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-   -   Coronavirus (OLD) (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33708712)

papa smurf 30-05-2020 15:29

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36037748)
Probably not - there’s probably a genetic factor involved, and since most people in that area are related, that may be the reason for the resistance to infection... ;)

Yea you could be right, locally the town is known as sandwich town,cos we're all in bred:)

OLD BOY 30-05-2020 20:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36035297)

North Lincolnshire now has 510 confirmed cases - up nine in the last 24 hours and an infection rate of 296.5 per 100,000 of the population.

My God, and that's just contemplating easing of the restrictions!

Everybody, stop thinking!! :shocking:

jfman 30-05-2020 20:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36037775)
My God, and that's just contemplating easing of the restrictions!

Everybody, stop thinking!! :shocking:

The one good thing we have is plenty of experience in ignoring internationally recognised best practice on dealing with pandemics.

It will not work.

1andrew1 31-05-2020 14:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
I'm looking forward to the lockdown easing.

But the number of deaths in the UK v other European countries does concern me. Am I right to be concerned?

The countries with the largest number of CV-19 deaths on 29 May were:
UK: 324
Italy: 87
Sweden: 84

jfman 31-05-2020 14:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36037847)
I'm looking forward to the lockdown easing.

But the number of deaths in the UK v other European countries does concern me. Am I right to be concerned?

The countries with the largest number of CV-19 deaths on 29 May were:
UK: 324
Italy: 87
Sweden: 84

Yes.

We’ve essentially reset the clock to mid February. What controls are in place now that were not then to prevent exponential spread?

Paul 31-05-2020 15:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36037847)
Am I right to be concerned?

I'm sure the forums resident viral experts will soon tell you. ;)

Chris 31-05-2020 15:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36037848)
Yes.

We’ve essentially reset the clock to mid February. What controls are in place now that were not then to prevent exponential spread?

I assume this is a wilfully dim question designed to provoke debate.

jfman 31-05-2020 16:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36037852)
I assume this is a wilfully dim question designed to provoke debate.

Far from it. We know what happens with uncontrolled spread. It’s tried, tested and failed to sufficiently keep the number of serious cases (and deaths) down.

The lockdown was an emergency brake. Until we are in a position to quickly identify cases as they arise, trace and test known contacts there is a sense of inevitability about where this goes and further lockdowns become inevitable.

Washing your hands to God Save the Queen won’t cut it.

papa smurf 31-05-2020 16:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36037852)
I assume this is a wilfully dim question designed to provoke debate.

Seems it was unwillfully dim;)

Damien 31-05-2020 19:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
I think opening up is more of a risk here than it was elsewhere as we do still have quite a few cases, the track and trace system isn't fulling up and neither is the app (surprise!) so we'll see..

On the other hand, I don't see how much longer they could maintain it. We're already having one of the longest lockdowns in Europe, albeit less strict, and you can only hold it so long.

OLD BOY 31-05-2020 20:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36037854)
Far from it. We know what happens with uncontrolled spread. It’s tried, tested and failed to sufficiently keep the number of serious cases (and deaths) down.

The lockdown was an emergency brake. Until we are in a position to quickly identify cases as they arise, trace and test known contacts there is a sense of inevitability about where this goes and further lockdowns become inevitable.

Washing your hands to God Save the Queen won’t cut it.

The lockdown was an attempt to slow the spread of the virus down, not to stop it. That was never going to happen.

jfman 31-05-2020 20:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36037874)
The lockdown was an attempt to slow the spread of the virus down, not to stop it. That was never going to happen.

Certainly done in the ineffective manner that the UK have managed the situation it would never stop the virus from spreading.

This will have longer term consequences in terms of trade and tourism - countries that have effectively managed the situation will keep the UK on a blacklist - e.g. Greece not admitting UK tourists due to our deaths/infection rate being too high.

Pierre 31-05-2020 20:29

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36037872)
I think opening up is more of a risk here than it was elsewhere as we do still have quite a few cases, the track and trace system isn't fulling up and neither is the app (surprise!) so we'll see..

On the other hand, I don't see how much longer they could maintain it. We're already having one of the longest lockdowns in Europe, albeit less strict, and you can only hold it so long.

Everywhere, in Europe at least is opening up again and so we have to. As Raab said this morning we can’t be in lockdown forever. It’s a balancing act and we gave to try and move one.......Stay alert, use common sense.

jfman 31-05-2020 20:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36037879)
Everywhere, in Europe at least is opening up again and so we have to. As Raab said this morning we can’t be in lockdown forever. It’s a balancing act and we gave to try and move one.......Stay alert, use common sense.

We don't have to anything simply because Europe is doing something, especially compared countries that either locked down earlier (Italy), harder (Spain) or simply managed the situation better (Germany).

We should manage the situation based on our experience here - what happened to take back control?

Mr K 31-05-2020 20:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36037880)
We don't have to anything simply because Europe is doing something, especially compared countries that either locked down earlier (Italy), harder (Spain) or simply managed the situation better (Germany).

We should manage the situation based on our experience here - what happened to take back control?

He took back control, and fancied a day trip to Barnard Castle to see the bluebells/test his eyesight, on his wife's Birthday, in the middle of a pandemic...

Mick 31-05-2020 21:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36037881)
He took back control, and fancied a day trip to Barnard Castle to see the bluebells/test his eyesight, on his wife's Birthday, in the middle of a pandemic...

This will be the last reference to Dominic Cummings in this thread as I had previously instructed. I have closed the other thread because of the repetitive pettiness on the subject of Mr Cummings, we will not be discussing him in this thread !!!

ianch99 31-05-2020 22:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Just saw this, made me laugh :)

Quote:

TORY PARTY WITH A 12-POINT LEAD OVER LABOUR: stay at home, save lives

TORY PARTY WITH A 4-POINT LEAD OVER LABOUR: everything's fine, take nana to the races
Good night ..

Mick 31-05-2020 22:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Just seen this, Tories back up to 10 point lead.

Westminster Voting Intention:

CON: 45% (+1)
LAB: 35% (-3)

Via @YouGov, 29-30 May.
Changes w/ 25-26 May.

Made me laugh, harder.

Damien 31-05-2020 22:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
They were at 20% at the start of the month though. It's is quite an impressive fall although that fall did start happening before Cummings.

jfman 31-05-2020 22:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Steady!

Pierre 31-05-2020 23:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36037889)
They were at 20% at the start of the month though. It's is quite an impressive fall although that fall did start happening before Cummings.

As talked about earlier. Polling is pointless at most times, ven more so now. The next election is not until November 2024 (although they’ll probably move it to May)

So polls may be interesting to look at in around 3 years.

Mick 31-05-2020 23:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36037889)
They were at 20% at the start of the month though. It's is quite an impressive fall although that fall did start happening before Cummings.

They’re still higher than they were elected in Dec 19. Labour losing ground with a new leader and government that supposedly losing credibility over Covid19 response.

Damien 01-06-2020 08:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36037894)
They’re still higher than they were elected in Dec 19. Labour losing ground with a new leader and government that supposedly losing credibility over Covid19 response.

Labour aren't losing ground with the new leader though because the Tories went higher after the election but before Starmer was elected.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinio...neral_election

In the poll before Starmer was elected the Tories were at 24% in the equivalent YouGov poll. At the start of the year they were at 20%.

Starmer has only been in the job two months and the polling average has halfed. Now that isn't just him, or just Cummings, as you say it's also the Covid 19 response.. Either way though the polling is narrowing:

https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2020/06/1.png

1andrew1 01-06-2020 09:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36037903)
Labour aren't losing ground with the new leader though because the Tories went higher after the election but before Starmer was elected.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinio...neral_election

In the poll before Starmer was elected the Tories were at 24% in the equivalent YouGov poll. At the start of the year they were at 20%.

Starmer has only been in the job two months and the polling average has halfed. Now that isn't just him, or just Cummings, as you say it's also the Covid 19 response.. Either way though the polling is narrowing:

Agreed - polls indicate Labour aren't losing ground with the new leader though I appreciate there are a number of people who are sceptical of polls.
I think Starmer has performed very well in this crisis whilst it's been a mixed bag for the Conservatives. He's generally put himself above Cumminsgate and let the Conservative Party do what Labour used to - fight amongst themselves and weaken the leader's authority.
I think Labour's percentage has benefitted from the Liberal Democrats not having a permanent leader - I assume there will be an election this year. A successful Liberal Democrat leader could narrow the Labour-Conservative gap by chipping away at the Conservative vote.

papa smurf 01-06-2020 09:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36037904)
Agreed - polls indicate Labour aren't losing ground with the new leader though I appreciate there are a number of people who are sceptical of polls.
I think Starmer has performed very well in this crisis whilst it's been a mixed bag for the Conservatives. He's generally put himself above Cumminsgate and let the Conservative Party do what Labour used to - fight amongst themselves and weaken the leader's authority.
I think Labour's percentage has benefitted from the Liberal Democrats not having a permanent leader - I assume there will be an election this year. A successful Liberal Democrat leader could narrow the Labour-Conservative gap by chipping away at the Conservative vote.

What has he done?

ianch99 01-06-2020 09:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
It wasn't the tribal polling aspect I was commenting on. Rather the humour was sardonic, it seems that the lockdown is being relaxed more for political reasons than scientific ones. In fact, a number of the scientific advisors are uneasy with what has been announced:

Coronavirus: Scientists who advise government warn lockdown being eased too soon

mrmistoffelees 01-06-2020 10:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36037906)
It wasn't the tribal polling aspect I was commenting on. Rather the humour was sardonic, it seems that the lockdown is being relaxed more for political reasons than scientific ones. In fact, a number of the scientific advisors are uneasy with what has been announced:

Coronavirus: Scientists who advise government warn lockdown being eased too soon

The cynics amongst us would consider if the government were attempting to bribe the populace.

Sephiroth 01-06-2020 10:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36037905)
What has he done?

That's entirely the point. As Opposition leader, all he can do right now is criticise in the hope he'll be PM in 2024.

On the other hand, his party represents millions of voters. There is a case to be made, if it's not happening already, for COBRA to include the Opposition Leader & Shadow Health Minister.


1andrew1 01-06-2020 10:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36037905)
What has he done?

He's been doing his job and the public have noticed. Be it asking the right questions in PMQ or being restrained in Cummingsgate. And behind the scenes he's been sorting out the issues in his party.

Sephiroth 01-06-2020 11:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36037912)
He's been doing his job and the public have noticed. Be it asking the right questions in PMQ or being restrained in Cummingsgate. And behind the scenes he's been sorting out the issues in his party.

Antisemitism? Not something to be sorted out "behind the scenes". And nothing to show for his first four days proclamation on the subject.

I suspect the public, who are fickle, haven't noticed him so much (but he's not been a negative distraction) as they have some concerns over Boris right now.

joglynne 01-06-2020 11:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine enters phase 2/3 clinical trial
https://www.fiercebiotech.com/biotec...clinical-trial

Quote:

snippet .. Researchers at the University of Oxford have begun enrolling subjects in a phase 2/3 clinical trial of AstraZeneca-partnered COVID-19 vaccine AZD1222. The next stage of the program, which follows a 1,000-subject phase 1, is set to enroll 10,260 people in the U.K. to generate results to support the first shipments to customers in September.
Link courtesy of Kevin.

1andrew1 01-06-2020 11:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36037918)
Antisemitism? Not something to be sorted out "behind the scenes". And nothing to show for his first four days proclamation on the subject.

I suspect the public, who are fickle, haven't noticed him so much (but he's not been a negative distraction) as they have some concerns over Boris right now.

It's behind the scenes partly because the largely Conservative press are focused elsewhere. Just because it's not on the front page of the Telegraph doesn't mean it's not taking place. Anyway, don't want to take this thread off track. ;)

Hugh 01-06-2020 12:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by joglynne (Post 36037921)

Some expansion on the timeline from the Oxford Vaccine Centre.

https://covid19vaccinetrial.co.uk/ph...rial-explained
Quote:

When will the results be available?

To assess whether the vaccine works to protect from COVID-19, the statisticians in our team will compare the number of infections in the control group with the number of infections in the vaccinated group. For this purpose, it is necessary for a small number of study participants to develop COVID-19. How quickly we reach the numbers required will depend on the levels of virus transmission in the community. If transmission remains high, we may get enough data in a couple of months to see if the vaccine works, but if transmission levels drop, this could take up to 6 months. Recruitment of those who have a higher chance of being exposed to the SARS-CoV-2 virus is being prioritised, such as frontline healthcare workers, frontline support staff and public-facing key workers, in an effort to capture the efficacy data as quickly as possible.

Sephiroth 01-06-2020 12:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Looks like consignment to frustrating failure due to good news!

RichardCoulter 01-06-2020 13:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36037775)
My God, and that's just contemplating easing of the restrictions!

Everybody, stop thinking!! :shocking:

Not sure what happened there, but I never said that about North Linconshire!

Pierre 01-06-2020 14:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36037912)
He's been doing his job and the public have noticed. Be it asking the right questions in PMQ or being restrained in Cummingsgate. And behind the scenes he's been sorting out the issues in his party.

he's been smart, and knows when to keep his mouth shut and lay low.

When the crisis is over he will return to tell how he would have done it so much better.

1andrew1 01-06-2020 14:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36037933)
he's been smart, and knows when to keep his mouth shut and lay low.

When the crisis is over he will return to tell how he would have done it so much better.

I think his next steps depend very much on how the return to normality goes. If things go badly, then the country will naturally want an inquisition. If they go well then he will focus on other areas.

Hugh 01-06-2020 14:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Back on topic, please.

pip08456 01-06-2020 14:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36037926)
Some expansion on the timeline from the Oxford Vaccine Centre.

https://covid19vaccinetrial.co.uk/ph...rial-explained

Thanks for that Hugh applied for Phase II will let you know how it goes.

papa smurf 01-06-2020 15:20

Re: Coronavirus
 
Coronavirus LIVE updates: No fatalities in two days in 69 trusts - UK reports 115 deaths

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-new...kdown-22118071

Hugh 01-06-2020 15:29

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36037938)
Thanks for that Hugh applied for Phase II will let you know how it goes.

Good luck - I wanted to, but nearest are Sheffield and Hull, and you have to live within a certain distance of each (I don't... :( ).

Paul 01-06-2020 15:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Its pretty much normal for the popularity of whoever is in power to fall (and rise again) over their time in power.

Since the election is not until 2024, its really of little significance.

pip08456 01-06-2020 15:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36037943)
Good luck - I wanted to, but nearest are Sheffield and Hull, and you have to live within a certain distance of each (I don't... :( ).

As it is I am within the postcode area. It doesn't mean I'll be picked, just that I've applied.

Due to the urgency I assume I'll get a phone call sometime this coming week.

Paul 01-06-2020 18:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Lockdown effects could be causing hayfever
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-new...kdown-22118071

Quote:

The lack of traffic in the UK due to lockdown may be good news for the environment - but it’s bad news for allergy sufferers, and an expert has explained why.

Hay fever sufferers noticing their allergies seem worse than usual this year are correct, the expert told ITV’s Good Morning Britain.

Dr Hilary Jones has explained a dry month and a lack of pollution from cars during the UK’s coronavirus lockdown has contributed to a particularly severe hay fever season, the Daily Express reports.

Itchy eyes and sneezing have become a fresh hazard for Brits out enjoying the sunshine while keeping a two-metre distance.
I can vouch for this, mine has been dreadful the last 2/3 weeks, often overpowering my tablets.

Sephiroth 01-06-2020 18:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Schuessler Combination H keeps my Hayfever at bay. Has done for 30 years+. No idea whether they help keep CV away.

Hugh 01-06-2020 19:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36037966)
Schuessler Combination H keeps my Hayfever at bay. Has done for 30 years+. No idea whether they help keep CV away.

I misread that as “Preparation H" :shocked:

That would clear your sinuses... :D

OLD BOY 01-06-2020 20:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36037909)
That's entirely the point. As Opposition leader, all he can do right now is criticise in the hope he'll be PM in 2024.

On the other hand, his party represents millions of voters. There is a case to be made, if it's not happening already, for COBRA to include the Opposition Leader & Shadow Health Minister.


A good leader of the opposition would be holding the government to account in a constructive way and point to practical alternative approaches to problems where there was disagreement.

Any idiot can sit there criticising.

1andrew1 01-06-2020 20:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36037981)
A good leader of the opposition would be holding the government to account in a constructive way and point to practical alternative approaches to problems where there was disagreement.

Any idiot can sit there criticising.

Sir Keir is doing the former successfully whilst Jeremy Corbyn struggled with the latter.

Paul 01-06-2020 20:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36037982)
Sir Keir is doing the former successfully whilst Jeremy Corbyn struggled with the latter.

I dont know about that, he did quite well at being an idiot.

jfman 01-06-2020 22:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36037961)
Lockdown effects could be causing hayfever
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-new...kdown-22118071

I can vouch for this, mine has been dreadful the last 2/3 weeks, often overpowering my tablets.

I’m not sure let’s lift the lockdown and disproportionately put at risk BAME people because white, middle class people are having worse hayfever is something that’s likely to fly.

I could be wrong though, and if there’s a government to put a monetary value one it then it would be this one.

Sephiroth 01-06-2020 22:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36037992)
I’m not sure let’s lift the lockdown and disproportionately put at risk BAME people because white, middle class people are having worse hayfever is something that’s likely to fly.

I could be wrong though, and if there’s a government to put a monetary value one it then it would be this one.

A mischievous comment of low value.

Paul 01-06-2020 23:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36037992)
I’m not sure let’s lift the lockdown and disproportionately put at risk BAME people because white, middle class people are having worse hayfever is something that’s likely to fly.

WTF are you talking about.
I never suggested any such thing.
... and you wonder why you get banned from topics.
You're treading on thin ice if you start trolling with such stupidity.

Mr K 02-06-2020 09:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36037992)
I’m not sure let’s lift the lockdown and disproportionately put at risk BAME people because white, middle class people are having worse hayfever is something that’s likely to fly.

I could be wrong though, and if there’s a government to put a monetary value one it then it would be this one.

tbh i think they've privately accepted there will be a lot more deaths from Covid, however the economy is now coming first. As long as the NHS doesn't get overwhelmed. It might make economic sense as long as its not one of your own family, or you now think you're immune...

Next winter will be the issue if there's no vaccine, and the usual increased admissions due to flu etc. The time to prepare for that is now, not wait for it. There should be increased taxes on those that can more than afford to pay. But will they do the right thing or just wait for events again?

Sephiroth 02-06-2020 09:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36038004)
tbh i think they've privately accepted there will be a lot more deaths from Covid, however the economy is now coming first. As long as the NHS doesn't get overwhelmed. It might make economic sense as long as its not one of your own family, or you now think you're immune...

Next winter will be the issue if there's no vaccine, and the usual increased admissions due to flu etc. The time to prepare for that is now, not wait for it. There should be increased taxes on those that can more than afford to pay. But will they do the right thing or just wait for events again?

Quote:

Next winter will be the issue if there's no vaccine, and the usual increased admissions due to flu etc. The time to prepare for that is now, not wait for it.
Ah - something sensible.

Quote:

There should be increased taxes on those that can more than afford to pay. But will they do the right thing or just wait for events again?
Oh- not the Nightingale Hospitals, but more taxes. What a let down.



Mr K 02-06-2020 09:29

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36038007)


Ah - something sensible.



Oh- not the Nightingale Hospitals, but more taxes. What a let down.



How do you expect to pay for it then old chap ? They'll get if from you one way or another ;)

Carth 02-06-2020 09:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36038009)
How do you expect to pay for it then old chap ? They'll get if from you one way or another ;)

Crowdfunding? every bugger else is doing it :D

Mr K 02-06-2020 09:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36038011)
Crowdfunding? every bugger else is doing it :D

Possibly, if we could force Capt Tom to walk round his garden another 2,000,000 times that would help......

Borrowing seems to be the in thing, all very well when interest rates are low, but it's going cost the country a heck of a lot more in the long run. Very socialist too.

I don't think people have realised the economic impact yet or that many of those furloughed won't have a job to go back to.

Sephiroth 02-06-2020 09:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36038009)
How do you expect to pay for it then old chap ? They'll get if from you one way or another ;)

According to my understanding, the Chancellor intends treating the debt and subsequent investment as a sort of lend-lease debt; something to be repaid over 50 or 60 years. In order to do this, tax rises, if any, would only need to be moderate or low (assuming no efficiencies can replace tax rises).

Anyway, what's your eal point? Knock the Tories, I'm sure.

Mr K 02-06-2020 09:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36038015)
According to my understanding, [B]the Chancellor intends treating the debt and subsequent investment as a sort of lend-lease debt; something to be repaid over 50 or 60 years. In order to do this, tax rises, if any, would only need to be moderate or low (assuming no efficiencies can replace tax rises).

Anyway, what's your eal point? Knock the Tories, I'm sure.

So yes , borrowing. ie. we pay back a lot more than we borrow over 50 to 60 years.... i.e. let the next generation deal with it (again), along with climate change and all the other crap we've bequeathed....

Sephiroth 02-06-2020 09:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36038016)
So yes , borrowing. ie. we pay back a lot more than we borrow over 50 to 60 years.... i.e. let the next generation deal with it (again), along with climate change and all the other crap we've bequeathed....

That's a very shallow response.

CV arguable posed an existential threat, at least to some degree - hence the borrowing so that society didn't fold like it is doing in the USA. Your stance is destructive and offers no solution.


Carth 02-06-2020 09:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
. . . and is this 'borrow and pay back long term' acounting for all the borrowing we will need to be doing when we're all locked down this winter, and the next, and the next?

Lots of 'experts' say the virus will be around a long time ;)

1andrew1 02-06-2020 09:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Sunak needs to take the opportunity to restructure taxes. Introduce a discrete NHS tax, reduce business rates on shops etc.

Mr K 02-06-2020 09:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36038019)
That's a very shallow response.

CV arguable posed an existential threat, at least to some degree - hence the borrowing so that society didn't fold like it is doing in the USA. Your stance is destructive and offers no solution.


My solution is that the richest generation ever starts paying, instead of burdening the next generation. Time to get your wallet out, mind the moths....

Sephiroth 02-06-2020 10:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36038021)
Sunak needs to take the opportunity to restructure taxes. Introduce a discrete NHS tax, reduce business rates on shops etc.

Actually a good suggestion. Btw, on Income Tax, I recommend (as does John Redwood) a flat tax.

Mr K 02-06-2020 10:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36038023)
Actually a good suggestion. Btw, on Income Tax, I recommend (as does John Redwood) a flat tax.

Yes i bet you and John Redwood would love a flat income tax !
Make the poor poorer and the rich richer. Is he the MP/Sheriff of Nottingham ! :D

Sephiroth 02-06-2020 10:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36038024)
Yes i bet you and John Redwood would love a flat income tax !
Make the poor poorer and the rich richer. Is he the MP/Sheriff of Nottingham ! :D

The gross tax take rises with a flat income tax; VAT takes up the slack and production rises as a result - assuming we start growing our own.

... especial CV respirators and all medical equipment.

tweetiepooh 02-06-2020 10:29

Re: Coronavirus
 
You put tax on large gambling winnings. If you are broke there won't be a lot of difference between winning £100M or £90M it's still life changing and there's an extra £10M in government coffers. Extend that to wins abroad, foreign lotteries and the like.

The difficulty would be defining "large win" so that lots of small wins accumulated would not be counted where maybe it should. Maybe everyone gets a winnings allowance and over that is taxed but policing and collecting that would be hard.

But whatever happens I bet (groan!) the really rich would find ways to avoid it, so I guess could really big winners, e.g. put the money abroad, have a credit card linked to that and away you go, the money never sees the UK, never taxed.

Sephiroth 02-06-2020 11:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tweetiepooh (Post 36038027)
You put tax on large gambling winnings. If you are broke there won't be a lot of difference between winning £100M or £90M it's still life changing and there's an extra £10M in government coffers. Extend that to wins abroad, foreign lotteries and the like.

The difficulty would be defining "large win" so that lots of small wins accumulated would not be counted where maybe it should. Maybe everyone gets a winnings allowance and over that is taxed but policing and collecting that would be hard.

But whatever happens I bet (groan!) the really rich would find ways to avoid it, so I guess could really big winners, e.g. put the money abroad, have a credit card linked to that and away you go, the money never sees the UK, never taxed.

Big gambling winnings? Almost an oxymoron, Tweetiepooh, the way the odds run.

OLD BOY 02-06-2020 14:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36038016)
So yes , borrowing. ie. we pay back a lot more than we borrow over 50 to 60 years.... i.e. let the next generation deal with it (again), along with climate change and all the other crap we've bequeathed....

So you'd prefer austerity?

Paul 02-06-2020 14:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
He prefers anything that involves attacking the current government. ;)

1andrew1 02-06-2020 15:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36038023)
Actually a good suggestion. Btw, on Income Tax, I recommend (as does John Redwood) a flat tax.

Always good to get different ideas on things but a flat income tax rate has been shown not to work in the UK.
There's a lot of work that can be done to simplify taxation in the UK. But each successive government just makes it more complicated. Great for professional services firms and publishers of worthy tomes on the matter biut less so for the rest of us.
Amnyway, I digress, my final comment on the matter. :)

1andrew1 02-06-2020 17:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Matt Hancock called out by the Statitcs Authority "“The aim seems to be to show the largest possible number of tests, even at the expense of understanding,” Sir David David Norgrove, chair of the UK Statistics Authority wrote.
Quote:

Health Secretary Matt Hancock has been rebuked by the UK’s statistics watchdog over coronavirus testing figures which are “still far from complete and comprehensible”.
UK Statistics Authority chairman Sir David Norgrove said “it is not surprising that given their inadequacy data on testing are so widely criticised and often mistrusted”.
He criticised the way the figures are presented at the daily Downing Street briefings, with the headline total including both tests carried out and those which have been posted to recipients but not yet conducted.
https://www.itv.com/news/2020-06-02/...navirus-tests/

Full letter here:
https://www.statisticsauthority.gov....-testing-data/

nomadking 02-06-2020 18:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
If nobody seeks a test then the figures are always going to be low, unless you start dragging people off the streets to test them.


The question should be "how many tests a day could be performed, if required".

Mr K 02-06-2020 18:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36038090)
If nobody seeks a test then the figures are always going to be low, unless you start dragging people off the streets to test them.


The question should be "how many tests a day could be performed, if required".

Never mind tests, the question really should be, why does the UK have the most Covid deaths in Europe? You have to look at those running the country really....

---------- Post added at 18:43 ---------- Previous post was at 18:42 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36038056)
So you'd prefer austerity?

I prefer you and me reaching in our pockets and paying more tax OB ;)

nomadking 02-06-2020 19:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36038097)
Never mind tests, the question really should be, why does the UK have the most Covid deaths in Europe? You have to look at those running the country really....

---------- Post added at 18:43 ---------- Previous post was at 18:42 ----------



I prefer you and me reaching in our pockets and paying more tax OB ;)

If you have more people bringing it into the country, then you will have more cases. If you then have inside gatherings(religious of whatever sort and others) of various sizes, then it's going to spread easily. If certain religious groups such as those in South Korea, don't mix much with others, that will limit spreading.


Too many people don't pay tax and therefore there's a disconnect between levels of spending and it's impact upon them. They wouldn't be bothered with voting for a trebling of spending, because it would have no direct effect on their income. The indirect effect is another matter, and one they wouldn't be made aware of.

RichardCoulter 02-06-2020 20:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Everybody pays tax, even children who spend their pocket money.

Pierre 02-06-2020 20:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36038112)
Everybody pays tax, even children who spend their pocket money.

Unless they buy themselves socks.....or a turnip.

OLD BOY 02-06-2020 22:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36038022)
My solution is that the richest generation ever starts paying, instead of burdening the next generation. Time to get your wallet out, mind the moths....

Does that include you, Mr K? And if so, could you give me your credit card details, because you sound such a sympathetic (albeit naive) person!

Hugh 02-06-2020 23:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36038126)
Does that include you, Mr K? And if so, could you give me your credit card details, because you sound such a sympathetic (albeit naive) person!

He wants to help the country, not you...

He has said in the past he is willing to pay more tax (as am I) - TANSTAAFL

ianch99 03-06-2020 09:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36038129)
He wants to help the country, not you...

He has said in the past he is willing to pay more tax (as am I) - TANSTAAFL

This goes beyond milking the PAYE "cash cow". The system needs restructuring so that a Wealth tax replaces Income Tax. At that point, the perception of the tax burden and the reality of it will coalesce.

If you just attack the middle income sector without address the cash economy (at the low end) and the tax avoidence at the high end, you just add to the resentment. The burden needs to be shared and seen to be shared.

Addressing Mr K's point, a big obstacle is the power of the Boomer generation holds over this and previous Governments. Those who have more than most are unwilling to help those that have less - the fundamental flaw in the free market dogma. They may pretend that want to help but when it comes down to a change that impacts them directly there is always a problem.

The "price" of Covid will be high, very high .. in all sorts of ways and it will be a test of the ability of those that have more than most to justify their inability to contribute proportionally.

Sephiroth 03-06-2020 09:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
You can't just turn on its head the fruits of hard work put in by the so-called "Boomer generation" (an insulting term in its own right).

The post-war generation rebuilt the UK and they mainly sit firmly in the higher end of the middle-income sector. This is not surprising since they've put the time in, got promoted etc, and many (depending on where you count from) are pensioners.

To resent this generation, which is a sentiment apparent in ianch99's post even if denied, is a kick in the teeth for hard working people who now happen to own their own homes and should not be subject to any form of regressive wealth tax.


nomadking 03-06-2020 09:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Wealth tax experiment in France

Quote:

The wealth tax might have generated social solidarity, but as a practical matter it was a disappointment. The revenue it raised was rather paltry; only a few billion euros at its peak, or about 1% of France’s total revenue from all taxes. At least 10,000 wealthy people left the country to avoid paying the tax; most moved to neighboring Belgium, which has a large French-speaking population. When these individuals left, France lost not only their wealth tax revenue but their income taxes and other taxes as well. French economist Eric Pichet estimates that this ended up costing the French government almost twice as much revenue as the total yielded by the wealth tax. When President Emmanuel Macron ended the wealth tax in 2017, it was viewed mostly as a symbolic move.

Mr K 03-06-2020 12:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36038148)

Well nomadking, if not taxes, maybe we should axe all the benefits that half the forum seem to be claiming instead? (with some being hypocritical about anyone else that dares to claim....)

Sephiroth 03-06-2020 13:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36038168)
Well nomadking, if not taxes, maybe we should axe all the benefits that half the forum seem to be claiming instead? (with some being hypocritical about anyone else that dares to claim....)

... in other words, you have no valid policy thinking to offer.

Mr K 03-06-2020 14:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36038171)
... in other words, you have no valid policy thinking to offer.

I already offered one old chap.

Sephiroth 03-06-2020 14:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36038184)
I already offered one old chap.

Quote:

Well nomadking, if not taxes, maybe we should axe all the benefits that half the forum seem to be claiming instead? (with some being hypocritical about anyone else that dares to claim....)
But then you switched tack.



Mr K 03-06-2020 14:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36038185)


But then you switched tack.



No, not really. Tax rises on those that can afford them are the fairest option. I was pointing out the hypocrisy of some on benefits.

Then there's those that want spending cuts so they can be richer... The Tory policy has backfired with public services woefully under prepared, and under funded for the current crisis.

Paul 03-06-2020 15:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Lets not wander off topic here.

Sephiroth 03-06-2020 15:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36038192)
No, not really. Tax rises on those that can afford them are the fairest option. I was pointing out the hypocrisy of some on benefits.

Then there's those that want spending cuts so they can be richer... The Tory policy has backfired with public services woefully under prepared, and under funded for the current crisis.

The IFS doesn't agree with you. The damaging effects of CV will not be mitigated even to the merest extent by taxing the rich.

https://www.ifs.org.uk/bns/bn84.pdf

Quote:

The Treasury estimates that the 45% tax rate will affect 350,000 people, and raise £1.6 billion in a full year after accounting for the impact on tax revenues of any changes in behaviour caused by the tax change (we refer to this as the ‘behavioural response’ to the tax change). This behavioural response would arise in the following way: increasing the marginal rate of income tax at the top of the income distribution to 45% makes earning slightly more a little less attractive to those already earning more than £150,000, and reduces the cost to them of earning slightly less. We would therefore expect these individuals to respond to this change by reducing their taxable income. They could do this by increasing their contributions to a private pension, working less hard or making more effort to avoid or evade tax. These changes might also discourage high-income individuals from coming to the UK, and encourage those already in the UK to emigrate or retire earlier.

All of these responses would tend to reduce the amount of revenue raised by this reform, and in theory could even mean that this tax rise costs money. In general, the size of these revenue effects will depend on:

• how high-income individuals respond to changes in their marginal tax rate and their total tax bill; this will affect what they pay not just in income tax but in other taxes too;

• the number of people on different incomes above £150,000 (which requires us to estimate what the distribution of these high incomes will look like in 2011–12 from what we know about the distribution of those incomes today).

ianch99 03-06-2020 15:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36038146)
You can't just turn on its head the fruits of hard work put in by the so-called "Boomer generation" (an insulting term in its own right).

The post-war generation rebuilt the UK and they mainly sit firmly in the higher end of the middle-income sector. This is not surprising since they've put the time in, got promoted etc, and many (depending on where you count from) are pensioners.

To resent this generation, which is a sentiment apparent in ianch99's post even if denied, is a kick in the teeth for hard working people who now happen to own their own homes and should not be subject to any form of regressive wealth tax.


There is no need for the snide remarks. My point was a reasonable one. As Paul says, it is not the place to explore this here but just to say that I am also a "Boomer" :)

figgyburn 03-06-2020 15:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Re valuating the council tax to current day values would help greatly towards the debt.I live in a crap area of Edinburgh and i am in band A tax band(value of house up to £27,000) my house is worth today (circa £140,000)

Hell, a single car garage in some parts of Edinburgh costs way more than £27,000!.

No wonder councils are struggling for cash with the obsolete council tax banding.

The SNP up here bribed us to vote for them by freezing council tax for a good number of years.Yes, it will effect me and yes, i would gladly pay the increase as we are all supposed "to be in this together".

papa smurf 03-06-2020 16:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by figgyburn (Post 36038207)
Re valuating the council tax to current day values would help greatly towards the debt.I live in a crap area of Edinburgh and i am in band A tax band(value of house up to £27,000) my house is worth today (circa £140,000)

Hell, a single car garage in some parts of Edinburgh costs way more than £27,000!.

No wonder councils are struggling for cash with the obsolete council tax banding.

The SNP up here bribed us to vote for them by freezing council tax for a good number of years.Yes, it will effect me and yes, i would gladly pay the increase as we are all supposed "to be in this together".

What about pensioners on a fixed income how would they be able to pay more.

Chris 03-06-2020 17:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by figgyburn (Post 36038207)
Re valuating the council tax to current day values would help greatly towards the debt.I live in a crap area of Edinburgh and i am in band A tax band(value of house up to £27,000) my house is worth today (circa £140,000)

Hell, a single car garage in some parts of Edinburgh costs way more than £27,000!.

No wonder councils are struggling for cash with the obsolete council tax banding.

The SNP up here bribed us to vote for them by freezing council tax for a good number of years.Yes, it will effect me and yes, i would gladly pay the increase as we are all supposed "to be in this together".

Revaluation to 2020 prices wouldn’t make any difference to you, if your house was in a poor area in 1990 and still is today. Council tax works on relative values, so the cheapest houses are always in band A, regardless of their absolute value. Where revaluation makes a difference is in areas that were poor in 1990 and have gone through the “up and coming” phase, and are now fashionable. In such cases you can see houses move up a couple of bands and attract a higher council tax bill.

It’s also worth remembering that a council can revalue a house whenever it’s sold, so despite them having to do a reverse-inflation calculation to work out what its sale price would have been in 1990 terms, it can move up a band or two if its value has improved due to having had work done on it, or if the whole area has improved. We got caught out this way when we bought ours about 15 years ago. It had had an extension since its previous sale and went from band D to E because of what we paid for it.

figgyburn 03-06-2020 18:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36038210)
What about pensioners on a fixed income how would they be able to pay more.

I am a just recent pensioner and on a fixed income now. Tighten the belt slightly is the way forward!.A few less pints a week etc.I already eat crap so nothing to change there!. Obviously they could phase the increases yearly to achieve the correct council tax charge to reflect the current house prices say over 5 years till it reached the true level. All governments have shied away from this as it's a massive vote loser so,if this is to be done this is as good/bad time to do it as any.Council tax bands below.I am in band A,i should be in band G,look at the difference in payments.Yikes!.Think i will need to go tea total to cover the increase......

https://www.saa.gov.uk/council-tax/council-tax-bands/

https://cullenproperty.com/council-tax-bands-edinburgh/

1andrew1 03-06-2020 19:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
An undeniably incompetent state of affairs. We're pissing in the dark when it comes to forming policies. I suspect Nick Hancock's head will roll.
Quote:

Coronavirus: Dodgy data and double counting - the UK's testing data is a mess
How many people have been tested in the UK for COVID-19? It's a pretty simple question, which most countries are capable of answering.
And it's a pretty important one, since until you know how many people have been tested it's very difficult to get a real early handle on the spread of the disease.

Will there be a second spike? Is it safe to loosen the restrictions on our lives? Are quarantines justified or not? If not, how do we ensure those coming to the country do not bring the disease with them?
Testing - doing it well, accounting for it well and using the results sensibly - is clearly a crucial part of the solution.
Yet here in Britain we don't know how many people have been tested for the disease.
https://news.sky.com/story/coronavir...-mess-11999797

Mr K 03-06-2020 21:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Maybe sending MPs back to parliament wasn't such a good idea...
https://metro.co.uk/2020/06/03/busin...share.top.link
Quote:

Business Secretary Alok Sharma has been tested for coronavirus after he began showing symptoms while in the Commons today. A spokesperson for Sharma said he started feeling unwell while in the chamber delivering the second reading of the Corporate Governance and Insolvency Bill. They continued: ‘In line with guidance he has been tested for coronavirus and is returning home to self-isolate

denphone 03-06-2020 21:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36038248)
Maybe sending MPs back to parliament wasn't such a good idea...
https://metro.co.uk/2020/06/03/busin...share.top.link

Can we be surprised as JRM was warned it was not a wise idea sending MPs back to parliament.

l would suspect if the test comes back positive and he has got Coronavirus there will be a lot of MP's who will have to self isolate as well.

1andrew1 03-06-2020 21:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36038250)
Can we be surprised as JRM was warned it was not a wise idea sending MPs back to parliament.

l would suspect if the test comes back positive and he has got Coronavirus there will be a lot of MP's who will have to self isolate as well.

I can see the need to avoid looking hypocritical but the new policy excludes those who cannot attend in person for good reasons. And all the unnecessary time waiting to vote is neither safe nor a good use of time. But it's unlikely the right honourable member for the 19th century would maintain a 21st century solution for too long. ;)

papa smurf 04-06-2020 09:09

Re: Sir Keir Starmer elected as new Labour leader
 
Labour mp puts lives at risk for publicity stunt

https://twitter.com/BarryGardiner/st...7Ctwgr%5Etweet

Is this an example of Starmers strong leadership.

Mr K 04-06-2020 09:32

Re: Sir Keir Starmer elected as new Labour leader
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36038284)
Labour mp puts lives at risk for publicity stunt

https://twitter.com/BarryGardiner/st...7Ctwgr%5Etweet

Is this an example of Starmers strong leadership.

Almost as good as someone insisting all MPs return to Parliament, to hear a minister who potentially has the virus in an enclosed place, then distributing the MPs round the country again. Top government !


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