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downquark1 21-05-2020 11:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36035917)
Coronavirus: Hydroxychloroquine trial begins in the UK

A trial to see whether two anti-malarial drugs could prevent Covid-19 has begun in Brighton and Oxford.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-52737169

Donald Trump drug to be tested on NHS staff with hopes of preventing coronavirus
Study involving at least 20 NHS hospitals aims to establish whether anti-malarial drug hydroxychloroquine can fend off virus

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...g-coronavirus/

If it turns out to be wildly successful they are going to regret calling it the Donald Trump drug.

Maggy 21-05-2020 11:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36035925)
If it turns out to be wildly successful they are going to regret calling it the Donald Trump drug.

:rofl::rofl::rofl:

papa smurf 21-05-2020 12:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36035925)
If it turns out to be wildly successful they are going to regret calling it the Donald Trump drug.

I can imagine the headline.

Trump drug saves the world.

daveeb 21-05-2020 12:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36035925)
If it turns out to be wildly successful they are going to regret calling it the Donald Trump drug.


That's what I said to Mrs DaveeB, if it turns out well he's a genius, if it all goes wrong he was being "sarcastic" again as with Bleachgate..

downquark1 21-05-2020 12:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36035930)
I can imagine the headline.

Trump drug saves the world.

Nah they will start calling it Plaquenil (its brand name) and say it is a decade old drug recommended by the WHO to treat Malaria and just forget it is the same substance.

Pierre 21-05-2020 17:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by daveeb (Post 36035931)
That's what I said to Mrs DaveeB, if it turns out well he's a genius, if it all goes wrong he was being "sarcastic" again as with Bleachgate..

You think he’ll get any credit if it works? No chance.

Paul 21-05-2020 17:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36035946)
You think he’ll get any credit if it works? No chance.

He'll promote himself as the savior .. :erm:

daveeb 21-05-2020 18:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36035949)
He'll promote himself as the savior .. :erm:


I was going to suggest him making a self nomination for the Nobel prize in Physiology or Medicine.

Paul 21-05-2020 18:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Do they do a Nobel Prize for Muppetry ?

:cool:

Damien 21-05-2020 18:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36035946)
You think he’ll get any credit if it works? No chance.

If it works the majority of the credit would go to those who originally suggested it would help. Trump would certainly be able to say he was there early on though

That said it's one of many treatments being tested and people should be wary of medical advice from the guy who wondered if we could look into injecting bleach.

Hugh 21-05-2020 18:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36035969)
If it works the majority of the credit would go to those who originally suggested it would help. Trump would certainly be able to say he was there early on though

That said it's one of many treatments being tested and people should be wary of medical advice from the guy who wondered if we could look into injecting bleach.

Fake news!

It wasn’t bleach, it was disinfectant...

1andrew1 21-05-2020 19:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36035946)
You think he’ll get any credit if it works? No chance.

Fox News would probably set up a daily programme - Donald Saves the World - if such treatment is ever shown to be beneficial.

Maggy 21-05-2020 22:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
I'm wondering if he has shares in the company..

Stephen 21-05-2020 22:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy (Post 36036024)
I'm wondering if he has shares in the company..

Apparently he does own shares.

Mick 22-05-2020 07:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Trump does own shares, but his overall total shares, is of little significance. He owns about $1,500 worth, the French company, (so not even American) Sonafi which makes Hydroxychloroquine, stock value went up the day after Trump promoted its use to treat Covid-19, so Trump stood to pocket $260 from his promotion of it. Trump’s net worth is documented to be around $3,000,000,000. He isn’t violating federal conflict of interest laws.

As per usual, it’s jump on the, “Trump man bad”, again. :zzz:

denphone 22-05-2020 07:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Come on Mick l am even sure you must have been shocked by Donald's claim that Coronavirus might be treated by injecting disinfectant into the body.;)

Its not about being anti Trump as even the most unbiased observer's have thought some of his comments are way out.

Mr K 22-05-2020 09:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36036037)
Trump does own shares, but his overall total shares, is of little significance. He owns about $1,500 worth, the French company, (so not even American) Sonafi which makes Hydroxychloroquine, stock value went up the day after Trump promoted its use to treat Covid-19, so Trump stood to pocket $260 from his promotion of it. Trump’s net worth is documented to be around $3,000,000,000. He isn’t violating federal conflict of interest laws.

As per usual, it’s jump on the, “Trump man bad”, again. :zzz:

I don't think he's bad, just not very bright to put it politely.

Pierre 22-05-2020 10:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36036038)
Come on Mick l am even sure you must have been shocked by Donald's claim that Coronavirus might be treated by injecting disinfectant into the body.;)

Its not about being anti Trump as even the most unbiased observer's have thought some of his comments are way out.

He didn’t “claim” anything, he was “asking” what was possible.

Don’t get me wrong it sounds like the ramblings of a lunatic. But the accusations that He claimed, instructed, advocated etc etc.

Are wrong.


Here is the transcript of what he actually said

Quote:

"So I asked Bill a question some of you are thinking of if you're into that world, which I find to be pretty interesting. So, supposing we hit the body with a tremendous, whether its ultraviolet or just very powerful light, and I think you said, that hasn't been checked but you're gonna test it. And then I said, supposing it brought the light inside the body, which you can either do either through the skin or some other way, and I think you said you're gonna test that too, sounds interesting. And I then I see the disinfectant, where it knocks it out in one minute, and is there a way you can do something like that by injection inside, or almost a cleaning. Because you see it gets in the lungs, and it does a tremendous number on the lungs. So it'd be interesting to check that. So you're going to have to use medical doctors, but it sounds interesting to me, so we'll see. But the whole concept of the light, the way it goes in one minute, that's pretty powerful."

Russ 22-05-2020 10:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36036037)

As per usual, it’s jump on the, “Trump man bad”, again. :zzz:

He does make it very easy to jump on though. He positively does.

Taf 22-05-2020 11:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
And a device that can be slid down to the lungs to administer UV light does already exist.

Quote:

... novel treatment developed by scientists at Cedars-Sinai that administers ultraviolet light inside the bodies of patients inflicted with respiratory infections. The research team at Cedars-Sinai is currently working with the FDA to explore an expedited regulatory process to use the treatment as a possible medical intervention for those suffering from the Wuhan coronavirus.

1andrew1 22-05-2020 11:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36036037)
Trump does own shares, but his overall total shares, is of little significance. He owns about $1,500 worth, the French company, (so not even American) Sonafi which makes Hydroxychloroquine, stock value went up the day after Trump promoted its use to treat Covid-19, so Trump stood to pocket $260 from his promotion of it. Trump’s net worth is documented to be around $3,000,000,000. He isn’t violating federal conflict of interest laws.

As per usual, it’s jump on the, “Trump man bad”, again. :zzz:

Just to add to this:
- Trump's shares are held indirectly - his family trusts invest in what the US calls mutual funds similar to what we would call unit trusts.
- His mutual funds hold shares in many large companies, not just Sanofi. That's the nature of these types of investments. I'm sure his peers invest in similar ways too though perhaps with smaller sums.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tr...-99-2020-04-07

downquark1 22-05-2020 11:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
To point out, Hydroxychloroquine is an old and relatively cheap drug. If you were purely wanting to profiteer you would choose something newer and more costly.

papa smurf 22-05-2020 12:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36036072)
To point out, Hydroxychloroquine is an old and relatively cheap drug. If you were purely wanting to profiteer you would choose something newer and more costly.

Something like HydroxyTrumpochloroquine :)

Damien 22-05-2020 16:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Anyone who is taking their medical advice off the President's ramblings in a press conference is probably better out of the gene pool anyway.

Sephiroth 22-05-2020 16:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36036093)
Anyone who is taking their medical advice off the President's ramblings in a press conference is probably better out of the gene pool anyway.

So - no knighthood for you, then! (See Capt. Tom thread).

pip08456 22-05-2020 17:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Its not looking good for Donald being praised.

https://abcnews.go.com/Health/corona...l_twitter_abcn

Hom3r 22-05-2020 17:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36035930)
I can imagine the headline.

Trump drug saves the world.


I'd call the drug "Agent Orange"

Carth 22-05-2020 19:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 36036103)
I'd call the drug "Agent Orange"

Is that similar to the Vietnam stuff? ;)

Mick 23-05-2020 13:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
All Dominic Cummings discussion moved to another thread. This thread is for Covid-19 only.

denphone 24-05-2020 15:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
The government’s daily press conference has been delayed by an hour and will now start at 5pm.

Pierre 24-05-2020 15:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
If it’s going to be a rerun of yesterday I won’t bother.

denphone 24-05-2020 15:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36036611)
If it’s going to be a rerun of yesterday I won’t bother.

l nearly fell asleep a little way in.:sleep:

jfman 24-05-2020 15:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
What poor sod have they got lined up today?

denphone 24-05-2020 16:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36036617)
What poor sod have they got lined up today?

The PM himself if the betting is to be believed.

Not my prediction you understand.;)

Sephiroth 24-05-2020 16:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36036621)
The PM himself if the betting is to be believed.

Not my prediction you understand.;)

Statistically unlikely and so will happen!

Mick 24-05-2020 23:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
BREAKING: U.S President Donald Trump bans all travel from Brazil in to the U.S as the South American country becomes the latest hotspot of Covid-19.

Damien 25-05-2020 07:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Makes sense Brazil's leader is a nut case who seems to actually want to spread it.

Mick 25-05-2020 19:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
BREAKING: All non-essential retail shops can reopen in England from 15 June, PM says

Hom3r 25-05-2020 20:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Outdoor markets and showrooms from Monday.


But no news on when families can meet.

Paul 25-05-2020 20:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 36036979)
But no news on when families can meet.

You can meet at the local shop from the 15th.
Atm, you could meet in the park, on the pavement/path, the beach, or pretty much anywhere except inside your house. Bizarre really.

No more news on pubs, cafes or restaraunts then ?

Damien 25-05-2020 21:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Pretty sure they'll announce a loosening of when people can meet before the 15th

1andrew1 25-05-2020 21:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36037006)
Pretty sure they'll announce a loosening of when people can meet before the 15th

Pubs will be the show-stopper. There wil be pressure now for them to bring forward an announcement on those, even if it is a little while off.

denphone 25-05-2020 21:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36037007)
Pubs will be the show-stopper. There wil be pressure now for them to bring forward an announcement on those, even if it is a little while off.

The trouble with thousands of pubs in the UK is that they are not designed for social distancing.

Mr K 25-05-2020 21:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36037007)
Pubs will be the show-stopper. There wil be pressure now for them to bring forward an announcement on those, even if it is a little while off.

But will the customers come back? A few will, but others might have got used to drinking cheaper and safer. The only benefit is the social aspect, which is the danger. Can't see them reopening until after a vaccine.

Pierre 25-05-2020 21:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Can't see them reopening until after a vaccine.
No chance, we won’t and can’t wait for that.

I reckon we will be operating normally as a a country and society ( perhaps with a few tweaks) come September.

1andrew1 25-05-2020 22:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36037017)
But will the customers come back? A few will, but others might have got used to drinking cheaper and safer. The only benefit is the social aspect, which is the danger. Can't see them reopening until after a vaccine.

I think pubs re-opening will come before a vaccine. If the virus dies out then they'll definitely open up. But I think there will be a halfway house, perhaps just the outside areas opening up. Put some turf in the car parks and you can spread those tables around to comply with social distancing. Add an app to avoid queuing at the bar and it's just the toilets you need to worry about. Hmm on that latter aspect, I thought I'd just solved it!

papa smurf 26-05-2020 08:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36037013)
The trouble with thousands of pubs in the UK is that they are not designed for social distancing.

Neither are people.

---------- Post added at 08:10 ---------- Previous post was at 08:08 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36037026)
I think pubs re-opening will come before a vaccine. If the virus dies out then they'll definitely open up. But I think there will be a halfway house, perhaps just the outside areas opening up. Put some turf in the car parks and you can spread those tables around to comply with social distancing. Add an app to avoid queuing at the bar and it's just the toilets you need to worry about. Hmm on that latter aspect, I thought I'd just solved it!

So all the moaners will have to sit in the smoking area that'll be intersting.

Maggy 26-05-2020 08:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36037044)
Neither are people.

---------- Post added at 08:10 ---------- Previous post was at 08:08 ----------



So all the moaners will have to sit in the smoking area that'll be intersting.

Not enough room..Even the smokers won't be able to socially distance.;)

jfman 26-05-2020 08:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36037019)
No chance, we won’t and can’t wait for that.

I reckon we will be operating normally as a a country and society ( perhaps with a few tweaks) come September.

With the highest death rate per capita in the world it'll be politically and economically dangerous to do that.

Mr K 26-05-2020 08:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36037048)
With the highest death rate per capita in the world it'll be politically and economically dangerous to do that.

Wetherspoons always saw their customers as disposable so it may not be a problem....

It's all about food these days, that's where pubs went wrong. If you're going out to eat you might as well go to a proper restaurant. Pubs were dying before Covid.

papa smurf 26-05-2020 09:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy (Post 36037047)
Not enough room..Even the smokers won't be able to socially distance.;)

I don't smoke anymore but when i did i found sparking up a half corona cleared the decks pretty adequately.

Sephiroth 26-05-2020 09:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36037057)
I don't smoke anymore but when i did i found sparking up a half corona cleared the decks pretty adequately.

In the old days I smoked the occasional cigar (i.e. when playing poker). I've still got some

Carl Upmann - Coronas Extra - Havana Melange

I'm not sure they were made in Cuba but they were damn nice.

papa smurf 26-05-2020 09:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36037067)
In the old days I smoked the occasional cigar (i.e. when playing poker). I've still got some

Carl Upmann - Coronas Extra - Havana Melange

I'm not sure they were made in Cuba but they were damn nice.

I love the taste but my kids just moan at me about my health so i gave up.

Damien 26-05-2020 09:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
First resignation of a minister.

Also, Gove also goes for a drive to test his eyesight for some reason.

https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1265185119926706181

Quote:

Michael Gove has told LBC he has 'on occasion' driven to check his eyesight, but the Minister said he was 'not an authority on driving.'

Hugh 26-05-2020 12:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36037071)
First resignation of a minister.

Also, Gove also goes for a drive to test his eyesight for some reason.

https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1265185119926706181


denphone 26-05-2020 12:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
They obviously must think that driving a car is the way to test your eyesight.

Call me old fashioned but I would have thought that a visit for a eye-test in a opticians might be the way to do it.

papa smurf 26-05-2020 12:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36037112)
I am not an authority on driving but I know you shouldn't drive to test your eyesight.

Why didn't he just say he drove to see if he was capable of driving for a while without getting tired? He actually had time to draw up that answer!

I always test mine by taking a few pot shots at the neighbours kids with my air rifle,it's much safer than driving.

cimt 26-05-2020 12:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
I'm due an eye test so i may have to go out on my scooter for it. It seems like the cheaper option.

Damien 26-05-2020 12:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Ok, I am guilty of this as well but let's keep the Cummings stuff to his own thread :)

1andrew1 26-05-2020 12:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36037044)
So all the moaners will have to sit in the smoking area that'll be intersting.

Maybe get rid of the smoking areas. Reduce social distancing requirements to one metre. Not all opens could re-open, more the countryside pubs in the Conservative home and shire counties which have beer gardens but focus more on food these days. Gives people a feel-good factor and gets a bit more of the economy going. But city pubs I suspect will have to hang on a bit.

papa smurf 26-05-2020 12:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36037120)
Maybe get rid of the smoking areas. Reduce social distancing requirements to one metre. Not all opens could re-open, more the countryside pubs in the Conservative home and shire counties which have beer gardens but focus more on food these days. Gives people a feel-good factor and gets a bit more of the economy going. But city pubs I suspect will have to hang on a bit.

Maybe the smokers go inside the pub and the moaners stay outside.

Paul 26-05-2020 14:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36037120)
Maybe get rid of the smoking areas. Reduce social distancing requirements to one metre.

There is actually nothing special about 2 meters, its just a number the UK picked.
(I suspect more people in the UK would have understood 6 feet, rather than 2 meters).

"The World Health Organization says that a distance of one metre is safe, while others suggest 1.5m or 1.8m with the UK opting for two metres".

There isnt anything particularly magical about the often banded 15 minutes either.
Its simply a case of "the longer you spend in close proximity with an infected person, the more your chances of catching the virus go up".

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-52522460

jfman 26-05-2020 15:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
That's the nature of arbitrary definitions though. 30 miles per hour in the car doesn't magically improve safety in a built up area over 31mph.

In air conditioned environments the virus has been shown to infect people six metres away, and infecting people entering in area up to 30 minutes after the originally infected individual has left. It's be unrealistic to make that a definition though off the back of one isolated example.

Taf 26-05-2020 19:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
On a personal note:

Home Bargains. 20 minute wait, OK in the shop.

Aldi. No wait, OK in the shop.

Lidl. 15 minute wait, then almost as soon as I got into the shop an elderly gentleman in front of me got peed-off with 4 Pakistani kids running amok whilst their parents blocked the aisle as they chatted on the mobiles. He swung his trolley around to stop then bumping into him, then bellowed at them at the top of his voice. A word I have not heard in over 40 years. They all got the message and squeezed themselves against the side of the aisle and let him advance. On the way to the till, 2 huge obese women blocked the aisle whilst they had a very foul-mouthed chat. So I played curling with my heavy trolley. They got the message, as did the security guard who told them to do their shopping and then chat outside.

Tesco. A huge queue in blazing sunshine, so I came home. Lucky for me that the prescriptions won't be ready until late tomorrow afternoon.

1andrew1 26-05-2020 21:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36037106)
Perhaps one for the other thread, but why do you doubt a second wave ?

From this:
Quote:

Professor Karol Sikora @ProfKarolSikora
Really encouraging to read Dr María Neira, the WHO Director for Public Health, say their models are showing a second wave being increasingly ruled out.
Caution required, but she thinks that the virus will have a hard time surviving.
The most optimistic the WHO have been!
https://twitter.com/ProfKarolSikora/...32235705270272

Hugh 26-05-2020 21:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36037198)

More details

https://www.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus...a_second_wave/
Quote:

The director of Public Health of the World Health Organization (WHO) , María Neira , said on Monday that the models they work with are "increasingly" ruling out a second wave of the coronavirus.

However, Neira has called for "great caution" and "common sense" in this "very critical" phase of the pandemic (de-escalation), and, in statements to RAC-1, has requested that the population should not be paranoid nor should they relax too much, but they should "learn to live with infectious diseases ".

“There are many models that predict many probabilities such as a punctual regrowth or a major wave, but this last possibility is increasingly being ruled out. We are much better prepared in all areas'', said the Spanish doctor.

According to Neira, “ we have lowered the transmission rate so much that the virus will have difficulty surviving . We must be very careful to say whether this is the end of the wave, but the data at least shows us that the transmission and explosion of the first weeks have been avoided''.

However, she pointed out that "it is worth not making many forecasts because the next few weeks are a very critical phase."

«With reopening you have to see how the virus behaves. We hope there will be no other outbreaks, but it will be a day-to-day battle. In two or three weeks we will see what has happened and if it is necessary to correct it surgically ”, she said about the de-escalation in phase 1 that all of Spain has entered.

1andrew1 28-05-2020 09:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

UK suffers highest death rate from coronavirus

FT analysis of data from 19 countries finds Britain hit hardest, ahead of US, Italy, Spain and Belgium.

The UK has suffered the highest rate of deaths from the coronavirus pandemic among countries that produce comparable data, according to excess mortality figures. The UK has registered 59,537 more deaths than usual since the week ending March 20, indicating that the virus has directly or indirectly killed 891 people per million.

At this stage of the pandemic, that is a higher rate of death than in any country for which high-quality data exist. The absolute number of excess deaths in the UK is also the highest in Europe, and second only to the US in global terms, according to data collected by the Financial Times.

The country fares no better on another measure: the percentage increase in deaths compared with normal levels, where the UK once again is the worst hit in Europe and behind only Peru internationally.
I think the second sentence is an important point:
Quote:

David Spiegelhalter, Winton professor of the public understanding of risk at Cambridge university, said: “If we can believe the data from other countries, then the UK has done badly in terms of excess deaths. The issues now concern what will happen for the rest of the year, and trying to understand the processes contributing to our large excess.”

The full article can be read free of charge here: https://www.ft.com/content/6b4c784e-...2-648ffde71bf0

Sephiroth 28-05-2020 09:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Yes - this is an important piece of analysis by the FT.

Although no such graph was presented, the stark fact is that the XS deaths amplitude is higher the further along the X axis (date of lock down implementation) you go.

Of course, this now goes to what you want to do with the facts. Blame? That's too easy and would exercise people with political motives. Lessons learned? Probably - but stable door comes to mind. Inform next steps? Possibly - but we need to see how the other countries are doing and assess the WHO's suggestion that a 2nd wave might not occur.

But there's plenty of stuff there for Boris/Cummings haters to chew on.

On an objective basis, it would seem that the wise government policy, almost fully supported by the peops, came a fortnight too late.



1andrew1 28-05-2020 09:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Will the 14-day quarantine process for in-bound travellers happen?
Quote:

As Boris Johnson appeared to concede that travel quarantine would be a “three-week wonder” travel businesses have demanded that the scheme should be scrapped before it even begins.
Leaders of high-profile companies call the plan for 14 days of self-isolation “poorly thought-out, wholly detrimental to industry recovery and more or less unworkable”.
https://www.independent.co.uk/travel...-a9536001.html

Meanwhile, what better than to make the public forget Cumminsgate? Talk up pubs re-opening of course!

Quote:

New moves to ease the two-metre social distancing rule could bring more cheer. Boris said: “We may be able to do things faster than I thought.”The PM said pubs, restaurants and hotels may all reopen next month.

He is also expected to announce new rules allowing two households to meet for barbecues at tomorrow afternoon’s three-week review of the coronavirus lockdown. The hospitality sector was due to be shuttered until July 4 at the earliest under the PM’s roadmap for easing restrictions.
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/117228...n-coronavirus/

---------- Post added at 09:53 ---------- Previous post was at 09:44 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36037380)

On an objective basis, it would seem that the wise government policy, almost fully supported by the peops, came a fortnight too late.

Spot on and if i were in a position of power I'd been keen to ensure that I could not be associated with the herd immunity policy.
The key thing to learn now is what other factors may have led to this situation arising so we can ensure they're being addressed by the measures we're implementing.

Pierre 28-05-2020 10:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36037199)

Quote:

However, Neira has called for "great caution" and "common sense" in this "very critical" phase of the pandemic (de-escalation), and, in statements to RAC-1, has requested that the population should not be paranoid nor should they relax too much, but they should "learn to live with infectious diseases ".
Sounds very much like "stay alert" to me, you know the very much ridiculed and supposedly confusing message from HMG.

---------- Post added at 10:31 ---------- Previous post was at 10:29 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36037377)
I think the second sentence is an important point:

the first sentence is also important:

Quote:

David Spiegelhalter, Winton professor of the public understanding of risk at Cambridge university, said: “If we can believe the data from other countries, then the UK has done badly in terms of excess deaths. The issues now concern what will happen for the rest of the year, and trying to understand the processes contributing to our large excess.”

mrmistoffelees 29-05-2020 13:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
It's the Sun, It's China...

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/117379..._source=pushly

1andrew1 29-05-2020 15:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Great they were able to trace the main source.
Quote:

Coronavirus: South Korea closes schools again after biggest spike in weeks
More than 200 schools in South Korea have been forced to close just days after they re-opened, due to a new spike in virus cases.

Thousands of students had earlier on Wednesday returned to school as the country began easing virus restrictions.

But just a day later, 79 new cases were recorded, the highest daily figure in two months.

Most of these cases have been linked to a distribution centre outside Seoul.

The warehouse, in the city of Bucheon, is run by the country's biggest e-commerce firm Coupang, and officials have said the facility was not strictly complying with infection control measures. Health officials even discovered traces of Covid-19 on workers' shoes and clothes.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-52845015

Pierre 29-05-2020 17:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36037640)
Great they were able to trace the main source.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-52845015

I wonder if the Korean media are crucifying their government over this obvious failure in policy.

Damien 29-05-2020 17:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36037649)
I wonder if the Korean media are crucifying their government over this obvious failure in policy.

South Korea's huge success in controlling the virus probably gives the Government leeway. Even this is somewhat a success given how quickly they've managed to track down the new cause of infection and shut it down.

jfman 29-05-2020 17:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Exactly, that’s perverse logic demonstrated by Pierre here in a veiled attempt to defend our Government all costs. That’s the system working.

Failure is what we have. As demonstrated by the death count and economic impact. The success of the South Korean system will allow its economy to thrive while we stagnate falling over bodies. Literally and figuratively.

They consider 79 new cases a credible threat. We consider 400 deaths a day success.

Damien 29-05-2020 18:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
It's encouraging that other countries are not seeing spikes. France and Germany opened up and so far, so good for the most part.

I think we need to leave lockdown soon because people simply cannot tolerate it for too much longer. I am concerned that we're still quite high for cases and deaths. France had fewer cases and deaths by the time they opened up, we're starting to fall behind in terms of 'weeks' as well. I.E If we were 'two weeks behind Italy' our deaths should be a lot lower be now.

peanut 29-05-2020 18:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36037653)
Exactly, that’s perverse logic demonstrated by Pierre here in a veiled attempt to defend our Government all costs. That’s the system working.

I have to admit, that's spot on on how I see this forum as a whole.

jfman 29-05-2020 18:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by peanut (Post 36037656)
I have to admit, that's spot on on how I see this forum as a whole.

Well, it’s apparent that some users lack objectivity. Regardless of the issue, regardless of the death count, this is the Government that will be forgiven for anything as it delivered Brexit.

I’ve asked the question multiple times what some would describe as failure in managing Coronavirus to no answer, and simply had insults thrown at me for daring to opine that the Government has managed this badly.

1andrew1 29-05-2020 18:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36037655)
It's encouraging that other countries are not seeing spikes. France and Germany opened up and so far, so good for the most part.

I think we need to leave lockdown soon because people simply cannot tolerate it for too much longer. I am concerned that we're still quite high for cases and deaths. France had fewer cases and deaths by the time they opened up, we're starting to fall behind in terms of 'weeks' as well. I.E If we were 'two weeks behind Italy' our deaths should be a lot lower be now.

Agreed. Worryingly, the track and trace doesn't seem to be firing on all cylinders.
Quote:

Fiona, not her real name, is a semi-retired GP nurse from Yorkshire and is now working as a tier two contact tracer. She was one of a number of tracers who told Sky News there were problems logging on during the launch day.
Fiona was hit by more problems trying to log on at 8am on Thursday morning, with an error message saying she was unable to connect to the site.
Once she had logged in, she found she had no cases assigned to her.
https://news.sky.com/story/coronavir...y-two-11996729

---------- Post added at 18:22 ---------- Previous post was at 18:18 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36037658)
Well, it’s apparent that some users lack objectivity. Regardless of the issue, regardless of the death count, this is the Government that will be forgiven for anything as it delivered Brexit.

I’ve asked the question multiple times what some would describe as failure in managing Coronavirus to no answer, and simply had insults thrown at me for daring to opine that the Government has managed this badly.

In terms of the Government's handling, it's a mixed bag but the results suggest I'm being generous. In terms of what's worked, the initial messaging was great. The furlow scheme and other support packages have worked well.
But in terms of dithering for three weeks before lockdown, PPE, care homes and Cummingsgate, no.

Damien 29-05-2020 18:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
The economic response has been very good to be fair

denphone 29-05-2020 18:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36037661)
The economic response has been very good to be fair

Indeed it has but l do worry in a few months when the Furlough scheme gets wound up.

Pierre 29-05-2020 19:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by peanut (Post 36037656)
I have to admit, that's spot on on how I see this forum as a whole.

There is plenty of balance in this forum, Mr K & Jfman are equal to 10x me

ianch99 29-05-2020 19:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36037658)
Well, it’s apparent that some users lack objectivity. Regardless of the issue, regardless of the death count, this is the Government that will be forgiven for anything as it delivered Brexit.

I’ve asked the question multiple times what some would describe as failure in managing Coronavirus to no answer, and simply had insults thrown at me for daring to opine that the Government has managed this badly.

It is indeed a mystery why there are those who will forgive almost anything and, as you point out, ignore what is objective criticism and instruct you to "move on, nothing to see here". I feel it is the point that there actually is something to "see here" that is the reason why we have to move on :)

How can people be content with the highest per capita death rate in the world and not ask if the decision making process that underwrote these deaths is still the correct one?

---------- Post added at 19:51 ---------- Previous post was at 19:49 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36037661)
The economic response has been very good to be fair

I agree with this point. However, the support is starting to wind down now and when the Government starts to address how the massive Covid borrowing is to be serviced, the real fun will begin.

Who pays and how they pay will be the crux of the matter ..

---------- Post added at 19:53 ---------- Previous post was at 19:51 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36037663)
There is plenty of balance in this forum, Mr K & Jfman are equal to 10x me

I am not sure maths is your strong point :)

jfman 29-05-2020 20:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36037663)
There is plenty of balance in this forum, Mr K & Jfman are equal to 10x me

No need to talk yourself down, Pierre. It can't be good waking up every morning and sticking on the news to see what you've to go in and bat for on a given day.

I've at least got solid material to work with on a daily basis.

denphone 29-05-2020 20:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36037673)
I agree with this point. However, the support is starting to wind down now and when the Government starts to address how the massive Covid borrowing is to be serviced, the real fun will begin.

Who pays and how they pay will be the crux of the matter ..

Tax rises and getting rid of the triple lock are two suggestions by some.

Mr K 29-05-2020 20:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36037663)
There is plenty of balance in this forum, Mr K & Jfman are equal to 10x me

Oh come on, 7x maybe ;)

papa smurf 29-05-2020 21:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36037683)
Oh come on, 7x maybe ;)

Like two yapping dogs is more like it;)

1andrew1 29-05-2020 22:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36037677)
Tax rises and getting rid of the triple lock are two suggestions by some.

There's an article here in the Daily Express that suggests that the triple lock will be retained, on the basis that Boris Johnson has confirmed he intends to meet all his manifesto commitments.

Of course, the Express does sometimes make mistakes.
11 March 2020 A study has not claimed the new coronavirus was ‘genetically engineered for efficient spread in humans’
https://fullfact.org/health/new-coro...ly-engineered/
22 May 2020 Daily Express diabetes and coronavirus deaths headline is misleading
https://fullfact.org/health/diabetes...eaths-england/
24 May 2020 Claim that 7.7% of UK goods exports go to the EU is a big underestimate
https://fullfact.org/europe/eu-goods-exports-gdp/

Mr K 29-05-2020 22:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Not following 'the science' any longer?
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...sks-reopening/

Quote:

. Disagreements between scientific advisors and the Government have been laid bare as it emerged that experts warned against the opening of non-essential shops, and schools.

A new tranche of papers released by the Scientific Advisory Group on Emergencies (Sage) showed that scientists advised ministers that shops could push the R number above 1.

High-street retailers including fashion, homeware and toy shops have been given the green light to open from June 15, as long as they take precautions to ensure social distancing.

But a newly released document from the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling (SPI-M) group warns: “There is limited evidence on the effect of closing of non-essential retail, libraries, bars, restaurants, etc, but it is likely that R would return to above 1 and a subsequent exponential growth in cases.”

The estimate was based on a reproduction number of 0.6, but current Government estimates suggest the R rate is in fact now slightly higher, at between 0.7 and 0.9.

At a briefing on Friday, members of SPI-M also suggested that it was currently risky to ease lockdown when the number of infections in the community is still so high and suggested it was a political not scientific decision to lift some restrictions.

Figures published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) this week suggests there are around 8,000 new infections each day in England and Wales.

Pierre 30-05-2020 09:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36037707)
Not following 'the science' any longer?
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...sks-reopening/

They’re rolling the dice, but they have to.

jfman 30-05-2020 09:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36037719)
They’re rolling the dice, but they have to.

They don't have to.

It's a political choice to do so rather than wait a few more weeks until the numbers are more under control and test, trace, isolate is fully up and running.

Once again Britain is going against internationally recognised best practice on this. When people die - and if there's a deadly second wave - it's as you say because they rolled the dice. They left it to pure luck.

Carth 30-05-2020 10:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Personally, I think they've been forced to bring their 'easing' plan forward a couple of weeks due to the Cummings fiasco (and similar).

Whether Cummings did right or wrong is of little consequence, the fact is a lot of people were quite . . angry . . at what occurred (helped along by the media), and were probably close to stepping over the 'lock down' line in protest.

Once that rock ever started rolling downhill you'd have little chance of stopping it :shocked:

papa smurf 30-05-2020 10:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36037724)
Personally, I think they've been forced to bring their 'easing' plan forward a couple of weeks due to the Cummings fiasco (and similar).

Whether Cummings did right or wrong is of little consequence, the fact is a lot of people were quite . . angry . . at what occurred (helped along by the media), and were probably close to stepping over the 'lock down' line in protest.

Once that rock ever started rolling downhill you'd have little chance of stopping it :shocked:

It's been widely ignored since the get go around here,and we have one of the lowest infection rates, meeting up with 6 people will be a bit of a blow when people have been gathering in larger numbers for weeks.
I Should also add the police have kept their distance and pretty much ignored the whole debacle.

Sephiroth 30-05-2020 10:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36037725)
It's been widely ignored since the get go around here,and we have one of the lowest infection rates, meeting up with 6 people will be a bit of a blow when people have been gathering in larger numbers for weeks.

There are several ways of looking at this. If the slow decline of R is partially due public practice, then guidance adjusted for this might not lead to greater risk.

On the other hand, Professor David King said on Channel 4 News yesterday that if the current death rate 0f c. 300/day was the starting point, we'd be in severe lockdown. But, of course, that would have been when R was 3 or higher.

Hugh 30-05-2020 12:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36037725)
It's been widely ignored since the get go around here,and we have one of the lowest infection rates, meeting up with 6 people will be a bit of a blow when people have been gathering in larger numbers for weeks.
I Should also add the police have kept their distance and pretty much ignored the whole debacle.

The comment in the article doesn't match the statistics.

https://thelincolnite.co.uk/2020/05/...19-infections/
Quote:

Lincolnshire bosses tackling coronavirus have placed Lincolnshire between 0.7-1 on the government’s R infection rate.

Deputy chairman of the Lincolnshire Resilience Forum told BBC Radio Lincolnshire: “It’s at the lower end of that scale. We are below the national average”.

The national figure also sits between 0.7-0.9.

papa smurf 30-05-2020 12:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36037733)
The comment in the article doesn't match the statistics.

https://thelincolnite.co.uk/2020/05/...19-infections/
Quote:

Lincolnshire bosses tackling coronavirus have placed Lincolnshire between 0.7-1 on the government’s R infection rate.

Deputy chairman of the Lincolnshire Resilience Forum told BBC Radio Lincolnshire: “It’s at the lower end of that scale. We are below the national average”.

The national figure also sits between 0.7-0.9.

NE lincolnshire is where i am referring to not Lincolnshire as a whole.

The Scunthorpe area has had a much higher infection rate than Grimsby throughout the pandemic.

North Lincolnshire now has 510 confirmed cases - up nine in the last 24 hours and an infection rate of 296.5 per 100,000 of the population.

North East Lincolnshire continues to have one of the lowest infection rates in the country at 95.7 per 100,000 and 153 cases - up three.

Mr K 30-05-2020 13:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36037734)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36037733)
The comment in the article doesn't match the statistics.

https://thelincolnite.co.uk/2020/05/...19-infections/

NE lincolnshire is where i am referring to not Lincolnshire as a whole.

The Scunthorpe area has had a much higher infection rate than Grimsby throughout the pandemic.

North Lincolnshire now has 510 confirmed cases - up nine in the last 24 hours and an infection rate of 296.5 per 100,000 of the population.

North East Lincolnshire continues to have one of the lowest infection rates in the country at 95.7 per 100,000 and 153 cases - up three.

No one wants to go to Cleethorpes/Grimsby which has worked in your favour ;)

papa smurf 30-05-2020 13:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36037735)

No one wants to go to Cleethorpes/Grimsby which has worked in your favour ;)

It's me isn't it :bigcry:

Sephiroth 30-05-2020 14:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36037739)

It's me isn't :bigcry:

Mr K said "nobody". It's him and he'll see you there!

Hugh 30-05-2020 15:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36037739)

It's me isn't it :bigcry:

Probably not - there’s probably a genetic factor involved, and since most people in that area are related, that may be the reason for the resistance to infection... ;)


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