what goes on within its borders and the dictatorial demands of the EU.

It will be interesting to hear what other forum members think and to see what happens between now and the EU referendum.

Unfortunately we'd have to abide by quite a bit of that even if we left. Point f is defiantly in our favour, as it stands we turn people away in France from trying to get here. Point c is mute as the echr isn't anything to do with the EU iirc as is point h as I thought the EU finances were audited and signed of since 2008?

techguyone 18-01-2016 19:53

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
One thing in our favour is voting apathy, older more mature people tend to vote more than our younger brethren, older people remember how the Common Market was conceived, and this isn't anything like it, we also remember the farce of the last referendum (about 5 minutes after we joined) I'd say we have a fighting chance of voting OUT

Osem 18-01-2016 21:30

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Well I certainly remember what the Common Market was supposed to be and it isn't the out of control behemoth which the EEC has morphed into.

Ignitionnet 18-01-2016 21:31

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by roughbeast (Post 35817947)
Perhaps it is because they are more immune to the decades of misinformation and EU myths dished out by the Murdoch press and The Daily Mail. Scottish cynicism about the media will have been a factor in their immunity. Meanwhile south of the border we have been groomed to the point that 50% of us now want out. So relentless has been the campaign that lies are now accepted as truth.

Hmm. I'm far from convinced that lies and propaganda come purely from the 'out' side.

If it's that cut and dry why are the only arguments I've heard so far in favour of staying in hyperbole and baseless claims regarding trade?

I read material from a bunch of people, including heavily from Labour MPs and MEPs, and none have made a persuasive case. All fear, doom and gloom. The exact same arguments that were brought out to try and get the UK into the Eurozone.

The Murdoch press are an easy target for sure, but I'm not convinced it's quite that simple. Indeed the hostility to some negative reports on the EU that can be heard south of the border makes me question this all the more.

roughbeast 18-01-2016 23:51

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35817989)
Hmm. I'm far from convinced that lies and propaganda come purely from the 'out' side.

If it's that cut and dry why are the only arguments I've heard so far in favour of staying in hyperbole and baseless claims regarding trade?

I read material from a bunch of people, including heavily from Labour MPs and MEPs, and none have made a persuasive case. All fear, doom and gloom. The exact same arguments that were brought out to try and get the UK into the Eurozone.

The Murdoch press are an easy target for sure, but I'm not convinced it's quite that simple. Indeed the hostility to some negative reports on the EU that can be heard south of the border makes me question this all the more.

I am sure I will return to the trade thing again, but for fear of going over it all again right now I shall just stick to the myth thing.

It really is worth trawling through the EU myths site, not least because all official EU sites are bound in law to state facts accurately. Here you will find retorts to the bilge trotted out by the Europhobe press and politicians.

http://ec.europa.eu/unitedkingdom/blog/

Ignitionnet 19-01-2016 17:02

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by roughbeast (Post 35818021)
It really is worth trawling through the EU myths site, not least because all official EU sites are bound in law to state facts accurately. Here you will find retorts to the bilge trotted out by the Europhobe press and politicians.

http://ec.europa.eu/unitedkingdom/blog/

Thank you, although I either hadn't seen the claims mentioned in the first page of those or hadn't paid the claims much mind given I don't recall them.

Largely because I don't read the Express and don't take the Mail as gospel.

I'm not actually that interested in those claims and they aren't why I'm an 'outer'.

figgyburn 19-01-2016 19:44

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35817933)
Can anyone explain to me why Scotland are apparently so pro-EU?

I'm afraid scotland will be just like the vast majority of europe's members and will just suck on the brussels teat for ever more subsidies for voting for merkel and the rest of the loonies hare brained ideas.The snp have figured brussels will subsidise us more than westminister.They do not care about the eu's policies just give us more money.What idiots actually think unlimited immigration is a good idea?.That's working out well is it not?.l.It's in a hiatus over the winter but come sunnier days the migration march will start rolling again towards europe.The lunatics truly are running the asylum.I'm of an age that i can sit back and watch these clowns in action and feel sad for the youth of europe.What a world they are going to have in the coming years.

Chris 19-01-2016 20:01

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35817933)
Can anyone explain to me why Scotland are apparently so pro-EU?

They're not. Scotland is less pro-EU than most of the U.K. but not much more so than London.

Being sparsely populated, immigration and benefits abuse (which feeds the debate in England, even if it isn't the real reason we ought to be pushing for Out) doesn't really figure up here.

However, the SNPee has a major problem with any policy that is seen as being Tory, in that it is genetically hard-wired to be in opposition to it. The Nats are Europhiles because they see the Tories as Eurosceptics. Sadly, that is the infantilised state of Scottish politics these days.

Derek 20-01-2016 10:14

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35818124)
However, the SNPee has a major problem with any policy that is seen as being Tory, in that it is genetically hard-wired to be in opposition to it. The Nats are Europhiles because they see the Tories as Eurosceptics.

Always a good way to get a yesser confused (not especially hard I know) just get them to explain why one Union where Scotland has a voice and influence greater than it should is bad yet another where they would be very much a minor member with minuscule influence is good.

Osem 20-01-2016 11:03

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
I don't suppose the EU doing away with the Dublin arrangements will hurt the out campaign.

Ignitionnet 20-01-2016 19:54

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek (Post 35818162)
Always a good way to get a yesser confused (not especially hard I know) just get them to explain why one Union where Scotland has a voice and influence greater than it should is bad yet another where they would be very much a minor member with minuscule influence is good.

They may also want to note that rejoining the EU will automagically oblige them to join the Euro.

Chris 20-01-2016 20:04

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35818236)
They may also want to note that rejoining the EU will automagically oblige them to join the Euro.

No chance, it's oor poond and we'll share it if we want.

(Which was, of course, a cynical, confected row designed to divert the hard-of-thinking from the truth with a good old fashioned rant against Tories "lecturing Scotland").

Honestly, there are still people around here who think there was some kind of astonishing, sophisticated political awakening in Scotland in 2014. All we actually have now is a situation where you rebut your opponent by denouncing them as "Red Tory", "Blue Tory" or "Tartan Tory", depending on your outlook and audience. I despair.

Rant over.

pip08456 20-01-2016 20:05

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35818236)
They may also want to note that rejoining the EU will automagically oblige them to join the Euro.

That means we will have to have immigration controls on the Scottish border if we vote out surely?:D:D:D:D:D:D

Chris 20-01-2016 20:14

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Wee Nippy's threats of a fresh referendum in the event of a vote to leave the EU is a lot of hot air. It's party management, pure and simple. There are about 100,000 permanently outraged Yessers in the ranks of the SNPee now and the last thing she wants is them getting rowdy, or worse, defenestrating her for not being nationalist enough. So, she plays to the gallery and keeps them hanging on.

Meanwhile, those in the nationalist movement with a brain (and there are some), know that the fundamentals of Scottish independence have not changed. For most Scottish voters it is a simple calculation of convenience, primarily economic convenience. Scots may prefer the EU, but they know that being in the UK, even if it is outside the EU, is preferable to being in the EU but outside the UK. The arguments over economic and monetary policy in 2014 were decisive and have not changed (if anything they have got worse, and it doesn't help the Nats that some of those that drew up the so-called white paper have now admitted that they knew it was nonsense on stilts even then).

Ignitionnet 20-01-2016 21:03

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35818243)
That means we will have to have immigration controls on the Scottish border if we vote out surely?:D:D:D:D:D:D

Given they'd also be obliged to join Schengen absolutely.

Ramrod 20-01-2016 21:15

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
If we weren't somewhat 'in' as far as we are already and the question was simply: "should we join the EU?" .......the answer would be "NO" (or words to that effect) :D

Gavin78 21-01-2016 00:39

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ramrod (Post 35818260)
If we weren't somewhat 'in' as far as we are already and the question was simply: "should we join the EU?" .......the answer would be "NO" (or words to that effect) :D

The answer can still be the same. there is that much media crap around the in/out of the EU and tons of stuff the gov is feeding us that is right and wrong information coupled with the fact that most of the country doesn't actually know what fully goes on with the EU it is difficult to make a decision.

As a country long before the EU we have managed to succeed I certainly can't see why we can't do it again. The only thing that bothers me is will we still be protected under working rights and family rights or will the gov see being out of the EU and setting their own laws a witch hunt against the population.

heero_yuy 21-01-2016 09:05

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Britain’s membership of the European Union is shown to have had no positive impact on trade with other members in a detailed analysis of UK exports published today by the cross-party think tank Civitas.

A painstaking study of British export figures since 1960 exposes the “empty rhetoric” behind oft-repeated claims that the EU gives the UK an essential trade advantage.

Britain’s trade with other EU nations accounts for no more of its trade with all leading economies than it did on joining the European Economic Community in 1973, the report shows. Meanwhile, exports to non-EU nations Iceland, Norway and Switzerland have increased enormously over the same period.
Full report here

Thus nailing the lie that the UK would suffer outside the EU, wheras in reality the EU has failed us.

Quote:

But Burrage says: “To present it as a success, in the manner of the UK Department of Business, Innovation & Skills’ recent portrayal of the doubling of exports to new member countries, or to claim it is a prized achievement, or a ‘privilege’, or ‘a vital national interest’ that must be defended at all costs, only sounds vaguely plausible if UK exporters are never compared with those of other member or non-member countries, and if their performance in the Single Market is never compared with their performance before it existed, or with their performance in other markets.

“Once such comparisons begin to be made, these claims are seen to be empty rhetoric, and those who repeat them may be seen to have been misleading themselves and others about the merits of the Single Market. Unfortunately, constant repetition of them over recent years has already done immense harm, since they have discouraged close investigation, measurement and analysis of the UK experience within the Single Market. We have, therefore, still not begun to understand what has gone wrong and how it might be fixed.”

heero_yuy 22-01-2016 14:29

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Sir Michael Caine backs Brexit:

Quote:

SIR Michael Caine lashed out at “faceless civil servants” making decision for the UK as he backed leaving the EU.

The Italian Job and Zulu actor said he was “certain” Britain should leave unless there were some “extremely significant” reforms.

Asked which camp he would back in the upcoming referendum, he told theToday programme: "I sort of feel certain we should come out."

"Unless there is some extremely significant changes, we should get out."
Linky

I heard the interview on R4 Today programme. Sir Michael was quite firm. :tu:

Osem 22-01-2016 14:54

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Well if the Eurocrats have embarked upon a behind the scenes campaign to manage the situation and thereby steer the UK into remaining, they're doing a pretty poor job. Just about every week which goes by brings a new example of EU ineptitude, dithering, infighting, procrastination or flawed thinking and I have a feeling things are going to get worse, much worse.

If the EU was a sinking ship I don't think its numerous masters would even get around to rearranging the deckchairs, let alone successfully evacuating it...

RizzyKing 24-01-2016 22:20

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
If I didn't want out before the tobacco products directive would have swung me never has there been such a bad piece of legislation and demonstrates all that is wrong with the EU, that said draft proposals by some within our political system are more disgusting. As the referendum comes closer I expect things to get dirtier and nastier and if we do vote to come out I expect Cameron to squirm trying to delay the exit as long as he can. Just give us the vote now and let's be done with it we all know Cameron isn't going to get anything really significant in terms of reform he'll get mud and try to dress it up as gold.

Osem 25-01-2016 13:36

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Leaving will not be a quick process as all sorts of things will have to be negotiated and put in place before the transition can be completed. There may even be protracted legal challenges to some of what would be necessary and that would inevitably delay things.

Damien 25-01-2016 13:39

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35818815)
Leaving will not be a quick process as all sorts of things will have to be negotiated and put in place before the transition can be completed. There may even be protracted legal challenges to some of what would be necessary and that would inevitably delay things.

The Out campaign wants a second referendum that would theoretically take place once all everything is ready to act as a trigger to leave or abandon the process and stay in. Although this is effectively just a strategy to 'derisk' the referendum (people would be far more willing to vote to leave if there is the option to decide not too later on) it does also show the complexity of what is too come.

Osem 25-01-2016 13:41

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Sounds like just another opportunity for us to give the 'right' answer if we get it 'wrong' first time around... ;)

Damien 25-01-2016 13:56

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35818817)
Sounds like just another opportunity for us to give the 'right' answer if we get it 'wrong' first time around... ;)

Well the Pro-EU side might do that if they lose, at the moment they need to make sure this vote carries a lot of weight. I.E "We will leave and it will be bad so think very carefully". That's also why they said the other day that the Treasury has 'no backup plans' if we leave.

Osem 25-01-2016 14:03

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
It's quite clear to me that the IN lot are going to try all sorts of tactics to get their way. Having said that, the EU continues, almost daily, to provide cast iron reasons why we should get out. The really big genie, uncontrolled migration, is of course out of its bottle and no amount of economic scaremongering by the likes of Stuart Rose will alter that.

Mr K 25-01-2016 19:48

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
The OUT side are looking increasingly desperate. Divided, disorganised with key players bought off or silenced. The UK isn't leaving the EU, its not going to be allowed, the 'referendum' is irrelevant. Quite right too, Dave's playing a blinder on this one, he's gone up in my estimation.

Hom3r 25-01-2016 22:12

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Outside the EU we can trade with other countries with the EU telling us if we can.

Plus we can send paedophiles to prison for whole life with out the EU saying its not legal.

techguyone 25-01-2016 22:38

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
'it's not going to be allowed'

did we wake up in Russia?

Oh wait...

TheDaddy 26-01-2016 02:09

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 35818903)
Outside the EU we can trade with other countries with the EU telling us if we can.

Plus we can send paedophiles to prison for whole life with out the EU saying its not legal.

The EU doesn't say it's legal or not, this is the sort of thing that needs to me addressed, such an important decision on staying or going can't be reached when we have such little knowledge of facts

heero_yuy 26-01-2016 08:58

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Leave or stay is not cut and dried as the polls are 50:50. This summers tsunami of migrants might well tip the balance hence Dave's hurried, flustered "negotiations" with his EU masters in order to try and get the referendum before the magnitude of the chrisis becomes evident.

So far he's achieved next to nothing, because you get next to nothing when you ask for next to nothing, yet he keeps the anti EU ministers gagged whilst he continues to say the EU is best for us. So utterly spineless.

Maggy 26-01-2016 10:04

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
So if we leave the EU what interest will the EU countries have in preventing illegal migrants from making their way to the UK?

techguyone 26-01-2016 10:27

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Right, let's stay in the EU because if we don't, they'll offload their migrants onto us, is that positive motivation or something ?

I'm sure with the monies saved, we could you know... have a border control - we are an island after all.

Osem 26-01-2016 10:44

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Yup, 'threats' - veiled or otherwise - are likely to further animate the out campaign.

Damien 26-01-2016 11:05

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
It's not as if the Out campaign won't also be disingenuous in their approach. I am also not sure that the 'threats' will result in a boost to the Out campaign. As I said before the fear factor is the best tool the In campaign have and unless Out can alleviate those fears with a coherent idea of what Britain will look like outside the EU then they may well be an effective weapons.

The fear of leaving the UK helped the Better Together campaign in Scotland. The fear of the Labour-SNP alliance helped the Tories win a majority. Fear sells. The Out campaign will be talking of migrants and the Eurozone. Welcome to politics.

Osem 26-01-2016 11:25

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Only time will tell whether threats actually work in influencing voters but there's no doubt in my mind that such tactics will give further ammunition to the out campaign since it's just that sort of 'big brother' behaviour which they claim is at the heart of what's wrong with the EU.

Damien 26-01-2016 11:33

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35818951)
Only time will tell whether threats actually work in influencing voters but there's no doubt in my mind that such tactics will give further ammunition to the out campaign since it's just that sort of 'big brother' behaviour which they claim is at the heart of what's wrong with the EU.

They may resent it but when casting the vote are they going to go for the status-quo or the option to leave if the latter has an uncertainty about it? Hopefully they learn to moderate it so there isn't a post-referendum backlash like there was in Scotland but 'the deal', however much it may be a political exercise, might help there.

The Out campaign will have to address the 'uncertainty' issue but rebutting the 'threats' with convincing facts. If they go down the 'bullying' route they'll lose. Labour tried the 'nasty Tories' angle when faced with the fear-mongering of the Tory campaign but they still lost convincingly partly because the threats worked.

Osem 26-01-2016 13:09

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
The uncertainty issue is made a whole lot easier for the out campaign given the certain uncertainty of remaining in. Whether it's migration, the Eurozone, Greece or Polish dissent, the EU is in a state of chaos, which shows no sign of abating. Under such circumstances the role 'uncertainty' plays in the final vote will apply to both sides and not necessarily equally. Had things in the EU been going more smoothly in recent years and the UK now found itself in the doldrums, I'd suggest leaving would be far less appealing that it currently is. Thankfully, the EU has shown itself to be spectacularly inept and misguided just when it mattered most.

Mr K 26-01-2016 13:24

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35818928)
Leave or stay is not cut and dried as the polls are 50:50.

It is cut and dried, it always has been, the Govt. wouldn't risk a referendum otherwise. The polls were 50:50 at the general election, I suspect they are equally out this time. Those with strong views, eager to offer their opinion, are 'Outers' will have skewed it.

The silent majority are apathetic and uninterested in the subject. However when forced to make a choice most of them will vote 'stay', or not vote. Fear of change and warnings from all corners about 'massive risks' to their own prosperity will swing it for most. The IN campaign has been going for months, the OUT campaign won't have time to get going, hence the rush for a vote. The public are easily manipulated by the media/those in power.

Chris 26-01-2016 14:22

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Bonkers Labour MP claims Indians fought in WW2 "for the European project."

http://order-order.com/2016/01/26/la...opean-project/

This is the kind of basic ignorance of recent history that Leave has to unpick.

Osem 26-01-2016 19:14

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Lammy reminds me of a male version of Dianne Abbot - she talks a load of old toffee too!

RizzyKing 27-01-2016 04:08

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
For some of us it isn't about the current state of the EU or the existing treaties it's that future many at the top of the EU want a single federal European state. The EU is a corrupt dysfunctional organisation and badly needs real reform trouble is no one involved with it at a level to actually reform it has the slightest interest in doing so. Scaremongering about how badly the UK would do out of the EU is a tactic I wholeheartedly encourage the "stay in" group to embrace and hammer relentlessly as it is complete rubbish. I believe the UK's best interests in future come with it being a truly independent entity free of the EU and an unexpected bonus might be an increase in the quality of the domestic political class once they no longer have the EU gravytrain to jump on once we wise up to them and vote them out.

Osem 27-01-2016 10:01

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
If the EU were a government - local or national - they'd have been voted them into oblivion years ago. Sadly, rather like FIFA, the Eurocrats have created themselves a nice cosy environment in which they can propagate their madness and create widespread mayhem unhindered by accountability for any of it. Is it any surprise therefore, that they've become so adept at believing their own rhetoric and perpetuating their own existence? Blatter and his cronies enjoyed years of back patting, lavish indulgence and self congratulation to the point that their indignance at being rumbled, even now, is quite staggering. The EU is really not very different IMHO. Defective, dishonest, incapable of reform and unfit for purpose - who'd want to remain within any such organisation?

Mr K 27-01-2016 13:48

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Some of the criticisms against the EU are valid – e.g. bureaucracy. However the benefits of a single market far outweigh them. Better to reform, which is to every countries benefit , than cut our noses off to spite our face. Leaving would hurt us more than the EU – it accounts for half of our exports.

I haven’t heard anything positive form the ‘out’ side about life outside the EU; just negative, jingoistic nonsense, and constant racist guff about immigration. Their campaign, if you can call it that, is doomed.

techguyone 27-01-2016 13:53

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Mr K anyone would think there wasn't trade before the EU, we only joined it in 73, do you believe we didn't have trade all over the word prior to that?

heero_yuy 27-01-2016 14:36

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
The EU will continue to trade with us whether we're in or out. Something the stay-inners are keen to forget in their scaremongering.

Also the total trade figure attributable to the EU also includes the "Rotterdam Effect" so the actual trade figures are lower than that.


Quote:

“Britain’s trade is overwhelmingly internal, actually. The split is roughly this: 79% internal, 10% EU, 11% the rest of the world.”

Ignore the percentages, which were not intended to be overly accurate – this complaint does have some validity. It can’t be denied that the vast majority of business transactions that UK companies and producers deal with are with other UK-based companies and producers, not with foreign partners.
Source

Chris 27-01-2016 14:55

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35819105)
Some of the criticisms against the EU are valid – e.g. bureaucracy. However the benefits of a single market far outweigh them. Better to reform, which is to every countries benefit , than cut our noses off to spite our face. Leaving would hurt us more than the EU – it accounts for half of our exports.

I haven’t heard anything positive form the ‘out’ side about life outside the EU; just negative, jingoistic nonsense, and constant racist guff about immigration. Their campaign, if you can call it that, is doomed.

If the EU consisted entirely of the single market I might agree with you, but it doesn't.

If access to the single market required full membership of the EU, again, I might agree with you, but it doesn't.

The cost in terms of loss of sovereignty is now manifestly too high. The European project was never about creating a simple trading area, which is what the UK electorate was sold 40 years ago.

We are a massive export market for several European economies (chief among them, Germany) and we are in a very good position to negotiate terms of access that are mutually beneficial to us and the EU. And, once un-shackled from the need to wait for the EU to negotiate trade deals for us, we can get to the important business of dealing with the great emerging economies of the world on our own terms.

And those British businesses that form part of that 79% of trade that occurs entirely within our own borders, would in future only have to contend with market regulation cooked up in Westminster, where there are only 650 MPs, all of them British and familiar with the way we do business, instead of being forced to implement schemes that are actually designed as a protection racket for some inefficient, unreformed industry in the back end of somewhere hot and sunny where nobody does very much for most of the day.

Damien 27-01-2016 15:06

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35819115)
We are a massive export market for several European economies (chief among them, Germany) and we are in a very good position to negotiate terms of access that are mutually beneficial to us and the EU. And, once un-shackled from the need to wait for the EU to negotiate trade deals for us, we can get to the important business of dealing with the great emerging economies of the world on our own terms..

Well also their terms. Trade deals aren't symmetrical. Governments put in exemptions, rules and other caveats to protect their interests where they can and so what we can get depends on our strength at the table. For example while a trade deal with America will be in both our interests the disparity between the size of the markets and economies means we need it more. Any agreement is far more likely to be lopsided towards them than towards us.

Negotiating with the EU takes longer but is a stronger entity with a bigger market to offer prospective partners.

The idea we're going to sign great deals in the national interest post-Brexit assumes a far more open world than actually exists.

Osem 27-01-2016 15:12

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35819115)
If the EU consisted entirely of the single market I might agree with you, but it doesn't.

If access to the single market required full membership of the EU, again, I might agree with you, but it doesn't.

The cost in terms of loss of sovereignty is now manifestly too high. The European project was never about creating a simple trading area, which is what the UK electorate was sold 40 years ago.

We are a massive export market for several European economies (chief among them, Germany) and we are in a very good position to negotiate terms of access that are mutually beneficial to us and the EU. And, once un-shackled from the need to wait for the EU to negotiate trade deals for us, we can get to the important business of dealing with the great emerging economies of the world on our own terms.

And those British businesses that form part of that 79% of trade that occurs entirely within our own borders, would in future only have to contend with market regulation cooked up in Westminster, where there are only 650 MPs, all of them British and familiar with the way we do business, instead of being forced to implement schemes that are actually designed as a protection racket for some inefficient, unreformed industry in the back end of somewhere hot and sunny where nobody does very much for most of the day.

You do realise that's all jingoistic, racist guff don't you... :D

Chris 27-01-2016 15:53

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35819118)
Well also their terms. Trade deals aren't symmetrical. Governments put in exemptions, rules and other caveats to protect their interests where they can and so what we can get depends on our strength at the table. For example while a trade deal with America will be in both our interests the disparity between the size of the markets and economies means we need it more. Any agreement is far more likely to be lopsided towards them than towards us.

Negotiating with the EU takes longer but is a stronger entity with a bigger market to offer prospective partners.

The idea we're going to sign great deals in the national interest post-Brexit assumes a far more open world than actually exists.

And the idea that we're going to somehow flounder in the world requires wilful neglect of the fact that we managed perfectly well on our own in the world for our entire national history, except for the last 40 years.

You make it sound, by the way, as if trade in and out of the USA is somehow impossible or punitively expensive outside of any EU trade deal. That's simply not the case. An open market trade deal, of any nature, is going to be better than none at all, but even with none at all, trade can and does go on.

Damien 27-01-2016 17:31

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35819126)
And the idea that we're going to somehow flounder in the world requires wilful neglect of the fact that we managed perfectly well on our own in the world for our entire national history, except for the last 40 years.

The last 40 years have seen some pretty fundamental shifts in the role of globalization and free trade.

Quote:

You make it sound, by the way, as if trade in and out of the USA is somehow impossible or punitively expensive outside of any EU trade deal. That's simply not the case. An open market trade deal, of any nature, is going to be better than none at all, but even with none at all, trade can and does go on.
I am not saying it's impossible I am saying that any arrangement would be disproportionately beneficial to the Americans because they have a stronger position from which to negotiate. I was simply disputing the idea the deal would be 'on our terms'. The EU incidentally is close to closing the American trade deal and we would have to start from scratch.

I don't think life outside the EU would be a disaster but the Outers are giving a wildly optimistic view of how easy it's going to be.

Chris 27-01-2016 19:32

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35819144)
The EU incidentally is close to closing the American trade deal and we would have to start from scratch.

One might wonder whether the UK, acting alone, might have reached some accommodation with the USA rather sooner, had we been able to. Alas, we are compelled to act within the EU, and at the dawn of 2016 that deal is still "close".

What exactly has the EU been doing, all these years? :scratch:

Damien 27-01-2016 20:50

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35819165)
One might wonder whether the UK, acting alone, might have reached some accommodation with the USA rather sooner, had we been able to. Alas, we are compelled to act within the EU, and at the dawn of 2016 that deal is still "close".

What exactly has the EU been doing, all these years? :scratch:

Putting in all the clauses and amendments and so on in. They start negotiating and then every single business sector weighs in and wants to make changes or ensure their interests are protected. Everything from clothing standards to copyright. This process started in 2013: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transa...nt_Partnership. So three years so far. That isn't too unusual though. The US-Canada-Mexico NAFTA trade deal took about two years and the US and Canada had a pre-existing trade deal.

It's not easy to do despite the Out campaign making it seem like a matter of process. Maybe we could do faster but the would probably mean giving the US every they want.

Again the UK alone will be the weaker party at the table for any deal involving the EU, USA or China.

pip08456 28-01-2016 00:17

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Yeh, TTIP is going to be good.

From the same wikipedia link.

"An October 2014 study by Jeronim Capaldo of the Global Development and Environment Institute at Tufts University indicates that there will be losses in terms of net exports, net losses in terms of GDP, loss of labor income, job losses, reduction of the labor share, loss of government revenue and higher financial instability among European countries"

Ignitionnet 28-01-2016 09:57

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Don't think this surprises, does it? Bring our more expensive, higher quality, more ethically made products down to the standards of those made in the USA, or allow them to bring their products here without issues and it's bound to be an experience.

Seen the labels of some US 'food'? They use additives in place of the additives they used to use to replace natural ingredients as the first set of additives were too expensive.

The massive delays as various countries try and protect their own vested interests are a welcome side-effect. The evidence seems to suggest that trade deals between the USA and pretty much any country are a complete shitbomb.

I'd be fine with keeping the slight tariffs if in return they agree to keep that crap alongside the toxic gack they use in food production on their side of the Atlantic.

Damien kinda has a point. We'd have a weaker hand with the USA on our own potentially. However the strong or weak hand is probably irrelevant as it looks as though our government look across at the USA's lack of employment security, environmental and other regulations, corrupt politics and extreme inequality with envy and visions of themselves and their circles wallowing even deeper in the muck of avarice.

Ramrod 28-01-2016 10:14

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35819060)
If the EU were a government - local or national - they'd have been voted them into oblivion years ago. Sadly, rather like FIFA, the Eurocrats have created themselves a nice cosy environment in which they can propagate their madness and create widespread mayhem unhindered by accountability for any of it. Is it any surprise therefore, that they've become so adept at believing their own rhetoric and perpetuating their own existence? Blatter and his cronies enjoyed years of back patting, lavish indulgence and self congratulation to the point that their indignance at being rumbled, even now, is quite staggering. The EU is really not very different IMHO. Defective, dishonest, incapable of reform and unfit for purpose - who'd want to remain within any such organisation?

That needs re-posting :clap:

jonbxx 28-01-2016 10:46

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Er, didn't we have elections in May 2014? And also every 5 years previously since the European Parliament was formed since 1979? The people we voted for in those elections are responsible for passing laws along with the Council of the European Union who are directly appointed by the Governments of the union.

I fail to see how people think of this being an undemocratic institution but maybe someone can name a part of the EU that we don't have some kind of say.

heero_yuy 29-01-2016 10:50

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

The Brussels proposal of an “emergency brake” to trigger a benefits ban is a far cry from an original British demand to halt all newcomers if the UK can’t cope. Under the new plan, the brake could be pulled only by other EU leaders, leaving London without any control.

Mr Cameron begins three days of talks today before meeting EU Council boss Donald Tusk at No10 on Sunday. Mr Tusk will tell the EU on Monday if a deal is close or if it needs to be pushed back, delaying the In/Out vote to September at the earliest.

Arron Banks, of Out campaign Leave EU, said: “People watching the slow-motion disaster overtaking Europe don’t want an emergency brake on immigration, they want control of the steering wheel so we can avoid the car crash.”
Linky

So only a brake if the rest of the EU agree.:rolleyes: How likely is that?

Osem 29-01-2016 10:52

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

David Cameron is in talks in Brussels over a deal to allow Britain to curb in-work benefits for migrants - with the permission of other EU nations.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politic...endum-35434125

Quote:

The current idea would be that Britain could initiate a request for this emergency brake for up to four years if it could prove Britain's social and welfare system is under excessive strain from immigration.

But that brake would have to be approved by the majority of other EU member states - and of course, right from the beginning, they have been opposed to suspending benefits for other EU migrants.
With the permission of other EU nations? Oh right, I can see how that's likely to work very well. :rolleyes:

Someone once said that a camel is just a horse designed by committee...

Osem 01-02-2016 22:15

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

The president of the European Council says "good progress" has been made on David Cameron's reform demands as he prepares to publish a "new settlement" on the UK's EU membership.

Donald Tusk said he would put forward the draft text on Tuesday but warned "outstanding issues" remained.

UK and EU officials have been trying to reach an agreement that will pave the way for the UK's EU referendum.

EU leaders will debate the proposals at a summit on 18 and 19 February.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politic...endum-35456633

All so much Euro-hot air I reckon. I can't see Cameron squeezing anything meaningful out of these people (even if he really wants to) and whatever they may promise I have a nasty feeling will never actually materialise. What mechanism is there, if any, for the UK to have another referendum should promises be reneged upon I wonder... :rolleyes:

heero_yuy 02-02-2016 08:56

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Without a proper treaty change to enshrine them the EU promises are just that and can be reneged upon at any time or indeed given away by UK governments in persuit of personal gains of the PM at the time. See EU rebate. ;)

Damien 02-02-2016 09:07

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
So what we seem to have is:

- The ability to veto EU laws
- No in-work benefits for EU migrants for a certain number of years.

Chris 02-02-2016 09:16

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35819951)
So what we seem to have is:

- The ability to veto EU laws
- No in-work benefits for EU migrants for a certain number of years.

- None of which is to be guaranteed by treaty
- And in any case, does not answer the fundamental reason for euroscepticism, which is the erosion of Parliamentary sovereignty.

Damien 02-02-2016 09:34

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35819952)
- None of which is to be guaranteed by treaty
- And in any case, does not answer the fundamental reason for euroscepticism, which is the erosion of Parliamentary sovereignty.

I think these things were never likely to be addressed by the deal which we all probably agree has a big element of theater about it. The question is if Cameron has done enough for this not be written off a failure in the eyes of the neutrals. If he can come back and say we can veto EU laws and stop giving benefits to migrants that would help him I think. The EU will probably chuck in the nonsense line about us being exempt from joining any 'ever-closer' Union which would purely be cosmetic but crowd-pleasing.

heero_yuy 02-02-2016 09:45

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35819954)
I think these things were never likely to be addressed by the deal which we all probably agree has a big element of theater about it. The question is if Cameron has done enough for this not be written off a failure in the eyes of the neutrals. If he can come back and say we can veto EU laws and stop giving benefits to migrants that would help him I think. The EU will probably chuck in the nonsense line about us being exempt from joining any 'ever-closer' Union which would purely be cosmetic but crowd-pleasing.

Trouble is there is no veto. Cameron can only have his way if 55% of the rest of the EU agree. And as stated above if it's not bound by treaty then it's not worth diddly squat. Just a load of hot air.

Taf 02-02-2016 09:55

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Cameron doesn't want us out of the EU because his bosses, those who own and run industry, don't want us out of the EU. And any referendum is going to be a loaded question backed by mass propaganda paid for by bosses of industry. I doubt very much that the question will be a simple "in or out" one.

Osem 02-02-2016 10:03

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Whilst clamping down on in work benefits would be welcome, I don't see it stopping large scale EU migration. It's far easier to work and live under the radar in the UK than many EU countries and the draw factor will be a function of how good/bad things are elsewhere I'd have thought.

heero_yuy 02-02-2016 10:09

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 35819959)
Cameron doesn't want us out of the EU because his bosses, those who own and run industry, don't want us out of the EU. And any referendum is going to be a loaded question backed by mass propaganda paid for by bosses of industry. I doubt very much that the question will be a simple "in or out" one.

The question has to pass muster with the Electoral Commission:

Quote:

he Electoral Commission is an independent body set up by the UK Parliament. Our aim is integrity and public confidence in the UK’s democratic process. We regulate party and election finance, set standards for well-run elections and are responsible for the conduct and regulations of referendums held under the Political Parties, Elections and Referendums Act (2000).
http://www.electoralcommission.org.uk

At least the question can't be rigged, as for the rest....

Damien 02-02-2016 10:27

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
The 'red card' is a Veto for a majority of national parliaments.

Ramrod 02-02-2016 11:15

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35819214)
Er, didn't we have elections in May 2014? And also every 5 years previously since the European Parliament was formed since 1979? The people we voted for in those elections are responsible for passing laws along with the Council of the European Union who are directly appointed by the Governments of the union.

I fail to see how people think of this being an undemocratic institution but maybe someone can name a part of the EU that we don't have some kind of say.

I don't recall voting for any of those in power in the EU :confused:

Damien 02-02-2016 11:46

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
It's out:

- No EU benefit ban. Instead they're 'graduated in'.
- National parliaments can veto laws from the EU if 55% vote no.
- Government can ban EU Citizens from the country if they pose a threat.

Not amazing really. Apparently these pledges will be legally binding.

Osem 02-02-2016 12:01

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35819989)
It's out:

You've seen sense then... ;)

---------- Post added at 12:01 ---------- Previous post was at 11:53 ----------

...and I can't see any cosy deals being done or undue pressure applied to smaller nations where the 55% threshold looks like being reached... :rolleyes:

Mr K 02-02-2016 12:11

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
'Emergency Brakes', 'Red Cards' - this all sounds excellent and very sexy !

Well done Dave !

:redcard:

Damien 02-02-2016 13:28

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Decent summary here: http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2016/02...-need-to-know/

---------- Post added at 13:12 ---------- Previous post was at 12:56 ----------

Big News: Cameron will BACK the In campaign.

---------- Post added at 13:28 ---------- Previous post was at 13:12 ----------

Even Bigger News: Farage isn't impressed with the deal - want's out.

Chris 02-02-2016 13:44

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Right, so the rather pointless theatre is all over, and we can now get on with the business of debating whether the EU is good for Great Britain or not.

Mr K 02-02-2016 14:25

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35820023)
Right, so the rather pointless theatre is all over, and we can now get on with the business of debating whether the EU is good for Great Britain or not.

I doubt it. The public will be told how to vote and those that bother to will mostly oblige.

The issues are irrelevant, the public aren't interested. Most don't understand the economics. Just as long as those bleeding migrants are given the 'red card' or hit over the head with an 'emergency brake'; that will be enough for most voters, even if it means diddly squat in practice.

ntluser 02-02-2016 14:48

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
I think this went as predicted with Cameron, like Osborne, claiming a great victory in negotiations with the EU.

First we had Osborne telling us that, after hard negotiating, he had wrestled concessions from the EU over the UK contribution to the EU budget, then we later discover that he had simply offset the UK rebate against the debt.

Now we have Cameron coming down from the mountain telling us that his proposals for change, inadequate as they are, have been broadly accepted bar the detail.

Unfortunately we still have the same problems:-

a) we still can't control the number of EU migrants coming here

b) we still can't deport foreign criminals

c) we still have to pay a massive contribution to support the EU & to support the gravy train existence of MEPs

d) we still have to pay the French to control their border as they are conveniently
unable to control the outflow of migrants via the Channel tunnel

e) we can't apply national vetos unless 55% of EU leaders agree but given that the UK is unpopular in Europe agreement seems unlikely, indeed Cameron cannot even rely on the support of his so-called allies in the EU

When the EU referendum comes the citizens of the UK need to ensure that they do not make the same mistake with regard to the EU as the Scots did by choosing to remain in the UK.

The government cannot be trusted with the best interests of UK citizens as they are already fixing the vote conditions to ensure that the UK remains within the EU. Heath took us in, Major kept us there and now Cameron wants to keep us there permanently.

UK voters need to wake up to the idea that Cameron's proposals are just window dressing that mean nothing and we should all be ready to vote to leave the EU.

Damien 02-02-2016 14:53

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ntluser (Post 35820046)

d) we still have to pay the French to control their border as they are conveniently
unable to control the outflow of migrants via the Channel tunnel

This is a separate agreement that requires the cooperation of the French. If they wanted they could say sod it and let us worry about it when they reach our borders.

If we had mass migrants/refugee camps in Dover of people trying to get into France how willing would we be to help the French secure their borders and keep them here?

ntluser 02-02-2016 15:09

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35820049)
This is a separate agreement that requires the cooperation of the French. If they wanted they could say sod it and let us worry about it when they reach our borders.

If we had mass migrants/refugee camps in Dover of people trying to get into France how willing would we be to help the French secure their borders and keep them here?

Perhaps so but it makes a mockery of the idea that they are required to register in the first country they arrive in but many are simply waved through to the UK.

Maybe we should consider closing the Channel Tunnel or build an army base at this end to have greater control over who comes in.

National security in the EU is a joke given the ease with which migrants can cross national borders.

TheDaddy 02-02-2016 15:56

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Anyone else see this 55% veto thing being used against us in the future

---------- Post added at 15:56 ---------- Previous post was at 15:54 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35820023)
Right, so the rather pointless theatre is all over, and we can now get on with the business of debating whether the EU is good for Great Britain or not.

We could've been doing that for years anyway now we're all being asked to make a decision ignorant of facts,what could possibly go wrong

jonbxx 03-02-2016 10:26

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ramrod (Post 35819979)
I don't recall voting for any of those in power in the EU :confused:

You didn't vote in your European or Parliamentary elections?

Osem 03-02-2016 10:38

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ntluser (Post 35820046)
I think this went as predicted with Cameron, like Osborne, claiming a great victory in negotiations with the EU.

First we had Osborne telling us that, after hard negotiating, he had wrestled concessions from the EU over the UK contribution to the EU budget, then we later discover that he had simply offset the UK rebate against the debt.

Now we have Cameron coming down from the mountain telling us that his proposals for change, inadequate as they are, have been broadly accepted bar the detail.

Unfortunately we still have the same problems:-

a) we still can't control the number of EU migrants coming here

b) we still can't deport foreign criminals

c) we still have to pay a massive contribution to support the EU & to support the gravy train existence of MEPs

d) we still have to pay the French to control their border as they are conveniently
unable to control the outflow of migrants via the Channel tunnel

e) we can't apply national vetos unless 55% of EU leaders agree but given that the UK is unpopular in Europe agreement seems unlikely, indeed Cameron cannot even rely on the support of his so-called allies in the EU

When the EU referendum comes the citizens of the UK need to ensure that they do not make the same mistake with regard to the EU as the Scots did by choosing to remain in the UK.

The government cannot be trusted with the best interests of UK citizens as they are already fixing the vote conditions to ensure that the UK remains within the EU. Heath took us in, Major kept us there and now Cameron wants to keep us there permanently.

UK voters need to wake up to the idea that Cameron's proposals are just window dressing that mean nothing and we should all be ready to vote to leave the EU.

I tend to agree. I see nothing being proposed which will deal with the problems Europe is facing and I have no faith whatsoever that the EU is capable of being sufficiently reformed to handle what inevitably lies ahead. As I've said before, leaving does pose serious risks but IMHO staying poses far more serious risks to our way of life. The EU has become like a very unhappy polygamous/polyandrous marriage. There are too many competing interests and ever closer union is as much a nonsense as a single currency but they will never accept that. Better to have an amicable, controlled split before waiting to the point where all hell breaks loose. I'm voting out!

heero_yuy 03-02-2016 10:45

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35820218)
Better to have an amicable, controlled split before waiting to the point where all hell breaks loose. I'm voting out!

Agreed.

Better to be in the lifeboat when the ship goes down than re-arranging the deckchairs.

Osem 03-02-2016 10:51

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35820221)
Agreed.

Better to be in the lifeboat when the ship goes down than re-arranging the deckchairs.

At the very worst, at least the UK would get around to rearranging the deckchairs on our sinking ship. The EU wouldn't even get that far - the Germans would be too busy whining about their towels and the rest would still be arguing about who rearranges which chairs and whether or not they're breaking any EU laws by doing so as they went under... :D

ntluser 03-02-2016 11:33

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
The proposals have to be put to the other EU leaders and it will be interesting to see if they agree with them.

As it is Cameron's original proposals were inadequate at best, failing to address the concerns of ordinary people but even they have been watered down in such a way that we need the support of other EU leaders to carry things through rather than being to act independently irrespective of their support.

It's time for Conservative sceptics to step up to the plate and challenge his leadership as he is leading them, the Conservative party and the country in the wrong direction. Failure to do so could lead to a massive loss of support as there is already a great mistrust of Conservative politicians especially after the expenses scandal and George Osborne's attempt to con the UK public that he had actually negotiated a reduction of our EU contribution when in reality he had simply used our rebate.

Cameron's Conservatives are more concerned with promoting a successful image which as many voters have found is contrary to the truth. The much toted Universal State Pension for example only applies to people who retire following the legislation and not to all the other hard working qualifying pensioners who retired earlier.

As for the EU proposals, my only hope is that the proposals are not accepted by the other EU leaders, which means that in the EU Referendum vote voters will have to vote on the basis of how things are now hopefully increasing the chances of a vote to leave.

It will be very interesting to see how this turns out but like all these matters only time will tell what the outcome will be.

richard s 03-02-2016 18:56

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
I have come to change my mind on being a pro-European.... Lets get the hell out.

pip08456 03-02-2016 19:02

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by richard s (Post 35820288)
I have come to change my mind on being a pro-European.... Lets get the hell out.

If only other Pro-Europeans would do the same.:erm:

TheDaddy 03-02-2016 19:15

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by richard s (Post 35820288)
I have come to change my mind on being a pro-European.... Lets get the hell out.

Funny I'm leaning in the other direction, I was anti EU long before it was fashionable but now on the brink of leaving I don't think I'm informed well enough to make the right choice.

heero_yuy 04-02-2016 15:23

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

The Prime Minister is trying to defend his reform proposals – which he says will make the country ‘stronger and better’.

But the small print of the draft deal reveals, instead of losing their child benefits, some overseas workers will receive even more.

Payments will be linked to the cost of living in an EU worker’s home country and, in some – like Switzerland, Norway and Iceland – this is higher than in Britain.

This means the bill for sending hand-outs to children in these countries will increase.

Ukip leader Nigel Farage told Mail Online: “It's hard to discern if Cameron's deal is a farce, a comedy or a tragedy.

“It would be outrageous if our taxpayers end up paying more money for children who live outside the UK than we do even now.”
Linky


It's unravelling now, this wonderful deal that Dave has secured.:rolleyes:

Osem 04-02-2016 15:30

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
I think a growing number of people have no faith whatsoever that the EU can be reformed. For me it's now simple - the vote is to either endure ever more of the same old Eurolalaland nonsense or just get out.

Damien 04-02-2016 15:36

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
We'll need to find out how many children are actually in Switzerland as opposed to say Poland to know 'if it will cost more'. The payments will be index-linked to better match the country they're in.

tweedle 04-02-2016 15:47

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
If this deal succeeds for every £350million Britain pays out in benefits it will save 99p. When it comes to abuse of the benefits system we need to look a little closer to home. These Europeans are not lieing and stealing from our system. They're paying taxes in and taking out what they're entitled to.

I read somewhere an example of a 27 year old Polish woman had paid more tax in the UK in 2 years than an entire family of British born benefit claiming citizens had paid in 50 years.

So immigrants are not the problem! It's mostly British families it seems where mom, dad and all kids Jump straight on benefits. Where you have kids that have never seen mom or dad go out to work, then you see immigrant families with both parents working hounded for claiming a little back, it's heart breaking.

Osem 04-02-2016 15:59

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Why we should be paying anyone for their children who're not living here is beyond me.

tweedle 04-02-2016 16:21

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35820444)
Why we should be paying anyone for their children who're not living here is beyond me.


Europe, that's why. Big UK businesses benefit from EU membership, wether or not that filters down to the man in the street I have no idea.

Ignitionnet 04-02-2016 16:22

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tweedle (Post 35820437)
If this deal succeeds for every £350million Britain pays out in benefits it will save 99p. When it comes to abuse of the benefits system we need to look a little closer to home. These Europeans are not lieing and stealing from our system. They're paying taxes in and taking out what they're entitled to.

I read somewhere an example of a 27 year old Polish woman had paid more tax in the UK in 2 years than an entire family of British born benefit claiming citizens had paid in 50 years.

So immigrants are not the problem! It's mostly British families it seems where mom, dad and all kids Jump straight on benefits. Where you have kids that have never seen mom or dad go out to work, then you see immigrant families with both parents working hounded for claiming a little back, it's heart breaking.

European immigrants aren't the problem as far as welfare goes indeed. They have, and continue to, pay more in than they take out.

Some other immigrant groups are consuming a lot of resources but for whatever reason nothing is done beyond to continue welcoming them.

A more contributory welfare system across the board would be great.

heero_yuy 05-02-2016 09:29

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

DAVID CAMERON was dealt a humiliating blow last night as a devastating poll revealed a record lead for the campaign to take Britain out of the EU.

In a damning verdict on the PM’s draft deal with the European Commission, 45 per cent of the public said they would now vote for a ‘Brexit’.

Only 36 per cent would vote to stay with the rest undecided.

The nine point lead for the ‘Out’ campaign is the biggest since YouGov started tracking the numbers.

Jubilant Eurosceptics said the results showed the public did not buy David Cameron’s “spin” on Tuesday – when he branded the proposed reforms on sovereignty, competitiveness and welfare a historic success.

YouGov last night said that only 22 per cent of voters believe the package of measures represented a good deal for Britain.

Twice as many — 45 per cent — said it didn’t go far enough.
Linky

Considering that any cabinet "big beasts" in the leave faction are still gagged whilst he's spouting wildly optimistic promises, he's not doing too well. :)

Osem 05-02-2016 09:36

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Better for them to keep their powder dry I reckon. Let the in campaign have the stage now and wait until nearer the time to expose to flaws in their proposition. Right now, the EU and its supporters are doing a great job of showing us just how fatally flawed the whole thing now is.

Damien 05-02-2016 09:49

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35820599)
Better for them to keep their powder dry I reckon. Let the in campaign have the stage now and wait until nearer the time to expose to flaws in their proposition. Right now, the EU and its supporters are doing a great job of showing us just how fatally flawed the whole thing now is.

Not to sound like a broken record but the Out campaign will need to come out with the alternative scenarios rather than just point out flaws. The flaws are there for all to see and have been for years. Cameron's 'deal' seems to have made things worse and the migration crisis might kick off in the Summer but aside from those two things the rest of it is 'baked in' i.e surely most people are aware of them and have decided if that matters enough or not.


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