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Parliament will be given a vote on the deal it seems....
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1. "Technically therefore, the quickest we would be able to get a deal is by 2019, but it is very unlikely to be that quick, not least because the deal the UK ends up doing with the EU would have an impact on the deal it gets with the US." http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38639638 2. With other countries reluctant to get involved in detailed discussions until Britain's future ties with the European Union are clear, and a lack of negotiators in London ready to begin talks, any firm deals could be years away." "Nobody with any sense from China, the U.S., Brazil or wherever is going to engage with the UK other than a friendly drink in the bar until the UK has a regime with the EU," retired British trade negotiator Roderick Abbott told Reuters. "That gives them the yardstick against which you negotiate," said Abbott, who during his more than 40-year career worked on trade for the British government, the European Commission and the World Trade Organisation (WTO). http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-bri...-idUKKCN11D1CR 3. May and her team strike an optimistic tone, highlighting nations which have said they are keen to do deals. But behind the scenes, countries are pragmatic. A senior diplomat from a developed country with which Britain has suggested negotiating a deal said the EU was a more important partner, so any deal with Britain would depend on how it affected his country's trade with the EU. "They want to talk to us. We're always happy to talk trade. But frankly there isn't much we can seriously talk about in detail, which is really what trade deals are all about, until we know what their relationship will be with the EU," he said, on condition of anonymity due to the sensitivity of the subject. http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-bri...-idUKKCN11D1CR ---------- Post added at 12:15 ---------- Previous post was at 12:14 ---------- Quote:
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Margaret Thatcher's speech on the single market, 1988
"It's your job, the job of business, to gear yourselves up to take the opportunities which a single market of nearly 320 million people will offer. Just think for a moment what a prospect that is. A single market without barriers—visible or invisible—giving you direct and unhindered access to the purchasing power of over 300 million of the world's wealthiest and most prosperous people. Bigger than Japan. Bigger than the United States. On your doorstep. And with the Channel Tunnel to give you direct access to it. It's not a dream. It's not a vision. It's not some bureaucrat's plan. It's for real." |
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Try again to find it factually. It should keep you occupied for a long time. |
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Brilliant Mrs May.What's that noise i hear,tiny Tim Farron from the inconsequential libdems crying foul.Lets get on with it.
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I've given you three separate sources who have all backed up my statement, including one from retired British trade negotiator Roderick Abbott who during his more than 40-year career worked on trade for the British government, the European Commission and the World Trade Organisation (WTO). |
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Oh, happy day. Brexit really does mean Brexit. Excellent. :tu:
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The single market as seen from 2017 is an utterly different beast than was apparent in 1988 and I am very glad that we are not going to try to remain members of it. |
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It was interesting to see her repeating the threat that Philip Hammond had made to try and turn the UK into a tax haven if the EU's position didn't meet her expectations and this was picked up by the journalist from El Pais who asked her if it was Britain's weapon in negotiations. I'm not sure of the benefit of her mentioning this; is she trying to sound strong? |
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Her repeating them today was less effective. Did she want the press to focus on these threats, ie a dead cat trick? Or was she dazzled by the attention of the Brexit press and decided to play up to them? |
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The pound is having a great day. Not sure but this might be the best day since the referendum.
Also it's clear that she hasn't 'given her cards' away. This hasn't damaged anything and given more clarity to the markets. Should have done this sooner and not messed around with childish comparisons to a poker game. |
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Nicola Sturgeon said back in October there would be another referendum if the UK left the single market.
Will be interesting to see her reaction. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk...-a7515551.html ---------- Post added at 13:47 ---------- Previous post was at 13:43 ---------- Quote:
Only the naive believed her poker game comparisons, the rest of us realised that she hadn't agreed the Government's position internally hence the delay. |
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"We need government to deliver a deal which includes participation in the customs union to help safeguard EU trade, trade that is tariff-free and avoids the non-tariff and regulatory barriers that would jeopardise investment, growth and consumer choice. Achieving this will not be easy and we must, at all costs, avoid a cliff-edge and reversion to WTO tariffs, which would threaten the viability of the industry." ---------- Post added at 13:59 ---------- Previous post was at 13:55 ---------- Quote:
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All there is are opinions from talking heads that won't be involved in any such deals. So until there are any direct quote from government officials that we want to do deals with, keep the opinions filed under " non-factual" |
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Other EU countries have already made it quite clear that she can't let Scotland just 'take over' where the UK left off and she's have to apply like any new EU member. So all in all, what she say's is pretty much meaningless and empty. |
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Trade deals are already being unofficially talked about now and some will be ready to go the day we are finally out. I said before there was no way for us to remain in the single market as the process for leaving the EU gaurantees your out of it if you leave the EU there was never any chance of us remaining in it. Defy the will of people really how so the majority voted out and out it is must be a new meaning to the phrase where the minority are the will of the people. Our position is a lot clearer today whilst highlighting the main areas we will be negotiating about and the economic response so far has been pretty positive.
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A Global Britain
The promptly closed "other thread on Brexit" was intended as an outlet for contributors who might want to discuss the positive aspect of developments in an adult fashion.
As it is we're stuck with this thread of constant remoan bleating. And, boy, do they have moaning down to an art form. Either that or they are as thick as two short planks. Or both. Oh well, fighting fire with fire will be fun :D |
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As a anti-tory,
Way to go May, this is the Brexit we need. Can you see Germany NOT come running to sell us their cars. |
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Most, probably all, Airbus aircraft can be specified with GE engines rather than Rolls Royce.
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How many wings do we make? Tariffs aren't a big deal unless you're doing it in bulk. A 3% at most is not much for a few items, even if those items are expensive, it's the mass import of parts that can be the problem. 3% soon adds up.
I think the traditional movement of goods will be easily arranged anyway. It's services that will be the big sticking point. |
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The common market of 500m consumers helped countries to specialise in what they're good at. For the UK, that's the service industry which serves the whole of the EU. Hence why Theresa May is open to a transitional arrangement so that service sector companies can reduce their operations in the UK and grow them in the EU27...over time, not over night. Such arrangements will be of benefit to both the UK and the EU27. ---------- Post added at 23:12 ---------- Previous post was at 23:10 ---------- Quote:
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Ah well, I can enjoy your continuing efforts here to save face :monkey:. |
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The french and the germans have been trying to lure company's out of the city of london for a longtime it's not a new thing because we voted to leave the EU. The sticking point has always been the infrastructure to operate at the level london does both the french and german governments believe the bulk of the infrastructure cost be on the companys that will benefit from it and those companys want it in place beforehand. I'm not overly concerned at this point of a mass evacuation from london to the continent or even within the next ten years or so although I'm sure some operations may move to the continent but the bulk will continue within london.
How anyone can have read the leaving process and thought for one second we could maintain access to the single market is beyond me it's made very clear that leaving the EU means out of the single market but so many remain supporters seemed to think there was going to be a magical deal. Only way they could think that is either 1, they haven't actually read the whole thing or 2, read and completely misinterpreted the meaning of the process either way I won't be taking details from them as fact anytime soon. |
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it's because they didn't understand what the vote was about . |
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My thoughts are that tariffs imposed are at the discretion of the imposer so we don't have to put tariffs on imports from the EU, likewise they don't have to put tariffs on our goods. So while access isn't as easy or "free" from outside deals can still be struck, likewise with other trade partners.
The UK can also decide duty levels, visa/travel arrangements between ourselves and the EU just as we can with other nations. Again not automatic or as free and easy. What we do have more freedom on is not having to always follow EU diktats on such matters. If the EU wants to impose higher duty on imports from certain countries and we don't we are free not too (this could already be there I don't know). What I think will be interesting is do we have to deal with the EU as a whole or can we work with individual countries within the EU. This will be the fun side of things, especially with some of the other members who are less happy with the EU. |
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No country outside of the EU can deal with only one member state. Any deals must be with the EU as a whole.
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Let's hope every vehicle maker can be given the reassurances they require and not just Nissan. It looks like greater efficiency and productivity will be needed in order to compensate for the effects of Brexit.
Toyota warns of Brexit damage to UK operations Leaving the European single market and customs union will damage the competitiveness of the UK operations of Toyota, the company’s chairman said on Wednesday, deepening the uncertainty facing its British workforce. Takeshi Uchiyamada told the Financial Times at the World Economic Forum in Davos that while he still hoped for a bright future for Toyota’s operations in Britain, the plants needed to become more competitive if they were to survive the damage from Theresa May’s plans for a hard Brexit. The warning from one of the world’s largest carmakers comes just 24 hours after the prime minister set out principles that include leaving the single market and the customs union and negotiating future ties and access. Subscribers can access via https://www.ft.com/content/24ccc368-...c-be108f1c1dce and anyone can read by googling the headline. It doesn't appear to be related to Brexit, but Toyota is now reducing agency staff at its Derbyshire plant. http://www.burtonmail.co.uk/toyota-c...ail/story.html |
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Trade deals affect more than UK companies, that is how a deal is struck, to the benefit of both parties. |
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This is not about letting go of the EU, I've stated many a time that we're all leavers now. Finally, Therese May has informed us of her plans without giving away her negotiating strategy...which no one asked her to. This is about Theresa May's promise to Nissan and how it should be made to other UK vehicle manufacturers as well to safeguard British jobs. Which I'm sure you'll agree is no bad thing. ---------- Post added at 17:49 ---------- Previous post was at 17:45 ---------- Quote:
I agree with you about how trade deals are struck but I'm unsure of its relevance here when I was stating that all UK vehicle manufacturers should be treated the same as Nissan. |
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With the supreme court ruling on Tuesday i'm wondering if the problems in NI are going to delay invoking A50 assuming the supreme court rules against the government
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I've had a nightmare 2 days at work.
So cheering myself by winding up bremoaners ob facebook. |
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Crying shame we did not sort out our car industry years ago. |
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The way I see it the Germans, French & Spanish won't raise their prizes too high as we won't buy them.
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do you want to check that lousy attitude of yours |
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Cars from America or Japan will rise in price as well purely because the pound has fallen quite a bit. As I understand it the bigger problems come from mass movement of materials rather than the end price of an item sold direct to a consumer.
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What problems in NI are you referring too? The border or the courts? |
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If the UK was able to sign a free trade deal with say a country like South Africa or Malaysia, it's possible that the UK could be supplied by those countries instead. Multinationals like GM and BMW have a bit of flexibility here. I guess another issue is how price-sensitive buyers or leasers are. Corporate buyers may be more reluctant to take on increased costs when they are already facing other increased costs. |
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Cars from outside the EU should get cheaper if we can cut the tariffs on them.:)
I'm loving my Japanese built Mitsubishi. BMW's are for wide boys. |
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On negotiating with individual countries, it depends on what aspects - trade, no chance, the EU is a single market |
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But it's not the individual purchasers that are the issue, it's the fleet buyers, that work for large businesses, and they work to a budget, not prestige. ---------- Post added at 09:56 ---------- Previous post was at 09:55 ---------- Quote:
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I really don't understand the attitude between drivers of different cars. I'm just as happy driving SWMBO's Juke as I am driving my big german car. Would much rather be on my R1/Speed Triple however. |
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Ride safe mate. |
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Don't forget that cars need parts... the price for these will probably rise as well.
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No major surprise here, there's lots of work to do.
Brexit: Philip Hammond warns deal 'will take years' Chancellor Philip Hammond has warned the process of exiting the EU is likely to last long beyond the two-year time frame stipulated by law. He said the UK's exit was not just about negotiating a free trade deal, and could involve talks on migration policy and interim arrangements. "There will be many transitions involved… these will take many years." The government has said it will trigger Article 50 - the formal process of leaving the EU - by the end of March. After that, it will officially have two years to complete the process. Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Mr Hammond said the government was still on track to meet this "rigid timeframe", adding that by the end of March 2019 he expected to "at least" have agreement on the "broad principles of the end state that will exist". http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38688786 ---------- Post added at 11:40 ---------- Previous post was at 11:21 ---------- I don't think his Brexit scenario is likely but we do know that people will get squeezed financially this year as the weaker currency pushes up prices. It will be interesting to gauge Brexit support when the penny follows the pound and drops. George Soros: Donald Trump 'will fail' and Theresa May's Brexit could 'last three days' “In my opinion, it is unlikely that Prime Minister May is actually going to remain in power. Already she has a very divided cabinet, a very small majority in Parliament. And I think she will not last,” said Mr Soros, who was nicknamed The Man Who Broke the Bank of England because of his $10bn (£8.1bn) short sale of sterling in 1992. “At the moment the people in the UK are in denial. "The current economic situation is not as bad as was predicted and they live in hope. But as the currency depreciates, and inflation will be the driving force, this will lead to declining living standards. “This is going to take some time, but when it does happen they’ll realise that they are earning less than before because wages won’t rise as fast as the cost of living. “The divorce is going to take a very long time. It’s much harder to divorce than to get married, so I think the desire for rapprochement will develop, and in theory or maybe even in practice you could have a situation in 2019 or 2020 when Britain will leave the EU, because it does have to take place, but they could leave on a Friday but join over the weekend and have the new arrangement in place on Monday morning.” |
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I don't care how long it takes (within reason), I just wish we'd get on with it! :(
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If one is doing something we must do it properly as a rushed botched job is often a job one has to go back to..
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For me, that simply illustrates one of the fallacies at the heart of the remain argument, which was that the EU was still a union of sovereign states and it was false to claim British sovereignty was being impinged.
In matters of international law there is a difference between de jure and de facto. The former is the technical, legally correct position. The latter is what, practically, exists on the ground. They may not be the same, and reconciling the two may be difficult or impossible to achieve. The UK is de jure an independent sovereign nation state, however the tangled web of treaties that form the EU have for some years meant that that the de facto situation is quite different. Our "sovereign" parliament has bound itself and its successors in so many different ways that it beggars belief. |
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Treaties do not de jure make a state non-sovereign. An individual treaty may be signed and then binned as required, and would not create a de facto end to a state's sovereignty. What has concerned me is the point at which that changes: at what point our membership of an organisation based on multiple complex treaties, some of which grant legislative competence and judicial oversight to supra-national bodies, means that whatever the strict legal definition of sovereignty may be, the practical exercise of it is fundamentally impinged.
Personally, I think Maastricht set us on that trajectory and only our exemptions from the single currency and the Schengen zone have allowed us this opportunity to back out of the project, difficult though it may be. |
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Thanks & you too |
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Positve news although the devil's in the detail
Schäuble says post-Brexit trade deal with UK can be done quickly Germany’s finance minister has signalled a willingness to reach a quick deal on trade with Britain, giving hope to the UK government that Brexit negotiations with the EU can be constructive and successful. Speaking at the World Economic Forum on Friday, Wolfgang Schäuble held out the olive branch but also stuck to his view that leaving the EU would damage the British economy, adding that threats to turn the UK into a version of Singapore with low taxes was beneath a great nation. Subscriber link https://www.ft.com/content/d2fa5938-...c-f253db7791c6 or Google the headline |
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Supreme Court rules against Government. Article 50 invocation has to be done by Parliament.
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The UK Government will be pleased by the unanimous ruling that the governments of NI, Wales and Scotland do not need to be asked as EU relations are a matter for the UK Government. http://news.sky.com/story/live-pm-mu...rexit-10740738 |
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I see another pointless person by the name of farron is DEMANDING things....
Go do one you waste of space, you have no power or authority. |
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This changes nothing.
It just means that the government have to produce a bill to trigger Article 50. There has already been a vote parliament a few weeks ago where it was agreed that MPs will not vote against triggering of Article 50. So as long as the MPs do not go back on that vote then Article 50 will be triggered by the end of March as planned. |
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The problem with a bill is that although it will go through, cleverstick remoaners will try to tack on amendments that may restrict our freedom on bargaining.
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Good to see Justice prevailing ;)
At least this whole crazy process will now be open to scrutiny from our elected representatives. Always be wary of Governments trying to rush things through, it's usually for the worse. Can't see why Mother Theresa's 'timetable' is so sacrosanct anyway; political considerations like when the next election is shouldn't come into it , better to get it right if we have to do it. |
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Yes open to scrutiny by the same elected representatives that didn't want anything to do with this and palmed it off onto the public and then were unhappy when we didn't vote how we were supposed too. Personally these days the less our divided self serving elected representatives have to do with anything the better it's likely to turn out we can now enjoy the spectacle of posturing and tough talking till things get done great result.
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A one sentence Bill and Miss Miller can return to obscurity and the other fella can get back to cut and blow jobs. We all happy :D. |
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The fact that it's been demonstrated that we need parliment to do this isn't really naffing me off (as long as parliment does do it ;) )
What naffs me off is: 1) that some/many leave voters are suddenly so interested in parlimentary sovereignty whilst saying/fibbing "of course we agree that brexit should happen" ......whilst keeping their fingers crossed that it won't happen now that it has to be put to parliment. 2) many leave bigwigs are trying to convince us that all this is necessary because we "didn't really know what we were voting for".....when they were the ones who repeatedly told us exactly what would happen if we voted leave. :rolleyes: |
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---------- Post added at 17:54 ---------- Previous post was at 17:48 ---------- 'Straightforward' Brexit bill to be published on Thursday, says Davis https://www.theguardian.com/politics...ys-david-davis |
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It is as it should be :). |
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Lets bring trump in he'll sort the mess out
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He probably would!
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MP's want a white paper fully outlining the governments negotiating plan yes because things won't be hard enough without one of our great elected representatives leaking the details to the EU. The fun and games are already starting and by the time they have finished our position will be worse then if the talking heads had just left it alone as they always wanted to when they assumed the UK public would vote to remain.
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