![]() |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
The rats don't need to go down with the ship those with any sense will ensure only the captain is lost;)
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
https://goodlawproject.org/update/jo...ed-parliament/ |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
While the Green Party do routinely support the SNP on confidence or supply this Committee was a matter of neither. Failure to convince people you disagree with politically often relates to matters other than the evidence, as routinely demonstrated (at a lower level) on this very forum. If this was the silver bullet opponents of the SNP wish it to be it’d be announced in the proper manner. Not just in time for a BBC Panorama special. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Sturgeon did not break the ministerial code.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
The code requires misleading to have been done knowingly for a breach to have occurred. It seems to me that a great deal of effort has gone in to ensuring she *didn’t* know things, against this very eventuality. It seems pretty clear that her evidence to parliament was very wobbly and misleading but that those around her did just enough to insulate her from what was going on. I believe that’s what the Americans like to call “plausible deniability”.
Interesting that Hamilton has (for now) ducked the issue of whether the code, as written, is even fit for purpose. Sturgeon may not have breached the code as written but it is blindingly obvious that the government she leads was presiding over an absolute circus. Ah well, on we go to the election. The candidate mailings have started coming through our door this week and we already have our poll cards. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
However it's a shame another FM 'got away with it'... Hopefully justice will catch up with him at some point. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
https://www.scotsman.com/health/coro...ohnson-3040619 |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Well we now know why grubby accusations were leaked out, breaching the confidence of witnesses and the code of conduct of members of the committee on a Thursday night. The BBC had the big guns out as Laura K found the time to remove herself from the Westminster bubble (and Boris's rear end), virtually I assume, to comment on Scotland.
And yet, it all amounted to nothing but a smear campaign from the opposition. No allegations of misconduct of any substance. It'll play well to the ~50% of Scotland with no intention of voting SNP anyway, but it leaves the London parties further detached than ever from the other ~50% of the voters they need to persuade in order to win an election here. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
I cannot really think of anything that she has done that was so much different from what Boris did, considering the poll was taken in Scotland, it's of no real surprise that the findings favoured Sturgeon rather than Boris. ---------- Post added at 18:05 ---------- Previous post was at 18:03 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
You may well disagree Max, but then again you always would for anything that did anything other than condemn Sturgeon regardless of evidence.
Such is how polarised Scottish politics is, it's like living in two different realities. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Laura K for the BBC has never been up Johnsons Arse. :dozey: |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Happy to trot out the latest lines from CCHQ but little credible journalism. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
---------- Post added at 18:12 ---------- Previous post was at 18:11 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
I've said before the Establishment would try to stop it, I'm sure everyone who can observe reality would accept that they did. I'm not sure the difficulty you have with that observation. It's perfectly reasonable fair comment and observably true from both sides of the fence. There's three years worth of posts about it. I don't see why my views on independence deny me the right to make fair comment observations on how hopeless the opposition parties are. As a rational English person I'm not surprised you oppose Scottish independence really. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Even the unionist parties are campaigning to “stop” indyref2 because they know the position isn’t tenable to say once in a generation/once in a lifetime. If voters had backed second EU referendum parties they would have got a second vote. As it happens they were resoundingly rejected, but that’s democracy. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
She wasn't "cleared" of lying by the "independent" report, just it couldn't be conclusively proved that she deliberately lied.
Then it is often the case that it can't always be conclusively proved that somebody lied. Not sure they get the same benefit of the doubt. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
I hope 'indyref2' goes ahead and succeeds . . .
:D |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Here have a video that totally destroys your ridiculous assertion that it wasn't said when it WAS you liar! |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Mick, it's the best of three, or maybe the best of five, oh wait, we'll just keep going till we get the vote we want.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Wouldnt play for me Mick however I sense today hasn't gone how you wanted ! ;)
By the time they get round to another vote it will have been around 10 years since the last vote. It could be argued that is a new generation with 10 years worth of new voters. If the SNP go into the election with a platform of another referendum and the people vote for it, then the mandate is there. They don't need approval from Bozza or anyone in England. If people want to exit they should be allowed, there is a precedent for that in this country... . |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
---------- Post added at 19:30 ---------- Previous post was at 19:28 ---------- Quote:
---------- Post added at 19:32 ---------- Previous post was at 19:30 ---------- Quote:
As far as I can tell the opposition are fighting on a platform of "we (Tories) voted against Sturgeon in the vote of no confidence and they didn't (Labour). They're competing for the same 50% of the vote, not the other 50%. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
---------- Post added at 19:39 ---------- Previous post was at 19:35 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Closing all the Pubs, and banning fans from football matches isn't anything to do with Scottish independence mate, sorry ;) |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
weasel-worded duplicity
What a brilliant phrase, and to be fair it covers everything from Politics to Pizza Deliveries :D |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
What is unusual is that the proposal is for a referendum closer to 10 years after the previous one. However if that’s what people vote for they are entitled to time and time again until people get bored of it. If the opposition are ineffective at portraying that as a waste of time, or distracting from getting on with day to day business, or portraying their own vision for Scotland within the devolution settlement then that’s unlikely to change. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
It was once in a generation vote. Not my words, the pathetic separatists in the SNP.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
The Greens will cosy up to the Nats to defeat a vote of no confidence but the stench will continue. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
As ever, let the people decide. Democracy is only welcomed if it gives the 'right' result. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
---------- Post added at 10:54 ---------- Previous post was at 10:54 ---------- Quote:
Note that I say "if the SNP win a majority" so if you cast it up, like observations on Brexit, in a few years time that it accurately represents my opinion on how I see it playing out. Whether I'd vote for or against independence is irrelevant to my view it's untenable. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
You have no right to say this given the absolute shit you’ve spouted since Brexit vote. You’re a hypocrite Mr K, through and through. :rolleyes: ---------- Post added at 11:49 ---------- Previous post was at 11:46 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
You can repeat it as you please - it's an opinion not anything of legal standing. :dunce:
It's your preference for it to not happen, as I'd expect from English nationalists but your opinion has equal legal weight to SNP mouthpieces speaking then. None. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
The very practice of holding referendums in our constitution can only ever be advisory in nature. Everything about the way they are conducted is built on a shared understanding of what the outcome of the vote will be. The most the Edinburgh Declaration could say was that both sides would recognise the result as definitive. It was clear afterwards, from comments made by both SNP signatories to that agreement, what they considered definitive to be. Without caveat, this was “once in a generation, if not once in a lifetime.” We therefore all voted on the understanding that we had better do so thoughtfully because it was a one-off. Nationalists are of course free in our democracy to go on arguing that black is white but that doesn’t alter the government’s absolutely reasonable decision to point out that 2014 produced a definitive result which it intends to respect. Sturgeon is of course free to go on publishing pie in the sky plans to do this that and the other, but she has publicly and repeatedly accepted the real constitutional position and knows she can’t pull off a referendum anyone outside the nationalist movement will take seriously without transfer of powers from this country’s only sovereign parliament. Sturgeon’s primary objective is to appear sufficiently engaged with the indyref proposition so as not to be dismissed from party leadership by her own hardliners. But she knows that the real prize is not to hold a publicity stunt vote, but to win a legally watertight referendum. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Oh thank you, for giving me the permission to repeat it as I please, so just to confirm, I’ve got permission from you, on my own property to do something. Gee thanks for granting me this right. :erm: But just to correct you. It’s not my preference for it not to happen. But the Scottish people themselves, who voted in 2014, in a once in a generation referendum. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
I know it’s quite rare on Cable Forum but we could just move past this point noting that we will never agree on it? If the SNP win a majority and London reject an independence referendum I’ll hold my hands up on that point. It’s here in black and white that it’s my guess. ---------- Post added at 12:33 ---------- Previous post was at 12:29 ---------- Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Hamilton said he accepted that Sturgeon did not knowingly mislead Parliament and left the question on if they were misled at all to Parliament itself. Crucially this meant he found she did not break the Ministerial Code because it specifies you need to knowingly mislead Parliament to break it. The committee found she did mislead Parliament but not knowingly. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
The Alba party
Alex Salmond becomes leader of new pro-independence Alba Party Scotland's former first minister Alex Salmond has re-entered frontline politics to become the new leader of the pro-independence Alba Party. The party was registered with the Electoral Commission in January by retired TV producer Laurie Flynn, who is making way for Mr Salmond. Alba Party will have candidates in the Scottish Parliament elections on 6 May. Mr Salmond said in a statement: "Today I'm announcing the public launch of a new political force, the Alba Party. https://news.sky.com/story/alex-salm...party-12257381 |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Break out the popcorn.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
A "list-only" party. Could get messy.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
I genuinely misread it as ""Today I'm announcing the public launch of a new political farce, the Alba Party." and am now chuckling at the aptness of this. :D
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
What I will add though, is that if the UK Government decide that pro-independence parties 'gamed' the system to put more pro-independence MSPs into the Scottish Parliament it could be politically sustainable grounds to reject another referendum.
Salmond is talking about 90+ seats. While theoretically possible, getting such an absurd amount on say 49% of the vote would erode any such mandate. The SNP/Greens have always had the potential for such an anomaly but I don't think anyone can accuse either party of meaningfully acting against the spirit of the system. Salmond is. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Predict some deposits will be lost for some fat blokes ego. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
i wish someone had posted a picture of sturgeon's face when he announced this.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Oh blessed day. This election really is going to be fun. If the Alba party shaves off a few of the real heidbangers they may get enough votes to deny the SNP a few seats without actually winning any themselves, thanks to the PR-ish system we use here. That would be hilariously counter-productive.
The other possibility is that the Alba Party has such mass appeal that it picks up votes the SNP wouldn’t have, in which case we’re heading for a comfortable nationalist majority in Holyrood, split across Alba and SNP. Goodness only knows how Nicola would bring herself to go into a coalition with Alex if that happened. I don’t think the latter scenario is very likely with Alex Salmond in charge though. I just don’t see Brand Salmond as being attractive to anyone who doesn’t already vote Nat, especially not while he’s leading a party with such a dog-whistle name. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
In the first scenario the only impact on the SNP (as they're making it clear they are in this for a pro-independence supermajority) is the potential loss of the 4 "list" seats they hold. With the large number of votes it takes for the SNP to get anyone off the list it's hard to see how they'd (Salmond) not win seats. Could be a worrying time for the Greens though who generally rely on a 5-6% drop off of SNP first votes in the list.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
It's a great hand grenade tossed into the arena.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
My impression is the party won't gain much traction. I am hoping it does divide the nationalists in the way the unionists are divided though.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
Salmond's difficulty is that the SNP is already slagging him off in the press, so the chances of very large numbers of loyal SNP voters giving him their list vote must seem remote. Tactically, the SNP should be leaving him alone and letting him make his case - as you say, the SNP has so many constituency seats that they don't get much out of the list top up anyway. They have nothing to gain by attacking a party that isn't really contesting the same set of seats as they are. I don't think they're going to be able to get past the personality of the person leading the party though. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Just thinking aloud what would Salmond’s price be to prop up an SNP minority given his recent troubles?
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
I suspect on all issues barring plans for a referendum he'd want to negotiate. I can't see him being interested in a coalition. Issue by issue gives him more power. If he did go for a full coalition the price would have to be a referendum at the very earliest opportunity. I suspect he is thinking a comfortable nationalist majority in Holyrood would give them sufficient moral cover to press ahead without Westminster agreement.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
I was thinking more around personalities involved in the upper echelons of Government/SNP who he might blame for his strife.
I agree with you on issues tho. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Apparently 6% of the (second) vote is where the Alba party could start to prove problematic across the regions.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Krankie's not happy.
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
LMFAO |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
I know everyone loves an FT link here's John Major saying Westminster shouldn't refuse a second referendum and instead make a positive case for the union and a new constitutional settlement.
https://amp.ft.com/content/8d751854-...mpression=true Article can be accessed by using Google "John Major: Westminster should not refuse Scotland a referendum" |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
For Salmond’s strategy to work, he needs to get large numbers of SNP voters to vote SNP for their constituency and then for the Alba Party on the regional list. But the SNP has gone straight into full-scale attack mode so it’s clearly not going to play along. If Salmond’s party is a flop, he may simply end up siphoning off enough SNP votes to lose them their list seats without gaining them for himself. He certainly isn’t going to get his supermajority unless the SNP starts genuinely cooperating with him. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
The latest Survation poll has the SNP winning a majority off the constituencies alone. In that eventuality it’d be almost impossible to take anything off the list.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Alex Salmnd ally MP Kenny MacAskill quits SNP for Alba Party
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotla...itics-56550195 |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
You have a point though, they do tend to do slightly less well on the list vote, by a couple of points. The greens seem to be the main beneficiaries of that as things stand. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
I do think that’s what will make the election fascinating viewing. A few percentage points either way impacts on the swing seats and the list is designed to compensate but doesn’t always perfectly - as you say it depends where the gains/losses are. SNP list votes do trend lower by around 5% with the main beneficiary the Greens as you say. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
All this agreeing with each other is disconcerting.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
As I've said to others there's no point getting bogged down in the things we won't agree on. Any political observer, on either side, has to acknowledge it makes for fascinating viewing. Which I think should make for fascinating discussion which I look forward to over the next 7 weeks or so.
Plus the aftermath I guess. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
BREAKING: Neale Hanvey MP (Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath) has left the Scottish National Party and joined the Alba Party.
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Who?
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Ah that'll be a reference to Kenny releasing the "Lockerbie bomber" who probably didn't do it after 8.5 years.
He had terminal cancer and lived 2.75 years, and still probably didn't plant the bomb. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
I really. Dread to think what would happen if they got their way, we are to old to leave Scotland and would hate to be ruled by the SNP , They are so full of hate and believe they are correct all the time, Scotland must waken up and realise what they are! I really worry about what the future is for Scotland,
|
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
"Full of hate" such uninspiring and divisive rhetoric. The kind of thing I'd strongly advise unionists against as it's simply perpetuating and entrenching their problem at the ballot box.
Believing Scotland could self-govern better than it is being governed from London isn't a hateful pursuit. Portraying it as such is denying the right of Scottish people to self-determination - be that a decision to remain in the UK or independence. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Quote:
And aren't you ruled by the SNP now to some extent? |
All times are GMT +1. The time now is 13:23. |
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
All Posts and Content are © Cable Forum